Bank of America found that the S & P 500 typically is lower two months after the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) spikes above 45.
In the eight weeks after such a volatility surge, the S & P 500 is higher only 40% of the time and loses 0.72% on a median basis, BofA data shows.
Typically, the broad market index gains 66% of the time and advances 1.95% on a median basis.
Roughly three months after a Vix spike, the broad market index is higher 80% of the time, gaining 5.17% on a median basis, per BofA.
One year later, the S & P 500 is up 80% of the time, rallying 18.18% on a median basis.
Persons:
Stephen Suttmeier, it's
Organizations:
Bank of America Securities . Bank of America, BofA Securities