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☆ As voters cast ballots this election, some Americans are placing bets. Here’s what to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Piper Hudspeth Blackburn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

The election markets have not gone unnoticed by the Republican Party’s presidential nominee, Donald Trump, who has touted his odds on social media and at campaign events. With more than 50 million ballots already cast ahead of Tuesday’s election, here’s what you need to know about election betting in the US. Robinhood, a popular stock-trading app, launched presidential election betting on Monday. PredictIt, another prediction market embroiled in a legal fight with the CFTC, also offers election contracts while its case is ongoing. Researchers, however, have long studied political prediction markets.

Persons: Donald Trump, “, Trump, Kamala Harris, Kalshi, ”, PredictIt, David G, Schwartz, ” Schwartz, Paul Rhode, Koleman Strumpf, isn’t, Elon Musk, Cantrell Dumas, it’s, ” Dumas Organizations: CNN, White, Kalshi, Republican, Democratic, Futures Trading Commission, Senate, DC, Appeals, CFTC, University of Nevada, The University of Iowa, Iowa Electronic Markets, Victoria University of Wellington, Commission, Better Locations: United States, Washington ,, Michigan, Las Vegas, New York City, Rhode, Nevada , Texas , Michigan, Iowa, New Zealand, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania

☆ Polymarket's pro-Trump election predictions aren't so surprising when you look at the rest of the site
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Katie Notopoulos | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Wagers in its pop culture section show the bro-y vibe of the site: Zyn, Andrew Tate, and Hawk Tuah. Let's look at some of the wagers:Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election? Will Donald Trump say "mog" in 2024? AdvertisementFor the record, I think the odds that Trump will say "skibidi" before the election are way too low.

Persons: Trump, Andrew Tate, Hawk, —, Will Trump, Will Kamala Harris, Joe Rogan's, Will Donald Trump, Roaring Kitty, Logan Paul, Max Read, Joe Rogan, Gen Z'ers, MAGA, Theo Von, Adin Ross, Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, Shayne Coplan, There's, Polymarket, haven't, I'm, who's, John Herrman, McDonald's Organizations: Service, Trump, New, New York Magazine, Harris, Dodgers, Yankees Locations: MrBeast

☆ Trump’s social media stock plunges 20%, flirting with its worst day since going public
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —After a ridiculous spike over the past five weeks that had absolutely nothing to do with the company’s actual business, former President Donald Trump’s social media stock is suffering a sudden setback. Truth Social owner Trump Media & Technology Group’s share price plunged about 20% on Wednesday afternoon. If Trump Media finishes with a loss of more than 21%, it would qualify as its worst one-day loss since going public in March. Trump Media did not release any major news that would explain the nosedive. Trump Media’s stock has been extraordinarily volatile all year.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, It’s, “, ” Dan Ives, ” Matthew Tuttle, Wednesday’s selloff, ” Tuttle Organizations: New, New York CNN, Social, Trump Media & Technology, Trump Media, Trump, White, Elon Musk, CNN, CBS, Paramount Global, GameStop, Wedbush Securities, Tuttle Capital Management Locations: New York

Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump americanthinker.com/blog/2024/... www.americanthinker.com The real reason Boeing is in the news In short, China wants Boeing out. Inside Trump’s Truth Social Conspiracy Theory Machine An analysis of Donald Trump’s Truth Social posts reveals the paranoid and unfounded content the former president creates and amplifies each day. In addition to the posts themselves, the analysis zeroed in on the 170 Truth Social accounts that Mr. Trump had amplified on the platform. A spokeswoman for Truth Social did not answer questions from The Times about the company’s policies on conspiratorial content and the accounts that spread it. From July to September, Truth Social received an average of about 4.7 million unique monthly visitors, according to the web analytics firm Similarweb.

