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☆ Should central banks be cutting, holding or hiking rates? CNBC runs through the forecasts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailShould central banks be cutting, holding or hiking rates? CNBC runs through the forecastsCNBC's Steve Sedgwick and Arabile Gumede discuss the expectations for central bank action as interest rate outlooks differ around the world.

Persons: Steve Sedgwick, Arabile Gumede Organizations: CNBC

☆ China's yuan is tumbling amid US sanctions and as central banks boost dollar holdings
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

China's yuan is falling as holders eye the risk of western sanctions. AdvertisementChina's yuan is in the midst of a steep decline as holders of the currency eye the risk of US sanctions. Central banks, meanwhile, are looking to dump the yuan while raising their holdings of the US dollar. Nearly 20% of central bank reserve managers said they planned on raising dollar holdings over the next one to two years, while 12% said they planned on reducing yuan holdings, according to a survey from the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum. Lawmakers are reportedly already drafting sanctions to impose against Chinese banks, sources told The Wall Street Journal in April.

Persons: —, Yuan, They've Organizations: US Treasury, Service, Russia's, Monetary, Financial, Treasury, Lawmakers, Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg Locations: China, Russia, Ukraine, Moscow

☆ More rich countries worried about the dollar want to buy gold
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Central banks from advanced economies plan to buy more gold, according to a World Gold Council survey. Meanwhile, central banks expect the US dollar's share in global reserves to fall in the next five years. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Even central banks from advanced economies are planning to load up on gold, according to a World Gold Council survey released on Monday. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: —, they're Organizations: Gold, Service, Business Locations: China

☆ Bank of England Holds Rates Steady, Despite Slower Inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Eshe Nelson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The Bank of England held interest rates on Thursday at their highest level since 2008 even as inflation in Britain slowed to 2 percent in May, an important milestone. Policymakers kept rates at 5.25 percent, where they have been for 10 months. “It’s good news that inflation has returned to our 2 percent target,” Andrew Bailey, the governor of the Bank of England, said in a statement. This month, the European Central Bank cut rates for the first time in about five years but warned that it would take a cautious approach to future cuts. The U.S. Federal Reserve also indicated it would reduce rates just once this year, down from an earlier projection of three cuts.

Persons: ” Andrew Bailey, we’ve Organizations: of England, Bank of England, European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Locations: Britain

☆ UK inflation is finally back at 2%. Here’s why rate cuts are still ‘off the table’
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-19 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

That suggests the Bank of England won’t follow the European Central Bank in cutting interest rates when it meets Thursday. A rate cut in August, when UK policymakers meet next, is now also less likely. Other economists, including analysts at Nomura, thought an August rate cut was still possible if pay rises and the price of services cooled further. “For an August rate cut, we will need other economic news to play ball,” the analysts wrote in a note. UK inflation peaked at 11.1% in October 2022, driven to a 41-year high by surging food and energy costs.

Persons: ”, Zara Noakes, Rebecca Florisson, Jake Finney Organizations: London CNN —, Bank of, Bank of England, European Central Bank, JPMorgan Asset Management, Nomura, “ Workers, Work Foundation, Lancaster University, PwC Locations: United Kingdom, England, United States, Europe

☆ BlackRock says inflation could be an unwelcome side effect of the AI-driven productivity boom
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Capital spending on AI data centers could bring back inflation before boosting economy, BlackRock said. In the short term, AI winners will drive returns up for six to 12 months. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . "Capital spending on AI data centers has boomed since last year's ChatGPT moment," analysts led by Jean Boivin wrote on Monday.

Persons: —, Jean Boivin Organizations: BlackRock, Service, Business

☆ These are the most popular trades today — and the best contrarian trades to go against the crowd
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

By far, the most dominant trade on Wall Street is going long the "Magnificent Seven." Investors are the most bullish they've been on the mega-cap tech stocks going back to October 2020, the firm found. In fact, about 69% of respondents were bullish on the group, making the Magnificent Seven the most crowded trade for 15 straight months. One highly contrarian trade Bank of America identified could be going long bonds. Going long oil is another contrarian trade that could work as an hedge against geopolitical risk, the Wall Street firm said.

Persons: they've, What's, BofA Organizations: Bank of America Securities, Bank of America

☆ Central banks need to cut rates soon to avoid recession: Atomos
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCentral banks need to cut rates soon to avoid recession: AtomosHaig Bathgate, head of investments at Atomos, discusses central bank decision-making and political risk in Europe and the U.S.

