Giorgia Meloni, leader of the far-right Brothers of Italy party, speaks during a rally in Duomo square ahead of the Sept. 25 snap election, in Milan, Italy, September 11, 2022.
Italy will probably muddle through under Meloni, the leader of the Brothers of Italy, which opinion polls suggest will be the largest party after this Sunday’s election.
Nobody wants Italy to go into a tailspin and drag down countries such as France and Spain, which also have high levels of sovereign debt.
She might think the EU would still keep financial support flowing to Italy as it wouldn’t have the guts for a confrontation.
But if the ECB then refused to buy Italian debt, and if neither side blinked, there would be a blow-up.