DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ Don’t expect much from stocks for the next decade, says JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

As investors are navigating all the buzz about this week's potential rate cut and the upcoming presidential election, JPMorgan is forecasting a serious risk to long-term stock returns. The market appears to be too expensive relative to history, according to the firm, which is projecting a 5.7% annual return from the S & P 500 over the next decade. That is barely above half its post-World War II average, analyst Jan Loeys said in a recent note to clients. .SPX 5Y mountain S & P 500 performance over the past five years. The "Great Moderation" refers to the period from the mid-1980s to 2007 that saw low inflation and steady economic growth.

Persons: Jan Loeys, Loeys Organizations: JPMorgan

☆ Save on taxes and bolster your portfolio before year-end with these moves
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

It's September – and that means it's prime time to think about maximizing after-tax returns as the year winds down. Of course, there may be a price to pay for that performance: Uncle Sam will want his share of taxes. Here are a few steps that could help you hold onto more of your portfolio's returns this year. Munis spin out income that's free of federal taxes, and they may be exempt from state levies if the investor resides in the issuing state. By directly giving low basis highly appreciated stock (instead of selling the position and donating cash proceeds), you avoid incurring the capital gains tax.

Persons: it's, Sam, Nathan Hoyt, Joel Dickson, Vanguard's, Dickson, James Shagawat, Roth, Shagawat, Malcolm Ethridge, –, Ethridge Organizations: Nvidia, Regent Peak Wealth, Investors, Roth IRA, Treasurys, Wealth Locations: Atlanta, AdvicePeriod, Paramus , New Jersey, New York , New Jersey, California, Rockville , Maryland

☆ Aussie stocks open higher as investors digest China economic data, await Fed rate verdict
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asian markets were set to open mixed Monday as investors digested the downbeat economic data from China released over the weekend, while several key markets were closed for holidays. Investors also await the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday where the central bankers are expected to make their first interest rate cut since 2020. China released a slew of worrying economic data, with August factory output, retail sales and investment numbers missing expectations. Urban jobless rate rose to a six-month high while year-on-year home prices fell at the fastest pace in nine years. Reaction to China's disappointing economic data will be likely seen in the Hong Kong market.

Locations: China, South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong

☆ Morgan Stanley lays out the stock market's best-case scenario for this week's Fed decision — and 2 areas to buy after the cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ideally the Fed will cut rates by a half-point without triggering growth worries, Morgan Stanley says. According to new research from Morgan Stanley, that would be the best possible outcome for stocks. Ahead of the rate cut, Morgan Stanley suggested that investors increase exposure to two stock cohorts that have historically outperformed in similar environments: defensive and high-quality. Defensive stocks include sectors such as utilities and consumer staples — groups that are less reliant on macroeconomic conditions to perform well. Large caps also tend to outperform small caps both before and after the Fed's first rate cut.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, —, Morgan, cyclicals, Wilson Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve

☆ Gold keeps rising to record after record. How to play it from here with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Gold is at a new record around $2,610 per ounce — more than ten times the low of just over $253 per ounce in 1999. @GC.1 ALL mountain Gold futures, long term Physical gold holders typically retain their assets through market fluctuations. The fundamental case A notable exception has been Saudi Arabia, which has historically acted as a liquidity source by buying gold when prices fell and selling as prices rose. In 2023, central banks purchased 1,037 metric tons of gold, with China buying nearly 225 tons, the largest amount since 1977. The trade As an alternative to buying gold directly, one could consider purchasing a longer-dated call option and selling a nearer-dated strangle to offset decay on the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) , which tracks the price of gold.

Persons: Carter Braxton Worth Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S, Saudi Arabia, China, Central

☆ This is the 'billion-dollar blind spot' of 401(k)-to-IRA rollovers, Vanguard finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Rollovers from a workplace retirement plan to an IRA are common after reaching certain milestones like changing jobs or retiring. watch nowAbout two-thirds of rollover investors hold cash unintentionally: 68% don't realize how their assets are invested, compared to 35% who prefer a cash-like investment, according to Vanguard. The asset manager surveyed 556 investors who completed a rollover to a Vanguard IRA in 2023 and left those assets in a money market fund through June 2024. "IRA cash is a billion-dollar blind spot," Andy Reed, head of investor behavior research at Vanguard, said in the analysis. 'It always turns into cash'The retirement system itself likely contributes to this blind spot, retirement experts said.

