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Shoppers at a Walmart store in Secaucus, New Jersey, U.S., in March 2024. LONDON — European stocks are expected to open in mixed territory on Wednesday as global markets focus on the latest U.S. inflation data set to be released later in the day. The U.K.'s FTSE index is seen opening 4 points higher at 8,208, Germany's DAX up 25 points at 18,304, France's CAC 40 flat at 7,404 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 66 points at 33,259, according to data from IG. Traders have their eyes on two key economic reports out of the U.S. this week, with the consumer price index report for August due Wednesday, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. The data comes before a widely anticipated interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's Sept. 17-18 meeting that could help assuage concerns over a weakening U.S. economy.
Persons: Germany's DAX Organizations: Walmart, LONDON, CAC, IG, Traders, Federal Locations: Secaucus , New Jersey, U.S
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineMaybe all it takes are shiny new things to lift our mood and take our minds off recession fears. Of course, Apple's event is not the sole reason markets rose yesterday. They'll also let us know if we can afford those shiny new things that Apple's dangling in front of us.
Persons: Pro Max, Justin Sullivan, I'm, Zers, CNBC's Kelly Evans, They'll, – CNBC's Pia Singh, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Pro, Apple, Getty, CNBC, Research, Bloomberg, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Cupertino , California, U.S, Cupertino
Read previewChina's exports are booming, but profits could be under pressure, recent data from the country showed. China's exports rose 8.7% in August from a year ago to nearly $309 billion — a two-year high, official data showed on Tuesday. Imports, meanwhile, edged up by just 0.5% in August from a year ago — a sign that domestic demand was still weak. While China's robust exports have been supporting the country's flagging economy amid weak demand, data suggest that exporters have been slashing prices to stay competitive — a trend some economists have flagged. Meanwhile, official data released on Monday showed China's Producer Price Index — which measures the price of goods at the factory gate — falling 1.8% from a year ago.
Persons: , it's Organizations: Service, Reuters, Business, PPI, Bank of America, European Union Locations: China, Beijing
Jamie Dimon, Chairman and Chief Executive officer (CEO) of JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) speaks to the Economic Club of New York in Manhattan in New York City, U.S., April 23, 2024. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Tuesday he wouldn't rule out stagflation, even with greater confidence recently that inflation is coming off its highs. "I would say the worst outcome is stagflation — recession, higher inflation," Dimon said at a fall conference from the Council of Institutional Investors in Brooklyn, New York. "And by the way, I wouldn't take it off the table." In August, he said the odds of a "soft landing" were around 35% to 40%, implying a recession is the more likely outcome.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan Chase & Co, Economic, of New, JPMorgan, of Institutional Investors Locations: of New York, Manhattan, New York City, U.S, Brooklyn , New York
Nic Coury | AFP | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineMaybe all it takes are shiny new things to lift our mood and take our minds off recession fears. Of course, Apple's event is not the sole reason markets rose yesterday. They'll also let us know if we can afford those shiny new things that Apple's dangling in front of us.
Persons: HSI, Nic Coury, I'm, Zers, CNBC's Kelly Evans, They'll, – CNBC's Pia Singh, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Apple, AFP, Getty, CNBC, Research, Bloomberg, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: Cupertino , California, U.S, Cupertino
Investors are waiting for the consumer price report on Wednesday. JPMorgan led a slide in bank stocks after easing its earnings optimism. AdvertisementUS stocks ended mixed Tuesday ahead of the August consumer price index report due out Wednesday morning. Most investors anticipate a 25 basis point rate cut, but any shock in the inflation data could shift that outlook in favor of a steeper cut. Ahead of each report, Tuesday's presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris could also sway markets.
Persons: Dow, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Nasdaq, Ally Locations: Here's
Here’s a look at what could happen to inflation, jobs and the deficit if Trump or Harris win in November. That, among other things, would keep the top tax rate individuals pay at 37% compared to 39.6% before it went into effect. Meanwhile, the tax proposals Harris has put forth so far mostly involve imposing higher taxes, which would have a positive impact on the deficit. For instance, she’s endorsed raising the top individual income tax rate to 44.6% and the top long-term capital gains tax rate to 28% versus the current 20%. Taken together, the Penn Wharton Budget model estimates Harris’ proposals could increase the deficit by an additional $1.2 trillion by 2034.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Goldman Sachs, Trump, Warwick McKibbin, Goldman, she’s, , Justin Wolfers, Kevin Dietsch, He’s, Elon Musk, She’s, Joshua Gotbaum Organizations: New, New York CNN, Labor Department, Trump, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Gross, University of Michigan, CNN, Federal Reserve, Treasury Department, Wharton Budget, Social Security, Penn, Wharton Budget Model, Penn Wharton Budget, Brookings Institution Locations: New York, United States, Penn
Investors are gearing up for August's consumer price index report to release on Wednesday. Tuesday's presidential debate could also impact investor sentiment. This week, investors are bracing for the incoming consumer price index report, scheduled for release on Wednesday morning. Before the inflation print, investors will first tune into Tuesday evening presidential debate between candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Later in the week, the producer price index and the latest jobless claims will be published on Thursday.
