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ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was less than one basis point higher to 4.1586%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last at 4.6050% after also rising by less than one basis point. U.S. Treasury yields were little changed on Wednesday as investors considered the latest inflation data and weighed the state of the economy. The so-called core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was 0.4% higher than in January and up 3.8% from a year earlier, which was also slightly higher than anticipated. Two Fed meetings are scheduled before then, including one next week from which investors are hoping to gain fresh insights into the outlook for interest rates.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Traders
Yen gains as bets firm for imminent rate hike; sterling slides
  + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In this photo illustration, the man is holding several U.S. dollar bills with some Chinese yuan in the background. Sterling pulled back sharply from a multi-month high, following its best week since November of 2022, amid bets the Bank of England will be slower to cut rates than the Fed or European Central Bank. The greenback eased 0.17% to 146.82 yen , heading back toward the five-week low of 146.48 reached on Friday. The next Fed meeting runs March 19-20. The ECB left rates at record highs last Thursday while cautiously laying the ground to lower them later this year.
Persons: Sterling, Jerome Powell's, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Westpac, Fed, ECB
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over two basis points to 4.1623%. The 2-year Treasury was last less than one basis point higher to 4.5599%. U.S. Treasury yields on Wednesday were slightly higher as investors awaited testimony about monetary policy from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and looked to fresh economic data. Investors on Wednesday will be following testimony from Fed Chairman Powell, who is set to speak before the House Financial Services Committee. Markets were last pricing in rate cuts to begin in June, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, payrolls Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Financial Services, Fed
Jerome Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, during a House Financial Services Committee hearing in Washington, D.C., on June 21, 2023. The past several months have seen a changing dynamic between financial markets and the Fed over the pace and timing of expected interest rate cuts this year. Markets have had to adjust their collective view from a highly accommodative central bank to one that's more cautious and deliberate. Central to the question of how the Fed acts from here on out is its view on inflation and how Powell expresses that. Powell will have to synthesize the recent trends carefully as he speaks first to the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday, then the Senate Banking Committee the day after.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Nathan Howard, Powell, Quincy Krosby, He's, it's, Joseph LaVorgna, Steven Ricchiuto, Sharp Organizations: Federal, Financial, Washington , D.C, Bloomberg, Getty, Capitol Hill, Fed, LPL, CME Group, Banking Committee, Nikko Securities, Big Tech, Mizuho Securities, Market Locations: Washington ,
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: Leidos Holdings, General Motors, Amplify Cybersecurity ETF and CME GroupToday’s ‘Halftime Report’ Investment Committee, Joe Terranova, Anastasia Amoroso, Jim Lebenthal and Steve Weiss, give their top picks to watch for the second half.
Persons: Joe Terranova, Anastasia Amoroso, Jim Lebenthal, Steve Weiss Organizations: Leidos Holdings, General Motors, Investment
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCME Group CEO Terry Duffy: Investors need to pay closer attention to the Fed's commentsCME Group CEO Terry Duffy joins 'Money Movers' to discuss what's driving the higher volumes the CME saw in its most recent quarter, the action happening in the commodity space, and more.
Persons: Terry Duffy
Treasury yields fall as investors weigh inflation outlook
  + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was over two basis points lower to 4.2946% after climbing by as many as 15 basis points on Tuesday. The 2-year Treasury yield was last down by around five basis points to 4.6054%. On Tuesday, it rose by as many as 19 basis points. U.S. Treasury yields eased on Wednesday as investors digested the latest inflation data and considered what it could mean for interest rates. Treasury yields had soared on Tuesday after January's consumer price index reading came in hotter than expected.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, . Federal Reserve
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. A healthy break: Stocks are down after the consumer price index came in slightly hot, leading to a delay in interest rate cut expectations. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we'll, it's, Eli Lilly, Cramer, Bob Iger's, Stanley Black, Decker, Martin, Jim Cramer's, Jim, NVIDIA Jensen Huang, Michael M Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, U.S, Treasury, Utilities, Disney, MGM Resorts, Martin Marietta Materials, CME Group, Barrick Gold, Jim Cramer's Charitable, NVIDIA, New York Times, Santiago, Getty Locations: We're, Philadelphia, Robinhood, New York City
If nothing else, the January inflation report released Tuesday finally appears to have convinced markets that Federal Reserve officials weren't kidding around when they said they will take a deliberate approach to cutting interest rates this year. Following the consumer price index report showing the year-over-year reading well ahead of the Fed's desired inflation goal, markets recalibrated their monetary policy expectations. The Fed "faces a challenging task in balancing economic growth and employment while trying to control inflation," he added. Indeed, the narrative of the Fed being able to start cutting early, and moving rapidly through the year, was all but dead Tuesday. The January CPI report is a "setback for the Fed and makes a May rate cut unlikely.
