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The group kept lagging last year as markets braced for a recession that would especially hurt economically sensitive small caps. And although the market isn't on small caps' side, Rendino believes historical precedent is. However, Rendino isn't discouraged by small caps' slow start and is instead pleased that his firm is outperforming. "Small caps were up in the fourth quarter, and we're having a really good year," Rendino said. "And I know why companies aren't in the good graces of investors and why certain investors shy away from companies."
Persons: , Kevin Rendino, Rendino, Russell, He's, Rendino isn't, he's, we're, we've, Benjamin Graham, David Dodd Organizations: Service, Business, Capita, Federal Reserve, Capital, Federal
As the first earnings season of 2024 draws to a close, CNBC's Jim Cramer gave his take on the most recent reports from the Magnificent Seven mega caps, awarding particular kudos to Nvidia and Amazon . He first lauded Nvidia, which reported record revenue up 265% thanks to continued high demand for its artificial intelligence products. He then called Amazon "the most definitive summa of all," with a hot advertising business and growing web services sector. Cramer also awarded Meta a "summa," praising its advertising capabilities and WhatsApp business. And Tesla earned a "gentleman's C," Cramer said, uncertain about how this year will shape up for the company.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Apple, Tesla Organizations: Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft
UBS has uncovered small- and medium-sized overlooked stocks across Europe that offer substantial upside potential. Of those, the five stocks below stand out for having the biggest upside potential, according to FactSet's consensus price targets. The five stocks had a high UBS "composite value score," indicating they are cheap relative to their book value. Finally, UBS screened for stocks with a relatively low short-selling in them — the practice of betting on the stocks falling. The bank had previously said small- and mid-cap companies are a "preferred" segment for investing in 2024.
Persons: Sutanya Chedda, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS Locations: Europe
Megacap tech stocks aren't just powering the U.S. stock market — they're also holding the world together. U.S. equities now comprise 70% of the MSCI World Index, the benchmark for large- and mid-cap companies across 23 developed markets. The MSCI World Index shifts regional and country weights based on broader economic trends. High levels of market concentration in the late 1920s to early 1930s, as well as 2000, coincided with a market top, he noted. The Europe Stoxx 600 has risen only 2.6% year to date, underperforming the U.S. broad market index.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Scott Rubner, Peter Berezin, Berezin, NVDA, Phillip Colmar, that's, Mike Dickson, Dickson, Warren Buffett's, Colmar, It's, you've, Germany DAX Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, BCA Research, Big Tech, MRB Partners, Horizon Investments, Nikkei, British FTSE, France CAC Locations: U.S, Europe, Colmar, Japan, Asia, Germany, France
Investors are pricing in a best-case outcome where earnings rise and inflation returns to normal in a continued economic expansion. “It’s a tough needle to thread,” said Steve Sosnick, the chief strategist at Interactive Brokers. “And that pretty much pulls forward almost all the returns, in our minds, for 2024.”AdvertisementCrit Thomas, a global market strategist at Touchstone Investments, has the same concern. “And so at 21x earnings, there’s very little margin for error here.”AdvertisementFourth-quarter earnings mostly met measured expectations , as did forward guidance. Clark Bellin, the chief investment officer at Bellwether Wealth, said he’s less worried about valuations broadly and is more interested in seeing which sectors look cheap.
Persons: , , Solita Marcelli, , Sameer Samana, Steve Sosnick, It’s, Steven Wieting, “ We’ve, Crit Thomas, “ I’m, ” Thomas, We’re, Chris Galipeau, ” Galipeau, ” Sosnick, we’ve, Liz Ann Sonders, Schwab, ” Sonders, there’s, Clark Bellin, he’s, ” Bellin, you’re, Stocks, Samana, won’t, Thomas, Wieting, Bellin, “ They’ve, they’re Organizations: Service, Business, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Interactive, Citi Global Wealth’s, Touchstone Investments, Franklin Templeton Institute, Citi Global Wealth, Bellwether Wealth Locations: Wells Fargo, Samana, ” Samana, Galipeau
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today’s big story, we’re looking at why the recent resurgence of Vladimir Putin and Russia comes at an inopportune time for the markets. The big storyPutin's big weekRebecca Zisser/Business InsiderVladimir Putin hasn't notched many personal wins since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, but last week was an exception. Putin’s successes further complicate a geopolitical situation that has silently loomed over a US economy trying to tiptoe past a recession.
