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"The number of voices advocating a pause is multiplying as the data roll in," said one of the sources, who asked not to be named. Several of the sources said they saw chances evenly split between a hike and a pause, while a smaller number saw a pause as more likely. But none said they saw a hike as the most likely outcome, even if that was their preference. That marks a distinct shift from six weeks ago when a hike was still seen as most likely in September. Arguments for a pause centre on growing recession fears, the rapid deterioration of China's growth outlook, benign wage growth readings and arguments that past ECB hikes are increasingly working their way through the economy.
Persons: Wolfgang Rattay, JACKSON, Jackson, Balazs Koranyi, Mark John, Catherine Evans Organizations: European Central Bank, REUTERS, Central Bank, ECB, U.S, U.S . Federal, Employment, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, , Wyoming, Europe, U.S .
[1/2] People walk past the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) sign at its building on the Financial Street in Beijing, China July 9, 2021. Fang Xinghai, a vice chairman of the CSRC hosted the meeting from Beijing, the sources said. An executive from Fidelity International was among those from the large funds attending, according to one of the sources. Bloomberg first reported the CSRC meeting on Friday. However, the modest stimulus has so far failed to satisfy investors, who want a stronger policy response, including massive government spending.
Persons: Tingshu Wang, HONG KONG, Fang Xinghai, Selena Li, Sumeet Chatterjee, Sharon Singleton Organizations: China Securities Regulatory Commission, REUTERS, Reuters, The China Securities, Regulatory, Fidelity International, Fidelity, Bloomberg, Thomson Locations: China, Beijing, HONG
REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsZURICH, Aug 24 (Reuters) - GAM (GAMH.S) has entered into discussions with French billionaire Xavier Niel's NewGAMe shareholder group after a takeover offer from Britain's Liontrust failed to gain the required level of support. "The GAM Board acknowledges that the majority of our shareholders have not found the Liontrust Offer compelling. GAM shares fell 5.08% shortly after market open, whereas Liontrust recorded a 10.37% gain. Liontrust had made its offer conditional on winning the backing of two-thirds of GAM's shareholders in a prospectus it published in June. The investor group, led by Niel's NewGAMe and asset manager Bruellan, have vehemently opposed the all-share offer, saying in July that it "grossly undervalues GAM".
Persons: Arnd, Xavier Niel's, Britain's Liontrust, Liontrust, GAM's, David Jacob, Niel's NewGAMe, Bruellan, Brenna Hughes, Friederike Heine, Jason Neely, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, GAM, Thomson Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, British, Liontrust
China is being hit by a "debt supercycle" that began with the 2008 financial crisis, Kenneth Rogoff said. While Beijing has a strong record of containing economic fires, today's crisis of slowing growth and high debt is unprecedented, he added. "The debt supercycle may have lasted longer than initially expected, perhaps because of the pandemic. But it was a critical piece of the story, and now, as China's economy falters, it is the best explanation for what might come next," he later added. Trouble for China's economy could stretch on over the long-term as it faces poor growth prospects, experts have warned.
Persons: Kenneth Rogoff, Rogoff Organizations: Service, Project Syndicate, Harvard Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, , Europe, Beijing
Russia's state space corporation, Roskosmos, said an "abnormal situation" occurred as mission control tried to move the craft into a pre-landing orbit at 11:10 GMT on Saturday, ahead of a planned touchdown slated for Monday. "During the operation, an abnormal situation occurred on board the automatic station, which did not allow the manoeuvre to be performed with the specified parameters," Roskosmos said in a short statement. Russia has not attempted a moon mission since Luna-24 in 1976, when Leonid Brezhnev ruled the Kremlin. Luna-25 was supposed to execute a soft landing on the south pole of the moon on Aug. 21, according to Russian space officials. It was not immediately clear from official sources how serious the "abnormal situation" was - and whether or not Moscow could save the situation.
