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☆ What the stock market does historically after the first Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 touched a record high on Tuesday , bringing its year-to-date gain to more than 18%. The S & P 500 averaged a 5.5% gain in the first three months after an initial cut, 10.6% six months later and 11.3% one year out. On average, the broader index jumped 10.2% three months later, 14.7% six months out and 18.6% one year afterward. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, ytd Other investment banks have noted this discrepancy, with Bank of America Securities also highlighting the pattern in a recent note. The worst-performing sectors 12 months after a rate cut were materials, utilities and consumer discretionary.

Persons: Canaccord, Ohsung Kwon, Canaccord Genuity, — CNBC's Gabriel Cortes Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of America Securities

☆ Oracle's Larry Ellison is now the world's 4th-richest person after a $57 billion wealth surge this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Larry Ellison surged past LVMH chief Bernard Arnault to become the world's fourth-richest person. Oracle's cofounder is worth $181 billion after gaining nearly $58 billion this year, per Bloomberg. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementLarry Ellison has overtaken Bernard Arnault to become the world's fourth-richest person with a $181 billion fortune. His net worth has soared by $57.8 billion since then, making him the third-biggest wealth gainer after Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg, up $61.4 billion, and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, up $58.5 billion.

Persons: Larry Ellison, Bernard Arnault, —, leapfrogged, Ellison, Mark Zuckerberg, Jensen Huang Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Nvidia, Business

☆ Investors are pouring into this defensive corner of the stock market amid fears of an economic slowdown
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Analysts are increasingly recommending defensive stocks to blunt the impact of an economic slowdown. The S&P 500's consumer staples sector has risen more than 4% in the last month. AdvertisementAmid fears of a recession and increased market volatility, analysts have been pointing to defensive stocks as a safe bet to hedge macro risk. Among defensive sectors — which include things like real estate and financials — investors recently have been pouring into consumer staples in particular. With the Federal Reserve likely to finally cut rates at its meeting this week, defensive stocks could be poised for further growth.

Persons: —, Morgan Stanley's, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Service, Retailers, Walmart, Target, Bank of America, P Global Semiconductor, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Locations: cyclicals

☆ Stock futures are little changed as Wall Street anticipates a long-awaited Fed rate cut: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A trader works, as a screen broadcasts a news conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell following the Fed rate announcement on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on June 12, 2024. Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Tuesday as Wall Street anticipated a long-awaited rate cut from the Federal Reserve following an aggressive multiyear hiking campaign aimed at tamping down hot inflation. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 28 points, while S&P 500 futures hovered near the flatline. Investors remain on high alert ahead of the first expected rate cut from the Fed at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting Wednesday. CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows traders pricing in a 63% chance of a 50 basis point cut, and 37% odds of a 25 basis point move.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Peter Cecchini, Axonic, CNBC's Organizations: Federal, New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Fed

☆ Americans are piling into a hot new type of ETF investing
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Read previewThe popularity of exchange-traded funds has skyrocketed over the past decade as more Americans have opted for them over mutual funds. Further, between 2014 and 2024, assets under management in ETFs were at 16%, versus 84% for mutual funds. Related storiesAn increased number of money managers are choosing to offer so-called model portfolios using ETFs as the main vehicles. This means managers opting for the ETF model portfolios have a range of active funds and expertise to choose from. It's a combination of ETFs, mutual funds, and separate accounts that are merged into a strategy.

Persons: —, Matt Barry, Jon Maier, It's, Maier, Barry, Merrill Lynch's Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Business, Touchstone Investments, Morgan, Management

☆ Companies that 'prioritize work flexibility' have the happiest workers, new ranking shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Alex Koller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

1 for employee wellbeing, according to the 2024 Work Wellbeing 100 from Indeed and the University of Oxford's Wellbeing Research Centre. Indeed's ranking found that companies with higher work wellbeing scores also have higher valuations, returns on assets and profits. "A lot of these companies tend to prioritize work flexibility," says Kyle M.K., a talent strategy advisor at Indeed. "Companies that provide choice are the ones that tend to have a much better reputation among their employees," M.K. "By prioritizing work wellbeing, companies cultivate a more resilient, effective and happier workforce which ultimately drives business growth."

Persons: Kyle M.K, LaFawn Davis, Indeed's Organizations: University of Oxford's, Research, Nasdaq, Companies, Block, Human, Delta Air Lines, Accenture Nike, International Disney Parks, Flex, Walt Disney Company Wipro, Vans, Technology Solutions, Bros Coffee Microsoft FedEx Freight, CNBC

☆ Beyond the obvious, here are the business benefits of investing in employee wellbeing
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Sponsor Post | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Employers know that prioritizing employee wellbeing is the right thing to do, but there are also business benefits. Investing in work wellbeing does more than improve employee morale — it can also drive tangible business benefits. Oxford recently analyzed Indeed's work wellbeing dataset and highlighted a strong correlation between company wellbeing and business performance. Moreover, the Indeed-Oxford research reveals the long-term business benefits of prioritizing employee wellbeing. Indeed further strengthened the business case for work wellbeing with the launch of the Work Wellbeing 100, an index ranking the top 100 publicly traded companies by their Indeed Work Wellbeing Score.

