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☆ It Was a Hot Real Estate Trade. Now Investors Are Worried.
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Maureen Farrell | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Given the opportunity to park money with the world’s largest private equity firms, ordinary investors rushed in. The private equity firms began to seek out smaller investors almost a decade ago. It was a major shift for firms like Blackstone, Starwood Capital Group and KKR that had previously been funded by enormous pensions, endowments and sovereign wealth funds. But it was also a way for the big fund managers to grow their assets and rake in ever larger fees. The private equity firms had an allure, created by stellar track records, including during the 2008 financial crisis, and the fact that they had been off limits to ordinary (although wealthy) investors.

Persons: Wall Organizations: Blackstone, Starwood Capital Group, KKR

☆ A 'tail hedge' trade that profits if this week's CPI is very hot and another one for a benign reading
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

On Monday, stocks struggled ahead of this week's inflation data, which will likely set the tone for short term market action. The S & P 500 was little changed, the Nasdaq Composite made a small advance while the Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back about a third of a percent. The first trade is a so-called tail hedge against a hotter-than-expected CPI print, i.e. buying S & P 500 put options. The value of the put contracts will increase if the S & P 500 falls on a surprising resurgence of inflation.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: JPMorgan, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Investors, Federal Reserve

☆ Traders are betting on an outsized move in Deere on earnings this week — how to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Deere (DE) , headquartered in Moline, Illinois, manufactures agricultural machinery, heavy equipment, forestry machinery, diesel engines, and related components. One of the oldest companies in the United States, Deere traces its history back to John Deere's "self-scouring plow" in 1837. However, even assuming 50 bushels per acre and a $5/bushel average price increase, the revenue per acre would have risen by ~$250/acre. However, while Deere & Company stock has underperformed the S & P this year, its enterprise value is nearly $100 Billion, almost double the company's valuation in January 2020, just before the pandemic. Unsurprisingly, DE options are pricing in a larger-than-average 6% move when the company reports earnings on Thursday.

Persons: John Deere's, John Deere, outperforming, Massey Ferguson Organizations: Deere, Caterpillar, Deere & Company, Nasdaq, Farmers, CNH Industry, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, ~$, ~ $ $ Locations: Moline , Illinois, United States, Mexico, Holland

☆ Trade Tracker: Sarat Sethi sells Air Lease
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrade Tracker: Sarat Sethi sells Air LeaseSarat Sethi, Managing Partner at DCLA, joins CNBC's "Halftime Report" to explain his recent sale of Air Lease.

Persons: Sarat Sethi Organizations: Sarat, Air Lease

☆ Blink Fitness files for bankruptcy and may close some gyms
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Nathaniel Meyersohn | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +1 min

Blink Fitness, the low-price gym chain with monthly memberships ranging from $15 to $45, filed for bankruptcy Monday and said it may close an unspecified number of its 101 clubs. Several major chains, including 24 Hour Fitness and Gold’s Gym, filed for bankruptcy. Blink’s bankruptcy shows the lingering impact of the pandemic on the fitness industry. “It’s a sign that this is an industry still going through growing pains post-Covid,” Rick Caro, the president of fitness industry consulting firm Management Vision, told CNN. The fitness industry faces other challenges, such as consumers cutting back on discretionary spending and the rise of GLP-1 drugs used for weight loss.

Persons: Blink, ” Rick Caro Organizations: New, New York CNN, Health & Fitness Association, Management Vision, CNN Locations: New York, New York , New Jersey , California, Texas

☆ Expedia CEO on Q2 results: Seeing softness and slight trade down in U.S. hotel space
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Seema Mody | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpedia CEO on Q2 results: Seeing softness and slight trade down in U.S. hotel spaceAriane Gorin, Expedia CEO, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the company's quarterly earnings results, where consumers are trading down, and where the weakness in the consumer is coming from.

Persons: Gorin Locations: U.S

☆ The yen carry trade will still be 'highly profitable' in 2 years' time, David Roche says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe yen carry trade will still be 'highly profitable' in 2 years' time, David Roche saysDavid Roche, strategist at Quantum Strategy, discusses the yen carry trade and global markets.

Persons: David Roche Organizations: Quantum

☆ Deutsche Bank says Eli Lilly stock is a buy — in line with our rating on shares
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Deutsche Bank upgraded Eli Lilly to a buy from hold rating on Monday after a blowout quarterly earnings report last week. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, We've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Federal, The Club, Management, Amazon Web Services, Deutsche Bank, Novo Nordisk

☆ U.S. Officials to Visit China for Economic Talks as Trade Tensions Rise
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Alan Rappeport | More About Alan Rappeport | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

A group of senior Biden administration officials is traveling to Shanghai this week for a round of high-level meetings intended to keep the economic relationship between the United States and China on stable footing amid mounting trade tensions between the two countries. Officials are expected to discuss ways to maintain economic and financial stability, capital markets and efforts to curb the flow of fentanyl into the United States. Although communication between the United States and China has improved over the past year, the economic relationship remains fraught because of disagreements over industrial policy and China’s dominance over green energy technology. The United States is also restricting American investments in Chinese sectors that policymakers believe could threaten national security. They are expected to meet with the People’s Bank of China’s deputy governor, Xuan Changneng, and other senior Chinese officials.

