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Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube Listen and follow ‘Hard Fork’Bluesky, the Twitter spinoff, is now open for public sign-ups. Can its dreams of decentralization fix social media? We talk with the company’s chief executive, Jay Graber. Then, the New York Times reporter Erin Griffith on how Adobe’s failure to acquire Figma has spooked tech companies and upset Silicon Valley’s start-up pipeline. And finally, updates on ancient scrolls and artificial intelligence, Google’s chatbots, and the fight between record companies and TikTok.

Persons: Jay Graber, Erin Griffith, Figma, Google’s chatbots Organizations: Apple, Spotify, YouTube, New York Times

☆ For Voters, When Does Old Become Too Old?
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

When a reporter asked President Biden on Thursday night about concerns about his age, his first instinct was to reject the premise. A clear majority of Americans harbor serious doubts about it, polls show. Of all the reasons Mr. Biden has narrowly trailed Mr. Trump in the polls for five straight months, this is arguably the single most straightforward explanation. It’s what voters are telling pollsters, whether in open-ended questioning about Mr. Biden or when specifically asked about his age, and they say it in overwhelming numbers. In Times/Siena polling, even a majority of Mr. Biden’s own supporters say he’s too old to be an effective president.

Persons: Biden, Biden’s “, ”, Donald J, Trump, Mr, Biden’s Organizations: Times, Mr Locations: Siena

☆ Opinion | The Challenges of an Aging President
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( The Editorial Board | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Because of his age and his determination to run for a second term, President Biden is taking the American public into uncharted waters. He is the oldest person ever to serve as president, is the oldest ever to run for re-election and, if he is successful, would be 86 at the end of his tenure. Ronald Reagan, by comparison, was an unprecedented 77 when he ended his second term in 1989. A remarkably broad swath of the American public — both Mr. Biden’s supporters and his detractors — have expressed increasing doubts about his ability to serve for another five years because of his age. His assurances, in other words, didn’t work.

Persons: Biden, Ronald Reagan, Biden’s, —, Nate Cohn, Biden’s ‘, ’, Robert K, Mr, Hur, snappish, teleprompters, Donald Trump Organizations: “, Times, Mr Locations: Siena

Our listeners have lots of questions about polling. At this point in a usual primary season, still weeks away from Super Tuesday, most of the attention of polling would be on who might capture the nomination. But this year, with the race all but set, we’re anticipating nine months of polling on two men we already know very well. Today, to prepare for that future and to answer the many questions on the subject, we go behind the scenes with the New York Times polling team. And Nate Cohn, our chief political analyst, introduces us to “double haters” and other swingy voters he thinks will decide 2024.

Persons: Nate Cohn Organizations: Super, New York Times

☆ Biden Has Openings for a Comeback on Two Weak Points
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-06 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

President Biden’s approval ratings are as low as ever. An NBC poll this weekend was only the latest example, showing him trailing Donald J. Trump by five percentage points nationwide, with his approval down to 37 percent. But over the last few months, the conditions for a Biden comeback have gradually come into place. But for the first time since the 2022 midterms, Mr. Biden has an unmistakable political opening. The two big developments have come on what voters say are Mr. Biden’s biggest weaknesses on the issues: the economy and the border.

Persons: Biden’s, Donald J, Trump, Biden Organizations: NBC, Biden, New York Times, Siena College Locations: Siena

Listen and follow The DailyApple Podcasts | Spotify | Amazon MusicPresident Biden has struggled to sell Americans on the positive signs in the economy under his watch, despite figures that look good on paper. That could have important ramifications for his re-election hopes. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for The Times, explains why, to understand the situation, it may help to look back at another election, 76 years ago.

Persons: Biden, Nate Cohn Organizations: Spotify, Amazon Music, The Times

Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube Listen and follow ‘Hard Fork’Apple’s Vision Pro headset is now for sale in stores. Will it live up to the hype? Kevin Roose and Casey Newton tried it out to see. Then, in a high-profile congressional hearing on child safety and social media, Mark Zuckerberg, the Meta chief executive, made an apology to families of victims of online child abuse. And finally, what the collapse of Cruise, the autonomous vehicle company, means for the future of self-driving cars.