Persons: Ditto, , it's, Sung Won Sohn, Dow, Jerome Powell, Jason Pride, there's, Powell, Matthew Ryan, Krishna Guha, Guha Organizations: Federal Reserve, CME, Labor, CPI, Loyola Marymount University, SS Economics, Dow Jones, US2Y, CBS, Bank of America, Citigroup, Fed, Evercore ISI
Wall Street wrapped up another positive week, with the S & P 500 closing Friday above 5,000 for the first time ever. It was a pretty light week in terms of economic data releases, though we did get a favorable ISM Services number on Monday. Things will pick up next week with several closely watched macroeconomic updates, including two key government inflation reports. While no Club earnings are scheduled to report earnings in the week ahead, 61 companies in the S & P 500 will deliver their latest quarterly results. Consumer inflation: The main event of the week will come on Tuesday when the January consumer price index (CPI) is released.
Persons: Estee Lauder, Eli Lilly, Price, Bausch, Trimble, Krispy Kreme, Topgolf, Kraft Heinz, Martin Marietta, Owens Corning, WEN, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Nasdaq, Club, GE Healthcare, DuPont, Linde, Ford, Disney, Wynn Resorts, CPI, PPI, Palo Alto Networks, Nvidia, Bausch Health, Arista Networks, WM, Cadence Design Systems, ZoomInfo Technologies, Avis Budget, Brighthouse, Goodyear Tire &, Vornado Realty, Marriott International, Hasbro, Restaurant Brands, Molson Coors Beverage, Holdings, MGM Resorts, MGM, Akamai Technologies, American International Group, AIG, Topgolf Callaway Brands, CME Group, Sony, SONY, Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Martin Marietta Materials, Ryder, Occidental Petroleum, Cisco Systems, Deere, Penn Entertainment, Southern Company, Coinbase, Trade, Materials, Rand, Texas, Housing, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Albemarle, ALB, Ingersoll, New York City
Yen near 10-week low, dollar buoyant as traders adjust rate bets
  + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen wallowed near a 10-week low on Friday, while the dollar ground towards a fourth weekly advance as traders dialed back bets on how quickly the Bank of Japan, or BOJ, will raise interest rates and how soon the Federal Reserve will cut them. The yen wallowed near a 10-week low on Friday, while the dollar ground towards a fourth weekly advance as traders dialed back bets on how quickly the Bank of Japan, or BOJ, will raise interest rates and how soon the Federal Reserve will cut them. The yen was little changed at 149.315 per dollar in early Asian trading, after dipping to 149.48 late in the previous session for the first time since Nov. 27. Both currencies have been relatively resilient with officials from the European Central Bank and Bank of England pushing back against market wagers on early rate reductions. New Zealand's dollar gained 0.34% to $0.6117, supported by bets for a delayed start to Reserve Bank rate cuts - or even the potential for further hikes - after data this week showed a stronger-than-forecast jobs market.
Persons: Shinichi Uchida, Shunichi Suzuki, Jerome Powell, FOMC, Richard Franulovich, Sharon Zollner, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, BOJ, Japanese Finance, Traders, European Central Bank and Bank of England, Reserve, ANZ Locations: Tokyo
In this photo illustration, a person is seen holding 100, 50, and 5 US dollar bills in his hand. The U.S. dollar was trading in a tight range on Thursday as traders digested less dovish remarks from policymakers overnight and looked ahead to fresh economic data from the United States. Attention was also on inflation data out of China in the Asian morning amid concerns about deflation in the world's second-largest economy. Forecasts suggest mixed signals, with year-on-year consumer price deflation expected to have intensified in January but month-over-month prices up at the fastest pace in a year. The offshore Chinese yuan was down 0.11% to $7.2036 per dollar ahead of the data.