Persons: Stocks, , Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, David Bahnsen Organizations: Service, Bahnsen Group, Here's
Fact check: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris debate on ABC News
  + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Cnn Staff | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +18 min
CNN —Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are facing off for the first time Tuesday during ABC’s presidential debate. “I had no inflation, virtually no inflation,” Trump said. Harris introduced herself by name and said, “Let’s have a good debate.” Trump responded: “Nice to see you. Have fun.” Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images Trump and Harris stand on stage at the start of the debate. “But understand if Donald Trump were to be elected, he will sign a national abortion ban.
Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Katie Lobosco, MAGA, , ” Trump, Daniel Dale, Tami Luhby, Chip Somodevilla, he’s, FactCheck.org, Steven Cheung, Cheung, Kaanita Iyer Trump, Joe Biden, , gotaways, Michelle Mittelstadt, Piper Hudspeth Blackburn, David Muir, Linsey Davis, Michael Le Brecht, Alex Brandon, Doug Mills, Pat Tuttle, George Walker IV, Saul Loeb, Tristen Rouse, CNN Harris, Win McNamee, Sheena Carey, Morry Gash, Matthew Hatcher, ” Saul Loeb, Roberto Schmidt, Andrew Thomas, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Kennedy, Jim Lo Scalzo, Anthony Scaramucci, Olivia Troye, Matt Rourke, Hannah Beier, Lilly, Evelyn Hockstein, Matt Slocum, Kenny Holston, ” Harris, Noah Weinrich, Kaanita Iyer, Feedback Trump, John Roberts, Devan Cole Trump, Sen, JD Vance, ” Vance, Michael Williams Trump, United States –, Katie Lobosco Harris, , Mike Pence, Rather, “ Joe Biden, Ella Nilsen Trump, Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN, Trump, Center for American Progress, Fund, CAP, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Center, CNN Trump, Breitbart News, Border Patrol, Biden, Patrol, Republicans, Migration, Institute, ABC News Trump, National Constitution Center, New York Times, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Getty, Pennsylvania Convention Center, People, Philadelphia International Airport, AFP, Philadelphia City Hall, Former Trump, Reuters, ABC, Force, Democratic, Convention, Leadership, Heritage, United States Supreme, White, City, Springfield News, Sun, Springfield Police, United States, US International Trade Commission, Treasury, Consumer, Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, United Kingdom, Venezuela, United States, Nashville , Tennessee, Washington ,, Washington , DC, Milwaukee, AFP, Springfield , Ohio, , Springfield, City, China, American
As the Fed lowers its benchmark rate, mortgage rates should continue to go down. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. FHA Interest RatesFHA interest rates were 5.03% last month, and they've been a bit lower in recent weeks. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.
Persons: they've, Freddie Mac Organizations: Federal Reserve, Traders, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs Locations: Chevron
All of our Super Six megacaps were higher, even Club stock Apple was pushing to stay in the green after getting mixed reviews on Monday's iPhone 16 event. That's an interesting line because you could argue that Starbucks needs to pullback its aggressive expansion plans in the world's second-largest economy. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Daniel Pinto, Pinto, JPMorgan's, else's, Jamie Dimon, Wells, Morgan Stanley, ramping, Brian Niccol, Niccol, Buster's, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Apple, JPMorgan, Barclays Global Financial Services Conference, Dow, Starbucks, The Club, GameStop, Dave, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Banks, U.S, United States, China
U.S. stock futures were little changed Tuesday night ahead of the August consumer inflation report due Wednesday morning. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures both dipped 0.1%. Traders are anticipating a key economic report Wednesday morning: August's consumer price index. The CPI report and Thursday's producer price index could help determine the size of a widely expected rate cut at the end of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting on Sept. 18. Fed funds futures trading suggests a 69% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut and a 31% likelihood of a 50-basis-point reduction, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
Persons: Dow, Dow Jones, CME's, Kristina Hooper, Hooper Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Nvidia, JPMorgan, CPI, Federal
The Federal Reserve gets its last look this week at inflation readings before it will determine the size of a widely expected interest rate cut soon. On Wednesday, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its consumer price index report for August. With the issue virtually settled over whether the Fed is going to cut rates when it wraps up the next policy meeting Sept. 18, the only question is by how much. "Inflation data has taken a backseat to labor market data in terms of influence on Fed policy," Citigroup economist Veronica Clark said in a note. "But with markets — and likely Fed officials themselves – split on the appropriate size of the first rate cut on September 18, August CPI data could remain an important factor in the upcoming decision."