Persons: Donald Trump, Donald J, Trump, Biden, Trump baselessly, JOE BIDEN, Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, ”, Joseph Uscinski, George Soros, globalist, Harris, Mr, Kamala Harris, Hurricane Helene, Crooked Joe Biden, Hunt, be us, HAP E, OR F, REGIS, ony Biden, ree, Joe, O., asser t, ruth Socia, Soros, Harri, MAGA, ruth e, ange, ron y m “NCSW, “He, accou, SOROS, ruth S, ove, uther, tim e, y., the 2020, ravi, orme Organizations: Trump, “, OPEN, PLAN ”, Mr, Boeing, FOX, WIN, Truth, Times, The Times, Social, University of Miami, Democratic Party, Democratic, Federal Emergency Management Agency, Justice Department, White, DOJ, UF, UT, ims, acc Locations: China, York, ”, Nord, Ukraine, Hurricane, America, ife, Abo, TIR

Now, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump appear to be in a dead heat in Michigan, and it’s once again crucial for winning the presidency. For our latest Times Opinion focus group, we gathered a cross-section of Michigan voters to assess the race in the home stretch. The takeaway isn’t especially positive for Ms. Harris. Others thought Mr. Trump didn’t understand what it meant to struggle financially. Perhaps most worrisome for Ms. Harris, nine of our 11 participants thought she would pursue policies similar to Mr. Biden’s.

Persons: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, it’s, Harris, Jill Stein, Trump, Biden’s, Muhammad, Biden, “, ” Muhammad Organizations: Democratic, Democrats, Green Party, Mr, Michigan Locations: Michigan, America, Israel, Trump

☆ Steve Schwarzman says Trump would be an 'efficient and effective' president this time — and Ken Griffin thinks he'll win
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Polly Thompson | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Blackstone CEO Steve Schwarzman said he thinks Trump would make a better president the second time around. He's uncertain about the election result, though Citadel's Ken Griffin said he expects Trump to win. AdvertisementSteve Schwarzman said he thinks Donald Trump would be more "efficient and effective" if he wins next week's election. Citadel founder and CEO Ken Griffin, who was also on the panel, was more assured of the election's outcome. Citadel founder Ken Griffin expects Donald Trump to win the 2024 election.

Persons: Steve Schwarzman, Trump, Ken Griffin, —, Donald Trump, Schwarzman, Mike Blake, Griffin, Alan Murray Organizations: Saudi Arabia's Future Investment, Service, Blackstone, Future Investment Initiative, Saudi, Republican, Bloomberg, Citadel, White Locations: Davos

☆ The election-betting market has exploded in popularity this presidential cycle
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Betting markets are booming ahead of the US Presidential election. Kalshi has attracted $100M in election bets this month and is the top free finance app in Apple's app store. Robinhood is getting in on the action, announcing its own election betting platform on Monday. Earlier this month, a US federal appeals court cleared Kalshi to open its election betting platform for US citizens. Interactive Brokers also launched a slew of election betting contracts earlier this month following the court decision to allow Kalshi to operate.

Persons: Kalshi, —, we're gunning, Tarek Mansour, it's, Donald Trump, Mansour, TikTok Organizations: Service, Apple, PayPal, CNBC, Interactive, Kalshi

Ad views per household For presidential and non-presidential TV ads, Aug. 1 to Oct. 25 Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem. Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Alaska Fla. Other Dem. Hawaii Ad views per household For presidential and non-presidential TV ads, Aug. 1 to Oct. 25 Other Rep. ads Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem. Alaska Fla. Hawaii Ad views per household For presidential and non-presidential TV ads, Aug. 1 to Oct. 25 Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem. TV ad views Ads for Harris Ads for Trump Other Dem.

