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Stock futures advanced Wednesday night as investors looked ahead to more corporate earnings due Thursday and key labor data set for later in the week. S&P 500 futures climbed 0.3%. Restaurant delivery service DoorDash dropped 15% after reporting a wider loss per share than Wall Street forecast. Those moves followed a choppy day on Wall Street as investors reacted to the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged. The Dow finished about 0.2% higher, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both closed the session lower by roughly 0.3%.
Persons: DoorDash, Jerome Powell, Eric Winograd, Winograd, Coinbase Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Qualcomm, Federal, Dow, Apple, Moderna Locations: AllianceBernstein, Friday's
Investors can lock in some juicy real yields with Treasury inflation-protected securities, according to UBS. "The result has been rising real yields further out the curve, offering the opportunity to lock in attractive real yields ahead of expected falling nominal yields later this year," she added. Treasury yields are expected to decline when the Federal Reserve starts reducing the fed funds rate. Nominal yields have been rising as the market reassesses those interest rate expectations. "Our expectation of declining nominal yields in the second half of the year will be a tailwind to performance," she said.
Persons: Leslie Falconio Organizations: Treasury, UBS, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department Locations: UBS Americas
The quarterly measure saw wage and labor costs accelerate, adding pressure on the Fed. Tuesday marks the start of the Fed's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS equity markets slipped Tuesday as hot labor data stoked fresh bets the Federal Reserve would remain hawkish on monetary policy. The Employee Cost Index, a quarterly measure of wages and benefits, jumped 1.2%, suppressing estimates of a 1% acceleration.
Persons: , It's Organizations: Fed, Federal, Market, Service, Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Amazon, Apple, Here's, Trump, Bloomberg
Recent commentary from policymakers and on Wall Street indicates there's not much else the committee can do at this point. But they're still hopeful that they will be in a position to cut rates later." Markets actually have held up pretty well since Powell made those comments on April 16, though stocks sold off Tuesday ahead of the meeting. Some on Wall Street, though, are still hopeful that inflation data will show progress and allow the central bank to cut. The Wall Street bank's economists are preparing for the possibility that the Fed could be on hold for longer, particularly if inflation continues to surprise to the upside.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Guy LeBas, Janney Montgomery Scott, they're, Powell, We've, there's, specter, LeBas, There's, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, , Donald Trump, Goldman, Mericle Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs Committee, Getty, Federal Reserve, Federal, Market Committee, Fed, Dow Jones, Department, Labor Department, Republican
Mohamed El-Erian named three key risks that will determine where US growth is headed in 2024 through 2025. That includes changes to the Fed's inflation target and low-income consumer spending. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementIf Wall Street was wrong about recession odds in 2023 and 2024, forecasting for next year won't be any easier, Cambridge economist Mohamed El-Erian wrote in Project Syndicate. "Given high interest rates and some creditors' loss of enthusiasm, this cohort's willingness to consume will hinge on whether the labor market remains tight," El-Erian wrote.
Persons: Mohamed El, Erian, , he's Organizations: Service, Project Syndicate, Federal Reserve, El Locations: Cambridge, El
A handful of drivers will keep the American economy humming along, said Jose Rasco, chief investment officer of the Americas at HSBC's wealth division. On the cyclical front, Rasco expects growth to cool as the effects of higher rates become fully felt. "Those four themes suggest to me that's how we avoid recession," said Rasco, a Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch alum. Bonus: Presidential election year While not exactly an investment trend, Rasco also noted that a big part of his short-term optimism toward U.S. stocks stems from the looming presidential election. Data shows U.S. stocks tend to outperform in presidential election years.
Persons: Jose Rasco, Rasco, Merrill Lynch, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro, Federal, Lehman Brothers, U.S, U.S . Research, BlackRock, HSBC Asset Management Locations: New York City, Americas, China, Mexico, U.S
Finally, consumers are dipping into savings to fund those purchases, creating a precarious scenario, if not now then down the road. With unemployment under 4%, it shouldn't be that surprising that prices aren't" going down, said Joseph LaVorgna, chief economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. So you might have a sticky inflation scenario." "If inflation remains higher, the Fed will be faced with the difficult choice of pushing the economy into a recession, abandoning its soft-landing scenario, or tolerating inflation higher than 2%," Sanders said. "To us, accepting higher inflation is the more prudent option."
