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☆ Adani Group hires banks to hold bond investor calls after market rout
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-15 | by ( Davide Barbuscia | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

NEW YORK, Feb 15 (Reuters) - India's Adani Group and two of its main subsidiaries caught up in a short-selling storm in recent weeks are to hold calls with bond investors on Feb. 16 and Feb. 21, according to a document seen by Reuters. The planned calls follow a long-awaited credit report issued by the Indian conglomerate earlier this week that said its companies faced no material refinancing risk, or near-term liquidity issues. According to the document sent to investors the call on Thursday for Adani Group will be attended by its Chief Financial Officer (CFO) Jugeshinder Singh and head of Group Corporate Finance Anupam Misra. An Adani Green Energy call also on Thursday will involve its CFO Phuntsok Wangyal, and an Adani Transmission call next week will be attended by its CFO Rohit Soni and CFO of Adani Electricity Kunjal Mehta. Rating agencies S&P Global and Moody's this month revised their outlooks to negative from stable for some of the group's companies, while index provider MSCI said it would cut the weightings of some Adani companies in its stock indexes.

Feb 15 (Reuters) - Index provider MSCI said on Wednesday it will postpone implementation of updates to weightings for two of India's Adani Group companies, Adani Total Gas (ADAG.NS) and Adani Transmission (ADAI.NS), to the May benchmark review. The reversal of the updates to Adani Total Gas and Adani Transmission in the February index review will be reflected in the MSCI Index Product files starting from Feb. 16, MSCI said. MSCI will also apply a special treatment for all Adani Group's associated securities in the MSCI Equity Indexes starting from February. The new index weightings were due to come into effect on March 1 but the proposed changes to Adani Total Gas and Adani Transmission will be delayed until May. MSCI examined the size of companies' free floats, having determined there was "sufficient uncertainty" surrounding some investors in Adani companies.

☆ Inflation rose 0.5% in January, more than expected and up 6.4% from a year ago
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The consumer price index, which measures a broad basket of common goods and services, rose 0.5% in January, which translated to an annual gain of 6.4%. The component accounts for more than one-third of the index and rose 0.7% on the month and was up 7.9% from a year ago. Energy also was a significant contributor, up 2% and 8.7%, respectively, while food costs rose 0.5% and 10.1%, respectively. The central bank has hiked its benchmark interest rate eight times since March 2022 as inflation rose to its highest level in 41 years last summer. That's why some Fed officials, including Powell, say they are looking more closely at core services inflation minus shelter prices in determining the course of policy.

☆ India's largest insurer LIC says it may review stake in Adani after management meeting
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-13 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

watch nowIndia's largest insurer says it "might" review its stake in the embattled Adani Group after meeting with the management. "We propose to speak to them about this ... just to try and understand what's really happening within the organization, within the Adani group." In a further blow, global index provider MSCI last week said it will cut the weightings of some Adani Group businesses, including flagship firm Adani Enterprises. Still, the LIC chairman said the national insurer isn't too concerned about the conglomerate's high debt levels or the recent volatility in Adani's share price. Adani falloutThe Adani fallout has raised concerns about the group's exposure to India's leading banks and insurers.

☆ Asia stocks ease, bonds brace for U.S. data test
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-13 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

read moreOfficials declined to say whether it resembled the large white Chinese balloon that was shot down earlier this month. The near-term direction for assets could well be determined by U.S. data on consumer prices and retail sales this week, with much resting on whether inflation continued to slow in January. Median forecasts are for headline and core consumer prices to rise 0.4% for the month, with sales rebounding by 1.6%. There is also a full slate of Fed officials speaking this week to provide a timely reaction to the data. read moreThe dollar was last holding at 131.50 yen , after bouncing from a low of 129.80 on Friday.

☆ Morning Bid: The waiting game
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Worries over an economic slowdown, the direction of inflation and concerns about the pace of monetary tightening are all weighing on sentiment. But before that, UK GDP data for fourth quarter is due later on Friday and is expected to be flat, according to a Reuters poll. That's the third time it has scaled a new peak in less than a week and the GDP report will likely influence the market on the day. Investors are also waiting for Japan's government to present the new Bank of Japan governor nominee, also due on Tuesday. Since short-seller Hindenburg published its report on Adani last month, some $110 billion has been wiped off the value of the group's main seven listed firms.

