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Americans aren't spending like they used to
  + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
You can also download the app to get notifications about our biggest markets stories. Spending has remained elevated even through the Fed's 10 straight rate hikes, but warning signs of a change have started to surface. That's going to further take the wind out of Americans' brisk spending over the last few years. From David Rosenberg to Rob Arnott, experts are sharing what the disruptive technology can mean for the economy, jobs, and stock market. The biggest companies and banks can't agree on where the stock market is heading next.
Persons: I'm Phil Rosen, You'll, let's, Derek Davis, Patek Pilippe, Audemars, Jerome Powell, Brian Moynihan, Morgan Stanley, Andy Ryan, Pablo Hernández de Cos, David Rosenberg, Rob Arnott, Stocks, Russell, Goldman Sachs, Phil Rosen, Max Adams, Hallam Bullock Organizations: Big Apple, Portland Portland Press, Getty, Rolex, Bloomberg, Bank of America, Bank of Spain, Fed, Wall Street, Royal, Nvidia, Tesla, Morningstar Locations: Madrid, Phoenix, Miami, Royal Caribbean, New York, London
New York CNN —Companies are sitting on a lot less cash than they were last year, largely because they’re spending it on share buybacks and corporate dividends. What’s happening: A new report from Moody’s Investors Service finds that nonfinancial companies’ corporate cash declined 12% last year to $2 trillion. But debt was flat year over year, meaning that companies didn’t use much of their cash reserves to pay down outstanding loans. Now that it’s more expensive to borrow, companies in the US should reconsider the amount of money they’re spending on buybacks, he added. Preventing companies from repurchasing their own shares, they argue, would free corporate cash to invest in growth and raise wages instead.
Persons: Emile El Nems, , Ben Lofthouse, Janus Henderson, ” El Nems, Joe Biden, buybacks, , Brian Moynihan, Moynihan, CNN’s Poppy Harlow, Nathaniel Meyersohn, That’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN — Companies, Moody’s Investors Service, Moody’s, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Corporations, , CNN, Commerce Department, UBS Locations: New York, buybacks
New York CNN —US inflation could hit the Federal Reserve’s 2% target in 2025, Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan told CNN in an exclusive interview Tuesday. Already, consumers are cutting back on spending to a level that is consistent with 2% inflation, Moynihan said, citing Bank of America customer data. The mild recession, Moynihan said, would likely come “the first part of next year” and not the latter part of this year, which he previously predicted. He also said he believes the unemployment rate likely won’t exceed 5%. Last month’s jobs report showed the unemployment rate rose to 3.7%, despite impressive job gains.
Persons: Brian Moynihan, , ” Moynihan, CNN’s Poppy Harlow, Moynihan Organizations: New, New York CNN, Bank of America, CNN Locations: New York, that’s
[1/6] A general view of the Bank of America financial center in New York City, U.S., June 26, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermidNEW YORK, June 27 (Reuters) - Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) is adding consumer branches in four new U.S. states, it said on Tuesday, bringing its national footprint closer to rival JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N). Bank of America will open new financial centers in Nebraska, Wisconsin, Alabama and Louisiana as part of a four-year expansion across nine markets, including Louisville, Milwaukee and New Orleans. The openings will give BofA a retail presence in 39 states, compared with JPMorgan, the largest U.S. lender, which has branches in 49 states. Holly O'Neill, Bank of America's president of retail banking, said last month that she expects good performance for the unit in the second quarter.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Brian Moynihan, Moynihan, Aron Levine, Holly O'Neill, Saeed Azhar, Lananh Nguyen, Deepa Babington Organizations: Bank of America, REUTERS, Bank of America Corp, JPMorgan Chase &, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Consumer, CNN, Reuters, Bank of, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Nebraska , Wisconsin , Alabama, Louisiana, Louisville, Milwaukee, New Orleans
New York CNN Business —The United States is recovering faster than its peers from the historic bout of inflation squeezing families and souring the mood of the nation, according to a new analysis from White House economists. To address that, the White House economists built an apples-to-apples inflation metric that makes certain adjustments to how shelter costs factor into overall inflation. But we are very heartened and happy to see the trend going where it is,” a CEA official told CNN in a phone interview. And here’s the thing about inflation: It is undeniably down in the United States.”Two independent economists that CNN shared the CEA report with support the logic powering the analysis. That is absolutely a painful thing,” the CEA official said.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, , “ I’m, Mark Zandi, Republican John McCain, Zandi, Joe Brusuelas, ” Brusuelas, Joe Biden, Ronald Reagan, Biden, Brian Moynihan, CNN’s Poppy Harlow, George W, Bush, Piper Sandler, Trump, ” Piper Sandler Organizations: New York CNN Business —, White House, of Economic Advisers, CNN, CEA, White, Republican, RSM, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Federal, Gallup Locations: United States, Ukraine, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom, America, Europe, Wall, Middle America
New international sustainability reporting standards could fulfill their ambition in becoming the global baseline as the advantages of using a single standard worldwide may, for many companies, outweigh the disadvantages of being more demanding than the SEC’s coming climate reporting rules. On Monday, the International Sustainability Standards Board released its initial two reporting standards. PREVIEWDespite the strong demand for one standard, U.S. and European Union officials are each developing their own climate reporting regimes. It is now up to individual countries and jurisdictions to decide if and when they will adopt the ISSB standards. Sue Lloyd, vice chair of the International Sustainability Standards Board, at the launch of the inaugural sustainability standards.
