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☆ Asia shares brace for China data to disappoint
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Figures out over the weekend showed China's new home prices were unchanged in June, the weakest result this year. The risk of even softer outcomes kept MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) down 0.2%, though that follows a 5.6% rally last week. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were both down 0.2%, but that followed hefty gains last week. PRICED FOR 2024 POLICY EASINGAs a result, markets still imply around a 96% chance of the Fed hiking to 5.25-5.5% this month, but only around a 25% probability of yet a further rise by November. Early Monday, Brent was off 58 cents at $79.29 a barrel, while U.S. crude fell 55 cents to $74.87.

Persons: Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, disinflation, Michael Feroli, Sterling, Brent, Wayne Cole, Lincoln Organizations: Tesla, Japan's Nikkei, Nasdaq, Bank of America, Netflix, JPMorgan, ., Thomson Locations: Japan, China, SYDNEY, Beijing, Asia, Pacific

☆ Morning Bid: Bland China data leaves market hungry for stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The Q2 GDP number of +0.8% q/q just pipped forecasts, but y/y undershot at 6.3% suggesting revisions somewhere to the past. The market reaction was disgruntled with Chinese shares down and the yuan easing. The data underlined the need for much more serious fiscal spending but Beijing seems in no hurry to satiate market wishes this time. The central bank left one-year rates unchanged on Monday, and analysts seem resigned to wait for a Politburo meeting later this month for fresh steps. Goldman Sachs says passive funds that track NDX will rebalance their portfolios but the 2011 special rebalance experience suggests the stock-level impact will be limited.

Persons: Wayne Cole, BofA, Goldman Sachs, Fabio Panetta, Christine Lagarde, Frank Elderson, Philip R, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: Investors, Aussie, Tesla, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Finance Ministers, Central Bank Governors, ECB, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Manufacturing Survey, Thomson Locations: Wayne, China, Beijing, 4ppt, Gandhinagar, India, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Australia picks first female central bank head to shepherd through reform
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Lowe will leave on Sept. 17, marking the end of his 43-year career at the bank. The decision comes as Lowe is due to accompany Chalmers to a Group of 20 meeting in India next week. "Michele Bullock will become the first woman to ever lead the Reserve Bank in this country." His two predecessors, again both career central bankers, were reappointed to second terms and each served 10 years in total. "The Reserve Bank is in very good hands as it deals with the current inflation challenge and implementing the recommendations of the Review of the RBA," Lowe said in a statement on Friday.

Persons: Michele Bullock, Governor Bullock, Philip Lowe, Jim Chalmers, Anthony Albanese, Lowe, Chalmers, Bullock, Tony Sycamore, She’s, Wayne Cole, Renju Jose, Praveen Menon Organizations: SYDNEY, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank, Bank, London School of Economics, IG Group, Aussie, Thomson Locations: Australia, India, Sydney, Lincoln

SYDNEY, July 14 (Reuters) - Reserve Bank Deputy Governor Michele Bullock will take over from Governor Philip Lowe in September and has already flagged that leading the country's central bank through a period of change will be a major priority. Bullock, the first woman to helm the country's central bank, will have the task of leading the bank through its biggest internal shakeup in decades while also maintaining the fight against inflation. "I wasn't sure I would ever be in this position," Bullock said in a 2022 interview with her alma mater. "I never thought that Guy Debelle, who was the deputy governor, would leave the Bank. A review into the central bank published in April recommended sweeping changes including the setup of a separate specialist board to manage monetary policy, less frequent meetings and more public communication.

Persons: Michele Bullock, Philip Lowe, Bullock, Anthony Albanese, Jim Chalmers, Michele, Jonathan Kearns, Bullock's, Guy Debelle, Lowe, Su, Lin Ong, Lewis Jackson, Stella Qiu, Praveen Menon Organizations: SYDNEY, Reserve Bank, University of New, London School of Economics, Challenger, RBC Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: University of New England, Armidale, Sydney, Lincoln

☆ Australia govt appoints Michele Bullock as next central bank governor
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SYDNEY, July 14 (Reuters) - Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers on Friday said he would not reappoint the country's central bank chief to another term, instead replacing him with his deputy Michele Bullock. Chalmers and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe would leave the bank after finishing his current seven-year term on Sept. 17, marking the end of his 43-year career. "Michele Bullock will become the first woman to ever lead the Reserve Bank in this country." The central bank has since lifted rates 12 times to a decade-high of 4.1%, adding hundreds of dollars to monthly mortgage repayments at a time when a cost of living crisis is already stretching household budgets. His two predecessors, again both career central bankers, were reappointed to second terms and each served 10 years in total.