Persons: Russell, — LaFawn Davis, Davis Organizations: Oxford, University of Oxford, Nasdaq, Forrester Research, Companies, Insider Studios Locations: Oxford, millennials

☆ European stocks set to open higher with central bank decisions in focus
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Tourists are visiting the center of Munich in Munich, Germany, on July 21, 2024. LONDON — European stocks are set to open higher Tuesday, as upcoming central bank meetings remain in focus. The FTSE 100 was seen opening 38 points higher at 8,311, the German DAX up 54 points at 18,681, the French CAC 28 points higher at 7,471 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 70 points at 33,622, according to IG data. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index struggled at the start of the week, closing 0.2% lower on Monday. Investors are awaiting key monetary policy decisions the week, with the U.S. Federal Reserve widely expected to cut rates for the first time in four years on Wednesday.

Persons: DAX Organizations: LONDON, CAC, U.S . Federal Reserve Locations: Munich, Germany

☆ A hedge that pays off if the chip stock comeback isn't for real
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Despite taking a beating in the latter part of August, most chip stocks have staged an impressive relief rally so far. Additionally, it's worth noting that the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is starting to curve downwards, signaling a loss of upward momentum. The trade The trade structure I am using here is called a "bear put spread". THIS CONTENT IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND DOES NOT CONSITUTE FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX OR LEGAL ADVICE OR A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY OR OTHER FINANCIAL ASSET. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.

Persons: AVGO Organizations: Broadcom, Investment, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Rate cuts might not benefit tech the most
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record close for DowThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on Monday, with the Dow notching a record close. Next move for the BOJThe Bank of Japan won't be raising interest rates at its September meeting, according to a CNBC survey of 32 analysts. [PRO] "Golden age of fixed income"The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates this week.

Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Biden, Rick Rieder Organizations: Trade Center, CNBC, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nikkei, U.S ., Midea Group, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, Bank of India, Intel, U.S . Federal Locations: Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey, Asia, Pacific, Hong

Savings Accounts and C.D.sWhat’s happening now: The rate reversal is likely to be most disappointing for savers, who have benefited from juicier yields on everything from online savings accounts and certificates of deposit to money market funds. Those are all likely to inch lower, in line with the Fed’s move, but some providers may move faster than others. That usually depends on whether the bank wants to attract new customers by dangling yields that are more attractive than their competitors’ offerings. If you’re considering certificates of deposit, now is probably the time to lock in a decent rate if you haven’t already. Online savings accounts averaged 4.40 percent in August, down from 5.1 percent the same month last year.

Persons: you’ll, Jeff Sommer’s Locations: DepositAccounts.com

☆ The fabulous life of Michael Dell, the $108 billion tech icon betting big on AI
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Julie Bort | Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

Michael Dell is one of the world's wealthiest people, with a net worth of more than $100 billion. The Dell Technologies founder made his fortune by democratizing the PC and striking shrewd deals. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementMichael Dell, the tech entrepreneur who helped bring the personal computer to the masses, ranks among the world's wealthiest people with a net worth of $108 billion, per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Persons: Michael Dell, —, Dell Organizations: Dell Technologies, Service, Bloomberg, Fortune, Business

☆ This is the 'billion-dollar blind spot' of 401(k)-to-IRA rollovers, Vanguard finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Rollovers from a workplace retirement plan to an IRA are common after reaching certain milestones like changing jobs or retiring. watch nowAbout two-thirds of rollover investors hold cash unintentionally: 68% don't realize how their assets are invested, compared to 35% who prefer a cash-like investment, according to Vanguard. The asset manager surveyed 556 investors who completed a rollover to a Vanguard IRA in 2023 and left those assets in a money market fund through June 2024. "IRA cash is a billion-dollar blind spot," Andy Reed, head of investor behavior research at Vanguard, said in the analysis. 'It always turns into cash'The retirement system itself likely contributes to this blind spot, retirement experts said.

