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CNBC Daily Open: No news is good news for Wall Street
  + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks regain groundWall Street ended Wednesday's session higher, snapping a two-day losing streak. [PRO] India's promising ETFsTapping India's promising market isn't as straightforward for foreign investors as buying shares listed on the Indian stock exchanges. Portfolio managers highlight one of the simplest routes is through ETFs that specifically track indexes comprised of Indian stocks.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Shane Jones, who's, Gongsheng Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow, Nasdaq, Capitol, Microsoft, People's Bank of China Locations: New York City, U.S, China
IBADAN, Nigeria - Feb. 19, 2024: Demonstrators hold placards during a protest against the hike in price and hard living conditions in Ibadan on February 19, 2024. Inflation hit an annual 29.9% in January, driven by soaring food prices that have triggered a cost-of-living crisis in Africa's largest economy. The naira currency, meanwhile, plunged to an all-time low of around 1,600 against the U.S. dollar in late February. "With about 8 percent of Nigerians deemed food insecure, addressing rising food insecurity is the immediate policy priority." IBADAN, Nigeria - Feb. 19, 2024: Demonstrators are seen at a protest against the hike in price and hard living conditions in Ibadan on February 19, 2024.
Persons: Samuel Alabi, Bola Tinubu's, David Omojomolo, Olayemi Cardoso Organizations: Afp, Getty Images, International Monetary Fund, U.S, Bloomberg, Getty, Washington, D.C, IMF, Central Bank of, Capital Economics Locations: IBADAN, Nigeria, Ibadan, Getty Images Nigeria, Africa's, LAGOS, Lagos, Africa
Fuji and Tokyo skyline Jackyenjoyphotography | Moment | Getty ImagesJapan's Nikkei stock index has been on a record-breaking spree on the back of robust earnings and investor-friendly measures. But the country's ailing economy has experts divided over this sustainability of this rally. Japan's corporate governance reforms have been a key driver for the country's stock markets, Momma said, while stressing that stock indexes do not necessarily represent the entire economy that includes SMEs and households. SMEs are a critical lever in the Japanese economy, accounting for 70% of national employment and 50% of the country's economic growth. "Spillover from the global boom of AI-related stocks certainly helped Nikkei," Momma said.
Persons: Kazuo Momma, Momma, Sayuri Shirai, pare, Shirai, Phillip Colmar MRB Organizations: Nikkei, Mizuho Research, CNBC, Bank of Japan, Nvidia, Technology, Stock, Keio University, Bank of America, Phillip Colmar MRB Partners Locations: Fuji, Tokyo, Germany, Japan, U.S, China
Under Xi Jinping's rule, China's economy has slowed after decades of growth. After decades of growth, China's economy is slowing, with a property market crisis causing consumer debt, deflation, a slowdown in spending, and an unemployment crisis. Xi walks a tightropeAs well as moves to close down scrutiny, the Party is unveiling ambitious measures to boost China's economy. But analysts say China continues to face deep economic problems. China's growth target, which is in line with last year's official growth figures, appears modest in comparison to the 10% annual growth it has experienced on average for the past few decades.
Persons: Xi, Premier Li Qiang, , Xi Jinping, Xi doesn't, Jonathan Ward, Ward, Ali Wyne, Li, Vladimir Putin's Organizations: Premier, Analysts, Service, Communist Party, The New York Times, Hudson Institute, Chinese Communist Party, Crisis, BBC Locations: China, Beijing, Vladimir Putin's Russia, Ukraine, Iran, Moscow, Tehran
Japan’s Nikkei 225 index jumped above 40,000 for the first time on Monday, extending a historic rally that analysts say has just begun. The milestone comes just days after it had set a record closing high of 39,098.68, eclipsing its previous 1989 peak. Optimism regarding semiconductors boosted Taiwan’s stock market as well, with benchmark Taiex hitting an all-time high on Monday, led by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Premier Li Qiang is set to announce China’s 2024 growth target on Tuesday and is also likely to unveil more stimulus measures to revive the sagging economy. Analysts widely expect the policymakers to set this year’s growth target at around 5%.
Persons: , Jefferies, , chipmaker, Kospi, Hong, Li Qiang, Stephen Innes Organizations: Hong Kong CNN —, Nikkei, Nasdaq, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Investors, National People’s Congress, NPC, Communist Party’s Politburo Locations: Hong Kong, Japan, Beijing, Shanghai, China
Koll was referring to the asset and equity bubble Japan saw in the late 80s, which resulted in the Nikkei hitting its 1989 highs. In July last year, Koll told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" he expected the Nikkei to hit 40,000 "over the next 12 months." watch nowWhen asked what drives his optimism, Koll told CNBC on Monday that it was in part due to Japan's ability to be a "capital value-creating superpower." There is no question that Japanese 'salarymen CEOs' created more fundamental economic value than Wall Street's superstar CEOs. He said Japanese CEOs are the "undisputed global champions of delivering on the hard part, true economic value creation."
