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Search resuls for: "Bullishness"


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Bob Doll thinks a mild recession will hit the US economy sometime in the near-to-mid future. Outside of the stock market, Doll also thinks bonds are relatively attractive compared to last year. Within the bond market, he likes Treasurys most, with 10-year yields offering more than a 4% coupon. A 1.5% 10-year Treasury is a bad deal, and of course bonds have sold off hard," he said. Treasury bonds can be bought via a brokerage or through TreasuryDirect.
Persons: Bob Doll, Bob Doll isn't, Doll, Phillips, refiners Organizations: Conference, BlackRock, Valero, Aaa, Treasury Locations: HMOs, TreasuryDirect
Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn said he's getting concerned about the stock market after a strong rally and has added sizable downside protection to his portfolio. Between January and June, the S & P 500 popped 15.9% for its best first half since 2019. Einhorn, 54, believes inflation remains a big risk even though data has suggested easing price pressures. Recent inflation readings have shown a noted deceleration and the tailwind from higher rents is likely to dissipate, causing core inflation to fall further," Einhorn said. "Even so, we believe inflation is stickier and more entrenched than the market is currently appraising."
Persons: Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, he's, Einhorn, Michael Burry Organizations: CNBC, Green Brick Partners, Nasdaq, Trust, NET
RBC identified the stocks profiting from AI today while positioning themselves for future success. 19 stocks profiting from rising AI demandA number of themes leapt out from earnings reports and calls with management, the RBC analysts wrote. Companies leading the charge in AI investments enjoyed strong second-quarter earnings, thanks in part to those very investments. But AI isn't just bringing money in — companies are also spending more on AI than ever, RBC noted. After poring through earnings announcements from AI-related companies, RBC analysts identified the following 19 stocks that they believe are benefiting most from AI demand right now.
Persons: Jonathan Atkin Organizations: RBC, RBC Capital Markets, Companies, Microsoft, Google, NVIDIA, NVIDIA's, Nvidia, Oracle
Virtual-events startup Hopin was a pandemic winner when it hit a $7.8 billion valuation in 2021. Now its CEO is stepping down, it's selling off parts of its business, and is set to hand back investor cash. But as vaccinations arrived and the travel restrictions eased, demand for Hopin's platform waned. "The pandemic was an extraordinary time to be investing," one London-based tech investor who had not backed Hopin said. Armed with more than $1 billion in investor cash, Boufarhat opted to make acquisitions.
Persons: Johnny Boufarhat, Boufarhat, Andreessen Horowitz, Catalyst, Slack, Hopin, Johnny ", Hopin Boufarhat, outsized, Streamyard, Badri Rajasekar, Klarna Organizations: Tiger, UPS, RingCentral, University of Manchester, Financial Times, Venture, Founders, Microsoft, Private Locations: London, Australia, Lebanese, US, Dubai, Papua New Guinea, Switzerland, Hopin
"No one is coming for Nvidia on AI, period, any time soon," Stifel analyst Ruben Roy told CNBC in an interview Wednesday. The new version of Grace Hopper primarily delivers improvements in memory capacity and bandwidth compared with the first-generation product. In practice, improving the memory capacity and bandwidth of the Grace Hopper Superchip should help AI applications run more efficiently and smoothly. Volume production of the improved Grace Hopper Superchip is expected in the second quarter of 2024, according to Nvidia. Open-source software Nvidia's closed-source CUDA software platform – along with a library of pre-trained AI models — has helped establish the company's AI dominance.
Persons: it's, Grace Hopper Superchip, Ruben Roy, Grace Hopper, ChatGPT, Roy, Hopper, Nvidia, Pat Gelsinger, Nvidia's, Omniverse, Jim Cramer, Nvidia hasn't, Jim, enabler —, Jim Cramer's, Jensen Huang, Walid Berrazeg Organizations: Nvidia, Club, Devices, CNBC, Microsoft, Bank of America, AMD, Nvidia DGX, Intel, BMW, Computer, Getty Locations: Taipei
In one quarter — one off-cycle quarter that didn't feature a no new iPhone — Apple (AAPL) delivered a whopping $81.8 billion in sales. I came up with "own it, don't trade it" for Apple because there have been so many quarters like this one. The people who sold Apple shares on Friday no doubt sold it on their Apple devices. I would be more worried if Apple's customer satisfaction went down than I am that iPhone sales lagged. Apple CEO Tim Cook speaks during Apple's Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) at the Apple Park campus in Cupertino, California, on June 5, 2023.
