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And with China's post-COVID recovery running into the ground and suffering a deepening real estate bust, western investment curbs throw more sand in the wheels. A question now is whether a retreat of western money from emerging markets at least partly explains both their recent underperformance and that of western government bonds, in which emerging central banks and sovereign funds are heavily invested. The picture has not been much better in aggregate emerging bond indices, even if they have done marginally better than developed world counterparts, and worries over emerging high-yield and property linked bonds are rising. Have global investors high-tailed it from emerging markets already? If western money grows more wary and is increasingly warned off China and other selective emerging investments, will there be a mutual pullback of official emerging money from western bond markets?

Persons: Aly, Joe Biden, Morgan, Biden, crumb, Mike Dolan, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, U.S ., Bank of, Institute for International Finance, Treasury, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Ukraine, Washington, Russia, United States, Beijing, Moscow, Taiwan, Brazil, India, South Africa, Hong Kong, Saudi Arabia, South Korea

☆ Japan's Suzuki: Not targeting absolute levels on FX intervention
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Tetsushi Kajimoto | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

"It's important for the currency market to move stably reflecting fundamentals. "We're watching market moves with a strong sense of urgency. We'll respond appropriately to excessive moves." Japan will assess whether moves are speculative, volatile or based on fundamentals, rather than focusing on absolute levels, Suzuki added. Japan's top forex diplomat Masato Kanda said later on Tuesday that he would take appropriate steps against excessive currency moves, according to the Jiji news agency.

Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Shuji, Suzuki, Japan's, Masato Kanda, Jiji, Tetsushi Kajimoto, Kantaro Komiya, Jacqueline Wong, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Toki, Japanese Finance, U.S, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Niigata, Japan, TOKYO, U.S . Federal, Bank of Japan

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was more than 5 basis points higher at 4.235%. U.S. Treasury yields rose on Tuesday as investors awaited economic data and reports that could provide fresh insights into the state of the economy and the outlook for interest rates. Investors looked ahead to economic data and reports slated for the week. Import and export price data is also due Tuesday and Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari is scheduled to make remarks. Following the Fed's July meeting, central bank chief Jerome Powell said a range of options were still on the table and interest rate decisions would depend on economic data.

Persons: Neel Kashkari, Jerome Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Minneapolis Federal

☆ China central bank unexpectedly cuts rates to support sputtering economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Paramilitary police officers stand guard in front of the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank (PBOC), in Beijing, China September 30, 2022. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File PhotoSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Aug 15 (Reuters) - China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for the second time in three months on Tuesday, in a fresh sign that the authorities are ramping up monetary easing efforts to boost a sputtering economic recovery. Analysts said the move opened the door to a potential cut in China's lending benchmark loan prime rate (LPR) next week. In a Reuters poll of 26 market watchers conducted this week, 20 participants, or 77%, predicted that the central bank would leave the MLF rate unchanged. The PBOC lowered key policy rates in June to prop up the broad economy, but data has been increasingly weak since.

Persons: Tingshu Wang, Tommy Wu, Ken Cheung, Winni Zhou, Rae Wee, Kim Coghill, Jamie Freed Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, Mizuho Bank, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States

Aug 16 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. The word 'crisis' should always be used responsibly and judiciously when covering financial markets, business and economics, but are we at that point now with China? The People's Bank of China may have finally pulled the interest rate lever, but it had the expected impact of slamming the exchange rate. Compare and contrast China with Japan, as per Tuesday's bumper Q2 GDP data, and the U.S., where figures on Tuesday showed a surge in retail sales. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:- New Zealand interest rate decision- China house prices (July)- Japan tankan surveys (August)By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Zhang Dandan, JP Morgan, Josie Kao Organizations: Peking University, People's Bank of, Atlanta, Thomson, Reuters Locations: China, New Zealand, Japan, Asia, People's Bank of China, U.S, Hong, Zealand

☆ China central bank cuts rates for second time in three months to support economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

A citizen walks past the Hangzhou Central branch of the People's Bank of China in Hangzhou, east China's Zhejiang province, June 13, 2023. China's central bank unexpectedly cut key policy rates for the second time in three months on Tuesday, in a fresh sign that the authorities are ramping up monetary easing efforts to boost a sputtering economic recovery. Analysts said the move opened the door to a potential cut in China's lending benchmark loan prime rate (LPR) next week. In a Reuters poll of 26 market watchers conducted this week, 20 participants, or 77%, predicted that the central bank would leave the MLF rate unchanged. The PBOC lowered key policy rates in June to prop up the broad economy, but data has been increasingly weak since.