SYDNEY, Feb 10 (Reuters) - Index provider MSCI said it has cut the free-float designations of four securities of India's Adani group, a move which analysts have warned could impact their index weightings. MSCI said in a statement it has reduced the free floats of Adani Enterprises (ADEL.NS), Adani Total Gas (ADAG.NS), Adani Transmission (ADAI.NS) and ACC (ACC.NS). The remaining companies' free floats will remain the same. The four companies for which the free float designation change was announced had a combined 0.4% weighting in the MSCI emerging markets index as of Jan. 30. Analysts had said a change in free float status could affect the weightings of MSCI index constituents, possibly triggering a shift by funds as many investments are aligned to such indexes.

☆ MSCI to cut weighting of four Adani firms in wake of Hindenburg report
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

People walk past a screen displaying news featuring on Adani Group inside the BSE building in Mumbai, India, on Thursday, Feb. 2, 2023. Index provider MSCI said it will cut the weightings of four Adani Group companies, including flagship firm Adani Enterprises , in its indexes after reassessing the number of shares that are freely traded. The move comes in the wake of a Jan. 24 report by U.S. short seller Hindenburg Research that has accused the Indian conglomerate of improper use of offshore tax havens and stock manipulation. The Hindenburg report has plunged the group, led by billionaire Gautam Adani, into crisis, wiping some $110 billion off the value of the group's main seven listed firms. In addition to Adani Enterprises — the group's coal-miner-cum-incubator for new projects, MSCI also plans to cut the weightings for Adani Total Gas — a venture with France's TotalEnergies and Adani Transmission , a power transmission company.

☆ Morning Bid: Volatility stirs
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

World markets end a rough week of confusing and competing narratives in distinctly edgy form, with peculiarly subdued volatility gauges flickering back to life. Both 10 and 30-year yields hit their highest levels in over a month early on Friday. Job shedding in the digital sector continued, with Yahoo's plans to lay off more than 20% of its total workforce. That said, the year-on-year oil price trend continues to be negative, as it's been all year and base effects from last year's price spike around the Ukraine invasion will only deepen that and weigh on headline inflation further. Goldman Sachs lowered its oil price forecasts for this year and next, cutting its Brent 2023 price forecast by $6 to $92 per barrel - still above current levels around $86.

☆ Gautam Adani will be playing defense for a while after mauling by Hindenburg
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The sprawling Adani Group, which he founded over 30 years ago, has established interests in industries ranging from logistics to mining. “We view this as validation of our findings on offshore stock parking by Adani,” Hindenburg founder Nate Anderson said on Twitter. In its report, Hindenburg had alleged that “offshore shells and funds tied to the Adani Group comprise many of the largest ‘public’ holders of Adani stock.”An Adani Group spokesperson declined to comment. Meanwhile, Norway’s sovereign wealth fund, said Thursday it has “for all practical purposes…fully divested,” from the Adani companies. The loans were backed by shares in Adani Ports, Adani Green Energy and Adani Transmission.

☆ Indian shares fall on rising U.S. recession fears; MSCI's Adani take
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

BENGALURU, Feb 10 (Reuters) - Indian shares fell on Friday, tracking a slide in global equities on fears of a looming U.S. recession, and as sentiment soured after index provider MSCI said it will cut the weightings of four Adani Group companies. Asian markets fell, with the MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) sliding 1.23%. However, Indian equities have a limited downside due to significant correction and markets will likely witness sideways movement in the next few weeks in the absence of any major triggers, two analysts said. Most Adani group stocks extended their decline in Friday's session. If the MSCI cuts weightings on Adani group companies, it would have a bearing on the flows into the respective stocks," Solanki added.

One U.S. holder of Adani bonds looked to buy more this week but said his trade orders were not being executed because of lack of available paper. Another U.S. based emerging markets focused money manager who held Adani bonds said he was sitting tight on his position. Indian companies have not been prolific issuers of U.S. dollar bonds and Adani's bonds with secured assets were seen as providing direct, quality exposure to the fast-growing economy. Another source, a U.S. based hedge fund manager, said he was looking to short Adani's dollar bonds after the Hindenburg report but was finding it difficult to borrow bonds to sell. Bid-offer spreads, a measure of liquidity, widened significantly after the Hindenburg report, Tradeweb data showed.

