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☆ US debt interest payments are unsustainable and flash 'huge warning signs' as they take over federal spending, budget expert warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-23 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The trajectory of US debt interest payments is not sustainable, Maya MacGuineas told Insider. Interest will eclipse defense spending in four years, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget president said. By that measure, US debt interest payments will become the single biggest federal expenditure by 2051, when it eclipses Social Security. AdvertisementAdvertisement"So clearly not sustainable," Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, told Insider. AdvertisementAdvertisementAt today's level, interest payments already outpace federal spending on youth education, and in four years, it will top defense spending.

Persons: MacGuineas, Janet Yellen, it's Organizations: Federal, Social, Service, CNBC, Congressional, Federal Budget, Treasury Locations: Wall, Silicon

WASHINGTON (AP) — The White House is preparing Friday to direct federal agencies to get ready for a shutdown after House Republicans left town for the weekend with no viable plan to keep the government funded and avert politically and economically costly disruption of federal services. “We got members working, and hopefully we’ll be able to move forward on Tuesday to pass these bills,” McCarthy, R-Calif., told reporters at the Capitol. McCarthy signaled his preference for avoiding a closure, but a hard-right flank of his House majority has effectively seized control. Trump has urged the House Republicans on, pushing them to hold the line against federal spending. The U.S. Travel Industry Association estimates that the travel sector could lose $140 million daily in a shutdown.

Persons: Kevin McCarthy, ” McCarthy, McCarthy, “, ”, Joe Biden, ” Biden, Donald Trump —, Biden, —, Trump, Matt Gaetz, ” Gaetz, Gaetz, legislating, Brian Gardner Organizations: WASHINGTON, House Republicans, Capitol, Biden, Management, OMB, Republicans, Republican, Trump, GOP, Defense, Homeland Security, Foreign Operations, Agricultural, Congressional, Military, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Women, U.S . Travel Industry Association Locations: U.S, Maryland, Washington

Student loan repayments restart in October after a three-year suspension during the COVID-19 pandemic. In isolation, none would likely shift policymakers' sense of the short-term risks or change their focus on quelling still-elevated inflation. By Goldman's estimate the economy would still be growing at a 1.3% annual rate at that point. But the amounts they see sliced from GDP are more than the 1% growth rate Fed officials expected the economy to muster as of June, and beyond many private forecasts as well. Some economists say the resumption of student loan repayments for tens of millions of borrowers may already be reshaping behavior.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Vincent Reinhart, Reinhart, Michael Pearce, Ian Shepherdson, Kieran Clancy, They've, Howard Schneider, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: . Federal Reserve, United Auto Workers, Federal, Republicans, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Mellon, Reuters, Oxford Economics, Congressional, U.S . Department, Education, Thomson

☆ 5 common misconceptions about the US's $32 trillion debt mountain
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-17 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The US's $32 trillion debt mountain may not be as bad as it seems. Still, economists say debt problems could arise in the future given the current rate of spending. But experts say that there are major misconceptions floating around the US debt problem that could make the nation's debt load appear more dire than it actually is. America's debt problem is uniqueRising debt levels is a worldwide issue. "This is more of a broader sovereign debt problem that's starting to develop.

Persons: Paul Krugman, there's, that's, Mark Zandi, Zandi Organizations: Service, Congressional, Office, Management, Moody's, Atlanta Fed, International Monetary Fund Locations: Wall, Silicon, Great Britain

☆ I.R.S. Freezes Pandemic-Era Tax Credit Amid Fraud Fears
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Alan Rappeport | More About Alan Rappeport | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

“We are deeply concerned that this program is not operating in the way it was intended,” Daniel Werfel, the I.R.S. “We believe you should see only a trickle of employee retention claims coming in. Among them was the Employee Retention Credit, a tax benefit that was created as part of the initial $2 trillion pandemic relief legislation. said on Thursday that it had already paid out about $230 billion in refunds associated with the tax credit and that it had a backlog of 600,000 claims. Mr. Werfel said that 15 percent of the 3.6 million claims for the credit that the I.R.S.

