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☆ The Fed should hold off on any easing at all, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed should hold off on any easing at all, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, latest market trends, the Fed's rate path outlook, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ Quality stocks are dominating the market, up 25% in the past year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-27 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Among the most broadly played investment "factors" — including value, momentum, low volatility, dividend yield — quality has dominated the market, the representative iShares MSCI USA Quality ETF (QUAL) up 25% in the past year, compared to 13% for S & P 500 value and less than 5% for the equal-weighted S & P 500. Even within industry sectors, the stocks with higher quality scores have sped ahead ( Costco in retail, WW Grainger in industrials, etc.). The quality label is based on strong balance sheets, high and steady profit margins, consistency of earnings growth and the like. Sure, there are multi-year secular growth stories animating the AI innovators and weight-loss-drug developers, but most quality stocks stand out for steadiness. Any give-back of the leading quality growth names wouldn't be easily absorbed by the broader market.

Persons: iShares, WW Grainger, Berkshire Hathaway, Goldman Sachs, FactSet, Michael Gates, Ed Yardeni, it's, Jerome Powell Organizations: Costco, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Visa, Mastercard, Nike, Bank of America, Citi, Invest, BlackRock's, Yardeni Research Locations: industrials, Berkshire

☆ The US economy is likely headed for another 'roaring '20s' of rapid growth, market veteran says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The US economy may be about to relive the "roaring '20s," according to Ed Yardeni. "We're in the early stages of a productivity growth boom," the veteran strategist told Bloomberg. His comments come with the economy expanding at a stronger-than-expected pace and the S&P 500 trading at an all-time high. AdvertisementVeteran market strategist Ed Yardeni thinks the US economy might be about to relive the "roaring '20s". I think we've got a technology revolution that started in the 1990s… every company is a technology company.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Bloomberg, —, Merryn, he's, We've, we've Organizations: Service, Yardeni, Bloomberg, UBS Locations: Swiss

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors prepare for GDP report: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were little changed as investors readied for the fourth-quarter gross domestic product report. Futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures flickered near the flat line. In after-hours action, electric vehicle maker Tesla slumped more than 5% after the company missed fourth-quarter estimates on the top and bottom lines. During regular trading Wednesday, a post-earnings surge in Netflix shares helped carry the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite to a fifth winning day. On the earnings front, health-care giant Humana is expected to report before the bell, along with Southwest Airlines and American Airlines.

Persons: Tesla, I've, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, IBM, Netflix, Dow Jones, Yardeni Research, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Intel, Mobile, Western Digital

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Ed Yardeni and Requisite's Bryn Talkington
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Ed Yardeni and Requisite's Bryn TalkingtonEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, and Bryn Talkington, Requisite Capital Management managing partner, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss their market watchlist and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Bryn, Bryn Talkington Organizations: Yardeni Research, Capital Management

☆ The Fed will make a mistake to lower interest rates, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed will make a mistake to lower interest rates, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss what he's watching in the market and why he's now a hesitant bull.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni, he's Organizations: Yardeni

☆ Yardeni worries the Fed could fuel an 'irrational exuberance' bubble with rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The Federal Reserve is risking a dotcom bubble-like market problem unless it lowers Wall Street's expectations for interest rate cuts, widely followed market strategist Ed Yardeni said. Yardeni is worried that aggressive Fed easing "risks fueling irrational exuberance," a term that former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan coined in 1996 for the runup in stock prices ahead of the dotcom bubble bursting. Those developments come a little more than a week ahead of the Fed's next policy meeting Jan. 30-31. "The Fed's last big mistake was falling behind the inflation curve in 2021 and early 2022," Yardeni said. "The Fed's next big mistake could be inflating a speculative stock market bubble.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Jerome Powell, Alan Greenspan, we've, Powell, Yardeni Organizations: Federal, Yardeni Research, CME

☆ Nvidia and Big Tech are still the driving forces for the market, bringing S&P 500 back to record levels
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Thank the "Magnificent Seven" stocks for the S & P 500 's bounce to record levels in 2024 . "It's a bet on secular growth," said Truist's Keith Lerner. "AI stocks … are going bonkers," he said. "People see a secular growth story even with all the different type of cross-currents in the economy, interest rates and markets," he said. "However, strong secular tailwinds from Gen AI could extend the rally well beyond the typical 2-year up-cycles, in our view."