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Joseph LaVorgna, LaVorgna, Donald Trump, Biden, Mike Sanders, Sanders Organizations: Getty, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Nikko Securities, National Economic Council, Madison Investments Locations: San Rafael , California, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapanese central bank's stance can be viewed as dovish, says former BOJ officialKazuo Momma, executive economist at Mizuho Research & Technologies and former Bank of Japan assistant governor, discusses Bank of Japan's decision to keep its key rate unchanged.
Persons: Kazuo Momma Organizations: Mizuho Research & Technologies, Bank of Japan
US stocks rose on Friday as markets assessed new inflation data in the form of March PCE. The Fed's preferred gauge showed inflation rose 2.8% year-over-year, slightly higher than estimates. AdvertisementUS stocks climbed on Friday, with investors digesting new inflation data and cheering earnings from mega-cap tech titans Microsoft and Alphabet. Personal consumption expenditures data showed prices rose more than expected last month. The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation showed an uptick of 2.8% versus estimates of 2.7%.
Persons: , Clark Bellin Organizations: PCE, Microsoft, Google, Service, Federal, Bellwether
Some members of Trump's team want to restructure the Federal Reserve, the WSJ reported. That could include allowing the president to have a direct say on interest rate decisions. Trump has previously been critical of Powell's handling of interest rates during the pandemic. To help the Fed achieve its 2% inflation target, the Federal Open Market Committee has hiked interest rates 11 consecutive times since March 2022. Advertisement"I think he's going to do something to probably help the Democrats, I think, if he lowers interest rates," Trump said, adding that "it looks to me like he's trying to lower interest rates for the sake of maybe getting people elected."
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Donald Trump, Trump, President Trump, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Powell, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Joe Biden, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Biden Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Street, Trump, Management, Federal, Fed, Fox News, Republican, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Biden, GOP Locations: New York
US stocks fell sharply Thursday as data showed the US economy grew much slower than expected to start 2024. The report also showed consumer prices rising in the quarter, complicating the Fed's rate-cut decision. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The market will be focused on personal consumption expenditures data, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, which is due out on Friday. AdvertisementBond yields jumped as traders reacted to the economic data.
Persons: , Quincy Krosby Organizations: Treasury, Service, Economic, Federal Reserve, LPL, Here's
Oil prices eased in early trade on Thursday as concerns about a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy amid prospects for delayed interest rate cuts outweighed worries over the risk of expanding conflict in the Middle East. Oil prices eased in early trade on Thursday as concerns about a potential slowdown in the U.S. economy amid prospects for delayed interest rate cuts outweighed worries over the risk of expanding conflict in the Middle East. Israel also said it was moving forward with plans for an all-out assault on Rafah in the south. Energy Information Administration, or EIA, data on Wednesday indicated U.S. crude oil inventories unexpectedly fell last week as exports jumped, while gasoline stockpiles decreased less than forecast. "The data provided a temporary boost to oil prices, but it didn't seem to last long," Fujitomi's Tazawa said.
Persons: Toshitaka Tazawa, Fujitomi's Tazawa Organizations: Brent, U.S . West Texas, Fujitomi Securities Co Ltd, U.S . Federal Reserve, Energy Information Administration, EIA Locations: U.S, East, Iran, Israel, Gaza, Rafah
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFederated Hermes: European banking was 'about cost control' over the last yearFilippo Alloatti of Federated Hermes discusses the outlook for the European Central Bank's monetary policy.
