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Search resuls for: "4Q"


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Taylor Swift, Beyonce, Barbie, Oppenheimer Getty ImagesConsumer spending may not be out of the woods. Real spending is expected to come in 1.9% higher in the third quarter, helped in part by stadium tours from music superstars Taylor Swift and Beyoncé, as well as summer movie blockbusters "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer," according to Morgan Stanley. Taken together, Morgan Stanley economist Sarah Wolfe said the "unprecedented" revenues tied to these events should add a seventh of one percentage point to consumption growth in the quarter. Simultaneously, Wolfe said the return of student loan payments this fall should pull consumption down another by another eighth of a percentage point. "In 4Q, these factors not only unwind, but the October expiration of the student loan moratorium further weighs on consumption."
Persons: Taylor Swift, Beyonce, Barbie, Oppenheimer, Morgan Stanley, Sarah Wolfe, Wolfe Organizations: Oppenheimer Getty, PCE Locations: U.S
Analysts at Morgan Stanley picked several global stocks they say are set to benefit from the artificial intelligence trend, from semiconductors to server companies. "The 2024 earnings for AI stocks are higher than they were on July 1, and fundamentals for AI companies look even better," Morgan Stanley said in a note to investors seen by CNBC Tuesday, titled "A Pivotal Moment for AI." The analysts also described AI stocks as "materially cheaper today than they were last month." Morgan Stanley said this is a "pivotal moment for NVDA and the AI supply chain," adding that investors should "prepare for potential AI opportunities." In Japan, Morgan Stanley named Disco Corporation , a maker of semiconductor manufacturing devices, for its "meaningful demand increase from generative AI-related Equipment."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Shawn Kim, Morgan, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Yeo Boon Ping Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Revenue, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, China Semiconductors, Global Unichip Corp, chipmaker SK Hynix, Samsung, Disco Corporation Locations: Greater China, China, South Korea, Japan
Goldman Sachs reiterates Nvidia as buy Goldman said it's standing by it's buy rating after Nvidia's strong earnings report on Wednesday. Stifel upgrades Nvidia to buy from hold Stifel upgraded the stock after its strong earnings report Wednesday. Bank of America upgrades Williams-Sonoma to neutral from underperform Bank of America said that the downside scenario is now "off the table" for Williams-Sonoma. Bank of America downgrades Vizio to underperform from buy Bank of America double downgraded the stock on concerns about a weakening consumer. Bank of America downgrades Peloton to neutral from buy Bank of America said it sees "limited visibility on growth initiatives" for Peloton .
Persons: Needham, Rivian, it's, Oppenheimer, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Wedbush, Johnson, Splunk, Raymond James, Piper Sandler, Piper, Wolfe, Charles Schwab, Bernstein, Estee Lauder, Snowflake, Rosenblatt, Read Organizations: Nvidia, Center, Stifel, AMC, Bank of America, underperform Bank of America, Williams, Sonoma, Vizio, Johnson, Prudential, DFS, ADI Locations: CY2024, Williams, Sonoma, Snowflake
Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with its overweight rating after Apple's quarterly 10-Q report. Morgan Stanley upgrades Laureate to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the education company is a beneficiary of nearshoring. Morgan Stanley reiterates Palo Alto Networks as overweight Morgan Stanley said the company has a "differentiated" and "disruptive" platform. " UBS reiterates Berkshire Hathaway as buy UBS said it's standing by its buy rating on shares of Berkshire after its earnings report Saturday. Morgan Stanley reiterates Cinemark as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by its overweight rating on Cinemark as the success of "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer" has "squashed" the theatrical bear case.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Apple, DA Davidson, Andy Jassy, Wells, Holley, it's, Raymond James, Charles Schwab, Schwab, EchoStar, Guggenheim, Berkshire Hathaway, Cinemark, Oppenheimer, Truist, Piper Sandler, Piper, MNST, Wright Organizations: UBS, Meta, Facebook, Bank of America, Nvidia, U.S ., Networks, Alto Networks, United Airlines, Berkshire, Comcast, CNBC, Monster Beverage Locations: WhatsApp, nearshoring, United, Berkshire, NBCUniversal
Match Group shares are set to pop as Tinder recovers, according to BTIG. "Tinder hit a wall last year," with growth slowing into 2023, analyst Jake Fuller said. "MTCH pointed to execution issues and lack of product innovation, which led to a revamping of the Tinder team. Management's current-quarter guidance also came above analyst estimates. The analyst noted that Tinder is showing an improving trend in its daily new users numbers and reactivation trend.
