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The VIX, Wall Street's go-to snapshot of market volatility, is at its highest point since the onset of the pandemic. And hedge funds are sifting through the wreckage, with some looking to survive and others planning to pounce. In any market meltdown, there are clear winners and losers given the strategies and positioning of different firms. The yen carry trade has also likely wrong-footed many macro funds, several industry veterans said. It also slowed dealmaking, annoying private equity investors whose capital was tied up in older vintage funds.
Persons: , Wall Street's, there's, allocators, Harvey Schwartz, Carlyle Organizations: Service, Business, Citadel, Eisler Capital, Universa Investments Locations: Europe, Asia, New York, London
CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Jobs shock hits stocksU.S. stocks plummeted on Friday after a weaker-than-expected jobs report added to fears of a recession. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.43% and is now in correction territory, having declined more than 10% from its recent high. Asian stocks plungeAsian stocks continued to sell-off on Monday, with the Japanese market confirming a bear market. The stocks had to pass several criteria, including receiving five or more earnings upgrades in the past three months.
Persons: Topix, Taiwan's Taiex, Warren Buffett Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Nikkei, CSI, Berkshire Hathaway's, Apple . Berkshire, Exxon, Chevron, CNBC Pro Locations: New York City, China, Apple ., Berkshire, Guyana, U.S, San Ramon , California, Houston , Texas
Customer shopping for school supplies with employee restocking shelves, Target store, Queens, New York. Altogether, this year's back-to-school spending, including for college students, is expected to reach $38.8 billion, the NRF also found. Higher prices are partly to blame: Families are now paying more for key back-to-school essentials like backpacks ahead of the new school year. The must have items of the back-to-school season"Back-to-school hauls have started infiltrating TikTok earlier than I've ever seen it," said Casey Lewis, a social media trend expert and founder of trend newsletter After School. How to keep back-to-school spending in check
Persons: Lindsey Nicholson, Happe, WalletHub, I've, Casey Lewis, Lewis Organizations: UCG, Intuit Credit Karma, CNBC, Deloitte, Adidas Locations: Queens , New York
Sixty metres into the men’s 100-metre Olympic final in Paris and Noah Lyles is third. AdvertisementThe headline is Lyles winning by five-thousandths of a second in the closest men’s 100m Olympic final ever — and the hardest for which to qualify. Lyles (9.78sec) ran the fastest time in an Olympic 100m final since Bolt’s Olympic record (9.63) in London back in 2012. The final frontier for him to become Olympic champion was the start… so here’s the story of how a 75-year-old and a stickman helped give Lyles the edge. At Lyles’ training base in Clermont, Florida, Mann, now 75, has a marquee set up by the side of the track.
Persons: Noah Lyles, Fred Kerley, Jamaica’s Kishane Thompson, Lyles, Usain Bolt, , Ralph Mann, , Mann, Lyles ’, Tim Clayton, Corbis, you’ve, Mario, ” Lyles, , imploring Mann, Christian Coleman, Coleman, Letsile, Thompson, Marcell Jacobs, Jacobs, Akani, he’s, Noah, Steve Magness, Simbine, — Mann, “ Ralph Mann, Andy Cheung Organizations: Getty, Olympic, Olympics, Stade de France, U.S, Paris Diamond League, Thompson's Locations: Paris, London, Clermont , Florida, Glasgow, Tokyo, Seville, Lyles, 6.41sec, 3.35sec
Stock market numbers are displayed on a screen at the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on August 02, 2024 in New York City. LONDON — European stocks are expected to start the new trading week in flat to negative territory as global volatility continues. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 3 points higher at 8,165 while Germany's DAX is expected to open 59 points lower at 17,591, France's CAC 40 down 17 points at 7,219 and Italy's FTSE MIB down 139 points at 32,009, according to data from IG. The subdued start for major European markets comes amid wider global volatility; U.S. stock futures fell Sunday night following a turbulent last week for Wall Street, in which the Nasdaq Composite dropped into correction territory. Asia-Pacific markets also continued the selloff overnight.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, LONDON, CAC, IG, Wall, Nasdaq Locations: New York City, Asia, Pacific
Hong Kong CNN —Japanese shares soared in early trading on Tuesday, clawing back most of their record losses from the previous day and underpinning a regional rally. The Nikkei 225 last traded about 10% higher, while South Korea’s Kospi rebounded by about 3%. They all suffered major losses during the previous trading session. The bounce in Japan is “typical after a market crash,” Neil Newman, head of strategy at Astris Advisory in Tokyo, told CNN. Losses like that led the Nikkei to close 12.4% lower on Monday in its largest one-day fall since October 1987.
