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Stubbornly high core inflation virtually cemented the likelihood of a quarter percentage point cut from the Federal Reserve, which historically has avoided larger moves unless absolutely necessary. Shelter inflation is putting a floor under the CPI and likely keeping the Fed from reducing interest rates by more 25 basis points. "History back to 1990 supports the idea that an initial Fed rate cut of 50 basis points signals an imminent recession (2001 and 2007). "Their first cut will almost certainly be 25 basis points," Colas said. But the Fed, which targets inflation at 2%, prefers core readings as a better longer-term gauge for inflation.
Persons: Dow Jones, , Nick Colas, Jerome Powell, Colas, That's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, CPI, Fed, Traders, Open Market, PCE
You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. The consumer price index, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increased 2.5% over the year from August 2023 to this past August, matching the forecast of 2.5% and below July's 2.9% rate. The new data will factor into the Federal Open Market Committee's interest-rate decision next week, with the hot core figure decreasing the odds of a jumbo 50-basis-point cut. Softening but still relatively strong labor market data will also weigh on the Fed's decision. "If that test is met, a reduction in our policy rate could be on the table as soon as the next meeting in September."
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Federal
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Wednesday told investors that GameStop increasingly feels like a special purpose acquisition company as the videogame retailer's primary business struggles, but it still manages to raise cash. "Doesn't have to be a full plan, could be the mere idea of a plan, but so far, GameStop doesn't even have that — or if they do, they sure haven't shared it with us." The company managed to turn a profit due to interest on the $4.2 billion it has in cash, not underlying business. He agreed with an analyst from Wedbush who suggested the company close its physical stores and operate as a bank. "Ultimately, GameStop's always vulnerable to a short squeeze because, based on whatever nonsense the memesters can temporarily cook up," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, haven't, Wednesday's, Cramer, it's, Wedbush, he's, GameStop's Organizations: Wednesday, GameStop
GameStop stock plunged on Wednesday after revealing a 31% revenue decline in its second-quarter earnings. The video game retailer's revenue drop comes amid the industry's shift to digital game downloads. AdvertisementGameStop investors received a sobering wakeup call on Wednesday after the video game retailer saw its stock plunge as much as 18%. GameStop's earnings revealed a sharp 31% revenue decline to $798 million as the video game industry accelerates its transition from physical game sales to digital game downloads. AdvertisementAside from the sharp revenue decline, GameStop reported a slight profit surprise with adjusted earnings per share of $0.01 higher than the -$0.09 estimate from Wall Street.
Persons: , Keith Gill, Ryan, Ryan Cohen's GameStop Organizations: GameStop, Service, Nintendo, Sega, Wall, Federal, SEC
But broadband companies have been focused on transitioning their customers to other affordable options to help them make up the expired discount, according to the companies’ earnings calls. In the wake of the ACP’s expiration, broadband companies have reported losing some customers. While broadband providers were generally supportive of the ACP, many in the industry believed the subsidy benefitted too wide a swath of U.S. households. During the second quarter, Charter reported a loss of 149,000 internet customers, while Comcast reported a decline of 120,000 broadband customers. Charter has tried to retain its low-income consumer base by rolling out new savings deals like offering ACP customers a free unlimited mobile line for one year.
Persons: , , Craig Moffett, , Blair Levin, Mike Carey, Nikki Budzinski, GOP Sen, JD Vance, Ohio, Donald Trump’s, Vance quieted, ” Gigi Sohn, Joe Biden, Sohn, Wall, they’re, ” Sohn, ” Carey, ” Budzinski, Chris Winfrey, “ We’ve, ” Moffett, MoffettNathanson, Gigi Sohn’s Organizations: Charter, Verizon, Comcast, Program, Federal Communications Commission, Democratic, Republican, Street Research, CNBC, NBC News, Capitol, Republicans, Emergency, GOP, Republican House, ACP, FCC, , Universal Service Fund, USF, Charter Communications Locations: MoffettNathanson, Ohio, U.S, New York
In the wake of the ACP's expiration, broadband companies reported losing some customers. "But that doesn't take away from the families for whom this was important, and could now lose access to broadband." Pete Marovich | ReutersStill, Sohn believes bipartisan support for the ACP should make reauthorizing it a political slam dunk for Democrats. While broadband providers were generally supportive of the ACP, many in the industry believed the subsidy benefitted too wide a swath of U.S. households. Charter Communications CEO Chris Winfrey said in July that the ACP's expiration impacted both losses and low income broadband connections after the company had "put a lot of effort into the ACP program."
