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Mortgage rates came down again last week, and with the expectation that they could fall further, mortgage demand suddenly jumped, especially for refinancing. The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in four years on Wednesday, and while mortgage rates don't follow the Fed exactly, they are influenced by policy. "The most important takeaway is that lower mortgage rates are not only not remotely guaranteed by [the] Fed rate cut. Even with this large jump in volume, it is coming off a very low base, as the vast majority of borrowers have loans with interest rates well below 5%. "Homebuyers are seeing improving affordability conditions, sparked by lower rates and slower home-price growth."
Persons: Jerome Powell's, They're, Matthew Graham, Joel Kan, Kan Organizations: Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage, Labor, Fed, Association
Market disconnectsSpeaking of mistakes in the market, Rosenthal thinks the current composition of the market is untenable and due for a correction. "We don't think the equal-weighted S&P or any kind of index ex the Mag Seven is at an extremely low valuation," Rosenthal said. Rosenthal holds CVS (CVS) in his portfolio. Nippon Sanso (NPXYY) is a Japanese oil and gas company that Rosenthal believes is undervalued. Combined with the structural tailwind of corporate reforms within Japan, Rosenthal believes this Japanese company's stock is well-positioned to appreciate in the coming years.
Persons: , Scott Rosenthal, Rosenthal, Rosenthal's, it's Organizations: Service, Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management, Wiley Global Value Fund, Business, Econ, CVS, Nippon Locations: Japan
After taking two trips to Puerto Vallarta, Bartmess was convinced it was the perfect place to retire. His first trip to Puerto Vallarta was in 1976, and he said he had fond memories there. He said a fill-up of his Jeep Wrangler costs about $60 in Puerto Vallarta. In retirement, Bartmess has spent more time working on his creative writing, and he takes part in a Puerto Vallarta writers group. Bartmess has lived in Puerto Vallarta for 14 years and said he has no plans to leave.
Persons: , Geary Bartmess, Bartmess, he's, Geary Bartmess Bartmess, Geary, He'd Organizations: Service, Social Security Administration, Business, Medicare, Puerto Vallarta Locations: Puerto Vallarta, Houston, Mexico, Canada, Japan, Texas, Puerto, American, Camarones
The decision marks a significant shift from Amazon's earlier policy, which required employees to badge in three days a week. Following the announcement, anxious workers have flooded LinkedIn and X feeds with posts wondering if their companies would be next to get rid of flexible work arrangements. Just one-third (33%) of U.S. companies require employees to come to the office five days a week, according to recent data from Flex Index, a platform that tracks companies' flexible work policies. Under 10% of tech companies with more than 1,000 employees have such a requirement. "We might see other smaller tech companies follow Amazon's lead, but most will continue sticking to some kind of hybrid arrangement," he says.
Persons: Andy Jassy, Jassy, we've, Dan Kaplan, haven't, Brian Elliott, hasn't, Kaplan, Elliott, we'll Organizations: Amazon.com Inc, Amazon, Citigroup, Walmart, UPS, Kastle Systems, Flex, Workers, Employees Locations: Seattle , Washington, lockstep, U.S
Anadolu | Getty ImagesLONDON — U.K. inflation held steady during the month of August, data from the Office for National Statistics showed Wednesday, and matched analyst expectations. Headline CPI had come in at 2% in May and June, in line with the Bank of England's target rate. Services inflation — which is closely watched by the BOE, given its dominance within the U.K. economy and its reflection of domestically-generated price rises — rose to 5.6% in August from 5.2% in July. Core inflation, excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, came in at 3.6%, up from the 3.3% recorded in July. "Despite recent data showing a stagnation in UK economic output and easing wage growth, core inflation remains sticky, with services inflation rising from 5.2% to 5.6% which will weigh heavily on the BOE's decision-making," Carter said in a note.
Persons: BOE, Richard Carter, Cheviot, Carter Organizations: Anadolu, Getty, Office, National Statistics, Headline CPI, Bank of, U.S . Federal Reserve
CNN —Following the MIND diet for 10 years produced a small but significant decrease in the risk of developing thinking, concentration and memory problems, a new study found. The MIND diet was specifically designed to combat cognitive decline, said lead study author Dr. Russell Sawyer, an assistant professor of clinical neurology and rehabilitation medicine at the University of Cincinnati Gardner Neuroscience Institute. People who followed the MIND diet more closely were 4% less likely to develop memory and thinking problems than those who did not adhere to the diet, the study found. “The benefits of the MIND diet may have a differential impact in women and Blacks and this is an area for future research.”Leafy green vegetables, berries, whole grains, seeds, and a bit of fish and poultry are staples of the MIND diet. jenifoto/iStockphoto/Getty ImagesMore research neededA 2023 randomized controlled clinical trial found the MIND diet no better than the control diet in reducing signs of cognitive decline in the brain.
