As investors are navigating all the buzz about this week's potential rate cut and the upcoming presidential election, JPMorgan is forecasting a serious risk to long-term stock returns.
The market appears to be too expensive relative to history, according to the firm, which is projecting a 5.7% annual return from the S & P 500 over the next decade.
That is barely above half its post-World War II average, analyst Jan Loeys said in a recent note to clients.
.SPX 5Y mountain S & P 500 performance over the past five years.
The "Great Moderation" refers to the period from the mid-1980s to 2007 that saw low inflation and steady economic growth.
Persons:
Jan Loeys, Loeys
Organizations:
JPMorgan