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July 28 (Reuters) - U.S. banks should incorporate the Federal Reserve's emergency lending facility known as the "discount window" as part of their contingency funding plans, federal banking regulators said in updated guidance on Friday. The discount window, a key Fed facility long associated with providing emergency loans to banks, is "an important tool" banks can use to manage liquidity risk, bank regulators including the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp said in an updated interagency policy statement. The bank runs earlier this year that forced regulators to shut down Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in mid-March "underscored the importance of liquidity risk management and contingency funding planning," the agencies said. The updated guidance comes after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said in May that banks should be prepared to borrow regularly from the Fed's discount window, particularly after the March bank failures demonstrated the importance of effective liquidity risk management. The bank regulators also said that financial institutions should establish and maintain operational readiness to use the discount window, including conducting periodic small value transactions.

Persons: Lorie Logan, Hannah Lang, Dan Burns, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Bank, Signature Bank, Dallas, Thomson Locations: Washington

July 28 (Reuters) - U.S. banks should incorporate the Federal Reserve's emergency lending facility known as the "discount window" as part of their contingency funding plans, federal banking regulators said in updated guidance on Friday. The discount window is "an important tool" banks can use to manage liquidity risk, bank regulators including the Federal Reserve and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp said in an updated interagency policy statement. Bank runs in mid-March that forced regulators to shut down Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank "underscored the importance of liquidity risk management and contingency funding planning," the agencies said. "Banks are now working to see that they are ready to use the discount window, and we are strongly encouraging them to do that," he said. Reuters GraphicsThe guidance also said financial institutions should establish and maintain operational readiness to use the discount window, including conducting periodic small value transactions.

Persons: Lorie Logan, Jerome Powell, Banks, Hannah Lang, Dan Burns, Marguerita Choy, Richard Chang Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, Bank, Signature, Dallas, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Washington

☆ Expect more rate hikes from the Fed after the latest jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Job gains remain robust, wage growth is still going strong, and unemployment continues to hover near historic lows. That means the job market is still fueling demand in the economy, which the Fed has been trying to slow through rate hikes. Assessing the labor marketThe Fed wants to see the labor market slow down broadly, bringing it into “better balance,” as Powell has frequently described it. And there has been some progress on bringing the job market back into better balance while inflation has come down. “The focus is on the path of wage inflation because of its pass-through to services inflation,” said Sonia Meskin, head of US Macro at BNY Mellon IM.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, “, ”, Lorie Logan, John Williams, Jerome Powell, Powell, Dave Gilbertson, Powell homed, Goolsbee, Gilbertson, Sonia Meskin, Joe Biden’s Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Fed, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Central Bank Research Association, ” Fed, New, ”, CNN, Labor, CNBC, BNY Mellon, Commerce Department Locations: Washington, New York, April’s

☆ Gold heads for fourth weekly loss on calls for more rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices on Friday were on track for a fourth consecutive weekly loss as recent U.S. jobs data and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve policymakers strengthened bets for higher-for-longer interest rates, weighing on non-yielding bullion. Spot gold was flat at $1,910.20 per ounce by 0240 GMT, but down 0.5% for the week. "A resilient and tight U.S. jobs market effectively strengthens the case for the Fed to keep pushing the benchmark interest rate higher. Right now, it's all about interest rates and a guessing game about where the terminal rate setting will land," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

Persons: Tim Waterer, Waterer, Lorie Logan, Janet Yellen's Organizations: Aurum, Federal Reserve, Fed, KCM, Fed Bank of Dallas, Treasury, Palladium Locations: Janet Yellen's Beijing

☆ Morning Bid: Data-hit bond markets end summer lull
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

On top of that, there were signs that activity at dominant U.S. service sector firms picked up steam again last month too. Friday's release of the Labor Department's monthly national payrolls report will seal the picture. U.S. Treasury yields hit 16-year highs above 5%, German equivalents hit their highest in 15 years and British gilt yields scaled 2008 peaks. The VIX (.VIX) gauge of implied Wall St volatility - which had been peculiarly subdued right through last month - jumped to its highest since June 1. Crucially, 2-year Treasury yields edged back below 5%.