Persons: Sergio Mendoza Hochmann, Andy Reed, Stocks, Philip Chao, Grace Cary, they're, Chao Organizations: Vanguard, Vanguard IRA, Finance, Security Locations: John , Maryland

☆ Private-label grocery brands boomed during inflation. Prices are down, but store-brand items keep going higher
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Bob Woods | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Private brands — also called store brands and private-label brands — of foods and beverages have shared shelf space with national brands for years. Customer shopping habits are changing for goodIn the past, the value proposition of private brands was driven primarily by lower prices. But consumer attitudes are evolving, according to a recent survey by the Food Industry Association, which represents both food retailers and producers. And 46% said they expect to buy private brands somewhat or much more, compared to 27% saying that for national brands. "In the U.S., the market for private brands as an industry to eclipse national brands is not something we'll see," Baker said.

Persons: Peggy Davies, they've, Kraft Heinz, —, Rick Gomez, Sally Lyons Wyatt, John David Rainey, Scott Morris, Kroger, King Scoopers, Albertsons, Smart, Lyons Wyatt, They've, Doug Baker, Baker, Gen Zers, Xers, Steve Zurek, there's, Zurek, Morris, Gen, Joe's Organizations: Retailers, Private Label Manufacturers Association, Procter & Gamble, Walmart, Kroger, Albertsons, Target, Wall Street, Walmart U.S, Brands, Metro Market, Food Industry Association, Aldi Locations: Kellogg's, U.S, California , Florida, Western Europe

☆ Welcome to interest-rate cut week: Here's how the Fed's next move will impact everything from home prices to new cars loans
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Madison Hoff | Ayelet Sheffey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

According to CME FedWatch, which estimates interest rate changes based on market predictions, the size of the rate cut is a coin toss. As of Friday afternoon, there's a 51% chance the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points and a 49% chance it'll be an extra-large 50-basis-point cut. That's because a larger rate cut makes borrowing cheaper, which tends to drive up spending and fuel price increases. Rate cuts will also eventually make it cheaper for small businesses to take out loans. A rate cut could cause a rush of buyers to enter the market in the short term, driving up prices and competition.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Michael Madowitz, she's, McTier, it'll, Mark Hamrick, Banks, Hamrick, NerdWallet, Sara Rathner Organizations: Service, Federal, CME FedWatch, Federal Reserve, Business, Washington Center for Equitable Growth, Fed, Consumer Financial, Bureau, asheffey Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, McTier

☆ Top Morgan Stanley bankers break down 3 common mistakes startup hedge funds make
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Alex Morrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewIt's shaping up to be a bustling period for new hedge funds. Startup funds have allies in investment bank prime brokerage units, a crucial lifeline to hedge funds and a growing business on Wall Street. AdvertisementMorgan Stanley has long been home to one of the top prime brokerages, and serving hedge funds is key to the bank's equities ambitions. These are 3 of the top stumbling blocks for startup fund managers and how to handle them, according to Novick and Shaw. AdvertisementBut beyond that, continuing to engage with prospects is simply a sound business strategy.

Persons: —, Jon Caplis, Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Penny Novick, Kim Shaw, Shaw, Morgan Stanley's, Novick, they're, allocators, Hone, haven't Organizations: Service, Business, Viking

☆ Prices are easing, but wages still lag—here's when they're likely to catch up
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Mike Winters | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Looking at a different measure, median real wages — wages adjusted for inflation — have barely budged, growing at just 0.8% over the last year, as of August 2024. With wage growth cooling, the gap between wages and inflation isn't expected to close until the second quarter of 2025, according to Bankrate's projections. Leisure and hospitality workers saw wage growth of 23.7%, which is above the overall average of 17.4%. In contrast, education workers have slipped further behind, with wage gains of only 13.6% over the past three years. The Fed is widely expected to announce its first interest rate cut in more than three years this week.