Persons: Luna, Roskosmos, Yuri Gagarin, Leonid Brezhnev, Alexander Ivanov, Guy Faulconbridge, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Kremlin, India, Thomson Locations: Handout, MOSCOW, Moscow, Soviet, Russia, China, United States, Ukraine
Yields on one-year real estate bonds rated AA- have widened 220 bps in the past month, data from Chinabond shows. That divergence reflects investors' expectations that Beijing will support LGFVs in order to minimise financial contagion, despite rising delinquencies among developers. Yields on LGFV bonds issued in August averaged around 3.9%, the lowest seen this year, according to data provider Dealing Matrix(DM). The chorus of economists calling for China to support LGFVs as part of measures to shore up the economy has grown. Chi Lo, Hong Kong-based senior economist at BNP Paribas Asset Management, said Beijing needs to refinance LGFV debt over the next three to five years to prevent the system from imploding.
Persons: Aly, Zhu Yangmo, LGFVs, Zhu, Chi Lo, Li Gu, Samuel Shen, Tom Westbrook, Vidya Ranganathan, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, China Central Depository, Asset Management, Garden Holdings, HK, China International Capital Corp, Tianjin Infrastructure Investment Group, AAA, China, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Rights SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, Hainan, Beijing, Tianjin, Hong Kong, imploding, Singapore
The "undermanaging" boss can be as toxic as micromanagers, a workplace expert said. A pushover boss can also hinder an employee's professional development. The undermanaging boss falters at the prospect of making difficult decisions and "will experience decision paralysis, making a bad situation even worse," according to Legg. Legg says that this type of manager is a "lazy boss who lacks the courage or work ethic to really coach and lead." Cain said the characteristics of a pushover boss include indecisiveness, fleeing confrontation, going with the flow, and letting workers walk all over them.
Persons: Undermanagers, Kevin Legg, Sage, falters, Legg, Áine Cain, Cain, indecisiveness, isn't Organizations: Service, Privacy, Workers, CNBC Locations: Wall, Silicon
China swings into deflation as recovery falters
  + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Reuters Staff | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
BEIJING (Reuters) -China’s consumer prices fell into deflation in July, while factory gate prices extended their declines, as the world’s second-largest economy struggled to revive demand and pressure mounted for authorities to release more direct stimulus. FILE PHOTO: Staff sort fruits at a Walmart in Beijing, China, September 23, 2019. China’s economic recovery slowed after a brisk start in the first quarter, as demand at home and abroad weakened. “Both CPI and PPI in year-on-year terms fell into negative territory and confirmed economic deflation,” said Xing Zhaopeng, senior China strategist at ANZ. Otherwise, economic data showing some growth improvement is required, which is not coming through yet.”JAPAN-STYLE DEFLATION?
Persons: Tingshu Wang, , , Xing Zhaopeng, Xing, Frances Cheung, Japan’s “, Liu Guoqiang Organizations: Walmart, REUTERS, National Bureau of Statistics, Authorities, CPI, PPI, ANZ, , OCBC Bank, NBS, Investors Locations: BEIJING, Beijing, China, Shanghai, Singapore, JAPAN, Brazil
REUTERS/Mike Blake/File PhotoAug 9 (Reuters) - Lyft's shares tumbled more than 7% on Wednesday as investors feared the ride-hailing platform's focus on competitive pricing to gain market share would muddy its path to profitability. Lyft (LYFT.O) said on Tuesday it expects an operating profit of $75 million to $85 million for the third quarter. At least seven analysts cut their price targets on Lyft's shares and more than nine downgraded the stock, while two upgraded it. Median target price for the stock is $11, according to Refinitiv data. Lyft's stock suffers as post-pandemic recovery faltersReporting by Akash Sriram in Bengaluru; Editing by Saumyadeb Chakrabarty and Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Uber, Mike Blake, Jake Fuller, Morningstar, Ali Mogharabi, Dara Khosrowshahi, Akash Sriram, Saumyadeb Chakrabarty, Shounak Organizations: Los Angeles International, REUTERS, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: California, Los Angeles , California, U.S, North America, Bengaluru
The squeeze has already claimed its first casualty in electric truck maker Lordstown Motors (RIDEQ.PK), which filed for bankruptcy in June. Companies including Lucid (LCID.O) and Nikola (NKLA.O) are likely to report another quarter of steep cash burn, as they continue to struggle with production and demand. Nikola, which reiterated a going-concern warning in May, is expected to report a 15% decline in revenue and widening losses on Friday. Its shares have rallied nearly 40% this year as the company attempts to reduce its cash burn with layoffs and the liquidation of a recently acquired battery business. But the company missed its production target in the quarter due to a parts shortage.