Persons: clawing, Kospi, ” Neil Newman Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Nikkei, Advisory, CNN, Kikkoman, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan Locations: Hong Kong, South, Taiwan, Japan, Tokyo
It may be even harder now that cracks are forming in the labor market. The jobs report was not a disaster, by any stretch, and it’s no guarantee of a looming recession. But it was a surprise, and economists expressed concerns about how quickly the labor market appears to have downshifted. For Wall Street, the surprise slowdown was the bitter cherry on top of a sundae of disappointing tech earnings. (In other words, Wall Street may have overreacted because, well, that’s just kinda the way Wall Street does things.)
Persons: Harris, couldn’t, that’s, , Heidi Shierholz, Kamala Harris, Sam Stovall, it’s, It’s, Joe Biden’s, Jason Smith of, , Biden Organizations: New, New York CNN, Biden, Economic Policy Institute, Democratic, CFRA Research, , Dow, Nasdaq, Republicans, GOP, Harris Administration, Connecticut GOP Locations: New York, Jason Smith of Missouri, Connecticut
Here's Jim Cramer's market sell-off playbook
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Ece Yildirim | In Ecedyildirim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
watch nowCNBC's Jim Cramer shared his playbook for the brutal global market sell-off on Monday. Identify what's actually wrongAlthough the global sell-off hit U.S. markets hard, "the epicenter of the damage" was Japan, Cramer said. The sell-off started when Japan's stock market posted its worst drop since the stock market crash of 1987 known as Black Monday. The sell-off is sparked by money managers who think the Federal Reserve should have cut rates last week. Investors can also take advantage of the decline in interest rates and buy stocks that yield more than 4%, Cramer said.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Cramer, Blackwell, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, you'd, Banks, Morgan Stanley, haven't, Harris, Biden Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Berkshire, Apple Locations: U.S, Japan
The global sell-off in equities could end up being a mere "growth scare," according to Fundstrat managing partner and head of research Tom Lee. The index, known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," has more than doubled to above 50 since Friday, when it stood at roughly 23. For his part, Lee has been one of Wall Street's more bullish market commentators . But Lee opined that the sharp spike in Wall Street's fear gauge may suggest that a return to investor confidence could be over the horizon. "We have over three days where suddenly markets reversed, [and] declines like that are generally symmetric but you have to watch the VIX," Lee said.
Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Bank of, greenback Locations: U.S, Asia, Japan
The economist and market strategist David Rosenberg took a lot of heat for predicting that the Federal Reserve’s big increase in interest rates would tip the U.S. economy into recession. “I spent most of the past year being absolutely beaten up,” he told me last week. “I had email from clients that you would not believe, and many cancellations.”The latest economic data, including a sharp slowdown in job growth in July, is indicating that Rosenberg may well have been right all along. I asked him if he feels vindicated. Stocks also slumped in Europe and were off to a bad start in the United States on Monday as I was finishing this newsletter.
Persons: David Rosenberg, , , Rosenberg, Stocks Organizations: Federal, Nikkei Locations: U.S, Europe, United States
Japan's markets led losses in the region as the Nikkei 225 and Topix dropped as much as 7% in volatile trading. At these levels, both the Nikkei and Topix are nearing bear market territory, having fallen almost 20% from their all-time highs on July 11. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconMonday's decline follows Friday's rout when Japan's Nikkei 225 and Topix fell more than 5% and 6%, respectively. The broader Topix marked its worst day in eight years, while the Nikkei marked its worst day since March 2020. The Reserve Bank of Australia kicks off its two-day monetary policy meeting Monday.
Persons: Topix, Australia's, Kospi Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Nikkei, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Co, Sumitomo, Topix, P, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters Locations: Shibuya, Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, China, Taiwan, Australia, India, Hong Kong
U.S. stocks fell sharply Monday as part of a global selloff fueled by mounting recession fears among investors. Further roiling global markets is unusual currency trading out of Japan. The S&P 500 — a measure of the broad U.S. stock market — was down about 2% in early trading, putting it 7.5% below the index's all-time high close on July 16. In fact, you'd be wise to ignore short-term ups and downs in the stock market altogether — at least according to Buffett. "If you're worried about corrections, you shouldn't own stocks," Buffett said in a 2015 interview with The Street.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, you'd, Buffett Organizations: Federal Reserve, Berkshire, Apple, Treasury Locations: Japan, Omaha
Prepare for a new high-volatility market regime
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +8 min
A spike in the VIX of this magnitude has not occurred since 2020, when the COVID-19 related decline in the S & P 500 was maturing. We believe another high-volatility regime is upon us, with the prolonged low-volatility regime that preceded it coming to an abrupt halt. If our long-term trend following measures were to deteriorate behind the S & P 500, we would be more inclined to reduce exposure. A rebound in the S & P 500 (i.e., a VIX pullback) can be used to hedge partial exposure from a top-down perspective. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only.