Persons: Craig Moffett, Blair Levin, Mike Carey, Nikki Budzinski, GOP Sen, JD Vance, Ohio, Donald Trump's, Vance quieted, Gigi Sohn, Biden, Pete Marovich, Sohn, Wall, they're, Carey, Budzinski, Chris Winfrey Organizations: Istock, Getty, Charter, Verizon, Comcast, Program, Federal Communications Commission, Democratic, Republican, Street Research, CNBC, Capitol, Republicans, Emergency, GOP, Republican House, ACP, Commerce, Science, Washington , D.C, Reuters, Universal Service Fund, USF, Charter Communications Locations: MoffettNathanson, Ohio, Washington ,, U.S, New York
The "misery index" is the addition of the unemployment rate to the annualized inflation rate in the U.S. It has correctly predicted 15 of the past 16 races for the White House, including every presidential matchup since 1980, according to an analysis by research firm Strategas. This index now sits at 7.02, below the level that Strategas has found would be consistent with the incumbent party losing the election. Below a 7.353 level is needed in October for the incumbent party — in this case, the Harris-led Democrats — to come out on top, according to Strategas. The firm found this level through exclusive analysis of where the misery index would need to sit for the party currently in office to retain power, based on history.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Harris, Organizations: White Locations: U.S
But Deutsche Bank is offering four reasons to stay positive even as recession fears flare. AdvertisementIt's an uncomfortable time for equity investors, with the S&P 500 fresh off its biggest weekly decline in 18 months. Although the Federal Reserve is on the brink of long-awaited rate cuts, concerns have crept into the market that the economy is at risk of a sudden unpreventable softening. But with interest rate cuts ahead and recession fears in the air, investors are more likely to reposition. Rate cuts are on the horizonAdvertisementAll of Wall Street appears to be bracing for the Federal Reserve to lower rates at its policy meeting next week.
Persons: , Deutsche, There's Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Federal, Wall, Deutsche, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Mortgage Bankers Association
An expansion rate surpassing America'sKFC, run by Shanghai-headquartered Yum China, has historically enjoyed the lion's share of the country's fast-food cravings. Hopes for a new middle class in ChinaCities in China are unofficially grouped into tiers according to their status, size, and wealth. Chinese KFC has nearly doubled its menu itemsExpanding during a sluggish economy might make sense for fast food brands, which are often classified as recession-proof as consumers downgrade their spending. Advertisement"Now, they are doubling down further on this strategy by expanding into the inland regions of China, especially Tier Three and Tier Four cities with a growing middle class," they told BI. Yum China has also been expanding aggressively in the country's burgeoning coffee scene, establishing a popular spin-off called KCoffee.