Persons: Kevin Roose, Casey Newton, Mark Zuckerberg Organizations: Apple, Spotify, YouTube Locations: Cruise

☆ Turnout Data Reveals the Core of Democrats’ Success in Special Elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

On one hand, there’s polling. On the other hand, there’s election results. Almost every time polls bring Democrats down, there’s a special election result to bring them back up. The limitations of relying on special elections, on the other hand, are not as well understood. Unlike polls, special election results are hard facts, which make them tempting to view as a clear read into the 2024 electorate.

Persons: Biden, Donald J, there’s, Roe, Wade Organizations: Trump . Voters, Daily Kos

☆ 'The Davos underground': A final take on the secretive parties of the world's rich and powerful
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Mackenzie Sigalos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +23 min

"That's when you get the good s---," said a Davos attendee who is regularly selected to join the exclusive backroom of the Annual Davos Wine Forum Tasting. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards JPMorgan took over the Kirchner Museum for its annual drinks event. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards The attire of the Davos set is decidedly not chic. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards The color of your conference badge determined access to World Economic Forum events. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwards Skiing and snowboarding post panels and broadcasting was another favorite pastime of some Davos goers.

Persons: bankrolled, Vladimir Putin's, Putin, George Soros, Bill Browder, Anthony Scaramucci, Anthony, Scaramucci, queued, Latour, Donald Trump, —, Mark Milley, Matt Damon, Richard Branson, Andrea Bocelli, Chris Coons, Paul Ryan, bartenders, Champagne Perrier, Chateau Latour, L'Eglise, Burgundy Olivier Bernstein Bonnes, Domaine Comte Georges de Vogue, Tenuta, Casanova di Neri, Stephen King, Browder, Doug Emhoff, Gary Cohn, Ian Bremmer, Sir Martin Sorrell, Sting, Bill Gates, Sam Altman, Marc Benioff, Ray Dalio, Emhoff, Ernst Ludwig Kirchner, Brian Moynihan, IBM's Gary Cohn, Jack Hidary, Sir Richard Moore, Barry Colson, Davos goer, Moritz, Eve, CNBCers, Emmanuel Macron, John Kerry, Joe Short, roundtables, Wyclef Jean, Diane von Fürstenberg, George Osborne, David Rhodes, Osborne, Politico's Suzanne Lynch, Princess Beatrice, David Blaine, Milley —, Tij, CNBC Tij Organizations: Economic, CNBC, Congress Center, Russian, Russian Direct Investment Fund, Moonshot Investor Network, Putin, Hermitage Capital, SkyBridge, White House Communications, Chiefs, Bordeaux Smith Haut, Platz, Politico, IBM, AB InBev, White, Trump, Eurasia Group, Capital, Microsoft, Wall Street, Billionaire Microsoft, Light, Infosys, Bloomberg House, JPMorgan, Kirchner Museum, Financial, Hotel, CNBC CNBC, Bank of America, New, Davos, U.S . Climate, Accenture, Golf Club Davos, Palantir, Chancellor, Sky News's, Sting, Workers, Swiss Army, Army, Gliding Locations: Davos, Switzerland, Soviet, Ukraine, Moscow, Hungarian, Hermitage, Providence, Europe, Davos's, Bordeaux, Bordeaux Smith Haut Lafitte, Bello, Santa Cruz, Napa Valley Tuscany, Schatzalp, Scalettastrasse, Emirates, Halifax, Canada, Salt Lake City, U.S, Palantir, Swiss

Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube Listen and follow ‘Hard Fork’Layoffs are hitting newsrooms and publishers again, as tech platforms, ad markets and artificial intelligence reshape the internet. Kevin Roose and Casey Newton have ideas for solutions. Then, one of the most influential investors in crypto companies lays out where the industry went wrong, and why he still thinks blockchains are the future. And finally, a round of HatGPT with the week’s tech headlines, including a spicy LinkedIn post and an A.I. test that disturbs Kevin and Casey’s sense of reality.