Persons: , florists, Vladimir Putin, Rebecca Zisser, Vladimir Putin hasn't, Tucker Carlson, he’s, Tom Porter, Carlson, Putin, Joe, Donald Trump, BI’s Brent D, Griffiths, Tom, GAVRIIL, Jamie Dimon, Ray Dalio, Jerome Powell, It’s, David Rosenberg, doesn’t, Alex Wong, Stocks, Savita Subramanian, Grammarly, Abanti Chowdhury, Zers, Temu, Sam Altman, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb Organizations: Service, NATO, Sputnik, Kremlin, JPMorgan, Bridgewater Associates, Reserve, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Labor Statistics, Tech, Chiefs, 49ers, World, Ferrari, Business Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian, Moscow, China, Israel, Gaza, Washington ,, New York, London
The WisdomTree India Earnings ETF (EPI) has a total return of 6.6% through Feb. 8, according to FactSet, and is up 18.7% over the past three months. That makes it the best performing of the five biggest India ETFs, with the iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) and the Franklin FTSE India ETF (FLIN) both up less than 4% year to date.The WisdomTree fund is also beating The S & P 500, which up less than 5% over the same period. The WisdomTree fund has been a long-term winner as well, with an average annualized return of roughly 12% over the past decade. And, notably, the second-best performing major India ETF this year is the iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF (SMIN) . That is above the 0.65% of the iShares INDA ETF and the 0.19% of Franklin Templeton's FLIN.
Persons: date.The, Jeremy Schwartz, it's, It's, Schwartz, Franklin Templeton's FLIN Organizations: Franklin FTSE, CNBC, India ETF Locations: India, Franklin FTSE India
When you see that in a railroad company, there is one key metric to look at, which drives railroad profitability and shareholder return: It's the operating ratio. The operating ratio is the company's operating expenses as a percentage of revenue. NSC's operating ratio is almost 69% and the right management team with the right strategy should easily be able to get the operating ratio down close to 60%. There is no need to reinvent the wheel here; the roadmap has already been drawn at Canadian Pacific and CSX. Inside the activist world, and among investors who were shareholders of Canadian Pacific and CSX, this is as sure of an activist strategy as there is.
Persons: Ancora, James Chadwick, Mantle, Hunter Harrison, Harrison, John Kasich, Sameh Fahmy, Jim Chadwick, Ken Squire Organizations: Norfolk Southern, Railroads, TCI, CSX, Pershing, Canadian Pacific, Canadian National, CP, PSR, Kansas City Southern, 13D Locations: United States, Ancora, Ohio
In today's big story, we're looking at why investors are eyeing an even better outcome for the market than a soft landing . The big storyMarket's sweet spotPiotr PowietrzynskiForget about a soft landing, some market watchers want something just right. For months, investors hoped the Fed's tightening policy would culminate in a soft landing: lowering inflation while avoiding a full-blown recession. But why settle for a soft landing when you can get it all? Liu Jie/Xinhua via Getty ImagesA Goldilocks economy still hinges on the Fed cutting rates, which has proved fleeting for investors.
Persons: , hasn't, Piotr Powietrzynski Forget, Matthew Fox, Solita, Marcelli, Jerome Powell, Liu Jie, we'll, Powell, Banks, Kenneth Rogoff, Jensen Huang, Rick Wilking, Goldman, Goldman Sachs, Savita Subramanian, Gen, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Fintechs, VCs, Sam Altman, Altman, didn't, Scott Winters, Alyssa Powell, Travis Kelce, Experian, It's, EVs, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb Organizations: Service, Apple, Business, Getty, Bank of America, Harvard, Nvidia, CES, Kansas City Chiefs, US Treasury, New York Times, UBS, FAA, Boeing, Max Locations: Americas, Washington ,, Xinhua, Jensen, Las Vegas , Nevada, U.S, China, New York, London
Wall Street continues to climb a wall of worry even as investors deliberate how much longer equities can maintain their record run. But questions remain for investors after some major disappointments in an intense week suggested more challenges ahead. Apple dropped 3% this week after reporting lackluster earnings, weighing on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Elsewhere in corporate earnings, regional banks as represented by the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF slid 7% after poor results from New York Community Bank spurred investor fears of a wider contagion. Signs of market weakness For investors, there may be more issues in the market going forward in 2024.