Persons: Atomos Haig Bathgate Locations: Europe, U.S

☆ What’s next for the stock market? Here’s one thing you could do if shares start sinking
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

The market has been on a tear in 2024, driven higher by robust corporate earnings and the artificial intelligence boom. Traders expect the Fed to begin easing rates in September at the earliest, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. If inflation is cooling down but the Fed is still expected to keep its key lending rate higher for longer, what does that mean for the stock market? The data will tell us that, but I think the big takeaway for us is [inflation] going in the right direction. Do you expect some of the cash that’s on the sidelines to enter the stock market?

Persons: Price, Wall, Bell, Jack Janasiewicz, Jerome, Powell, we’re, it’s, wouldn’t, you’re, Hilary Whiteman, Read, Sam Altman, Steve Wozniak, OpenAI, Altman, Samantha Murphy Kelly, Tim Cook, ”, Ben Wood, “ Apple, Siri Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Nasdaq, Fed, Traders, Solutions, You’re, Apple, Insight, CNN, Apple Intelligence Locations: New York, United States, West Coast, Hawaii, California, San Jose , Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, Honolulu, Australia, Sydney, Melbourne, Victoria, Adelaide, South Australia

☆ Saudi Arabia looking to China for a lifeline for its futuristic city could mean trouble for the US
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In today's big story, we're looking at how Saudi Arabia is courting Chinese investors for help with its massive, futuristic city facing financial issues. NeomSaudi Arabia's dreams of a futuristic city are turning into a financial nightmare, and one of its solutions could spell trouble for the US. Since 2017, the Kingdom has touted big plans for the desert megacity Neom . AdvertisementThe city plans to heavily use renewable energy, a key area of focus for China as it digs itself out of its economic hole . But a soft real estate market and a trail of angry business partners and customers are threatening to thwart his big plans .

Persons: —, Prince Mohammed bin Salman's, Neom's, hasn't, Tom Porter, Prince, Aaron Weiner's, Weiner, Justin Sullivan, it's, they'd, Tyler Le, Giovanna Ventola, Michael Shvo, Shvo, Tesla, Jose Uribe, Sen, Bob Menendez, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Annie Smith, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, UEFA, Business, Neom, US, International Monetary Fund, Bank of America, Apple, Apple Intelligence, OpenAI, Amazon, Bonnaroo Music, Arts Festival, Post Malone Locations: Saudi Arabia, Neom, Saudi, Kingdom, China, Gaza, New York, London

☆ There's a 'stealth erosion' in global US dollar reserves, but there's no dominant replacement yet
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-13 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewThe US dollar is in a state of "stealth erosion," the International Monetary Fund, or IMF, wrote in a report on Tuesday. This effect masked the shift of central banks and governments out of dollar reserves. Instead, the shares of "non-traditional reserve currencies" have risen, according to the IMF. These include the Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, Chinese renminbi, South Korean won, Singaporean dollar, and Nordic currencies. AdvertisementThe dollar's decline in FX reserves doesn't appear to be about sanctionsThe IMF's report comes amid ongoing discussions about de-dollarization.

Persons: — Organizations: Service, International Monetary Fund, Business, US Federal Reserve, IMF, Canadian, South Korean, greenback Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine

The markets and Fed diverge againThe bull market rally is continuing to run on Thursday. The S&P 500 is poised to set yet another record, as investors see inflation in retreat — even if Fed policymakers don’t quite see it that way. The gulf between investors and the central bank is widening again. That makes the Fed more hawkish than other central banks, especially those in Europe, that are expected to trim borrowing costs several times this year. He reiterated that inflation remained above the central bank’s 2 percent target and that U.S. households’ spending power had diminished over the past two years.

Persons: Jay Powell, ” Organizations: Fed Locations: Europe

☆ These top ETFs and funds are beating the S&P 500 — and analysts still see further upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The first half of the year has generally been good for the market, with the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq repeatedly reaching record highs. Year-to-date, the S & P 500 is up around 13% and the Nasdaq has risen 14.9%. Against that uncertain backdrop, investors might be looking at exchange-traded funds or mutual funds to diversify their investments. Morningstar provided the list of top-performing funds, which all beat the S & P 500. Using FactSet, that list was screened for funds that analysts give 10% or more upside, and that at least half give a buy rating.

