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Yet a sharp drawdown in the excess savings created by COVID-19 could be a curve ball that slams into bullish sentiment. U.S. excess savings have fallen to around $500 billion from around $2.1 trillion in August 2021, the San Francisco Federal Reserve estimates. In Europe, Deutsche Bank reckons excess savings in Sweden, struggling to contain a property slump, have dwindled. Reuters GraphicsRUNNING OUTDefinitions for excess savings differ, but economists generally agree that this means savings that went beyond trend levels during the pandemic. Cardano chief economist Shweta Singh said U.S. pandemic excess savings are likely to be depleted by year-end.

Persons: Rachel Adams, Janus Henderson, Oliver Blackbourn, Shweta Singh, Guy Miller, Jamie Dimon, Ben, Eren Osman, Arbuthnot Latham, Janus Henderson's Blackbourn, U.S . Russell, Russell, Goldman Sachs, Blackbourn, Zurich's Miller, Simon Bell, Guilluame Paillat, Paillat, Naomi Rovnick, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Oxford, REUTERS, San Francisco Federal, Deutsche Bank, Reuters, Insurance Group, Ryanair, JPMorgan, Unilever, U.S ., London's, Bank of, Aviva, Thomson Locations: Britain, London, China, Europe, U.S, Sweden, United States, downturns, Australia

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: SoFi, ON Semiconductor, Disney, Sweetgreen and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

SoFi Technologies – Shares of the fintech company popped more than 18% after it reported second-quarter results and lifted its full-year guidance. ON Semiconductor — The chipmaker's shares jumped 3.2% after it posted an earnings and revenue beat for the second quarter. New Relic — Shares jumped 13.4% after a private equity consortium announced it would take the software company private. Sweetgreen — The salad chain's shares jumped 11% Monday after an upgrade from Piper Sandler. Adobe — The software stock jumped 3.9% after Morgan Stanley upgraded the shares to overweight from equal weight.

Persons: FactSet, Disney, Kevin Mayer, Tom Staggs, Bob Iger, Spero, Sweetgreen, Piper Sandler, XPeng, Cowen, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Goldman Sachs, Wayfair, Salesforce's, — CNBC's Hakyung Kim, Yun Li, Sarah Min, Tanaya Macheel, Samantha Subin Organizations: SoFi Technologies, Disney, Financial Times, Food and Drug Administration, UBS, Hasbro, of, Bank of America, CVS, Adobe, Chevron, New York Community Bancorp, Deutsche Bank, CSX, RBC Locations: Bob Iger .

☆ Stocks are struggling even after earnings beats this season, Deutsche Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

However, individual stocks are struggling to perform following a quarterly beat, an "unusual" move, according to Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha. "The market rally so far is running ahead of that in a typical earnings season at this stage," Chadha wrote Friday. Meanwhile, the S & P 500 is higher by roughly 1.6% at the midway point of earnings season, which is above the 1.1% advance typically made through this time, the strategist said. Stocks are usually higher by 2% on average by the end of the full earnings season. He said, "On the day after releasing results, stocks beating consensus expectations underperformed by a greater amount than almost any time during the past 18 years."

Persons: Chadha, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Michael Bloom Organizations: Deutsche, Companies

☆ Here are Monday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, Amazon, Chevron, Walmart, Adobe & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Here are Monday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Goldman Sachs upgrades Chevron to buy from neutral Goldman said it sees a cash flow inflection for the oil and gas giant. Morgan Stanley names Keurig Dr Pepper a top pick Morgan Stanley said the beverage giant is its new top pick. Morgan Stanley reiterates Walmart as overweight Morgan Stanley said Walmart+ continues grow and gain new members. Morgan Stanley downgrades Salesforce to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley said positive catalysts are in the "rear-view mirror" for the stock. Morgan Stanley upgrades Adobe to overweight from equal weight Morgan Stanley said in its upgrade of Adobe that it sees generative AI driving creativity.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Bernstein, Morgan Stanley, Dr Pepper, Jefferies, Carvana, there's, Cowen, Piper Sandler, Apple, Piper, JPMorgan downgrades, it's, Ford, Oppenheimer, Evercore, Morgan Stanley downgrades Salesforce, Tesla Organizations: Chevron, Nvidia, Apple, Walmart, JPMorgan, JPMorgan downgrades Penske, " Bank of America, Hasbro, of America, Deutsche Bank, York Community, Deutsche, RBC, CSX, Electric, GE, Triple, SG, Wayfair, Suisse, UPS, Credit Suisse, Teamsters, Adobe, Barclays, EV, Detroit Locations: China, York

