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☆ US stocks advance, crude rises, crucial data in the wings
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 19, 2023. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.89% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.60%. Emerging market stocks rose 0.65%. U.S. crude rose 0.34% to settle at $80.10 per barrel, while Brent settled at $84.42, down 0.07% on the day. Gold gained ground as investors continue to digest Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole commentary last week and looked forward to the week's economic data.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Chuck Carlson, Carlson, Jerome Powell, China's, Brent, Sterling, Jerome Powell's Jackson, Stephen Culp, Neil Mackenzie, Amanda Cooper, Alex Richardson, Diane Craft Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, payrolls, PMI, Federal Reserve, Horizon Investment, Beijing, Labor, Commerce, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Gulf, U.S . Treasury, Fed, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Hammond , Indiana, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London

☆ U.S. stocks rally, crude rises as crucial data awaits
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Stephen Culp | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/2] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 19, 2023. European stocks were sharply higher with technology shares leading the way, with an assist from China-exposed industrials. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) rose 0.85% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.69%. Emerging market stocks rose 0.65%. Gold gained ground as investors continue to digest Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole commentary last week and looked forward to the week's economic data.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Powell, Robert Pavlik, Jerome Powell, China's, Brent, Sterling, Jerome Powell's Jackson, Stephen Culp, Neil Mackenzie, Amanda Cooper, Alex Richardson Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, payrolls, PMI, Federal Reserve, Dakota Wealth, Beijing, Labor, Commerce, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, U.S . Treasury, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Fairfield , Connecticut, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, London

REUTERS/Chen Aizhu/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Aug 25 (Reuters) - Oil futures climbed about 1% to a one-week high on Friday as U.S. diesel prices soared, the number of oil rigs dropped and a fire broke out at a refinery in Louisiana. Brent futures rose $1.12, or 1.3%, to settle at $84.48 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 78 cents, or 1.0%, to settle at $79.83. Diesel futures soared about 5% to a near seven-month high, boosting the diesel crack spread , a measure of refining profit margins, to its highest since January 2023. "The main thing was concern about diesel prices, the diesel crack spread and worries about diesel shortages when refineries go into maintenance," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group. He added prices also drew support from a fire at a Louisiana refinery and a drop in U.S. oil rigs.

Persons: Chen Aizhu, Phil Flynn, Brent, WTI, Baker Hughes, Jerome Powell, Morgan Stanley, John Evans, Natalie Grover, Laura Sanicola, Muyu Xu, David Goodman, Jason Neely, David Gregorio, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: China National Petroleum Corporation, Dalian Petrochemical Corp, REUTERS, U.S, West Texas, Diesel, Price Futures Group, U.S ., Federal, Thomson Locations: China, Dalian, Liaoning province, Louisiana, Brent, , Louisiana, U.S, Germany, Europe's, Norwegian, London, Washington, Singapore

☆ Morning Bid: Dollar rockets as Powell trumps AI
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to deliver a keynote address to the annual central banking symposium in Jackson Hole at 1405 GMT. And given increasingly contrasting fortunes of economies on either side of the Atlantic, Powell's words are expected to contain a different message to the one from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde later in the day at 1900 GMT. Turkey's lira gave back only some of Thursday's gains after its central bank shocked with a 750 basis point interest rate to 25%. Events to watch for on Friday:* Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gives keynote speech at annual Fed symposium in Jackson Hole. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde also speaks at Jackson Hole.

Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Ifo, Jackson, Powell, Patrick Harker, Susan Collins, Collins, Harker, BoE, China's bourses, Christina Fincher Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, European Central Bank, Philadelphia Fed, Boston Fed, ECB, Bank of, Treasury, Reuters, Authorities, University of Michigan's, Marvell, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Jackson, Bank of England, Asia, Jackson Hole, Jakarta

☆ Morning Bid: August rescued by Nvidia, bond rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsA look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanA dire August for world markets is being rehabilitated in its final week, helped by another sparkling AI-related surprise from chip giant Nvidia (NVDA.O) and a rebound in battered bond markets. The bar for surprise from Wednesday's earnings update was sky high, but the company somehow managed to vault it again. Despite the rebound the index is still down more than 4% for August - its worst month since last September. Ironically, the retreat in bond yields comes amid signs of cooling economic activity - but that comes with the significant relief that central banks may not have to squeeze any harder to get inflation back close to targets. Bond yields are in retreat in advance of the speech, helped by the easing economic data and a decent 20-year bond auction on Wednesday.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Jackson, China's spluttering, Bernadette Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Woodside Energy, Chicago Fed, Kansas City Fed, Intuit, Ulta, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Frankfurt, Asia, Shanghai, Europe, Kansas, Jackson