Persons: , It's, McDonald's, Shaun Rein, Rein, Allison Malmsten, Malmsten, Cui Nan, Wang Gang, Jonathan Bernstein, Bernstein, Kung Fu, Daxue, it's, They've Organizations: Service, Thursday, Business, McDonald's, Tier, China Market Research Group, KFC, LONG, Future Publishing, Getty Images, China, US, Yum China, Daxue Consulting, Publishing, China News Service, Getty, Analysts, Yonder Consulting Locations: China, Kentucky, Weibo, Hangzhou, China's, Shanghai, China Cities, Beijing, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Chengdu, Chongqing, Nanyang, Suqian, Jiangsu, London, Asia, Shanghai thronged
Covid lockdowns, such as school closures, canceled sports activities and stay-at-home orders, prematurely aged teen brains by as much as four years, researchers from the University of Washington found. Lead researcher Patricia Kuhl, co-director of I-LABS, said that after Covid lockdowns began in 2020, they couldn’t do brain scan follow-ups until 2021. Pandemic lockdowns resulted in unusually accelerated brain maturation in adolescents. The research doesn’t prove the lockdowns caused the brain changes — mental health disorders were rising among children even before Covid. Another brain scan study in 2022 from Stanford University showed similar changes in cortical thickness in teen brains during Covid restrictions.
Persons: Covid, Patricia Kuhl, Covid lockdowns, ” Kuhl, Kuhl, Ellen Rome, they’re, , Jonathan Posner, Posner, there’s, It’s, Parkinson, Karin Zaugg Black, Delia Organizations: University of Washington, National Academy of Sciences, university's Institute for Learning, Brain Sciences, Cleveland Clinic Children’s Hospital, Rome, University of Washington's Institute for Learning, Stanford University, Stanford, Centers for Disease Control, CDC, Duke University School of Medicine Locations: Seattle
The US economy is not facing a recession, says Apollo chief economist Torsten Sløk. Sløk cites strong employment data, wage growth, and consumer spending as key indicators. AdvertisementThe US economy is cruising toward a soft landing with no recession on the table, according to Apollo chief economist Torsten Sløk. "Daily data for debit card transactions shows that consumer spending has been accelerating in recent weeks," Sløk said. That's not something you see right before a recession hits the economy, according to Sløk.
Persons: Torsten Sløk, Sløk, Organizations: Service, Sløk, Atlanta
Apple is gearing up to announce a new lineup of devices at its 'Glowtime' event today — that's where we kick things off in our big story. AdvertisementApple's "Glowtime" event is today, the latest iteration of the tech giant's annual unveiling of its newest iPhone , writes Business Insider's Jordan Hart. AdvertisementAppleThe Apple event will also serve as a litmus test for the wider AI industry. Even giants like Microsoft and Amazon have struggled to turn their big AI bets into revenue drivers. AdvertisementSuccess could give the AI industry more confidence that there is a light at the end of the AI spending tunnel.
Persons: , Chelsea Jia Feng, Insider's Jordan Hart, Apple, that's, BI's Hasan Chowdhury, that'll, , Siri, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Paul Graham's, Brian Niccol, Laxman Narasimhan, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Grace Lett, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Chelsea, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Microsoft, Amazon, Getty, Nvidia, JPMorgan, DOJ, Google, Oracle Locations: China, New York, London, Chicago
“Teens need our support now more than ever.”Significant socioemotional development occurs during adolescence, along with substantial changes to brain structure and function. The researchers originally intended to track ordinary adolescent brain development over time, starting with MRIs the authors conducted on participants’ brains in 2018. The study revealed accelerated cortical thinning in the post-pandemic brains of teens — occurring in 30 brain regions across both hemispheres and all lobes for girls, and in only two regions for boys. The prevalence of the thinning amounted to 43% and 6% of the studied brain regions for girls and boys, respectively. The regions affected in boys’ brains are involved in processing objects in the visual field as well as faces.
Persons: , Patricia K, Kuhl, Max Wiznitzer, Wiznitzer wasn’t, Wiznitzer, It’s, Ian Gotlib, wasn’t, ” Kuhl, Gotlib Organizations: CNN, National Academy of Sciences, Institute for Learning, Sciences, University of Washington, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Stanford, Stanford University Locations: Seattle, Washington
Boeing once wanted to buy a stake in Embraer's C-390 Millennium military aircraft. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementBoeing doesn't have an answer to US aerospace company Lockheed Martin's C-130 Hercules military plane — but it used to.