Persons: Mike Dolan, Lorie Logan, payrolls, HSI, Janet Yellen's, Elon, Lorrie Logan, Christine Lagarde, Joachim Nagel, Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann, Emelia Sithole Organizations: readouts, Federal, Labor, Dallas Fed, Fed, Treasury, Nikkei, Twitter, Meta, Dallas Federal, Central Bank, Bank of England, NATO, Vilnius Reuters Graphics, Reuters Graphics Reuters, PMI Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, China, Canada, New York, Vilnius Reuters

☆ Market surveys show Wall Street expected less hawkish Fed outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The primary dealer survey was released on Thursday by the New York Fed and was joined by the survey of market participants, most of whom are large money managers. Respondents to that poll were also caught off guard by the Fed outlook and had projected the same Fed stopping point as the primary dealers. The dealer and market surveys also offered projections about the size of the Fed’s reverse repo facility. Mainly used by money funds, this tool finally saw inflows fall below $2 trillion per day last month, and they are widely expected to fall further as private market rates become more attractive and the Treasury ramps up issuance. Primary dealers reckon the daily reverse repo inflow will hit $1.119 trillion by the fourth quarter of 2024.

Persons: Lorie Logan, Logan, Michael S, Andrea Ricci Organizations: YORK, Reserve, Fed, Federal, New York Fed, Reuters Graphics Dealers, Dallas Fed, Columbia University, Treasury, Thomson

Private payrolls surged far more than expected in June, data showed, suggesting the labor market remained solid despite growing risks of a recession. “We don’t see any softening in the labor market,” said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Financial Network. All 11 S&P 500 sectors ended down. U.S. interest rate futures saw an increased probability of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve in November, according to CME's FedWatch. Second-quarter corporate reports will arrive in coming weeks with S&P 500 earnings expected to fall 5.7% from a year-ago, according to Refinitiv data.

Persons: payrolls, ”, Brad McMillan, CME's, Lorie Logan, Lip, judge's, Lewis Krauskopf, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi, Shinjini Ganguli, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Energy, Exxon, Dow, Nasdaq, Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, Dow Jones, Microsoft, Apple, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dallas, Exxon Mobil Corp, Wealth Management, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Spirit Airlines, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York, Bengaluru

☆ Dollar eases after strong labor market reports
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

NEW YORK, July 6 (Reuters) - The dollar eased after a brief rebound on Thursday as data showing the U.S. labor market remains strong increased chances the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this month. "Take it together with how equity markets have responded, that gives a clear picture of the dollar today. The dollar index , measuring the U.S. currency against six others including the euro and Japan's yen, fell 0.18% to 103.13. "The FX market is taking more of a 'one-dimensional approach' to trading the British disease," said Stephen Gallo, global FX strategist at BMO Capital Markets. The Chinese yuan last traded down slightly at 7.2575 per dollar in the offshore market , a day after falling about 0.4%.

Persons: payrolls, Brian Daingerfield, Lorie Logan, Brad Bechtel, Stephen Gallo, Gallo, Bitcoin, Herbert Lash, Samuel Indyk, Rae Wee, David Holmes, Mark Potter, Richard Chang Organizations: YORK, Reserve, Labor Department, Institute for Supply Management, NatWest Markets, Fed, Dallas, FX, Jefferies, of England, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S, Stamford , Connecticut, London, Singapore

Private payrolls surged far more than expected in June, data showed, suggesting the labor market remained on solid ground despite growing risks of a recession. “We don’t see any softening in the labor market,” said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Financial Network. Treasury yields jumped following the labor market data. The benchmark 10-year yield burst above 4% while the two-year Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, hit a 16-year high. U.S. interest rate futures saw an increased probability of another rate hike by the Federal Reserve in November, according to CME's FedWatch.

Persons: payrolls, ”, Brad McMillan, CME's, Lorie Logan, Lip, judge's, Lewis Krauskopf, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi, Shinjini Ganguli, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Energy, Exxon, Reserve, Commonwealth Financial Network, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dallas, Exxon Mobil Corp, Wealth Management, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Spirit Airlines, Thomson Locations: U.S, New York, Bengaluru

Compounding worries that this would lead to a more hawkish central bank, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan said on Thursday that a continued above-target inflation outlook and a stronger-than-expected labor market "calls for more-restrictive monetary policy." U.S. Treasury yields climbed after the labor market data boosted expectations for aggressive Fed rate hikes to rein in stubbornly high inflation. Emerging market stocks (.MSCIEF) lost 1.88%. In Treasuries 2-year Treasury yields rose above 5% for the first time since early March and touched their highest levels since June 2007. In currencies, the dollar index fell 0.048%, with the euro up 0.13% at $1.0865.