Persons: Kevin Roose, Casey Newton, Kevin Organizations: Apple, Spotify, YouTube

NEW YORK (AP) — It's a little late for John Leventhal to be considered a hot young thing in music. The thought of doing a solo record sort of creeped into my consciousness and, when the pandemic hit, I really couldn't avoid it. AP: How do you think a first John Leventhal album would have sounded if you made it 50 years ago? I don't think I would have made a good record 40 years ago because it wouldn't have been tempered by what I've learned. It felt more like creating a product, like it was someone in the record industry's “good idea.” And it is a good idea.

Persons: —, John Leventhal, He's, Shawn Colvin, Jim Lauderdale, Leventhal, Marc Cohn, Sarah Jarosz, Joan Osborne, William Bell, Rosanne Cash, Jackson Browne, Willie Nelson, Ry Cooder, Elvis Costello, Donald Fagen, Cash, Cohn, Matt Berninger, LEVENTHAL, I've, We're, Doc Watson, Howlin, Wolf, Igor Stravinsky, Duke Ellington, Miles Davis, George Jones, I'm, It's Organizations: Boys of, Associated Press, Beatles Locations: New York, Boys of Alabama

☆ It’s Fair to Ask: Is the Republican Race Over?
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Is the Republican presidential primary over already? Not quite, but it’s a reasonable question after New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation primary delivered a clear victory for Donald J. Trump on Tuesday night. Mr. Trump’s 11-point margin of victory is not extraordinarily impressive in its own right. What makes Mr. Trump’s victory so important — and what raises the question about whether the race is over — is that New Hampshire was Ms. Haley’s very best opportunity to change the trajectory of the race. It was arguably her very best opportunity to win a state, period.

Persons: New Hampshire’s, Donald J, Trump, Nikki Haley, Trump’s, Haley’s Organizations: Republican, New Locations: ”, New Hampshire

☆ An Important Victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Nate Cohn | More About Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Not quite, but it’s a reasonable question after New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation primary delivered a clear victory for Donald Trump last night. Trump’s 12-point margin of victory is not extraordinarily impressive in its own right. In fact, he won by a smaller margin than many pre-election polls suggested. What makes Trump’s victory so important — and what raises the question about whether the race is over — is that New Hampshire was Haley’s best opportunity to change the trajectory of the race. It was arguably her best opportunity to win a state, period.

Persons: New Hampshire’s, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley’s Organizations: Republican, New Locations: ”, New Hampshire

☆ The Needle Returns for the New Hampshire Republican Primary
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Nate Cohn | Irineo Cabreros | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Once New Hampshire primary results begin to arrive starting at 7 p.m. Eastern Standard Time tonight, The Times will start publishing a live estimate of the final result, better known as the Needle. How to watch the Needle tonightOur results pages feature graphics designed to help you understand how each candidate is faring. The hypothetical chart below shows how our live estimates work. Our best estimate for each candidate’s final vote share is shown along with a range of estimates for where things might end up.

Organizations: New, Times Locations: New Hampshire

☆ Last Exit Before Trump: New Hampshire
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Nate Cohn | More About Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Let’s be blunt about the stakes of the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday. If Donald J. Trump wins decisively, as the polls suggest, he will be on track to win the Republican nomination without a serious contest. Ron DeSantis’s decision to suspend his campaign and endorse Mr. Trump is only the latest example. The polling by state isn’t much better for Nikki Haley, the only remaining opponent for Mr. Trump. He leads Ms. Haley by at least 30 points in all of the states after New Hampshire until Super Tuesday.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Ron DeSantis’s, Nikki Haley, Haley Organizations: New, Trump, New Hampshire, Super Locations: New Hampshire, Iowa, New

☆ The Lost DeSantis Moment
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Nate Cohn | More About Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

There are countless reasons Mr. DeSantis fell apart and ultimately ended his campaign Sunday — including that his opponent proved once again to be a juggernaut. Perhaps Mr. DeSantis might have won the nomination in most other years, if he hadn’t been going against a former president. But rather than dwell on his losing campaign, it’s worth returning to his apparent strength at the outset — that brief moment when Mr. DeSantis, or at least the idea of Mr. DeSantis, routinely led Mr. Trump in high-quality head-to-head polls. In the eight years since Donald J. Trump won the Republican nomination, this was the only moment when Republican voters appeared willing to go a different direction. Mr. DeSantis didn’t capitalize on the moment, but nonetheless it’s the only glimpse we’ve had into the post-Trump Republican Party.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Ronald Reagan, Barack Obama, DeSantis, Trump, Donald J, we’ve Organizations: Republican, Trump Republican Party

Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube Listen and follow ‘Hard Fork’OpenAI has released its plan to fight disinformation in elections in 2024, but will its policies be consequential compared to those of other generative A.I. Then, a watershed moment had crypto fans celebrating for the first time in maybe more than a year. And finally, what one writer’s attempt to sell a used mechanical pencil on TikTok says about how the platform is changing. Today’s guests:David Yaffe-Bellany covers the crypto industry for The New York TimesJohn Herrman covers technology for New York MagazineAdditional Reading:

Persons: OpenAI, David Yaffe, The New York Times John Herrman Organizations: Apple, Spotify, YouTube, The New York Times, New York

☆ Even the Battle for Second Turned Out Well for Trump in Iowa
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Nate Cohn | More About Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Better still for Mr. Trump, neither Mr. DeSantis nor Ms. Haley posted a strong second-place showing that might have bestowed clear momentum for future races. He also excelled among white evangelical Christians and self-described “very conservative” voters — two groups that held him back here eight years ago. Mr. DeSantis was dealt a serious setback to his already ailing candidacy. No upcoming contest plainly offers Mr. DeSantis a better chance of victory, and his poll numbers are even weaker in the states ahead. Either way, Ms. Haley has overtaken Mr. DeSantis as Mr. Trump’s nearest, if still distant, rival.

Persons: Trump, DeSantis, Haley, DeSantis’s, Trump’s, playbook, he’s Organizations: Iowa Republican Locations: New Hampshire, Iowa, state’s, Johnson County

☆ The Needle Returns for the Iowa Caucus, With a Twist
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Nate Cohn | Irineo Cabreros | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Once Iowa caucus results start coming in after 8 p.m. Eastern tonight, The Times will start publishing a live estimate of the final result, better known as the Needle. How to watch the Needle tonightWith Donald J. Trump leading in polls by a wide margin and with much of the focus on the race for second place, our results pages will feature graphics designed to help you understand how multiple candidates are faring rather than just having a single needle displaying who is most likely to win the race. This hypothetical chart below shows how our live estimates of the Iowa caucuses will work. Our best estimate for each candidate’s final vote share will be shown along with a range of estimates for where things might end up.

Persons: Donald J, Trump Organizations: Times Locations: Iowa

☆ A Big Reason to Pay Attention to Iowa? New Hampshire.
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The long road to the Republican presidential nomination begins tonight in Iowa, where voters will gather at their neighborhood precinct caucuses to cast the first votes of the 2024 election campaign. Iowa may not have many voters or delegates, but the first-in-the-nation caucuses always attract a media frenzy. But tonight, Iowa voters seem likely to choose Donald J. Trump — someone they didn’t pick eight years ago, but who now appears poised for the largest victory in a contested Iowa Republican caucus. In 2016, Iowa voters rejected Mr. Trump in favor of Ted Cruz. And unlike most of the country, the Republican establishment in Iowa has not gone along with Mr. Trump.

Persons: Barack Obama, Jimmy Carter —, Donald J, Trump, Trump’s, Ted Cruz, he’s Organizations: Republican, Iowa Republican, Republican Party, Mr Locations: Iowa

Results: The Most Detailed Maps of the Iowa Republican CaucusesTrump DeSantis Haley Ramaswamy Other Trump DeSantis Haley Ramaswamy Other No vote estimates available. No resultsFormer president Donald J. Trump won the Iowa caucuses on Monday, with The Associated Press calling the race for Mr. Trump less than an hour after caucusing began. This is the most detailed vote data available for the first 2024 presidential election contest. vote share Lower income areas — — Higher income areas — — Areas with fewer college graduates — — Areas with more college graduates — — Rural areas — — Suburban areas — — Urban areas — —Trump’s supportEach dot in the charts below represents one neighborhood’s caucus precinct. Income One precinct Precincts in … Lower income areasHigher income areasEducation Areas with fewer college graduatesAreas with more college graduatesPopulation density Rural areasSuburban areasUrban areas