Persons: Jesper Koll, Koll, CNBC's, Fumio Kishida, Wall, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway Organizations: Nikkei, Monex Group, CNBC, Bank, Monex, Wall, Berkshire, Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Sumitomo Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Itochu
Meanwhile, its financial markets are bleeding, the property market has gone up in smoke, local government debt appears alarming, and foreign investors are exiting in droves. Real estate — which was a huge part of China's economy — has been hit badly, he said. AdvertisementTravel has picked up after years of pandemic lockdownServices is another pillar of China's economy that Beijing has been trying to build up. AdvertisementThis is in part because new growth industries are not able to take the place of real estate — yet. Because the property market accounts for one-quarter of China's GDP and more than two-thirds of household wealth, its overall drag on China's economy is much greater than whatever is doing well right now.
Persons: , Rory Green, GlobalData.TS Lombard, AllianceBernstein, John Lin, Lin, Donald Trump's, Louise Loo, Wood Mackenzie, AllianceBerstein's Lin, Nomura, Loo Organizations: Service, Business, Bloomberg TV, Oxford Economics, Nomura, Oxford Locations: China, GlobalData.TS, Real, COVID, Beijing, Europe, Taiwan, South Korea
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Market confidence can rebound if Beijing is less hesitant about implementing solutions, specifically those targeting its spanning property sector and domestic consumption. Lower rates would depreciate the yuan, some fear, but this risk would diminish alongside an economic support package, Wang said. Advertisement"The benefit of rate cuts is likely to far outweigh the negative impact of modestly widening the US-China rate gap," she noted.
Persons: Tao Wang, , Wang Organizations: UBS, FT, Service, Financial Times Locations: China, Beijing, Shanghai
An inflatable bull during a ceremony marking the first day of trading of the year at the Korea Exchange (KRX) headquarters in Seoul, South Korea, Tuesday, Jan. 2, 2024. SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg via Getty Images Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesSouth Korea's Japan-style measures for improving corporate governance may not be enough to boost its undervalued stock markets and tackle the so-called "Korea discount." Asia's fourth-largest economy is striving to boost stock market valuations that are considered much lower compared to peers, with analysts referring to the phenomenon as the "Korea discount." The 'chaebol' problemSouth Korean markets are made up of corporations called "chaebols," which are large family-owned global conglomerates, typically controlled by the founder's family. "The behavior that leads to South Korea's low stock prices is motivated, and therefore seeking to coax South Korean controlling families into 'being nice' to minority stockholders is unlikely to be successful," Pines said.
Persons: SeongJoon Cho, James Lim, Jonathan Pines, Federated Hermes, Daniel Tan Organizations: Korea Exchange, Bloomberg, Getty Images Bloomberg, Getty, Financial, FSC, Samsung Electronics, LG, SK, Hyundai, Dalton Investments, Japan, Korean Stock Exchange, Federated, Grasshopper Asset Management, CNBC Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Japan, Korea, Tokyo, Asia, Singapore
The market value of companies listed on India’s exchanges crossed $4 trillion in late November. But the country is stuck in recession and recently lost its position as the world’s third biggest economy to Germany. While interest in the world’s fifth largest economy is rising, the lofty prices of India’s stocks are scaring some international investors away. According to Macquarie, retail investors alone own 9% of India’s equity market value versus foreign investors at slightly under 20%. China “has a few too many companies which are $100 and $200 billion plus [in value],” Mittal said.
Persons: Peeyush Mittal, there’s, , Mittal, They’ve, Narendra Modi, Indranil Mukherjee, Jefferies, , MSCI, Aditya Suresh, Modi’s, Modi, there’ll, ” Suresh, shoring, Hubert de Barochez, Elon Musk, India “, ” Musk, Suresh, Satish Babu, China “, ” Mittal, Priyanka Agnihotri, Nirmala Sitharaman Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN —, Matthews Asia, Getty, Macquarie Capital, Bharatiya Janata Party, Monetary Fund, Jefferies, Capital Economics, Apple, Foxconn, , Workers, Chennai Metro Rail, Advisory, Indian Locations: New Delhi, Jaipur, San Francisco, India, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Japan, Germany, Beijing, Washington, “ India, Macquarie, Chennai, Baltimore
Stocks in Japan have looked cheap because of a weak yen, which has been a boon to exporters that make their profits overseas. Important changes to the corporate sector have also given shareholders more rights, allowing them to push for changes that favor their stock holdings. Earnings at large Japanese companies are set to rise by more than 40 percent in their latest quarterly results, according to Goldman Sachs. The biggest companies, like Toyota and SoftBank, have also reported some of the biggest earnings surprises, the bank’s analysts noted. Toyota recently rose to a record market value for a Japanese company, about $330 billion, surpassing the mark set in 1987 by the telecom conglomerate NTT.