Persons: , Lockheed Martin's Organizations: Boeing, Embraer's, Service, Lockheed, Brazilian, Embraer, Business
That’s because employers might be putting some of their hiring plans on hold — and for good reason. Businesses consider many factors when deciding to hire, but across a wide spectrum of industries, the economic outlook carries always great deal of weight. Both those factors are prompting employers to think twice about hiring more workers now, according to economists and recent comments from businesses around the country. But she’s proposing raising the corporate tax rate to 28%. So when interest rates are as elevated as they are right now, monthly debt payments could be too costly for many firms.
Persons: there’s, ” Kathy Bostjancic, Reserve Banks, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Harris, , Sean Snaith, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter’s, ” Pollak, “ It’s, Pollak Organizations: CNN, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Nationwide, , Reserve, Trump, America, Economic, of New, Institute for Economic, University of Central, Fed, Treasury Locations: China, of New York, University of Central Florida
Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., on Sunday said Vice President Kamala Harris should increase her proposed 28% tax rate on long-term capital gains, marking his latest divergence with the Democratic presidential nominee's economic platform. "I would go higher than that," Sanders told NBC's "Meet the Press" of Harris' proposed capital gains tax rate. Harris on Wednesday announced her plan for a 28% tax on long-term capital gains, assets that are owned for more than one year, an increase from the current maximum rate of 20%. President Joe Biden previously proposed a capital gains tax rate of 39.6% in his fiscal 2025 budget. In 2016, Sanders campaigned for the Democratic presidential nomination with an even higher desired rate of 54.2%.
Persons: Bernie Sanders, Sen, Kamala Harris, Sanders, NBC's, Harris, Joe Biden, Mark Cuban, Reid Hoffman, Biden Organizations: Democratic National Convention, Sunday, Democratic, Wednesday, LinkedIn, Democratic Party, Republican Party Locations: Chicago , Illinois, U.S
Wang Gang/Getty ImagesIt's worth noting that in its 15-year history with the iPhone in China, Apple has been the dominant force in the smartphone market. Other local smartphone manufacturers, including Honor, Xiaomi, and Vivo, have also seen gains over the past year. The upcoming iPhone 16 will introduce users to Apple Intelligence, its new suite of generative AI features, first introduced at its June Worldwide Developers Conference. Apple is betting on Apple Intelligence to boost iPhone sales. The company is seeking a local partner to bring more advanced chatbot features to Apple Intelligence in China.
Persons: , Tim Cook, It's, Wang Gang, Apple, Xiaomi, Cook, ChatGPT, Wedbush, Paolo Pescatore Organizations: Service, Apple, Weibo, Business, China Apple, Huawei, Pura, Apple Intelligence Apple, Apple Intelligence, Foresight Locations: China, Shanghai, He'll, Cupertino
U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Janet Yellen speaks listens to a presentation during a tour at the IRS Processing Facility on September 06, 2024 in Austin, Texas. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sought to reassure the public on Saturday that the U.S. economy remains strong, despite a string of weak job reports that have rattled investors and weighed on the stock market. "We're seeing less frenzy in terms of hiring and job openings, but we're not seeing meaningful layoffs," Yellen said at the Texas Tribune Festival in Austin. Yellen said the U.S. is on that path: "It really has been amazing to be able to get inflation down as meaningfully as we have. This is what most people would call the soft landing," she said.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, Nonfarm, Dow Jones Organizations: IRS, Texas Tribune, of Labor Statistics, Dow, Federal Reserve Locations: Austin , Texas, U.S, Austin
The unemployment rate also fell slightly, to 4.2% from 4.3% in July. For example, average job growth was 116,000 over the past three months; the three-month average was 211,000 a year ago. The unemployment rate has also steadily risen, from 3.4% as recently as April 2023. In other words, many more Americans entered the job market and looked for work; they're counted as unemployed until they find a job. That said, the job hunt has become more challenging for job seekers than in the recent past, according to Bunker.