Persons: Sergio Mendoza Hochmann, Andy Reed, Stocks, Philip Chao, Grace Cary, they're, Chao Organizations: Vanguard, Vanguard IRA, Finance, Security Locations: John , Maryland

☆ Top Morgan Stanley bankers break down 3 common mistakes startup hedge funds make
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Alex Morrell | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Read previewIt's shaping up to be a bustling period for new hedge funds. Startup funds have allies in investment bank prime brokerage units, a crucial lifeline to hedge funds and a growing business on Wall Street. AdvertisementMorgan Stanley has long been home to one of the top prime brokerages, and serving hedge funds is key to the bank's equities ambitions. These are 3 of the top stumbling blocks for startup fund managers and how to handle them, according to Novick and Shaw. AdvertisementBut beyond that, continuing to engage with prospects is simply a sound business strategy.

Persons: —, Jon Caplis, Morgan Stanley, Ted Pick, Penny Novick, Kim Shaw, Shaw, Morgan Stanley's, Novick, they're, allocators, Hone, haven't Organizations: Service, Business, Viking

☆ We debate selling more shares of Procter & Gamble, plus Wells Fargo bounces back
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Debating P & G: We remain torn over traditional slowdown stocks like Procter & Gamble and other defensive consumer stocks. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, we're, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Wells Fargo, It's, we've, Hock Tan, Rene Haas, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Charlie Scharf, Patrick T, Fallon Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Micron, Currency, Procter, Gamble, Colgate, Palmolive, Broadcom, Arm, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Milken Institute Global Conference, Afp, Getty Locations: stock's, Wells Fargo, Beverly Hills , California

Local governments in China are still building highways, bridges and railways, as pictured here in Jiangxi province on Sept. 6, 2024. That's cutting significantly into local government revenue, especially at the district and county level, according to S&P Global Ratings analysts. watch now"Macroeconomic headwinds continue to hinder the revenue-generating power of China's local governments, particularly as related to taxes and land sales," she said. Jiangsu, Shandong, Shanghai, and Zhejiang — some of China's top provinces in tax and non-tax revenue generation — see non-tax revenue growth exceeding 15% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2024, S&P's Huang said. China's national taxation administration in June acknowledged some local governments had issued such notices but said they were routine measures "in line with law and regulations."

Persons: Huang, P's Huang, Camille Boullenois, Laura Li, Morgan Stanley, Chetan Ahya, Robin Xing Organizations: Getty, BEIJING, Global, CNBC, NingBo BoHui Chemical Technology Locations: China, Jiangxi, Beijing, Zhejiang, NingBo, Jiangsu, Shandong, Shanghai, Asia

☆ Currencies listless as markets waffle over Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A quarter-point reduction by the Fed as it kicks off its rate cuts is still seen as the slightly more likely outcome, but only marginally so. Futures price a total of 125 basis points in rate cuts in 2024. Investors are also looking to the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on Friday, when it is expected to keep its short-term policy rate target steady at 0.25%. Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem meanwhile opened the door to stepping up the pace of interest rate cuts, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. The BoC, after keeping its key policy rate at 5%, a more than two-decade high, for a year, has trimmed it by a quarter point three times in a row since June.

Persons: Chris Weston, Fumio Kishida, Sanae Takaichi, Christine Lagarde, Philip R, Lane, Luis de Guindos Organizations: U.S, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Treasury, Fed, FedWatch, Bank of, Liberal Democratic Party, Sterling, European Central Bank, ECB, Bank of Canada, Financial Times, BoC Locations: Japan, Asia, China, South Korea

☆ Stock futures are little changed as Wall Street braces for retail sales data, Fed policy meeting: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures were flat Monday evening as Wall Street readied for key retail sales data and the start of the Federal Reserve's September policy meeting. Futures tied to the S&P 500 hovered near the flatline, along with futures linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average . Investors on Tuesday will parse retail sales data for August for one final glimpse into the health of the U.S. consumer ahead of the Fed rate decision. The results could affect the rate cut outcome. She is forecasting additional 25 basis point cuts in November and December.

Persons: Biden, Dow, Dow Jones, Seema Shah Organizations: Intel, Futures, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Apple, Fed, CME Group's, September's National Association of Home Builders Housing

☆ Stocks could hit a record this week, but the move may be short lived
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The S & P 500 is on the verge of something unexpected — especially for September. The broad market index entered the week less than 1% below a record last reached in July. Krinky isn't the only one on the Street treading carefully with the S & P 500 near record highs. "With the S & P 500 close to our YE 2024 price target again, we remain neutral on the S & P 500 for now," wrote Lori Calvasina, head of global equity research at RBC Capital Markets. "However, after a sharp move lower in 10-year yields, the earnings yield gap for the S & P 500 is starting to head in a more favorable direction for stocks," Calvasina added.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, BTIG, Krinsky, Lori Calvasina, Calvasina, Mark Mahaney Organizations: Traders, Federal, Market Committee, RBC Capital Markets, ISI, of Justice