Persons: there's, Sarah Foster, Foster Organizations: U.S . Department of, Federal Reserve, Wage, CNBC

☆ Currencies listless as markets waffle over Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A quarter-point reduction by the Fed as it kicks off its rate cuts is still seen as the slightly more likely outcome, but only marginally so. Futures price a total of 125 basis points in rate cuts in 2024. Investors are also looking to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on Friday, when it is expected to keep its short-term policy rate target steady at 0.25%. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem meanwhile opened the door to stepping up the pace of interest rate cuts, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The BoC, after keeping its key policy rate at 5%, a more than two-decade high, for a year, has trimmed it by a quarter point three times in a row since June.

Persons: Chris Weston, Fumio Kishida, Sanae Takaichi, Christine Lagarde, Philip R, Lane, Luis de Guindos Organizations: U.S, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Treasury, Fed, FedWatch, Bank of, Liberal Democratic Party, Sterling, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of Canada, Financial Times, BoC Locations: Japan, Asia, China, South Korea

☆ Brazil recently hit a record high. Why further gains may be harder to come by
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Brazilian stocks have been on a tear, but stubborn inflation could grind the recent rally to a stop. It's a work in progress, and most likely will require further rate hikes by the central bank." BCA Research's Arthur Budaghyan agreed that the Brazilian central bank is unlikely to hike rates for very long. Against this backdrop, Budaghyan advises clients steer clear of Brazilian stocks in the near term. U.S. investors who want exposure to the Brazilian stock market can obtain it through the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) .

Persons: Bovespa, Fernando Haddad, Goldman Sachs, Alberto Ramos, Ramos, Arthur Budaghyan, Budaghyan Organizations: U.S . Federal, CNBC, U.S, Fed, BCA, Banco, MRB Partners Locations: Lower U.S, overcompensate, America, Banco Central, Brazil, U.S

☆ A Fed rate cut may lend a helping hand to Chinese stocks. Or not.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Evelyn Cheng | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

By extension, the move in Washington, D.C. could also spell good news for Chinese stocks. High U.S. interest rates relative to China have made it fairly straightforward for global institutions to pick U.S. Treasurys over Chinese stocks. More than lower rates needed Other global investors say Chinese stocks need more than easier monetary policy to become truly attractive. The "government can push interest rates down, but if households don't want to spend the extra income, it won't go into the economy," he said. Earlier this year, People's Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng acknowledged U.S. Fed easing would create room for China to further cut interest rates.

Persons: Steven Sun, Laura Wang, Morgan Stanley, Aaron Costello, Yi Gang, Costello, James Wang, Wang, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, HSBC, HSBC Qianhai Securities, Nasdaq, U.S, Treasury, Cambridge Associates, CNBC, People's Bank of China, UBS Investment Bank Research, UBS, Hang Seng China Enterprises, China Southern Airlines, Hengli Petrochemical, Saudi, Aramco Locations: China's, Washington ,, China, 1H24, Asia, U.S, Beijing, Hang, Shenzhen, Shanghai

☆ The 2 things that will determine whether last week's stock market rally will continue this week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Zev Fima | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +11 min

The S & P 500 rebounded 4% this past week, almost clawing back all of the prior week's horrible decline. Fed watch The Fed is the big market event this week. ET: Fed rate decision Before the bell: General Mills (GIS) After the bell: Steelcase (SCS) Thursday, Sept. 19 8:30 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Jensen Huang's, Goldman Sachs, Jim, Huang, Lisa Su, Su, Vimal Kapur, Morgan, Brian Niccol, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jerome Powell, They're, Lennar, Doug Yearley, Mills, LEN, Jim Cramer's, Spencer Platt Organizations: Federal, Dow, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Club, Technology, CNBC, Oracle, Devices, TAM, Apple, Honeywell, Starbucks, Barclays Global Financial Services, Fed, FedEx, homebuilder, Home Depot, Darden, Jim Cramer's Charitable, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Las Vegas, U.S, America, Horton, New York City

See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowWhat Are Today's Mortgage Refinance Rates? Current 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates remain low after dropping last week and are hovering around 5.70%, according to Zillow data. Last month, 30-year refinance rates averaged 6.59%, while 15-year refinance rates were around 5.90%. Now, 30-year refinance rates are nearly 70 basis points lower, and 15-year refinance rates are around 50 basis points lower. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile.