Persons: Sue Lloyd, , Brian Moynihan, Lloyd, Um, Lysanne Gray, Eelco van der Enden, Jean, Paul Servais, Benoit Doppagne, Iosco, Unilever’s Gray, Rochelle Toplensky, Amplifications Iosco Organizations: Sustainability, Task Force, Sustainable Business, European Union, International Organization of Securities Commissions, Securities, Exchange Commission, U.S, Wall Street, Bank of America, London Stock Exchange, Asian Development Bank, Unilever, Alignment, Global, Initiative, Belgian Financial Services, Markets, FSMA, Zuma Press, Accounting, Rochelle, wsj.com Corrections, Amplifications Locations: EU, Australia, Canada, Japan, Hong Kong, Malaysia, New Zealand, Nigeria, Singapore, Glasgow, Monday’s, Egypt, Africa, Asia, U.S
Economists say that could mean more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve are coming, but investors appear sanguine. That makes it more difficult for the data-dependent Federal Reserve to justify a pause to interest rate hikes at its June meeting. It has been very strange and certainly our own expectations were that the labor market would deteriorate more than it has. So you have a strong consumer and strong labor market essentially supporting each other for the time being. “That level is more consistent with a 2% growth economy and a 2% inflation economy, not a 4% inflation level economy,” Moynihan added.
Persons: CME’s FedWatch, Bell, Seema Shah, Powell, It’s, there’s, it’s, Brian Moynihan, , , Moynihan, ” Moynihan, Brent, Mark Thompson, Michelle Toh, ” Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Federal, Reserve, Asset Management, Fed, Bank of America, CBS, Reuters Locations: New York, United States, Europe, Asia, Americas, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, China, Saudi
The Fed’s biggest challenge remains “the power of the US consumer,” Moynihan said. Regarding predictions of a mild recession, Moynihan said the Fed’s tightening policies has “had its effects.” Consumer spending for Bank of America customers is slowing down year-to-date. “That level is more consistent with a 2% growth economy and a 2% inflation economy, not a 4% inflation level economy,” Moynihan said. Though Friday’s strong jobs report sends “some confusing and ambiguous messages,” the reality is consumer activity is aligning with the Fed’s goals, Moynihan said. The bank is not laying off, Moynihan said, but the attrition rate slowed and it needs to trim headcount.
Persons: Brian Moynihan, ” Moynihan, , it’s, , Moynihan, Organizations: New, New York CNN — Bank of America, CBS, Bank of America Locations: New York, United States
There has long been speculation that America's most-famous banker has plans to run for some sort of public office. The path from Wall Street to Washington is well worn, with plenty of high-profile executives taking up positions in the government. When most Wall Street executives were still afraid of the public cloud, she was ready to embrace it with open arms. Jon Gray — Treasury SecretaryBlackstone's president and chief operating officer has already had a brush with public office. The idea of him holding public office doesn't seem far-fetched.