☆ A.I. is changing national security systems. Here's what's ahead for defense stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Vladimir Putin said in 2017 that whoever becomes the leader in artificial intelligence "will be the ruler of the world." The department examined AI technology in defense through two pathways: The first was "autonomy at rest," which describes decision-making support software. Critically, artificial intelligence in defense will help automate more dangerous tasks while also reducing the risk of human casualties. "As of now, there is not the development of artificial intelligence technology in regards to making life-or-death choices. Boeing announced earlier in 2023 that it would partner with defense technology company Shield AI to expand AI pilot offerings for its military clients.

Persons: Vladimir Putin, Bob Work, Jonathan Sakraida, Lockheed Martin, Sakraida, Northrop, Booz Allen Hamilton Organizations: Pentagon, Deutsche Bank, Department of Defense, Center, New, New American Security, U.S, Defense, CFRA Research, U.S . Army, Lockheed, Dynamics, Department of, Carnegie Endowment, International, IBM, Palantir Technologies, Cisco, BAE Systems, Research Projects Agency, Northrop Grumman, Booz, Boeing, Air Force Locations: New American, There's, China, U.S, United Kingdom

☆ A key test for EV sales and the adoption curve is coming
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Tim Mullaney | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

The company says it will reach 400,000 cumulative units of EV production by early 2024 and that its EV business will reach profitability by 2025. "They have dozens of EV models over the next two to three years. watch nowAmong analysts who believe the stock is due for a bigger drop, expected EV sales disappointment is among the factors. But GM's EV plans come as Ford announced it is slowing down its plans to expand EV production to a 600,000 annual rate. "This will be the first year U.S. EV sales reach 1 million," Downey said.

Persons: Scott Mlyn, Brian Downey, Autotrader, Ford, Dan Ives, It's, they'll, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Mary Barra, Adam Jones, Colin Langan, Garrett Nelson, Chad Lyons, Lyons, Katie Minter, Rebecca Cook, Reuters Paul Jacobson, Jacobson, Ives, Downey, Tesla, Barra, they're, they've, Cox, Goodcarbadcar.net . Ford Organizations: Silverado, New York Auto Show, CNBC, General Motors, Cox Automotive, Kia, Porsche, Hyundai, Chevrolet Silverado, Wedbush Securities, Investors, GM, United Auto Workers union, Wall Street, Deutsche Bank, GMC Hummer EV, Chevy Silverado, GMC Sierra EV, Chevy Blazer, GMC, Blazers, Jaguar, Audi, North American, Reuters, EV, Cox, Ford's, Ford, Goodcarbadcar.net, Volkswagen, BMW – Locations: Detroit, Detroit , Michigan, U.S

☆ Buy stocks like Amazon, which are undervalued and underappreciated ahead of earnings, analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-29 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Investors combing for value ahead of another big week of earnings should look no further, according to analysts. CNBC Pro looked through top Wall Street research to find stocks that are underappreciated as earnings season continues. Meanwhile chatter around the stock remains mostly balanced and positive, according to UBS. "We model an ~8% 5-yr. EPS CAGR and rate the stock buy as we believe this growth potential remains underappreciated," Serna said. ... We model an ~8% 5-yr. EPS CAGR and rate the stock buy as we believe this growth potential remains underappreciated."