Persons: they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Zillow, Fed, Mortgage, Association, ARM, . Government Locations: Chevron, Government

☆ Resist the temptation of AI and bet on safe defensive stocks, Wall Street analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-15 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

More analysts are recommending "defensive" shares over AI plays as macro conditions change. With some questioning the AI rally, investors could benefit from non-tech growth companies, an analyst said. Similar to BofA's call, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson last week called the AI theme "overcooked" and said investors should shift to defensive shares. But in tune with what others had said, Diton also touted that utilities stocks as one meaningful investment to make right now. As bullish on AI as he may be, he warned that the market has become extremely concentrated in tech's leading names, and investors need to diversify.

Persons: —, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Brad Conger, Hirtle Callaghan, Conger, Morgan Stanley's Wilson, Eric Diton, Diton Organizations: Service, Nvidia, P Global Semiconductor, Bank of America, Vanguard, JPMorgan, Wealth Alliance, Federal Reserve Locations: BlackRock

☆ S&P 500 rallies back to old highs, setting up Fed meeting to be make or break moment
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

The market's turn toward treating good economic news as positive for stocks is pictured here in a chart from Citi strategists, showing the three-month correlation between the S & P 500 and the Citi U.S. Economic Surprise index has turned sharply higher. The S & P 500's low for the week was Wednesday morning, right at the 5400 level where it previously hit a low a week ago Friday after a tepid employment report. Forward 12-month S & P 500 earnings forecasts continue to rise smartly, now approaching $270. But, thanks to the past two months of sideways churn, that's down from 21.7 when the S & P first hit its current level in July. And the rally last week could well have front-run any potential positive inference from the Fed's move next week.

Persons: Ally Financial, Ed Hyman, Loretta Mester, William Dudley, John Kolovos Organizations: Citi, Citi U.S, Fed, Ally, CPI, Wall Street, Financial Times, Treasury, National Association of Active Investment, American Association of

Mortgage rates probably won't drop much further if the Fed cuts rates, unless central bankers opt for a larger-than-expected cut. 30-Year Mortgage RatesAverage 30-year mortgage rates have been dropping this month and are now down near 5.70%, according to Zillow data. 5-Year Mortgage Rate TrendsHere's how 30-year and 15-year mortgage rates have trended over the last five years, according to Freddie Mac data. Mortgage rates are determined by a variety of different factors, including larger economic trends, Federal Reserve policy, your state's current mortgage rates, the type of loan you're getting, and your personal financial profile. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: you'll, they've, Freddie Mac, it's, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Zillow, ARM, Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Fed, Mortgage, Association Locations: Chevron

☆ 5 warning signs the economy is spiraling toward recession — and why there's 'major disconnect' between stocks and the job market
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-14 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

And yet, the unemployment rate continues to inch up, job openings continue to fall, and payroll data continue to underwhelm. But how long that enthusiasm can continue to outweigh declining labor market indicators remains to be seen. AdvertisementThe first is declining job openings, which are down to 7.6 million from 2022 highs above 12 million. BullAndBearProfits.comAnother sign Wolfenbarger shared showing the labor market is turning sour is the Kansas City Fed's Labor Market Conditions Index, which is a composite of 24 job market indicators. BullAndBearProfits.comFinally, in a September 2 note, Wolfenbarger shared a chart from Bank of America showing the decline in private job growth as a share of all job growth.

Persons: —, Jon Wolfenbarger, Merrill Lynch, Wolfenbarger, there's, BullAndBearProfits.com, John, Hussman, Stocks Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Business, Kansas City Fed's Labor, BullAndBearProfits.com, Bank of America Locations: Kansas

The 93-year-old billionaire’s legal effort to rewrite the terms of an irrevocable family trust will remain confidential, a Nevada judge ruled Thursday. The judge rejected a petition from a coalition of major news organizations seeking to make the court proceedings public. The case has drawn intense interest from power players in the overlapping worlds of media, entertainment and politics. Murdoch is one of the most influential press barons of the modern age and his family owns prized assets such as Fox News and The Wall Street Journal. The family feud has been shrouded in secrecy because all of the case filings are under seal.