Persons: Stocks, Jerome Powell, Apple, Scott Rubner, Goldman Sachs, Rubner, Russell, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, CNBC's, Sonders, Lehman, Raymond James, Josh Beck, James McCann, Abrdn, McCann, Rhys WIlliams, Williams, it's, Art Hogan, They're, Hogan, Estee, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Rowe Price, Philip Morris Organizations: Meta, Dow Jones, Regional Banking, New York Community Bank, Bank, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Markets, Wayve Capital Management, Riley, Atlanta, PMI, Simon Property, Companies, Tyson Foods, Semiconductor, Caterpillar, Prudential Financial, Ford Motor, Enphase Energy, GE Healthcare Technologies, Consumer, Walt Disney Co, Wynn Resorts, PayPal, Brands, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide, Uber Technologies, Costco Wholesale, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, Rowe Price Group, ConocoPhillips, The Hershey Co, Philip Morris International, PepsiCo Locations: China
Happy Days Are Here Again, Say American Consumers
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( Tim Smart | Feb. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +3 min
Consumers are happy, the stock market is near record highs, inflation is moderating and the labor market is defying all forecasts. Apparently, very little as the latest reading on consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan confirmed on Friday. The final consumer sentiment survey for January posted a 13% increase to 79, almost a 10-point surge from December’s 69.7 reading, echoing earlier estimates. “This morning’s strong jobs report diminished the chances of the Fed cutting in March,” said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. This means businesses are in a good position despite the macro headwinds and uncertainty about growth expectations.”
Persons: , , Joanne Hsu, ” Hsu, , David Royal, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: University of Michigan, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta’s, LPL
Although small-cap stocks have taken a hit so far this year, Goldman Sachs thinks expectations of a healthier economic backdrop make the group look attractive — especially since they're already trading at fairly cheap valuations. Analyst Eric Sheridan initiated shares at a buy with a $16.50 price target in December. Goldman thinks shares could gain more than 50% over the next year, according to last week's closing price. Solar equipment company Shoals Technologies is another Goldman small-cap favorite. Other small-cap companies Goldman likes include coconut water company Vita Coco , food packaging company Sealed Air and crowd-sourced reviews platform Yelp .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Deep Mehta, Mehta, Eric Sheridan, Goldman, — Goldman, Shoals, Tinder, Vita Coco, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Goldman, Technologies, Barclays Locations: Wells, Wednesday's
Meta to report fourth-quarter earnings after the bell
  + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Jonathan Vanian | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Meta will report fourth-quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday. In Alphabet 's earnings report on Tuesday, the company said Google ad revenue increased 11% from a year earlier, slower expansion than analysts were expecting. Meta finance chief Susan Li most recently highlighted the significance of business from China in the company's third-quarter earnings report in October. Analysts expect Reality Labs to show revenue of $762.8 million for the quarter and an operating loss of $4.26 billion, according to StreetAccount. Apple and Amazon are also slated to report fourth-quarter results on Thursday, wrapping up earnings season for tech's mega-cap companies.
Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Meta, Susan Li, Li, Zuckerberg Organizations: U.S, Capitol, LSEG, StreetAccount, Google, Facebook, Meta, Wednesday, Labs, Apple Locations: Washington , U.S, China
Amazon (AMZN) is set to report earnings this Thursday after the bell with the stock on a roll and expectations high. However, there are signs that the impressive run may be headed for overhead resistance, according to the charts. Further, there are signs within the consumer discretionary sector that recent underperformance compared to the rest of the 'growth trade' may persist. The consumer discretionary space has been showing signs of weakness relative to the other growth/offensive sectors like technology and communications that continue to power ahead. If so, the sub-mega cap companies in consumer discretionary may have their work cut out for them.
