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The CEO of Swiss banking giant UBS said Thursday that the fight against inflation isn't over yet, and some investors seem to be getting too ahead of themselves in expecting that the U.S. Federal Reserve could pull an aggressive rate cut this month. "I think the market seems to be a little bit too ahead of the curve in expecting the Fed to go so aggressively," Sergio Ermotti, Group CEO of UBS Group AG, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia." The question of whether the Fed will lower rates at the end of its next policy meeting September 18 has largely been answered. The only question that remains is: by how much. The "most important" issue that the Fed needs consider is still inflation, which remains sticky and not yet "totally under control," Ermotti added.
Persons: Sergio Ermotti, CNBC's, Ermotti Organizations: UBS, U.S . Federal, UBS Group AG, Fed Locations: U.S
Wholesale prices rose in August about in line with expectations, the final inflation data point as the Federal Reserve gets set to lower interest rates. The core increase was the same when excluding trade services. On a 12-month basis, headline PPI rose 1.7%. On the PPI measure, services prices pushed much of the gain, with a 0.4% monthly increase driven by a rise in services less trade, transportation and warehousing. The release comes a day after the BLS reported that consumer prices rose 0.2% on the month in line with expectations.
Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve, of Labor Statistics, PPI, Labor Department, BLS
Indexes rose Thursday as investors digested new inflation and labor market data. Jobless claims last week rose slightly following two weeks of consecutive declines. The producer price index logged a 0.2% monthly rise, in-line with expectations. In the second inflation reading of the week, the producer price index rose 0.2% from July to August, in line with expectations. This corner of the stock market is set to outperform once the Fed starts cutting interest rates, Goldman Sachs says.
Persons: , Harris, Ed Yardeni, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Here's, Trump
Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha lifted his year-end target for the S & P 500 on Thursday, saying the market has more room to run despite current turmoil. He tied this call to the fact that valuations are supported despite being at the top of their fair-value ranges. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, year to date He said to expect more choppiness, such as what investors have experienced in recent weeks, even as the market recovers from its current correction. Chadha expects prices to retreat again going into the presidential election, only to rally afterward to year-end. The S & P 500 has added about 2.5% in the third quarter despite rocky trading.
Persons: Chadha Organizations: CNBC
Nikkei jumps 3%, leading Asia-Pacific markets higher
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
A General view showing the Central Business District in Central on May 18, 2023 in Hong Kong, China. Asia-Pacific markets opened higher on Thursday, tracking gains on Wall Street after a volatile session spurred by inflation data. Japan's producer price index rose 2.5% year-on-year in August, less than the expected 2.8% and the 3% reported in the previous month. Investors will also look toward the release of Hong Kong's producer price index for the second quarter this afternoon. The listing is set to be the largest offering in Hong Kong since May 2021.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs, Hong Organizations: Central Business District, Nikkei, Nvidia, Technology Conference, SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SoftBank, Bank of Japan, Reuters, Midea Locations: Central, Hong Kong, China, Asia, Pacific, San Francisco, Tokyo, India
The firm launched two high yield ETFs on Thursday, aimed at different sections of the high yield market: the Columbia U.S. High Yield ETF (NJNK) and Columbia Short Duration High Yield ETF (HYSD) . The state of high yield So far this year, high yield debt is outperforming the bond market as a whole. The biggest high yield index ETF, the iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (USHY) , has returned 7.2% year to date, compared with 4.9% for the firm's Core U.S. High yield when rates fall When market interest rates go down, the price of long-term bonds tends to rise. Some other recent examples include the BlackRock High Yield ETF (BRHY) and the AB Short Duration High Yield ETF (SYFI) .
Persons: Marc Zeitoun, Zeitoun, Dan DeYoung, Columbia Threadneedle, That's, DeYoung, NJNK, Kris Keller, Keller Organizations: Columbia, Columbia U.S, Federal Reserve, firm's, Aggregate Bond, Morningstar Locations: America, Treasurys, BlackRock
CNBC Daily Open: Looking past sticky core inflation
  + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The S&P 500 climbed 1.07%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.31% and the Nasdaq Composite shot up 2.17%. Core inflation, to which the Fed pays more attention because it more accurately reflects price movements, came in a bit higher than expected for the month. Core inflation was higher than the headline number because food and energy prices are stripped out from the former.
