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CNBC's Robert Hum tells me both the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are up eight straight sessions — the longest advances since November of last year for the S & P 500 and December for the Nasdaq. The S & P has risen 7% over the past eight trading days. Another positive factor: market breadth (advancing vs. declining stocks) has been on a tear. Markets now It's happening again Monday: 2-1 advancing to declining stocks on the NYSE, and the S & P 500 ahead 25 points. The tech rally appears to have stalled out.
Persons: CNBC's Robert Hum, Lowry Organizations: Nasdaq, New York Stock Exchange, NYSE, Tech, Meta, Nvidia, Apple
ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by less than one basis point to 3.9150%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last less than one basis point higher to 4.0188%. Treasury yields were little changed on Tuesday as investors looked to the release of key inflation data amid uncertainty about the state of the U.S. economy. The data could also provide hints about whether the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates when it meets in September. Following recent market turmoil and economic uncertainty, questions have also emerged about whether the Fed should have already started cutting rates to avoid a hard landing.
Persons: Dow Organizations: Treasury, PPI, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S
S & P down 5.50% here, headlines of a Nikkei crash, and another great Yen carry unwind happening. I traded for a hedge fund and served as senior technical analyst for an foreign exchange company during the great financial crisis of 2008 that saw a severe yen carry unwind. If the line is headed south the dollar is weakening relative to the yen, and the yen is strengthening relative to the dollar. I believe that the July 11th CPI print that came 0.1% below expectations was the culprit to this whole yen carry unwind. Could this yen carry unwind move further?
Persons: it's, Todd Gordon Organizations: Nikkei, Markets, Inside Edge, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, It's, Blackwell, Nvidia's, Eaton, Paulo Ruiz, Ruiz, Craig Arnold, Arnold, We're, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Treasury, Nvidia, UBS, Club, Fed, PPI, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: York
New inflation data will arrive on Tuesday with the producer price index report for July. AdvertisementUS stocks wavered on Monday, struggling to keep the rally that materialized at the end of last week going ahead of new inflation data for July. On Tuesday, investors will digest the first of two inflation data points due out this week. The producer price index, a measure of wholesale inflation, is expected to be in-line with the June data at 0.2%. The second update will be the main event, with the consumer price index set to show the rise in inflation faced by the average consumer last month.
Persons: , Louis Nevallier Organizations: Traders, Service, Fed, Pentagon Locations: Here's, Iran, Israel, Tehran
New York CNN —After a prolonged period of calm, financial markets went into a tailspin this week. One trigger for the selloff was the unraveling of the Japanese yen carry trade. Some investors say there could be more volatility to come, particularly since it’s unclear how much more the yen carry trade could unwind. The carry trade is “enormous. The unwinding of the carry trade and weak labor data came at a delicate time rife with uncertainty for Wall Street.
Persons: Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, , Steve Sosnick, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Dow, Liz Young Thomas Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nikkei, Dow, Nasdaq, Bank of Japan, Companies, Federal Reserve, Investors, CNBC, Interactive Brokers, Markets, Republican, Home Depot, Walmart Locations: New York, Israel, Ukraine, Russia
The wildest week of 2024 has investors bracing for more volatility in the week ahead, with key insight on the consumer and inflation coming at a time when recession fears are top of mind. Inflation, labor data Next week's inflation data could get less attention than it has over the past year when the Fed's fight against pricing pressures put inflation reports on center stage. Recently, it's been the labor market getting the most attention. "The market's caring much more about about labor markets and growth, than they do inflation right now," Ladner said. Week ahead calendar All times ET Monday, Aug. 12 2 p.m. Treasury Budget (July) Tuesday, Aug. 13 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index (July) Earnings: Home Depot Wednesday, Aug. 14 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (July) 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Scott Ladner, it's, Ladner, , Strategas, Ryan Grabinski, RJ Assaly, Jeremy Siegel, Chen Zhao, Zhao, Price Organizations: Federal, Walmart, Home, Horizon Investments, Bank of Japan, Wharton, Fed, UBS, Investments, Treasury Budget, Price, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Materials, Tapestry, Deere, Co, Housing Locations: U.S, NAHB, Michigan
In just a few short days, markets have taken some of the urgency off the table for the Federal Reserve to slash interest rates. Earlier in the week, there were even some calls for an emergency intermeeting rate cut. At the least, markets figured the Fed was a near-certainty to reduce benchmark rates by at least a half percentage point. Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel has been one of the loudest voices for aggressive Fed action, calling Monday for an emergency cut . The Fed has been holding its benchmark rate in a range between 5.25%-5.50% for more than a year.