Persons: It's, Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities
The epicenter is Japan," Jim said during the Club's Morning Meeting. However, significant changes in the currencies can "force you to unwind the trade," Jim explained. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we'll, Jim, Wells Fargo, we're, It's, Morgan Stanley, Stanley Black, Jim Cramer's, DOV Organizations: CNBC, Overseas, Nikkei, U.S ., U.S, Nextracker, Microsoft, Treasury, Energy, Uber Technologies, Caterpillar, Super Micro, Corp, NXT Locations: Japan, U.S, Dover, DuPont, Wells
Stock markets worldwide are on the slide, with Japan's Nikkei falling more than 12% on Monday. Worse than-expected jobs data in the US last week fuelled recession fears and drove the sell-off. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Fears of a recession in the US jumped after significantly weaker-than-expected July jobs numbers on Friday, which also saw jobs numbers for June revised lower. It's hard to believe such market moves would have occurred in any other month."
Persons: Jim Reid, , Michael Brown, Pepperstone, Reid, payrolls, Beryl, It's, we're Organizations: Japan's Nikkei, Deutsche Bank ., Service, Nikkei, Deutsche Bank, Federal, Fed, Reuters, of Japan Locations: America, Japan, Tokyo
Read previewJapan's main stock market index suffered its biggest fall since 1987, closing 12.4% lower on Monday, while markets in Asia and Europe also fell sharply. US stock markets sunk at the end of last week as investors digested a streak of negative economic data and disappointing earnings from Big Tech companies. The Chinese stock markets were already under pressure this year due to the country's economic troubles. Japan kept interest rates ultra-low for decades following the implosion of an asset bubble in the 1990s that contributed to persistent deflation. AdvertisementThe BoJ's rate hike has also fanned further risk-off sentiment in global stock markets.
Persons: , Tony Sycamore, Taiwan's Taiex, Paris, it's, Sycamore, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's Organizations: Service, Nikkei, Business, Big Tech, Nasdaq, IG Australia, Bloomberg TV, Kospi, CSI, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg, Bank of Japan, ING Locations: Asia, Europe, Frankfurt, London, Japan
The S & P 500 5,350 puts I discussed are trading nearly $170 as I write this, up ~ $12,000 per contract. This is even though the S & P 500 is down only 2.3% since I wrote that article over a month ago. One could roll those options down and out to the September 5200/4500 S & P 500 put spread which costs about $100. If you didn't read the earlier article, here are the components of a long put spread, sometimes referred to as a "Bear Put Spread." In periods of high implied volatility, option premiums are generally higher because the market anticipates larger price movements.
Persons: It's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, it's, Trump Organizations: Starbucks, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, ~ $, & $ $
The markets are in turmoil, but you know what you’re supposed to do now, right? Let’s all take a deep breath, tie our hands behind our backs and say it together: We will not sell stocks in a panic. Many of the people who are trading today are professional investors of various sorts. Here’s a dirty little secret about, say, hedge funds: All of their trading in reaction to world events doesn’t lead most of them to do better than sticking their money in an index fund that tracks the stock market. Remember, much of the money you have in the stock market is probably for retirement anyhow.
Persons: It’s Organizations: Mutual
Read previewGlobal markets are off to a terrible start to the week. Stock markets are crashing across Asia after Japan's interest-rate hike last week contributed to a selloff that got worse and worse. AdvertisementInvestors are also on edge before the US markets open later in the global day. Global carry trade unwindingThe Bank of Japan raised its interest rate from between 0% and 0.1% to 0.25% on Wednesday — the highest level in 15 years. Japan kept interest rates ultra-low for decades following the implosion of an asset bubble in the 1990s that contributed to persistent deflation.
Persons: , Kospi, India's Sensex, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's Organizations: Service, Stock, Business, IG Australia, Bloomberg, CSI, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, ING Locations: Asia, Japan
With investors in a risk-off mood, AI shares with high valuations were among the first to be dumped from portfolios. Nvidia and Super Micro Computer shed about 12% each before the bell, while Advanced Micro Devices lost about 5%. Megacap technology stocks also sold off during premarket trading, with Alphabet , Meta Platforms and Amazon falling more than 5% each. Major technology stocks — with the exception of Nvidia — wrapped up a busy earnings stretch last week. Nvidia, Alphabet and Meta Platforms pulled back more than 5%, while Microsoft dropped more than 6%.