Persons: Thomas Poullaouec, Rowe Price, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Morningstar, Richard Bernstein Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S . Federal Reserve, Ned, Ned Davis Research, CNBC Pro, Copper Miners, X Copper Miners, Industrial, Richard Bernstein Advisors Locations: Asia, Pacific, U.S, Turkey

☆ Singapore is set to lead the gold market as 'center of gravity' shifts east, World Gold Council says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Lee Ying Shan | In Ying-Shan-Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

SINGAPORE — Singapore is set to become a leading gold hub as trading shifts east, according to the World Gold Council. Singapore's proximity to these central banks, which are actively snapping up gold, is another factor, he added. "The center of gravity of the gold market has shifted east, with Singapore, fortuitously placed as the potential fulcrum of this new balance," Fan said at the Asia Pacific Precious Metals Conference held in Singapore. China is the world's largest gold consumer, and its central bank is the largest buyer of bullion as the country seeks to boost its gold reserves. Among central banks, the People's Bank of China was the largest buyer of gold in 2023.

Persons: Shaokai Fan, fortuitously, Fan Organizations: World Gold, Asia, Precious Metals Conference, People's Bank of Locations: SINGAPORE — Singapore, Asia, Pacific, Singapore, Singapore . China, People's Bank of China

☆ Countdown to Fed rate decision:Here's what you need to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCountdown to Fed rate decision:Here's what you need to knowJames Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean and former St. Louis Fed President, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why it could be wise to cut sooner but slower, whether the Fed will stick with higher for longer, and if the Federal Reserve is keying in on rival central banks.

Persons: James Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean, Louis Organizations: Purdue University's Business School, Louis Fed, Federal

☆ The Fed is winning its battle against inflation. So why isn’t it cutting rates?
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

That’s why it is crucial for central bankers to insist on 2%. “By communicating an explicit inflation target — and then delivering inflation consistent with that target — central banks earn credibility with the public,” New York Fed President John Williams said in a recent speech. Stripping away highly volatile categories such as food and energy — a measure referred to as “core” inflation — won’t quell central bankers’ concerns. The Fed can’t ignore CPIAlthough CPI isn’t the inflation gauge the Fed targets, central bankers don’t write it off. It was, however, welcome news to Fed officials that Consumer Price Index-measured inflation fell to 3.4% in April from 3.5% in March.

Persons: Frank Robinson, “, they’re, Jerome Powell, ” Powell, Ben Bernanke, they’ll, John Williams, hasn’t, ”, Tom Barkin, don’t, Christopher Waller Organizations: New, New York CNN —, Federal, Fed, New York Fed, ” New York Fed, ” Richmond Fed, CPI Locations: New York

☆ Goldman Sachs' Luke Barrs on Nvidia: In the short term, we remain very optimistic
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldman Sachs' Luke Barrs on Nvidia: In the short term, we remain very optimisticLuke Barrs, Goldman Sachs global head of client portfolio management, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how other central banks will influence the Federal Reserve, whether the commentary from the week's Federal Reserve meeting will be important, and how Barrs advises clients.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Luke Barrs, Barrs Organizations: Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Reserve

☆ Americans tired of sky-high borrowing costs will be disappointed this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —Another month, another hot jobs report that has Wall Street wondering when the Federal Reserve will finally cut interest rates. On the other, it puts long-awaited interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve on the back burner. Before the Bell: Do you think the Fed could lower its projection for three quarter-point rate cuts this year? Is it concerning that the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada have begun cutting rates before the Fed? A Samsung spokesperson told CNN that, “there is no impact on production and management activities” as a result of the one-day walkout.

Persons: Bell, Nate Thooft, I’m, that’s, Yoonjung Seo, —, Son Woomok, Matt Egan, Lina Khan, Beam, Robinson Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Manulife Investment Management, Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank and Bank of Canada, Workers, Samsung Electronics, Nationwide Samsung Electronics Union, CNN, Reuters, Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron Technology, Federal Trade Commission, Southern, Biden, FTC, Politico Locations: New York, South Korea, Miami, United States

☆ America's Economic Plan Will Hurt World Economy, Global Stock Markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-09 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

The European Central Bank began easing interest rates on Thursday, cutting its benchmark rate by 0.25%. Investors and economists expect the Federal Reserve to follow suit and cut interest rates in September. This combination means there's a good chance that the September cut Wall Street is praying for may never materialize. The US already has somewhat higher interest rates than other countries — the Fed's benchmark rate is 5.25%- 5.50%. And in Asian economies, where interest rates are already significantly lower than in the US, things could get even messier.