Persons: Harris, Idaho Conn, Mo ., Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, outspending Mr, Trump, ”, Lynn Vavreck, Ruben Gallego, Republican Kari Lake, Ted Cruz, Colin Allred, ’, Erika Franklin Fowler, ” Fowler, FiveThirtyEight, Vavreck, John Sides, Christopher Warshaw, David Broockman, Ms, Willie Horton, George H.W, Bush, Hillary Clinton Organizations: Won, Harris Ads, Trump Other, ., Ind, Delaware ., W.Va, Trump Alaska Fla, AdImpact, Comscore, Democratic, Republican, Google, Wesleyan Media, Democrat, Democrat Independent, Neb . Ohio Texas Ariz, Democrats ’, Senate, Wesleyan University, Democrat Republican, Pa, Colo ., Colo, Iowa, Health, Harris Trump Immigration, Security, ’, Republicans, Mr Locations: Maine, . Vt, Minn, N.Y, Conn, Mich, Wis . Iowa Ohio, . Pa, R.I . Ill, Del, Mo, Ky . Va . Md, N.C, Tenn, Ark, New Jersey, Delaware, S.C . Miss ., La, Fla, Georgia, Trump . Montana, Mont, N.D, Ore . Idaho, Neb, Nev . Utah Colo, Calif, Kan, Ariz . Texas Alaska Hawaii Montana, N.H . Vt, Ore, Idaho, S.D, Wis, Wyo, R.I . Iowa Ohio, Delaware . Ind, Ill . Utah Colo, Mo . Kan . Va . Ky . Md, N.M, Okla . Tenn, . Ala, Texas, Trump . Hawaii, Mass, S.D . Mich, Wyo . Iowa Ohio, Nev . Ill, Ind . Utah Colo, Mo . Kan, Texas La, Alaska Fla, Hawaii, Ala, Ariz . Texas Alaska Hawaii, Trump’s, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, — Montana , Ohio, Pa . Wis . Ohio, . Texas, Nev, Neb . Ohio, Pa, Arizona, Alaska, Iowa, Va, Berkeley, Siena

☆ Trump’s social media company has tripled in value in five weeks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New York CNN —Trump Media & Technology Group is losing money, generating very little revenue and its main product Truth Social remains a relatively small player in social media. And yet Wall Street is valuing former President Donald Trump’s social media company at nearly $8 billion, a price tag that has tripled in the span of just five weeks. Since plunging to record lows on September 23, Trump Media’s share price has skyrocketed. Trump Media’s share price saw a sharp decline in July after President Joe Biden ended his reelection bid. “If this were called Joe’s Media Company, we wouldn’t even be talking about it and it wouldn’t have a value anywhere close to this.

Persons: New York CNN —, Donald Trump’s, “ I’ve, ” Gene Munster, Munster, Trump, ” Munster, “, it’s, ” Trump, George Kailas, ” Kailas, Kailas, “ There’s, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Harris, ”, Steve Sosnick, Sosnick, ” Sosnick, he’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, New York CNN — Trump Media & Technology Group, Trump, White, Trump Media, Republican, Asset Management, CNN, Democratic, Interactive Brokers, Munster, “, Joe’s Media Company Locations: New York, Munster, Trump’s

“A complete jump ball,” said Dennis Lennox, a Republican strategist who works in Michigan. “Nobody really knows what will happen.”Beyond the suburbs, Republicans see opportunities to peel off traditionally Democratic voters, like Black men. Now, many Lebanese American and Palestinian American voters in Michigan say they will not vote for Harris under any circumstance. And she signaled that she believes support for Harris from Republicans like Upton could be key to the race. “This is the center of the political universe, here in Michigan.”Alex Seitz-Wald reported from Camden, Maine; Henry Gomez reported from Detroit, Michigan.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Haley Stevens, Harris, Donald Trump, “, ”, she’s, Sen, Mitt Romney, It’s, Liz Cheney, Fred Upton, Trump, Ron Robinson, “ I’ve, ” Robinson, Biden, it’s, Dennis Lennox, “ Trump, ” Lennox, Barack Obama, Pamela, Harris canvasser, —, Obama, I’ve, Liz Cheney's, Alabas, Lyin ’ Kamala Harris, ” Trump, Dick Cheney, Massad Boulos, Tiffany Trump, Boulos, Lara Trump, Trump’s, Jill Stein, ‘, Gretchen Whitmer, Upton, Tim Walz, ” Whitmer, Republicans don’t, Jennifer Conlin, Ann Arbor, “ I’m, ” Conlin, …, ’, Paul Hudson, Hillary Scholten, ” Hudson, ” Alex Seitz, Wald, Henry Gomez Organizations: DETROIT, Democratic, Democrat, Democratic Party, Republican, Utica City, Michigan House, Trump, Michigan Arab, U.S, Lebanese, Palestinian American, Lebanese American Democrat, Dearborn, Renaissance, Republican National Committee, NBC News, Republicans, ” Locations: Michigan, Gaza, Oakland County, Detroit, Bloomfield Hills, R, Utah, ”, Detroit’s Macomb County, Utica, “, LaSalle Washington, Washington, Lebanon, Dearborn, Iraq, Lebanese American, Rochester, Ann, Grand, Camden , Maine, Detroit , Michigan