Persons: we've, Steven Wieting, Wieting, Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Jerome Powell, Siegel, Powell Organizations: Federal Reserve, Reserve, Citi Wealth, Labor Department
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump on Thursday said that he should have a voice when the Federal Reserve makes its decisions on interest rates. Among the ideas being floated are forcing the Fed to consult with the president when making rate decisions. While in office from 2017 to 2021, President Trump was a fierce critic of Chair Jerome Powell, whom Trump appointed in 2018. The Fed hiked benchmark interest rates 5.25 percentage points from March 2022-July 2023 in an effort to bring down inflation. Trump generally favors lower interest rates and criticized the Fed frequently for raising in 2018.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, Kamala Harris, Sen, Elizabeth Warren Organizations: Republican, Federal Reserve, Wall Street, White, Treasury Department, Federal, Fed, Trump, Democrat, CNBC Locations: Lago, Palm Beach , Florida, Florida
Initial claims for unemployment insurance totaled less than expected last week, countering other signs that the labor market is weakening. Stock market futures, which had been negative earlier, turned sharply positive following the 8:30 a.m. In the previous week, claims had jumped by 14,000, adding to worries that layoffs are on the rise. "If you're looking for additional weakness in the labor market, you'll need to find it somewhere else." Concerns escalated over the state of the labor market following last Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, which showed an increase of just 114,000 in July.
Persons: Dow Jones, Beryl, Robert Frick, nonfarm Organizations: Labor Department, Navy Federal Credit Union, Federal Reserve Locations: Michigan, Texas, U.S
Global Stock Market Chaos
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Ben Casselman | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Markets around the globe fell sharply; the S&P 500 index was down 3 percent. Stock markets are fickle, and their movements can’t tell you much about the health of the economy. But yesterday’s tumult reflects an underlying reality: The job market is cooling. Now, the unemployment rate, at 4.3 percent, is basically back to normal. By April 2020, the unemployment rate — which had been at a five-decade low of 3.5 percent — jumped to nearly 15 percent.
Persons: Covid Organizations: Stock
The AI-fueled tech bubble could be approaching its end date, according to Paul Dietrich. The market strategist pointed to similarities between the recent tech sell-off and the dot-com crash. He pointed to the similarities between the dot-com crash and the latest drop in the stock market. AdvertisementThe flow of "smart money" in the market also suggests more downside could be on the way for tech stocks, Dietrich noted. Advertisement"What kind of evidence does one need to see that we are moving into a business cycle recession," Dietrich said.
Persons: Paul Dietrich, , Dietrich, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang Organizations: Service, Riley Wealth, Nasdaq, Apple, Meta, Nvidia, Artificial Intelligence
In an August 1 note to clients, the bank's top global strategist urged investors to sell stocks when the Federal Reserve issues its first rate cut. Hartnett and his team studied the last 12 rate-cutting cycles going back to 1970 and identified three varieties of rate cuts. Hartnett said surging global central bank rate cuts are signs that the economy is in for a rough stretch. Investors expect the Fed to cut rates for the first time this cycle at its September meeting. "Emergency Fed rate cuts being priced in makes little sense given the economic backdrop in the U.S. and would only serve to destroy policy maker credibility."
Persons: , America's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Louis, Jean, Louis Nakamura, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Kantrowitz, Hartnett's, Jim Smigiel Organizations: Service, America's, Federal Reserve, Business, Bank of America Bank of America, Bank of America, Louis Fed, Bank of America's, Global, SEI Locations: U.S
The day's rout was sparked by a massive sell-off in Japanese stocks. The Nikkei fell 12.4%, its worst day since the 1987 "Black Monday" crash rattled investors around the world. Spencer Platt / Getty ImagesThe Japanese drawdown, in turn, was partly in response to the worse-than-expected jobs report published Friday that showed U.S. unemployment rising to 4.3% and just 114,000 jobs added in July. As soon as that report was published, stocks started erasing some of their earlier losses, while bond purchases, which had surged as investors sought safe-haven assets, faded. It’s a much easier decision to say I want to take my chips and go home here.”