Persons: ” Daniel Werfel, “, Werfel Organizations: Congressional, Office Locations: Washington

☆ 10 signs the US economy may struggle in the next year
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Madison Hoff | Noah Sheidlower | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

By raising interest rates, the Fed "wants us to buy fewer cars. There are signs that a drop in savings could be making it harder for Americans' to keep up with paying off debt. Long-term interest rates rising for non-economic reasonsLong-term interest rates are on the rise, even though economic data on the whole is improving. Higher-interest payments for the US governmentSløk also noted higher interest payments for the US government as another downside risk to the outlook. Projections published by the Congressional Budget Office show increasing estimates for the upcoming decades for federal interest payments as a share of GDP.

Persons: Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Paul Krugman, Persis Yu, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Hatzius, it's, , you've, Andy Kiersz, That's, Brent Organizations: Service, Apollo Global Management, NYU Stern School of Business, Federal Reserve, San, San Francisco Fed, Student, Protection, CNBC, New York Fed, Banking, West Texas, Labor Statistics, US, Fitch, Congressional Locations: Wall, Silicon, San Francisco, China, Japan, Europe, Germany

☆ The stock market reaction to government shutdowns may surprise you
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-13 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

But surprisingly, the stock market has historically gone up when the government shuts down, according to Raymond James. "Markets are largely unaffected in the lead up to a shutdown, and on average continue to rise in the 30 days following the resolution of a shutdown," Mills said. Other sectors in the broad market index that have had historically strong showings during shutdowns include communications services, consumer staples and technology. Ultimately, a government shutdown will not likely create lasting effects in the market, according to Raymond James. Not only are Democrats and Republicans on different pages, but Republicans are also not singing from the same sheet of music as other Republicans," Mills said.

Persons: Raymond James, Ed Mills, Mills, Biden, furloughs, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Energy, Congress, Republican, Representatives, Freedom Caucus, Congressional Democrats, Senate Republicans, Senate Democrats, Caucus, Republicans Locations: U.S, Ukraine

☆ The US needs to get its ballooning debt problems under control to keep the dollar dominant, former IMF official says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar's dominance is being threatening by growing debt in the US, economist Barry Eichengreen said. High debt caused the downfall of the British sterling as a global currency in the early 1900s, scholars say. Mounting debt was responsible for the British sterling's downfall as the world's top currency in the early 1900s, Eichengreen said. AdvertisementAdvertisement"Thus, whether the dollar retains its global role will depend not simply on US relations with Russia, China, or the BRICS. But a weaker dollar isn't necessarily a bad thing, as US companies with business overseas can be hurt if the dollar is too strong against local currencies.

Persons: Barry Eichengreen, Eichengreen, there's Organizations: Service, International Monetary Fund, Syndicate, UC Berkeley, Congressional, Office Locations: Wall, Silicon, China, Russia

Medicare may just be the budget buster that wasn’t. Somehow, after decades of nonstop growth, its spending per person has flattened over the past dozen years, saving taxpayers roughly $3.9 trillion since 2011, according to an Upshot analysis. But the reasons for the slowdown — and its duration — are not well understood. reduced the payments Medicare made to hospitals and to the insurance companies that administer private Medicare Advantage plans. Those changes alone are responsible for more than a trillion dollars in spending reductions, according to estimates from the Congressional Budget Office, or about a quarter of the savings attributable to the recent flat spending trend.