☆ What is the ‘red mirage’ or the ‘blue shift’ and will it happen this year?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN was able to project that Biden would win the election four days after Election Day, on November 7, but counting would continue. That means a blue shift in the popular vote could still occur even if it does not delay figuring out the presidential election results. A person votes early at a polling station in Deland, Florida, on October 21. North Carolina no longer accepts mail-in ballots if they arrive after Election Day. The Center for Election Innovation & Research has a rundown of the various rules and timelines for processing mail-in ballots.

Persons: CNN — It’s, ”, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, Phil Mattingly, Biden, CNN’s Marshall Cohen, Hillary Clinton, Miguel J, Rodriguez Carrillo, Brad Raffensperger, Raffensperger, “, Jocelyn Benson, Benson, Republican Al Schmidt, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Harris, George H.W, it’s Organizations: CNN, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Biden, Trump, AFP, Getty, North, Brennan Center for Justice, Georgia, Republican, CBS, Election Innovation, Research, NPR Locations: Arizona , North Carolina , Nevada , Wisconsin , Michigan, Maine, Georgia, Pennsylvania, California, Deland , Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan, “, Florida

☆ Why these Republicans think voting against Trump could save the GOP
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-26 | by ( John King | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

A Nikki Haley voter in the April GOP primary who will be a Kamala Harris voter a week from Tuesday. “If Trump loses, then I think Republicans will start coming back to what they were,” Pesce said. But London is voting for Harris – the first time she will vote Democrat for president. As she ponders hers, she shares this: “I think Trump is going to win.” That, she said, is based on betting lines, not the polls. “They think at the 11th hour people will have such reservations about Trump that it will cause them to vote for Harris.

Persons: Pennsylvania CNN — Michael Pesce, Pesce, ” Pesce, “, Nikki Haley, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, I’m, Michael Pesce, Haley, Joe Biden, ”, Joan London, Harris –, John King, Biden, Pat Toomey, ‘, Hillary Clinton, Harris Cynthia Sabatini, Sabatini, “ Trump, ” Sabatini, ” Cynthia Sabatini meditates, CNN Sabatini, Harris aren’t, meditates Organizations: Pennsylvania CNN, Coast Guard, Reagan Republican, White, CNN, Republicans, South, Democratic, Trump, Republican, GOP, Biden, Media, Pennsylvania Locations: Tripoli, Pennsylvania, New Tripoli , Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, South Carolina, New Tripoli, Lehigh County, Bucks County, Berks, battlegrounds . Berks, London, Philly, Montgomery County, Wyomissing, Wyomissing , Pennsylvania, Ukraine, ”, …, Berks County, Delaware County, Media , Pennsylvania, “, Trump

WASHINGTON — Among the many permutations for how the elections could end, one prospect has sparked chatter in both parties: Donald Trump could win the presidency while Democrats seize control of the House. Such a split would be rare — not since 1989 has a president entered office without his party controlling the House — and give Democrats substantial power over Trump's legislative agenda. In addition, persisting signs of ticket-splitting indicate Trump voters won’t all pull the lever for his party’s candidates down the ballot. The operative added that if Trump overperforms in rural areas, it could spell danger for a few Democratic-held House seats, such as Alaska's at-large district and Maine's 2nd District. “It’s why the American people will send President Trump a Republican House to secure the border, bring down inflation, and support law enforcement.”Asked about the prospect of a Trump presidency and a Democratic-controlled House, the Democrats' House campaign arm sounded an optimistic note that its party will win both.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, ”, “, Trump, Harris, — David Schweikert, Juan Ciscomani, didn't, Hakeem Jeffries, Jack Pandol, ” Pandol, Viet Shelton, Walz Organizations: WASHINGTON, Trump, GOP, Republicans, Democratic, Republican, Tucson —, House GOP, PAC, Congressional, Fund, NBC News, National Republican Congressional, “, gavels, Democrats, House, Democratic Congressional, Social Security Locations: Washington, Arizona, Phoenix, Tucson, Harris, Omaha, California, New York, D, Maine's, America