Persons: Tim Cook, Luca Maestri, Tim, Jensen, da, Huang, Andy Jassy, Roku, Jassy, Goldman Sachs, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Josh Edelson Organizations: Apple, ESPN, Amazon, Web Services, Nvidia, Services, Walmart, Oracle, Amazon Web, Google, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Apple's Worldwide, AFP, Getty Locations: Indonesia, India, Philippines, Mexico, Turkey, Texas, New Jersey, Cupertino , California
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Wednesday explained what the Fitch Ratings debt downgrade might mean for investors and the market as a whole. Cramer attributes this movement not to the problems with AMD or its fundamentals, but to a harried reaction to the downgrade. "Will people react in fear to the Fitch downgrade beyond today? "I'm not concerned about the Fitch downgrade," he continued. Cramer added that he's been seeing recent froth in the market that he finds concerning, and he advised investors to curb their bullishness, raise some cash and wait.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Fitch, Cramer, I'm, that's, he's Organizations: Fitch, United, AAA, Devices, AMD Locations: United States
A group of analysts from JPMorgan's trading desk say a new record high for S&P 500 "feels inevitable." The S&P 500 closed at 4,576.73 on Tuesday, less than 5% shy of its record closing level of 4,796.56 reached in January 2022. The fact earnings can beat expectations in an high-rate environment creates the argument for elevated valuations, in their view, and that could push the S&P 500 well beyond record highs. Anastasia Amoroso, iCapital's chief investment strategist, told Insider on Monday that all-time highs indeed look possible for the S&P 500 in the near-term. Steady multiples and fulfilled earnings expectations should be enough to justify the S&P 500 at 4,800 or above."
Persons: Andrew Tyler, there's, that's, it's, Anastasia Amoroso, Amoroso Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Locations: Wall, Silicon
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailVery possible we could have a painful drawdown in H1 '24, says Fundstrat's Tom LeeTom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, joins 'Squawk Box' joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why August could be tricky for markets, whether Lee's worried about market bullishness, and more.
Persons: Tom Lee Tom Lee, Lee's Organizations: Fundstrat Global Advisors
A challenging outlook for Estee Lauder 's Asia business has pushed Citi to the sidelines on its stock. Analyst Filippo Falorni downgraded the beauty company's stock to neutral from buy and cut his price target by $45 to $195. His new target implies shares could rise 8.3% in the next 12 months from Monday's close. Citi's checks in China show consumers continue to trade down from premium to mass market brands, while Estee Lauder's inventories remain elevated, Falorni said. Beyond China, Falorni also noted the company's recent disclosure that parts of its business were disrupted by a cyberattack.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Filippo Falorni, Falorni, Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, EL Locations: Asia, Monday's, 2H24, China
Economist David Rosenberg told Insider that Fed employees laughed at his recession call in 2007. On October 9, 2007, shortly before the global economy plunged into recession, David Rosenberg delivered a presentation to economists and members of the research team at the Federal Reserve detailing why a downturn was coming. The Treasury yield curve is near its most inverted levels since the early 1980s. Here's the spread between the 3-month and 10-year Treasury yields. Then there's The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, which is in recessionary territory, marked by the red lines below.