Persons: Tinder, Jake Fuller, Fuller, Management's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom
AMD YTD mountain AMD year to date Analysts are expecting AMD's fiscal second-quarter revenue to come in at $5.32 billion, per StreetAccount. While recent results have been disappointing , AMD has embraced the AI story as investors look for the next Nvidia , he said. It has a hold rating and $110 price target, implying nearly 4% downside from Monday's close. Its $138 price target suggests nearly 21% upside ahead. TD Cowen is also bullish, maintaining its outperform rating and raising its price target to $135 from $115.
Persons: Lisa Su, Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon, Rasgon, Morgan Stanley, Joseph Moore, Cowen, Michael Bloom Organizations: AMD, Global, IDC, Nvidia, Deutsche Bank
Tech stocks have already had a strong year, but one corner of the sector has more "appealing" opportunities in store for investors, according to Goldman Sachs. Software stocks that Goldman covers have already soared 37% in the year to date, said the bank in a July 21 note. Goldman added that software companies are more "adequately set up to outperform" in the second quarter and for the rest of the year. This sets the stage for a potential return to the more normalized beat-and-raise cadence typically associated with software companies," the bank's analysts said. Six software stocks Goldman said these stocks still offer strong investment opportunities: Adobe , Salesforce , Monday.com , Microsoft , ServiceNow , Workday .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, they'll, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Software, Microsoft, Adobe
Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as equal weight Morgan Stanley said in its annual ask the interns survey that Tesla favorability fell. " Morgan Stanley reiterates PayPal as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's bullish heading into PayPal earnings on Wednesday. " Oppenheimer reiterates Target as outperform Oppenheimer said investors should buy the dip ahead of Target earnings later this month. Bank of America reiterates DraftKings as buy Bank of America is bullish heading into earnings later this week. Morgan Stanley reiterates Ford as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by its overweight rating, but that the company needs an electric vehicle strategy change soon.
Persons: Baird, it's, Cantor Fitzgerald downgrades Rivian, Cantor, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Read, RMD, PYPL, Oppenheimer, Canaccord, Estee Lauder, DraftKings, DoorDash, comps, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Ford Organizations: Apple, Mercedes, Barclays, 2H23, RBC, PayPal, Citi, EL, Amazon, Bank of America, Anheuser, Busch InBev, Goldman, Meta Locations: US
Spotify's post-earnings selloff created a buying opportunity for investors, according to Deutsche Bank. The bank upgraded the music streaming service to buy from hold Wednesday. But analyst Benjamin Black said that Spotify's results are a function of currency fluctuations as opposed to a fundamental company issue, adding the selloff is overdone. SPOT YTD mountain Spotify stock slumped more than 14% after reporting quarterly results on Tuesday. Despite Tuesday's steep decline, Spotify shares are up more than 77% year to date.
Persons: selloff, It's, Benjamin Black, Black, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Spotify Locations: Tuesday's
Wall Street analysts were positive on Netflix after its latest subscriber additions and largely dismissed concerns of that the monetization of paid sharing is too slow. The company added 5.9 million subscribers in the quarter in a sign that its password sharing crackdown and advertising tier is generating new subscribers. "2Q review: Password sharing supercharges subs Netflix (NFLX) reported healthy 2Q results, which reflected strong net adds of 5.9mn (vs. guidance of ~1.75mn and our 2.95mn est. ), indicating the initial rollout of password sharing has been very positive," the analyst wrote on Thursday. Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall said investors are "over-exuberant on paid sharing," though he reiterated an overweight rating on the stock.
Persons: Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, America's Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Wells Fargo's Steven Cahall, Needham's Laura Martin, NFLX, OTT, — CNBC's Michael Bloom, Alex Sherman Organizations: Netflix, " Bank, America's, DIS Locations: Wednesday's
Analysts remain bullish on Nike's direct-to-consumer strategy and brand momentum, even after the sports apparel giant's disappointing earnings results. Her $145 price target implies 27% upside from Thursday's close. He cited Nike's better-than-expected revenue, improving inventories, as well as no change to the brand's momentum in its direct-to-consumer strategy. Boss lowered his price target to $142 from $146. Her $125 price target, lowered from $135, is just 10% above Tuesday's closing price.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Kate McShane, McShane, JPMorgan's Matthew Boss, Nike's, Friend, Boss, Bank of America's Lorraine Hutchinson, Hutchinson, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Nike, Refinitiv, Bank of Locations: Bank of America's, North America
Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley reiterates Apple as overweight Morgan Stanley said in a note Friday that it sees several reasons for share outperformance. Morgan Stanley upgrades Evotech to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said the drug discovery and development company is well-positioned for artificial intelligence. As such we are upgrading to Market Perform with a $44 price target." Morgan Stanley reiterates Snowflake as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's bullish heading into the company's upcoming investor day. Barclays reiterates Uber as overweight Barclays raised its price target on Uber to $70 per share from $57 and says it's well-positioned.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Apple, Stephens, KeyBanc, Wells, Armour, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Valvoline, underperform SVB, Wayfair, Snowflake, it's, Uber, Roth, Bernstein, Jefferies Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Nike, Sovos Brands, UAA, Outsized NA, JPMorgan, Global Products, Securities, Bed, Barclays, Amazon, Citi, General Motors Locations: China, Italian, downgrades, EBITDA
At the midpoint this would raise $298 million, with a fully diluted market value of $2.1 billion, according to Renaissance Capital. At the midpoint of the proposed range, that would raise $328 million with a market value of $1.5 billion. "The IPO market is definitely opening up," he said. Goldman Sachs' David Kostin has also noted an improved IPO market. The bad news: the stock dropped the day after the IPO to roughly $38 and has remained in that range.