Persons: Stocks, Spencer Platt, Apple, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, , Michael Farr, Farr Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Nikkei, New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Federal, Institute for Supply Management, Bank of Japan, U.S . Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Intel, Microsoft, Buffett, Miller & Washington Locations: New York City, U.S, Berkshire
The trip highlights the generational gap between Harris and President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, Democratic allies said. Noah Lyles wins gold in epic photo finishDimitar Dilkoff / AFP - Getty ImagesLyles earned his first gold medal in 9.79 seconds, which was a personal best. Lyles was still unconvinced he had won the gold medal after finishing and the scoreboard offered no indication of who had won gold, silver or bronze as officials processed a photo finish. Track and field holds four medal events and surfing will finally have its medal day. ▶️ Watch top highlightsDebby makes landfall in Florida as a Category 1 hurricaneHurricane Debby has made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend as a Category 1 hurricane.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Hurricane, Noah Lyles, Harris, John Bazemore, Harris ’, Andy Beshear, Pete Buttigieg, Sen, Mark Kelly of, JB Pritzker, Josh Shapiro, Tim Walz, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, Trump, , Nikki Haley, Dimitar Dilkoff, Lyles, Jamaica’s Kishane Thompson, Fred Kerley, Thompson, ” Lyles, Kerley, Peacock, Read, ste, Caro, Ron, Flor, rais e d fear, ron e, Rob e, Ari z, ena, go to a, ake is b, , lea, ree Organizations: Kentucky, Mark Kelly of Arizona ,, Mark Kelly of Arizona , Illinois Gov, Minnesota Gov, Democratic, Trump, Republicans, Getty, Olympic, ust, NBC, POLI Locations: Florida, Mark Kelly of Arizona, Mark Kelly of Arizona , Illinois, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, AFP, bou, spee, sto
On Friday, a report on American jobs showed a considerable slowdown in hiring, prompting a sell-off in U.S. markets. The Fed is expected to start cutting rates, which are at a more-than-two-decade high, later this year. The currency’s rise spooked investors, some of whom feared a stronger yen would spell the end of a more-than-yearlong rally in Japanese stocks that had been driven by a weakened currency. A popular trade among some investors involved borrowing in yen, and then investing it in markets like the U.S. But as the strength of the dollar this year began to ebb, profits from that trade also started to reverse course.
Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan Locations: U.S, Japan
Here's Jim Cramer's market sell-off playbook
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Ece Yildirim | In Ecedyildirim | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
watch nowCNBC's Jim Cramer shared his playbook for the brutal global market sell-off on Monday. Identify what's actually wrongAlthough the global sell-off hit U.S. markets hard, "the epicenter of the damage" was Japan, Cramer said. The sell-off started when Japan's stock market posted its worst drop since the stock market crash of 1987 known as Black Monday. The sell-off is sparked by money managers who think the Federal Reserve should have cut rates last week. Investors can also take advantage of the decline in interest rates and buy stocks that yield more than 4%, Cramer said.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Cramer, Blackwell, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, you'd, Banks, Morgan Stanley, haven't, Harris, Biden Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Berkshire, Apple Locations: U.S, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Real shocker' is that we can't find a recession yet, Smead Capital Management CEO saysCole Smead, CEO of Smead Capital Management, discusses the latest U.S. markets data and addresses recession fears.
Persons: Cole Smead Organizations: Smead Capital Management
As U.S. markets opened for trading on Monday, tech's mega-cap companies lost about $1 trillion in market cap, deepening a downturn that sent the Nasdaq into correction territory last week. Nvidia shed more than $300 billion in market cap at the opening bell, though it quickly recovered about half of its loss. The company surpassed $3 trillion in market cap and briefly passed Microsoft and Apple to become the world's most valuable company. Its market cap now sits below $2.5 trillion. A widely-read Goldman Sachs note from June warned that the biggest-spending companies had little to show for their AI expenditures.
