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UK PMI sticks near 21-month low as orders weaken
  + stars: | 2022-11-23 | by ( David Milliken | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
PMI readings below 50 represent economic contraction, and economists polled by Reuters had expected the flash PMI to fall again this month to 47.5. IHS Markit said that aside from the pandemic, the UK PMI was now pointing to the biggest quarterly fall in economic output since early 2009, during the global financial crisis, with a drop of 0.4%. The PMI showed new orders fell at the fastest rate since January 2021 and that employment growth had slowed. However, firms reported the weakest inflation pressures in more than a year, although they remained high by historic standards. Reporting by David Milliken; Editing by Toby ChopraOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Euro zone downturn eased in Nov but demand still falling - PMI
  + stars: | 2022-11-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Nov 23 (Reuters) - The downturn in euro zone business activity eased slightly in November but overall demand continued to decline as consumers cut spending amid a cost of living crisis, a survey showed on Wednesday. However, November is the fifth month the index has been below the 50 mark separating growth from contraction. "A further fall in business activity in November adds to the chances of the euro zone economy slipping into recession," said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. The services employment index fell to 51.7 from 52.5. The output prices index fell to 63.7 from 66.1, its lowest reading since March 2021.
Meanwhile, the downturn in euro zone business activity eased slightly in November, offering a glimmer of hope the expected recession there may be shallower than feared, but consumers still cut spending amid a cost of living crisis. However, November is the fifth month the index has been below the 50 mark separating growth from contraction. But in France activity contracted for the first time since February 2021 as lower new orders weighed on the euro zone's second-biggest economy. Activity in the bloc's dominant services industry declined again, with the headline index matching October's 20-month low of 48.6. Manufacturing activity, particularly hard hit by soaring energy prices and disrupted supply chains, also declined but at a slower pace.
But if the layoff was done with some concern for your wellbeing, think about a return. If your departure was portrayed by the company as a termination, do not go back. If the departure was a layoff: whether you should return depends on how it was handled. If the layoff was done with thought and care, person-to-person, and with some concern for your wellbeing, think about a return. In the end, the question of returning to a company that let you go depends entirely on whether they treated you well in the departure.
Asking great questions will not only help you learn more about the company, you'll make a stronger impression as a thoughtful and confident candidate. The candidates who leave the strongest impressions are those who not only answer questions well, but ask great questions too. Instead, they'll ask "tell me about a time when…" to elicit a real event and hear how you handled it. So when it comes time for you to ask questions, do the same thing: flip the interview by asking very good questions in return. Rather than being put off, most interviewers and even recruiters will be impressed that you ask such great questions.
London CNN Business —The European Central Bank hiked interest rates by three quarters of a percentage point on Thursday, promising further hikes to come as it tackles rising inflation. The central bank has now hiked rates at three consecutive meetings by a combined 2 percentage points in a bid to get control of inflation even as a recession looms. “Inflation remains far too high and will stay above the target for an extended period,” the ECB said in a statement. An energy crisis, sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, has weighed heavily on sectors such as manufacturing. With today’s rate hike, the ECB has come very close to the point at which normal could become restrictive,” he wrote in a research note.
Political chaos tips British firms into deeper slide - PMIs
  + stars: | 2022-10-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
LONDON, Oct 24 (Reuters) - British businesses are suffering their worst month since January 2021, when they were under a COVID-19 lockdown, as the country's political upheavals compound concerns about inflation and rising interest rates, a survey showed on Monday. German business activity declined at a faster rate than in Britain, although France fared better than both. "More evidence of economic weakness, combined with signs of less heated inflationary pressures, should, all else equal, tone down the (BoE's) appetite to raise interest rates substantially in its November meeting," Beck said. Truss has said she will resign once her successor is chosen at the end of this week. "As night follows day, investment and employment will suffer in the months ahead as companies adjust to the increasingly challenging environment," Williamson said.