Persons: Lorie Logan, Alex Coffey, Coffey, Sterling, Janet Yellen, Matt Simpson, Brent, Sinéad Carew, Marc Jones, Clarence Fernandez, Hugh Lawson, Richard Chang Organizations: ADP, The Labor Department, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Treasury, U.S, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Japan's Nikkei, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics CHIPPING, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific, Japan, United States, Europe, China, Beijing, New York, London

☆ Fed's Logan says more rate hikes needed amid unexpected economic strength
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Michael S. Derby | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Logan is a voting member of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee this year. Officials were still worried about inflation and flagged a still strong job market, while a minority of policymakers expressed interest in raising rates at the June meeting. Logan also said that she doesn’t see anything tied to the Fed’s balance sheet drawdown affecting the Fed’s rate choices right now, and said the Treasury’s work to rebuild its cash account is unlikely to hit bank reserves, with the cash instead drawn from the Fed's reverse repo facility. Logan said after her formal remarks that she was surprised markets expect a sooner end to the balance sheet drawdown than she bets is likely. Reporting by Michael S. Derby Editing by Nick ZieminskiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Lorie Logan, ’, ” Logan, ”, Logan, Jerome Powell, John Williams, it’s, “, Michael S, Nick Zieminski Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Columbia University, , New York Fed, Fed, Thomson Locations: ,

Private payrolls increased more than expected in June, the ADP National Employment report showed, indicating the labor market remained strong despite growing risks of a recession from higher interest rates. Another survey showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased moderately last week. "The Fed has been hopeful to see a modest deterioration in the labor market," said Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab. "But since the ADP number was almost twice of what was expected, it generally implies there's potential for more rate hikes going forward." Reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar and Johann M Cherian in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: payrolls, Randy Frederick, Charles Schwab, Lorie Logan, Janet Yellen, judge's, Bansari Mayur Kamdar, Johann M, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: Exxon, Dow, ADP, Dallas, Twitter, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Institute for Supply, Qualcomm, Intel, Treasury, Exxon Mobil, JetBlue Airways, American Airlines, Spirit Airlines, NYSE, Thomson Locations: ., Beijing, Washington, China, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Job openings fall by half a million
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

There were about half a million fewer job openings in May than the previous month, providing at least a modest sign that the ultra-tight labor market could be loosening a bit, the Labor Department reported Thursday. The closely watched Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed that listings fell to 9.82 million, down 496,000 from April and below the 9.9 million consensus estimate from FactSet. The report comes amid conflicting signs of where the labor market is heading. There is no indication of an abrupt deterioration in labor market conditions," Logan said in remarks delivered at Columbia University in New York. "The continuing outlook for above-target inflation and a stronger-than-expected labor market calls for more restrictive monetary policy," she added.

Persons: Dow Jones, Lorie Logan, Logan Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Survey, Dow, Federal Reserve, Dallas, Columbia University Locations: New York

The Reserve Bank of Australia seems to have executed a one-meeting 'skip', but perhaps more by accident than design. Leaving open the possibility in July of another 25-basis-point hike two months later could prevent financial conditions from loosening too much. The Fed wants policy to be restrictive, and financial markets to move accordingly. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Fed Governors Christopher Waller and Philip Jefferson in recent weeks have introduced 'skip' and 'skipping' into Fed-watchers' lexicons. Until then, a pause was generally assumed to lay the ground for rate cuts, not a resumption of rate hikes.

Persons: Alan Greenspan, John Silvia, Silvia, Jerome Powell, Lorie Logan, Powell, Patrick Harker, Christopher Waller, Philip Jefferson, Price, Lou Crandall, Wrightson ICAP, Jamie McGeever, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Reserve Bank of Australia, Dynamic, Fed, Dallas, Philadelphia Fed, Consumer, Index, Reuters, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Debt ceiling deal may shift investor focus to further Fed action
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Megacap technology and growth stocks, which benefit from lower interest rates, have led the market's advance. A Congressional package raising the debt ceiling, meanwhile, is expected to cap spending on government programs. The debt ceiling impasse had weighed on stocks in recent days, but for the most part investors had been expecting Washington to reach a deal. At the same time, the equity market has only just begun to start pricing in more Fed hikes, she added. "The ongoing effects of monetary policy now are setting us up for this wall of debt that people aren't talking about with enough vigor," he said.

With the end of another earnings season in sight, Wall Street's attention has turned to Washington and the debt ceiling deadline. Republican negotiators on Friday walked out of talks on raising the debt limit , abruptly ending a positive week of discussions that appeared to be leading toward a deal. Democrats and the White House have been pushing for a "clean" hike to the debt limit that would push the next deadline past the 2024 presidential election, while Republicans are pressing for spending cuts. Many investors believe this ongoing game of chicken over the debt limit is largely for show, since the U.S. has never defaulted on its debt obligations. U.S. President Joe Biden hosts debt limit talks with House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and other congressional leaders in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, U.S., May 9, 2023.