☆ Morning Bid: 'Flash' business funk and AI buzz
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. Euro zone government bond yields and the euro tumbled as traders bet the European Central Bank may soon pause its interest-rate hike campaign, with money markets now pricing less than a 50% chance of further tightening. The dollar (.DXY) hit its highest since early June as both the euro and sterling took a hit. Existing home sales dropped to a six-month low in July, with new home sales numbers due later today. European and Japanese shares were up smartly too, but mainland Chinese stocks (.CSI300) underperformed yet again and dropped another 1%-plus.

Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan, Wednesday's, John Stonestreet Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Micron Technology, European Central Bank, Treasury, Federal, Jackson, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Devices, Autodesk, Advance, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Europe, Philadelphia, United States, Johannesburg

☆ Morning Bid: World markets bounce at last
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. The onshore yuan steadied amid supportive action by China's state banks in the swaps market, and Chinese stocks (.CSI300) perked up from the year's lows. Overall, MSCI's all-country index (.MIWD00000PUS) was on course on Tuesday for its first back-to-back daily gains of August so far. There were background concerns about the impact on U.S. banks of this latest hit to bond prices and borrowing rates. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Xi Jinping, MSCI's, Jackson, Jerome Powell's, Moody's, Thomas Barkin, Austan Goolsbee, Michelle Bowman, Cyril Ramaphosa, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, P, Activision, Ubisoft Entertainment, Microsoft, Richmond Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Richmond Federal, Chicago Fed, China's, Reuters Graphics, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Wyoming, Jackson, China, South Africa, Asia, Johannesburg, Pretoria

☆ Morning Bid: Bonds burn on as China rate cut underwhelms
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A sign is seen outside the 11 Wall St. entrance of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., March 1, 2021. Although prompted by a deepening property sector bust and worrying economic activity undershoot, China's latest widely expected interest rate cut on Monday was surprisingly small - underscoring concerns that official efforts to shore up the economic malaise are still just piecemeal. The People's Bank of China lowered its one-year lending rate by only 10 basis points to 3.45% - less than the 15bp cut forecast - and it left five-year rates unchanged. UBS became the latest global bank to slash China's annual economic growth forecast for this year - down to 4.8% from 5.2%. Ten-year Treasury yields hovered below last week's highs on Monday, however, and Wall St stock futures were firmer ahead of the open.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan There's, China's, Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, disinflation, Germany's, Crest Nicholson, Mike Dolan, Bernadette Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, People's Bank of, Stock Connect, HK, UBS, Treasury, Federal, Jackson, Wall St, BRICS Summit, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, China, People's Bank of China, South Africa, Brazil, Russia, India, Ukraine, Wall, Johannesburg

Global shares were stuck around two-month lows and Wall Street indexes closed nearly flat and narrowly mixed. Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries stepped back after flirting with 16-year highs earlier in the week. Investors expected the Fed may hold interest rates higher for longer as the U.S. economy continued to show strength. Attention now turns to the Fed and other top central banks' annual gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Investors will scrutinise a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell next Friday for clues about the interest rate outlook.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jackson Hole WASHINGTON, Treasuries, Blake Emerson, Jerome Powell, Powell, Brent, Toby Chopra, Mark Potter, Nick Macfie, Diane Craft, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Jackson, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Global, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, JP Morgan Private Bank, Federal, Securities, U.S, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Jackson Hole, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Japan

☆ Bonds find respite but China crisis festers
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. But equally there was little let-up in the bad news from China's ailing economy and real estate sector. China's securities regulator said on Friday it would cut trading costs, support share buybacks and introduce long-term capital as it unveiled a package of measures aimed at reviving the stock market and boosting investor confidence. Other Asian bourses and European stocks fell too, with U.S. stock futures also in the red before the open. Emerging market equity indices (.MSCIEF) teetered near two-month lows too.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, HSI, teetered, Estee Lauder, Joe Biden, Fumio Kishida, Yoon Suk, Elaine Hardcastle Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Bank of America, Federal, Jackson, China, HK, People's Bank of, U.S, Japan's, Palo Alto Networks, Deere, Treasury, Japan, South, Camp David Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Treasuries, Beijing, Philadelphia, Shanghai, Hong Kong, People's Bank of China, South Korea