Persons: Thomas Peter, Tesla, Nikola, Thomas Hayes, Hayes, Needham, Chris Pierce, Akash Sriram, Sayantani Ghosh, Devika Organizations: REUTERS, Ford, Lordstown, Rivian, Visible Alpha, Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, Bengaluru
A glass of milk could soon cost a lot less due to China's economic slump. Whole milk powder prices slumped to a three-year low as Chinese demand for dairy products slides. With demand struggling to recover after the pandemic, whole milk powder prices have been sliding, Bloomberg reported. The average price for a ton of milk powder has tumbled to $2,864 – the lowest level since June 2020, per the GlobalDairyTrade. Economic growth for the three months to June 30 also badly missed economists' expectations of 7.3%, rising just 6.3%.
Persons: Per, Emma Higgins Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Per Bloomberg Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, New Zealand
But when it comes to Mr. Trump and the senior people around him, this obstruction charge is much broader than the assault on the Capitol. And aiding and abetting is part of the theory of the obstruction charge in Count 3. It’s a belt-and-suspenders approach: If a legal issue arises that weakens or eliminates one charge, the others remain, and the case can continue. One charge that was not included in the indictment falls under 18 U.S.C. This charge was part of the referral from the Jan. 6 committee.
Persons: Trump, Smith Organizations: Capitol, Count Locations: United States
GOP presidential candidate and Florida Gov. Likely Republican voters, however, told the New York Times they'd prefer the government stay away from limiting what corporations can support. Ron DeSantis' presidential campaign is in hot water after a majority of likely Republican voters said they want the government to stay away from influencing what corporations can and can't support. As he continues to double and triple-down on his anti-woke schtick, it doesn't seem like it's doing him many favors in the race to become the GOP presidential nominee. But as his presidential campaign falters and likely GOP voters make it clear that fighting "wokeism" isn't a priority, DeSantis keeps belaboring the point.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Bud Light, it's, Donald Trump, falters, Dylan Mulvaney, Bud Light's, Sen, Marco Rubio Organizations: Florida Gov, Republican, New York Times, Service, GOP, AB InBev Locations: Wall, Silicon, Florida
A super PAC backing Republican presidential candidate Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C. on Monday disclosed major donations from some of the nation's wealthiest business leaders. Between April and June this year, he gave $80,000 to the PAC backing Scott, who only officially entered the race in May. He also gave $15 million to Club for Growth Action, a separate super PAC that is taking on Trump's latest run for president. Rowan donated $250,000 to a different pro-Scott super PAC, Trust In The Mission (TIM) PAC, last quarter. Ben Navarro, a South Carolina businessman and CEO of Sherman Financial Group, donated $5 million to the same committee.