Persons: ” — Stephen Organizations: Affordable Care, Congressional, Office Locations: Columbus , Ohio

☆ Analysis: Potential US government shutdown could dent investor confidence
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Investors might be more sensitive to a shutdown this time around, however. With only weeks to go before the deadline, the Republican-led House of Representatives has approved only one of those 12 bills. 'LESS FRIENDLY POLICY'If it occurs, the shutdown would be the fourth over the last decade and would furlough roughly three of out five federal civilian workers. The White House last month said it was working with Congress to hammer out a short-term funding measure to avoid a shutdown while longer-term spending talks continue. Analysts at Ned Davis Research said a shutdown could add to factors threatening to roil the economy into next year.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Goldman Sachs, Fitch, ”, Jamie Cox, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Ned Davis, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS, Goldman, Social, Federal, Harris Financial Group, Caucus, House Republican, Republican, Senate, Congressional, Office, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Democrats, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CFRA Research, Thomson Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ NASA spent billions on its SLS mega-rocket to take humans to the moon. It finally admitted it is 'unaffordable.'
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Marianne Guenot | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

NASA officials have said their SLS mega-rocket program is "unaffordable." Officials agree the SLS budget "needs to be improved," but it's not clear how, per a government report. The exact costs are unclearThe GAO says NASA has spent $11.8 billion since 2011 on the development of the integrated SLS rocket. NASA's SLS rocket and Orion spacecraft shown here being rolled of their assembly building ahead of the Artemis I mission. NASA's SLS is an anomalyPart of the criticism for the SLS program is that it sticks out as a "bit of an anomaly" in NASA's latest approach to project development, Rosseau previously said.

Persons: Artemis, Brendan Rosseau, Joel Kowsky, NASA's, Rosseau, it's, SLS's, pare, they've, Eric Berger, Paul Martin, Berger, Blue Origin's Organizations: NASA, Service, Orion, SLS, Office, GAO, Planetary Society, Elon, SpaceX, Harvard Business School, Origin, SpaceX's, SpaceX NASA, Ars Technica Locations: Wall, Silicon

☆ Factbox: US government shutdown: what does it mean?
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The 2018-2019 shutdown furloughed roughly 800,000 of the federal government's 2.2 million employees. It is not clear whether the United States' 63 national parks would remain open. In the 2018-19 shutdown the Trump administration kept them open with public restrooms and information desks closed and waste disposal halted. Some states, such as New York and Utah, paid for their sites to stay open and staffed during the 2018-2019 shutdown. Unlike a government shutdown, a U.S. debt default would likely have severe consequences, roiling global financial markets and plunging the country into recession.

Persons: Julia Nikhinson, Goldman Sachs, Obama, Trump, Moira Warburton, Andy Sullivan, Grant McCool Organizations: U.S . Capitol Police, REUTERS, Congressional Research Service, Lawmakers, Services, Congressional, White House, Department of Homeland Security, Coast Guard, Justice, Transportation, Administration, Internal Revenue Service, Pentagon, Congress, U.S . Treasury, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, United States, New York, Utah, U.S, Washington

☆ 4 Arguments You Will Hear Against Medicare Drug Price Negotiation - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Larry Levitt | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Here are some of the arguments you’re likely to hear against drug price negotiation and the context necessary to evaluate them. Argument 1: Government-negotiated drug prices will harm innovation and result in fewer lifesaving drugs. The idea that curbs on drug pricing will stifle innovation has long been the pharmaceutical industry’s go-to argument. But it’s reasonable to ask how many fewer drugs might get developed and which drugs those might be. The Congressional Budget Office, the economic referee in legislative debates, estimated that the drug pricing provisions of the I.R.A.

Persons: It’s Organizations: Congressional, Office, Food, Drug, National Institutes of Health Locations: United States

☆ Congress is gearing up for a budget showdown. From funding for student-loan repayment to Social Security benefits, here's what's at stake.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Ayelet Sheffey | Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Already, President Joe Biden has asked for short-term funding to help keep key programs running and head off a potential federal closure. Well, the federal budget year closes out on September 30. AdvertisementAdvertisementRepublicans already have conditionsHouse Speaker Kevin McCarthy has reportedly told his party members that he believes it'll be necessary to pass some sort of short-term funding measure, according to MSNBC. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer similarly told MSNBC that he has met with McCarthy and the duo agreed to try and move forward with short-term funding. While the benefits would still flow, Americans relying on those programs would likely see processing delays and limited customer service.