Persons: Mauricio Serna, Lee, Wrangler, Serna, Jason Kupferberg, it's, Kupferberg, Matt Niknam, DigitalBridge, Niknam, Baird, Jassy, DBRG, Morgan Stanley Organizations: CNBC Pro, Kontoor Brands, International, Kontoor Brands UBS, UBS, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, TAM

☆ Auction sizes set to increase at US Treasury refunding
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Karen Brettell | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Treasury earlier this month posted a $228 billion budget deficit for June, up 156% from a year earlier. "They have to grow coupon auction sizes - not just at the August refunding, not just at the November refunding, but also at the February refunding as well, because they are ultimately trying to balance this supply picture between bills vs coupons and this growing financing need," Swiber said. The Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee (TBAC) recommends that bills make up 15-20% of the total marketable debt. The Treasury will release its quarterly borrowing requirement Monday afternoon, and its refunding news comes Wednesday at 0830 ET/1230 GMT. The Treasury surveyed dealers about their opinion on how some details of the program should work ahead of the August refunding.

Persons: Steven Zeng, Meghan Swiber, Swiber, Ben Jeffery, Karen Brettell, Davide Barbuscia, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Hugh Lawson Organizations: U.S . Treasury Department, Treasury, COVID, Deutsche Bank, Bank of America, BMO Capital Markets, Thomson Locations: U.S

☆ Here are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Apple, Southwest, Roku, Skechers, First Solar, Crocs and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"We expect FSLR will continue to outperform as the company has locked-in double-digit annual earnings growth through decade end. TD Cowen reiterates Skechers as a top idea TD Cowen said it's standing by Skechers as a best idea after the company's earnings report Thursday. JPMorgan reiterates Roku as overweight JPMorgan raised its price target on the stock to $95 per share from $90 and says it's staying bullish on Roku after its earnings report Thursday. " Bank of America reiterates Deckers as buy Bank of America said it expects sales of Deckers ' HOKA brand to double by 2026. JPMorgan reiterates Eli Lilly as overweight JPMorgan said it's bullish on Eli Lilly heading into earnings Aug. 8 due to its diabetes and obesity treatment.

Persons: Wells, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Apple, it's, Jefferies, Wedbush, FSLR's, TD Cowen, Skechers, Bill, BILL, Roku, Stifel, JPMorgan, Eli Lilly, it's bullish, Ford Organizations: Energy, Apple, Deutsche Bank, Airlines, Volkswagen, VW, Citi, Mobile, " Bank of America, of America, Bill Holdings, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Community Bank, New York Community Bank, Ford Locations: Europe, Dallas, China, Xpeng, Roku, EBITDA, Blue

☆ Analysts bail on Southwest Airlines after its disappointing quarterly earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The analyst lowered his price target to $38 from $52, still implying 15% upside from Thursday's close. Raymond James also downgraded Southwest shares to outperform from strong buy, calling it a "Texas-size heartache." The firm reduced its price target to $40 from $47, implying a 21.1% rally. Bank of America decreased its price target on shares to $35 from $45, which implies just 6% upside from where shares ended Thursday. Southwest shares shed 0.6% Friday before the bell, following an almost 9% tumble during the previous trading session.

Persons: Michael Linenberg, Linenberg, Raymond James, Savanthi Syth, Syth, Andrew Didora, Didora, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Southwest Airlines, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Southwest, Bank of America Locations: Alaska, American, United, Southwest, Texas

☆ Analysts see hope in Intel's earnings but remain wary of structural issues
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Rohan Goswami | In Rohangoswamicnbc | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"Good results," Citi analyst Christopher Danely said in a Friday note, "but structural issues remain." Citi reiterated a neutral rating and a $34 price target. Deutsche Bank, which described Intel's numbers as "more than marginal," maintained its Hold rating but increased its price target from $32 to $38, citing "abated" inventory challenges. Analysts increased Intel's price target from $30 to $35 and lauded the company's "better-than-expected results. He also said cloud companies were focusing more on securing graphics processors for AI instead of Intel's central processors.

