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Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly poses for a photograph at the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank's annual Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, U.S. August 25, 2023. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 15 (Reuters) - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly warned against calling time on rate-rising cycle too soon, in an interview to Financial Times on Wednesday. Daly refused to rule out another interest rate increase, given uncertainty about whether the central bank has done enough to push consumer price growth back down to its 2 per cent target. She indicated little concern about the recent sharp fall in US government bond yields, which has loosened financial conditions, according to FT. Reporting by Urvi Dugar in BengaluruOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Mary Daly, Ann Saphir, Daly, Urvi Organizations: Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Kansas City Federal, REUTERS, San Francisco Federal, Financial Times, Thomson Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Bengaluru
College prepared Pinky Cole well to be the CEO of a $100 million company, she says — just not in the way you might think. When I went to college, all the stuff that I learned, I don't remember [any] of it," Cole tells CNBC Make It. And while it's certainly possible to connect with high-powered people without a shared academic experience, college graduates tend to have better career prospects and financial outcomes than high school-only graduates. College graduates earned 75% more last year, on average, according to the San Francisco Fed, a research nonprofit. College graduates also reported a 2% unemployment rate last year, compared with 7% for their counterparts, the National Center for Education Statistics reported.
Persons: Pinky Cole, , Cole, I've, Clark, Chance, Louis, Cole's, Warren Buffett Organizations: Clark Atlanta University, CNBC, Delta Sigma Theta, Federal Reserve Bank of St, College, San Francisco Fed, National Center for Education Statistics Locations: Atlanta, Georgia , New York, Texas, alma mater
Fed officials don’t expect inflation to reach 2% until 2026, according to their latest economic projections released in September. If there’s one thing that would make the Fed quake in its boots, it would be worsening inflation expectations. The keyword there is “timely.”Sticky inflation could possibly “un-anchor” inflation expectations or elicit a consistent deterioration in Americans’ perception on inflation. “The Fed really just wants people to not expect inflation will run at 4% forever.”So what’s kept inflation expectations in check this long? For individuals and married people filing separately, the new federal standard deduction will increase to $14,600, up from $13,850 this year.
Persons: we’ve, Raphael Bostic, , ” Luke Tilley, , Jerome Powell, presser, Powell, Michelle Bowman, Tilley, ” Drew Matus, what’s, Matus, “ They’re, Jeanne Sahadi, Lisa Cook, Phillip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, John Williams, Christopher Waller, Mary Daly Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, University of Michigan’s, Atlanta Fed, Bloomberg, Investment Advisors, CNN, , New York Bankers Association, New York Fed, MetLife Investment Management, IRS, Tyson Foods, Depot, US Labor Department, National Federation of Independent Business, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Target, National Statistics, US Commerce Department, Walmart, National Association of Home Builders, San Francisco Fed Locations: Washington, Wilmington, Palm Beach , Florida
Americans are saving lessThe personal savings rate slumped to 3.4% in September. That's well-below the pre-pandemic savings rate, when Americans were stashing away around 7% of their disposable personal income. Consumers aren't planning to splurge this holiday seasonAmericans are less likely to splurge this holiday season than last year. McKinsey & CompanyAmericans are looking less likely to splurge, even as they head into the holiday season. "Hiring for the holiday season is generally done in October, and adding up new jobs created in the BLS-defined holiday season retail sectors in the latest employment report shows that retailers expect a weaker holiday season," Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok said in a note on Tuesday.
Persons: Macquarie, Thierry Wizman, , Wizman, Morgan Stanley, Torsten Slok Organizations: Service, Macquarie Global, New York Fed, Federal Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Conference, Conference Board, McKinsey & Company, McKinsey, Apollo, of Labor Statistics Holiday, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS Locations: York
Tighter monetary policy is helping bring down the pace of inflation but not to a level where policymakers should feel too comfortable, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said Friday. "All of that said, it is far too early to declare victory." Daly compared the Fed's job to get policy to the "sufficiently restrictive" benchmark to someone riding a horse and trying to know whether the bridle has been pulled back far enough to stop. "You don't know if the horse is feeling that bridle enough to be sufficiently restrictive to stop," she said. "We're going to be very forward-looking here, and so that's why it's too early to declare victory.