Persons: Sen, Tim Scott, Scott, Nelson Peltz, Jeffrey Yass, Stanley Druckenmiller, Peltz, Trump, Ron DeSantis, GOP megadonor, Druckenmiller, Marc Rowan, Rowan, Ben Navarro Organizations: PAC, Wall Street, Scott Opportunity, Federal, Commission, Trump, Trian Fund Management, Capitol, Florida Gov, GOP, Susquehanna International Group, Scott, for Growth, Opportunity Matters, Hamptons, Apollo Global Management, Trust, Sherman Financial Group Locations: Florida, Yass, South Carolina
Higher interest rates helped UniCredit (CRDI.MI) strongly beat earnings expectations in the second quarter. Germany's financial regulator BaFin has been calling on banks to raise the amount of money they set aside for bad loans. Deutsche Bank on Wednesday said provisions for bad loans nearly doubled in the second quarter from a year earlier to 401 million euros. Santander's financial chief said bad loans in Brazil may have already peaked. This sent the bank's shares up around 2% on Wednesday, with Jefferies saying that it sees upside potential to net interest income.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Lloyd's, Andrea Orcel, BaFin, James von Moltke, UniCredit, Jefferies, Tom Sims, Jane Merriman Organizations: Germany's Deutsche Bank, REUTERS, Deutsche Bank, Lloyds Banking Group, Lloyds, JPMorgan, Monetary Fund, European Central Bank, Union, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, MILAN, MADRID, Europe, Spain, Santander, Brazil
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) slipped 0.5%, heading for a weekly loss of 1.8%. Shares of Taiwanese chipmaker TSMC (2330.TW) slumped 3.3%, after the world's largest contract chipmaker flagged a 10% drop in 2023 sales. The U.S. dollar index was little changed at 100.78, after advancing 0.5% overnight, the biggest one-day gain since mid-May. The Australian dollar gave up almost all of its gains made after a strong local jobs data release to hover below 68 cents. Brent crude futures were up 0.8% at $80.27 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 0.8% to $76.25.
Persons: BOJ, TSMC, HSI, Wanda, Betty Wang, Stella Qiu, Lincoln Organizations: Netflix, Fed, ECB, Tesla, Treasury, Nasdaq, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei, HK, ANZ, U.S, Australian, TD Securities, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, Beijing, Europe
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) dropped 0.5%, heading for a weekly loss of 1.8%. China's bluechips (.CSI300) dipped 0.2% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index (.HSI) bucked the trend with a gain of 0.4%. The onshore yuan was 0.2% higher at 7.1674 per dollar after the central bank set a much stronger guidance rate than expected. The U.S. dollar index was little changed at 100.78, after advancing 0.5% overnight, the biggest one-day gain since mid-May. The Australian dollar gave up almost all of its gains made after a strong local jobs data release to hover below 68 cents.
Persons: BOJ, Tesla, TSMC, China's, Wanda, Tony Sycamore, Stella Qiu, Lincoln Organizations: Netflix, Fed, ECB, Treasury, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei, Authorities, Nasdaq, Tesla, IG, Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Federal Reserve, U.S, Australian, European Central Bank, TD Securities, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Japan
July 21 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The regional data focus on Friday will be the latest consumer inflation figures from Japan. Core consumer inflation likely re-accelerated in June to a 3.3% annual rate from 3.2% the previous month, staying above the central bank's 2% target for the 15th straight month. In its mid-year review, the government expects overall consumer inflation to hit 2.6% for the fiscal year that began in April, up sharply from 1.7% projected in January. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Jamie McGeever, Thursday's, Dow Jones Industrials, Johnson, Kazuo Ueda, Janet Yellen, Josie Kao Organizations: Nasdaq, Netflix, Johnson, U.S, Treasury, Bank of Japan's, . Treasury, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Asia, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam
Aussie surges after strong jobs data; China's yuan jumps
  + stars: | 2023-07-20 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
"Ultimately, it's another strong set of employment figures which keeps the pressure on a data-dependant (Reserve Bank of Australia) to potentially hike rates in August." The offshore yuan last bought 7.1901 per dollar, while the onshore yuan strengthened past 7.18 per dollar to a session-high of 7.1620. RATES OUTLOOKIn the broader currency market, sterling was nursing deep losses after a sharp fall in the previous session following Britain's inflation data, which undershot market expectations. "The market I think is a bit more reasonable now with its expectations for rate hikes by the BoE. "We thought (the fall) was too strong, so it looks like the dollar has regained some of those losses," said CBA's Capurso.
