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☆ The Fed may have destroyed the housing market by crushing both supply and demand, top economist Mohamed El-Erian says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The Fed may have broken the US housing market, according to top economist Mohamed El-Erian. That's because interest rate hikes have helped drive up mortgage rates, weighing on both supply and demand. High rates have frozen the housing market over the past year by crimping both supply and demand. AdvertisementAdvertisement"When you go from record-low mortgage rates to levels that we haven't seen for almost 20 years, you've destroyed both demand and supply. That is the way you destroy the housing market," El Erian said.

Persons: Mohamed El, you've, El Erian, We've Organizations: Service, Allianz, CNBC, Mortgage News Daily, US Locations: Wall, Silicon, El

☆ Dollar soft as investors digest 'higher for longer' path
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"We will proceed carefully as we decide whether to tighten further or, instead, to hold the policy rate constant and await further data," Powell said in a keynote address. "It is the Fed's job to bring inflation down to our 2% goal, and we will do so." "It remains unlikely we get a hike from the Fed in September," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone. The single currency was up 0.04% to $1.0804, while the pound was last at $1.2599, up 0.17% on the day. The Australian dollar rose 0.55% to $0.644, while the New Zealand dollar gained 0.32% versus the greenback to $0.592.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Chris Weston, Weston, Rodrigo Catril Organizations: Fed, National Australia Bank, Bank of Japan, New Zealand Locations: Chicago, U.S, Japan

An electronic board shows Shanghai and Shenzhen stock indexes, at the Lujiazui financial district in Shanghai, China October 25, 2022. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAug 28 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. As the week gets underway, asset markets across Asia yet again will be dominated by key economic indicators, market- and growth-supportive policy steps and diplomatic signals from China. The Asian market headwinds are strong and clear - financial conditions are tightening sharply, in large part due to the steady rise in U.S. Treasury yields. According to Goldman Sachs's financial conditions indexes, global, emerging market and Chinese financial conditions last week hit their tightest levels this year.

Persons: Aly, Jamie McGeever, Jackson, Jerome Powell, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, Gina Raimondo, Goldman, Fed's MIchael Barr, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, China Securities Regulatory Commission, . Commerce, Treasury, Higher, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Asia, India, Indonesia, Vietnam, Beijing, Japan, U.S, Australia

The U.S. economy has avoided a threatened banking crisis and financial markets have not only aligned with the Federal Reserve's tight-credit policies but of late even helped the process by bidding up market interest rates. "I think Powell’s main effort is going to be explaining to what degree you want to hold (interest rates) higher for longer in the current outlook." Investors in contracts tied to the Fed's benchmark interest rate currently expect the Fed to begin reducing the policy rate next year from the current level set between 5.25% and 5.5%. Fed officials in fact have begun discussing the possibility of rate cuts down the road, at least in the context of steadily falling inflation. If inflation does decline as expected, Fed officials including Powell have suggested rate reductions might be appropriate to maintain a roughly constant inflation-adjusted "real rate."

Persons: Jerome Powell, Jackson, Jim Urquhart, JACKSON, Antulio Bomfim, Powell, who've, isn't, Adam Posen, William English, Donald Kohn, Howard Schneider, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Kansas, Fed, Northern Trust, Bank of England's, Committee, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Yale School of Management, Brookings Institution, Thomson Locations: Teton, Jackson , Wyoming, U.S, , Wyoming, Washington

☆ Wall Street's top strategists say this year's stock market rally is probably over
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos and Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson both see the end of the market rally. Higher-for-longer Fed interest rates and a potential hard landing for the economy risk dragging equities. And Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson said the latest evidence of a softening market was Nvidia's blowout earnings beat this week and the failed market rally that followed. "I can't think of any better news then what we got from [Nvidia] on Wednesday...and we had a failed rally. "They look for the market to tell them whether it's going to be a hard landing or not.