Persons: Jim Chalmers, Michele Bullock, Chalmers, Anthony Albanese, Philip Lowe, Bullock, Lowe, Wayne Cole, Renju Jose, Leslie Adler, Jamie Freed Organizations: SYDNEY, Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Lincoln

☆ Australia's central bank loses chief to public ire over rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-14 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Lowe's dedication to the bank is not in doubt, having joined straight from school in 1980. The first mainly impacted markets while the second, and more fateful, soured sentiment with the public and politicians. A later review found the event had caused the bank "reputational damage" and the policy was unlikely to be used again. Lowe's mistake in 2021 was to be too specific on timing by repeatedly saying rates were unlikely to rise until 2024. With prices rising rapidly, Lowe was forced to reverse course and hike rates in May, a whole two years earlier than forecast.

Persons: Philip Lowe it's, Lowe, I'm, we'd, Jim Chalmers, Chalmers, Lowe's, Michele Bullock, Bullock, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Reserve Bank of Australia, MIT, Reserve Bank, Thomson Locations: Australia, Lincoln

☆ Asia shares edge higher, China disinflation a drag
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Chinese consumer price figures surprised on the soft side with inflation falling in June and essentially unchanged from a year before. The gains in China helped MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) firm 0.6%. Japan's Nikkei (.N225) eased 0.7% in the wake of a higher yen, while South Korea (.KS11) added 0.2%. Fed officials have been mostly hawkish in their communications, while markets have also priced in higher rates in Europe and the UK. Canada's central bank meets this week and markets imply a 67% chance of another hike.

Persons: Bonds, Yen, Goldman Sachs, Brent, Wayne Cole, Stephen Coates Organizations: Nikkei, SYDNEY, Alibaba, HK, Japan's Nikkei, South, Nasdaq, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, PepsiCo, Federal Reserve, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, reflating, Hong, Asia, Pacific, Japan, South Korea, Wells Fargo, Europe, Saudi Arabia, Russia

☆ Morning Bid: China disinflation a mix of good and bad
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

On the face of it, this implies there is plenty of scope to ease monetary and fiscal policy further. Yet it also underlines the scale of the challenge that Beijing faces in avoiding an outright deflationary spiral. Globally, a deflationary pulse from China could over time help to offset service-driven inflation in developed nations. Disinflation in goods is a major reason analysts expect coming U.S. CPI data to show a slowdown in June. One side effect of the surge in bond yields has been a shake-out of carry trades in the forex market.

Persons: Wayne Cole, Andrew Bailey, Jeremy Hunt, Mary Daly, Loretta Mester, Raphael Bostic, Edmund Klamann Organizations: CPI, Headline, Treasury, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, San, Cleveland, Atlanta, Thomson Locations: Wayne, Beijing, China

☆ Factbox: Potential candidates as next chief of Australia's central bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SYDNEY, July 5 (Reuters) - The Australian government will announce this month whether it would reappoint Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe or replace him. * Michele Bullock, 60, became the first female Deputy Governor of the RBA when she was appointed in the role in April 2022. She studied economics at the University of New England and a masters from the London School of Economics. He studied economics at Sydney University, and completed a PhD in health economics at the Australian National University. He has PhD degrees in physiology from Cambridge University and in economics from the Australian National University.