Persons: David Gray, Matt Simpson, it's, Ken Cheung, BoE, Joseph Capurso, Yannis Stournaras, CBA's Capurso, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes, Jamie Freed Organizations: REUTERS, Australian, New Zealand, Bank of Australia, prudential, U.S ., People's Bank of, Mizuho Bank, Bank of England, Traders, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Central Bank, U.S, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, SINGAPORE, China, Asia
In June, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) declared that an El Nino is now under way. Meteorologists expect that this El Nino, coupled with excess warming from climate change, will see the world grapple with record-high temperatures. Here is how El Nino will unfold and some of the weather we might expect:WHAT CAUSES AN EL NINO? El Nino could offer a reprieve to the Horn of Africa, which recently suffered five consecutive failed rainy seasons. Historically, both El Nino and La Nina have occurred about every two to seven years on average, with El Nino lasting 9 to 12 months.
Persons: Kim Hong, heatwaves, El, El Nino, Michelle L'Heureux, Tom DiLiberto, DiLiberto, La Nina, Nina, Gloria Dickie, Jake Spring, Angus MacSwan, Sandra Maler Organizations: REUTERS, Nino, Reuters, El Nino, U.S . National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, El, Graphics, el nino, NINO, U.S . West, La, Sao Paulo, Thomson Locations: Cheongju, South Korea, China, United States, Beijing, Rome, Americas, Asia, El, Pacific, Peru, Philippines, Canada, Central, South America, Australia, of Africa, Eastern Pacific, El Nino, London, Sao
REUTERS/Jorge SilvaBANGKOK/NEW DELHI, July 17 (Reuters) - Indian tourists are streaming into Southeast Asia, cementing the world most populous country's position as a key growth market for a travel and tourism sector that is feeling the pinch of China's slower-than-expected re-opening. "Southeast Asia is obviously very well positioned for a lot of the growth that is inevitably going to come from India," aviation analyst Brendan Sobie told an industry conference last month. Tanes Petsuwan, deputy governor of the Tourism Authority of Thailand said 1.6 million Indians were expected to visit the kingdom this year. Indians are helping to sustain a post-pandemic rebound for hospitality chains, including Minor Hotels, which has 45 properties in Southeast Asia with more than 6,000 rooms. Thailand's central bank expects 29 million visitors this year and 35.5 million in 2024.
Persons: Jorge Silva, Brendan Sobie, Tanes Petsuwan, Chai Eamsiri, Chai, Vinay Malhotra, IndiGo's, Sobie, Dillip, Pratyush Tripathy, That's, Somsong Sachaphimukh, Somsong, Pasit, Stefanno Sulaiman, Neil Jerome Morales, Robert Birsel Organizations: REUTERS, Jorge Silva BANGKOK, Thai Airways, Organisation for Economic Cooperation, Reuters, Asian Development Bank, Tourism Authority, IndiGo, Airbus, Minor, Bank of, Tourism Council of, Thomson Locations: India, Thailand, Patong, Phuket, DELHI, Asia, China, Thai, Singapore, Indonesia, Southeast Asia, Jakarta, Bangkok, Kolkata, Pattaya, Europe, United States, Thailand's, Bank of Thailand, Tourism Council of Thailand, BANGKOK, JAKARTA, MANILA
China’s economy is flashing many warning signs. Weak spending is pushing China close to a dangerous trend known as deflation: Consumer prices are flat, and wholesale prices paid by companies are actually falling. “It’s not a strong recovery; the economy is quite weak,” said Wang Dan, the chief economist at Hang Seng Bank China. Some companies are also moving supply chains out of China, which will have a longer-lasting effect on exports, Mr. Fattal said. But a huge accumulation of debt, particularly at the level of local governments, has made that hard to do.