Persons: It's, XLY, Gordon, AMZN Organizations: Edge, Netflix Locations: AMZN, TSLA, Tesla
A soft landing would greatly boost small caps since they're economically sensitive, meaning they tend to thrive in expansions and fall during contractions. Marcelli also made note of smaller companies' weaker balance sheets, though those are arguably accounted for in valuations. With that said, those positive forces appear to be intact, so small caps could finally break out. Instead of selling AI chips or products, smaller companies can enhance their productivity by using the technology, the strategy chief said. 5 sectors where small caps can thriveWithin small caps, Temple said he's less focused on what sector a company falls into and more concerned with whether that firm is financially healthy.
Persons: haven't, Russell, Marcelli, Ronald Temple, Temple, couldn't, there's, Jack Janasiewicz, Janasiewicz, he's, you've, I'd, they've Organizations: Business, Yahoo Finance, UBS Global Wealth Management, Lazard Asset Management, Temple, Reserve, Savings, Nvidia, Devices, Microsoft
While most of Wall Street expects good news this earnings season, so far results have been mixed. 17 small-cap earnings surprisesSpeaking of earnings, Carey Hall highlighted the best investment factors among small-cap stocks this earnings season. "So far in January, Estimate Revisions and Earnings Surprise have been two of the most alpha-generative small cap factors (long-short spreads of +4ppt/+3ppt, respectively)," Carey Hall wrote. To help find the stocks most likely to surprise to the upside during the rest of earnings season, Carey Hall screened for small- and mid-cap stocks that Bank of America analysts believe could see earnings come in above consensus estimates. Finally, she sorted through the results and highlighted only those stocks that were buy-rated by Bank of America.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, It's, you'd, Jill Carey Hall, Carey Hall, , Outperformance, Russell, Carey, value's Organizations: Business, Bank of America, Big Tech, Federal Reserve
Right now, they are the most attractive part of the market, trading at a 25% discount, he noted. "Initially, small caps were hit the hardest during the early stages of the pandemic," Sekara said. "I think a lot of people just worried if those companies would actually survive the pandemic or not, just because as small-cap stocks, they didn't have the same financial wherewithal as large-cap stocks." AdvertisementWhy small caps now? AdvertisementBelow are seven stocks from Morningstar's list of small-cap value stocks with five-star ratings.
Persons: , it's, Dave Sekara, Sekara, Morningstar Organizations: Service, Business, Google, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Morningstar
FTC scrutinizes megacap's AI deals
  + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFTC scrutinizes megacap's AI dealsCNBC’s Deirdre Bosa joins 'Power Lunch' to report on the FTC focusing on megacap companies AI deals.
Persons: Deirdre Bosa
Small caps are conspicuously absent from Wall Street's bull market party. The S & P 500 confirmed Friday that a new bull market has begun, breaking both its intraday and closing record high from January 2022. Year to date thus far, the S & P 500 is up more than 1%, while the Dow has climbed 0.5%. "We think it's when the Fed cuts rates not if; this boosts small more than large," he wrote in a Monday note. Not everyone on Wall Street is as optimistic that Fed rate cuts will be an outsized catalyst for small caps.
Persons: Russell, Jason Goepfert, Sundial's Goepfert, Steven DeSanctis, DeSanctis, Barclays's Stefano Pascale, Pascale Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Capital, Micro, Wall
BNY Mellon Wealth Management's chief investment officer explained why stocks have limited upside. Sinead Colton Grant has hit the ground running in her new role as the chief investment officer at BNY Mellon Wealth Management. What to expect in the economy this yearThe theme of BNY Mellon Wealth Management's 2024 outlook report is "a healthy slowdown." However, Colton Grant acknowledged that there are serious discrepancies between how high- and low-income households experience the economy. 5 top places to invest nowBNY Mellon Wealth Management may be neutral on equities broadly, but it has a bullish overweight rating on US stocks.
