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☆ Morning Bid: Treasuries gobbled up, oil braces for OPEC
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 17, 2023. Benchmark Treasury yields fell back more than 10 basis points to 4.37% after a total of $109 billion of 2 and 5-year notes hit the Street on Monday without much disruption. Another weak U.S. housing readout, with sub-forecast new home sales last month, perhaps flattered the post-auction moves. That's likely a mixed blessing for Federal Reserve watchers - the continued buoyancy of consumption but with increasing price discrimination. Fed futures priced about 85bps of rate cuts through next year, starting in June, though many major banks expect even more.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, That's, Hong, Louis, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Michael Barr, Austan Goolsbee, Christine Lagarde, Philip Lane, Dave Ramsden, BoE, Jonathan Haskel, Hewlett Packard, Ed Osmond Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasuries, Treasury, Adobe Digital, Federal Reserve, Louis Fed, U.S . Treasury, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, . Treasury, Chicago Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of England, Citi Trends, Fluence Energy, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Asia, Europe, United States, China, New York, St, Uxin, Canaan, Elbit

"Inflation rates are moving along pretty much like I thought," Fed Governor Christopher Waller, a hawkish and influential voice at the central bank, told the American Enterprise Institute think tank on Tuesday. If the decline in inflation continues "for several more months ... three months, four months, five months ... we could start lowering the policy rate just because inflation is lower," he said. Additional Fed rate increases remain a possibility if upcoming data includes an unexpected resurgence of price pressures, he said. But even Bowman, who like Waller is among the Fed's most hawkish officials, stopped short of outright calling for a further increase in the policy rate. New inflation data will be released on Thursday, and policymakers will also have a fresh monthly jobs report and other data in hand before they gather next month.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Bond, Waller's, Jerome Powell, Michelle Bowman, Bowman, Waller, Austan Goolsbee, Howard Schneider, Ann Saphir, Lindsay Dunsmuir, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, American Enterprise Institute, Fed, Spelman College, Utah Bankers Association, Chicago Fed, Conference Board, Thomson Locations: U.S, Atlanta, Salt Lake City

☆ US stocks trade mixed as investors hit pause on November rally ahead of Fed comments
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Stocks traded mixed on Tuesday as investors slowed down on the November rally. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUS stocks traded mixed on Tuesday as investors pulled back on the November rally ahead of remarks from a cadre of Federal Reserve officials. Policymakers on the docket today include Fed Governors Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, and Michael Barr, as well as Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee.

Persons: Stocks, —, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman, Michael Barr, Austan Goolsbee, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Traders, Federal Reserve, Service, Fed, Chicago Fed, Bank of America, RBC Capital Markets, Here's, Dow Jones

☆ Stock futures are little changed as investors assess pause in November rally: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures are flat Monday night as traders analyzed the strong gains seen throughout November and the trading month nears its end. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures were both near flat. The Dow and S&P 500 both finished Monday's session around 0.2% lower, while the Nasdaq Composite inched down nearly 0.1%. Monday's modest retreat comes near the end of November's strong trading month, which concludes with Thursday's close. The Dow and S&P 500 are on pace to finish the month 6.9% and 8.5% higher, respectively.

Persons: Zscaler, Thursday's, Shopify, Terry Sandven, Austan Goolsbee, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, Investors, Amazon, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Chicago Fed Locations: New York City, U.S, billings

“Any time we’ve had a serious cut to the inflation rate, it’s come with a major recession," Goolsbee said in an interview with The Associated Press. “And so the golden path is a ... bigger soft landing than conventional wisdom believes has ever been possible. Last week, the government reported that inflation cooled in October, with core prices — which exclude volatile food and energy prices — rising just 0.2% from September. The year-over-year increase in core prices — 4% — was the smallest in two years. The Fed tracks core prices because they are considered a better gauge of inflation's future path.

Persons: Goolsbee, we’ve, ” Goolsbee, “, Susan Collins, ” Collins, hasn't Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Associated Press, Wall, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston

☆ There's a new CD king after bank with prior highest yield just slashed it
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

There's a new top dog when it comes to yields on 1-year certificates of deposit, according to an analysis by Stephens. Bread Financial now has the highest annual percentage yield for 1-year CDs among banks in Stephens' coverage at 5.6%. However, the online bank didn't reach the top by raising its APY. Instead, it was because LendingClub slashed its 1-year CD yield by 10 basis points to 5.55%, analyst Vincent Caintic said. "Online banks had already been cutting 1yr CD rates and this may likely continue as near-term rate expectations fall," Caintic said.