Persons: haven’t, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Japan Exchange Group, Toyota, NTT Locations: Japan, China
Mickey Todiwala | CNBC Make ItShe first learned about the program from her husband, who'd read about it online. Mickey Todiwala | CNBC Make ItRubia Daniels says her background in construction is helpful to envision what her final space will look like. On one recent visit to Mussomeli, Daniels brought along two fellow Californians, Alfredo Ramirez and his mother, Elena, to tour the houses. Meredith Tabbone 1-euro homeowner from ChicagoTabbone flew to see her new home for the first time in June 2019. Mussomeli, Sicily, has seen its population decline from roughly 16,000 in the 1950s to less than 10,000 today.
Persons: Rubia Daniels, Daniels, who've, Vittorio Sgarbi, Mickey Todiwala, Toti, who'd, didn't, she's, Alfredo Ramirez, Elena, Meredith Tabbone, Tabbone, Chicago Tabbone, I've, Danny McCubbin, who's, Jamie Oliver, McCubbin, Mussomeli, Prezioso, Natalie Milazzo, Milazzo, Nigrelli, Martina Giracello, Gianluca Militello, Giracello, It's, Meredith Tabbone Tabbone Organizations: CNBC, realtors, U.S Locations: Sicily, Berkeley, Calif, Italy, Salemi, Towns, Sicily's, Palermo, Belgian, Mussomeli, California, Petaluma , Calif, Sambuca, Sicilia, Chicago, United States, Australia, London, Mussomeli's, Milan, Cammarata, Caltanissetta, Europe, Africa, Airbnbs
Hong Kong/New Delhi CNN —Japan’s stock market defied gloomy economic data to rally Friday, lifting broader Asian shares and ending the week on a buoyant note. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index closed above 38,000 points for the second day in a row, just a whisker off its historic peak reached in December 1989. “If anything, the window of opportunity created by the weak yen is encouraging international investors, as they suspect it will close soon,” he added. The MSCI’s broadest index of Asian shares excluding Japan closed more than 1% higher. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 closed at a record high of 5,029.73 Thursday as US stocks bounced back from steep losses earlier this week.
Persons: , Neil Newman, Stephen Innes, Austan Goolsbee, Innes, Korea’s Organizations: Hong Kong / New Delhi CNN, Analysts, Japan, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Chicago Fed Locations: Hong Kong / New Delhi, Tokyo, United Kingdom, Asia, Pacific, New York, China
Two of the world's biggest economies are officially in recession, per new figures published Thursday. Meanwhile, UK growth shrank for the second straight quarter — just months ahead of a key election. Japan and the UK are both officially in recession, according to figures published Thursday, after Gross Domestic Product (GDP) fell for two consecutive quarters to close out 2023. UK: Cost-of-living crisis, weak spendingBritain also got some bad economic news Thursday, as official data showed its economy shrank by 0.3% between October and December — its second straight quarterly contraction. That officially put the UK into recession.
Persons: , Dow Jones, It's, juicier, Goldman Sachs, Rishi Sunak Organizations: Service, Gross, Dow, Bank of, Britain, Bank of England’s, European Union, Conservatives, Labour Party, Politico Locations: Japan, Germany, China, European
That 10-year cost estimate is up from $411 billion last March, with housing needs topping the list at $80 billion or 17%, followed by transport needs of $74 billion or 15%, and commerce and industry at $67.5 billion, or 14%. The new estimate excludes reconstruction needs already met through the Ukraine state budget or through partners and international support. He said the Ukrainian economy had proven remarkably resilient in the face of the war. Four of five firms continued to operate in Ukraine, despite the war, with many relying on digital operations or moving sites to stay in business, he added. The number of internally displaced persons had also gone down to around 3.7 million, compared with 5.4 million in spring 2023.