Persons: IPOs, Matt Kennedy, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, Lynn Martin, That's, Santosh Rao, Rao Organizations: NYSE, Insurance, Renaissance, Kodiak Gas Services, Renaissance Capital, Goldman, Foods, CNBC, Manhattan Venture Partners Locations: Renaissance Capital, U.S, Canada, Cava, Fogo, Chao
Wolfe Research thinks software company Oracle has a strong growth story thanks to the generative AI boom. The analyst said Oracle has created a significant second mover "architectural and cost advantage" around its second-generation Oracle Cloud Infrastructure — which its competitors are unable to match. Notably, Oracle's cloud software has spare GPU, or graphics processing unit, capacity. GPUs are necessary to process AI functions and have seen a surge in demand as more companies engage in AI. Growth has also been strong over a 12-month period, with shares gaining more than 63%.
Persons: Wolfe, Alex Zukin, Zukin, CY25, Oracle, Michael Bloom Organizations: Wolfe Research, Oracle, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, Infrastructure Locations: GenAI
Jefferies downgrades Las Vegas Sands and Wynn to hold from buy Jefferies downgraded several casino stocks, mainly on valuation. Jefferies reiterates Apple as buy Jefferies said it stands by its buy rating on the Mac maker but that it's concerned about the lack of social experience with Apple's VR technology. Jefferies reiterates GameStop as hold Jefferies said the revolving door of GameStop executives is "more of the same" for the company. Skechers is the world's 3rd largest footwear brand and an underappreciated growth stock, in our view." Bank of America reiterates Lowe's as a buy Bank of America said investors should buy the stock "when the market is fearful."
Persons: Wells, Jefferies, Wynn, WYNN, LVS, Oppenheimer, Apple, Wolfe, Goldman Sachs, Salesforce, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Skechers, Lowe's, Bernstein Organizations: Vegas Sands, Citi, Apple, VR, GameStop, Mobile, Smart, Rio Tinto, UBS, Amazon, Carrier, Bank of America, of America, NextEra Energy, Xcel Energy, American Electric Power, Barclays, FedEx Locations: Vegas, Rio, China, 2023E
German exports rise unexpectedly in April on China reopening
  + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
BERLIN, June 5 (Reuters) - German exports rose unexpectedly in April, boosted by deliveries to China following its post-pandemic reopening, but analysts warned that the momentum could be short-lived. German exports increased by 1.2% on the previous month, the federal statistics office said. Exports to China were up 10.1%, while exports to the U.S. were up 4.7% and exports to the European Union rose 4.5%, the office said. The foreign trade balance showed a surplus of 18.4 billion euros ($19.68 billion) in April, up from 14.9 billion euros the previous month. "The temporary push in exports to China will fade with time," ING's global head of macro at ING Carsten Brzeski told Reuters.
Persons: Alexander Krueger, Hauck Aufhaeuser, Claus Vistesen, ING Carsten Brzeski, Holger Schmieding, Klaus Wohlrabe, Rachel More, Maria Martinez, Kirsti Knolle, Gareth Jones Organizations: Reuters, European Union, Macroeconomics, ING, Thomson Locations: BERLIN, China, Hauck Aufhaeuser Lampe, U.S, Ifo
Big tech is still the hope in a sideways stock market
  + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
With the S & P 500 down 1% this month, and essentially flat for the quarter, the best you can say is that the overall trend has moved from down in 2022 to mostly sideways in 2023. Lowry, the nation's oldest technical analysis service, has taken to calling the rally in tech "the mega-cap mirage." Lowry noted over the weekend that "core indicators of market health have demonstrated significant deterioration from the early February market high through recent days." Even as the S & P 500 was near a new rally high for the year recently, the S & P Midcap 400 and S & P Smallcap 600 were 12% and 17% below their February 2nd highs last week. Only 46% of S & P 500 stocks are above their 200-day moving averages, hardly a sign of broad market strength.