[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 24, 2023. Benchmark 10-year yields reached 4.312% in trading and tested October's 4.338%, before moving lower to 4.29%. Tighter credit conditions will eventually dampen economic activity and markets are choppy from the uncertainty," said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for LPL Financial. Wall Street was mixed in the first half of the trading day before accelerating losses as the session ended. Brent crude was up over 1% earlier in the day before settling up 0.35% at $83.74 a barrel.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Yen, Jeffrey Roach, Bill Adams, Brent, Ankur Banerjee, Alun John, Anisha, Sonali Paul, Angus MacSwan, Chizu Nomiyama, Nick Macfie, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal, LPL Financial, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S . Labor Department, Comerica Bank, Zhongzhi Enterprise Group, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, CHINA, China, China's, Singapore, London, Bengaluru

☆ Accelerating US economy sideswipes markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

A sign is seen outside the 11 Wall St. entrance of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., March 1, 2021. That compares with the official estimates of second-quarter GDP growth at an annualised 2.4% - itself a significant upside surprise - and Wall St forecasters are re-drawing forecasts again. Deutsche Bank on Wednesday, for example, more than doubled its third quarter real GDP call to 3.1%. The implications of such resilience in U.S. activity in the face of more than five percentage points of interest rate rises in 18 months has forced many to rethink the sustainable interest rate level over the horizon and increase long-term projections. After another heavy loss on Wall St indices (.SPX), (.IXIC) on Wednesday, futures regained some ground ahead of the bell today.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jackson, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Micron Technology, Atlanta Federal, Deutsche Bank, Walmart, Applied, Ross Stores, Philadelphia Fed, Treasury, Housing, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Asia, Europe

"Most participants continued to see significant upside risks to inflation, which could require further tightening of monetary policy." The group also "discussed several risk-management considerations that could bear on future policy decisions," the minutes said. U.S. Treasury yields hit session highs after the release of the minutes while U.S. stocks extended losses. Fed staff said they expected a "step-down" in underlying prices over the second half of this year. Investors in contracts tied to the federal funds rate are betting heavily that the Fed won't raise its policy rate again during the current tightening cycle.

Persons: Howard Schneider, Michael S, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Federal, Market, Treasury, Fed, Derby, Thomson

☆ Morning Bid: Bonds calm down but Chinese markets smolder
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsA look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanRestive bonds showed signs of calm on Wednesday, but China's struggling economy and markets continue to unnerve world markets. A twin jolt from resurgent western debt yields and China's deepening economic funk and property sector troubles have made for a bumpy August to date. After a slew of dour retail, industrial and property investment numbers earlier this week, China reported on Wednesday that home prices fell for the first time this year. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan Restive, swooned, Goldman Sachs, Neel Kashkari, I'm, Fitch, JPMorgan Chase, Mike Dolan, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Minneapolis Fed, United States, AAA, JPMorgan, Bank of America, of, Cisco, Amcor, New, New York Fed, . Federal Reserve, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Wall St, China, United, New York, Canada

Aug 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices declined more than 1% on Monday as concerns about China's faltering economic recovery and a stronger dollar weighed against seven weeks of gains on tightening supply from OPEC+ output cuts. A stronger dollar pressures oil demand by making the commodity more expensive for buyers holding other currencies. It has been singularly focused on U.S. economic optimism, to the exclusion of the increasingly stronger headwinds blowing in the eurozone and China," said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights. "A rebalancing is overdue but it may need a reality check in the markets stateside," Hari said. In the United States, the number of operating oil rigs held steady at 525 last week, after falling for eight weeks in a row, according to Baker Hughes weekly report.

Persons: Vandana Hari, Hari, Tina Teng, Brent, Baker Hughes, Florence Tan, Mohi Narayan, Tom Hogue, Sonali Paul Organizations: Brent, West Texas, U.S, Federal, Vanda Insights, CMC, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Thomson Locations: China, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Russian, Ukraine, United States, Singapore, New Delhi

Aug 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices eased on Monday as concerns about China's faltering economic recovery and a stronger dollar weighed against seven weeks of gains on tightening supply from OPEC+ output cuts. A stronger dollar pressures oil demand by making the commodity more expensive for buyers holding other currencies. "A rebalancing is overdue but it may need a reality check in the markets stateside," Hari said. In the United States, the number of operating oil rigs held steady at 525 last week, after falling for eight weeks in a row, according to Baker Hughes weekly report. Reporting by Florence Tan in Singapore and Mohi Narayan in New Delhi; Editing by Sonali Paul and Tom HogueOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Vandana Hari, Hari, Tina Teng, Brent, Baker Hughes, Florence Tan, Mohi Narayan, Sonali Paul, Tom Hogue Organizations: Brent, West Texas, U.S, Federal, Vanda Insights, CMC, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, Thomson Locations: China, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Russian, Ukraine, United States, Singapore, New Delhi