Persons: Tommy Wu, Ken Cheung Organizations: People's Bank of China, Mizuho Bank Locations: Hangzhou Central, Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China's, China, United States

Japanese Yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. The dollar hit a one-month high against a basket of major currencies, before steadying, as investors sought a safe haven on concerns about China's economy. Japan's currency weakened to as low as 145.22 per dollar in early Asian hours, its lowest since Nov. 10, before quickly reversing course in a volatile start to the week. Japan intervened in currency markets last September when the dollar rose past 145 yen, prompting the Ministry of Finance (MOF) to buy the yen and push the pair back to around 140 yen. With the yen loitering around the 145 level again, traders expect Japanese officials to start warning of intervention soon as they did in June.

Persons: Yen, Dado Ruvic, Charu Chanana, Chris Turner, Russia's rouble, Sterling, Joey Chew, Ankur Banerjee, Harry Robertson, Shri Navaratnam, Lincoln, Susan Fenton Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Ministry of Finance, Saxo Markets, International Trust Co, ING, Australian, Federal, Asia FX, HSBC, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Japan, United States, China, U.S, Russian, Ukraine, Asia, Singapore, London

☆ China c.bank seen leaving policy loan rate unchanged on Tuesday
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Paramilitary police officers stand guard in front of the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank (PBOC), in Beijing, China September 30, 2022. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File PhotoSHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Aug 14 (Reuters) - China's central bank is expected to keep rates on its medium-term policy loans unchanged on Tuesday, a Reuters survey showed, despite fresh signs the economic recovery is losing momentum. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) last lowered the rate by 10 basis points to 2.65% in June. "We believe more pro-growth policies are warranted to support the economic growth, and further easing in monetary policy can be expected," analysts at BofA Global Research said. They expect a 15-basis-point cut in one-year loan prime rate (LPR) in total in the third quarter of the year.

Persons: Tingshu Wang, Li Hongwei, Zhou, Tom Westbrook, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: People's Bank of China, REUTERS, HSBC, BofA Global Research, July's, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China, SHANGHAI, SINGAPORE, United States, Shanghai, Singapore

U.S. One dollar banknotes are seen in front of displayed stock graph in this illustration taken, February 8, 2021. Managing the ballooning debt is more challenging now than when S&P stripped the United States of its AAA rating in 2011. The deficit before interest payments was lower then, economic growth was weak but still higher than prevailing interest rates, and the Fed was buying boatloads of bonds. Interest payments as a share of federal revenue, spending, and the economy are set to reach historically high levels early in the next decade. It's not just the supply of debt that matters - demand to hold that debt is critical.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Fitch, Uncle Sam, Carter, Chris Marsh, Bonds, Phil Suttle, It's, Jamie McGeever, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, AAA, Fed, Carter Administration, Investors, Reuters, Treasury, CBO, Suttle, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, Washington, United States, Foreign, China, Treasuries, U.S

☆ US loss of AAA badge a reminder of 'regime shift' for government debt
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

"I think it really brings home that shift being a regime shift rather than a cyclical one," Katimbo-Mugwanya said. S&P said the assumption that governments would prioritise servicing debt over spending promises had rarely been tested at such high debt levels. For now, despite the steepest increases in borrowing costs in decades, investors still see little risk in holding governments' longer-term debt. POLICY WATCHGreater focus on longer-term risks should bring scrutiny of government policies. Still, with higher debt an economic reality, few governments are left with the coveted AAA rating.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Fitch, David Katimbo, Mugwanya, Bill Ackman, Moritz Kraemer, Fichan, Kraemer, Kshitij Sinha, Martin Lenz, LBBW's Kraemer, Yoruk Bahceli, Davide Barbuscia, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, AAA, Financial, Fitch, EdenTree Investment Management, P Global, LBBW, European Union, European Commission, European Central Bank, Syz, New York Fed, Life Asset, Union Investment, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, United States, Japan

REUTERS/Aly Song/File PhotoAug 15 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. As waves of volatility crashed over emerging markets on Monday, most notably in Argentina and Russia, the focus on Tuesday once again returns to the root of much of the deeper anxiety and uncertainty around EM: China. Reuters polls of economists suggest annual growth in investment and industrial output will remain steady from June's levels, while retail sales growth will rise to 4.5% from 3.1%. Tuesday's data dump comes a day before the central bank delivers its latest monthly monetary policy decision. With the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields marching higher, global financial conditions are tightening and there doesn't appear to be any respite for emerging markets on the immediate horizon.