Persons: JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Dubravko, Jerome Powell, Wilson, he's Organizations: Service, CNBC, Fed, Bloomberg, Nvidia Locations: Wall, Silicon, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ How should central banks coordinate when their economies are headed in opposite directions?
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

So how should central banks coordinate when their economies are headed in opposite directions? And since the start of the pandemic, international monetary policy has looked striking similar. From the United States to Saudi Arabia to Malaysia, many major world economies slashed interest rates to historically low levels in March 2020 to stimulate their economies amid Covid lockdowns. Central bankers do “talk a lot, and we see each other quite a bit,” said Andrew Bailey, Bank of England’s president, at a June event hosted by the European Central Bank. “Adopting formal global monetary policy cooperation could plausibly erode central bank credibility and public support for central bank independence,” former Federal Reserve Vice Chair Richard Clarida said at a 2021 Asia Economic Policy Conference.

Persons: Jackson, —, Nick Bennenbroek, ”, Andrew Bailey ,, Richard Clarida, “ There’s, ” Bennenbroek, Jerome Powell Organizations: Los Angeles CNN, Kansas City Federal Reserve, Andrew Bailey , Bank of England’s, European Central Bank, Federal, Asia Economic Policy Locations: lockstep, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, United States, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, China, Wells, Asia

☆ Dollar rises ahead of Jackson Hole, Turkish lira rallies
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Joice Alves | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/file photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Aug 24 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Thursday as investors awaited for U.S. job data ahead of the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium, while the Turkish lira rallied after a larger-than-expected central bank rate hike. Investors were cautious after softer-than expected data in Europe and the U.S. muddied the economic outlook sending the safe-haven dollar higher. "As the Jackson Hole symposium gets under way, market participants are looking for direction," said Isabel Albarran, Investment Officer at Close Brothers Asset Management. MORE COULD COMEElsewhere, the Turkish lira rallied, up 3% to 26.4040 against the dollar after the Turkish Central Bank hiked the 1-week repo from 17.5% to a much-larger-than expected 25%. Turkey's central bank embarked on a tightening cycle in June after President Tayyip Erdogan appointed former Wall Street banker Hafize Gaye Erkan as governor.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jackson, Jerome Powell, Isabel Albarran, Tayyip Erdogan, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Piotr Matys, Moh Siong Sim, China's, Joice Alves, Tom Westbrook, Ankur Banerjee, Angus MacSwan Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Turkish, U.S, Investors, Investment, Asset Management, Turkish Central Bank, Wall Street, Touch Capital, British, Bank of England, PMI, Singapore, Thomson Locations: Europe, London

[1/2] The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, August 23, 2023. U.S. stocks ended sharply higher on Wednesday and shares of Nvidia jumped nearly 10% in trading after the bell, hitting an all-time high. EASING YIELDSGovernment bond yields eased, adding to a sense of relief across markets. Euro zone yields hit multi-week lows with Germany's 10-year yield 1.5 bps lower at 2.50%, having touched a 2-week low of 2.448%. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) closed 1.5% higher, also lifted by Nvidia's bullish outlook.

Persons: Chipmakers, Jerome Powell, Robert Alster, Zhang Zihua, Tom Wilson, Julie Zhu, Toby Chopra, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Federal, Asset Management, Nvidia, Beijing Yunyi Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, Turkish, United States, Asia, Pacific, Japan, China, Beijing, London, Hong Kong

☆ Asia stocks track Wall Street rally as treasury yields retreat
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Julie Zhu | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsHONG KONG, Aug 24 (Reuters) - Asian shares rallied on Thursday after blockbuster results from tech darling Nvidia (NVDA.O) boosted Wall Street and a retreat in U.S. bond yields eased pressure on borrowing costs globally. Early in the Asian trading day, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was up 0.7%, also lifted by Nvidia's bullish outlook. Australian shares (.AXJO) edged up 0.27%, while Japan's Nikkei stock index (.N225) rose 0.23%. On Wednesday, U.S. stocks ended sharply higher across the board as shares of Nvidia jumped nearly 10% in trading after the bell, hitting an all-time high after it forecast third-quarter revenue well above Wall Street targets. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 0.54%, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 1.10% and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) added 1.59%.