Persons: Mary Daly, Jerome Powell, Daly, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of San, San Francisco Federal, Federal, CNBC PRO Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Idaho Falls , Idaho
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPolicy is in a good place and the economy is slowing, says San Francisco Fed President Mary DalyMary Daly, San Francisco Fed president, and CNBC’s Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss interest rates, the forecast for inflation and more.
Persons: Mary Daly Mary Daly, Steve Liesman Organizations: San, Fed, San Francisco Fed Locations: San
S&P 500 futures ticked lower Thursday night after the broad-market index ended an eight-day run of gains. S&P 500 futures slipped by 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures slid 0.2%. "The Fed's not cutting rates … We've got to prepare for a market that's going to have higher rates until the beginning of 2025," Simpson said. As the week winds down, the S&P 500 and the Dow are poised for modest losses of 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively. Wall Street will also be listening closely toward several remarks from central bank officials, which include San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan.
Persons: , Dow, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Kevin Simpson, he's, We've, Simpson, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Wynn Resorts, Federal, International Monetary Fund, Treasury, Wealth Planning, San Francisco Fed, Atlanta Fed, Dallas Fed Locations: Boston, San
REUTERS/Nathan Frandino/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 8 (Reuters) - U.S. commercial fishing groups on Wednesday sued 13 tire manufacturers in California, saying a chemical used in their tires is poisoning West Coast watersheds and killing rare trout and salmon. The fishing groups said the chemical, which becomes toxic when it degrades, is released from tires as vehicles drive around and park. The tire manufacturers did not immediately respond to requests for comment on Wednesday. In July, California's Department of Toxic Substances Control adopted a rule requiring tire manufacturers to evaluate safer alternatives to 6PPD, noting the threat to coho salmon. Together, the 13 tire manufacturers sued on Wednesday account for 80% of the domestic U.S. tire market, according to the lawsuit.
Persons: Nathan Frandino, Elizabeth Forsyth, Forsyth, Clark Mindock, Alexia Garamfalvi, Sandra Maler Organizations: REUTERS, Wednesday, Institute for Fisheries Resources, Pacific Coast Federation of Fishermen's Associations, Bridgestone Corp, Goodyear Tire &, Michelin, Environmental Protection Agency, EPA, California's Department, Toxic Substances, Thomson Locations: Lagunitas, Marin County , California, U.S, California, San Francisco federal, West
A jury will decide if Google Play has been illegally driving up prices for consumers and developers. Epic Games, the maker of the popular "Fortnite" video game, brought the case against Google. Google recently resolved a case being pursued by the owner of Tinder and other online dating services. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe case targeting Google's Play Store is being brought by Epic Games, the maker of the popular "Fortnite" video game, which largely lost in a similar 2021 trial focused on many of the same issues in Apple's iPhone app store. The terms of the resolution with the state attorneys general is expected to be revealed during Google's trial with Epic.
Persons: , District Judge James Donato, Sundar Pichai, Pichai, Google's, U.S . Justice Department's, Donato, Tim Sweeney skewered, Sweeney, Wilson White, White Organizations: Epic, Google, Service, U.S, District, Inc, Washington D.C, U.S ., Epic Games, Apple, Supreme, Android, Match Group Locations: San Francisco federal, Washington, U.S
The case targeting Google's Play Store is being brought by Epic Games, the maker of the popular Fortnite video game, which lost in a similar 2021 trial focused on many of the same issues in Apple's iPhone app store. Match is receiving $40 million and adopting Google's “user choice billing" system in its settlement. The terms of the resolution with the state attorneys general is expected to be revealed during Google's trial with Epic. Epic CEO Tim Sweeney skewered the “user choice billing” option as a sham in a social media post vowing to fight Google in court. Wilson White, Google's vice president of government affairs and public policy, accused Epic of trying to get “something for nothing” in a blog post.
Persons: District Judge James Donato, Sundar Pichai, Pichai, Google’s, U.S . Justice Department’s, Donato, Google's, Tim Sweeney skewered, Sweeney, Wilson White, White, Organizations: FRANCISCO, Google, Epic Games, Apple, U.S, Supreme, Android, District, Inc, Washington D.C, U.S ., Match Group Locations: San Francisco federal, U.S, Washington
Tesla, X (formerly known as Twitter) and SpaceX's CEO Elon Musk attends the AI Safety Summit at Bletchley Park in Bletchley, Britain on November 1, 2023. Musk filed the objections in San Francisco federal court, where the SEC sued him on Oct. 5 to make him testify for the probe, which it launched in April 2022. Musk has given the SEC documents relating to the probe and provided testimony in July last year via video conference, the SEC said in a court filing. The SEC has spent 18 months "devoting its formidable resources to investigating Mr. Musk over an allegedly untimely filing," the court filings said. The SEC sued Musk in 2018 over his posts on social media saying he had "funding secured" to take electric vehicle maker Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) private.
Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, Leon Neal, Musk, Alex Spiro, Spiro, Twitter, Jody Godoy, Chris Prentice, Dan Whitcomb, Chizu Nomiyama Organizations: SpaceX's, Bletchley, REUTERS Acquire, U.S . Securities, Exchange, SEC, Twitter, U.S, Tesla Inc, Supreme, Thomson Locations: Bletchley, Britain, San Francisco federal, U.S, New York
Washington, DC CNN —Online dating giant Match Group has dropped a closely watched antitrust lawsuit against Google’s app store, the two companies said Tuesday, days before a trial set to begin in San Francisco federal court. The settlement between the search giant and the owner of sites such as Match, Tinder and Hinge resolves allegations that Google harmed competition through its app store terms. It permits Match Group to provide users alternative ways to pay for in-app content without requiring them to use Google’s proprietary payment channels. Developer complaints about high app store fees — charged by app store owners such as Google — have reached a fever pitch in recent years, along with related allegations about other restrictive app store terms. The outcome of the app store cases could shape the livelihoods of app developers and determine the flow of billions of dollars in economic activity.
Persons: Tim Sweeney, ” Sweeney, Organizations: DC CNN —, Google, Epic Games, Apple, Supreme, Match Locations: Washington, San Francisco federal
REUTERS/Annegret Hilse//File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 31 (Reuters) - Alphabet (GOOGL.O)'s Google has settled claims by dating app developer Match Group that it monopolized Android app distribution with its Play Store, leaving “Fortnite” maker Epic Games as the sole plaintiff in an antitrust trial against Google set to begin Nov. 6. Match said in a filing in San Francisco federal court on Tuesday that it had resolved its allegations against Google. In a statement, Google said it was “pleased to reach a settlement agreement with Match Group.” Google also recently settled related antitrust claims from U.S. states and consumers for undisclosed terms. Epic and Match accused Google of maintaining an unlawful monopoly in the distribution of Android apps. Google is separately facing U.S. and state antitrust allegations in other U.S. courts over its advertising technology business and its dominance in the web search industry.
Persons: Annegret, , District Judge James Donato, Tim Sweeney, Mike Scarcella, David Bario, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Google, Arena, REUTERS, Epic, Match, U.S, District, Apple, Thomson Locations: Berlin, Germany, San Francisco federal, U.S, San Francisco
Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsAnd that is reflected in the return of the "term premium," the amorphous amount of compensation investors demand for buying long-dated bonds instead of rolling over bills. A San Francisco Fed model estimates that the term premium on the 10-year Treasury bond has risen around 100 basis points since July. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsAnalysts at Morgan Stanley reckon the term premium and debt sustainability worries could prompt a rethink of the bill-coupon supply balance. Bill supply around these levels would be well down on net issuance of just over $1.6 trillion in fiscal year 2023. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsReuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsIn an ideal world, Treasury would not choose to rely on such short-term funding needs.
Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Morgan Stanley, Bill, Committee's, Jamie McGeever, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Department of, U.S . Treasury, REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Treasury, San, San Francisco Fed, New York Fed, Bank of America, TD Securities, Bills, Reuters, Securities, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Rights ORLANDO , Florida, San Francisco
Consumers are about to feel the impact of soaring bond yields, Blackstone president Johnathan Gray told the FT. Higher bond yields are raising borrowing costs all over the economy, from mortgages to personal loans. AdvertisementAdvertisementAmerican consumers are about to feel the sting of soaring bond yields, Blackstone president Johnathan Gray said. Bond yields, which impact borrowing costs for all kinds of loan products, moved higher this week as investors fretted over higher-for-longer interest rates. In some corners of the economy, rising yields and higher borrowing costs have already been acutely felt.