☆ Americans are feeling better about the economy after the Fed’s jumbo rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

Washington CNN —Americans’ attitudes toward the economy improved this month thanks to lower interest rates. Americans’ expectations for inflation rates in the long run also edged lower this month. “This month’s increase was primarily due to modest improvements in buying conditions for durables, in part due to easing interest rates,” Joanne Hsu, director of the university’s Surveys of Consumers, said in a release. The Federal Reserve last month cut interest rates for the first time in more than four years, by a bold half point, in part thanks to inflation coming under control. Lower borrowing costs make it cheaper for American shoppers to buy durable goods such as appliances, cars and furniture, which are usually bought on credit.

Persons: ” Joanne Hsu, haven’t, ” Robert Frick, Donald Trump Organizations: Washington CNN, University of Michigan’s, Consumers, Federal Reserve, Navy Federal Credit Union, University of Michigan

☆ A contested election that leads to weeks of uncertainty is a risk being overlooked by markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Investors should beware of a contested US election, BlackRock's Jean Boivin told Bloomberg TV on Thursday. AdvertisementInvestors are dismissing the risk of a disputed US election, BlackRock Investment Institute head Jean Boivin told Bloomberg TV on Thursday. Recent battleground state polling shows a race too close to call with the election less than two weeks away. Other market strategists have echoed in recent weeks Boivin's concern over what an election dispute would mean for markets. Meanwhile, stocks rose during Trump's election dispute in 2020, likely due to signs that the COVID-19 pandemic was ending.

Persons: BlackRock's Jean Boivin, —, Jean Boivin, Boivin, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, hasn't, Morgan Stanley, Brian Gardner, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Gardner Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, BlackRock Investment Institute, Trump, Republican Locations: Washington

Clarkston, Georgia CNN —Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Barack Obama used their first joint campaign appearance, on Thursday night in this Atlanta suburb, to issue parallel warnings about the dangers facing the country if Donald Trump is elected again to lead it. Battleground Georgia is the latest stop in a late-campaign sprint by Obama, who has leveled at Trump increasingly passionate attacks and rounds of mocking. After Obama’s speech, Harris came onstage, where they embraced before the vice president delivered a nearly identical message. “What I can’t understand is why anyone would think that Donald Trump will shake things up in a way that is good for you. On Saturday, Harris is also set to appear with former first lady Michelle Obama in Michigan.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Barack Obama, Donald Trump, Obama, Harris, “, ” Harris, wouldn’t, ” Obama, John Kelly, ”, Trump, “ It’s, stewing, That’s, MAGA, ‘, ’, Kelly, Bruce Springsteen, ” Springsteen, Michelle Obama, CNN’s Elise Hammond Organizations: Georgia CNN —, Trump, United, New York Times, CNN, Obama’s, Democratic Locations: Clarkston, Georgia, Atlanta, United States, America, Iowa, Michigan

Between the time it takes to process mail ballots and deal with provisional ballots in some battleground states, votes will not be fully tabulated on election night. Projections of who won a close presidential race might not come for days, similar to the 2020 election. The sources all noted they did not have direct knowledge that this was a formal Trump campaign plan. The Trump campaign did not respond to a request seeking comment. In 2020, Trump quickly proclaimed victory on election night, even though he ultimately ended up losing to Joe Biden.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Seven Harris, —, Trump, ” Harris, Donald Trump, ”, “, Joe Biden, there’s, “ I’ve, ” “, ” Al Schmidt, Harris, Rudy Giuliani, “ That’s, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, ’ ” Roger Stone, James Baker, George W, Bush, Joseph Kennedy, John F, Kennedy, Stone, ” Stone, ‘, Biden, Harris ’, ” Trump Organizations: NBC, Trump, NBC News, United States Capitol, Republican, CBS, New, “ Locations: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Wisconsin , Michigan, Georgia, Pennsylvania’s, North Carolina, New York City

The “blue wall” states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania have paved the path to the White House for the last two Democratic presidents. Recent discussions have centered on the possibility of an anomaly happening this year with just part of the blue wall breaking its way. “We absolutely are competing to win Michigan,” Harris campaign spokeswoman Lauren Hitt said, noting Harris’ presence there this week. The blue wall states have been pivotal to elect presidents in the last several elections. “Those three, the blue wall states, almost always stay together, but this year it’s an extraordinarily tight race.