Persons: Tesla, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Nvidia —, Mark Haefele, Jefferies Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Computer, Super, VanEck, Microsoft, Apple, UBS Global Wealth Management
Signs of a slowing U.S. economy sowed panic among investors on Monday, with a sell-off in markets that began last week turning into a global rout. The moves were a sharp reversal in major stock markets, which for much of the past year have risen to new heights, propelled by optimism about cooling inflation, solid labor markets and the promise of artificial intelligence technology. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index fell more than 10 percent at one point. Japanese stocks have been on a tear for more than a year, fueled by a weak Japanese yen. Adding to the pressure, foreign investors have started selling off positions in Japanese stocks over the last few weeks.
Persons: , Andrew Brenner, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Jordi Basco Carrera, , Basco Carrera, Jitters, Jesper Koll, Koll, John Liu, Melissa Eddy Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, National Alliance Securities, Equity, Technology, Samsung Electronics, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Intel, Allianz, Monex, Bank of Japan, Tokyo Stock Exchange Locations: Asia, Europe, Americas, Japan, U.S, Taiwan, Singapore, Australia, Hong Kong, China, Stocks, India, Netherlands, Switzerland, New York, Munich, , New, Seoul, Berlin
The stock market crashed Monday, with the Nasdaq 100 dropping nearly 6%. AdvertisementUS stocks crashed on Monday, with the Nasdaq shedding nearly 6% as the global market rout that kicked off late last week accelerated. AdvertisementThe losses accelerated on Monday after Japan's stock market experienced its worst decline since the Black Monday crash in 1987, falling 12%. Berkshire Hathaway now holds a record $277 billion in cash, leading to some investors worrying that Buffett has soured on the stock market. The bigger question is whether this bloodletting will prove sufficient to provide a basis for a resumption of the stock market rally, and ultimately fresh record highs.
Persons: , nonfarm payrolls, Jamie Cox, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, bitcoin, David Morrison Organizations: Nasdaq, Berkshire Hathaway's Apple, Service, Dow Jones, Amazon, Intel, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Harris Financial, Berkshire Hathaway's, Berkshire, FCA Locations: Berkshire
Why the stock market is freaking out again
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
The Dow tumbled more than 1,000 points at the open, and the broader market plunged 3% Monday. The Nasdaq, full of risky tech stocks, dropped 3.7%. Although that’s not in and of itself an unhealthy unemployment rate, its sudden march higher is alarming: Last year, the unemployment rate was at its lowest level since the moon landing. Traders are beginning to unwind big trades on Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet and other tech stocks that had been surging since the beginning of last year. Monday’s rout, if it ends at current levels, wouldn’t even crack the top 100 worst days in market history.
Persons: Dow, that’s, Goldman Sachs, That’s, Jeremy Siegel, , , Siegel, Stocks, it’ll, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: CNN, Nasdaq, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Citigroup, JPMorgan, CNBC, Traders, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Berkshire Locations: Wall
Read previewBuying and holding Big Tech stocks has led to great performance in recent years, but this might not be the case going forward. As a result, buy-and-hold investors are probably seeing more red than they'd like in their portfolios right now. AdvertisementBig Tech overexposureIf you hold a lot of Big Tech stocks in your portfolio, you're not alone. Related storiesThere's definitely reason to be bullish on tech overall, especially as AI spurs growth, but overexposure to Big Tech isn't without its drawbacks. According to Subramanian, there's more room for Big Tech to fall, especially if investors don't see AI monetization cases soon.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, overexposure, Subramanian, That's, there's, They're Organizations: Service, Big Tech, Nasdaq, Down, Dow, Business, Bank of America, Microsoft, Meta, Google, Fund, Vanguard, Energy
A sell-off in markets around the world turned into a rout on Monday as investors grew panicky about signs of a slowing American economy, with stocks tumbling across Asia. The declines were especially pronounced in Japan, where the Topix index, which includes companies that represent a broad swath of the country’s economy, fell 12.2 percent. The decline at one point triggered a “circuit breaker” mechanism that halts trading to let markets digest large fluctuations. The Nikkei 225 index, considered the benchmark in Japan, also fell 12.4 percent. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index fell more than 10 percent, triggering its own halt in trading.
Organizations: Equity, Nasdaq Locations: Asia, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore, Australia, Hong Kong, Europe, United States
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