Persons: Stephens, LendingClub, Vincent Caintic, Caintic, What's, Austan Goolsbee, Jerome Powell, Michael Bloom, Jeff Cox Organizations: Bread, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, The Fed, Investors, Chicago Fed Locations: Stephens

Speaking on CNBC, Boston Fed President Susan Collins also said the U.S. central bank must be "patient and resolute, and I wouldn't take additional firming off the table." Inflation by the Fed's preferred measure was 3.4% in September, down from its 7.1% peak last summer, but above the central bank's target. And he expressed increased confidence that the Fed can meet its inflation goal without the kind of rise in unemployment seen in the U.S. central bank's prior battles with inflation. Speaking on Thursday, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, one of the central bank's more hawkish policymakers, said she had not yet assessed whether she would continue to pencil in a further rate hike. Fresh economic and interest rate projections are due to be the released at the Dec. 12-13 policy meeting.

Persons: Mary Daly, Daly, Susan Collins, Collins, Austan Goolsbee, Loretta Mester, Ann Saphir, Michael S, Pete Schroeder, Dan Burns, Balazs Koranyi, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, San Francisco Fed, CNBC, Boston, Deutsche Bank, Chicago Fed, Fed, Cleveland Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S

☆ Fed's Goolsbee expects easing shelter inflation to seal path to 2%
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

Nov 17 (Reuters) - Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Austan Goolsbee on Friday said the U.S. central bank will "do what it takes" to bring inflation down to the Fed's 2% goal, but that inflation looks to be already on that track if housing price pressures ease as expected. "The overwhelmingly important thing of whether we are going to clearly be on path for inflation is what happens to house price inflation," Goolsbee said at the Chicago Fed's annual Community Bankers Symposium. "If we hit the targets that we expect to hit, then we would be on path to get to 2%, and that's what I call the golden path -- no recession, and it gets down -- but that housing inflation is the thing we should really keep an eye on." Reporting by Ann SaphirOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Goolsbee, Ann Saphir Organizations: Chicago Federal Reserve Bank, Chicago, Thomson Locations: U.S

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2023. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note dropped further to a two-month low on Friday and was last at 4.4082%. Most megacap stocks edged higher in premarket trading, with Amazon.com (AMZN.O) and Nvidia (NVDA.O) up 0.5% and 0.3% respectively. On the economic data front, markets will monitor the housing starts data for October, scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 93 points, or 0.27%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 10.75 points, or 0.24%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.04%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Russell, Mohit Kumar, Austan Goolsbee, Rick Wilmer, Shristi Achar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Materials, Jefferies, Chicago Fed, Dow e, Old Navy, ChargePoint Holdings, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Bengaluru

☆ Morning Bid: Treasury yields dive as oil craters, economy softens
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

U.S. two-year Treasury yields skidded below 4.80% on Friday for the first time since September 1, with 10-year yields dropping under 4.40% to September lows too. Crude has now lost almost 25% in just six weeks - aided by the U.S. gradually lifting oil sanctions on Venezuela. The Labor Department said import prices fell a whopping 0.8% in October, the most in seven months amid a broad decline in the costs of goods - deepening the annual deflation of import prices to as much as 2.0%. Even though the dollar (.DXY), , is taking a hit from the plunge in U.S. Treasury yields, the drop in sovereign borrowing rates was mirrored across the world in Europe , even Japan . Mirroring the softening demand picture elsewhere, British retail sales volumes fell unexpectedly in October as stretched consumers stayed at home.

Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, plumb, Morgan, Susan Collins, Mary Daly, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Dave Ramsden, Nick Macfie Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Walmart, Cisco, Alibaba, Philadelphia Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Treasury, Hong, Housing, Atlanta, Boston Federal, San Francisco Fed, Chicago Fed, Bank of England, United States, APEC, Graphics, Thomson, Reuters Locations: New York, U.S, Wall, Alibaba ., Venezuela, Europe, Japan, HK, Hong Kong, China, San Francisco

☆ US retail sales fell in October for the first time in seven months
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Washington, DC CNN —Americans cut their retail spending in October for the first time since March, with interest rates at a 22-year high. Retail sales, which are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation, fell 0.1% in October from the prior month, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. October’s decline in retail spending is potentially an early sign of a slowing economy as US consumers get squeezed by higher borrowing costs and they continue to rack up credit card debt. Car sales fell 1.1% in October from September, while furniture sales declined 2% during the same period. Wednesday’s retail sales report bodes well for the Fed, since it shows spending isn’t reaccelerating or remaining stubbornly strong.

Persons: Jerome Powell, ”, Kathy Bostjancic, Austan Goolsbee, market’s, ” Goolsbee Organizations: DC CNN, Commerce Department, Federal, Nationwide, Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Chicago Fed, Detroit Economic Locations: Washington

☆ Morning Bid: Inflation on the ropes, shutdown averted
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. Much like then, the sheer scale of the yield swoon has stoked bond volatility gauges (.MOVE) too. What's more, a quarter point rate cut by May is now 80% priced and 100bps of easing through 2024 is now baked in. U.S. corporate news stays on retail later as Target reports earnings, following a beat by Home Depot on Tuesday. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Xi Jinping's, Joe Biden, Russell, Austan Goolsbee, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett, Michael Barr, Thomas Barkin, Jonathan Haskel, Xi Jinping, Bernadette Baum Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Wall, Chicago Fed, Bank of America, Home Depot, Berkshire, General Motors, Procter, Gamble, Richmond Fed, Bank of England, APEC, Cisco Systems, Palo Alto Networks, Reuters, NFIB, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Wall, UK's, York, San Francisco

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. "This is what the Fed was looking for, slowing inflation, slowing labor market and the economy's holding up at the same time." Following the data, traders erased bets the Fed will raise borrowing costs any further and piled into bets on rate cuts starting by May. U.S. Treasury yields dropped, with the two-year yield , which best reflects short-term interest rate expectations, sliding to two-week lows. Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 13.89-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 5.44-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Thomas Hayes, Russell, Jerome Powell, Michael Barr, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, Mike Johnson, Sruthi Shankar, Amruta, Ankika Biswas, Shinjini Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Reuters, May, U.S, Treasury, Nvidia, Banking Committee, Cleveland Fed, Chicago Fed, U.S . House, Dow Jones, Inc, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, United States, Bengaluru

☆ Fed's Goolsbee sees inflation falling fast without jobless surge
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee speaks as he heads into the Kansas City Fed's annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, U.S., August 24, 2023. A Labor Department report earlier on Tuesday showed the consumer price index rose 3.2% in October from a year earlier, down more than 3 percentage points from January. The Fed targets 2% inflation by a different measure, the personal consumption expenditures price index, which was 3.4% in September. Going forward, Goolsbee said he's focused on inflation data and sees overheating as a lesser risk than an external shock. "The key to further progress over the next few quarters will be what happens to housing inflation," he said.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Ann Saphir, Goolsbee, he's, Paul Simao Organizations: Chicago Fed, Kansas City, REUTERS, Chicago Federal, Detroit Economic, Labor Department, Fed, Thomson Locations: Kansas, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S

REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk Acquire Licensing RightsSummaryCompanies US consumer prices unchanged in OctoberU.S. dollar eyes worst session in a yearSilver, palladium gain more than 3%Nov 14 (Reuters) - Gold prices gained 1% on Tuesday as the dollar and Treasury yields retreated after softer-than-expected U.S. consumer inflation data fuelled bets that the Federal Reserve may be done hiking interest rates. U.S. consumer prices were unchanged in October and underlying inflation showed signs of slowing. We are expecting a significant deterioration in the data over the course of the fourth quarter, which should weaken dollar and support gold," said Daniel Ghali, commodity strategist at TD Securities. "Over the next six months, we're looking at gold prices to rally towards $2,100 per ounce." Reuters GraphicsBoosting bullion's appeal, the dollar index (.DXY) fell 1.4%, its biggest daily decline in one year, while benchmark 10-year Treasury yields eyed their worst day in eight months after the inflation data.