Persons: Philip Lowe, Michele Bullock, Bullock, RBA, Steven Kennedy, Kennedy, Kevin Rudd, Julia Gillard, Jenny Wilkinson, David Gruen, Wilkinson, Gruen, Martin Parkinson, Guy Debelle, Fortescue, Australia's, Debelle, Andrew, Carolyn Wilkins, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian, Reserve Bank of Australia, University of New, London School of Economics, Treasury, Labor, Sydney University, Australian National University, government's Department of Finance, Parliamentary, ANU, Princeton, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Cambridge University, Macquarie University, Department of Prime, Adelaide University, Fortescue Future Industries, University of Adelaide, MIT, Bank of Canada, Thomson Locations: University of New England

☆ Australia markets in the dark as clock ticks down on govt choice of RBA chief
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-05 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Markets are still in the dark whether Treasurer Jim Chalmers will reappoint Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe or bow to public pressure for a new pair of hands at an institution that stumbled over its policy messaging during the pandemic. "Markets would be more concerned if there wasn't that list," noted Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP Capital. They are among the front runners in part because there is much pressure for Chalmers to appoint the first female head of the RBA. One dark horse also being mentioned is Guy Debelle, a former RBA deputy governor who resigned last year to join the green energy business of mining billionaire Andrew Forrest. It is possible Chalmers could reappoint Lowe for a shorter period to see out the RBA's current tightening cycle and planned changes in its operation and structure.

Persons: missteps, Jim Chalmers, Philip Lowe, Chalmers, Lowe, Shane Oliver, Michele Bullock, Jenny Wilkinson, Guy Debelle, Andrew Forrest, reappoint Lowe, AMP's Oliver, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Reserve Bank of Australia, Chalmers, Markets, AMP, Thomson

☆ Australia's central bank holds rates, signals more hikes might be required
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-04 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

SYDNEY, July 4 (Reuters) - Australia's central bank on Tuesday held interest rates steady saying it wanted more time to assess the impact of past hikes, but reiterated its warning that further tightening might be needed to bring inflation to heel. Reuters GraphicsIn Tuesday's policy statement, RBA Governor Philip Lowe said that higher interest rates are working to establish a more sustainable balance between supply and demand in the economy. "In light of this and the uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook, the Board decided to hold interest rates steady this month." Global policymakers are still grappling with relatively high inflation despite sweeping rate increases for more than a year. Both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are almost certain to hike by a quarter-point this month, which could pressure an already soft Australian dollar.

Persons: Philip Lowe, Lowe, Stephen Smith, Marcel Thieliant, Reuters Graphics Lowe, Stella Qiu, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: SYDNEY, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reuters, Deloitte, Capital Economics, Global, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Thomson

☆ Stocks edge higher with Treasury yields in holiday-shortened session
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Sinéad Carew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

Apple (AAPL.O) closed down 0.8% on Monday after closing Friday's session with a $3 trillion market valuation. Still, MSCI's world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS) earlier hit its highest level in just over two weeks, while the pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) also hit a two-week peak closing down. The pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 0.21% while MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.31%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) closed 1.46% higher, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) added 1.70%. The dollar index rose 0.039%, with the euro down 0.01% to $1.0909.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Dow, Peter Tuz, Tesla, we're, Paul Volcker, Sterling, May's, Brent, Sinéad Carew, Dhara Ranasinghe, Wayne Cole, Karin Strohecker, Amanda Cooper, David Evans, Mark Potter, Andrea Ricci Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Wall, U.S, Treasury, Nasdaq, Apple, Banks, Chase Investment, Dow Jones, Japan's Nikkei, Fed, Key, Bank of Japan, Federal, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, ., Charlottesville , Virginia, Asia, Pacific, Japan, United States, Saudi Arabia, Russia, New York, London, Sydney

☆ Stocks make little progress with Treasury yields choppy in holiday-shortened session
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Sinéad Carew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

However, U.S. construction spending rose more than expected in May as a severe shortage of houses boosted single-family homebuilding. U.S. data on Friday, which hinted towards cooling inflation, helped bolster gains in the tech sector and underpinned sentiment in world stocks. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 0.21% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) gained 0.29%. U.S. Treasury yields were last up but lost ground earlier after the economic data showed the manufacturing sector continues to struggle. Gold prices advanced slightly on Monday as weaker economic readings cast doubts over whether the Federal Reserve would stick to its hawkish policy outlook.