Goldman Sachs predicts shares of this construction software company will surge. "We believe that Procore is well-positioned to deliver upside to its F23 revenue guidance for 26% in F23," Rangan said. The company develops software to oversee both large- and small-scale construction projects from start to finish, as a sort-of one size fits all management program. The industry overall lacks a streamlined method of digitization, and Goldman Sachs highlighted the firm's diversification across a variety of market sizes to support the stock upgrade. PCOR YTD mountain Goldman Sachs thinks shares of Procore Technologies can deliver investors as much as 41% upside from current trading levels.
"The German economy remained stuck in the mud at the start of 2023, only barely avoiding recession," Pantheon Macroeconomics' chief eurozone economist Claus Vistesen said. The German economy shrank by a revised 0.5% in the fourth quarter of 2022 compared with the previous three months, reviving fears of a technical recession, defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction. "A gradual recovery is underway, despite a persistently difficult environment," German Economy Minister Robert Habeck said in the presentation of the forecasts. "The recent renaissance in industrial production could very well carry the economy through the second quarter," ING's global head of macro Carsten Brzeski said. "However, we are afraid that looking into the second half of the year, the German economy will continue its flirtation with recession."
In fact, excluding the drag from inventories, GDP growth actually would have been closer to 3.4%, well above trend. However, most economists and strategists on Wall Street think the U.S. economy is still on the path to recession. We continue to expect the drag from higher interest rates and tightening credit conditions to push the economy into a mild recession soon." Jim Baird, chief investment officer, Plante Moran Financial Advisors "For all the discussion of recession risk – which is very real – consumers remain willing and able to spend. Recession risks remain elevated; the first estimate of Q1 GDP confirms that the economy continues to slow.
Stocks are facing risks as the Fed continues to keep monetary policy tight, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson said. Wilson previously has warned of an earnings recession that could rival 2008. "Markets often reprice late in the cycle when they realize that Fed policy is not accommodative enough to compensate for the slowing growth backdrop," Wilson said in a note on Monday. For the first quarter, the consensus view on Wall Street is for a 9% decline in earnings growth in S&P 500 companies, followed by just a 4% drop in the second quarter, with earnings growth returning the second half of the year. We would agree with that conclusion if we believed the consensus forecasts," Wilson warned.
This is relevant to Apple as we estimate that Google pays Apple ~$20bn for being the default search engine across iOS devices." Goldman Sachs reiterates Microsoft as buy Goldman says it's staying bullish heading into Microsoft earnings next week. Deutsche Bank reiterates Disney as buy Deutsche Bank says it sees an "attractive setup" heading into earnings in early May. HSBC upgrades Nvidia to buy from reduce HSBC said in its double upgrade of Nvidia that it's "all about AI." Deutsche Bank reiterates Amazon as buy Deutsche says it's standing by its buy rating on the e-commerce giant ahead of earnings later this month.
Here are Friday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on the stock. "Our Buy rating is based on: 1) positive feedback from our proprietary Sleep survey that points to healthy underlying US volumes, 2) lingering pent-up demand due to US staffing shortages." William Blair reiterates Charles Schwab as outperform William Blair said it's standing by its outperform rating on the stock heading into earnings next week. Barclays reiterates Disney as equal weight Barclays said it sees slowing streaming growth heading into Disney earnings in early May. " Stifel reiterates Microsoft as buy Stifel said it's standing by its buy rating on Microsoft heading into earnings later this month.
Here are Thursday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs reiterates Netflix as sell Goldman said it's standing by its sell rating heading into earnings next week. Deutsche Bank adds a catalyst call buy on Enphase Energy Deutsche said it's bullish on the solar company's opportunities in Europe. Citi upgrades Merck to buy from neutral Citi said in its upgrade of the pharmaceutical company that it has an underappreciated pipeline of products. Deutsche Bank names a catalyst buy on Sherwin-Williams Deutsche said the paint company's earnings scheduled for later this month should "alleviate" investor concerns. Citi upgrades Steven Madden to buy from neutral Citi said in its upgrade of the shoe company that it sees "better wholesale trends" for Steven Madden.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCarMax soars on earnings beat. Here's how the pros are playing itJim Cramer, Jenny Harrington of Gilman Hill Asset Management, Bryn Talkington of Requisite Capital Management, and Joe Terranova of Virtus Investment Partners on what they think about CarMax's fiscal 4Q earnings beat.
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