Persons: Susan Collins, Tony Sycamore, Sterling, Wei Liang Chang Organizations: U.S, Boston, Traders, IG, Bank of, DBS Locations: United States, China, Asia
Neel Kashkari, President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, speaks during an interview with Reuters in New York City, New York, May 22, 2023. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Wednesday that he expects the central bank to cut rates only a few times this year, contrary to market expectations. "We just need to look at the actual inflation data to guide us," Kashkari said. He added that there are "compelling arguments to suggest we could be in a longer, higher rate environment going forward." Kashkari said the trend indicates that interest rates may not be exerting as much pressure on the economy as expected.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell, Kashkari Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Reuters, Minneapolis Federal, CNBC, CBS, Market, Minneapolis Fed, Labor Locations: New York City , New York, Minneapolis
Dollar on defensive after pullback from nearly 3-month peak
  + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar remained under pressure on Wednesday after retreating from a nearly three-month high against the euro in the previous session with a decline in U.S. bond yields adding to the drag. The dollar remained under pressure on Wednesday after retreating from a nearly three-month high against the euro in the previous session with a decline in U.S. bond yields adding to the drag. U.S. Treasury yields also turned down from highs overnight on solid demand at a sale of new three-year notes, removing some support for the dollar. The U.S. dollar index , which measures the currency against six major peers, including the euro, was flat at 104.14, following Tuesday's 0.29% slide. The currency pair tends to be extremely sensitive to moves in Treasury yields.
Persons: Jerome Powell scuppered, Matt Simpson, James Kniveton Organizations: Federal, Treasury, U.S, CPI, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Asia
Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester on Tuesday became the latest central banker to advocate a patient approach to cutting interest rates this year. Like several other officials who have spoken recently, Mester said she's not ready to start easing policy until she gains more confidence that inflation is on a stable path towards the Fed's 2% goal. Having a strong economy allows policymakers to hold off on any dramatic moves, she added. "My base case is that we will do so at a gradual pace so that we can continue to manage the risks to both sides of our mandate." Markets have moved back expectations for the first cut to May, with five total quarter percentage point moves lower priced in, according to the CME Group's FedWatch futures gauge.
Persons: Loretta Mester, Mester, she's, Jeff Cox Organizations: Cleveland Federal, Market
The 2-year Treasury yield was last over two basis points lower to 4.4494%. U.S. Treasury yields fell on Tuesday as questions over the path ahead for interest rate cuts lingered and investors considered the likelihood of rate cuts not taking place until later than expected. Investors have been fretting over the timeline for interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Some traders had been hoping for rate cuts as soon as March, but recent comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell dampened these expectations. Markets were last pricing in just a 16.5% chance of a rate cut taking place then, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Investors, Federal Reserve, Fed
And it still remains the case that bitcoin futures are regulated, and spot bitcoin is not," Simeon Hyman, head of the investment strategy group at ProShares, told CNBC. One theory for why the futures ETF has continued to have success is that there are listed options for bitcoin futures products, but not for the spot products, said Aniket Ullal, head of ETF data and analytics at CFRA. The ProShares futures ETF may also be getting helped by increased action in the futures market itself. To be sure, not all bitcoin futures products are going strong. VanEck announced Jan. 17 that it was liquidating its bitcoin futures ETF.
Persons: FactSet, Simeon Hyman, Aniket Ullal, Ullal, Hyman, it's, Tim McCourt, VanEck, Jan, BITO Organizations: CNBC, CME Group Locations: United States, bitcoin
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 4.0586%. the 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis points lower at 4.3180%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Tuesday as investors awaited fresh economic data and as the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting is set to begin. The Fed's January meeting is due to kick off Tuesday and conclude with a fresh interest rate decision and guidance on the outlook for monetary policy on Wednesday. At the Fed's last meeting in December, policymakers indicated that they were expecting three rate cuts in 2024, but minutes from the meeting showed that the path ahead for monetary policy remained highly uncertain.