Persons: Kamala Harris ’, ”, Donald Trump, Harris, Trump, —, “, ” Harris, Lauren Hitt, Mark Robinson’s, Josh Stein, Joe Biden, Biden, Dan Kanninen, Helene, Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Harris ’, Michael Dukakis, Tad Devine, Devine, Elissa Slotkin, Dane County, Tim Walz, Obama, Bill Clinton, Matt Baretto, Republicans —, ” Baretto Organizations: White House, Democratic, Pennsylvania, White, Detroit News, Washington Post, Michigan, Trump, Republican, Republicans, Wisconsin, Biden, Democrats Locations: Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada, Hurricane, Arizona , Nevada, Georgia, Nevada , Arizona, Arizona, Gaza, In Wisconsin, Dane, Milwaukee

☆ Dollar steady at August high on U.S. rates view, election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. dollar clung to a two-and-half-month high on Tuesday on expectations the Federal Reserve will take a measured approach to interest rate cuts, while a close battle in the upcoming U.S. election kept investors on edge. The U.S. dollar clung to a two-and-half-month high on Tuesday on expectations the Federal Reserve will take a measured approach to interest rate cuts, while a close battle in the upcoming U.S. election kept investors on edge. Four Federal Reserve policymakers expressed support on Monday for further rate cuts, but appeared to differ on how fast or far they believe any cuts should go. With the U.S. election just two weeks away, the rising odds of former President Donald Trump winning the Nov. 5 election are boosting the dollar, since his proposed tariff and tax policies are seen as likely to keep U.S. interest rates high. The yen on Tuesday was at 150.57 per dollar, hovering close to the two-and-half-month low of 150.88.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Donald Trump, Harris, Komeito Organizations: U.S, Reserve, Fed ., Federal, Traders, Fed, Trump, PineBridge Investments, Liberal Democratic Party Locations: U.S, Treasuries

☆ Insana: The market is on a hot streak, and these factors – not the election – are driving it
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Both have opined that the rally on Wall Street underscores a growing belief that former President Donald Trump will win on Nov. 5. However, I don't yet believe that Wall Street and Pennsylvania Avenue have intersected just yet. Indeed, if the stock market is anticipating a Trump victory, what might the bond market and gold market be telling us, assuming they expect the same outcome? Are those markets telling us a Trump victory would lead to higher inflation and bigger fiscal deficits? Those betting on a Trump win would be loath to say so if they follow the messages of multiple markets.

Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Dan Loeb, Donald Trump, Loeb, it's, Dow Jones, Kamala Harris, Trump, Ron Insana Organizations: Senate, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Atlanta, Dow, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Nvidia, European Central Bank, Trump, stoke, Democratic, Pennsylvania, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Russia claims it doesn't care who wins the US election. Its state media tells another story.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Hannah Abraham | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Despite the Kremlin's neutral stance, Russian state media shows it favors Donald Trump. Meta and TikTok have previously banned Russian state media for election interference. But despite what Russian officials claim, the country's state media tells a very different story. State media coveragePer Reuters, Harris' tendency to burst out laughing during interviews and debates has been ridiculed in Russian state TV broadcasts. Last month, TikTok said it removed accounts associated with Russian state media for "engaging in covert influence operations."