Persons: Filippo Alloatti, Federated Hermes Organizations: Federated, Central
So the question is, are we going to have issues if rates remain higher for longer?" But financial markets, despite a recent 5.5% selloff for the S&P 500, have largely held up amid the higher-rate landscape. Higher rates can be a good signHistory tells differing stories about the consequences of a hawkish Fed, both for markets and the economy. Higher rates are generally a good thing so long as they're associated with growth. Futures market pricing implies a fed funds rate of 4.32% by December 2025, indicating a higher rate trajectory.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mandel Ngan, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Paul Volcker, David Kelly, Kelly, , Goldman Sachs, Loretta Mester Organizations: Federal Reserve, Financial, Afp, Getty, LPL, Fed, Asset Management, Market, Cleveland Fed, European Union Locations: Washington , DC
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on April 09, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures fell on Wednesday night after tech juggernaut Meta Platforms reported its latest quarterly results. S&P 500 futures slid 0.6%, and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 1.1%. Meta Platforms plunged 15% in extended trading after the social media giant issued second-quarter revenue guidance that was lighter than expected. Fed funds futures trading suggests the first cut could take place at the September Fed meeting, according to CME FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Dow Jones, Anastasia Amoroso, Northrop Grumman, Myers Squibb Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Traders, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Business Machines, Dow, Federal, FedWatch, Caterpillar, Honeywell, Northrop, American Airlines, Comcast, Merck, Bristol, Myers, CNBC Locations: New York City . U.S
Trump's hush-money trial is set to heat up
  + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
In today's newsletter, we're looking at the first week of former President Donald Trump's criminal trial and what's at stake. What's on deck:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. AdvertisementFormer President Donald Trump's hush-money trial — the first-ever criminal trial of a former president — got underway this week with jury selection . We did get a preview of Trump's potential defense: " Some accountant " handled the paperwork he's on trial for, Trump told reporters. AdvertisementThe trial is focused on 34 felonies alleging the Trump Organization's business records were falsified to hide other crimes.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, CHARLY TRIBALLEAU, Drew Angerer, Tyler Le, Trump, Stormy Daniels, Daniels, Zelei, Loretta Mester, John Williams, Rebecca Zisser, David Lieb, Sundar Pichai, Demis, Google's, BI's Ben Bergman, Eddie Mulholland, Alyssa Powell, Samsung execs, Taylor Swift's, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Getty, Trump, Cleveland Fed, York Fed, , Bank of America, Google, Android, Bankers, Jefferies, Investor Conference, Samsung, Korea Economic, Disney, Warner Bros, American Express, Procter, Gamble, Poets Department Locations: Israeli, Iran, Israel, Florida, Korea, New York, London
Japan's core inflation slowed in March due to mild rises in food prices while staying comfortably above the central bank's 2% target, government data showed on April 19, 2024. Japan's core inflation slowed in March due to mild rises in food prices while staying comfortably above the central bank's 2% target, government data showed on Friday. The nationwide core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes fresh food items, rose 2.6% in March from a year earlier after rising 2.8% in February. The "core core" index, which excludes both fresh food and energy costs and is closely watched by the Bank of Japan as a key gauge of broader inflation trends, rose 2.9% after increasing 3.2% in February. The BOJ has said a virtuous cycle of sustained, stable achievement of its 2% price target and strong wage growth was crucial for normalizing policy.
Organizations: Bank of Japan
The ECB opted to hold rates steady in April and next meets to vote on monetary policy on June 6. Christine Lagarde, president of the ECBThe ECB's figurehead delivered a firm message that reflected her statements in recent press conferences: markets should expect an interest rate cut soon, barring major surprises. watch nowGabriel Makhlouf, governor of the Central Bank of IrelandMakhlouf said the most recent data sets had shifted his view on rates. "We don't follow the Fed... and now the ECB will be the central bank to be followed," Šimkus said. One could have cut rates way back in March or even April," he continued, adding that he hoped a majority of Governing Council members would back a June cut.
Persons: Kirill Kudryavtsev, Christine Lagarde, Lagarde, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Galhau, Villeroy, Karen Tso, Joachim Nagel, Germany's, Nagel, Robert Holzmann, Mario Centeno, Centeno, Gabriel Makhlouf, Central Bank of Ireland Makhlouf, we've, Makhlouf, Pierre Wunsch, Wunsch, Boris Vujčić, Jerome Powell, Vujčić, Gediminas Šimkus, Bank of Lithuania Šimkus, Šimkus, Edward Scicluna, Central Bank of Malta Scicluna, Kazāks, Bank of Latvia Kazāks, Olli Rehn, Rehn Organizations: Afp, Getty, International, European Central Bank, CNBC, ECB, Bank of France, Council, Austrian Central Bank One, Bank of Portugal, Central Bank of Ireland, National Bank of, Croatian National Bank, Federal, U.S, Bank of Lithuania, Central Bank of, Governing, Bank of Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, New York, ECB's, National Bank of Belgium, U.S, Europe, Central Bank of Malta, Bank of Latvia, Bank of Finland
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJune is 'most probable' for first interest rate cut, ECB's Scicluna saysEdward Scicluna, governor of the Central Bank of Malta and ECB policymaker, discusses the prospect of a rate cut at the central bank's next meeting.