Persons: Sinead Colton Grant, BNY, she's, BNY Mellon, Colton Grant, David Kelly, Colton, Kelly, Colton Grant's Organizations: BNY Mellon Wealth, BNY Mellon Wealth Management, BNY Mellon, BNY, JPMorgan Asset Management, Business, Mellon Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Mellon, Management, Asset Management, BMO Capital Markets Locations: BlackRock, Invesco
The Best Stock Funds of 2023
  + stars: | 2024-01-13 | by ( Lawrence Strauss | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Large-cap companies led the way in 2023, benefiting the money managers who believed in them. Driven by a rebound in large and megacap stocks, in particular the “Magnificent Seven” technology companies, mutual-fund managers who saw double-digit losses in the market rout in 2022 found themselves rewarded for their patience this past year.
The small-cap Russell 2000 has dropped close to 4% against a fractional gain in the S & P 500 year to date. In broad terms, the S & P 500 could retreat to 4600 or so – about 4% down from here – and still be in a routine technical check-back to its latest launch point in early December. Todd Sohn of Strategas notes that the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) saw inflows go vertical last year to $13.5 billion, 30% above its prior 12-month record. Betting on 'peacetime' Fed cuts Right or wrong, the market debate right now can never get far before turning into a Fed-policy-path discussion. Last week's CPI and PPI data added to the market's collective conviction that inflation's downside momentum is strong, opening the way for "peacetime" Fed rate cuts.
Persons: that's, Russell, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, Tony Pasquariello, Goldman Sachs, Henry McVey, KKR's, McVey, Morgan Stanley, Todd Sohn, Strategas, they're, Jerome Powell Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Goldman, Nasdaq, Apple, CPI, PPI Locations: U.S
Dividend-growing stocks offer investors the ultimate of benefits: the prospect of rising income and stock price appreciation, Morgan Stanley found. Tech isn't usually associated with dividend income, but some semiconductor-related stocks made it to Morgan Stanley's list. Broadcom , an artificial intelligence beneficiary whose shares are up 88% in the past year, was also highlighted on Morgan Stanley's list of dividend ideas. Finally, Mondelez International , maker of Sour Patch Kids candy and Oreo cookies, made it to Morgan Stanley's list of dividend growers. Other names that made Morgan Stanley's list of companies that have raised their dividends include Accenture , Microsoft , Marathon Petroleum and D.R.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Todd Castagno, Castagno, Morgan Stanley's, Lam, Atif Malik, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley's Pamela Kaufman, Mondelez Organizations: Federal Reserve, Equity, Tech, Lam Research, FactSet, Citi, Broadcom, Mondelez, Accenture, Microsoft, Marathon Petroleum Locations: U.S, Horton
Good news for long-term investors: corporate America paid a record amount in dividends last year, even as the S & P 500 approached a near-record high. A record year for dividends In 2023, companies in the S & P 500 paid out $588 billion in dividends, a new record. S & P 500 dividend yield history (average yield) Since 1936: 3.49% Last 10 years: 1.83% Last 5 years: 1.67% 2023: 1.5% Source: S & P Global Why has the dividend yield been going down? Second, with the exception of 2022, stock prices and particularly the S & P 500 have been on a tear. (% of index members who pay a dividend) S & P 500: 80.1% S & P MidCap: 65.8% S & P SmallCap: 57.8% Source: S & P Global In the S & P 500, 328 companies (65%) increased their dividends (dollar payout) last year.
Persons: Howard Silverblatt, buybacks, Silverblatt, Johnson Organizations: America, P, Global, Coterra Energy, Natural Resources, Diamondback Energy, Companies, Microsoft, ExxonMobil, JPMorgan, Verizon, Johnson, Apple, Federal, & $ Locations: buybacks, Devon, America
This year's broader market rally isn't over just yet, according to Citi. "We look for further S & P 500 upside in the year ahead. Citi set a year-end target of 5,100 for the S & P 500, dependent on a $245 earnings per share estimate for the index. The S & P 500 , meanwhile, is up nearly 20% in 2023. "Our top-down sector earnings modeling continues to argue for more consistent sector level growth during 2024.
Persons: Scott Chronert, Chronert, Russell, Cyclicals Organizations: Citi, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
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