Persons: Aly, Jamie McGeever, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS, Investment, Reserve Bank of, Authorities, Reuters, U.S ., U.S, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, Argentina, Russia, Reserve Bank of Australia's, Japan, Beijing, U.S, Asia

Annual consumer price inflation is expected to show a sharp rebound in July to 6.40% from 4.8%, and a slowdown in wholesale price deflation to -2.4% from -4.1%. Investors and the Bank of Japan, meanwhile, will be paying close attention to Japanese inflation data later in the week. Asian stocks have badly underperformed this year, largely due to worries over China which is battling weak growth, deflation, and capital outflows. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan equity index index has now fallen two weeks in a row for the first time since April, and is up only twice in the last eight weeks. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Monday:- India consumer inflation (July)- India wholesale inflation (July)- Germany wholesale inflation (July)By Jamie McGeever; editing by Diane CraftOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Aly Song, Jamie McGeever, Diane Craft Organizations: Shanghai Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Tencent, Lenovo, Nasdaq, China's, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Pudong, Shanghai, China, New Zealand, Philippines, India, Asia, Japan, Beijing, outflows, Germany

☆ China's economy is showing signs of serious trouble — and the problems are still mounting
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-12 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

Deflation — the trend of prices falling throughout the economy — presents a particularly dangerous trajectory for China, which carries a massive amount of debt. The main components of GDP on the demand side — consumption, investment, net exports — they all have serious problems right now." A shaky property marketMost of China's economic troubles tie directly into its property market. Roughly a quarter of China's population works in agriculture — well above the 3% mark in the US — and that presents its own productivity limitations. From an unstable, debt-ridden property market to anti-business policies and demographic issues, Beijing has plenty to tackle if it hopes to match the same growth as decades past.

Persons: David Dollar, Biden, Dexter Roberts, Roberts, Terry Group, it's, Xi Jinping Organizations: Service, China's National Bureau of Statistics, People's Bank of, Federal Reserve, Brookings, Bloomberg, JPMorgan, Financial Times, China's, Global, US Census Bureau, Atlantic Council, Communist Party, Garden Holdings, Beike Research Institute, Terry Locations: Beijing, Wall, Silicon, China, People's Bank of China, China's US, Western, Russia, Asia, Ukraine, Mexico, China cratered, Rocky

☆ Take Five: Are we there yet?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

China retail sales data due on Tuesday will show whether spending can cling to the around-3% growth rate in June - a far cry from the double-digit readings earlier in the year. Meanwhile, investors will get another look at the health of the U.S. consumer with Tuesday’s retail sales report. June retail sales, released last month, rose less than expected, but nonetheless showed consumers weathered higher interest rates. Chart shows change in U.S. retail sales on a monthly basis. After shooting to a nine-year peak of 6.55% - prompting the central bank to step in to restore calm - yields have settled around 0.58%.

Persons: Kevin Buckland, Ira Iosebashvili, Naomi Rovnick, Karin Strohecker, Amanda Cooper, Christine Lagarde, there's, BoE, Morgan Stanley, Sharon Singleton Organizations: PMI, Reuters Graphics Reuters, European Central Bank, Reuters, Bank of, BOE, Bank of England, Citi, Confederation, Thomson Locations: West, Britain, U.S, Tokyo, New York, London, China, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

If housing cost pressures start to ease more in the coming months, as many economists expect, then the Federal Reserve is almost certainly done. Headline annual consumer price inflation rose a little less than expected last month to 3.2%, and annual core inflation cooled slightly to 4.7%, as forecast. Reuters ImageReuters ImageShelter inflation is running at a 7.7% annual rate and has been far stickier than policymakers would have liked. But Parsons reckons lag effects will soon be bringing shelter inflation down more quickly. Reuters ImageReuters ImageReuters Image(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters)Reporting by Jamie McGeever; editing by Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Brendan McDermid, Jay Parsons, Parsons, Jerome Powell's, Phil Suttle, Julia Coronado, Andreas Steno Larsen, Powell, Jamie McGeever, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Fed, Traders, Reuters, CPI, Suttle, Steno Research, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, ORLANDO, Florida, materializing