Persons: Alexander Manzyuk, Austan Goolsbee, Daniel Ghali, Commerzbank, Ashitha Shivaprasad, Emelia Sithole, Shilpi Majumdar Organizations: REUTERS, Companies, Treasury, Federal, Chicago Fed, TD Securities, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Novosibirsk, Siberian, Russia, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Morning Bid: Murky US inflation picture
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

According to consensus forecasts at least, U.S. headline inflation is expected to have retreated sharply again in October back toward midyear lows around 3.3%. But underlying 'core' inflation is expected to stay stickier at an unchanged annual rate of 4.1% last month and still more than twice the Fed's target. But the Fed may want to hang tough long enough into a slowing economy to ensure that inflation is squeezed back to its 2% goal. And perhaps the negative tilt on October core inflation going into today's release leaves more room for a positive surprise. The International Energy Agency on Tuesday raised its oil demand growth forecasts for this year and next despite the weakening economic picture.

Persons: Lucas Jackson, Mike Dolan, Goldman Sachs, Xi Jinping, Joe Biden, Biden, Xi, Shunichi Suzuki, Philip Jefferson, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, Michael Barr, Huw Pill, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, New, Bank of America's, Treasury, International Energy Agency, U.S, Economic Cooperation, Reuters, Bank of Japan, Japan's Finance, Home, Federal, Cleveland Fed, Chicago Fed, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, California, San Francisco, Asia, China, Japan, Teck, United States

☆ Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Key to progress on inflation is housing
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Key to progress on inflation is housingCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Halftime Report' to discuss the latest news on the recent CPI report.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, Steve Liesman Organizations: Chicago

☆ The Fed is terrified Americans could get used to high inflation. It may already be happening.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-12 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Fed officials don’t expect inflation to reach 2% until 2026, according to their latest economic projections released in September. If there’s one thing that would make the Fed quake in its boots, it would be worsening inflation expectations. The keyword there is “timely.”Sticky inflation could possibly “un-anchor” inflation expectations or elicit a consistent deterioration in Americans’ perception on inflation. “The Fed really just wants people to not expect inflation will run at 4% forever.”So what’s kept inflation expectations in check this long? For individuals and married people filing separately, the new federal standard deduction will increase to $14,600, up from $13,850 this year.

Persons: we’ve, Raphael Bostic, “, ” Luke Tilley, ”, Jerome Powell, presser, Powell, Michelle Bowman, Tilley, ” Drew Matus, what’s, Matus, “ They’re, Jeanne Sahadi, Lisa Cook, Phillip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, John Williams, Christopher Waller, Mary Daly Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, University of Michigan’s, Atlanta Fed, Bloomberg, Investment Advisors, CNN, ”, New York Bankers Association, New York Fed, MetLife Investment Management, IRS, Tyson Foods, Depot, US Labor Department, National Federation of Independent Business, China’s National Bureau of Statistics, Target, National Statistics, US Commerce Department, Walmart, National Association of Home Builders, San Francisco Fed Locations: Washington, Wilmington, Palm Beach , Florida

☆ Austan Goolsbee Says Fed Will Need to Monitor Risks of Overshooting on Rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Nick Timiraos | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

Austan Goolsbee, Chicago Fed president, says how long to hold rates at the current level could be shaped by whether external shocks hit the economy. Photo: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg NewsA Federal Reserve official said the central bank will need to pay close attention to the effects of higher longer-term bond yields to make sure they don’t slow the economy more than expected over the coming year. Austan Goolsbee , president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said in an interview Wednesday the recent run-up of longer-term borrowing costs could become more important as the central bank shifts its focus from how high to raise interest rates and toward how long to hold them near a 22-year high.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, David Paul Morris Organizations: Chicago Fed, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

However, the rally has run out of steam as several Fed policymakers this week pushed back against market expectations that the central bank will begin cutting interest rates soon. "The market got carried away regarding how soon it thought we would be seeing interest rate cuts being delivered. "But that was never the case and comments from various CB (central bank) officials this week have very much opened eyes to this." On the earnings front, shares of Walt Disney (DIS.N) rose 4.1% in premarket trade after the entertainment company exceeded Wall Street estimates for quarterly profit on higher attendance at its Shanghai and Hong Kong theme parks. MGM Resorts International(MGM.N) added 3.5% on beating third-quarter estimates for profit and revenue as the casino operator benefited from easing pandemic restrictions.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Stuart Cole, Austan Goolsbee, Jerome Powell, Thomas Barkin, Walt Disney, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: Intercontinental Exchange Inc, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Equiti, CB, Chicago Fed, Wall, International Monetary Fund, Richmond Fed, Labor Department, Dow e, Walt, Arm Holdings, Theatre, AMC Entertainment, MGM Resorts International, Thomson Locations: U.S, Shanghai, Hong Kong