Persons: Michael M, Ernie Tedeschi, Biden, hasn't, Julia Pollak, Bunker, " Tedeschi, Tedeschi Organizations: FedEx, Broadway, Santiago, Getty, of Labor Statistics, Yale Budget Lab, White House Council, Economic Advisers, Labor Department, ZipRecruiter, Workers, ., Federal Reserve Locations: New York City, U.S
We are buying 200 shares of Nextracker at roughly $34.20 Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 1,150 shares of NXT, increasing its weighting to 1.2% from 1%. A stock that has been hit hard lately is Nextracker, the solar tracking solutions provider for large utility-scale projects. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, oversold, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, we've, Nextracker, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: NXT, Democratic, Republican, Wall Street, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: Nextracker
Economists were expecting a net gain of 160,000 jobs and for the unemployment rate to fall to 4.2%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. With inflation pretty much tamed and moderating as expected, the Federal Reserve has turned its focus to the labor market (the other part of its dual mandate). Job growth has been slowing, but there were indications that the labor market was weakening under the weight of 23-year-high interest rates. A ‘place of stability’July’s shockingly weak jobs report stoked fears that the jobs market was collapsing, potentially taking the economy into a downturn. And while a rate cut is coming, the jury is still out on the exact size of that move.
Persons: ” Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James, August’s, We’re, Rachel Sederberg, , Becky Frankiewicz, , , Kory Kantenga, , ” Kantenga, Michelle Holder, haven’t Organizations: CNN, Employers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve, Fed, ManpowerGroup, Retail, Americas, LinkedIn, John Jay College, City University of New Locations: ManpowerGroup North America, Michigan, City University of New York
The higher end of the company's revenue outlook for fiscal 2025 was also above estimates. UiPath — The stock rose more than 8% following the software company's better-than-expected second-quarter results. Broadcom — Shares of the chipmaker fell 7% after the company's revenue guidance for the current quarter was less than expected . Guidewire Software — Shares jumped more than 7% after the company surpassed the Street's expectations. Samsara estimated adjusted earnings of between 16 cents and 18 cents per share and revenue of $1.224 billion to $1.228 billion.
Persons: UiPath, Smartsheet, Guidewire, FactSet, , Jesse Pound, Sarah Min, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Broadcom —, Broadcom, Reuters, Blackstone, JPMorgan Locations: Vista
The data is a crucial input as the Fed decides how much to cut interest rates later this month. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUnemployment slid, as expected, to 4.2% in August after a surprise increase to 4.3% in July. The unemployment figure solidifies outlooks for an economic soft landing and is unlikely to derail expectations for a Federal Reserve interest-rate cut later this month.
Persons: , payrolls Organizations: Service, Federal, Investors, Business
At the same time, the unemployment rate ticked down to 4.2%, as expected. The labor force expanded by 120,000 for the month, helping push the jobless level down by 0.1 percentage point, though the labor force participation rate held at 62.7%. The household survey, which is used to calculate the unemployment rate and is often more volatile than the survey of establishments, showed employment growth of 168,000. Markets showed little initial reaction to the data, with stock futures holding negative and Treasury yields also lower. While the August numbers were close to expectations, the previous two months saw substantial downward revisions.
Persons: Nonfarm, Dow Jones, Dan North Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, North America, Allianz Trade, Manufacturing Locations: U.S, Dow
The unemployment rate for Black workers fell in August, according to data released Friday by the Department of Labor. In August, Black workers saw their jobless rate fall to 6.1% from 6.3% in the month prior. This trend was in line with the overall unemployment rate for the country, which ticked down to 4.2% in August from July. On the other hand, unemployment for white workers held steady at 3.8%. On the other hand, the unemployment rate held steady at 5.5% for Black women.
Organizations: California State, Fair, Department of Labor Locations: California, Sacramento , California
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