☆ Bank of Mexico again holds interest rate firm, even as region begins cuts
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Brendan O'Boyle | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The logo of Mexico's Central Bank (Banco de Mexico) is seen at its building in downtown Mexico City, Mexico February 28, 2019. The unanimous decision by the central bank's five-member board is the third consecutive rate hold since Banxico, as the Bank of Mexico is known, halted a two-year hiking cycle in May amid easing inflation. Rate cuts in Mexico are unlikely until late 2023, analysts say, even as central banks begin easing their monetary policy. Annual inflation in Mexico slowed for the sixth consecutive month in July, official data showed on Wednesday, landing at 4.79%, but still above the central bank's target. In recent weeks, central banks in Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, and Uruguay have cut their interest rates after aggressive monetary tightening cycles.

Persons: Daniel Becerril, Banxico, Jason Tuvey, Brendan O'Boyle, Sarah Morland, Anthony Esposito, Richard Chang Organizations: Mexico's Central Bank, Banco, REUTERS, Bank of, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: Banco de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico, MEXICO, Bank of Mexico, Latin America, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Uruguay

Japanese Yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File PhotoAug 11 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Markets are betting that the Fed's most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in more than 40 years is over. The short end of the bond market was a bit more stable, reflecting the view that the Fed is done raising rates. The dollar is nudging 145.00 yen, around where the Bank of Japan spent record yen-buying sums late last year as the yen hurtled to a 33-year low.

Persons: Yen, Dado Ruvic, Jamie McGeever, Brent, Deepa Babington Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Asia, Reserve Bank of India, India, Hong Kong

Banknotes of Chinese yuan and U.S. dollar are seen in this illustration picture taken September 29, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/IllustrationTOKYO/LONDON, Aug 10 (Reuters) - The dollar slipped against most currencies on Thursday ahead of U.S. inflation data that will shape the Fed's policy direction, although the prospect of higher energy costs pushed it to a one-month high against the yen. "Though you could argue it the other way given the euro zone recession risk if energy stays higher," she added. The impact of higher energy costs were also a factor in the softer yen, as resource-poor Japan is a major oil importer. A break above 145 would open the way potentially to 148 "if we get the U.S. dollar flexing again after the CPI," he said.

Persons: Florence Lo, it's, Jane Foley, We've, Foley, that's, Tony Sycamore, Kevin Buckland, Brigid Riley, Alun John, Kim Coghill, Sharon Singleton, Susan Fenton Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, CPI, Federal Reserve, Rabobank, U.S . Treasury, ECB, IG, People's Bank of China, New, Swiss, Thomson Locations: U.S, Japan, New Zealand, Tokyo, London

☆ Jim O'Neill says rates will need to stay around 5% in major economies, even as inflation fades
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJim O'Neill says rates will need to stay around 5% in major economies, even as inflation fadesJim O'Neill, senior advisor at Chatham House and former chair of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, says central banks will need to keep interest rates higher for longer to achieve sustainable stable inflation.

Persons: Jim O'Neill Organizations: Chatham House, Goldman, Asset Management

☆ Interest rates should stay around 5% for longer — even as inflation falls, top economist Jim O'Neill says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders will be closely watching the U.S. consumer price index reading later for July on Thursday for indications on the Fed's future rate trajectory. Veteran economist Jim O'Neill says central banks will need to keep interest rates up around 5% across major economies for longer than the market expects, even as inflation subsides. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy, has remained sticky and is expected to come in at 4.8% year-on-year in July. "I don't quite get this view that rates have to automatically start coming back down again in order to have a permanently more balanced world, in my view, economically. O'Neill also suggested the U.S. is "in a decent position to avoid a recession," noting that inflation expectations have remained fairly stable.

Persons: Dow, Jim O'Neill, O'Neill, CNBC's, we've Organizations: Dow Jones, Traders, U.S . Federal, Chatham House, Goldman, Asset Management Locations: U.S, Europe

☆ Is it time to worry about stagflation?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-10 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —For the past two years, economists have been worrying about the risks of high inflation rates. But far less attention has been given to inflation’s sibling: stagflation. Stagflation is the combination of high inflation and a slowing economy. The current state of stagflation: Last year, then-World Bank President David Malpass warned that stagflation risks were high because of supply chain disruptions stemming from lockdowns in China and bans on Russian oil. What’s happening now: The risk of stagflation varies significantly across different regions of the globe.

