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JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic believes the market sell-off won't get much worse than this as Wall Street's top strategist found three big reasons to stay optimistic. Still, Kolanovic, one of the biggest bulls on Wall Street, reassured his clients that downside should be limited because of resilient earnings, low positioning and anchored inflation expectations. Kolanovic gained a wide following after correctly calling the March 2020 market bottom and the subsequent rebound during the pandemic. The strategist believes that high inflation and robust nominal GDP growth are cushioning nominal earnings growth in an environment of low real growth. Meanwhile, retail and institutional investors are poised to add back equities after being underweight for a few months, Kolanovic said.
Here are four tips for navigating this choppy stock market as recession risk rises. "It's an active management approach to US interest rates — that's the key here," Azous told Insider. And for us, that leads to a lower stock market and a more difficult credit market or very much tighter financial conditions. Barring a catalyst like the end of the Russia-Ukraine war, a notable improvement in the Chinese or European economies, or a huge drop in inflation, Azous said he sees more trouble ahead. "You want to avoid a catastrophic drawdown that keeps you invested in the stock market," Azous said.
But the crypto-heavy conference meant one hedge fund wasn't in attendance. Universa Investments, a black swan fund that specializes in purchasing protection against major market crashes, skipped out this year. The Miami-based hedge fund, which has $15.5 billion in assets under management, made headlines in the past after its flagship Black Swan Protection Protocol fund reportedly returned 4,144% amid the stock market crash of 2020. Many crypto investors may perceive these digital assets, bitcoin specifically, as a hedge against the devaluation of currencies. You need to have a clear thesis for why you're picking crypto assets over a tech stock, like Microsoft for example, he said.
This year's market volatility has left investors few places to hide, weighing on stocks and bonds. For those who adhere to a traditional portfolio structure of 60% stocks and 40% bonds, the year has been painful. Treasury bonds Even though bonds haven't performed well year to date, there is still reason to buy Treasurys going forward. First, short-term U.S. Treasury bonds can be used to offset interest rate risk in one's portfolio. Snapping up those longer-dated Treasury bonds may be a good idea to lock in rates while they're relatively cheap, according to Jones.
The Cure? Cut Taxes and Spending
  + stars: | 2022-09-16 | by ( Andy Kessler | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: +1 min
A 45-day period will forever be known as a “Truss” for Liz Truss ’s tenure before resigning as British prime minister, much as 11 days is a “Mooch” for Anthony Scaramucci ’s short stint in the Trump administration. Come to think of it, a “Biden” is 208 days, the time from Inauguration Day until the fall of Kabul after the Afghanistan scram in August 2021. President Biden has been a bit of a lame duck ever since, and if polls are right, even more so after Tuesday’s elections. Unknown to many, U.K. pension funds had been hedging against interest rate increases, using derivatives with six or seven times leverage. As inflation hit 10.1%, interest rates were going up no matter what, which caused funds to dump gilts, or bonds, to pay their margin calls, crushing the currency.
Signage is seen at the JPMorgan Chase & Co. New York Head Quarters in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., June 30, 2022. read moreTsingshan has approached at least two LME brokers to become a client or increase credit lines after JPMorgan's actions, two sources with knowledge of the matter said. JPMorgan declined to comment and Tsingshan was not immediately available for comment via phone or email. In March, JPMorgan had the largest exposure of about 10 banks and brokers to large short positions, or bets on prices falling, held by Tsingshan. “And now those clients that have been reliant are finding that the cost of credit and access to liquidity is difficult post the war,” he said.
FTX also extended $500 million to struggling Voyager Digital, which later declared bankruptcy, and was in discussions to acquire South Korean crypto exchange Bithumb. While Bankman-Fried's cryptocurrency exchange FTX is suffering from the downturn in digital assets, he said market share growth helped offset the pain. FTX Trading Ltd. is headquartered in Antigua, with FTX Derivatives Markets based in the Bahamas, where Bankman-Fried lives. FTX Trading has acquired companies in Switzerland, Australia, Cyprus, Germany, Gibraltar, Singapore, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates, among other countries. watch nowLike Buffett, Bankman-Fried signed the Giving Pledge: a promise by the world's wealthiest individuals to donate the majority of their wealth to charity.
Many major second quarter earnings reports have come and gone, but they have revealed a pattern that investors can still take advantage of in coming days, according to Goldman Sachs. "The average stock reporting earnings so far this quarter has traded up 0.8% on their earnings day. Investors that bought calls five days ahead of each earnings report have seen +38% average return on premium so far this earnings season," the Goldman note said. "Looking ahead, we recommend buying calls or replacing stock positions with call options ahead of the remaining earnings reports." Tuesday's earnings report from Starbucks could be good news for Shake Shack.
Investors looking to bet on a stock rebounding after an earnings report may want to consider call options instead, according to Goldman Sachs. Call options can serve as a "stock replacement" because they have limited risk compared to owning a stock outright. If a company reports disappointing earnings and its stock price falls, an investor using call options loses only the premium paid to purchase the derivative contract. Goldman identified several stocks where the firm's analysts are bullish on the stock and where the options environment looks attractive. Datadog said in May that it expected second-quarter growth to slow sequentially, which may have helped dampen expectations ahead of the upcoming earnings report.
Friday is a "triple-witching" day on Wall Street, but members of the Investing Club should not be too concerned about it. It's called that because three types of derivatives all expire on the same day: stock index options, stock index futures and stock options. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
OneMain Financial generally accepts applicants with at least a poor or fair credit score (the exact credit score minimum is not disclosed but for reference, a poor credit score is between 300 and 579 and a fair credit score is between 580 and 669). That's because the lender lets you apply for a personal loan that can be used for business purposes, something most personal loan lenders prohibit. Standout benefits: Universal Credit offers credit monitoring tools to help you monitor any changes to your credit score. More on our picks for best personal loan lenders that accept 580 credit scores or lowerUpstart Personal LoansUpstart is an AI-driven online lending platform that connects borrowers with lenders. Most personal loan lenders consider good to excellent credit scores, which means a FICO score of at least 670.