Persons: Biden, Brent Neiman, Xuan Changneng Organizations: Biden, U.S ., Treasury, Federal Reserve, Securities and Exchange Commission, People’s Bank Locations: Shanghai, United States, China

Mortgage rates are down today compared to where they've been in recent weeks, with 30-year mortgage rates hovering in the low 6% range, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesLast week, average 15-year mortgage rates were 5.63%, a 36-basis-point decrease from the previous week, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates have been elevated for most of 2024, but they've been trending down in recent months. Once the Fed cuts rates, mortgage rates should fall even further.

Persons: they've, you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: July's, CPI, Federal Reserve, Zillow Locations: Chevron

☆ Yen slips, markets brace for U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Last week ended calmer, with Thursday's stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data leading markets to pare bets for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. "It's more a case of market squaring up a little bit ahead of the U.S. inflation data," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore. The dollar was trading at 146.87 yen , up 0.2% from late U.S. levels on Friday. The Aussie was barely up at $0.6577 on Monday, while the New Zealand dollar stayed below last week's three-week high of $0.6035. Implied volatility on the yen, measured in yen options, has also subsided.

Persons: Bank of Japan's hawkishness, Jackson, Christopher Wong, J.P, Morgan Organizations: Bank of Japan's, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, OCBC Bank, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Bank, Japan, U.S . Commodity Futures Trading Commission Locations: U.S, Singapore, Reserve Bank of New Zealand

☆ Falling commodity prices are indicating there is trouble brewing with the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Spencer Kimball | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Commodity prices have tumbled over the past month, signaling underlying weakness in the global economy despite the U.S. stock market bouncing back from recession fears. But commodity markets may be telling a different story about the global economy. The Invesco DB Base Metals Fund is down more than 7% over the past month, while crude oil futures dropped 14% from July 5 through Aug. 5. @HG.1 YTD mountain Copper futures, YTD Weakness in China, the world's second-largest economy, is weighing on copper and oil in particular, Melek said. OPEC on Monday lowered its global oil demand growth forecast this year by 135,000 barrels per day as expectations in China have softened.

Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bart Melek, DBB @HG, We've, Melek, I'm Organizations: U.S, Investors, Invesco DB Base Metals, Wolfe Research, TD Securities, DBB, Metals, Copper, CNBC, Global, Beijing, European Union, World Trade Organization, Federal Reserve, Securities Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ White House launches broad new regulatory effort, as Harris prepares to unveil economic plan
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Josephine Rozzelle | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. President Joe Biden attends a press conference during NATO's 75th anniversary summit, in Washington, U.S., July 11, 2024. "I think we can all relate to this," White House domestic policy advisor Neera Tanden told reporters Friday. Democratic presidential nominee and Vice President Kamala Harris is preparing to unveil her presidential campaign's first economic policy plans this week. "The CFPB will identify when the use of automated chatbots or automated artificial intelligence voice recordings is unlawful, including in situations in which customers believe they are speaking with a human being," according to a White House fact sheet. The initiative also calls on health insurance companies to allow policyholders to submit claims online.

Persons: Joe Biden, Leah Millis, Neera Tanden, Biden, Kamala Harris, Broad, Harris, Craig Hudson, Tanden, policyholders, Xavier Becerra, Julie Su Organizations: NATO's, Biden, House, Democratic, U.S, Las Vegas Aces, White, Reuters, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, Federal Communications Commission, Federal Trade, FTC, of Health, Human Services, of Labor Locations: Washington , U.S

☆ Trade Tracker: Jim Lebenthal trims Paramount and buys more Disney
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrade Tracker: Jim Lebenthal trims Paramount and buys more DisneyJim Lebenthal, Chief Equity Strategist at Cerity Partners, joins CNBC's "Halftime Report" to discuss his latest portfolio moves.

Persons: Lebenthal, Disney Jim Lebenthal Organizations: Paramount, Disney, Cerity Partners

☆ Why $48 billion Viking Global is focused on its talent pipeline
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewViking Global — the $48 billion Tiger Cub launched in 1999 — has had to replace talented people many times throughout its 25 years of existence. AdvertisementA person close to the manager told Business Insider that the manager decided to be "proactive instead of reactive" in hiring analysts for its investing teams. Viking traditionally had hired analysts after they'd spent two years in banking and another two in private equity. The person close to the firm said that underneath Walsh, portfolio manager Previn Mankodi has been promoted to deputy CIO, and Scott Zinober and Hani Sabbagh have each been bumped up to senior portfolio manager.

