The economy faces four potential outcomes, with the most optimistic also being the most likely, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni.
Other potential outcomes and their percentages, according to Yardeni: a disinflationary no landing (20%), hard landing (20%), and inflationary no landing (20%).
The disinflationary no landing scenario entails real GDP rising 2%-3% while inflation moderates.
Finally, the inflationary no landing scenario would see the economy avoid recession but still be plagued by high prices, resulting in a more hardline Fed.
Committee members will update their outlooks on GDP, inflation, unemployment and the future path of the funds rate.