Persons: Dow, Paul Volcker, Peter Tuz, we're, Sterling, May's, Brent, Sinéad Carew, Dhara Ranasinghe, Wayne Cole, Karin Strohecker, Amanda Cooper, David Evans, Mark Potter, Andrea Ricci Organizations: YORK, Wall, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Fed, Apple, Chase Investment, Dow Jones, Japan's Nikkei, Key, Bank of Japan, Federal, Thomson Locations: United States, U.S, ., Charlottesville , Virginia, Asia, Pacific, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Russia, New York, London, Sydney

LONDON, July 3 (Reuters) - World stocks rose to a two-week peak on Monday, with Japan's Nikkei closing at its highest level in 33 years, drawing support from signs that cooling inflation might temper central banks' appetite to further hike rates. U.S. data on Friday, which hinted towards cooling inflation, helped bolster gains in the tech sector and underpinned sentiment in world stocks. MSCI's world equity index (.MIWD00000PUS) rose 0.25% to its highest level in just over two weeks, while the pan-European STOXX 600 index also hit a two-week peak (.STOXX). Chinese blue chips (.CSI300) shed 5% last quarter while much of the developed world rallied. Key U.S. data this week include closely watched surveys on manufacturing and services, job openings and the June payrolls report.

Persons: Seema Shah, Jan von Gerich, May's, Michael Feroli, Brent, Dhara Ranasinghe, Wayne Cole, Karin Strohecker, Amanda Cooper, David Evans, Mark Potter Organizations: Japan's Nikkei, Bank of Japan, Nasdaq, Apple, Frankfurt, Bank of, Key, JPMorgan, Fed, Thomson Locations: Asia, London, U.S, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Sydney

☆ Nikkei leads Asia higher, China lags behind
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

China's factory activity slowed in June as the Caixin manufacturing survey showed a dip to 50.5, from 50.9 in May. China's central bank has promised more "forceful" action to support the economy and looks likely to soon get a new boss. Something major is needed given Chinese blue chips (.CSI300) shed 5% last quarter while much of the developed world rallied. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) gained 1.2%, though it was still lagging far behind Japan's market. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were steady ahead of the July 4 holiday, having gained more than 6% in June.

Persons: Tesla, May's, Michael Feroli, wouldn't, Brent, Wayne Cole, Christopher Cushing, Himani Sarkar Organizations: Nikkei, ANZ, Sino, Bank of Japan, FTSE, Nasdaq, BofA, Apple, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Fed, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, Japan, Asia, Pacific, Saudi Arabia, Lincoln

☆ Nikkei leads Asia higher, China data underwhelms
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

China's factory activity slowed in June as the Caixin manufacturing survey showed a dip to 50.5, from 50.9 in May. China's central bank has promised more "forceful" action to support the economy and looks likely to soon get a new boss. Something major is needed given Chinese blue chips (.CSI300) shed 5% last quarter while much of the developed world rallied. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were steady ahead of the July 4 holiday, having gained more than 6% in June. Important U.S. data this week includes closely watched surveys on manufacturing and services, job openings and the June payrolls report.

Persons: Tesla, May's, Powell, Michael Feroli, Brent, Wayne Cole, Christopher Cushing, Himani Organizations: Nikkei, ANZ, Sino, Bank of Japan, FTSE, Nasdaq, BofA, Apple, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: SYDNEY, Japan, Asia, Pacific, Saudi Arabia

☆ Morning Bid: Tesla delivers surprise, China goes slow
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

July 3 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Wayne Cole. Chinese blue chips are a touch firmer, perhaps in the hope a new chief at the central bank will bring stronger stimulus. It was notable last week that Japanese chip shares surged amid reports Washington would restrict sales of AI equipment to China. Key developments that could influence markets on Monday:- European Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel speaks at a financial conference- June U.S. ISM manufacturing survey, PMI and auto sales. Equity and bond markets close earlyBy Wayne Cole; Editing by Christopher CushingOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Wayne Cole, Janet Yellen, Central Bank policymaker Joachim Nagel, Christopher Cushing Organizations: Tesla's, P, People's Bank of, Treasury, Nikkei, European, Japan's, ISM, Central Bank, PMI, Equity, Thomson Locations: Wayne, People's Bank of China, News, China, U.S, Washington, Japan