Persons: Andrea Shalal WASHINGTON, Arup Banerji, Banerji, Andrea Shalal, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: World Bank, United, European Commission Locations: United Nations, Eastern Europe, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, Kyiv, Ukraine, Ukrainian
China's economy is transitioning from an old to newer one, Standard Chartered Bill Winters told CNBC. The country's new economy is actually booming into double-digit growth rates, though confidence doesn't reflect this. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . "I think China is going through a major transition from old economy to new economy. Since the pandemic, domestic consumers have focused aggressively on saving, weighing down on the country's growth and the world's only deflationary economy.
Persons: Bill Winters, , Winters, it's, we've Organizations: CNBC, Service Locations: China, Beijing
This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Sources familiar with the firm's plans told Business Insider that it hopes Hirazumi will help bring in assets to the firm’s China strategy. The manager has four Asian offices listed on its website, including one in mainland China in Shanghai, plus others in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Mumbai. It helps that performance has been stellar: The manager is already up roughly 10% through January this year, Business Insider previously reported . Another Millennium spin-out, Kurt Baker’s 30th Century Partners, is planning to start trading this year with $3 billion out of Hong Kong, according to a Bloomberg report.
Persons: Noriaki Hirazumi, Qube, Hirazumi, Ray Dalio, Blackstone, Jonathan Xiong, Kurt Baker’s Organizations: Research, Technologies, General Investment, London, Winton Group, Business, Credit Suisse, Public, Tiger, Investment Partners, Century Partners, Bloomberg Locations: Asia, London, Japan, China, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Singapore, Mumbai, Qube, Bridgewater
Read previewThe biggest players in the global economy are on different trajectories, and markets around the world are reflecting the shifting landscape. "Signs of decoupling are present in global growth, trade, and equity markets," Bank of America strategists wrote in a Friday note. AdvertisementTo that point, the outlook for the Euro area looks softer. BofA expects Euro area growth at 0.4% in 2024 and 1.1% in 2025. Growth forecasts for US, Euro Area, and China.
Persons: , Janet Yellen, BofA, SPX Organizations: Service, Bank, Business, Bank of America, Wall, Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of America Global Locations: China, There's, Germany, Spain, Europe
China's crashing stock market could be the breaking point for foreign investors, Atlantic Council's Jeremy Mark said. AdvertisementThe decline of China's stock market may have scarred it for the long-term, as foreign investors likely aren't coming back, the Atlantic Council wrote on Friday. China's property market is the leading concern, considering the sector accounts for around a quarter of the nation's GDP. Foreign investors have been disenchanted by Beijing's slow response, while the government's 2020 crackdown on the tech sector provided another incentive to move out of Chinese markets, Marks noted. "Even if the economy and property market bottom out in 2024, there are worrying signals about the government's intentions for stock investors.
Persons: Jeremy Mark, , Mark, Beijing's, Marks, It's Organizations: Service, Atlantic Council Locations: Atlantic, China, Beijing
Hindenburg Research published a blistering report in January 2023, accusing Gautam Adani, then Asia’s richest man, of engaging in fraud over decades. “The group has done exceptionally well on various fronts since the Hindenburg report,” said Manish Chowdhury, head of research at brokerage StoxBox. On Thursday, his wealth once again crossed the $100 billion threshold, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. An ‘attack’ on IndiaHindenburg Research, named after the 1937 airship disaster, had accused the Adani Group of “brazen stock manipulation” and it questioned the “sky-high” valuations of Adani firms. However, since the Hindenburg report, the group has worked on reducing its borrowing.
Persons: David, Gautam Adani, Hindenburg, Adani, , Manish Chowdhury, ” Adani, Jeff Bezos, Mukesh Ambani, John D Rockefeller, Cornelius Vanderbilt, Narendra Modi, Chowdhury, Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Hindenburg Research, Bloomberg, India Hindenburg Research, Adani, GQG Partners, , America’s, Adani Enterprises, Indian, Bharatiya Janata Party Locations: New Delhi, India, , , Times
That's far less than in the previous years — the share of U.S. dollars in total VC funds raised was around 15% for the years 2018 to 2021, the data showed. China investments, China exitsWashington and Beijing in 2022 resolved a long-standing audit dispute that reduced the risk of Chinese companies having to delist from U.S. stock exchanges. "With U.S. IPOs no longer being a viable exit strategy for China assets, investors should target local exits in their respective capital markets—in other words, China exits for China assets, and U.S. exits for overseas assets," Liao said. The 20 largest VC deals for China-headquartered companies in 2013 were predominantly in e-commerce and software services, according to PitchBook data. ... the venture capital scene has become even more state-concentrated and focused on government priorities.