Persons: Truist's Keith Lerner, It's, Adam Sarhan, Lerner, –, Ed Yardeni, Raymond James, Srini Pajjuri, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla, Investments, Devices, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Semiconductor, Yardeni, SOX, stoke

"Not only are we seeing exuberance by investors, but certainly we're seeing exuberance by analysts," Yardeni said. "They dramatically increased their earnings expectations for Nvidia ," and that drove down the stock's forward P/E multiple to the 20s from the 80s. "But look, it's a hot stock, and it's probably going to remain a hot stock as long as AI delivers. I think it's going to take somewhat longer for AI to deliver as much as the market seems to expect." What's more, investors are expecting too many interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve in 2024, Yardeni said.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, it's, we're, — Scott Schnipper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Cisco

☆ S&P 500 will surge all the way to 6,000 in 2025 in ‘Roaring 2020s’ scenario, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-12 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Widely followed Wall Street strategist Ed Yardeni issued a head-turning bull call on the stock market, seeing the S & P 500 soaring all the way to 6,000 in two years. The president of Yardeni Research raised his year-end 2025 target to 6,000, which represents a 30% leap from Monday's close of 4,622.44. His forecast assumes 2026 earnings for the S & P 500 of $300 per share, and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 20. The S & P 500 just registered a six-week winning streak, bringing 2023 gains to 20%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 "This year's Santa Claus rally started early," Yardeni wrote.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Santa Claus, Michael Bloom Organizations: Yardeni Research Locations: Santa

☆ Bull market in view after S&P 500 hits fresh year-high
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Saqib Iqbal Ahmed | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A close above 4,796.56 on the S&P 500 would confirm that the index has been in a bull market since bottoming out on Oct. 12, 2022, by one commonly used definition. By that definition, the bear market that began when the S&P 500 hit its previous record on Jan. 3, 2022 was not particularly painful. The S&P 500 closed down 25.4% at its lowest point, making this the fourth shallowest bear market experienced by the index since 1928, according to data from Yardeni Research. Over the last 50 years, the S&P 500 has risen an average of 16% in the three-month period leading up to a bull market. By contrast, the S&P 500 has logged average gains of just 0.2% and 2.0%, in the one-month and three-month period after a bull market is confirmed.

Persons: Carlo Allegri, San Francisco Fed, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Ira Iosebashvili, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: St, REUTERS, Yardeni Research, Reuters, San Francisco, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S

☆ Inflation will come back down to 2-2.5% within the next 12-18 months, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation will come back down to 2-2.5% within the next 12-18 months, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he believes the Santa Claus rally in stock prices will continue through year-end, the Fed's inflation fight, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research Locations: Santa

☆ Wall Street is again making predictions for next year, but don't pay too much attention
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Not surprisingly, Wall Street tends to be a bullish group. Wall Street has a terrible track record All of this gets investor juices flowing. Wall Street strategists collectively have a terrible track record. As a result, you might be tempted to think you should pay no attention to Wall Street, or anybody else. If nothing else, the predictions of Wall Street strategists are a good starting point for all of us to think about the near future.

Persons: Lori Calvasina, America's Savita Subramanian, Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Jeff Sommer, Sommer, Morgan Housel, I'm Organizations: Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, RBC Capital Markets, Bank, America's, Wall Street, of America, Barclays, UBS, Wealth, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, Street, New York Times, Yardeni Research, Federal Reserve, Wall Locations: Wells Fargo, Russia, Ukraine, Israel

☆ Here's why China's weak economy is good news for the US stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

China's economy is weak and suffering from a demographic implosion, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. But that's good news for the US stock market as it should lead to continued disinflation and a step down in geopolitical tensions. "It would be in China's interest to attract more foreign direct investment to shore up its economy," Yardeni said. And the recent decline in China's property values and stock market is especially painful for an aging population. The combination of continued disinflation and a reduction in geopolitical tensions is ultimately good news for the US stock market, according to Yardeni.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, —, aren't Organizations: Service Locations: China, Taiwan

☆ The Fed is probably done hiking rates. Cuts are still far off
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —The Federal Reserve likely won’t raise interest rates again during its current tightening cycle, thanks to a cooldown in inflation. Interest rates are at a 22-year high after the Fed last March began its punishing pace of hikes in a bid to tame wayward inflation. Traders are now virtually certain that the Fed will hold rates steady at its December policy meeting and won’t hike again this cycle, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Of course, one month’s data doth not a trend make. Traders are anticipating rate cuts won’t start before next March, and see May as more likely, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Persons: ”, Jeffrey Roach, Price, Sharp, Jerome Powell, Yung, Yu Ma, Joseph Brusuelas, Sephora, Parija Kavilanz, Read, Rishi Sunak, Hanna Ziady, “, ” Sunak, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, “, LPL, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, Research, BMO Wealth Management, Traders, Investors, RSM US, CNN, National Statistics Locations: New York

☆ It's hard to see a recession looming with the resilient labor market, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's hard to see a recession looming with the resilient labor market, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his S&P targets and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

☆ Ed Yardeni says the ‘bond vigilantes’ have retreated, so the S&P 500 can rally to 4,600
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

In Yardeni's estimation, the bear market ended in October 2022, and the stock market has been in a bull market since, calling the August-through-October weakness simply a correction. Yardeni is credited with coining the term " bond vigilantes " in the 1980s. US10Y 1M mountain The 10-year Treasury yield has retreated from its late-October highs. "We are expecting that both the bond yield and the oil price will stabilize around current levels. During the latest stock market correction, the Bond Vigilantes saddled up and were riding high.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, Santa Claus Organizations: Yardeni, Treasury, Bond Vigilantes Locations: Santa

☆ Analysis: The US presidential election is next year. Here’s what that could mean for stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —The US presidential election is less than a year away. Wall Street has a laundry list of uncertainties that it worries could threaten the current stock rally, including the upcoming presidential election. But history shows that stocks typically gain during the fourth year of presidential terms. The S&P 500 has gained 6.2% on average during the fourth year of presidential terms since 1932, according to Yardeni Research. That’s below the 13.5% gain the index has averaged during the third year of presidential terms since 1931.