☆ Morgan Stanley lays out the stock market's best-case scenario for this week's Fed decision — and 2 areas to buy after the cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ideally the Fed will cut rates by a half-point without triggering growth worries, Morgan Stanley says. According to new research from Morgan Stanley, that would be the best possible outcome for stocks. Ahead of the rate cut, Morgan Stanley suggested that investors increase exposure to two stock cohorts that have historically outperformed in similar environments: defensive and high-quality. Defensive stocks include sectors such as utilities and consumer staples — groups that are less reliant on macroeconomic conditions to perform well. Large caps also tend to outperform small caps both before and after the Fed's first rate cut.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, —, Morgan, cyclicals, Wilson Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve

☆ Save on taxes and bolster your portfolio before year-end with these moves
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

It's September – and that means it's prime time to think about maximizing after-tax returns as the year winds down. Of course, there may be a price to pay for that performance: Uncle Sam will want his share of taxes. Here are a few steps that could help you hold onto more of your portfolio's returns this year. Munis spin out income that's free of federal taxes, and they may be exempt from state levies if the investor resides in the issuing state. By directly giving low basis highly appreciated stock (instead of selling the position and donating cash proceeds), you avoid incurring the capital gains tax.

Persons: it's, Sam, Nathan Hoyt, Joel Dickson, Vanguard's, Dickson, James Shagawat, Roth, Shagawat, Malcolm Ethridge, –, Ethridge Organizations: Nvidia, Regent Peak Wealth, Investors, Roth IRA, Treasurys, Wealth Locations: Atlanta, AdvicePeriod, Paramus , New Jersey, New York , New Jersey, California, Rockville , Maryland

☆ Aussie stocks open higher as investors digest China economic data, await Fed rate verdict
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Asian markets were set to open mixed Monday as investors digested the downbeat economic data from China released over the weekend, while several key markets were closed for holidays. Investors also await the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday where the central bankers are expected to make their first interest rate cut since 2020. China released a slew of worrying economic data, with August factory output, retail sales and investment numbers missing expectations. Urban jobless rate rose to a six-month high while year-on-year home prices fell at the fastest pace in nine years. Reaction to China's disappointing economic data will be likely seen in the Hong Kong market.

Locations: China, South Korea, Japan, Hong Kong

☆ Don’t expect much from stocks for the next decade, says JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

As investors are navigating all the buzz about this week's potential rate cut and the upcoming presidential election, JPMorgan is forecasting a serious risk to long-term stock returns. The market appears to be too expensive relative to history, according to the firm, which is projecting a 5.7% annual return from the S & P 500 over the next decade. That is barely above half its post-World War II average, analyst Jan Loeys said in a recent note to clients. .SPX 5Y mountain S & P 500 performance over the past five years. The "Great Moderation" refers to the period from the mid-1980s to 2007 that saw low inflation and steady economic growth.

Persons: Jan Loeys, Loeys Organizations: JPMorgan

☆ Stock market today: Indexes close mixed as tech stumbles and traders brace for Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Max Adams | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks ended mixed on Monday ahead of the start of the Fed's two-day policy meeting. The Fed is widely expected to deliver a rate cut of 25 or 50 basis points at the end of its meeting on Wednesday. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementStocks close mixed on Monday as traders and investors prepared for the start of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated policy meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee, the Fed's rate-setting group, is expected to deliver an interest rate cut at 2 p.m. on Wednesday.

Persons: —, Savita Subramanian, Apple, Morgan Stanley, Z Organizations: Apple, Service, Federal, Market Committee, Bank of America, Tech, Nasdaq, Broadcom, Nvidia, Micro, Micron Technology Locations: Here's

☆ Private-label grocery brands boomed during inflation. Prices are down, but store-brand items keep going higher
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Bob Woods | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Private brands — also called store brands and private-label brands — of foods and beverages have shared shelf space with national brands for years. Customer shopping habits are changing for goodIn the past, the value proposition of private brands was driven primarily by lower prices. But consumer attitudes are evolving, according to a recent survey by the Food Industry Association, which represents both food retailers and producers. And 46% said they expect to buy private brands somewhat or much more, compared to 27% saying that for national brands. "In the U.S., the market for private brands as an industry to eclipse national brands is not something we'll see," Baker said.

Persons: Peggy Davies, they've, Kraft Heinz, —, Rick Gomez, Sally Lyons Wyatt, John David Rainey, Scott Morris, Kroger, King Scoopers, Albertsons, Smart, Lyons Wyatt, They've, Doug Baker, Baker, Gen Zers, Xers, Steve Zurek, there's, Zurek, Morris, Gen, Joe's Organizations: Retailers, Private Label Manufacturers Association, Procter & Gamble, Walmart, Kroger, Albertsons, Target, Wall Street, Walmart U.S, Brands, Metro Market, Food Industry Association, Aldi Locations: Kellogg's, U.S, California , Florida, Western Europe

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