Persons: Christopher Danely, Danely, Ross Seymore, Pat Gelsinger, Leswing, Michael Bloom Organizations: Intel, Wall Street, Citi, Nvidia, AMD, Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan

The lender upgraded its guidance for income growth in 2023 to a 12%-14% range from 10% previously. StanChart's robust results showed how global market conditions are playing to the emerging markets-focused lender's strengths. London-headquartered StanChart's transaction banking income shot up by 92% to $2.86 billion, with cash management income up 166%, benefiting from a favorable interest rate environment. That contrasted with the prolonged slump in income at more deal-focused U.S. and European rivals. Reporting by Selena Li and Lawrence White; Editing by Muralikumar AnantharamanOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Bill Winters, StanChart, Goldman Sachs, Selena Li, Lawrence White, Muralikumar Organizations: Standard Chartered PLC, Jefferies, Hong, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, Thomson Locations: HONG KONG, Asia, Hong Kong, London

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Intel, Roku, Procter & Gamble and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The company reported adjusted earnings of 13 cents a share on revenue of $12.95 billion. Procter & Gamble — The consumer giant saw shares rise more than 1% in premarket trading after the company reported quarterly earnings and revenue that beat analysts' expectations. The company said it expects earnings per share between 49 cents and 59 cents, with revenue between $1.34 billion and $1.44 billion. The U.K.-based company reported second-quarter earnings of $2.15 per share on $11.42 billion in revenue. The snack maker on Thursday reported earnings of 76 cents a share, excluding items, on $8.51 billion in revenue.

Persons: Roku, Refinitiv, Gamble, Wells Fargo, Roth, Sweetgreen, Ford, Jefferies, Yun Li, Jesse Pound Organizations: Intel, Reata Pharmaceuticals, Procter, Exxon Mobil —, Revenue, Chevron, U.S . Enphase Energy, Deutsche Bank, Ford, Juniper Networks, AstraZeneca — U.S, Refinitiv, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Volkswagen . New York Community Bancorp, JPMorgan, New York Community Bancorp Locations: U.S, Wells

☆ StanChart lifts annual profit outlook, sets new $1 billion share buyback
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The lender upgraded its guidance for income growth in 2023 to a 12%-14% range from 10% previously. StanChart, which earns most of its revenue in Asia, said statutory pretax profit for the first six months of the year surged 20% to $3.32 billion, beating the $3.18 billion average of 16 analyst estimates compiled by the bank. Standard Chartered upgraded its annual profit forecast on Friday and set a new $1 billion share buyback after a strong first-half performance, as rising rates and a record financial markets business propelled the lender's margins. An illuminated Standard Chartered Plc logo is displayed on the Standard Chartered Bank building. London-headquartered StanChart's transaction banking income shot up by 92% to $2.86 billion, with cash management income up 166%, benefiting from a favorable interest rate environment.

Persons: Bill Winters, StanChart, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Chartered, Standard Chartered Bank, Jefferies, Hong, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank Locations: Asia, Hong Kong, London

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Intel, Roku, Sweetgreen, Ford and more
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Intel — The chip stock jumped more than 6% after the company posted better-than-expected second-quarter earnings results. Roku — Shares popped more than 25% after the company reported a smaller-than-expected loss for the recent quarter. The streaming stock posted a loss of 76 cents a share, ahead of the $1.26 loss per share expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv. The company reported earnings of $1.94 a share, excluding items, lower than the $2.01 estimate by analysts, per Refinitiv. Boston Beer posted earnings of $4.72 per share, well above an estimate of $3.38 per share from FactSet.

Persons: Roku, Gamble, Enphase, Wells Fargo, Roth MKM, Boston Beer, Sweetgreen, Ford, Rowe Price, Refinitiv, Rob Sharps, —, Jesse Pound, Tanaya Macheel, Samantha Subin Organizations: Intel, Revenue, New York Community Bancorp, JPMorgan, Reata Pharmaceuticals, Procter, Dow, Exxon Mobil, Enphase Energy, Deutsche Bank, Boston Beer, Boston, Ford Locations: Refinitiv, Wells

☆ Foreign lenders in talks to finance part of Adani Group's Ambuja debt - Bloomberg News
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

BENGALURU, July 27 (Reuters) - Barclays (BARC.L), Deutsche Bank AG (DBKGn.DE) and Standard Chartered (STAN.L) are in talks to collectively lend between $600 million and $750 million to India's Adani Group, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter. The loan is a part of the discussions to refinance the debt that the group had taken to fund its purchase of Ambuja Cements (ABUJ.NS). Reporting by Ashish Chandra in Bengaluru; Editing by Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Ashish Chandra, Shinjini Organizations: Barclays, Deutsche Bank AG, Standard Chartered, Adani, Bloomberg, Thomson Locations: BENGALURU, Bengaluru