Persons: —, Brian Olson, David Ott, Andreas Halvorsen, Dan Sundheim, Ben Jacobs, Ning Jin, he's, they'd, Matt Sharp, Justin Walsh, Walsh, Previn Mankodi, Scott Zinober, Hani Sabbagh Organizations: Service, Tiger Cub, Business, Viking, Suvretta Locations: Suvretta Capital, Viking, China, India, France, Korea

☆ Morgan Stanley just added these 3 safe stocks to their 'buy' list with the market expected to stay choppy
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Morgan Stanley has added three new high-quality defensive stocks to its "Fresh Money Buy List." AdvertisementMorgan Stanley expanded its list of recommended equities with three high-quality stocks, as the bank veer further into defensive positioning. These names could help shield against ongoing macro uncertainty, which Morgan Stanley does not expect will resolve anytime soon. Morgan Stanley holds an Overweight rating on the company, with a price target of $211 per share. (3) Northrop GrummanNOC, the defense and aerospace company, joined Morgan Stanley's list as a premium equity for exposure to industrials.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, —, Consumer Staples, Wilson, Public Service Enterprise Group Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Service, Federal, Healthcare, Consumer, Public Service Enterprise Group, Northrop Grumman NOC, Verizon, Walmart Locations: Real

☆ ICE Training Barely Covers De-Escalation, Promotes Agents Use of Force
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Lila Hassan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +15 min

But the Llanez family never learned whether Gonzalez had followed ICE training protocols, because the way ICE agents are trained has been largely hidden from the public. For years, civil-rights groups have sought to obtain, with limited success, complete ICE training documents to understand how that training affects use of force by agents in the field. And they also appear to place an emphasis on teaching ICE agents how to justify the use of force. Among the most important lessons ICE agents receive is when and how to use deadly force. One of the questions asks which steps an officer must take before initiating deadly force; the answer is "None, deadly force can be initiated immediately."

Persons: Ronaldo Gonzalez, Gonzalez, Fernando Llanez, Llanez, Jorge Hernandez, weren't, Hernandez, Miguel Alvarez, Ivón Padilla, " Alvarez, FLETC, Gonzalez didn't, Alvarez, isn't, John Bostain, Jim Trainum, Phillip Causey, Gabino Ramos Hernandez, Ramos, Causey, we're, Timothy Cerniglia, Cerniglia, You'll, we'll, Trainum, Christian Rodriguez Organizations: Type Investigations, Immigration, Business, ICE, Court, Southern, Southern District of, Investigations, of Homeland Security, University of Illinois Chicago, Federal, Training Centers, Department of Homeland Security, Federal Law, Department of Justice, Citizens, DHS, Metropolitan Police Department, Mississippi Bureau of Investigation Locations: Chula Vista , California, Chula Vista, Southern District, Southern District of California, Charleston , South Carolina, Glynco, Georgia, Washington ,, Laurel , Mississippi, Southern District of Mississippi, Mississippi

☆ Flying Is Awful, but New Ways to Fix Air Travel Are on the Way
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +13 min

The message to the airline industry: You've had a few too many screwups to be left to your own devices. Over the past couple of years, the Biden administration has introduced a slew of rules and services intended to make airline passengers' lives easier. The airline industry seems to be relatively on board with the refund idea. But there are plenty of other problems with the airline industry that need solving — some the government can take care of, and some the government is causing. Gallup polls suggest more Americans have a negative view of the airline industry than a positive one.

Persons: You've, Bob Mann, William McGee, Joe Biden's, Pete Buttigieg, Biden, pocketbooks, They've, Janet Bednarek, Buttigieg, —, it's, It's, Bednarek, McGee, Mann, George Ferguson, wasn't, Emily Stewart Organizations: Boeing, Delta, Department of Transportation, Airlines, American Economic Liberties, Southwest, University of Dayton, Federal Aviation Administration, Airlines for America, Biden, Bloomberg Intelligence, FAA, Gallup, Business

☆ The Paris Olympics wanted a fast track and it got one – this is how it was made
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Liam Tharme | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +13 min

There were two requirements for the Stade de France track for the 2024 Paris Olympics: make it purple and make it fast. But Paris was fast: seven Olympic records and three track and field world records were set at the Games. Thirteen men ran under Kenenisa Bekele’s 10,000m Olympic record (Michael Steele/Getty Images)Four men broke Jakob Ingebrigtsen’s 1500m Olympic record from Tokyo, including Ingebrigtsen, only for him to not medal. Washing the Olympic track in Tokyo in 2021 (Antonin Thullier/AFP via Getty Images)One myth Stroppiana is keen to bust is track hardness. And since then we haven’t been able to change that point of view.”How hard is the Paris track?