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, —, Sergey Lavrov, Ann Marie Dailey, Harris, Kamala, Andrei Sidorov, JD Vance, It's, TikTok, Meta, Segodnya, Tenet Media —, Mathieu Boulegue, Putin, Vance, William Pomerantz Organizations: Donald Trump . State, Service, Newsweek, RAND, Ukraine, Reuters, Moscow State University, Politico, TV's, Daily, BBC, spank, Department of Justice, Tenet Media, Chatham House, Trump, Wilson Center Locations: Russia, Russian, Ukraine, Washington ,

☆ Dodgers vs. Yankees 2024 World Series preview: Predictions, pitching matchups and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-21 | by ( Fabian Ardaya | Chris Kirschner | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +11 min

Our writers preview a World Series matchup between two of baseball’s most storied franchises, with no shortage of star power and storylines. He hit the go-ahead home run in the 10th inning of Game 5 of the ALCS to send the Yankees to the World Series. — KirschnerCheck back later for World Series predictions from The Athletic’s MLB staff. Now he’ll play in his first World Series against a franchise he grew up rooting for while living in Los Angeles as a child. AdvertisementBigger picture for Stanton: A possible World Series title (and perhaps an MVP award) would add to his growing Hall of Fame case.

Persons: Fabian Ardaya, Chris Kirschner, Eno, It’s, ‘ Nuff, weren’t, Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón, Andy Pettitte, Clarke Schmidt, Luis Gil, Tommy Kahnle’s, Clay Holmes, Luke Weaver, Jake Cousins, Daniel Hudson, Anthony Banda, Michael Kopech, Evan Phillips, Blake Treinen, Alex Vesia, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Walker Buehler, Mookie Betts, Max Muncy, Will Smith, Tommy Edman, Tyler Glasnow, Gavin Stone, Clayton Kershaw, Dustin May, they’ve, Freddie Freeman, —, Kahnle, Weaver, Tim Hill, ’, Nestor Cortes, Juan Soto, Soto, Aaron Judge hasn’t, Gleyber Torres, Giancarlo Stanton, Shohei, Ohtani, couldn’t, DH Stanton, He’s, Stanton, Giancarlo Stanton isn't, Aaron Judge, Gerrit Cole RHP, Luke Weaver RHP, Fielding Austin Wells, Jack Flaherty RHP, Fielding Tommy Edman, Dave Roberts, Shohei Ohtani, John Sterling, Yankees Giancarlo Stanton isn’t, Aaron, Luis Gil GO, Maddie Meyer, Daniel Shirey Organizations: It’s Yankees, Dodgers, Yankees, Fox, Yankees ’, Dodger, Mets, MLB, . Dodgers, savor Dodgers, Rosenthal, Guardians, of Fame, Aaron, Fielding, NL Locations: pinstripes, Ohtani, barreling, Los Angeles, Cooperstown, —

☆ Why nobody knows who will win the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —Almost two weeks to Election Day, I feel more uncertain about this year’s result than any election I’ve covered professionally. Many Republicans are hoping that the close polling points to a blowout win for Trump next month. If we had a polling miss like two years ago, Harris would probably win over 300 electoral votes. Jonathan Drake/ReutersYou might be tempted to guess the direction of a potential polling miss by the macro trends. Ironically, only 24% of those undecided voters agree that this election is the most important of their lifetime.

Persons: I’ve, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, it’s, Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, we’ve, Jonathan Drake, he’d, pollsters, underperformed, White Organizations: CNN, Trump, Let’s, Nebraska’s, Republicans, New York Times, Siena College, Pennsylvania, Keystone State, Republican, Black, Democratic Locations: Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Asheville , North Carolina, Keystone, Pennsylvania

☆ Video: Smerconish looks at who prediction markets say will win presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

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☆ 5 things to know about the mystery $30 million whale moving betting markets toward Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-18 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Since the start of October, there's been a notable divergence between the betting markets and the polls. Where do election odds stand in betting markets now? What's going on with the 'Trump whale' in the betting markets? Is the $30 million 'Trump whale' an influence campaign? Because the betting markets are relatively illiquid, a $30 million bet can have a big influence on moving the odds in favor of Trump.

Persons: Harris, —, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, there's, Will Donald Trump, Polymarket, Peter Thiel, ethereum's, Vitalik Buterin, Joe Gebbia, Trump, Kalshi, What's, Michie, Arkham, Adam Cochran, Cochran, Elon Musk, Mitt Romney, Barack Obama Organizations: Trump, Service, Street, Arkham Intelligence, Republican Locations: Polymarket, Crunchbase, Wisconsin , Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada

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