☆ VW-Xpeng EV models to use Xpeng platform in boost for Chinese startup
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

July 27 (Reuters) - Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) and Xpeng's (9868.HK) jointly developed electric vehicles (EV) will use Xpeng's G9 'Edward' platform, in a filip for the Chinese startup that analysts said could boost its sales and profitability. The Edward platform is an older generation of Xpeng's platform technology, forming the basis for the startup's G9 and P7 models. Its latest models, like the G6, are being built on a newer platform, the Smart Electric Platform Architecture (SEPA) 2.0. Still, news that Volkswagen and Xpeng will use the Edward platform could help boost the sales of models still using it, said an analyst who declined to be named. The partnership could also help lower Xpeng's EV production costs by leveraging Volkswagen's scale and bargaining power in supply.

Persons: Edward, filip, Oliver Blume, Xpeng, Blume, Victoria Waldersee, Zhang Yan, Matthias Williams, Mark Potter Organizations: HK, Volkswagen, Smart, EV, Deutsche Bank, Thomson Locations: China

☆ Wall Street economists say rate hikes are over, even if the Fed won't admit it
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

At least that's the opinion across much of Wall Street, where the money is rising on the likelihood that Wednesday's quarter-point rate hike was the last one before the Fed goes on pause, then ultimately starts cutting. "Powell said that the FOMC will be particularly focused on the inflation data, and we expect the next few [consumer price index] reports to be soft," Mericle wrote. The implied fed funds rate for the December contract is at 5.41%, just above the midpoint of the 5.25%-5% target range following Wednesday's hike. And to be sure, not everyone on the Street thinks the Fed is done this year. The latter mark references Giannoni's belief that the Fed is probably more likely to hike twice more than it is to stop.

Persons: they're, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Goldman, Jerome Powell, Powell, Mericle, Dow Jones, Matthew Luzzetti, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner, Zentner, That's, he's, Marc Giannoni Organizations: Federal, Traders, CME Group, Gross, Commerce Department, Deutsche Bank, Fed, Bank of America, Citigroup, Barclays Locations: Wall

☆ The Federal Reserve just hiked interest rates to their highest level in 22 years. Here's how Wall Street is reacting, where the pros think investors should be putting their money, and why inflation is
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The Federal Reserve hiked rates in July, and it could be the final rate hike of the cycle. But while the latest rate hike was all but certain, there are still plenty of questions about what lies ahead. In a note from Wednesday evening, Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius pointed out that Powell made it clear any further hikes will depend on inflation data. But Bank of America analysts led by US economist Michael Gapen remain unconvinced that the rate hike cycle is truly over. As for equities, Wall Street widely expected this week's rate hike, so there are no major changes to their second-half investing recommendations.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Henry Allen, shouldn't, Allen, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Powell, Hatzius, Gurpreet Gill, Gill, Peter Hooper, Michael Gapen, Gapen, Goldman's Gill, America's Gapen, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson Organizations: Federal, shouldn't, Deutsche Bank, Fed, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of America, Bank, America's Locations: Wall

NEW YORK, July 27 (Reuters) - Bill Hwang, the founder of Archegos Capital Management, on Thursday asked a judge to let him subpoena documents from 10 banks, in an effort to shift blame as he defends against criminal fraud charges that the firm's collapse was his fault. The office of U.S. Attorney Damian Williams, which is prosecuting Hwang, did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Other banks also lost money when Archegos collapsed, but less than Credit Suisse. That caused it to miss margin calls, and banks to dump stocks that had backed the swaps and which they had bought as hedges. The case is U.S. v. Hwang et al, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York, No.