Persons: China’s renminbi, Athit Perawongmetha, Kyle Stanford, China —, Liao Ming, Stocks, Liao, Didi, Beijing's, Camille Boullenois Organizations: Reuters, Reuters BEIJING — Venture, Liao Ming, U.S, Sequoia, Prospect, Capital, New York Stock Exchange Locations: U.S, Bangkok, Thailand, Reuters BEIJING, China, Sequoia, Washington, India, Japan, Greater China, Beijing, New York, Hong Kong, U.S . Washington
ANKARA, Turkey (AP) — The work to tame inflation in Turkey — namely through interest rate hikes — will continue “with determination,” the country’s new central bank chief said Thursday, offering some certainty about efforts to right the battered economy following his precedessor's surprise resignation. The duty of the central bank is to ensure and maintain price stability,” Karahan told reporters in Turkey’s capital, Ankara. Erdogan, who has previously fired central bank governors who spurned his unorthodox policies, appointed the new economic team after getting reelected in May. The Turkish central bank most recently raised its key interest rate by 2.5 percentage points in January, when inflation reached nearly 65%. Despite such hikes, inflation remains high — consumer prices rose to an eye-watering 64.86% in January from a year earlier, according to figures released Monday, up from 64.77% in December.
Persons: Fatih Karahan, Goldman Sachs, Karahan, Mehmet Simsek, ” Karahan, Hafize Gaye Erkan, , Erkan, Recep Tayyip Erdogan's, Erdogan, ___ Robert Badendieck Organizations: Finance, Turkish Locations: ANKARA, Turkey, Ankara, Turkish, Ukraine, Istanbul
Increasingly, voters are demanding that the men vying to succeed him address the tradeoffs between fast growth and a healthy environment in the world's fourth most populated country. In recent years, surging commodity prices have fueled fast economic growth and helped Indonesia become a middle-income country. That growth is expected to slow as the boom loses steam, according to a World Bank report. “That means, if the government forces its development, it will involve inefficient and unproductive allocation of resources.”Another campaign issue: food estate programs, massive plantations the government set up to fortify national food security. INDONESIA’S ENERGY TRANSITIONIn 2021, coal-rich Indonesia was the world’s ninth-largest source of carbon emissions that are causing global warming, according to a report by the International Energy Agency.
Persons: , Joko Widodo, It's, Joko Widodo —, Prabowo Subianto, Josua Pardede, , Arianto Patunru, Baswedan, Bhima Yudhistira Adhinegara, El Organizations: Permata Bank, EV, Australian National University, of Economic, Law Studies, International Energy Agency, World Bank, Youth, Bank, El Nino, AP Locations: JAKARTA, Indonesia, Jakarta, Nusantara, Borneo, Anies, Central Java, Widodo, Washington, Kalimantan
China's deflation problem keeps getting worse
  + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
In the latest sign of the country's worsening deflation problem, fresh data showed consumer prices in China tumbled in January at the sharpest rate in 14 years. AdvertisementOn an annualized month-over-month basis, consumer prices fell 4.3%, with particular weakness in food prices. Measured year-over-year for January:Pork prices fell 17.3%Vegetable prices fell 12.7%Fruit prices fell 9.1%The producer price index, too, dropped 2.5%, while service prices climbed at 0.5% on the year, half the rate seen in December. The more consumer prices fall, the more difficult it will be for Beijing to reverse. Foreign investors have already fled Chinese markets in droves over the last year, and ongoing deflation could spell trouble for earnings of Chinese companies.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, National Bureau, Statistics, Bloomberg, Institute of International Finance Locations: China, China's, Beijing
What's on deck:This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Long considered the bane of white-collar workers' existence, people now view cubicles as a sanctuary instead of a jail cell. AdvertisementCalling for a return to the cubes might seem odd when so many are pushing to evolve the workplace. Experts told Business Insider that a wave of retiring Boomers means the generation will soon be at "peak burden" to the economy. Get in touchAdvertisementinsidertoday@insider.comTo read unlimited articles, subscribe to Business Insider.
Persons: , It's, Rebecca Zisser, Long, Kelli María Korducki, haven't, Korducki, cubicles, Ken Griffin, Vernon Yuen, Jerome Powell, Donald Trump, buybacks, Tammi Jantzen, Joe Rogan, Both Rogan, BI's Peter Kafka, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb Organizations: Service, Business, Corporate, Citadel, Getty, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Spotify, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Boomers, Caterpillar Inc Locations: Silicon Valley, Wellington, Astarte, China, New York, London
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