Persons: Veronica Clark, Dow Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, CPI, Citigroup, Fed, PPI
One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was 2 basis points higher at 3.721%, with the 2-year Treasury yield also up by 2 basis points at 3.691%. Treasury yields rose early Tuesday ahead of the final major inflation prints before the Federal Reserve's September meeting. Treasury yields have stablized after tumbling through last week when a series of labor market releases missed estimates. Debate has erupted over whether the Fed could opt for a 50 basis point rather than a 25 basis point interest rate cut during the Sept. 17-18 meeting.
Organizations: Treasury, Investors Locations: July's
BEIJING — China on Monday reported its consumer price index rose by 0.6% year on year in August, missing expectations as transportation and home goods prices, as well as rents declined. Food prices climbed by 2.8% year on year in August, the first positive print since June 2023, according to Wind Information data. Pork prices surged by 16.1% in August, while vegetable prices climbed by 21.8%. Pork, a food staple in China, has an outsized weighting in the country's consumer price index. Core-CPI, which strips out food and energy prices, climbed by 0.3% in August from a year ago, a slower rise for a second-straight month.
Persons: Wang Yifan Organizations: Nanhua Locations: China, BEIJING — China
Dow gets a 500-point boost
  + stars: | 2024-09-09 | by ( David Goldman | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
The Dow rose 484 points, or 1.2%, on Monday. At one point earlier in the afternoon, the Dow was up more than 600 points. This week, investors will get another look at US inflation data, starting Wednesday morning with the Consumer Price Index report. The Fed has kept interest rates high to bring price hikes under control. Because consumer spending makes up the vast majority of America’s economy, the Fed almost always plunges the economy into a recession when it hikes rates — although that’s obviously not the goal.
Persons: Dow, Fear, That’s, , It’s Organizations: CNN — Investors, Dow, Nasdaq, CNN, Fed Locations: America
Instead, JPMorgan increased its overweight recommendations on other emerging markets. Even after the change, JPMorgan still holds 18 China stocks in its global emerging markets model portfolio. The JPMorgan analysts said uncertainties about the China economic outlook range from tensions with the U.S. to "lingering deflation pressure." During three periods of escalating U.S.-China trade tensions in 2018 and 2019, the MSCI China index fell each time, according to JPMorgan China Equity Strategist Wendy Liu. As part of its China stock downgrade, JPMorgan added shares of state-owned utility operator CR Gas , while removing shares of PDD, China Construction Bank and Kingdee International.
Persons: Pedro Martins, Chetan Seth, Jake Sullivan, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden's, Harris, Donald Trump, Wendy Liu, ByteDance, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Wednesday, Sunday, Reuters, Nomura's, Nomura, JPMorgan China Equity, CR Gas, China Construction Bank, Kingdee International, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Hong Locations: China, U.S, Nomura's Asia, Japan, Beijing, PDD, Hong Kong, Thursday's
(Photo Illustration by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) Justin Sullivan | Getty ImagesCryptocurrency exchange Coinbase just wrapped up its worst week of the year. According to CoinGlass, September is historically a difficult trading month for crypto assets, with bitcoin notching an average loss of 4.8%. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a gauge of crypto market sentiment, is firmly in the "Extreme Fear" zone, indicating that investors are worried about price moves. On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a cooldown in the labor market with August payrolls falling short of expectations. Crypto equities hit hardestWhile it was a rough week for risky assets of all sorts, investors over-indexed in crypto stocks had it particularly bad.
Persons: Justin Sullivan, Schwab, CoinGlass, Bitcoin, payrolls, Leena ElDeeb, MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor, CleanSpark, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, Trump, Gary Gensler Organizations: Securities, Exchange, Securities and Exchange Commission, Marathon, Nasdaq, bitcoin, Labor, of Labor Statistics, SEC, JPMorgan Chase, Federal Reserve, August's, U.S, Republican Locations: CALIFORNIA, San Anselmo , California, Bitcoin, U.S, MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Nashville
Those two events are the kind of thing that, in normal times, are tracked mostly by economists and Wall Street types. For former President Donald Trump and the Republicans, the narrative is simple: Anything bad you’re feeling about inflation or the job market? Harris entered the race trailing Trump on a range of issues, including the economy. If that were the whole story, Trump might have a harder time disparaging Harris’ and President Joe Biden’s economic record. If the data doesn’t behave, however, then jobs — not inflation — may become the key economic narrative that Harris and Trump will start talking about in their stump speeches.
Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN —, we’re, pollsters, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris, Price, Trump, Harris ’, Joe Biden’s, it’s, , Aaron Sojourner, Heidi Shierholz, Biden, Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Republicans, Biden, Democratic, Trump, July’s, Fed, WE Upjohn, Employment Research, Economic Policy Institute, , of Labor Statistics Locations: New York, Washington
Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core PCE also increased 0.2% for the month but was up 2.6% from a year ago. Core prices less housing, another key metric for the Fed, increased just 0.1% on the month. Elsewhere in the report, the department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said personal income increased 0.3%, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate, while consumer spending rose 0.5%, in line with the forecast. Markets reacted little to the news, with equity futures pointing to a slightly higher open on Wall Street and Treasury yields higher as well. In recent days, policymakers such as Chair Jerome Powell have expressed confidence that inflation is progressing back to the Fed's 2% goal.
Persons: Dow, Joseph Brusuelas, Jerome Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Dow Jones, Fed, department's, BEA, Treasury, RSM
While the Fed uses a whole dashboard of indicators to measure inflation, the PCE index is its go-to data point and its sole forecasting tool when members release their quarterly projections. Policymakers especially hone in on the core PCE measure, which excludes food and energy, when making interest rate decisions. "To me, it's going to be just one more piece of evidence to confirm that the Fed is seeing sustainable inflation readings at a sustainable pace," said Beth Ann Bovino, chief economist at U.S. Bank. Any slight upticks are "really just base-effect kinds of things that aren't going to change the Fed's view." Fed officials aren't declaring victory over inflation yet, though recent statements indicate a more positive outlook.
Persons: Dow Jones, Beth Ann Bovino, aren't Organizations: Federal, Commerce Department, Fed, Labor, Dow, U.S . Bank
Read previewVice President Kamala Harris' proposal to combat grocery inflation hasn't elicited a range of opinions from economists, and many have turned to history to dispute her idea. Last week, the Democratic presidential nominee unveiled early details of her economic platform, which included a pledge to ban grocery price gouging. In a study from May, price gouging was the second leading perceived cause of inflation among surveyed consumers. AdvertisementWhether gouging deserves the blame for inflation, some have also criticized Harris' plan as an ineffective government overreach. Pundits have alluded to the price controls under President Richard Nixon.
Persons: , Kamala Harris, Kenneth Rogoff, Harris, Ed Yardeni, Price, Richard Nixon, Stephen Moore, Lindsay Owens, Donald Trump Organizations: Service, Democratic, Business, CNN, Republican, Cato Institute, Heritage Foundation, CNBC, Federal Trade Commission, New York Times Locations: Cal, Maine
NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia Wall Street is bullish heading into Nvidia's earnings results next week, figuring any hiccups to its next generation AI chips does little to dim the earnings potential of a company that essentially has a monopoly on the market. Economists polled by FactSet anticipate PCE to show increases of 0.2% month on month and 2.6% from the year-earlier period. Wall Street anticipates that stocks could go higher from here, though the road from now to the end of the year could be bumpy. Other notable earnings results include tech names Salesforce and CrowdStrike, as well as consumer names such as Campbell Soup, Dollar General and Ulta Beauty. Earnings: Nvidia , Bath & Body Works , J. M. Smucker , Salesforce , CrowdStrike , NetApp , HP Thursday Aug. 29 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Nvidia's, chipmaker, they've, Harsh Kumar, Piper Sandler, Blackwell, Jensen Huang, Jim Cramer, Kumar, Louis Navellier, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, FactSet, David Miller, Miller, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, He's, Campbell, Lululemon Organizations: Nvidia, Blackwell, Navellier, Associates, Federal Reserve, PCE, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, U.S, Catalyst Funds, Ulta, Dallas Fed, Richmond Fed, Body, HP, Autodesk, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Chicago, Michigan
Going back to 1953, the S & P 500 has climbed around 0.5% during the final week of August on a median basis, according to data analyzed by Bespoke Investment Group. That is a bright spot ahead of a historically weak period for the market. September ranks as the worst month on average for the S & P 500 going back to 1950, according to data from the Stock Trader's Almanac. Almanac data shows the S & P 500 is flat on average for the month. .SPX 1M mountain The S & P 500, 1 month The upcoming week also has some events that may move the market in the trading month's final days.
Organizations: Investment Group, Stock, Investors
The former Treasury Secretary told Bloomberg TV that the central bank's interest rate strategy has largely succeeded, even though Fed officials made a major blunder by first underestimating pandemic-era inflation. In 2021, the Fed mischaracterized inflation as "transitory," citing that COVID supply chain disruptions would eventually blow away. Once central bankers grew to understand that inflation needed an interest rate response, the Fed initiated the most aggressive policy-tightening campaign in recent history. In that period, Summers often showcased skepticism that the Fed could clamp down on inflation this way without economic consequences. AdvertisementNow, the main question is how far interest rates could fall during the Fed's September meeting.
Persons: , Larry Summers, Summers, I've, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Business, Fed
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