Persons: Bill Hwang, Hwang, Damian Williams, Archegos, Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, Mitsubishi UFJ, Morgan Stanley, Nomura, Alvin Hellerstein, Hwang et, Jonathan Stempel, Daniel Wallis Organizations: YORK, Archegos Capital Management, UBS, Credit Suisse, Prosecutors, Bank of Montreal, Deutsche Bank, Mitsubishi, Court, Southern District of, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, Macquarie, Mizuho, U.S, Southern District, Southern District of New York, New York

LONDON, July 27 (Reuters) - Barclays (BARC.L) warned on Thursday of growing pressure on its UK business and missed forecasts for its investment bank as a global corporate dealmaking slump persists, sending its shares down despite announcing a bigger share buyback. The British bank reported first-half pretax profit of 4.6 billion pounds ($6 billion), in line with the average analyst forecast of 4.5 billion pounds, and higher than the 3.7 billion pounds in the same period a year ago. The bank set aside 896 million pounds in the six-month period for potentially soured loans, more than double the 341 million pound charge the previous year. European rivals are also struggling, with Deutsche Bank reporting on Wednesday investment bank revenues would fall this year instead of staying flat. Several investors told Reuters this month they wanted the bank to prioritise returning more capital to shareholders instead of investing it, after the lender completed a 500 million pound buyback in April.

Persons: Jefferies, Goldman Sachs, Jeremy Barnum, Lawrence White, Iain Withers, Sinead Cruise, Mark Potter Organizations: Barclays, Banking, JPMorgan, United, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, Thomson Locations: Britain, United States

☆ European Central Bank set to hike rates as it edges closer to a pivot point
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Annette Weisbach | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

FRANKFURT — The European Central Bank is set to hike rates once again on Thursday with market analysts certain that the Frankfurt intuition is nearing a peak despite inflation remaining stubbornly high. But as a July hike is widely expected, the real question at this week's meeting will be what will happen in September? "We expect the ECB to follow through on the signaled hike this week to 3.75%," said Mark Wall, a chief economist at Deutsche Bank, to CNBC. "The weaker than expected PMI data and bank lending survey highlight the Governing Council's wisdom in leaving the outcome of the September policy meeting open," he added. This sharp rise in rates can have severe effects on loan growth in the euro area and thus on economic activity.

Persons: Mark Wall Organizations: FRANKFURT, European Central Bank, ECB, Deutsche Bank, CNBC Locations: Frankfurt, Ukraine

☆ Europe’s banks are bracing for a wave of defaults
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

London CNN —Some of Europe’s biggest banks are setting aside more cash to absorb potential losses on loans, as rising interest rates increase pressure on borrowers. So far, there are “limited signs of stress” across the bank’s loan portfolios, Anna Cross, group finance director at Barclays, told reporters. Loan loss provisions at Deutsche Bank (DB) jumped 72% to €401 million ($446 million) in the second quarter, Germany’s biggest lender said Wednesday. Jonas Goltermann, deputy chief markets economist at Capital Economics, told CNN that he was most worried about the potential for losses on bank loans to the commercial real estate sector. “The near-term economic outlook for the euro area has deteriorated, owing largely to weaker domestic demand,” the bank’s President Christine Lagarde told reporters.

Persons: Anna Cross, Jonas Goltermann, ”, Goltermann, Christine Lagarde, — Hanna Ziady Organizations: London CNN —, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, DB, Spain’s, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Capital Economics, CNN, ” Locations: Spain’s Santander, Europe, United Kingdom

☆ Deutsche Bank Still Has Too Many Plot Twists
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Jon Sindreu | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/deutsche-bank-still-has-too-many-plot-twists-1c7c0c8e

Persons: Dow Jones

The figures underscore broader trends in global banking, with investment banks struggling as deals are paused, while higher interest rates are a boon to other divisions. Analysts expect the retail unit will also overtake the investment bank as the main revenue driver for the full year, overturning the investment bank's pole position over the previous three years. Investment banking revenue dropped 11% during the quarter, better than an expected 16% drop. Deutsche Bank set out in 2019 to reduce dependence on its volatile investment bank and rely instead on more stable businesses that serve companies and retail customers as a way to restore profitability. Chief Financial Officer James von Moltke said the shift to the retail bank as the largest breadwinner was "significant" because the perception of the lender had been dominated over years by the investment bank, and Deutsche was becoming more balanced.

Persons: James von Moltke, Deutsche, Jeffrey Epstein, Tom Sims, Matthias Inverardi, Friederike Heine, Jamie Freed Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Reuters Graphics, Reuters, Deutsche, Reuters Graphics Deutsche, U.S . Federal Reserve, U.S, Thomson Locations: FRANKFURT

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