Persons: Blackstone, Johnathan Gray, , Bond, Gray, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Treasury, Service, Financial Times, Mortgage, Federal, Federal Reserve, Consumers, San Francisco Fed
Washington, DC CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to deliver remarks during a moderated discussion hosted by the Economic Club of New York at 12 pm ET on Thursday. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note reached its highest level since 2007 on Wednesday, while 30-year Treasury yields breached the 5% mark. That’s a welcome development for the Fed, but officials aren’t quite yet ready to declare victory. Inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target, and officials have said they need to see further evidence of the economy cooling. Employers added a robust 336,000 jobs in September, while the unemployment rate held at a low 3.8% that month.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, That’s, , Mary Daly Organizations: DC CNN — Federal, Economic, of New, Treasury, ” San Francisco Fed, Traders, Commerce Department Locations: Washington, of New York, June’s, ” San, Israel
Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, grew 0.7% in September from the prior month. Factoring in September’s 0.4% rise in consumer prices, inflation-adjusted retail sales were up 0.3% last month. From a year earlier, retail sales and food services spending were up 3.8% in September, the strongest annual gain since February. Spending grew across most categories last month, with sales at specialty stores advancing the most, by 3%. Excluding sales at gasoline stations, retail sales still advanced 0.7% last month.
Persons: , BIll Adams, , Adams, US Energy Information Administration “, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Brian Field, Gregory Daco, ” Daco, Joe Biden, Jordan Organizations: DC CNN, Comerica Bank, headwinds, UAW, United Auto Workers, US Energy Information Administration, Hamas, University of, San Francisco Fed, “ Retail, CNN, Employers, Sensormatic Solutions, Services, OPEC Locations: Washington, Israel, Iran
The boom in luxury goods is over as consumers pull back on their multiyear high-end spending spree. AdvertisementAdvertisementIn the US, card spending for luxury fashion has been on the decline for six quarters in a row, with luxury fashion spending down 16% year-over-year over the past quarter, Bank of America card data shows. Card spending on luxury fashion has declined for six quarters in a row. Bank of AmericaUS card spending on luxury fashion declined 16% year-per-year the past quarter, Bank of America forecasts. That's because European investors often say tech stocks are a competitor to luxury stocks in their portfolios, Colas said.
Persons: , LVMH, DataTrek, Nicholas Colas, Ralph Lauren, Colas, Kelly Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Bank of America US, Industry, Consumers, San Francisco Fed, Tech Locations: LVMH, Paris
"Today we start the work to bring beloved Activision, Blizzard, and King franchises to Game Pass and other platforms," Microsoft Gaming CEO Phil Spencer said in a blog post . Microsoft has closed its $69 billion acquisition of video game publisher Activision Blizzard , according to a regulatory filing by the company Friday. Activision Blizzard CEO Bobby Kotick will stay on as CEO through the end of the year. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, who took the helm in 2014, is aiming to diversify the company's business beyond its core areas such as operating systems and productivity software. WATCH: Microsoft deal with Activision Blizzard set to clear final hurdle
Persons: Phil Spencer, Tony Hawk, It's, Bobby Kotick, Satya Nadella, pushback, Victoria Graham, Activision Blizzard Organizations: Activision, Blizzard, Microsoft, Markets Authority, Federal Trade Commission, European Commission, Markets, Economic, Activision Blizzard, Nintendo, Sony, Nvidia, San, U.S, Appeals, Circuit, Ubisoft, FTC Locations: U.S, San Francisco federal
Americans are still shelling out cash for discretionary spending, despite concerns of a weakening consumer. Total card spending is likely up 4.5% year-per-year over the past 3 months, Bank of America forecasted. Americans likely ran out of their excess savings last quarter, the San Francisco Fed previously estimated. Bank of AmericaBofA's spending data paints a promising picture of a consumer that's humming along despite an uncertain economic outlook. According to a study from the San Francisco Fed, Americans may have run out of their excess savings at the end of last quarter.
Persons: , BofA, bode Organizations: Bank of America, San Francisco Fed, Service, Labor, San Francisco Locations: San Francisco Fed
Americans' excess household savings are much higher than previously thought. The household savings rate was revised from an annual average of 7.9% between 2017 and 2019 to 6.5%. This could be good news for the economyPrior to the revisions, though, many economists thought excess savings would run out quickly. A San Francisco Fed study updated in August estimated excess savings would likely be depleted during the third quarter of 2023. AdvertisementAdvertisementPerhaps more excess savings than previously thought could cheer up some Americans gloomy about the economy.