Persons: Spencer Platt, , Jeff Cox, Pia Singh, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Getty, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, of Labor Statistics, Nvidia, Reuters, U.S . House Locations: Brooklyn, New York City, U.S, Saudi Arabia
In today's big story, this guy is ready to give up after applying to nearly 2,200 jobs . The big storyNot hiringKevin Cash Ben BoxerHow tough is the current job market? AdvertisementThe job market is in a weird spot these days. On paper — and maybe in another labor market — Kevin appears to be the perfect candidate. It's a tough reality check for employees who previously held all the power in the job market.
Persons: , Zer, Kevin Cash Ben Boxer, Kevin Cash, Tim Paradis, Kevin, it's, Forget, Tyler Le, we're, duMond, Chip Somodevilla, Alyssa Powell, Harris, Rebecca Zisser, Elon, Apple, Jensen, Goldman Sachs, David Soloman, Huang, Chelsea Jia Feng, Trump, Brian Niccol, We're, Niccol, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Milan Sehmbi, Amanda Yen Organizations: Service, Business, Mensa, BI Trump, Oppenheimer, Fed, Twitter, Nvidia, Kroger, London Locations: San Francisco, Austin, New York, London
But there's another lesser-known S&P 500 index that you might not have heard of: the SPW. In contrast, the conventional S&P 500 allocates more weight to the biggest companies based on market capitalization. Big Tech names carry very little debt on their balance sheets, meaning that they are less affected by elevated interest rates. Bank of AmericaIn contrast, the cap-weight S&P 500 is approaching overvalued territory. Examples of SPW index funds include the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and Goldman Sachs Equal Weight U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF (GSEW).
Persons: , that's, Jack Ablin, LPL, Jeff Buchbinder, Savita Subramanian, Buchbinder, Ablin, haven't, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Big Tech, Business, Bank of America, Cresset, Healthcare, financials, Bank of America's, Equity, RSP
This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The 36-minute video was sent to Business Insider ahead of its public debut. Related stories"The efficient market hypothesis is that the market is always right," Marks said in a recent interview with Business Insider. Studying stocks' correlation with each other adds another dimension to investing, Marks said. Advertisement"3D chess is much harder than 2D chess, and so correlation is much harder than just risk and return," Marks said.
Persons: , Howard Marks, Marks, that's, you'll, heeding Marks, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Oaktree Capital Management, Investors
U.S. stock futures were little changed Thursday evening as traders sought to shake off a sluggish September. S&P 500 futures traded near the flatline. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added just 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.02%. During Thursday's regular trading, investors snapped up shares of Big Tech names, including Nvidia , lifting the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite for a fourth consecutive day. The three major averages are also on track to post weekly gains, with the S&P 500 up 3.5% and the Nasdaq on track for a 5.3% jump.
Persons: Dan Greenhaus, Dow Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Nvidia, Dow, Salesforce, Microsoft, Federal, Management Locations: U.S
The consumer price index rose by 2.5% year over year, but durable-goods prices have declined. Americans may not feel the price drops, given how infrequent these purchases are. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . But you may not have noticed unless you've made a big-ticket purchase in the past year.
Persons: , you've, they've Organizations: Service, Business
It means that, in aggregate, the average prices of goods and services are rising, just more slowly. Where prices have deflatedFor example, prices have declined by about 5% for furniture and bedding and 3% for appliances since August 2023, according to CPI data. Outside of supply-demand dynamics, the U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for goods, economists said. Airline fares have declined about 1% over the past year, according to CPI data. Grocery prices have fallen for items such as apples, potatoes, ham, coffee, rice, seafood and bananas, according to CPI data.
Persons: Stephen Brown, it's, Sarah House, They've, women's outerwear, Brown Organizations: North, Capital Economics, Finance, Social Security, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, U.S, International Air Transport Association Locations: U.S, North America, Wells Fargo, China
Between 2021 and 2022, average annual grocery prices were up 11.4%, the highest increase since 1979. In this episode of "Just the Facts," the US Economy and your Pocketbook. Let's take a look at the economy and how it is working or not working for you. To measure inflation, let's start by looking at the Consumer Price Index, or CPI. Between 2021 and 2022, average annual grocery prices were up 11.4%, the highest increase since 1979, and they grew another 5% between 2022 and 2023.