Persons: Dan DeFrancesco, TikTok, I'm, we've, nabbing, Joe Biden's, Kevin McCarthy's, Jamie Dimon, Larry Downing, hasn't shied, Dimon, Dimon's, Bill Ackman, Kenneth Chenault —, Kathy Hochul, she's, Chenault, He's, Larry Fink —, We've, Larry, Fink, Adena Friedman, Friedman, Jon Gray —, Gray, Donald Trump, Gray's, Wall, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Ken Griffin, Griffin, hasn't, Griffin hasn't, Ron DeSantis, he'll, Brian Moynihan —, Moynihan, Dan Schulman —, PayPal — he's, Taylor Swift, Kevin Mazur, Larry Fink, Franklin Templeton, It's, Rockefeller, Stephen Schwarzman, Warren Buffett, Cliff Asness, that's, Here's, Jeffrey Cane, Nathan Rennolds Organizations: JPMorgan, REUTERS, Bloomberg, American Express, Catalyst, Washington Post, BlackRock, SEC, CFTC, OCC, Nasdaq, Wall, Democrat, GOP, Florida Gov, Commerce, PayPal, Express, Virgin Mobile, Rockefeller Capital Management, Putnam Investments, Blackstone, Credit Suisse, UBS, Reuters, LinkedIn Locations: NYC, Washington, New York, Florida, Chicago, Miami, Ohio, Swiss, London
NEW YORK, June 1 (Reuters) - Bank of America Corp (BAC.N) expects investment banking fees and trading revenues to be broadly flat this quarter, its CEO, Brian Moynihan, told investors at a conference on Thursday. The second-largest U.S. bank posted investment banking fees of $1.1 billon in the second quarter last year. Loan growth will probably remain flat, Moynihan said. Reporting by Saeed Azhar and Lananh Nguyen; Editing by Leslie AdlerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brian Moynihan, Moynihan, Saeed Azhar, Lananh Nguyen, Leslie Adler Organizations: YORK, Bank of America Corp, U.S, Thomson
Under his leadership, Morgan Stanley became a wealth management powerhouse that aims to manage $10 trillion in assets. Morgan Stanley bought money manager Eaton Vance, online broker E*Trade, and stock-plan manager Solium Capital under Gorman's leadership. He was also the key architect behind Morgan Stanley's purchase of Smith Barney, a brokerage and investment adviser, in 2009. The acquisitions have made Morgan Stanley's U.S. wealth business an "asset gathering monster," and a "killer machine," he said on an earnings conference call last month. "This structure will ensure the continued stability of Morgan Stanley, while at the same time positioning it for a decade of exciting growth under new leadership."
Bank CEOs to huddle with Schumer on the debt ceilin
  + stars: | 2023-05-17 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +1 min
During Wednesday’s meeting, Schumer plans to raise the threat of default with the bank leaders, one of the sources told CNN. After leaving a Tuesday meeting at the White House with congressional leaders, Schumer said, “Default is disaster. Given that the trade group’s board includes regional bank CEOs, other issues including the banking crisis are likely to be discussed during Wednesday’s meeting. In addition to Schumer, bank CEOs are expected to meet with other lawmakers and officials. The meetings come as the White House and congressional Republicans struggle to reach a compromise on how to avoid the debt ceiling and avoid what economists warn would be a disastrous debt default.
New York CNN —With time running out to reach a deal on the debt ceiling, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen plans to meet with bank CEOs on Thursday afternoon in Washington, sources tell CNN. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon and Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser plan to attend the Yellen meeting, which will very likely include a focus on the debt ceiling as well as the banking crisis, people familiar with the matter told CNN. As the White House and Republican leaders struggle to reach a deal on the debt ceiling, Yellen has stepped up her warnings about the economic stakes. The debt ceiling is not necessarily the focus of the meeting, which will also include regional bank CEOs at a time when that industry is in turmoil. Yellen is also likely not the only figure from Washington who will speak before the bank CEOs this week.
In the wee hours of Monday morning, however, he agreed to take mid-sized First Republic Bank (FRC.N) out of receivership from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. The bank acquires nearly $229 billion of assets and absorbs some $173 billion in loans at a roughly 13% discount to book values. After taxes and paying the FDIC $10.6 billion, JPMorgan should get a $2.6 billion boost before integration costs. The agency will share losses of up to 80% on the large majority of First Republic’s loan book. There’s also a $50 billion loan from the FDIC at specific terms that have not been disclosed so far.
New York CNN —First Republic Bank is in a fight for its survival. “It’s becoming clearer each day” that First Republic is “toast,” said Don Bilson at Gordon Haskett, in a note Wednesday. First Republic said in its latest earnings call that is exploring its strategic options, Wall Street code for searching for a white knight. First Republic CEO Michael Roffler attempted to assure investors in an earnings call Monday that the bank had enough liquidity to do that. That’s what happened to Silicon Valley Bank on March 10 when the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation took possession of and closed Silicon Valley Bank and on March 12 Signature Bank was closed by the New York State Department of Financial Services.
"Simply stated we're in a freight recession." That line, uttered last Monday by Shelley Simpson, president of J.B. Hunt (JBHT), the fourth-largest trucking company in the United States, was the most memorable of the real first week of earnings season. If so, it would know that we're dealing with much more than a freight recession. It's not enough to offset the immense deflationary pressure emanating from the regional banks and the freight recession described by J.B. Hunt. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
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The world's largest banks reported earnings over the past week. Here is what some top bank CEOs are saying about the US economy during their earnings calls this season. JPMorgan CEO Jamie DimonThe Wall Street vet warned investors of looming "storm clouds" ahead. Bank of America CEO Brian MoynihanDuring an earnings call, Moynihan warned of a US recession but said inflation has showed signs of cooling. He allayed fears of a full-blown banking crisis, addressing the turmoil sparked by collapse of specialist banks like SVB last month.
