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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim Cramer on recent REIT news from Blackstone, Starwood and SL GreenCramer gave his thoughts on whether investors should be panicked about recent negative headlines about the real estate industry.
In Starwood Capital CEO Barry Sternlicht's view, the Federal Reserve's ongoing interest rate hikes are driving the U.S. economy straight into a recession. During a session of CNBC's Financial Advisor Summit on Tuesday, Sternlicht said he thinks that an economic contraction will emerge next year and that Fed Chairman Jay Powell "will see that they blew it." "The economy is absolutely going into a recession, and it's absolutely definitive," Sternlicht told CNBC's Sara Eisen, who moderated the session. Right now, the 10-year Treasury bond is yielding roughly 3.6%, compared with the 2-year bond's yield of almost 4.4%. While inflation is a normal part of an economy, the current rate is far above the Federal Reserve's target of 2% over the long run.
Finding Opportunity In A High-Rate Environment
  + stars: | 2022-12-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinding Opportunity In A High-Rate EnvironmentStarwood Capital CEO Barry Sternlicht has made no secret of his displeasure with Fed moves this year, taking aim at rising rates as a threat to capitalism itself. But he's also hinted there are opportunities to be had for savvy investors who know where to look. We'll kick off our summit by talking with the legendary investor about the prospect of a recession and the moves smart investors should be making now in order to avoid the worst of the storm.
Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley adds Blackstone to the financials' finest list Morgan Stanley added the investment bank and private equity firm to its top pick list and said it sees a compelling entry point. Bank of America downgrades Carvana to neutral from buy Bank of America said it has "liquidity and cash burn concerns." "We are reinstating coverage of XPO with a Neutral rating following a period of restriction. Bank of America reiterates Amazon as buy Bank of America attended Amazon's AWS Re:Invent conference and said Amazon Web Services ecosystem "remains strong." Morgan Stanley reiterates Lowe's as overweight Morgan Stanley said the home improvement retailer is in a "strong fundamental position."
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Once you pay people more, it's hard to claw that back even when inflation starts to come back down. Inflation and annual pay are not in a one-to-one relationship. That became clear to many workers last year when their annual merit increases in salary and wages were not anywhere near the four-decade highs for inflation. But Reilly said that to date, the numbers are "solidly at 4%" for both executive and rank-and-file pay increases. Pearl Meyer research indicates that merit increases are a lagging indicator relative to inflation and costs.
For at least a decade, the Federal Reserve's position that a 2% inflation rate is where the economy best functions has been taken as gospel. 'Going rogue' "As far as 2% is concerned, I think it's stupid," said Jim Paulsen, chief investment officer at Leuthold Group. Paulsen and Sternlicht aren't the only critics of Fed policy. Achieving a steady 2% inflation rate, however, has proven elusive for the Fed. 'The gold standard' for policy But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and most of his colleagues have rebuffed calls to raise the goal.
Amp Americas, owned by investors including Houston-based buyout firm EIV Capital and infrastructure-focused Generate Capital, is seeking a valuation of around $1 billion, including debt, the sources said. Amp Americas, BerQ RNG, EIV, Generate and Starwood did not respond to requests for commentRNG, also known as biogas, is captured from organic waste in farms and landfills. The legislation includes tax credits for companies that build machines to capture these emissions, then convert them into natural gas, electricity and heat. Chicago-based Amp Americas builds and operates facilities that capture and compress methane on dairy farms for injection into fuel pipelines, and offers services to other developers. Most of the projects BerQ RNG has worked on in the United States and Canada since its founding in 2016 use animal, food and landfill waste as their source.
The Federal Reserve's moves in 2022 to aggressively raise interest rates to cool down inflation will inflict greater harm to the economy than expected, according to Barry Sternlicht, chairman and CEO of Starwood Capital Group. The impact of the Fed's rate hikes won't hit right away, he said. Instead, companies will pull back their budgets for 2023 as they worry about economic recession and consumer weakness. "It's going to slow the economy, it cannot do anything other than that," he said. The U.S. Treasury may have to start buying its own assets, doing its own kind of quantitative easing while the Fed is increasing interest rates and trying to slow the economy, he said.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation is coming down hard and faster than expected, says Barry SternlichtBarry Sternlicht, CEO of Starwood Capital, joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss his forecast for inflation, the strong U.S. labor market, and more.
Major Miami Beach Real-Estate Projects Nixed by Voters
  + stars: | 2022-11-14 | by ( Deborah Acosta | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Miami Beach voters in a series of referendums last week derailed three major real-estate projects from top U.S. developers, reflecting a budding backlash against certain new development plans for the city. Property developer Stephen Ross , Related Cos. chairman and owner of the Miami Dolphins, had been planning to replace the historic Deauville Beach Resort on Collins Avenue with a new hotel and development. Starwood Capital Management , led by Chief Executive Barry Sternlicht , and Miami developer Don Peebles Jr. have also been preparing to build new office towers near the ocean.