☆ Asian stocks inch up on US debt ceiling hopes, Nikkei hits 33-year high
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.66%, while Japan's Nikkei (.N225) continued its ascent, rising to its highest since August 1990, during the country's so-called bubble era. Futures indicated European stocks were set to open higher, with Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.44%, German DAX futures up 0.41% and FTSE futures up 0.23%. China's blue-chip CSI300 Index (.CSI300) rose 0.20%, while the Shanghai Composite Index (.SSEC) was up 0.13%, having reversed from earlier losses. Hawkish rhetoric from Fed speakers continued with Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard saying inflation was not cooling fast enough to allow the Fed to pause its interest-rate hike campaign. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar rose 0.029% and was wedged near a two-month high.

☆ Asian shares mixed as China growth worries crimp U.S. debt ceiling optimism
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Ankur Banerjee | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) eased 0.20% but was set to eke out a gain of 0.19% for the week. Data in the week underscored that China's economy lost momentum at the beginning of the second quarter, stoking worries over the wobbly post-COVID-19 recovery. Investor attention has been firmly on the negotiations over U.S. debt ceiling and increasing hopes that a deal could be reached sent U.S. shares higher overnight . Hawkish rhetoric from Fed speakers continued with Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard saying inflation was not cooling fast enough to allow the Fed to pause its interest-rate hike campaign. U.S. crude fell 0.14% to $71.76 per barrel and Brent was at $75.78, down 0.11% on the day.

☆ Federal Reserve officials are growing skeptical over suspending rate hikes
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Some officials are concerned inflation isn’t cooling fast enough, which could prompt an 11th consecutive rate hike when policymakers meet in June. Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell and former Federal Reserve Board Chair Ben Bernanke (R) participate in a discussion at the Federal Reserve Board building in Washington, DC, May 19, 2023. Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty ImagesEarlier this month, Fed officials voted unanimously to raise the benchmark lending rate by a quarter point to a range of 5-5.25%, while signaling a possible pause ahead. Of course, Fed officials’ thinking on monetary policy could drastically change if the United States defaults on its debt, which could happen as soon as June 1. Fed officials always mention that their views on interest rates largely depend on what economic indicators show, resisting taking an absolute stance on how they will vote.

☆ Morning Bid: Hopeful ahead of the weekend
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Yoruk Bahceli. Markets are heading into the weekend basking in optimism that a debt ceiling deal to avert a catastrophic U.S. Treasury default will be struck soon. His team have reported progress in talks and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has said a deal is "doable" by Sunday. The S&P 500 is up 1.8% this week, set for its best week since end-March when markets were in panic mode around a banking crisis dragging down the economy. Fed speakers also sounded the alarm; Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and St Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Thursday U.S. inflation doesn't look like it's cooling fast enough to merit a rate hike pause.

☆ Watch Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speak live on monetary policy
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks Friday at the "Perspectives on Monetary Policy" panel at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference the central bank is hosting in Washington, D.C. The remarks come with markets suddenly divided on where the Fed goes from here. Market pricing Friday morning indicated about a 35% probability the Fed might approve another interest rate hike when it meets in June, according to the CME Group. The Fed next week will release minutes from its meeting earlier in May at which it approved its 10th interest rate hike since March 2022. Read more:Dallas Fed President Logan says current data doesn't justify pausing rate hikes yetFed Governor Philip Jefferson named as new vice chair to succeed Lael BrainardFed increases rates a quarter point and signals a potential end to hikes

☆ 2-year Treasury yield falls as investors weigh Fed speaker comments, interest rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over two basis points to 3.6249%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Friday as investors weighed comments from Federal Reserve officials on the outlook for interest rate policy and assessed the state of the economy. Investors looked to remarks from Fed speakers for hints about monetary policy and assessed how that may affect the economy. On Thursday, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she did not believe halting interest rate hikes was justified based on recent economic data. More Fed speakers, including Chairman Jerome Powell, are due to speak Friday.

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Time to exhale and breathe
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A trader walks out of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on Wall Street in New York City on May 12, 2023. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, thinks economic data don't support a pause in rate hikes. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Exhale and breathe
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-19 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

People walk by the bronze sculpture 'Fearless Girl' outside of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on April 21, 2023 in New York City. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, thinks economic data don't support a pause in rate hikes. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.

☆ Growing debt ceiling deal hopes send stocks higher
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-18 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The benchmark S&P 500 index (.SPX) rebounded from early declines on news that top U.S. congressional Republican Kevin McCarthy said a deal to raise or suspend the debt ceiling could potentially be reached in time to hold a House vote next week. On Wednesday, President Joe Biden and McCarthy reiterated their aim to strike a deal soon to raise the $31.4 trillion federal debt ceiling and agreed to talk as soon as Sunday. The debt ceiling has drawn attention away from uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners on the NYSE by a 1.31-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.14-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 27 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 88 new highs and 83 new lows.

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