Persons: ’, There’s, Darrell Crate, ”, Goldman Sachs, Joe Abbott, Abbott, Loretta Mester, Bryan Mena, Elisabeth Buchwald, Hawkish, Mester, Heidi Gartland, “, ” Gartland, Read, Niron, Peter Valdes, Niron Magnetics, Jonathan Rowntree Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, The New York Fed, Management, Investors, Research, Yardeni Research, “, CNN, Cleveland Fed, Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Regional, Bank, General Motors, China General Motors Locations: New York, East, Russia, Ukraine, Wisconsin, China, Minnesota

☆ The bond vigilantes 'aren't necessarily done' voicing their concerns, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe bond vigilantes 'aren't necessarily done' voicing their concerns, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the bond market and Treasury yields, the Fed's inflation fight, oil markets, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research, Treasury

☆ CHART OF THE DAY: The stock market may have just bottomed
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

The stock market may have just bottomed, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. Yardeni highlighted that the S&P 500 found support at its rising trend line that dates back to the March 2020 low. AdvertisementAdvertisementOur chart of the day is from market veteran Ed Yardeni, which plots the S&P 500 since 2018 and highlights a key rising trend line that could be acting as support for the stock market. Yardeni pointed to this chart in a Wednesday note to clients and argued that the stock market may have just bottomed. If the stock market did bottom this week, as Yardeni suggests, it would play into the bullish seasonals that typically drive the stock market higher into the end of the year.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, — Organizations: Service, Fed, LPL Research

☆ An ideal scenario for the stock market is taking shape as the economy looks set to keep growing without lifting inflation
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The economy can still grow without driving inflation, and that would be an ideal scenario for the stock market. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe latest economic data suggests a type of Goldilocks scenario is about to play out in both the economy and stock market. AdvertisementAdvertisement"We think the economy started a productivity growth boom in early 2016 that was interrupted by the pandemic. This year, our growth is being driven by productivity... productivity driven growth brings inflation down, it's good for earnings, but it does drive yields up. For evidence of a surge in productivity growth, he pointed to the fact that job hirings have slowed this year compared to last year, but GDP growth has surged.

Persons: Ed Yardeni, —, Yardeni, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel Organizations: Service

☆ Expect the market to chop around into year-end, says John Hancock's Emily Roland
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpect the market to chop around into year-end, says John Hancock's Emily RolandEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, and Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the markets heading into year-end and their 2024 outlook.

Persons: John Hancock's Emily Roland Ed Yardeni, Emily Roland, John Organizations: Yardeni Research, John Hancock Investment Management

☆ Spiking Treasury yields are triggering pain in stocks. 3 experts discuss the renewed threat of bond vigilantes and what else could move markets.
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-29 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Investors are now tasked with trying to understand where bond yields go next, and what the drivers of those yields would be. Forget about the technical charts, he says — they are not driving the bond market right now. While Fed policy has consequences for the bond market, investors drive the yield, Johnson said. That means trying to predict where bond yields will settle will be very hard. But fear in the stock market could translate to greed in the bond market as investors flee to safety.

Persons: Paul Ciana, Gordon Johnson, —, Johnson, Ed Yardeni, Kevin Zhao, Liz Truss, Ray Dalio, Fitch, Eric Leve, Michael Gayed, there's, Russell, Leve, hasn't Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank of America, GLJ Research, UBS Asset Management, CNBC, Greenwich Economic, Tidal Financial, P Bank ETF, BlackRock Locations: Bridgewater, Greenwich

☆ Treasury bond auctions may eventually fail because investors will see federal deficits as too unsustainable, Columbia finance professor warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-24 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ballooning government deficits could lead to failed Treasury auction soon, a Columbia Business School professor said. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . "One of the possibilities that's driving bond yields higher is the concerns about inflation risk related to the cumulative effect of debt," Calomiris said in a CNBC interview on Monday. Investors, who are increasingly worried about mounting US deficits, choose to keep their money out of Treasurys.

Persons: —, Charles Calomiris, Calomiris, Ed Yardeni Organizations: Treasury, Columbia Business School, Service, CNBC, Fitch

☆ The economy has proven it can live with 4.5-5% bond yields, says Ed Yardeni
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe economy has proven it can live with 4.5-5% bond yields, says Ed YardeniEd Yardeni, Yardeni Research president, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, earnings season so far, Treasury yields, and more.

Persons: Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni Organizations: Yardeni Research

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