Persons: ECB's Scicluna, Edward Scicluna Organizations: Central Bank of Malta, ECB policymaker
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailECB's Boris Vujčić: We will 'run our policy independently of the Fed'Boris Vujčić, Croatian central bank governor and the European Central Bank's Governing Council Member, says there have been "obvious divergences between the U.S. and Europe since the start of the inflation cycle."
Persons: Boris Vujčić Organizations: Central Bank's Governing, Member, U.S Locations: Croatian, Europe
An employee holds one kilogram gold bullion at the YLG Bullion International Co. headquarters in Bangkok, Thailand, on Friday, Dec. 22, 2023. Gold prices climbed on Thursday, as risks of a widening Middle East conflict raised bullion's safe-haven appeal, overshadowing pressures from higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates. Spot gold was up 0.6% at $2,374.97 per ounce, as of 0429 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,431.29 last Friday. Although, "U.S. interest rates remaining higher for a longer may be adding some pressure to the ongoing boost for gold ... Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of holding non-yielding bullion.
Persons: Kelvin Wong, Benjamin Netanyahu, Wong, Jerome Powell, Mario Centeno Organizations: Co, Asia Pacific Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, OANDA, Israel, Iran
The firm began coverage of this corner of the ETF space on Monday. An ETF play Woodard's team began coverage of one CLO fund: the Janus Henderson AAA CLO ETF (JAAA) . "Among covered ETFs with higher credit quality, it has the highest yield," Woodard said. There is also BlackRock's AAA CLO ETF (CLOA) , an actively managed offering with an expense ratio of 0.20% and a 30-day SEC yield of 6.59%. Investors digging into the CLO ETF space shouldn't just focus on yield, of course.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, Jerome Powell, CLOs, Janus Henderson, JAAA Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America, AAA, Janus Henderson AAA CLO, SEC, AA, AAA CLO, CLOs, BBB
The Bank of Korea will intervene to control currency volatility if needed, the central bank's chief told CNBC, describing the recent market fluctuations as a little "excessive." Central bank governor Rhee Chang-yong said external factors are fueling the Korean won 's movement. Rhee attributed the won's weakness to the strength of the U.S. dollar as well as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Weakness in other Asian currencies like the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan are also affecting the won, he added. The won strengthened on Wednesday to as high as 1,382.6 per dollar, up 1.26% after hitting a 17-month low and breaching a major threshold of 1,400 per dollar on Tuesday.
Persons: Rhee Chang, CNBC's Karen Tso, Rhee Organizations: Bank, CNBC, Korean, U.S Locations: Korea, Washington
Alex Kraus | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesEuropean Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel said Wednesday that a rate cut for the institution looks increasingly likely for June, but added that certain parts of the incoming inflation data still look higher than desired. watch nowEarlier Wednesday, Mario Centeno, governor of Portugal's central bank, said it was "about time to change this monetary policy cycle." The ECB's June interest rate decision would be "very important," he said. Markets are widely pricing in the first rate cut from the ECB to take place in June. watch nowEarlier this week, ECB President Christine Lagarde said that unless there were any major shocks, the ECB was on track to cut interest rates soon.
Persons: Joachim Nagel, Alex Kraus, Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel, Germany's Bundesbank, Karen Tso, " Nagel, , Mario Centeno, CNBC's Tso, Christine Lagarde, disinflation, CNBC's Sara Eisen, Robert Holzmann, Holzmann, wasn't Organizations: Deutsche Bundesbank, Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg, Getty, Central Bank, ECB Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Washington ,, Europe, Portugal's, Austrian, East
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Jim Cramer said Wednesday to focus on earnings rather than speculating on the central bank's next policy move. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Jim, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Investor, Federal Reserve, Abbott Laboratories, Club, Constellation Brands, Coterra Energy, Wells
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