☆ Morning Bid: Oil-fueled rally turns to Powell
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

[1/2] Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell answers a question during a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, U.S., November 1, 2023. And that's hit home by dragging U.S. pump prices down to levels not seen since March. Overall, U.S. 10-year yields remained on the back foot at 4.57% first thing and ahead of Wednesday's auction. Although Asian and European stocks fell back a bit, Wall St stock futures were unchanged before the bell. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Kevin Lamarque, Mike Dolan, who's, Christine Lagarde, Andrew Bailey, Michelle Bowman, Austan Goolsbee, Christopher Waller, BoE, Ping, Donald Trump, White, Philip Jefferson, Michael Barr, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Joachim Nagel, Walt Disney, Ralph Lauren, Toby Chopra Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, Committee, REUTERS, Mike Dolan Wall, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Atlanta, Fed, Chicago Fed, St, Reuters, Ping An Insurance, HK, New York Fed, Warner Bros Discovery, MGM Resorts, Biogen, Energy, Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, Gaza, Tokyo, Ohio, Kentucky, Brussels, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Strange, but good, things are happening in markets and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield fell around 10 basis points to 4.569% and the 2-year yield slipped 3 basis points to 4.915%. As Treasury yields serve as the benchmark for interest rates on loans and cash investments, sinking yields generally benefit rate-sensitive companies more. Both the economy and markets have truly acted in strange, unprecedented ways ever since the pandemic.

Persons: Spencer Platt, they're, WTI's, that's, Alastair Pinder, Austan Goolsbee, — Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, CNBC, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Treasury, Big Tech, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, U.S . Federal, HSBC, Chicago Federal Locations: New York City, That's, Israel

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Goolsbee’s ‘golden path’ is still visible
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineLast month's sudden surge in Treasury yields and oil prices — both of which tend to suppress investors' appetite for stocks — looks to be ending. As Treasury yields serve as the benchmark for interest rates on loans and cash investments, sinking yields generally benefit rate-sensitive companies more. Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee told CNBC, "Because of some of the strangeness of this moment, there is the possibility of the golden path ... that we got inflation down without a recession."

Persons: Goolsbee, David Paul Morris, they're, WTI's, that's, Alastair Pinder, Austan Goolsbee, — Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Bloomberg, Getty, CNBC, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Treasury, Big Tech, Amazon, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, U.S . Federal, HSBC, Chicago Federal Locations: Moran , Wyoming, That's, Israel

☆ Treasury yields inch higher as investors weigh monetary policy outlook
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by more than 2 basis points at 4.594%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last over 3 basis points higher at 4.953%. U.S. Treasury yields rose slightly on Wednesday as investors considered the path ahead for monetary policy as they looked to comments from Federal Reserve officials. Investors considered the outlook for interest rates and the economy, including whether the Federal Reserve will still be able to achieve a soft landing. He and other Fed officials are scheduled to make remarks this week, with Powell expected to speak on Wednesday and Thursday.

Persons: Austan Goolsbee, CNBC's, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Investors, Chicago Fed, Fed

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Nov 8 (Reuters) - If the notorious 'term premium' is evaporating again, then last month's bond rout may just have been a nightmare. "If that's coming from term premium and it's tightening, then we have got to take that into account." As Summers estimated this week, a term premium just back at 60-year averages would put it at 150bps - 130bps above current levels. Morgan Stanley estimates an additional near $1 trillion in gross debt sales from G7 governments are coming down the pike next year. Morgan Stanley chart on G7 debt sales in 2024Reuters GraphicsThe opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Christopher Waller, Larry Summers, selloff, York Fed's, Jerome Powell, Austan Goolsbee, Lisa Cook, Summers, Morgan Stanley, Mike Dolan, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Fed, ., The, NY, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Chicago Fed, Congress, Thomson Locations: York, midyear, 150bps

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