More than 100 million people in the US pay a total of $500 billion in rent each year, per JPMorgan. JPMorgan and many startups are taking the rent check online to get a cut of that pool of money. Historically, America's 44.2 million renters have written checks to their landlords and kissed that cash goodbye. Renters living at one of the 2.5 million "Bilt Alliance" properties, have the ability to report their rent payments to Experian, TransUnion, and Equifax. Once enrolled, renters can earn Pinata Cash that can be spent at retailers like Starbucks, Amazon, and Target, and also have their rent payments reported to TransUnion.
It is very premature, in my view, to think about or be talking about pausing our rate hikes. The news sent those stocks reliant on China for growth — Starbucks, Estee Lauder and Wynn Resorts, among many others — higher. Or bad news could just be bad news if weak data signals a recession ahead. And good news could be good news: for example, if China reopens and U.S. companies exposed to the region see a boost in demand. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Gregg Lemkau (center) led MSD Partners, the investment firm financed by Michael Dell (right) to a merger with merchant bank BDT & Company, founded by Byron Trott (left). Gregg Lemkau seemingly had it all, which is why many were surprised at his decision to end his 28-year tenure at Goldman Sachs to run MSD Partners, Michael Dell's investment firm, in late 2020. Nearly two years later, Lemkau has silenced any doubters by orchestrating a merger between MSD and merchant bank BDT & Company. Lemkau will serve as co-CEO with BDT founder and CEO Byron Trott of the new firm, which will target rich families and founders. Click here to read more about Gregg Lemkau's ascension at Goldman Sachs and his decision to leave.
[1/3] Cuba's Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Carlos Fernandez de Cossio listens to Phil Peters, founder of FocusCuba, during a conference in Havana, Cuba, October 26, 2022. "Almost everything we do is with the new booming private sector," said Cuban-American Hugo , whose Miami-based Fuego Enterprises Inc (FUGI.PK) operates an online food market that processes 4,000 orders in Cuba per day. "It is important American businesses see this for themselves," said Cancio, who was attending the conference. The Biden administration has loosened some restrictions on Cuba around remittances, tourism and migration. It has also expressed interest in supporting Cuba's private sector.
The scuttled deal shows how rising rates have hit Starwood CEO Barry Sternlicht's bottom line. It has canceled its plans to purchase the Stamford, Connecticut, mortgage originator Luxury Mortgage Corp., according to a person with direct knowledge of the deal. The situation with Luxury Mortgage, however, shows how rising rates have also affected Starwood's bottom line. A budding partnership was upended by rising ratesIn recent years, Starwood has become one of Luxury Mortgage's biggest customers. Luxury Mortgage's business has also been strained in recent months.
However, Fed officials are stressing that they're far from finished when it comes to raising rates. "When this basket is signaling the weakness that it's showing, what the Fed typically does is not raise rates. But in this case, it's not only raising rates aggressively, but with a commitment to continue raising rates aggressively." In addition to the typical headline metrics such as the consumer price index and the Fed's preferred personal consumption expenditures price index, the Cleveland Fed's "sticky price" CPI rose 8.5% on an annualized basis in September, up from 7.7% in August. The measure looks at items such as rent, the price of food away from home and recreation costs.
In other words, big money is buying up warehouse space as fast as smaller owners can sell. The coronavirus pandemic accelerated this change, with warehouse investment outpacing office investment in 2020 and 2021, according to CBRE. A Prologis warehouse in Ichikawa City, Japan. Prologis, Blackstone, and the rest of big money duke it outOther big-money investors have increasingly invested in warehouses. The UK's Segro once sold warehouse space to Blackstone — now it's acquiring its own warehouses for last-mile delivery that Blackstone might have otherwise picked up for itself.
The Fed's scramble to hike rates and lower liquidity is draining the stock market, Barry Sternlicht warned. "So you thought the healthy fish would survive and the sick fish would die. But the Fed is draining the entire pond, so everyone's going to die." … So you thought the healthy fish would survive and the sick fish would die. But the Fed is draining the entire pond, so everyone's going to die," he said.
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Historically, the US's 44.2 million renters have written checks to their landlords and kissed that cash goodbye. In lieu of a security deposit, Up&Up users "invest" one month's rent into their Up&Up Wallet. Bilt: Building credit is as easy as paying rentAt the rental-rewards startup Bilt, renters are rewarded for paying rent. Piñata: Crack open the rewards while rentingPiñata, too, offers rewards for renters, alongside credit reporting. They can also have their rent payments reported to TransUnion.
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It's a tense time for many insiders at Credit Suisse. One person told me it's a case of "rinse and repeat," as Credit Suisse undergoes its second strategic review in less than a year. Law firm sued Credit Suisse over claims it misled investors on business dealings related to Russian oligarchs. Among the plans reported to be under consideration are a three-way split of the investment bank, according to the Financial Times. Under Chief Executive Ulrich Körner, Credit Suisse wants to transform its investment bank into a "capital-light, advisory-led banking business."
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