A bronze seal for the Department of the Treasury is shown at the U.S. Treasury building in Washington, U.S., January 20, 2023.
Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, hovered near their highest levels since 2007 on Thursday, continuing a bond market selloff that has pushed yields up by more than 40 basis points since the start of October.
At close to 5%, 10-year Treasury yields are significantly above their fair value of 4.2% to 4.3%, Goldman Sachs noted.
Treasuries will likely rally as the economy hits a "pothole" in the fourth quarter, Goldman Sachs said.
"The key risk to this trade is that U.S. data is stronger than expected leading yields to fall less than our strategist expects," Goldman Sachs wrote.
Persons:
Kevin Lamarque, Goldman Sachs, Treasuries, Scott Wren, Wren, David Randall, Will Dunham
Organizations:
Department of, U.S . Treasury, REUTERS, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury, Wells, Investment Institute, Thomson
Locations:
Washington , U.S, U.S, Wells Fargo