Persons: David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch, Mr, Louis Organizations: Federal Reserve, North, Conference, Fed, Federal, Rosenberg Research, Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of St Locations: North American
The nation's booming tech scene, buoyant stock market, and youthful population are just some of the factors going for it. Billionaire investor Ray Dalio has said the country is ready for rapid growth, while Elon Musk has highlighted the prospect of Tesla building a factory there. Apple CEO Tim Cook has also voiced his optimism toward India, while Goldman Sachs predicts the South Asian economy to surpass the US in size by 2075. Goldman Sachs expects the South Asian nation's GDP to surge to $52.5 trillion by then, from $3.4 trillion at the end of 2022. His sanguineness toward India has seen Apple open its first two stores in the country earlier this year.
Persons: Ray Dalio, Elon Musk, Tim Cook, Goldman Sachs, Here's, Tesla, Musk, Narendra Modi, Modi, Dalio, Deng Xiaoping, Mark Mobius, Mobius, , He's Organizations: Service, Billionaire, Apple, Wall, Elon, Twitter, Reuters, Bridgewater Associates, Bloomberg, Big Tech Locations: India, Wall, Silicon, China, Washington, Beijing
Beaten as they might be by the stock market’s rally, worriers on Wall Street still question how long it can last. After starting the year with dour warnings about the economy, many investors and analysts have changed their minds. Marquee earnings from some large tech companies, like Meta and Alphabet, helped drive stock prices higher. Consumer-facing companies like Coca-Cola and Unilever that are dependent on households continuing to spend also posted bumper financial results. The benchmark sits roughly 5 percent away from the record it reached in January 2022.
Persons: Jerome H, Powell Organizations: Consumer, Cola, Unilever, Federal Reserve
Still, money market traders are split on the odds of another increase later in the year.FEDWATCH"The 25 basis point rise is a done deal. "The risk is that the Fed, looking at market bullishness, may not want to sound too dovish - they may want to keep the door open for more rate hikes." The MSCI world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS), which tracks shares in 47 countries, was flat. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index (.HSI) was down 0.3% and China's blue chip CSI300 index (.CSI300) was off 0.2%. Positive sentiment had returned to China's market on Tuesday, when the CSI 300 Index snapped a six-day losing streak.
Persons: Luca Paolini, Alison Rose, Nigel Farage's, We're, David Chao, Tom Wilson, Scott Murdoch, Jamie Freed, Kim Coghill Organizations: Fed, Federal, Pictet Asset Management, NatWest, BBC, Lloyds, CSI, ECB, Brent, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, U.S, Germany, France, Britain, CHINA, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Hong Kong, London, Sydney
We know there are so many reasons why this bull market has eluded so many. It's sudden broadening into health care, transports and financials just when we were told the bull was slain by its lack of breadth. I hope readers here know that I felt that only by tuning out the Fed could you make maximum money in the market. You simply had to ignore the verbiage, block out the gasbags who simply failed to see the two-staged bull market right in front of them. Needless to say, if you needed any evidence that we are in a bull market, the rally in that dog may be enough to make the prosecution rest.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Powell, It's, Joe Biden's, Powell's, that's, Larry Fink, DR Horton, Powell didn't, IPOs, David Solomon's, Goldman Sachs, Barbie, Oppenheimer, Steve Squeri, Squeri, Jeff Marks, Jeff, Johnson, Elliott Management's, Lauder, Jackson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Victor J Organizations: Federal, Dow, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, AS, Blackrock, DR, Western Alliance, FTC, Federal Trade Commission, Justice Department, Club, Microsoft, Activision, American Express, DuPont, Constellation Brands, Disney, Fed, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Visitors, New York Stock Exchange, Blue, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: Washington, IPOs, Cava, Wyoming
The July Bank of America Fund Managers Survey, a survey of more than 200 global fund managers, out today, indicates that 68% expect a "soft landing", while only 21% expect a "hard landing" (4% expect "no landing"). That estimate for a "soft landing" has been rising for several months. One of the underpinnings of a rising market is high levels of skepticism because it represents people who would come back into the market. But with a lot of investors jumping back in, it makes it harder for the market to advance. The market now has two problems: 1) rising levels of bullishness, and 2) high valuations, with the S & P 500 now trading at roughly 19 times forward earnings, well above the historic average.