☆ Adani Group reels after report from U.S. short-seller Hindenburg
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

It says it holds short positions in Adani Group companies through U.S.-traded bonds and non-Indian-traded derivative instruments. JAN. 26* Adani Group says it is evaluating "remedial and punitive action" against Hindenburg under U.S. and Indian laws. JAN 28* Index provider MSCI says it is seeking feedback on Adani Group and associated securities and is aware of the Hindenburg report. JAN 30* Adani Group issues a detailed riposte to the Hindenburg report, saying it complies with all local laws and had made the necessary regulatory disclosures. * Index provider MSCI says it will cut weightings of four Adani Group companies, including Adani Enterprises, in its indexes after reassessing the number of freely traded shares.

The Adani Group has denied any wrongdoing. "Depending on the outcome of the MSCI review, we could see more pressure on select Adani group stocks." "This determination has triggered a free float review of the Adani Group securities." Adani Group did not respond to a Reuters request for comment. They accuse his government of giving undue favours to the Adani Group, a charge denied by the government and the company.

"Depending on the outcome of the MSCI review, we could see more pressure on select Adani group stocks." "MSCI has determined that the characteristics of certain investors have sufficient uncertainty that they should no longer be designated as free float ... This determination has triggered a free float review of the Adani Group securities," it added. Adani group did not respond to a Reuters request for comment. Adani Transmission (ADAI.NS), Adani Total Gas (ADAG.NS) and Adani Power (ADAN.NS) were each down 5%, while Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSE.NS) were down nearly 2.9%.

☆ Rebounding EM stocks pass "bull market" threshold
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Fast-charging emerging market stocks were entered so-called "bull market" territory on Monday, as another China-driven surge in Asia's biggest bourses pushed MSCI's main EM index 20% above its last major trough back in October. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index (.MSCIEF), which jumped 2.4% in its fifth straight sessions of gains on Monday, covers 24 countries and almost 1,400 firms. Chinese stocks, which account for a third of the MSCIEF index and far more when China-focused firms listed elsewhere are included, have surged almost 45% since the lows. Taiwanese stocks and South Korean stocks which have respective 13.8% and 11.3% MSCIEF weightings have also jumped roughly 18% and 20%. Reuters GraphicsReporting by Marc Jones; Editing by Hugh LawsonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ RBC gives its top picks for 2023, including a surprising automaker
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-05 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

In that note, RBC shared its quarterly refresh of its top 30 "high-conviction, long-term ideas," which includes global names with an outperform rating by RBC analysts. Recovery in individual portfolios may be slow-moving, but RBC's top picks have a track record of beating the global market. The firm's price target on Ferrari implies about 32% upside. Cybersecurity stock Palo Alto Networks has the highest potential return of the group, with a price target of $233. The firm has a $165 price target on the stock, nearly 60% greater than Tuesday's closing price.

☆ Buy these 30 stocks that are all on track to outperform a 'flattish' market in 2023, according to RBC, which says it's safe to bet on Facebook parent Meta this year
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-04 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

RBC says its list of 30 favorite global stocks has steadily outperformed over the past 3 years. The group is made up of Global Head of Research Graeme Pearson, Head of US Research Mark Odendahl, Head of Canadian & APAC Research André‐Philippe Hardy, and Head of European Research & Global Head of Research Product Management Michael Hall. Painful as that is, its benchmark, the MSCI World Net Total Return Index, suffered an even bigger loss of 18.4%. Since the end of 2019, the firm adds that the top 30 list "has delivered a total return of +23.2%, above the benchmark at +15.6%." The 30 stocks are ranked here from lowest to highest based on the total return (share price and dividends) that RBC expects them to deliver in 2023.