☆ Australian shoppers tempted by special offers in May
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

SYDNEY, June 29 (Reuters) - Australian retail spending rebounded in May as consumers were tempted by online sales events and promotional discounting, a sign of resilience in consumption that might add to the case for another rise in interest rates. Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Thursday showed nominal retail sales rose 0.7% in May from April, when they were flat, handily beating forecasts of 0.1%. The ABS noted an early start to some end of financial year sales events boosted turnover, along with Mother’s Day and a popular "Click Frenzy Mayhem" event. However, service sector inflation remained uncomfortably high and could easily be used to justify a tightening if the RBA board felt it necessary. ($1 = 1.5103 Australian dollars)Reporting by Wayne Cole; Editing by Christopher Cushing, Robert BirselOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Ben Dorber, Stephen Wu, Wayne Cole, Christopher Cushing, Robert Birsel Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian Bureau of Statistics, ABS, Mother’s, Reserve Bank of Australia, CPI, CBA, Thomson

☆ Australia job vacancies fall 2% in May qtr, still historically high
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

SYDNEY, June 29 (Reuters) - Job vacancies in Australia fell in the three months to May, the fourth straight quarter of decline, but were still far above pre-pandemic levels as demand for labour remains strong. Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) out on Thursday showed vacancies in the May quarter fell 2.0%, from the previous quarter, to 431,600. "This May saw businesses continuing to report difficulties in recruiting and retaining staff," said Bjorn Jarvis, ABS head of labour statistics. "This highlights the impact of a tight labour market on a broad range of businesses," said Jarvis. Thursday's data showed vacancies in the private sector fell 2.3% in the May quarter, while the public sector saw a rise of 0.3%.

Persons: Bjorn Jarvis, Jarvis, Wayne Cole, Stephen Coates Organizations: SYDNEY, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Reserve Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Australia

☆ Morning Bid: Beijing leaves market guessing on yuan
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The People's Bank of China seems to like being enigmatic, throwing the market a curve ball as it fixed the yuan weaker against the dollar than many expected. Dealers had thought the firmer fix on Tuesday meant Beijing was signalling it wanted the yuan's fall to slow, or even stop. The result has been a drop in the offshore yuan back toward Monday's trough, while the market waits for some clarity on Beijing's intentions. Malaysia is set to be the latest to intervene to support its currency, and Japan sounds closer to pulling the trigger every day. Still, the market is clearly betting the yen will keep falling unless, and until, the Bank of Japan backs away from its yield curve policy.

Persons: Wayne Cole, Ueda, Lagarde, it's, That's, Christine Lagarde, Fed's Jerome Powell, Kazuo Ueda, Andrew Bailey, Edmund Klamann Organizations: People's Bank of, Dealers, Wall, Journal, Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan, Bank's, OECD, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: Wayne, People's Bank of China, Beijing, Monday's, Washington, China, Asia, Malaysia, Japan, Bank's Sintra, Sintra , Portugal

☆ Asia shares hesitant, yen slide stokes intervention risk
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Markets imply a 90% probability of a rate hike to 3.75% in July and a peak around 4.0%. The euro responded by climbing to $1.0957, while surging on the low-yielding yen to a 15-year peak of 157.97. The dollar rose to a near eight-month peak of 144.18 yen, before easing back to 143.87 as Japanese officials again protested the weakness in the yen. Yet, a rally in the yen looks unlikely while the Bank of Japan maintains its super-easy monetary policy. “So we now see a higher risk Japanese authorities will step into the market to prop up the JPY.”In commodities, gold steadied at $1,915 an ounce, after finding support at the recent three-month low of $1,909.99.