Organizations: Bank of America, Survey, American Association of Locations: hawkish
Walter "Walt" Bettinger, president and chief executive officer of Charles Schwab Corp., speaks during the 2015 Fortune Global Forum in San Francisco, California, on Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2015. Charles Schwab CEO Walt Bettinger said Tuesday that retail investors using his brokerage platform are showing signs of bullishness on the stock market. Bettinger revealed that Schwab clients have been adding equity exposure in the past few months. The volume of buy orders on Schwab's platform is 20% higher than sell orders, showing investor optimism about the market, he added. And we saw in the aggregate for the second quarter, buys were about 20% higher than sells.
Persons: Walter, Walt, Bettinger, Charles Schwab, Walt Bettinger, Schwab, Jesse Pound Organizations: Charles Schwab Corp, Global Locations: San Francisco , California
Analysts' at Bank of America have named a host of stocks that are poised to outperform heading into second earnings season. The bank said this week there are several "high quality" buying opportunities that aren't getting enough investor attention. CNBC Pro combed through the top Bank of America research to find analysts' favorite ideas as earnings releases ramp up. They include: Mondelez, SolarEdge , Rollins, Thomson Reuters and Broadcom. Bank of America recently initiated coverage of the stock with a buy rating, calling Rollins "a high-growth compounder through economic cycles."
Persons: SolarEdge, Rollins, Thomson, Jason Haas, Haas, BofA, Julien Dumoulin, Smith, Dumoulin, Heather Balsky, Balsky, Dirk Van de, MDLZ Organizations: Bank of America, CNBC, Thomson Reuters, Broadcom, Rollins, . Bank of America Locations: 2Q23, Europe, U.S
In April, alongside its first-quarter results, J & J raised its full-year sales guidance by about $1 billion and its earnings-per-share outlook by 15 cents. Clearing this overhang would help reduce the discount at which J & J shares to pharmaceutical peers, the firm said. The Club's take: JPMorgan's thinking on J & J aligns quite closely with our own. The dark cloud of talc lawsuits continues to keep a lid on J & J's stock price. Joaquin Duato, chief executive officer of Johnson & Johnson, at the company's headquarters in New Brunswick, New Jersey, U.S., on Thursday, April 21, 2022.
Persons: Johnson, Eli Lilly, J, Wells, Wells Fargo, Eli Lilly's, , Eisai, Biogen, Bloomberg, we've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Joaquin Duato, Amir Hamia Organizations: Johnson, JPMorgan, pharma, U.S ., Humana, UnitedHealth, Bloomberg, U.S, Mayo Clinic, Club, GE Healthcare, CNBC, Getty, & $ Locations: U.S, California, Wells Fargo, Rochester , Minnesota, New Brunswick , New Jersey
There's a fairly simple way to characterize Societe Generale strategist Albert Edwards' latest note to clients. Bears are boys who cried wolf (recession), and investors are the shepherd who have become sick of the ongoing warnings and have stopped heeding their calls. Societe GeneraleAll of this optimism is likely a mistake, Edwards said as he doubled down on his recession call. In an May note, Edwards said "recession is a done deal," citing The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index, which has been at recessionary levels for months now. The indicators takes into account variables like manufacturing activity, stock performance, consumer confidence, housing market activity, and bond market activity.
Persons: Albert Edwards, Edwards, downgrades, , I'm, Michelle Cluver, Jason Draho, Neil Dutta, Ian Shepherdson Organizations: Societe Generale, Bears, Generale All, Generale, Investors, Bureau of Labor Statistics, X, Federal Reserve, UBS, Macro
Diane Jaffee — lead portfolio manager at TCW, which manages $205 billion in assets — sits solidly in this latter camp. "Historically, mid-caps and small-caps outperform large caps over time, but you have to go back to a 20 year time horizon before that's true," Jaffee explained. 8 mid-cap stocks set to outperformWithin her mid-cap fund, some of Jaffee's financials holdings include insurance broker Arch Capital Group (ACGL) and private equity firm Apollo Global Management (APO). "It has a great management team that comes from JPMorgan, and they're an economic focus for Puerto Rico," Jaffee explained. Within consumer discretionary stocks, Jaffee also noted homebuilder Toll Brothers (TOL) as another top holding.