Persons: Kim Kyung, HONG KONG, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Powell, HSI, Brent, Lincoln Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, ANZ, Japan's Nikkei, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasuries, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S, South Korea, Indonesia, Asia, Pacific, United States

☆ Savers dash for Belgian bond aimed at pushing banks to raise deposit rates
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Yoruk Bahceli | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Aug 25 (Reuters) - Belgium saw 4 billion euros of demand from savers for a new bond it launched on Thursday, its debt agency said, a strong start for the sale aimed at pressuring banks to raise their deposit rates. European lenders awash with cash have been resisting raising savings rates despite a surge in market interest rates as central banks fight inflation, prompting withdrawals by households looking for better returns elsewhere. "We want to boost competition and encourage banks to raise interest rates." On Thursday, the first day of the sale, savers bought 2.098 billion euros ($2.27 billion) of the bond, the debt agency said, followed by at least another 1.902 billion euros so far on Friday. But Jean Deboutte, director at Belgium's debt agency, noted some banks in Belgium had already raised their rates following plans for the new bond.

Persons: Jean Deboutte, Yoruk, Sudip Kar, Susan Fenton, Andrew Heavens Organizations: Yoruk Bahceli, Gupta, Thomson Locations: Belgium, Amsterdam, Brussels

☆ European markets climb on easing bond yields, blockbuster Nvidia earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

LONDON — European markets climbed on Thursday, tracking counterparts in Asia and the U.S. as a pullback in U.S. bond yields eased global borrowing costs. The European blue chip index closed Wednesday's session up 0.4% even as euro zone purchasing managers' index figures came in well below expectations and services activity slid into decline. Investors are also awaiting comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday at the conclusion of the central bank's symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, which Wall Street hopes will offer some insight into the likely path of interest rates. Stocks markets received a lift on Wednesday from falling yields on long-dated U.S. Treasury notes, which lowered borrowing costs. Yields move inversely to prices, and pulled back from a 16-year high notched earlier this week that was fueled by concerns around persistent inflation and the possibility of the Fed and other central banks keeping monetary policy tighter for longer.

Persons: Hong, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nvidia, U.S . Federal, Stocks, Treasury Locations: Asia, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Morning Bid: Weak data, Nvidia lift risk appetite
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Stock markets also got a lift from Nvidia (NVDA.O). The blockbuster earnings and forecast from the stock market darling helped lift AI-related stocks, U.S. futures and Asian equities. Nvidia far exceeded expectations with its quarterly revenue forecast on Wednesday as an artificial-intelligence boom fuelled demand for its chips. The excitement could be short-lived as worries remain sticky, with a majority of analysts polled by Reuters expecting global stock markets to head for a correction in coming months. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1.5% but is still on course to clock its worst monthly performance since February.

Persons: Ann Wang, Banerjee, Jerome Powell, Ankur Banerjee, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: REUTERS, Stock, Nvidia, Reuters, Federal, Jackson, U.S ., Reuters Graphics Reuters, Thomson Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, Asia, Japan, Pacific

Despite that, the latest Reuters poll narrowly showed Bank Rate peaking at 5.50%, down from 5.75% predicted in July. All but one of 62 economists in the Aug. 16-23 poll expected Bank Rate to go up 25 basis points to 5.50% next month. The medians showed Bank Rate remaining on hold after September's hike until Q3 next year, though a significant minority - 47% or 29 of 62 economists - estimated a higher peak. That is a flip from a July poll when a slim majority, 51% or 31 of 61 participants, predicted Bank Rate at 5.75% or more by year-end. The wider poll showed inflation averaging 6.8% and 4.7% this quarter and next.