Persons: Tamara, Vasiljev, Peter Schaffrik, Nigel Green, Green, we're Organizations: European Central Bank, Investors, Federal Reserve, Oxford Economics, JPMorgan, UBS, Bloomberg, of International Finance, Markets, RBC Capital Markets, deVere, Fed, We're, ECB, Bank of, EU, Bank of Canada, Bank of Canada's, Bank of England Locations: stagflation, China, Europe, Japan, South Korea, It's, America, United States, EU, Bank of England, Canada, East Asia

☆ European Central Bank heads for first rate cut since 2019: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (ECB), at a rates decision news conference in Frankfurt, Germany, on Thursday, April 11, 2024. The European Central Bank is widely expected to announce a reduction in interest rates at its meeting in Frankfurt on Thursday, despite lingering inflationary pressures in the 20-nation euro zone. The central bank's key rate has been at a record 4% since September 2023. A cut would be the ECB's first since September 2019, when the deposit facility was in negative territory. Canada on Wednesday became the first G7 nation to cut interest rates in the current cycle, while Sweden and Switzerland's central banks already announced their own rate reductions this year.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Lagarde Organizations: European Central Bank, ECB, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wednesday Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Canada, Sweden

☆ ECB: Interest rates are coming down in Europe
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

London CNN —The European Central Bank cut interest rates Thursday, moving before the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England to lower borrowing costs as inflation recedes following years of rate hikes. Central banks in Switzerland and Sweden have also cut interest rates this year. Analysts doubt the central bank will cut rates again at its next meeting in July. It added that it would keep interest rates “sufficiently restrictive for as long as necessary” to return inflation to the 2% target. Higher interest rates tend to attract more international capital flows into a country, lifting demand for its currency.

Persons: Christine Lagarde, Cyrus de la Rubia Organizations: London CNN, European Central Bank, US Federal Reserve, Bank of England, ECB, Bank of Canada, P Global, Hamburg Commercial Bank, Fed, Traders Locations: Ukraine, United States, United Kingdom, Switzerland, Sweden, Hamburg, Frankfurt, Europe

☆ Treasury yields inch higher as investors weigh economic data, interest rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Yields and prices move in opposite directions and one basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over one basis point to 4.3006%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than one basis point higher to 4.7449%. U.S. Treasurys rose slightly on Thursday as investors considered the latest economic data and weighed the outlook for interest rate cuts. Elsewhere, the European Central Bank is set to announce its first interest rate cut since 2019, even as inflationary pressures in the euro zone have lingered.

Persons: nonfarm Organizations: Treasury, ADP, Investors, European Central Bank, Federal Locations: Canada, Sweden, Switzerland, U.S

☆ Citi's top investment ideas if the ECB cuts rates as expected
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCiti's top investment ideas if the ECB cuts rates as expectedBeata Manthey, Global Equity Strategist at Citi, discusses how to invest as central banks around the world start cutting rates.

Persons: Beata Manthey Organizations: ECB, Global Equity, Citi

☆ Neither wages nor job growth will be what moves the Fed, says Morgan Stanley's Seth Carpenter
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNeither wages nor job growth will be what moves the Fed, says Morgan Stanley's Seth CarpenterSeth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley global chief economist, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what's ahead for the Federal Reserve as both Canada and Europe's central banks cut interest rates.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's Seth Carpenter Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: Canada

☆ E.C.B. Is Likely to Leapfrog the Fed on Interest Rate Cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Eshe Nelson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

European Central Bank officials are expected to cut interest rates this week for the first time in more than five years, drawing a line under the worst of the eurozone’s inflation crisis and easing the pressure on the region’s weak economy. But as policymakers in the eurozone move ahead, they leave behind their counterparts at the U.S. Federal Reserve, who are grappling with a seemingly more persistent inflation problem and warning that it will take longer to cut rates there. Lowering interest rates in Europe before the United States does would create a gap between the policies of two of the world’s largest and most influential central banks. to ease its policy could weaken the euro, while higher interest rates in the United States would continue to tighten financial conditions there and in other countries because of the global role of the dollar. can split from the Federal Reserve, while others say a divergence is not unusual and reflects two different economic situations.

Organizations: European Central Bank, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Locations: Europe, United States

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