☆ Bonds bruised, China stocks and rouble sink
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

With seasonal trading volumes so thin and the events and data diary bare today at least, there's a danger of over-interpreting recent market developments. But the backup in long-term U.S. bond yields over the past couple of weeks despite relatively unchanged expectations for Federal Reserve policy moves has clearly unsettled investors. Although 2-year Treasury yields remain below 5% and are lower than they were at midyear, 10-year Treasury yields continue to probe 9-month highs around 4.20% and the yield curve has disinverted by some 20 basis points this month as a result. China's yuan hit its lowest since June as traders look to a possible easing of 1-year interest rates on Tuesday. Events to watch for on Monday:* U.S. Treasury auctions 3-, 6-month billsReuters GraphicsReuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, editing by XXXX <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Fitch, Goldman Sachs, Russia's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Micron Technology, Federal Reserve, United States, AAA, Treasury, . Treasury, Kremlin, Shanghai, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, United, midyear, China, Japan, Ukraine, Hong Kong, Asia

☆ Canadian dollar hits 2-month low after surprise jobs loss
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto January 23, 2015. For the week, the risk-sensitive currency was down 0.9%, its third straight weekly decline, as a jump in long-term bond yields rattled equity market investors. The Canadian economy shed 6,400 jobs in July, missing estimates for a gain of 21,100, while the jobless rate ticked up to 5.5%. Money markets see chances of another Bank of Canada rate hike this year at about 50%, down from 80% before the jobs report. Canadian government bond yields fell across the curve.

Persons: Mark Blinch, Jay Zhao, Murray, Fergal Smith, Grant McCool Organizations: REUTERS, greenback, Canadian, U.S, Bank of Canada, Monex Canada, Canada, U.S ., Thomson Locations: Toronto, TORONTO

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationBENGALURU, Aug 3 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar will hold its ground against most major currencies over the coming three months as a resilient domestic economy bolsters expectations interest rates will remain higher for longer, according to FX strategists polled by Reuters. The dollar is unlikely to give up recent gains in coming months, according to the July 31-Aug. 2 Reuters poll of 70 FX strategists, which showed most major currencies would not reclaim their recent highs for at least six months. In response to an additional question, 27 of 40 FX strategists said net short USD positions would either not change much or decrease over the coming month, suggesting the dollar would be rangebound. Typically, these conditions often coincide with a more negative dollar outlook," said Kamakshya Trivedi, head of global FX at Goldman Sachs. At this point in time I wouldn't say so," said ECB President Christine Lagarde last week after delivering a widely anticipated 25 basis points (bps) rate increase.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Kamakshya Trivedi, Goldman Sachs, Christine Lagarde, Kit Juckes, Sterling, Indradip Ghosh, Shaloo Shrivastava, Sujith Pai, Veronica Khongwir, Vijayalakshmi Srinivasan, Jonathan Cable, Ross Finley, Alex Richardson Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reuters, greenback, Federal Reserve, Central Bank, Fed, ECB, Societe Generale, Bank of England, bps, Bank of, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bank of Japan

☆ C$ hits 3-week low as 'cracks' emerge in Canada's economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie," is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto, January 23, 2015. "The (U.S.) dollar is reasserting itself as the champion of the currency market and the Canadian dollar is just caught in that wave," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive. S&P Global's measure of Canadian manufacturing activity edged higher last month to 49.6 from 48.8 in June. Canada's employment report for July, due on Friday, could offer further clues on the strength of domestic activity. The price of oil, one of Canada's major exports, edged lower on signs of profit-taking after a rally in July.

Persons: Mark Blinch, Adam Button, Fergal Smith, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, greenback, PMI, Canadian, U.S, ., Thomson Locations: Toronto, TORONTO, U.S

☆ Morning Bid: August cools Wall St stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