Persons: Luke MacGregor, BoE, James Smith, Simon Wells, Shaloo Shrivastava, Jonathan Cable, Mumal Rathore, Rahul Trivedi, Purujit Arun, Ross Finley, John Stonestreet Organizations: of, REUTERS, Bank of England, Reuters, ING, Reserve, European Central Bank, HSBC, Thomson Locations: of England, London, BRITAIN, BENGALURU, LONDON, Western Europe

☆ China's deflation could spill over into a global concern, economists say
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Elliot Smith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

SHENZHEN, CHINA - MARCH 09: View of high commercial and residential buildings on March 9, 2016 in Shenzhen, China. "As a result, Chinese economic weakness and falling prices (especially Chinese producer prices) are likely to spill over into global markets — near-term good news for the Western central banks' fight against elevated inflation." "China's disappointing rebound is now feeding negatively into global sentiment and growth. Beyond the trade-related spillovers, a common global disinflationary pressure comes from commodity prices, where as a huge importer of commodities, Chinese domestic demand remains a key factor. "Weak Chinese domestic investment and broad-based excess capacity in manufacturing, as well as weak sales of new homes and land, are likely to continue to depress global commodity demand," Wilding and Liao said.

Persons: Zhong Zhi, Tiffany Wilding, Wilding, Carol Liao, Montgomery Koning, Liao, TS Lombard's Montgomery Koning Organizations: Getty, National Bureau, Statistics, Evergrande, TS Lombard, Lombard, U.S, Census, TS Lombard's Locations: SHENZHEN, CHINA, Shenzhen, China, U.S, Beijing, West, Germany

☆ Morning Bid: August rescued by Nvidia, bond rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid Acquire Licensing RightsA look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanA dire August for world markets is being rehabilitated in its final week, helped by another sparkling AI-related surprise from chip giant Nvidia (NVDA.O) and a rebound in battered bond markets. The bar for surprise from Wednesday's earnings update was sky high, but the company somehow managed to vault it again. Despite the rebound the index is still down more than 4% for August - its worst month since last September. Ironically, the retreat in bond yields comes amid signs of cooling economic activity - but that comes with the significant relief that central banks may not have to squeeze any harder to get inflation back close to targets. Bond yields are in retreat in advance of the speech, helped by the easing economic data and a decent 20-year bond auction on Wednesday.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell's, Jackson, China's spluttering, Bernadette Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Fed, Treasury, Woodside Energy, Chicago Fed, Kansas City Fed, Intuit, Ulta, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Frankfurt, Asia, Shanghai, Europe, Kansas, Jackson

☆ Asia markets largely set to rise ahead of central bank decisions in South Korea and Indonesia
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

The Seoul city skyline early on December 16, 2020. (Photo by Ed JONES / AFP) (Photo by ED JONES/AFP via Getty Images)Asia-Pacific markets are largely set to rise ahead of central bank rate decisions from South Korea and Indonesia, although both central banks are expected to hold their benchmark policy rates unchanged at 3.5% and 5.75% respectively. South Korea's producer price index climb 0.2% year-on-year, the 13th straight month that growth in the PPI has slowed. Investors will also be assessing chipmaker's Nvidia's earnings that were released early Thursday. The company beat estimates for the fiscal second quarter and issued optimistic guidance for the current period.

Persons: Ed JONES, ED JONES Organizations: Getty Images, PPI Locations: Seoul, AFP, Asia, Pacific, South Korea, Indonesia

Office workers look at their mobile phones to check the local online banking app Toss as they gather at Seoul Museum of Art during a lunch break in Seoul, South Korea, April 13, 2023. Interest rate decisions and policy guidance from South Korea and Indonesia take center stage in Asia on Thursday, as investors also navigate the strong cross currents from global equity and bond markets the day before. On the Asian policy front, the Bank of Korea is expected to leave its key policy rate unchanged at 3.50% for a fifth consecutive meeting on Thursday and hold it steady for the rest of this year. Bank Indonesia is also expected to keep its key interest rate steady, at 5.75% for the seventh consecutive meeting and for the rest of the year too. Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Thursday:- South Korea interest rate decision- Indonesia interest rate decision- South Korea producer price inflation (July)By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Kim Hong, Jamie McGeever, Josie Kao Organizations: Seoul Museum of Art, REUTERS, Wall, Nvidia, Shanghai CSI, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Bank of, Bank Indonesia, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Indonesia, Asia, Europe, China, Shanghai, Japan, Bank of Korea, Korea