Persons: Kim Kyung, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, ”, Goldman Sachs, “, Masato Kanda, Ueda’s, Carol Kong, Brent firmed Organizations: SYDNEY, National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, European Central Bank, ECB, ANZ, Japan’s Nikkei, Nasdaq, Wall, Washington, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, CBA Locations: Japan, Tokyo, Portugal, U.S, Asia, Pacific, China, Europe

☆ Asia shares subdued, yen shunned as euro shines
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

“The data indicated a firmer pace of residential, inventory, and equipment investment in the second quarter,” wrote analysts at Goldman Sachs. Markets imply a 90% probability of an ECB rate hike to 3.75% in July and a peak around 4.0%. That underpinned the euro at $1.0950, while keeping it near a 15-year peak of 157.97 yen. The dollar had hit a near eight-month top of 144.18 yen, before easing back to 143.96 as Japanese officials again protested against the yen’s weakness. Yet, a rally in the yen looks unlikely while the Bank of Japan maintains its super-easy monetary policy.

Persons: Kim Kyung, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, ”, Advantest, Goldman Sachs, “, Masato Kanda, Ueda’s, Carol Kong, Brent firmed Organizations: SYDNEY, National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, European Central Bank, ECB, ANZ, Wall, Journal, Nvidia, Nikkei, Chip, Tokyo, Federal Reserve, CBA Locations: Japan, Tokyo, Portugal, U.S, Asia, Pacific, Beijing, Washington, China, Europe

☆ Australia to decide fate of central bank chief in July
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-22 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/2] Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Philip Lowe attends the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting in Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia, 16 July 2022. Treasurer Jim Chalmers told reporters on Thursday he would announce his decision on Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe's future in coming weeks, but would not be drawn on whether Lowe would keep his job. The clamour of criticism, particularly in the media, led Chalmers to launch an independent review of the central bank which recommended sweeping changes in its operation and the way policy was formed. "Obviously, the Reserve Bank Governor needs to be well placed to implement the recommendations of the review and to take the Reserve Bank into the future," said Chalmers. Possible replacements being touted are the current deputy governor Michele Bullock, Treasury official Jenny Wilkinson and former Bank of Canada official Carolyn Wilkins, who also led the review into the RBA.

Persons: Philip Lowe, Jim Chalmers, Philip Lowe's, Lowe, I’m, we'd, Chalmers, Michele Bullock, Jenny Wilkinson, Carolyn Wilkins, Wayne Cole, Renju Jose, Leslie Adler Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Ministers, Central Bank Governors, Reserve Bank Governor, Bank, Treasury, Bank of Canada, Thomson Locations: Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia

☆ Stocks fall as Powell says inflation fight not over
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

While noting that inflation remains very far from the Fed's target, Powell said it may make sense to move rates higher, at a more moderate pace. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 0.50% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.37%. The Fed is "walking a tight rope between trying to tell people they are going to fight inflation as their No. The U.S. dollar index briefly rose following the release of Powell's testimony, but was last down slightly. The dollar index fell 0.458%, with the euro up 0.67% to $1.0989.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Powell, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic, Rick Meckler, Brent, Caroline Valetkevitch, Medha Singh, Lawrence White, Wayne Cole, Jacqueline Wong, Lincoln, Alex Richardson, David Goodman, Richard Chang, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Capitol, Atlanta Federal Reserve, Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Cherry Lane Investments, U.S . West Texas, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New Vernon , New Jersey

☆ Stocks fall, yields up; Powell says inflation fight not over
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-21 | by ( Caroline Valetkevitch | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

[1/3] Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 30, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidSummary U.S. stocks mostly lowerTreasury yields risePowell updates on U.S. rate outlook in testimonyNEW YORK, June 21 (Reuters) - Global stock indexes mostly fell and Treasury yields rose on Wednesday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the fight to lower inflation still has a "long way" to go. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) lost 0.47% and MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS) shed 0.35%. The U.S. dollar index initially rose following the release of Powell's testimony, but was last down slightly. Treasury yields rose on Powell's hawkish tone.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Powell, Jerome Powell, Rick Meckler, Brent, Medha Singh, Lawrence White, Wayne Cole, Jacqueline Wong, Lincoln, Alex Richardson, David Goodman, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Financial Services, Cherry Lane Investments, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New Vernon , New Jersey

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