Persons: Rupert Murdoch’s, Murdoch, ” Murdoch, Lachlan, — James, Elisabeth, Prudence —, Lachlan Murdoch, James Murdoch, Kamala Harris ’, ”, Rupert Murdoch, “ Organizations: Court, Fox News, Street, HBO, The New York Times, NBC News, Fox Corp, News Corp, Federal, Commission, Democratic, The, The Times, Associated Press, CNN, National Public Radio, Reuters, The Washington Locations: Nevada, Reno

☆ Morgan Stanley analysts give their favorite stocks to own for the next 12 months
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

From e-commerce firm Amazon to pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly , Morgan Stanley's top stocks to own for the next 12 months spans a wide array of sectors. The majority of Morgan Stanley's picks are tilted toward growth, with 67% of the picks meeting that classification. Here's a look at some of the stocks that Morgan Stanley says are worth owning over the next year. Amazon stock has added 23% in 2024. LLY YTD mountain Eli Lilly stock.

Persons: Eli Lilly, Morgan, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley, Brian Nowak's, Nowak, Terence Flynn's, Eli Lilly's, LLY, Flynn Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Amazon, Pharma

☆ Federal Reserve will opt for slow policy easing as there's 'still work to do' on inflation, Fitch says
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"One reason we expect Fed easing to proceed at a relatively gentle pace is that there is still work to do on inflation," the report said. On a month-on-month basis, inflation rose 0.2% from July. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3% for the month, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate. The 12-month core inflation rate held at 3.2%, in line with the forecast. It took far longer than anticipated to tame inflation and gaps have been revealed in central banks' understanding of what drives inflation."

Persons: Fitch, Dow Jones Organizations: U.S, Fitch, Labor Department, CPI, Fed Locations: Federal

☆ Americans are the richest they've ever been thanks to soaring real estate and stock prices
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Americans' net worth hit a record $163.8 trillion in Q2, driven by a surge in real estate and stock prices. Data from the Federal Reserve shows a nearly 2% increase In net worth from Q1, with real estate leading the gains. Record highs in Americans' net worth could drive a "wealth effect" that leads to the economy's continued resilience. AdvertisementNew data from the Federal Reserve reveals that Americans are the richest they've ever been. A $1.8 trillion increase in real estate valued and a $700 billion gain in stocks drove the increase.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg, " Rosenberg, It's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, National, Census Locations: States

☆ 2-year Treasury yield slides as investors assess interest rate outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Sophie Kiderlin | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over four basis points to 3.6364%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than six basis points lower to 3.5824%. Attention began to turn to the Federal Reserve meeting next week at which the central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates. Traders were last pricing in a 59% chance of a 12-basis-point rate cut and a 41% probability of a 50-basis-point reduction, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. The Fed's meeting is set to begin Tuesday before concluding Wednesday, with the interest rate decision and a post-meeting press conference.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal Reserve, Traders, PPI, Dow

☆ Stocks often drop in September — but many investors shouldn’t care
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Traders on the New York Stock Exchange floor on Sept. 9, 2024. Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty ImagesSeptember historically hasn't been kind to stock investors. September is the only month during that nearly century-long period in which investors experienced an average loss, according to Morningstar. Trying to time the market is a losing betAlistair Berg | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesInvestors holding their money in stocks for the long-term shouldn't bail, Yoder said. Don't put faith in market maximsSimilarly, investors shouldn't necessarily accept market maxims as truisms, experts said.

Persons: Spencer Platt, Morningstar, Abby Yoder, Yoder, Alistair Berg, Digitalvision, Edward McQuarrie, McQuarrie, couldn't, J.P Morgan Organizations: New York Stock, Getty, Morningstar Direct, Finance, Morgan Private Bank, Investors, Santa Clara University, Fidelity Investments, Federal Reserve, Investor, Mutual Locations: U.S, Wells, New York City, New York

Search resuls for: "Index"

25 mentions found