☆ A China ‘spending boom?’ Your guide to emerging market investing in 2023
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-26 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

"We're going to have a spending boom in China, at least in the first half of the year," said Mehran Nakhjavani, emerging market strategist at MRB Partners. How to play emerging markets in 2023 Regardless, there are several ways for investors to get exposure to emerging markets. Perhaps the easiest way is by investing in the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM). Another vehicle through which to play emerging markets is the First Trust Emerging Markets Small Cap AlphaDex ETF (FEMS) . The fund is the best-performing emerging markets ETF this year, according to Morningstar, with a year-to-date return of just over 1%.

☆ The Dow's yearly performance is beating the S&P 500 by the most in decades. Here's why
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-21 | by ( Carmen Reinicke | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The S & P 500 has shed more than 18% on the same basis, and the Nasdaq Composite is down more than 32% . It's rare that the Dow would beat out the S & P 500 on a total-return basis at all. "Over time, the Dow correlates with the S & P 500," said Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst for S & P Dow Jones Indices. On the flipside, large tech names in the S & P 500 have done much worse. In addition, Wall Street analysts say it is unlikely that the Dow will again outperform the S & P 500 in 2023.

☆ A tech rebound may be needed for a full market recovery. These are the stocks that could lead
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-26 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The S & P 500, meanwhile, is down 15.5% this year, dragged down by the communication services and information technology sectors, along with consumer discretionary. The Nasdaq is up 6% in the fourth quarter, while the S & P 500 has surged 12% in that time. But, some investors think tech's cooperation will be needed for the market to bounce back from this bear market. "[Tech stocks] have to participate, they have to move up to get a big market move," the company's co-chief investment officer said. Tech stocks that could lead Given this backdrop, CNBC Pro searched for stocks in the Nasdaq 100 — which is made up of the 100-largest Composite stocks — that could lead tech out of its rut.

☆ Investors have been fleeing Big Tech for 'old economy' stocks. Here’s what it means for our holdings
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-11 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

The largely abysmal results for the last quarter led Jim Cramer to urge investors to limit their exposure to tech and semiconductor stocks . The market cap of the Club's five Big Tech stocks are collectively down 42% over the last 12 months, as of Thursday's close, according to FactSet. Here's a closer look at each of our tech stock's valuation changes, along with our analysis, too. Being close to its 5-year average valuation doesn't make it the most enticing P/E compared to other tech stocks whose valuations have dropped more than their historical averages. Meta Platforms (META) Meta currently trades at 13.6 times forward earnings estimates, compared with the 5-year average of 21.8 times.

"From a markets perspective, you have to be cautious going forward," said Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading. "They're the biggest stocks in the market, and we really haven't had much of anything good come out of any of them." The Fed has already raised rates by 300 basis points this year as it fights the worst inflation in decades. "The big technology companies like Amazon continued hiring to support a business that looks like the year 2021, and it's not 2021. Despite the big stock price drops, some investors see more pain for the big tech-focused names.

☆ Wall Street Week Ahead: Megacap earnings to test fledgling U.S. stock rebound
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Top stocks' market value as percentage of S&P 500The S&P 500 is up nearly 5% from its Oct 12 closing low for the year after posting its biggest weekly gain since late June. Even with stocks' latest rebound, the index has dropped 21% so far in 2022, on track for its biggest decline since 2008. Yields continued to rise this week, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note hitting a fresh 14-year high. All four stocks command higher valuations than the S&P 500, which trades at nearly 16 times forward earnings estimates. The P/Es for Apple and Microsoft are both about 22 times, Alphabet trades at 17.5 times, while Amazon sits at 60 times, according to Refinitiv Datastream.

☆ Goldman Sachs details how to invest in each stock-market sector to protect your portfolio from the serious risks of inflation and higher rates — and cash in on the remaining upside
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Federal Reserve officials have grown increasingly more aggressive in their battle against inflation by raising interest rates in large 75-basis-point increments. In an October 18 note, Kostin outlined how to invest in each S&P 500 sector and cash in on the remaining upside amid inflation risks. "Our overweight sector recommendations are generally defensive and reflect the significant risks to earnings and valuation in an environment of elevated inflation and interest rates," Kostin wrote. Thanks in part to higher oil prices, energy is the only S&P 500 sector in the green year-to-date. Finally, an investment in Consumer Durables and Apparel "offers counter-balance of exposure to a group within a cyclical sector," Kostin wrote.

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