As of January 2023, residential mortgage debt stood at C$2.08 trillion ($1.53 trillion), according to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC). Mortgage rates tend to track moves in the bond market with a lag. At 6.79%, the five-year mortgage rate posted by major Canadian banks has climbed to its highest since November 2008, data from the Bank of Canada shows. When it is time for renewal, options for homeowners hoping to shop for better interest rates might be limited as they would have to re-qualify for the stress test at the latest interest rates with their new lender. "It certainly is going to be problematic for the Canadian economy if rates stay at this level."

Persons: that's, James Laird, Laird, Daniel Foch, Foch, Stephen Brown, Nivedita Balu, Fergal Smith, Denny Thomas, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: TORONTO, Bank of Canada, Canada Mortgage, Housing Corporation, Ratehub.ca, Bank of, Toronto Regional Real Estate Board, Greater Toronto Area, Reuters, North, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: United States, Toronto, Greater Toronto, Canada, North America

☆ Analysis: With central banks' job half done, global inflation talk is shifting
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Balazs Koranyi | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

"It may just be lucky that a global demand slump or non-policy related domestic forces are driving inflation lower." This disconnect led the German central bank to issue a warning to peers this week that a tough task may still lie ahead for policymakers. "The impression took hold that inflation rates will nonetheless persist for longer above the rates targeted by central banks," the Bundesbank said. Indeed, longer-term inflation expectations for the U.S. and the euro zone remain above the banks' 2% targets. But even in the best case, weaker growth will reduce demand for imports and complicate the global outlook.

Persons: JACKSON, Steve Englander, Piet Haines Christiansen, Philip Lane, Lane, Niels Graham, Julian Evans, Pritchard, Balazs Koranyi, Dan Burns, Toby Chopra Organizations: Standard Chartered, The Bank of England, ECB, Reserve Bank of Australia, Reserve Bank of New, Danske Bank, U.S, People's Bank of, Atlantic Council, Capital Economic, Thomson Locations: , Wyoming, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Britain, Australia, New Zealand, German, Europe, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Jackson, People's Bank of China, China

Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsReuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsReuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsTo be sure, Japan and China are still forces to be reckoned with. But they don't bestride the Treasuries market like they once did, nor does the threat of them selling strike the same fear into bond investors, global markets at large, and even policymakers in Washington. China's Treasuries holdings fell a valuation-adjusted $34 billion in the first half of the year, although its U.S. agency debt holdings rose nearly $20 billion. Reuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsReuters Image Acquire Licensing RightsWith U.S. bond yields at their highest since the late 2000s, the widening yield gap is pushing the yuan and yen to historically low levels against the dollar. Speculation is rising that Beijing or Tokyo could soon dip into their Treasuries holdings to fund dollar-selling intervention in the currency market.

Persons: Kim Hong, Brad Setser, Carol Bertaut, Ruth Judson, Judson, Jamie McGeever, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: South Korean, REUTERS, Rights, Treasuries, . Treasury, Federal Reserve, Reuters, of Foreign Relations, Treasury, U.S, Bank of America, Thomson Locations: Rights ORLANDO , Florida, Japan, China, Belgium, Britain, Washington, Foreign, U.S, Beijing, Tokyo