Persons: Steve Ballmer, USAFacts, COVID, it's, There's Organizations: Insider Studios, LA Clippers, Consumer, Federal Reserve, Real, Social Security Locations: America, United
The bank raised its price target on MercadoLibre Thursday to $2,500 from $2,225, suggesting 22% upside from Wednesday's close. The bank increased its price target to $230 from $200, implying nearly 16% upside from Wednesday's close. Supino also lifted the firm's price target to $93 a share, reflecting about 33% upside from Wednesday's close. Analyst Adam Berlin lowered his 12-month price target to $29 from $34, implying 6% downside. The investment firm's price target of $159 implies more than 2% downside from Wednesday's close.
Persons: Robert Ford Aguilar, — Michelle Fox, Wells, Wells Fargo, Eric Luebchow, Luebchow, Lisa Kailai Han, Sean Conlon, Wolfe, Peter Supino, Supino, Samantha Subin, BofA, George Staphos, a.m, Adam Berlin, Berlin, IPG, — Sean Conlon, Bernstein, Mark Moerdler, — Lisa Kailai Han, Stifel, Simon Yarmak, Andrea Pistacchi, Brandt Montour, it's, Montour, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Barclays, Bank of America, Diageo, Mercado, Mobile, Sprint, Wolfe Research, UBS downgrades, UBS, billings, GM, Pfizer, Oracle, Simon Property, Property Group, SPG, U.S, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Brazil, Mercado Pago, Wells Fargo, Wells, Roku, Berlin, America, U.S
Mortgage rates have dropped nearly 20 basis points this week, with 30-year rates now near 5.7%, according to Zillow data. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's interest rates will affect your monthly payments. Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates have inched down this week and are now hovering near 5.7%, according to Zillow data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. Because markets are already anticipating that the Fed will lower rates, mortgage rates might not drop much in response to a Fed rate cut.
Persons: you'll, Freddie Mac, it's Organizations: Reserve, of Labor Statistics, Fed, Zillow Locations: Chevron
He told last year's New York Times DealBook Summit: "I don't wake up proud and confident — I wake up worried and concerned." That's because Nvidia almost went bankrupt in the late 1990s — a memory he says is hard to shake off. Huang works holidays but finds it relaxingNvidia CEO Jensen Huang. On the "20VC" podcast in March, Tangen said Huang told him, "'Nicolai, there is hard work and then there's insanely hard work.'" When I'm not working, I'm thinking about working, and when I'm working, I'm working.
Persons: , Jensen Huang, Huang, Mohd Rasfan, Huang doesn't, Nicolai Tangen, Tangen, Nicolai, I'm, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Huang's, Michael M, That's Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Financial Times, Business, New York Times DealBook, Microsoft, Apple, Getty, Norges Bank Investment Management, Technology Conference, Stripe's Sessions, Big Tech, CNN, Forbes, Stripe Sessions, Stanford School of Business, Stanford University Locations: AFP
It's been a topsy-turvy stock market since the Club's August Monthly Meeting. These were two of our top performers since the August Monthly Meeting. The stock closed nearly 5% higher on the eve of the September Monthly Meeting. The S & P 500's health care sector is up 2.2% since the August Monthly Meeting, slightly outperforming the broad index's 1.8% rise in that timeframe. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: It's, We've, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder, Jerome Powell, it's, DA Davidson, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Andy Jassy's, TJX, Jensen Huang, Abbott, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Brendan Mcdermid Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Investor, Federal, Procter, Gamble, Dover, Abbott Laboratories, TJX, Amazon, Micro Devices, Jackson, Bank of America, Telsey Advisory Group, JPMorgan, Oracle, Devices, AMD, Nvidia, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Traders, New York Stock Exchange Locations: seesaw, Wednesday's, U.S
Semiconductor stocks have been volatile. Last Friday, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF fell 11.6% in a day. Investors might be wondering: What's the outlook for semiconductor stocks — which have been boosted by artificial intelligence — and are there pockets of buying opportunity? It expects orders for PCs and general servers to improve next year as AI-driven demand picks up. As for memory chips, supply is set to remain tight at least till the first half of 2025, thanks to investments in high-bandwidth memory, Morningstar said.
Persons: Morningstar, GlobalWafers Organizations: VanEck Semiconductor, SK Hynix, Micron Technology, Morningstar, Edge, Samsung, Screen CNBC, Van Eck Semiconductor Locations: United States
Social Security recipients can expect next year's annual cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) to be the lowest since 2021, following cooler inflation readings in July and August. The Social Security Administration is expected to announce the official cost-of-living adjustment for 2025 on Oct. 10. Much of the political debate about Social Security remains focused on reforming — and ultimately paring back — the entire program. But earlier this year, Democratic Sen. Bob Casey of Pennsylvania introduced the Boosting Benefits and COLAs for Seniors Act, designed to increase Social Security benefits at a rate "that actually reflects the costs seniors face." "The Boosting Benefits and COLAs for Seniors Act would help seniors contend with rising costs and ensure that Social Security remains a lifeline for all who need it.”