The credit card company reported quarterly earnings that missed analysts' expectations, however, as it kept aside a large sum to cover potential defaults. That would mark the second straight quarterly fall for corporate earnings, a so-called "earnings recession" that last occurred when COVID-19 hit corporate results in 2020. Moreover, in aggregate, companies are reporting earnings 7.8% above expectations, compared with a 4.2% average for the prior four quarters. Baker Hughes Co. (BKR.O) said in a presentation this week that the energy outlook remained constructive even with elevated recession risks. Both Delta (DAL.N) and United (UAL.O) gave upbeat near-term outlooks on travel demand, with Delta a week ago saying it expects summer travel demand will result in higher-than-expected profit for the quarter through June despite other risks.
Wall Street aces its real-life stress test
  + stars: | 2023-04-20 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
One flaw in this plan is that the Federal Reserve, which designs the stress test, has tended to assume that when bad times come, interest rates would fall, not rise. Because their clients also fear sudden shifts in interest rates, they call on fixed-income securities desks to help offlay the risk. One clear outcome of higher interest rates is that banks are lending less, and more carefully. Reuters Graphics Reuters GraphicsFollow @johnsfoley on TwitterCONTEXT NEWSLarge U.S. banks reported their first-quarter earnings between April 14 and April 19. Both said that trading revenue had declined from first quarter 2022, but it was substantially higher than the last three months of the year.
PowerSchool Holdings – The educational technology stock added 3.5% after Goldman Sachs upgraded shares to buy from neutral. Bank of America – The bank stock was about flat even after the firm reported first-quarter earnings and revenue that topped expectations. Goldman Sachs – Shares slid 1.3% after Goldman Sachs reported first-quarter revenue of $12.22 billion, lower than the $12.79 billion forecasted by analysts polled by Refinitiv. The company reported adjusted earnings of $2.68 per share and revenue of $24.75 billion. Bellus Health, GSK – Bellus shares roughly doubled after GSK said it would acquire Canada-based biopharmaceutical company Bellus.
Bank of America's CEO predicted the US economy will fall into a "slight recession." Brian Moynihan told investors that he sees signs of inflation "tipping down" during an earnings call. "Everything points to a relatively mild recession given the amount of stimulus that was paid to people and the money they have left over." "Everything points to a relatively mild recession given the amount of stimulus that was paid to people and the money they have left over," Moynihan told investors on Tuesday. "And then the wage growth is slowing and tipping over so the signs of inflation are tipping down and it's still there but that translates into relatively good activity, so we see a slight recession."
[1/2] A Bank of America logo is pictured in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., January 30, 2019. The company "had a strong Q1 as higher interest rates continued to boost its net interest margin despite rising deposit costs," David Fanger, senior vice president at Moody's Investors Service, said. Reuters GraphicsEconomists expect the U.S. economy to slow in the second half of the year as the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to tame inflation. It expects NII to fall 2% in the second quarter compared with the first three months of this year. The company's revenue, net of interest expense, increased 13% to $26.3 billion, beating estimates of $25.13 billion.
Bank of America 's customers are spending freely on dining, entertainment and other experiences, which in turn supports U.S. employment, CEO Brian Moynihan told CNBC's Becky Quick. The bank's customers boosted spending by 8% in the first three months of this year compared with the year-earlier period, Moynihan told Quick on Tuesday. "They're spending on things frankly which drive employment, meaning they're spending on experiences at amusement parks and theaters or restaurants or outside concerts," Moynihan said. The current dynamic is part of a virtuous cycle that supports employment, versus an earlier boom in hard goods that mostly supported overseas producers, said the CEO of the second biggest U.S. bank by assets. Earlier Tuesday, Bank of America posted first-quarter results that topped expectations as the bank benefited from higher interest rates.
Big bank investors owe thanks to Team America
  + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( John Foley | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Wells Fargo has managed to keep even more for itself, passing on just 26%. Finance chief Jeremy Barnum reckons $50 billion of deposits flowed into his bank and stayed put, more than offsetting other outflows. Elsewhere in Dimon’s letter, he describes himself as a “red-blooded, patriotic, free-enterprise and free-market capitalist.” Investors may lap that up, but his bank’s earnings show other forces at work too. Wells Fargo reported $4.7 billion of earnings, 34% higher than the previous first quarter, and took a $1.2 billion quarterly provision for credit losses. Citigroup reported $4.3 billion of earnings, a 7% annual increase, while smaller rival PNC made $1.6 billion, an 18% increase.
Warren Buffett sold most of his bank stocks except for one — Bank of America. The Berkshire chairman and CEO held on to shares of Bank of America even after recently offloading other large bank stocks, including U.S. Bancorp, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan. The 92-year-old investor said depositors can rest assured their funds remain safe in the wake of the Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapse last month. But he criticized the banking system for historically failing to punish its corporate leaders, such as during the 2008 financial crisis. As of December, Berkshire Hathaway had a 12.9% stake in Bank of America worth about $29.7 billion, according to CNBC's Berkshire Hathaway portfolio tracker .
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