Persons: Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, it'll, Chuck Schumer, McCarthy, GOPers, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Service, MSNBC, Republican, Justice Department, FBI, Social Security, SNAP, Management, Department of Agriculture, Assistance, Child Nutrition, Women, Children, Congressional Locations: Wall, Silicon, pare, Ukraine, Washington

☆ Trump-Biden rematch will revolve around big economic issues, says Raymond James' Ed Mills
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrump-Biden rematch will revolve around big economic issues, says Raymond James' Ed MillsEd Mills, Raymond James Washington policy analyst, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the upcoming deadline for a congressional budget resolution, the Biden Administration's effort to de-escalate tensions with China, and expectations for the upcoming presidential nominees.

Persons: Biden, Raymond James, Ed Mills Ed Mills, Raymond James Washington Organizations: Trump Locations: China

A Huge Threat to the U.S. Budget Has Receded. For decades, runaway Medicare spending was the story of the federal budget. Budget news often sounds apocalyptic, but the Medicare trend has been unexpectedly good for federal spending, saving taxpayers a huge amount relative to projections. In a recent letter to the Senate Budget Committee, economists at the Congressional Budget Office described the huge reductions in its Medicare forecasts between 2010 and 2020. Medicare is growing more slowly than ever, but still more quickly than the rest of the federal budget.

Persons: Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama, that’s, ”, David Cutler, Cutler, haven’t, I’ve, Melinda Buntin, Buntin, Simpson, Bowles, aren’t, Trump, Joshua Gordon, Mitt Romney’s, “, Sherry Glied Organizations: Medicare, ”, U.S, Budget, Harvard, Obama, Affordable, Senate, Congressional, New York Times, Office, White, Office of Management, Johns Hopkins, Social Security, Congress, Federal, Veterans, NASA, Wagner School Locations: Iraq, Afghanistan, N.Y.U, Washington

☆ Huge government spending is undermining the Fed's inflation battle, markets guru Larry McDonald warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-01 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Massive government spending is fueling inflation, according to markets guru Larry McDonald. "Washington is stepping on the gas and the brakes at the same time," he said Thursday. McDonald’s warning comes with the Federal Reserve’s chosen inflation gauge still running clear of its 2% target. "Let's 'fight inflation' with government spending up 10-15% year over year, a trending $1.7 trillion federal deficit for 2023," the Bear Traps Report founder said on X Thursday. "No one is calling them out… Washington is stepping on the gas (colossal deficit spending) and the brakes (epic rate hikes) at the same time," McDonald added.

Persons: Larry McDonald, McDonald, Biden, Nobel, Paul Krugman Organizations: Federal, Service, Fed, Biden, American Locations: Washington, Wall, Silicon, America

☆ US Department of Energy to put $12 billion into electric vehicle manufacturing, following Biden's goal of spurring EV sales
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Clare Duffy | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —The US Department of Energy said Thursday it plans to fuel the auto industry’s transition to electric vehicles with $12 billion in loans and grants. Hard on the heels of President Joe Biden’s goal to spur the sale of EVs in the United States, the Energy Department will provide $2 billion in grants and $10 billion in loans to support the conversion of US automaker and supplier facilities into manufacturing centers for hybrid and electric vehicles. The program aims to build or refurbish factories in communities with existing auto manufacturing facilities and to bolster the domestic EV supply chain. The Energy Department also said it plans to invest a separate $3.5 billion to boost US production of advanced batteries and battery materials to support the country’s transition to electric vehicles and clean energy. It also noted that light duty vehicles, the average cars Americans drive, account for 58% of those emissions.