Persons: , Société Générale, Bankrate Organizations: Service, Bureau, JPMorgan, BEA, San, San Francisco Fed Locations: San Francisco
The days of rising interest rates could soon be over
  + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +7 min
What’s happening: US Treasury rates are white hot — 10-year Treasury yields are near their highest levels since 2007. It also means more expensive mortgage rates. Mortgage rates tend to track the yield on 10-year US Treasuries. When Treasury yields go up, so do mortgage rates; when they go down, mortgage rates tend to follow. US mortgage rates are at 23 year-highs, and home affordability is at its lowest level since 1984.
Persons: haven’t, Philip Jefferson, ” That’s, Lorie Logan, Raphael Bostic, , , ” Bostic, Mary Daly, Bonds, What’s, Birkenstock, Elisabeth Buchwald, Megan Penick, Robinson, Rachel Ramirez, It’s, they’re Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Financial, CME, Treasury, New York Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Consumer, Dallas, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, American Bankers Association, San Francisco Fed, Index, PPI, CPI, New York Stock Exchange, Renaissance, Nature Communications Locations: New York, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovenia
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly poses for a photograph at the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank's annual Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, U.S. August 25, 2023. "How much can the economy take in terms of rate increases so we can get the policy rate to a level that's reasonable to bring inflation down? She was describing the balancing act the Fed faces after raising the short-term policy rate from near zero to 5.25%-5.5% over a span of about 18 months. "I would say now the risks of how we balance those things are roughly balanced -- over-tightening versus under-tightening -- but we still have high inflation and the labor market's still strong," she said. "It's part of a large dashboard of data," she said, to which the Fed needs to be able to respond to with agility.
Persons: Mary Daly, Ann Saphir, Daly, Chris Reese, Leslie Adler Organizations: Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Kansas City Federal, REUTERS, San Francisco Federal, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, San, Chicago, Palestinian, Israel
Morning Bid: 'Remarkable' US markets surf crosscurrents
  + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 28, 2023. Stock futures are higher once again ahead of the bell today. As cash Treasury markets returned from Monday's Columbus Day holiday to a week of heavy long-term debt auctions, they were also greeted with rekindled optimism about the Federal Reserve's policy rate trajectory. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields are set to kick off Tuesday's U.S. trading day at some 4.65% - almost a quarter of a percentage point below the peak set just after Friday's blowout September jobs report. Elsewhere, PepsiCo (PEP.O) edged 0.8% higher ahead of the beverage maker's third-quarter results and Unity (U.N) jumped 6.4% after the video-game software maker said its CEO John Riccitiello would retire.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Lorie Logan, Logan, Philip Jefferson chimed, John Riccitiello, Christopher Waller, Neel Kashkari, Mary Daly, Raphael Bostic, Ed Osmond Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Columbus, Federal, Dallas Fed, Treasury, Monetary Fund, IMF, World Bank, Fund, HK, Bloomberg, Alibaba, Baidu, PepsiCo, Reserve, San Francisco Fed, Atlanta Fed, PepsiCo NFIB Consumer, Reuters Messaging, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Marrakesh, China, Beijing, Minneapolis, San
Yahoo FinanceHowever, six leading fixed income investors are confident that the pain won't last much longer. Michele continued: "I've been doing this since 1981, so I've seen a decade of double-digit bond yields with disinflation. Alex Petrone, the director of fixed income at Rockefeller Asset Management, agreed that it's too soon to write off a recession. Nailing timing helps maximize returns, though fixed income experts said that's difficult because the Fed's policy decisions are unpredictable. Buying Treasuries and municipal coupons on both the long and short ends of the curve are how she recommends playing fixed income.
Persons: Jonathan Mondillo, you've, Bob Michele, Michele, I've, we'll, Federal Reserve —, Robert Robis, Robis, Alex Petrone, it's, Petrone, Mary Daly, David Schiffman, Roger Aliaga, Diaz, Aliaga, Mondillo, Schiffman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, JPMorgan Asset Management, isn't, Federal Reserve, BCA Research, Rockefeller Asset Management, Fed, San Francisco Fed, Aquila Investment Management, Vanguard's Investment, Investment Locations: Scotland, bottoming, Abrdn, Aquila, Treasuries, CCC
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