China's factory underperformance stood out once again and underlined its struggling recovery - perhaps the main driver of stalling industrial activity everywhere. With markets increasingly impatient at the patchy and underwhelming economic stimulus plans seen from Beijing so far, China stocks fell back (.CSI300), bucking Tuesday's wider Asia stocks rally. Sterling and UK stocks (.FTMC) fell back. Ride-hailing giant Uber's stock rose more than 2% before the bell and ahead of its earnings report. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, underperformance, Austan Goolsbee, Goolbee, Stanley Black, Decker, Zimmer Biomet, Revvity, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S ., Chicago Fed, Bank of England, Sterling, AMD, Caterpillar, Big Pharma, Pfizer, Merck, Ride, HSBC, BP, Uber, Prudential Financial, AIG, Starbucks, Molson Coors, Boston Properties, Caesars Entertainment, Illinois Tool, Natural Resources, Energy, Devon Energy, Gartner, Allstate, Paycom Software, Electronic, WEC, Rockwell, Public Service Enterprise, P Global, Dallas Fed, Chicago Federal, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wall, Beijing, China, Asia, ., Marathon, Eaton, Altria, Marriott, Illinois, Progressive

LONDON, July 28 (Reuters) - A reappraisal of the dollar could be the next big "pain trade". Dollar jumps as US 2-year yield premium builds vs G7Net short dollar contracts from CFTCBofA chart on fund managers dollar viewSMILEFor the dollar at least, it starts to look less of a one-way rate bet. For those who favour intra-G7 interest rate differentials for guidance, the picture is not much better for dollar bears. But if "soft landings", disinflation and buoyant markets continue to rule the roost, it may be hard work for the outsize "anti-dollar" bet. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: There's, BoE, What's, it's, Mike Dolan, Alison Williams Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Bank of England, gilts, ECB, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: U.S, Japan

☆ Morning Bid: Wall St shines, China misses again
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Back on Wall Street, another heavy earnings week beckons and the July U.S. employment report on Friday looms large. Stock futures are marginally positive ahead of Monday's open, Asia bourses mostly just caught up with Friday's U.S. gains and European indexes were little changed. U.S. Treasury yields were steady, with the dollar firmer - due mainly to dollar/yen's jump to three-week highs. Reuters GraphicsReuters GraphicsReuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsReuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsBy Mike Dolan, editing by Alex Richardson <a href="mailto:mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com" target="_blank">mike.dolan@thomsonreuters.com</a>. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Mike Dolan, What's, Asia bourses, Alex Richardson Organizations: Apple, Nasdaq, Bank of England, Friday's U.S, Treasury, European Banking Authority, Loews, Arista Networks, Eversource Energy, ON Semiconductor, SBA Communications, Republic Services, Diamondback Energy, Dallas Fed, Federal Reserve, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Beijing, United States, Tokyo, Asia, Western, Chicago

☆ Morning Bid: Bank of Japan excites, Dow unlucky, Intel jumps
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Specifically, the central bank said it would offer to buy 10-year JGBs at 1.0% in fixed-rate operations, instead of the previous rate of 0.5% - tolerating the wider band for bond market borrowing rates. With July core inflation in Tokyo falling back to a 10-month low, the need for tightening may be ebbing anyway. Friday's data is expected to show another drop in the Fed's favoured core PCE inflation gauge in June. For markets more broadly, Friday seems a little scattergun so far after a heavy week of macro policy and corporate news. U.S. Treasury yields fell back from two-week highs hit after the punchy U.S. economy readouts and central bank moves, with the 2-to-10 year yield curve steepening as recession fears abate.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Dow Jones bluechips, T Rowe Price, Nick Macfie Organizations: Bank of Japan, Dow, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Treasury, ECB, Intel, U.S, Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Proctor, Gamble, Colgate Palmolive, Franklin Resources, Newell Brands, Church, Dwight, Charter Communications, Dallas Fed, University of Michigan, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Wall St, Tokyo, Wall, Asia, Centene, Franklin

☆ Rate convergence keeps Canadian dollar shackled to U.S. counterpart
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Money markets are pricing in a peak interest rate of about 5.25% for the Bank of Canada over the coming months, not much less than the 5.42% terminal rate that is priced in for the Fed. Canadian GDP data for May, due on Friday, could guide expectations for additional BoC rate hikes. The Canadian dollar was trading 0.2% lower at 1.3227 to the greenback, or 75.60 U.S. cents, after moving in a range of 1.3159 to 1.3236. "The Canadian dollar still looks cheap relative to where it should be," Osborne said, pointing to recent convergence of Canadian and U.S. yields, improved risk appetite and higher commodity prices. The Canadian 5-year yield touched its highest since December 2007 at 4.030% before dipping to 4.019%, up 13.9 basis points on the day.

Persons: Price, Shaun Osborne, Osborne, Fergal Smith, Nick Zieminski Organizations: greenback, Canadian, Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Scotiabank, Fed, BoC, Thomson Locations: TORONTO, U.S

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