Persons: Diane Jaffee, Jaffee, Morgan Stanley, Seth Carpenter, Carpenter, that's, We've, They've, homebuilder, she's, LEN Organizations: Wall, Federal Reserve, , Arch Capital, Apollo Global Management, Banco Popular, JPMorgan, Puerto, Darden, Medicaid outlays Locations: TCW, financials, Puerto Rican, Puerto Rico, Olive
Hedge funds and other money managers sold the equivalent of 64 million barrels in the six most important petroleum-related futures and options contracts in the seven days ending June 27. Essentially all the sales were concentrated in crude contracts split evenly between Brent (-31 million barrels) and NYMEX and ICE WTI (-33 million barrels). Fund managers had accumulated 136 million barrels of gross short positions in NYMEX WTI, the most since 2017. The slump in WTI positions is likely being intensified by contract changes which have seen WTI crude grades added to the Brent futures contract. From a positioning perspective, extreme pessimism towards crude prices and lopsided positions are creating potential for an explosive rally in future.
Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Brent, John Kemp, David Evans Organizations: REUTERS, OPEC ⁺, ICE, ICE WTI, Fund, Global, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Brent, NYMEX WTI, North America, Europe, China, U.S, Iran, Venezuela, distillates
Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway now owns a little more than 25% of Occidental Petroleum after the latest purchases. Buffett's conglomerate picked up another 2.1 million shares this week, according to SEC filings. Berkshire's total holding of Occidental is worth around $13 billion, vested in 224 million shares. Berkshire now owns 224 million shares of the oil producer worth $13 billion. Occidental shares traded at $58.52 on Friday, with the stock down 4% from levels at the start of the year.
Persons: Warren, Berkshire, , Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, Brent Organizations: Berkshire Hathaway, Occidental Petroleum, SEC, Service, Occidental, Securities, Exchange Commission, Berkshire, Energy, West Texas Intermediate Locations: Occidental, Ukraine, Occidental , Berkshire, China
U.S. banks go 23 for 23, passing this year's Fed's stress test, including Club names Wells Fargo (WFC) and Morgan Stanley (MS). KeyBanc downgrades Club name Disney (DIS) to sector weight from overweight (hold from buy) without a price target. Piper upgrades to neutral from underweight (hold from sell), Bank of America increases price target to $76 per share from $68. Piper Sandler initiates coverage on the off-price retailers, starting Club holding TJX Companies (TJX) with a buy-equivalent overweight rating and a $110-per-share price target. Cuts price target to $40 per share from $47.
Persons: Premarket, Wells, Morgan Stanley, KeyBanc, Sanjay Mehrotra, McCormick, Piper Sandler, Piper, Eli Lilly, Warren Buffett's Berkshire, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Citi, Disney, Micron, Bank of America, Netflix, TJX Companies, Marshalls, Ross Stores, Burlington Stores, Pfizer, Credit Suisse, Occidental Petroleum, Warren, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Berkshire, Energy, Halliburton, HAL, JPMorgan, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Big, Maxx, HomeGoods
The S & P 500 had just sustained its worst calendar-year loss in half a generation. Textbook consolidation Last week's modest 1.4% decline in the S & P 500 did little to alter either the favorable underlying market trend or the notion that more consolidation might be in store. The median year-end S & P 500 target among Street strategists is 4250, 100 points below Friday's close, and the most-bullish forecast is for about a 5% further gain. And just as the market's performance has been skewed toward these hit hyper-cap tech stocks, so is the S & P 500's valuation. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 1-year Big picture: The market this year has chewed through plenty of perfectly valid excuses to falter without doing so.
Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Jeremy Schwartz, Lori Calvasina, we'll Organizations: Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Ned Davis Research, New, Nvidia, General Motors, Whirlpool, RBC Capital Locations: DC
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