Persons: ” Mary Johnson, Johnson, Democratic Sen, Bob Casey of, ” Casey, Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Social, Senior Citizens League, Social Security, Medicare, Trustees, Social Security Administration, League, Democratic, Seniors, Bureau of Labor Statistics, , Social Security, Security Locations: Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania
And while Trump tried to tie Harris to President Joe Biden, he learned that she is a much tougher rival. While Trump tried to re-create the conditions of June’s fateful debate stage matchup, Harris reminded him, “You’re not running against Joe Biden. Harris tried to get under Trump’s skin, baiting him into a defensive posture that prevented him from attacking her weaknesses. And when Trump scolded Harris’ attempt to interrupt him, some allies lamented that he lost control at a key moment. Three Republican sources told NBC News after the debate that Trump came off as “angry” in that moment.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, Francine churns, Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, “ You’re, You’re, ” Harris, Harris ’, ” Trump, Louisiana Hurricane Francine, Joe Wilson of, , Republican Kelly Ayotte, Joyce Craig, Mauricio Pochettino, Dave Grohl, Hill, Jesse Dittmar, James Earl Jones ’, Darth Vader, Jones, Char Adams, — Joy Y, Wang, Dermatologists, Elizabeth Robinson Organizations: Trump, Republican, NBC News, Federal, Labor Statistics, Louisiana Hurricane, Public, Novo Nordisk, Foo Fighters, Police, Miami Dolphins, NBC Locations: Louisiana, Ohio, New Orleans, Mississippi, Novo, semaglutide, Wegovy, Joe Wilson of South Carolina, Washington, ” New Hampshire, Ukraine, Russia
The pace of inflation likely moderated again in August — further relief for beleaguered consumers still smarting from pandemic-era price shocks. Though price growth has largely returned to the Federal Reserve's official 2% target, the sting of rapid price increases over the past four years lingers for many consumers. The latest inflation report is likely to cement a 0.25% cut in the Federal Reserve's key interest rate, currently at about 5.3%, later this month. But experts say it will take some time for consumers to feel the impact of the lower interest rate — and the relatively small size of the cut means borrowing costs will still be somewhat elevated. While the Fed is now widely expected to cut interest rates, a cut of just 0.25% may not be enough to stave off that scenario.
Persons: , There's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Zillow, Paul, ” Marina Walsh, ” Walsh, Torsten Slok, Slok, Sophia Kearney, Jerome Powell's, Kearney, Lederman Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve's, Democratic, Labor Statistics, Princeton, , Mortgage Bankers Association, Apollo Global Management, FHN, NBC News, Fed Locations: U.S, New York, Los Angeles, Minneapolis, St, Las Vegas, Phoenix
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang, Goldman Sachs, Vimal Kapur, Morgan, Kapur, We've, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Club, Nvidia, Broadcom, Nvidia's, Technology Conference, Honeywell, Laguna Conference, Signet Jewelers, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Kroger
Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 100 shares of HD, increasing its weighting in the portfolio to about 1.1% from roughly 0.56%. Rates will come down and activity should pick up after the Fed gets a few rate cuts under its belt. That, at least, is what Toll Brothers CEO Doug Yearley said on "Squawk on the Street" earlier Wednesday when speaking about 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rates and the luxury homebuilder's business. If Yearley is correct, then it won't be too long until mortgage rates are at a sweet spot where housing turnover really starts to pick up. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Doug Yearley, it's, Yearley, Jim Cramer, Jim Organizations: Fed, Toll, CNBC
Core inflation rose unexpectedly, dashing hopes for a bigger rate cut from the Fed. US indexes slumped on Wednesday, with the Dow dropping as much as 600 basis points in the early morning as traders took a mixed-bag of inflation data. That's the lowest headline inflation rate recorded since early 2021. On the other hand, cutting interest rates by just 25 basis points means higher for longer interest rates. "Today's inflation data cemented in a 25 basis point cut next week 50 basis points in out the window," she added.
Persons: , Julian Howard, Gina Bolvin, Preston Caldwell, Chris Zacarelli Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Dow, of Labor Statistics, GAM Investments, Bolvin Wealth Management, Labor Department, Morningstar, Independent
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