Persons: Joe Biden’s, Biden, “, Jennifer Granholm, ”, Shawn Fain Organizations: New, New York CNN, US Department of Energy, Energy Department, ”, The Energy Department, United Auto Workers union, Biden Administration, UAW, Congressional Locations: New York, United States

☆ Biden administration unveils first 10 drugs subject to Medicare price negotiations
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-29 | by ( Annika Kim Constantino | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Fiasp and NovoLog, insulins made by Novo Nordisk The Medicare negotiations are the centerpiece of the Biden administration's efforts to rein in the rising cost of medications in the U.S. Drugmakers such as Merck and Johnson & Johnson and their supporters aim to derail the negotiations, filing at least eight lawsuits in recent months seeking to declare the policy unconstitutional. Drugmakers' legal challengesMerck, Johnson & Johnson, Bristol-Myers Squibb and Astellas Pharma are among the companies suing to halt the negotiation process. The suits make similar and overlapping claims that Medicare negotiations are unconstitutional. Biden and his top health officials have embraced the lawsuits as evidence that they're making progress in the fight to cut drug prices.

Persons: Biden, Joe Biden's, Boehringer Ingelheim, Johnson Januvia, Merck Farxiga, Novartis Enbrel, Amgen Imbruvica, AbbVie Stelara, Janssen, insulins, Johnson, Leigh Purvis, Drugmakers, drugmakers, Robert Davis Organizations: Bristol, Myers Squibb Jardiance, Johnson, Merck, AstraZeneca Entresto, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Medicare, Centers, Services, Biden, AARP Public, Institute, Congressional, Office, Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, U.S . Chamber, Commerce, Supreme, Court, Circuit Court, Pharma, White, Big Pharma Locations: U.S, Bristol

☆ White House inflicts Big Pharma ills
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

If just one or two big medications were going to be renegotiated, the industry could shoulder the change. The IRA, signed into law last year, allows Medicare to negotiate prices for some of its most costly drugs. Though specificities are unclear, a quick look at one of the biggest sellers under the program, blood thinner Eliquis, suggests Big Pharma could shoulder a discount. At 11 times earnings over the next 12 months, that’s less than 10% of the firm’s $205 billion market capitalization. Put this on the same multiple of 11 times, and it would be a $275 billion hit to the industry.

Persons: George Frey, Biden, Robert Cyran, Xpeng’s Didi, Lauren Silva Laughlin, Sharon Lam Organizations: Pfizer Pharmaceuticals, REUTERS, Reuters, Big, Medicare, Pfizer, Bristol, Myers Squibb, Congressional, Office, X, Thomson Locations: Provo , Utah, U.S

☆ Republican hopefuls’ deficit goals are all talk
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Ben Winck | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Participants in the party’s first debate for the 2024 election on Wednesday night promised to shrink the government’s budget shortfall. Yet Republicans have a bad track record for cutting federal debt, and some candidates are already touting pricey projects and tax cuts. The last Republican president to run a budget surplus was George W. Bush in 2001, but even that year was partly influenced by the cost-cutting measures put in place by his Democratic predecessor. With Congress balking at such a combinations, Republican candidates’ plans are all talk, little hope of action. That budget deficit is 122% larger than the shortfall seen in the same period last year.

Persons: Asa Hutchinson, Chris Christie, Mike Pence, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Doug Burgum, jockeying, “, Donald Trump, George W, Bush, Lauren Silva Laughlin, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Arkansas, New, U.S, South Carolina, North Dakota, Republican, Reuters, Republicans, South, Democratic, U.S . Office, Management, Former New, Congressional, Cato Institute, Fitch, Treasury Department, Thomson Locations: New Jersey, Florida, U.S, WASHINGTON, Milwaukee , Wisconsin, South Carolina, Former New Jersey, Arkansas, Ukraine, China, The U.S

☆ Republican feud over 'root canal' spending cuts raises US government shutdown risk
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( David Morgan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

The result is a major headache for centrist Republicans from swing districts that Biden won in 2020 and others with constituents in the firing line of hardline spending targets. One significant source of frustration is hardline demands for cuts to bills that have already been vetted by the 61-member House Appropriations Committee. SHUTDOWN RISKHouse Freedom Caucus members say a shutdown could be necessary to achieve their objectives. This time, the slim 222-212 House Republican majority could pay a political price. Would the House Freedom Caucus end McCarthy's reign over a CR?