Business sentiment in the euro area dropped once again ahead of an ECB meeting where President Christine Lagarde is expected to raise rates again. European business activity took another hit in the month of October, reporting the steepest output loss since April 2013 excluding pandemic lockdowns. Firms have been under pressure due to higher inflation, particularly coming from energy costs and wage pressures. Manufacturing activity led the losses, but services output also dropped for a third consecutive month. In terms of national breakdown, business activity in Germany came in at 44.1, versus 45.7 in the previous month.
S&P Global said on Monday its flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index, which tracks the manufacturing and services sectors, fell to 47.3 this month from a final reading of 49.5 in September. "The decline was led by a downward lurch in services activity, fueled by the rising cost of living and tightening financial conditions." But the S&P Global survey may exaggerate the slowdown. The survey's flash manufacturing PMI fell to 49.9 this month, its first contractionary reading since June 2020, from 52.0 in September. The survey's flash services sector PMI fell to 46.6 from 49.3 in September.
London CNN Business —Britain’s third prime minister in seven weeks will face the huge challenge of projecting stability after a period of historic political and financial market chaos. Rishi Sunak emerged over the weekend as the clear front-runner in the dramatic race to replace Liz Truss, who’s set to be the shortest-serving prime minister in UK history. “A key focus for the next Prime Minister and their chosen Chancellor needs to be fiscal responsibility,” Carl Emmerson, deputy director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, said in a statement. An economy in recessionThe Bank of England forecast last month that the UK economy was already in recession. 10 Downing Street, investors and economists expect the revamped economic plan outlined by current finance minister Jeremy Hunt to remain intact.
Chris Williams is a former VP of HR at Microsoft and a podcaster, consultant, and TikTok creator. Whether it's a formal presentation, a simple meeting, or even a casual encounter, it can be overwhelming. In my presentation, I stated a clear case: "We had become dependent on a constant rise in stock prices as a means of compensation. One long-time board member asked me, "To be clear, you're changing the entire compensation package for every employee in the company?" In my compensation presentation, I had vastly overestimated the need for explanation.
Compassionate Eye Foundation/Martin Barraud/OJO Images Ltd / Getty Images1. Who's most at risk during layoffs? Contract workers: At the highest risk are contract employees, which companies use for this very contingency. They want to remain flexible in case of a downturn, and as such, contract employees are usually the first ones out. Special interest groups representing Big Tech companies oppose possible crypto regulation in California. Cryptocurrency companies may soon be required to get a license to operate in the state, and industry groups representing Amazon, Apple, Meta, and other tech companies wrote to the state assembly opposing the law.
UK downturn deepens, raising recession risk -flash PMI
  + stars: | 2022-09-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Released just as finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng was due to flesh out the economic agenda of new Prime Minister Liz Truss, the S&P Global/CIPS flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 48.4 from 49.6 in August. It marked the lowest reading since the COVID-19 lockdown of January last year. The PMI for the services sector fell to 49.2 in September from 50.9 in August, the weakest reading since January 2021. While the manufacturing PMI rose to 48.5 from 47.3, much of the improvement reflected a worsening supply chain performance, which in normal times reflects shortages due to strong demand but not this time. Despite the pound falling to 37-year lows against the dollar, export orders contracted in both the manufacturing and service sectors, S&P Global said.
It can difficult to judge your layoff risk, but those close to profits are not typically targeted. If you're an essential part of building the most profitable product for your company, your layoff risk is low. 1 most at risk: Contract workersAt the extreme end of the risk spectrum are contract employees. Judging your layoff risk in these inbetween roles can be difficult. Keep your résumé updated regardless of your layoff riskRegardless of your layoff risk, keeping your résumé up-to-date is always good advice.
I'm the former vice president of human resources at Microsoft and I can tell you it shouldn't be HR. HR is not your friendDo not see your team's HR representative as a friend. But from my experience as an HR exec, I can assure you that the company did not have over 1,000 people in HR to be your friend. For work-related issues, once you've reported any company policy violations to HR, I strongly recommend you go outside your organization. Chris Williams is a leadership advisor, podcaster, TikTok creator, author, and former VP of HR at Microsoft.
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