Persons: Haley Ramaswamy, Trump, Donald J, caucusing, Mr, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Haley, DeSantis Organizations: Iowa Republican, Trump, Associated Press, Republican, South, —, Iowa Locations: Iowa, South Carolina, Florida, …, Des Moines

☆ Match shares surge on report activist investor Elliott takes $1 billion stake
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-09 | by ( Rohan Goswami | In Rohangoswamicnbc | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Shares of Tinder owner Match jumped as much as 12% during Tuesday morning trading after The Wall Street Journal reported that Elliott Management, the activist investing firm behind campaigns at Salesforce and Pinterest , had built a roughly $1 billion stake in the online dating company. The company had a market cap of $10 billion at the close Monday, but that pales in comparison to its more than $45 billion market cap in 2021. Elliott is expected to engage with Match management, the Journal reported citing people familiar with the matter, but it was not clear if that engagement would include nominating its own directors. But the company reported a continued tumble in so-called Tinder payers in November when it reported third-quarter earnings. A spokesperson for Elliott Management was not immediately available for comment.

Persons: Gary Swidler, Greg Blatt, Sam Yagan, Nelson Griggs, Elliott, Jesse Cohn Organizations: Match, Match Group, Nasdaq, Street Journal, Elliott Management, JPMorgan, Phillips, CNBC, Citrix, eBay, Twitter Locations: New York City, Salesforce

☆ Why Haley Is Rising Among the Rivals to Trump
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-04 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

If you dozed off while following the Republican primary, I wouldn’t blame you. With Ms. Haley still a full 50 percentage points behind Mr. Trump in national polls, her ascent doesn’t exactly endanger his path to the nomination. So if you were reading this only on the off chance that Mr. Trump might be in jeopardy, you can doze off again. Ms. Haley is now neck-and-neck with Mr. DeSantis in Iowa, a state he is counting on to reverse a yearlong downward spiral in the polls. She’s well ahead of Mr. DeSantis in New Hampshire and South Carolina, two states where a moderate South Carolinian like her ought to fare relatively well.

Persons: Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Donald J, Haley, Trump, who’s, DeSantis Organizations: Republican Locations: DeSantis, Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina

A pedestrian carrying an umbrella walks along the River Thames in view of City of London skyline in London, Britain, July 31, 2023. Finance executives, consultants and headhunters interviewed by Reuters predict subdued deal flows, modest bonuses for most and heavy job cuts in 2024. "2023 will ultimately be one of the lowest corporate finance fee pools in modern history," said Fabrizio Campelli, head of Corporate Bank and Investment Bank at Deutsche Bank. JOB CUTSBanks have already turned to cost cuts to try to weather the downturn, which in a people-intensive business means job losses. And although some bankers expect a tough 2024, others sense an opportunity for European banks from the Basel Endgame.

Persons: Hollie Adams, Fabrizio Campelli, Banks, Ronan O'Kelly, Oliver Wyman, O'Kelly, Dominic Hook, Goldman Sachs, Vis Raghavan, JP Morgan, Morgan McKinley's, Stephane Rambosson, headhunter, Rambosson, Ana Botin, Morgan's Raghavan, there's, Oliver Wyman's O'Kelly, Deutsche's Campelli, Anousha Sakoui, Carolyn Cohn, Jesus Aguado, Alexander Smith Organizations: REUTERS, LONDON, Finance, Reuters, Corporate Bank, Investment Bank, Deutsche Bank, Organisation for Economic Cooperation, Development, Barclays, Lloyds, Challenger Metro Bank, UBS UBSG.S, Citi, Workers, Global Investment Banking, Employment, European Union, Santander, Global, Basel, Thomson Locations: City, London, Britain, Europe, Middle East, Africa, Ukraine, West, China, United States, India, Madrid

Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube Listen and follow ‘Hard Fork’The drama at OpenAI is not over. Kevin and Casey take stock of new information they’ve gathered since last week, and look at how other artificial intelligence companies are trying to capitalize on the debacle. Then, why people are still buying cryptocurrency even after Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange, and its founder pleaded guilty to money laundering violations. And finally, three ways A.I. Today’s guest: David Yaffe-Bellany covers crypto for The New York Times.

Persons: Casey, David Yaffe Organizations: Apple, Spotify, YouTube, The New York Times

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