Persons: Joshua Cheptegei 10000m, Cole, Arshad Nadeem Javelin, Sydney McLaughlin, Marileidy Paulino, Uganda’s Joshua Cheptegei, Michael Steele, Jakob Ingebrigtsen’s, Noah Lyles ’, Richard Heathcote, Maurizio Stroppiana, Mondo, ”, Stroppiana, Antonin Thullier, “, haven’t, Patrick Smith, ’, Denis, Pakistan’s Arshad Nadeem, Nathan Laine Organizations: Stade de France, Joshua Cheptegei 10000m Uganda, Bahrain, Dominican, Kenya, Kipyegon, Getty, Mexico City, Paris, Getty Images, University of Milan, Olympic, Stade, Adidas, Nike, Asics, Puma, Bloomberg Locations: Rio de Janeiro, Paris, London, Rio, Tokyo, Sweden, Seville, Italian, Moscow, Mexico, Barcelona, Mexico City, AFP, Atlanta, Los Angeles, USA, Brisbane, Australia, Before Tokyo

☆ Trade Tracker: Sarat Sethi buys Workday
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTrade Tracker: Sarat Sethi buys WorkdaySarat Sethi, Managing Partner at DCLA, joins CNBC's "Halftime Report" to explain why he initiated a position in Workday

Persons: Sarat Sethi

☆ Nvidia is a momentum stock if market doesn't perform well, says Steve Grasso
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia is a momentum stock if market doesn't perform well, says Steve GrassoSteve Grasso, Grasso Global CEO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss how to trade Nvidia, markets, AI, and more.

Persons: Steve Grasso Steve Grasso, Grasso Organizations: Nvidia, Grasso Global

☆ We're adding to a tech stock we've been watching since a post-earnings stock decline
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Following Monday's trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 750 shares of Amazon, increasing its weighting to roughly 3.9% from 3.54%. We've been eyeing this buy since Aug. 2 after the stock fell roughly 10% in reaction to a second - quarter earnings report . Let's not forget the 1,128 basis point margin growth at Amazon Web Services. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Jim Cramer's, We've, Donald Trump, Jim Cramer, Morgan Stanley, Jim Organizations: Amazon, Services, Amazon Web Services, CNBC Locations: North America

☆ Unwinding of the carry trade could show more volatility in equities, says NewEdge's Cameron Dawson
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUnwinding of the carry trade could show more volatility in equities, says NewEdge's Cameron DawsonCameron Dawson, NewEdge Wealth CIO, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss markets, the market sell-off and the pivotal week ahead for investors.

Persons: NewEdge's Cameron Dawson Cameron Dawson Organizations: NewEdge

☆ Recession Fears Are Fueling Stock Market Crash, Wall Street Chaos
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Linette Lopez | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

While there was some demand for protection against the prospect of volatility reemerging, overall sentiment across Wall Street had gotten more bullish. Until Wall Street can be sure that the consumer will hold on (or not), conviction is easily shaken. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. After years of weird times and outsize gains, Wall Street is dancing on a knife's edge. What happened on Monday was a sudden realization that the new structure may assert itself before Wall Street imagined it would.

Persons: —, Jerome Powell, we've, they'd, corporates, Dow, Mandy Xu, Cboe's, Wall, Torsten Slok, Slok, Shake, Kevin Gordon, Charles Schwab, they've Organizations: Dow Jones, Bank of Japan, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Wall, Apollo Global Management, Corporations, Companies Locations: Asia, Japan, Mexico

☆ There's a hidden risk lurking for AI stocks in 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-11 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Depreciation costs could lead to AI stock price declines and valuation scrutiny, according to Baird's Ted Mortonson. AdvertisementThe lurking problem is that the useful lifetime of AI GPU chips can be a lot shorter than many expect, especially as AI chips go through an ever-accelerating innovation cycle, leading to higher-than-expected depreciation expenses that ultimately drag down profits. For example, the bank expects Alphabet to record $28 billion in depreciation costs in 2026, which is 24% more than current consensus estimates of $22.6 billion. AdvertisementBut even that has its limits because of how quickly Nvidia is releasing new GPU chips. And for Mortonson, it all comes back to the return on invested AI capital.

Persons: Ted Mortonson, —, doesn't, outlays, Ross Sandler, Baird, Morton, Sandler, Mortonson, there's Organizations: Barclays, Service, Companies, Nvidia, Business

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