Persons: Russell Sawyer, ” Sawyer, Sawyer, , David Katz, ” Katz Organizations: CNN, University of Cincinnati Gardner Neuroscience Institute, , True Health Initiative, American Academy of Neurology, National Institutes of Health, Southern, Blacks
(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Traders and investors are debating if the Federal Reserve will cut 25 basis points or 50 basis points when the decision comes at 2pm eastern time. "25 or 50 (basis points), we see a credible case for either. "The Fed is likely to adjust policy by 200 to 250 basis points over the coming year. Garewal also said this rate cut was part of a "normalization" cycle and shared research that yields on the 2-year fall 65 basis points on average after a first Fed cut.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Mark Smith, Wells, stagflation, Smith, Craig Johnson, Piper Sandler, Russell, Johnson, Goldman Sachs, Garewal, Piper Sandler's Johnson, Huntington, Kevin Murphy Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, Traders, Federal Reserve, Advisors, Worldwide Exchange, Blackstone, Mastercard, Visa, Ameris Bancorp, Fed, Ferguson Enterprises
Gold is already near the top of the 2024 range of outcomes projected by BlackRock Investment Institute, for example. Emerging market central banks have about 6% of their FX reserves in gold, and developed markets have about 12%. "Weaponizing dollar-based systems, including SWIFT , has led to more people, more countries specifically — more sovereign wealth funds and central banks — not trusting dollar-based assets as much. ETF flows As central banks have been bidding up gold, smaller investors were selling for much of this year. The VanEck Merk Gold ETF (OUNZ) and the Abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) are the other funds with at least $100 million in net inflows this year, according to FactSet.
Persons: there's, Robert Minter, Minter, SWIFT, Lauren Goodwin, we're, Chris Verrone Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, BlackRock Investment Institute, Abrdn, World Gold Council, U.S ., FX, United, Russia, New York Life Investments, MiniShares, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Abrdn . Central, Central, United States, Ukraine
It's the first time the Federal Reserve has cut rates since March 2020. The unemployment rate also ticked down in August, giving the Fed the data it needed to cut rates. AdvertisementAccording to CME FedWatch, which estimates interest-rate changes based on market predictions, a rate cut was all but certain; the question was how big of a cut the Fed would implement. Additionally, some economists and Democratic lawmakers had for months been calling for a rate cut of at least 50 basis points. "They're going to cut rates this week," Bharat Ramamurti, a senior advisor for economic strategy at the American Economic Liberties Project, told reporters during a Monday briefing.
Persons: , Jerome Powell's, Skanda Amarnath, Democratic Sens, Elizabeth Warren, John Hickenlooper, Sheldon Whitehouse, Powell, delinquencies, Bharat Ramamurti Organizations: Service, Federal, Market Committee, Federal Reserve, Business, CME FedWatch, Democratic, Fed, American Economic Liberties Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, America
US indexes edged higher as investors waited for a likely interest rate cut from the Fed. AdvertisementUS stocks rose on Wednesday as traders readied for what's likely to be the Federal Reserves's first rate cut in four years. "Though consensus is leaning toward a 50 basis point move, we look for the Fed to cut by 25 basis points today. AdvertisementFollowing the interest rate decision, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who will deliver prepared remarks during a press conference. "While the market has usually bounced immediately following the 2 PM rate decision, the sell-off usually starts at or near the end of Powell's post-FOMC press conference."
Persons: Jerome Powell's, , John Lynch, José Torres, Jerome Powell, Powell, shouldn't Organizations: Fed, Traders, Service, Federal, Comerica Wealth Management, Interactive, Deutsche Bank, Investment
Biotechnology stocks offer an under-the-radar and unappreciated way to profit from the central bank's looming campaign to start cutting the cost of borrowing, according to Goldman Sachs. Investors may have already begun to anticipate the effect of lower rates on some biotech companies. IBB .SPX mountain 2024-06-30 The iShares Biotechnology ETF has risen more than twice as much as the S & P 500 this quarter. The iShares Biotech ETF is up 7.7% this quarter while the Nasdaq Biotech Index has advanced 7.4%, more than double the 3.2% gain in the S & P 500 since June 30. Year-to-date, Regeneron is up 30.6% and Vertex by 18.3%, both outperforming the 18.1% rise in the S & P 500.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, John Flood, Goldman, Flood, Regeneron Organizations: Biotechnology, Federal Reserve, Gilead Sciences, Nasdaq Biotechnology, IQVIA Holdings, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Amgen, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, iShares Biotech, Nasdaq Biotech Locations: Gilead
Joshua Nelken-Zitser/Business InsiderThe city's 90-or-so lakes, ideal for kayaking, and some of the largest forests in the country are also nearby. Joshua Nelken-Zitser/Business InsiderAccording to an affordability index by the personal finance website Finasvalp, Vilnius is the fourth most affordable capital in Europe. Joshua Nelken-Zitser/Business InsiderShe also said she appreciates how inexpensive and convenient it is to travel from Vilnius. Joshua Nelken-Zitser/Business InsiderOutside a food hall beside the Baltasis Tiltas, or White Bridge, 22-year-old Goda Ponomariovaitė looks for a place to sit. Joshua Nelken-Zitser/Business InsiderAccording to Ponomariovaitė, Vilnius has plenty of free or affordable hangout spots.