Persons: Scott Perry, Andy Biggs, Jonathan Ernst, Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Centrists, McCarthy, Biden, Don Bacon, Ben Cline, We're, willy, nilly, David Joyce, William Hoagland, Donald Trump's, Dusty Johnson, Chuck Schumer, McCarthy's, Perry, Kevin, David Morgan, Scott Malone, Daniel Wallis, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Republicans, U.S . House, Caucus, Monday, White, Republican, Social Security, Freedom Caucus, Committee, Republican Governance Group, Center, Senate, Justice Department, Ukraine, Main Street Caucus, Reuters, Office, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Nebraska, Washington

☆ Republican feud over 'root canal' spending cuts raises US gov't shutdown risk
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( David Morgan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

The result is a major headache for centrist Republicans from swing districts that Biden won in 2020 and others with constituents in the firing line of hardline spending targets. "I do not know how they get themselves out of this jam," said William Hoagland, a former Senate Republican budget director now at the Bipartisan Policy Center think tank. SHUTDOWN RISKHouse Freedom Caucus members say a shutdown could be necessary to achieve their objectives. This time, the slim 222-212 House Republican majority could pay a political price. Would the House Freedom Caucus end McCarthy's reign over a CR?

Persons: Scott Perry, Andy Biggs, Jonathan Ernst, Joe Biden, Kevin McCarthy, McCarthy, Biden, Don Bacon, Ben Cline, We're, willy, nilly, David Joyce, William Hoagland, Donald Trump's, Dusty Johnson, Chuck Schumer, McCarthy's, Perry, Kevin, David Morgan, Scott Malone, Daniel Wallis Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, Republicans, U.S . House, Caucus, White, Republican, Social Security, Freedom Caucus, Committee, Republican Governance Group, Center, Senate, Main Street Caucus, Reuters, Office, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Nebraska, Washington

☆ CBO Director Phillip Swagel on U.S. deficit: An unusual and very challenging fiscal situation
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCBO Director Phillip Swagel on U.S. deficit: An unusual and very challenging fiscal situationPhillip Swagel, Congressional Budget Office Director, joins 'Squawk Bo' to discuss the fallout from Fitch's rating downgrade, which cited federal debt levels as one of the reasons for the downgrade, U.S. debt fears following CBO's projection that the nation's debt will soon exceed its all time high and skyrocket to 181% by 2053, and more.

Persons: Phillip Swagel, Bo Organizations: Congressional

☆ AI is going to eliminate way more jobs than anyone realizes
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Emil Skandul | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +16 min

We didn't see the internet coming, but AI is within viewThe adoption of groundbreaking technology is often hard to predict. The World Economic Forum estimated 83 million jobs worldwide would be lost over the next five years because of AI, with 69 million jobs created — that leaves 14 million jobs that will cease to exist during that timeframe. In the US, the knowledge-worker class is estimated to be nearly 100 million workers, one out of three Americans. The small and large compounding effects of productivity growth across many industries are central to the growth trajectory and the long-run effects of AI. This is an alarmingly trivial amount for an economy of $25 trillion GDP and over 150 million workers.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Joseph Schumpeter, Bill Gates, David Letterman, Paul Krugman, Erik Brynjolfsson, —, Brynjolfsson, Robert Solow, Robert Gordon, provocatively, It's, Gordon, David Autor, Maria Flynn, Flynn, –, Georgia –, Emil Skandul, Tony Blair Organizations: McKinsey, Newsweek, Stanford University, Microsoft, Amazon, Cisco, Economic, International Labor Organization, Organization for Economic Co, Development, MIT, Congressional, Office, Department of Labor, Tony Blair Institute Locations: Washington, Singapore, New York, Georgia

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