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The crypto market has dominated headlines as the currency generated stellar returns. Since I was buying crypto in the UK, the process is slightly different than in the US. "eToro Wallet acts as the gateway between the eToro investment platform and the blockchain," said an eToro spokesperson in an email. Crypto needs a bear marketSo with $9.94 of hard-earned cash still sitting in my eToro account, I am left with a bitter taste in my mouth. Some of the most well-regarded crypto products in today's market, such as the FTX exchange and solana, were built in the last crypto winter.
Insider has compiled a searchable list of more than 350 Wall Street recruiters. The database includes recruiters who focus on traders, dealmakers, portfolio managers, and bankers. Wall Street jobs have been in high demand and the trend is only expected to continue in 2022. Buy-side trading firms have been snapping up a slew of star derivatives traders from investment banks. The searchable database contains recruiters who focus on front-office investment professionals — traders, dealmakers, portfolio managers, bankers, and the executives those people report into.
The world's fastest trains -- from China to France
  + stars: | 2021-12-10 | by ( Ben Jones | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +16 min
Chogo/Xinhua/Getty ImagesAs well as boasting the longest network of high-speed lines in the world, China now has the fastest scheduled trains on the planet. A statement of intent by China’s booming railway technology industry, the Fuxing trains have been developed from previous generations of high-speed trains, which were based on technology imported from Europe and Japan. The design also forms the basis of the Siemens “Velaro” family of high-speed trains, which has been sold to Spain, Russia, Turkey, China and to Eurostar for its second generation international trains. Europe’s first dedicated high-speed network is still its best known and most successful, reaching out well beyond France’s borders. Frecciarossa services operate across Italy’s T-shaped high-speed network, linking Turin, Milan and Venice in the north with Bologna, Florence, Rome and Naples.
Persons: Germany's, Philipp von Ditfurth, Thomas Coex, Europe’s, Kiyoshi Ota, Al Boraq, Morocco's Al Boraq, ‘ Al, Boraq, Oriol, Iryo, Frecciarossa, Ed Jones, Alessandro Rota, sandstorms don’t, HHR Organizations: CNN, Japan’s, Vitesse, Getty, Germany's Inter, City Express, Express, Siemens, Eurostar, Bloomberg, JR, Japan Railways, Tohoku, TGV Euroduplex, Alstom, Flickr, Images Spain, Alta Velocidad, Ouigo Espana, Italian State Railways, Alitalia, Arrows, Spanish National Railways, Railway, Haramain, Speed Railway Locations: Scandinavia, Europe, Asia, France, China, Spain, Germany, Italy, Belgium, England, Africa, Morocco, Egypt, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Taiwan, India, Thailand, Russia, United States, Shanghai, Shanghai’s Pudong, Hangzhou, Chogo, Xinhua, Japan, Beijing, Hong Kong, Harbin, Cologne, Frankfurt, Paris, Amsterdam, Brussels, Turkey, AFP, Lyon, Marseille, Bordeaux, Nantes, Strasbourg, Lille, London, Switzerland, Tokyo, Shin, Aomori, Hokkaido, Honshu, Tsugaru Strait, Tangier, Casablanca, Kenitra, Rabat, Oriol Paris, Madrid, Seville, Malaga, Valencia, Galicia, Barcelona, Alta Velocidad Espana, Korea, South, Seoul, Busan, Gwangju, Mokpo, Pyeongchang, Turin, Milan, Venice, Bologna, Florence, Rome, Naples, Saudi, Bandar Aldandani, Mecca, Medina
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Many of them are preparing for the next phase of life in the stock market — one characterized by stimulus uncertainty and a US economic recovery that's lagging the rest of the world. He foresees a so-called squeeze higher for value stocks, and recommends that investors position their portfolios to profit from a rotation away from popular growth names. Look no further:Chart of the weekJPMorganThe JPMorgan chart above — compiled by the firm's quant guru, Marko Kolanovic — shows that value stocks are now trading at a record cheapness relative to growth. Kolanovic's takeaway from this trend is that value stocks are susceptible to a squeeze higher, and investors should rightly position their portfolios ahead of time. — Marko Kolanovic, global head of macro quantitative and derivatives research at JPMorgan, on why he sees a value-stock rally in the cards
If you aren't yet a subscriber to Investing Insider, you can sign up here. Confusing times call for clarity, and the Investing team at Business Insider is here to unpack the ever-changing market landscape. -- JoeJoin Business Insider on July 8 at 12 p.m. Fund manager Aram Green specializes in finding promising companies that are about to start getting a lot more attention. Business Insider spoke with three experts who laid out where they think investors should be looking and putting their money ahead of likely market fluctuations.
In an exclusive interview, the Gamco chairman shared the investing themes he's tracking, including what he's doing in media, healthcare, and utilities. David Dudding's mutual fund has consistently dominated peers, and it's one of the best global stock funds in 2020. He detailed for us the major themes in his portfolio, what he's done since the pandemic started, and his top picks for the future. Commentary/outlooks from top-tier investors and Wall Street firmsBusiness Insider surveyed 10 fund and portfolio managers on various aspects of their strategies in a post-pandemic world. The attractiveness of US assets relative to the rest of the world is brewing a bubble in the stock market, according to equity-derivatives strategists at Bank of America.
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