Persons: , Diana Choyleva, “ It’s, Wang Dan, Richard Fattal, Fattal, Lou Jiwei, Cui Dongshu, Fu Linghui, Lou, Ms, Wang, Li You Organizations: Enodo, National Bureau, Statistics, Investment, Hang Seng Bank China, National Bureau of Statistics, Administration, Customs, Companies, Workers, China, China Passenger Car Association Locations: Shanghai, London, China, Baoding, United States, Europe
Prices were also unchanged from a year earlier, retreating from a 0.1% increase in May. The property sector, accounting for one-fourth of activity in the world's second-biggest economy, slumped sharply last year as developers defaulted on debts and suspended construction of presold housing projects. Markets widely expect more stimulus around a meeting of the ruling Communist Party's Politburo late this month, setting the tone for economic policies in the second half of the year. Thirty-one of the 70 cities monitored by NBS recorded month-on-month rises in new home prices, down from 46 in May. Prices were flat after rising in May in tier-one cities including Beijing and tier-two cities.
Persons: Chen Xiao, Hunter, Chen, Zou Lan, Goldman Sachs, dampening, Qiaoyi Li, Liangping Gao, Ryan Woo, Kim Coghill, William Mallard Organizations: National Bureau of Statistics, Communist Party's Politburo, Zhuge, NBS, People's Bank of China, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, Beijing
After 16 months of fighting, most of Russia's air force remains intact. And even though Russia has a vastly larger air force, other issues may keep it from operating effectively, according to two NATO air commanders. Royal Air Force Air Chief Marshal Rich Knighton at the Global Air & Space Chiefs’ Conference on July 13, 2023. Massicot and others say Russia's air force could still exploit its numerical advantage if Ukraine's air-defenses network falters, though other factors could inhibit Russian air operations going forward. "The Russians have recapitalized a fair amount of their tactical air force, and they've done a lot on the weapons front as well.
Persons: Rich Knighton, Knighton, Muhammed Enes Yildirim, James Hecker, " Hecker, Hecker, hasn't, We've, Dara Massicot, Johnny Stringer, Stringer Organizations: NATO, Service, Royal Air, Jets, Global Air & Space Chiefs, Conference, Air, British Defence Intelligence, Royal Air Force Air, Global Air & Space Chiefs ’ Conference, Space Power Association, YouTube, Ukrainian Air Force, Russian, Anadolu Agency, Getty, US Air Forces, NATO's Allied Air Command, Aircraft, Russian Ministry of Defense, Rand Corporation, British Air Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Ukrainian, London, Donetsk, Europe, Poland, Romania, Russian, Bakhmut, Kherson, Massicot
BEIJING, July 13 (Reuters) - China's exports contracted last month at their fastest pace since the onset three years ago of the COVID-19 pandemic, as an ailing global economy puts mounting pressure on Chinese policymakers for fresh stimulus measures. Momentum in China's post-pandemic recovery has slowed after a brisk pickup in the first quarter, with analysts now downgrading their projections for the economy for the rest of the year as factory output slows in the face of persistently weak global demand. Outbound shipments from the world's second-largest economy slumped a worse-than-expected 12.4% year-on-year in June, data from China's Customs Bureau showed on Thursday, following a drop of 7.5% in May. Imports contracted 6.8%, steeper than an expected 4.0% decline and the previous month's 4.5% fall. With exports accounting for about one-fifth of the economy and the troubled property sector for about one-third, China's prospects have dimmed for a quick recovery after COVID-related lockdowns battered the economy in 2022.
Persons: Zichun Huang, Xu Tianchen, Li Qiang, Zhiwei Zhang, Joe Cash, Ellen Zhang, Edmund Klamann Organizations: Customs, . Imports, Reuters, Capital Economics, Administration of Customs, Exports, Economist Intelligence Unit, Management, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, China, Beijing, United States, Russia
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