Persons: December's Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Traders, U.S . Labor
"We heard at the December meeting that no official expected to raise rates further as a baseline outcome. And we've heard that Fed officials are beginning the discussions around rate cuts," Matthew Luzzetti, Deutsche Bank's chief U.S. economist, said in an interview. Now, there's considerably more uncertainty as multiple statements from Fed officials point to a more cautious approach about declaring victory over inflation. The inflation rate judged by core personal consumption expenditures prices, a U.S. Department of Commerce measure that the Fed favors, indicates the real funds rate to be around 2.4%. Fed officials figure the long-run real rate to be closer to 0.5%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Liu Jie, we've, Matthew Luzzetti, Luzzetti, He'll, Bill English Organizations: Federal, Washington , D.C, Xinhua News Agency, Getty, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Bank's, Fed, U.S . Department of Commerce, Yale School of Management Locations: Washington ,
Dollar keeps tight ranges ahead of Fed, jobs data
  + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
A Chinese 100 yuan banknote, a 1 U.S. dollar bill and a 50 euro banknote are lying on a table. The dollar was steady in the Asian morning, with market participants moving cautiously ahead of the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off on Tuesday. "I suspect that the FOMC meeting will not be as dovish as current market pricing suggests," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. The data will give another indication of whether the world's largest economy remains strong after the Fed's aggressive hiking campaign. Sterling was last trading at $1.2716, holding firm ahead of the Bank of England's monetary policy meeting this week.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Matt Simpson, hasn't, Sterling, Wei Liang Chang Organizations: U.S . Department of Labor, U.S ., Central Bank, Bank, DBS, Fed Locations: U.S
Declining inflation rates and consistent growth should create a solid background for stocks and other risky assets, even though some bouts of volatility are likely, according to Goldman Sachs. Broadly speaking, a "soft landing [is] on track," the firm said in a client note in which Goldman market experts said they expect the Federal Reserve soon to make a nod toward an easing in monetary policy that also will be market-positive. "The broad data still points firmly in the direction of easing inflation pressure and resilient growth, especially in the US," wrote Dominic Wilson, senior advisor in Goldman's Global Markets Research Group. But we still think it makes sense to fade those pullbacks and expect US equities and credit to make new highs, as they have been." "This week's FOMC meeting will need to remove the tightening bias to keep March alive, as the [Bank of Canada] did last week, but is unlikely to preview a March cut," Wilson wrote.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Dominic Wilson, Wilson, Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Markets Research, Gross, Bank of, CME Locations: Bank of Canada
U.S. Treasury yields declined on Monday as investors looked ahead to a week of key economic data and the Federal Reserve's first interest rate decision of the year. Investors awaited the Fed's next interest rate decision, which is expected Wednesday, and looked to key economic data due this week. The Fed's January meeting will begin Tuesday before the central bank's interest rate decision is published Wednesday. Investors are widely expecting the Fed to keep rates unchanged and are hoping for fresh guidance on the outlook for interest rates, especially when they may be cut. Key data from the labor market that could provide hints about the state of the economy and the impact of interest rates is also due this week.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Investors
HONG KONG (AP) — Asian markets opened the week on a positive note, with Chinese regulators announcing measures to support the country’s teetering stock markets while heavily indebted property developer China Evergrande was ordered to undergo liquidation. China's securities regulator announced on Sunday that beginning Monday, China will suspend the lending of specific shares for short selling, a move to support the country’s declining stock markets. The Federal Reserve’s meeting this week will likely end with no change to interest rates, but traders are split on whether it could begin cutting rates in March. It's trying to slow the economy and hurt investment prices enough through high interest rates to get inflation fully under control. Traders are betting the Fed will cut interest rates as many as six times this year, according to data from CME Group.
Persons: China Evergrande, Evergrande, Australia’s, It's Organizations: China Evergrande, Hong, Hong Kong High Court, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intel, Fed, Treasury, Traders, CME Group, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: HONG KONG, China, Hong Kong, Shanghai, South Korea, Bangkok
The Dow Jones and S&P both hit all time highs with the Dow Jones closing over 38,000 points for the first time ever as stocks continue to rise. U.S. stock futures fell across the board Sunday night as Wall Street looked toward several mega-cap tech earnings reports and the Federal Reserve's rate policy decision. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 86 points, or 0.2%. This week marks the busiest week of the earnings season, with 19% of the S&P 500 reporting earnings. Traders in the fed funds futures market assigned an almost 97% probability the Fed will not cut rates at the upcoming meeting, according to the CME Group.
Persons: Dow Jones, Tesla, Sonu Varghese Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intel, Microsoft, Apple, Dow, Boeing, Merck, Federal, Traders, CME, Carson Group Locations: New York City, . U.S
Online banks, which have offered some of the richest annual percentage yields on savings products, are slashing the interest they pay. Though the 1-year Treasury bill is yielding about 4.78%, select institutions will offer upward of 5% to hold your cash in a 1-year CD. "We believe banks are repositioning their CD rates ahead of potential Fed rate cuts in 2024," said analyst Michael Kaye in a report on Friday. See below for a table of where online banks now stand on 1-year CD rates. Wells Fargo scanned the online banks under its coverage and found the average APY for a 1-year CD was 0.64% in March 2022.
Persons: Wells Fargo, Michael Kaye, Mark Haefele, Cash Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, CME Group, Synchrony, UBS Locations: Wells
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