☆ Global stock market correction likely before year-end: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( Hari Kishan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSummary poll dataReuters poll graphic on global stock market outlookBENGALURU, Aug 23 (Reuters) - Global stock markets are heading for a correction in coming months, though overall they should post marginal gains between now and the end of 2023, according to a majority of analysts polled by Reuters. A bad year for stocks in 2022 carried into this year as global central banks battled inflation with interest rate rises that are now largely drawing to an end. A 71% majority of analysts, 55 of 77, who answered an additional question in the Aug. 9-23 poll said a correction by year-end in their local equity market was either likely or very likely. A "fear of missing out" is said to have helped drive much of the equity market rallies of recent years. The year-end forecast in February's Reuters poll was 4,200.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Marko Kolanovic, Morgan, Terry Sandven, Europe's, Hari Kishan, Indradip Ghosh, Ross Finley, John Stonestreet Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Reuters, Treasury, NIKKEI, February's Reuters, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Japan's Nikkei, IPC, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, BENGALURU, Jackson, February's, Bengaluru, Buenos Aires, London, Mexico City, Milan, New York, San Francisco, Sao Paulo, Tokyo, Toronto

Their new platform is cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Global (COIN.O), which on Aug. 16 became the first crypto-focused firm to win approval to offer cryptocurrency futures to U.S. retail customers. Yet, trading volumes in derivatives decreased by nearly 13% in July to $1.85 trillion, the lowest monthly volume since December 2022 and second lowest derivatives trading volumes since 2021, research firm CCData reported. Derivatives made up 78.2% of the total cryptocurrency trading volume on centralized exchanges in July, CCData reported. Spot cryptocurrency trading volumes also fell 10.5% to $515 billion in the same period, CCData showed. This essentially means that there is potential for growth in derivatives trading.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Lucas Kiely, languish, disinclined, Todd Groth, CCData, Dessislava Aubert, Lisa Mattackal, Medha Singh, Sumanta Sen, Vidya Ranganathan, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Derivatives, Research, Reuters, Thomson Locations: United States, Bengaluru

☆ Cryptoassets increase risk in developing economies, study says
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The report's guidelines for regulating and supervising cryptoasset markets include bans, containment and regulation. "Given the offshore and pseudo-anonymous nature of cryptoasset markets, an outright ban might not prove enforceable," read the BIS paper. "On the contrary, policymakers would lose all sight of these markets, making these markets even less transparent and predictable. In addition, all potential innovation gains from cryptoasset markets would be lost." Keeping control on the flows between traditional financial systems and cryptomarket assets, or containment, hits similar hurdles as a ban as "controlling funds might not be feasible in practice."

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Rodrigo Campos, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, Bank for International, BIS, European Union, Thomson

☆ Has the War on Inflation Already Been Won? - The New York Times
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Money is the economy’s unit of account, the yardstick we use to calculate profit and loss, make contracts, specify debts and more. It’s problematic when that yardstick keeps changing length, when you have to worry about how much stuff a dollar will buy in the future. Nonetheless, the Federal Reserve, like all major central banks these days, doesn’t aim for complete price stability, or in other words, for 0 percent inflation. Mainly because an economy with modest inflation will normally have somewhat higher interest rates than one with zero inflation — a phenomenon known as the Fisher effect. And this means that low but positive inflation gives the Fed more room to cut rates in the face of a recession.

Persons: Flation, Fisher Organizations: Federal Reserve

REUTERS/Issei Kato Acquire Licensing RightsAug 23 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. After Monday's surprising resilience on Wall Street, world markets' reversion to type on Tuesday should set the tone for Asia on Wednesday - weakness in stocks, a buoyant dollar, elevated bond yields and souring investor sentiment. China's economic and financial travails remain top of mind for investors, so any sign of further incoming fiscal or monetary stimulus from Beijing will be well received. That is not something Beijing or Tokyo would do lightly, but the higher U.S. bond yields go, the more persistent the selling pressure on their respective currencies becomes. Implied yen volatility is relatively low in the yuan, and low across currency markets more broadly.

Persons: Issei Kato, Jamie McGeever, Xi Jinping, Gina Raimondo, Josie Kao Organizations: U.S ., REUTERS, Asia, Treasury, China's, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Singapore, Beijing, South Africa, U.S, Washington, China, Johannesburg, Australia

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