Persons: Bitcoin, It's, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar Pichai, Goldman Sachs Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Nikkei, Google, Elliott Management Locations: U.S, Meta, cryptocurrency
Here are JPMorgan's top stock picks for August
  + stars: | 2024-08-03 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Some stocks have been added and others on this month's list. EQT Corp. has been added, while Arista Networks and Coherent Corp. – two names on last month's list – have been removed. Here are some of JPMorgan's top picks for August: EQT was named as part of the bank's value strategy. Of consumer stocks, McDonald's is also viewed as a value play, with shares of the fast-food chain down 7% this year. For growth stocks, Amazon made the cut.
Persons: EQT, McDonald's, Joe Erlinger, Brian Olsavsky, Donald Trump, Olsavsky, Eli Lilly –, Organizations: JPMorgan, Dow Jones, EQT Corp, Arista Networks, Amazon, Paris, Microsoft Locations: EQT, McDonald's U.S
The S & P 500 ended the week down by 2%. As of Friday, the Nasdaq Composite was more than 10% below its recent high, while the S & P 500 was down by 5.7%. Markets were last pricing in a 71% chance of a half percentage point rate cut in September, up from 22% on Thursday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool . Brands , Fidelity National Information Services , Uber Technologies , Marathon Petroleum , Caterpillar Wednesday Aug. 7 3 p.m. Consumer Credit (June) Earnings: Costco Wholesale , Warner Bros. Discovery , Occidental Petroleum , Ralph Lauren , CVS Health , Hilton Worldwide Holdings , Walt Disney Company Thursday Aug. 8 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Stocks, payrolls, Bill Hornbarger, Benjamin F, Edwards, Russell, Claudia Sahm, selloff, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Kantrowitz, Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs, Hatzius, CNBC's, Eli Lilly, Ralph Lauren, Martin Marietta Organizations: Nasdaq, Treasury, Investors, Federal Reserve, Walt Disney Company, Caterpillar, Costco, Micro Computer, PMI, PMI Services, Services PMI, Simon Property Group, Diamondback Energy, Tyson Foods, Devon Energy, Airbnb, Wynn Resorts, TransDigm, Brands, Fidelity National Information Services, Uber Technologies, Marathon Petroleum, Consumer Credit, Costco Wholesale, Warner Bros, Discovery, Occidental Petroleum, CVS Health, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Gilead Sciences, Akamai Technologies, News Corp, Paramount Global, Expedia, Martin, Martin Marietta Materials Locations: Fortinet, Devon
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ended a press conference in which he gave markets exactly what they anticipated he would say. The Fed left rates unchanged, noted that job growth was weaker but still strong and hinted it was slowly winning the war on inflation. Powell, in his press conference, said "the labor market has come into better balance, and the unemployment rate remains low. If there was any doubt he was feeling better about inflation, Powell later said, "we have growing confidence that we are on a sustainable path to two percent," the Fed's long-term target for inflation. The consensus as we entered July was that inflation was still a very real danger and that the Fed may keep rates higher.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, What's, Jackson Organizations: Fed, Jackson, Investors
See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesThe average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.78% last week, according to Freddie Mac. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesLast week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 6.07%, a two-basis-point increase from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased over three percentage points in 2022. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, National Association of Realtors, Zillow Locations: Chevron
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Russell, there's, Jerome Powell, Powell, Eaton, Becton Dickinson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Club, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Microsoft, Arm Holdings, Qualcomm, Lam Research, Western, eBay, MGM Resorts, ConocoPhillips, Dominion Energy, Air Products, Chemicals, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Hershey, Biogen
It's commonly believed that assets related to real estate, such as REITs, benefit from lower interest rates. A lower interest rate environment also increases the attractiveness of this investment in terms of the higher rental income yield offered by real estate. The rate of office use is set to increase over time , which will in turn lead to a recovery in office real estate demand, he said. "A focus on technology and life sciences market clusters should benefit Kilroy in the long run as we expect buoyant growth in these areas. "The remote work dynamic is probably the biggest source of uncertainty for the office real estate industry.
Persons: Morningstar, Suryansh Sharma, Morningstar's, Dave Sekera, Kilroy, Sharma, Sekera Organizations: U.S . Federal, Kilroy Realty, Morningstar, Apple Locations: REITs, U.S
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