Persons: Stagflation, David Malpass, Janet Yellen, ”, Lan Ha, stagflation, Andrew Kenningham, “, That’s, ” Kenningham, ” Ha, Ha, Parija Kavilanz, don’t, Dallin Hatch, Biden, Joe Biden, Trump, Matt Egan, It’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal, World Bank, Euromonitor, Capital Economics, Bank of England’s, National Institute of Economic, Social Research, Trump Locations: Israel, lockdowns, China, Europe, Germany, Ukraine, Saudi Arabia

☆ Bond traders prepare to brave 'painful' yield curve bets as rate hikes slow
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Harry Robertson | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Those moves have put the focus back on "steepening trades" - bets that shorter-dated yields will fall relative to longer-dated yields. "Everyone is now re-looking at these curve trades," said Olivier De Larouziere, chief investment officer for global fixed income at BNP Paribas Asset Management. "I would expect that in the next quarter, more people will start positioning for a steepening of the yield curve." That's led to a rare situation where the bond yield curve is "inverted". TIMING IS EVERYTHINGThe market moves over the last week highlight the risk of curve trades.

Persons: Lucas Jackson, Olivier De Larouziere, Fabio Bassi, That's, Alexandre Caminade, Anne Beaudu, Larouziere, JPMorgan's Bassi, Franck Dixmier, John Williams, Ostrum's Caminade, Harry Robertson, Sharon Singleton Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of New, REUTERS, Bond, U.S, BNP, Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, JPMorgan, Treasury, Ostrum, ECB, Allianz Global Investors, Reuters Graphics, New York Fed, New York Times, Thomson Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, New York City, U.S, Europe, New

☆ China swings into deflation as recovery falters
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Reuters Staff | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

BEIJING (Reuters) -China’s consumer prices fell into deflation in July, while factory gate prices extended their declines, as the world’s second-largest economy struggled to revive demand and pressure mounted for authorities to release more direct stimulus. FILE PHOTO: Staff sort fruits at a Walmart in Beijing, China, September 23, 2019. China’s economic recovery slowed after a brisk start in the first quarter, as demand at home and abroad weakened. “Both CPI and PPI in year-on-year terms fell into negative territory and confirmed economic deflation,” said Xing Zhaopeng, senior China strategist at ANZ. Otherwise, economic data showing some growth improvement is required, which is not coming through yet.”JAPAN-STYLE DEFLATION?

Persons: Tingshu Wang, “, ”, Xing Zhaopeng, Xing, Frances Cheung, Japan’s “, Liu Guoqiang Organizations: Walmart, REUTERS, National Bureau of Statistics, Authorities, CPI, PPI, ANZ, “, OCBC Bank, NBS, Investors Locations: BEIJING, Beijing, China, Shanghai, Singapore, JAPAN, Brazil

☆ China tips into deflation as efforts to stoke recovery falter
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( Liangping Gao | Ryan Woo | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Customers select tomatoes at a stall inside a morning market in Beijing, China August 9, 2023. The consumer price index (CPI) dropped 0.3% year-on-year in July, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Wednesday, compared with the median estimate for a 0.4% decrease in a Reuters poll. The producer price index (PPI) declined for a 10th consecutive month, down 4.4% and faster than the forecast 4.1% fall. Asian shares were on the defensive on Wednesday as the Chinese price data confirmed its economic recovery was losing steam. Beijing has set a consumer inflation target of around 3% this year, which would be up from 2% recorded in 2022, and for now, authorities are downplaying concerns about deflation.

Persons: Wang, Japan’s “, ”, Gary Ng, Liu Guoqiang, Xia Chun, Tommy Wu, Wu Organizations: REUTERS, National Bureau of Statistics, “, Asia Pacific, Natixis, Commerzbank Locations: BEIJING, Beijing, China, Asia, Brazil, Japan, Hong Kong

Aug 10 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Lingering concern over China's slide into deflation and caution ahead of U.S. inflation data will keep markets in check on Thursday, as investors also eye India's interest rate decision, wholesale inflation from Japan and Philippine GDP data. Although Chinese stocks fell for a third day on Wednesday the rest of Asia shrugged off the Chinese deflation figures, and the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index rose 0.5% for its best performance so far this month. Also on the inflation front, the annual rate of Japanese wholesale price inflation is expected to have fallen to 3.5% in July from 4.1% in June. Interest rate markets are pricing in a decent chance of a quarter-point hike, if not this week then certainly by the end of the year.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Asia shrugged, Fitch Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Japan, Philippine, United States, China, Asia, India, Philippines

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