Persons: , Valdas Benkuskas, Angel Villalba, Ignas, Kazlauskas, Ignas Kazlauskas, Joshua Nelken, Pranculis, Elizabeth Avgusta, Adriana Doroškevičiūtė, Avgusta, Doroškevičiūtė, It's, Ponomariovaitė Organizations: Service, Business, Getty, Gallup, US, Eurostat, Finasvalp, Michelin Locations: Lithuania, Vilnius, Baltic, Small, Lithuania's, Denver, London, Newcastle, Ukraine, Belarus, Berlin, Europe, Indonesia, LA's Venice, Ponomariovaitė, Amsterdam
Gold flat as investors focus on Fed
  + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices were flat on Wednesday as investors weighed chances of an outsized interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve later in the day. Gold prices were flat on Wednesday as investors weighed chances of an outsized interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve later in the day. The Fed is expected to announce a cut to interest rates for the first time in more than four years at 1800 GMT. Markets are now pricing in a 65% chance of a 50-basis-point rate cut, compared with 34% a week earlier, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Zero-yield bullion tends to be a preferred investment in a lower interest rate environment and during geopolitical turmoil.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Matt Simpson, let's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Index Locations: ., Lebanon
However, investment bank Jefferies is drawing attention to two lesser-known chip stocks that it believes could rise by more than 100%: Aixtron and Ams OSRAM . Looking ahead, analysts at Jefferies pointed to the ongoing recovery in the semiconductor industry, with global chip sales growth accelerating to 18.7% year-over-year in July. Jefferies expects shares of Aixtron to rise by 115% to 35 euros ($38.80) a share over the next 12 months. The stock is also traded in the U.S. AIXXF 1Y line Ams OSRAM Ams OSRAM , an Austrian-German semiconductor company, recently completed the issuance of 200 million euros ($222.73 million) in senior notes, yielding 10.5% in coupon payments to replace other short-term debt due in 2024. The analysts expect shares of Ams OSRAM, listed on the Swiss stock exchange, to rise 179% over the next 12 months to 2.4 Swiss francs ($2.83).
Persons: TSMC, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Goldman Sachs, Huang, Jefferies, Janardan Menon, Infineon, Aixtron Organizations: Nvidia, ASML, Jefferies, Ams OSRAM, The SOX Semiconductor, Nvidia's, Infineon, IFX, HVP, Ams Locations: Germany, Infineon, Aixtron, U.S, Austrian
Markets are gearing up for a long-awaited rate cut from the central bank Wednesday after more than two years of aggressive hiking to stem the spread of sticky inflation. Apple has been another big winner following a rate cut, rising a median of 16.2% in the past. To be sure, not every technology stock is destined for upside in the face of a cutting cycle. The stock has fallen a median of nearly 14% in the three months following an initial cut. Other potential losers following a rate cut include Analog Devices , Teradyne and IBM .
Persons: bode Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, CNBC, Digital, Apple, Apple Intelligence, Nvidia, Micron Technology, Micron, Devices, IBM
It’s also a sign of confidence from Fed officials that inflation has come under control just enough to comfortably dial back policy. Typically, in the lead-up to a Fed policy decision, Wall Street and economists are in alignment on what to expect. But investors’ wagers for a half-point cut ramped up on Monday; and as of Tuesday afternoon, federal funds futures contracts were pricing in a 63% chance of a jumbo rate cut, up from around 30% on Thursday, according to the CME Group. As inflation skyrocketed in 2021 and 2022, American employers pumped out jobs and the unemployment rate declined to half-century lows. The Fed eventually responded to the country’s inflation problem with its bitter medicine of high interest rates.
Persons: It’s, Christopher Waller, Elizabeth Warren, Robert Kaplan, Bill Dudley, , Powell, ” Gregory Daco, , ” Julia Hermann Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Street, CME, Fed, Democratic, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Former New York, Bloomberg, Dow, Labor, New York Life Investments, CNN
GLAAD, the LGBTQ media advocacy organization, has released its 12th annual Studio Responsibility Index tracking films released during 2023. Despite “a huge increase in LGBTQ characters who were front and center in their own narratives,” the study found the number of films with LGBTQ characters dropped in 2023. The survey looked at 256 films from 10 major distributors and their subsidiaries and streaming services. Those 70 films included 170 LGBTQ characters, of which 46% were characters of color, representing an increase of 6% from the 2022 study. If LGBTQ representation continues to decline in major releases, these companies will lose relevance with a crucial buying audience.
Persons: GLAAD’s Vito Russo, Sarah Kate Ellis, ” Megan Townsend, GLAAD's Organizations: GLAAD, Amazon, Apple, Lionsgate, Netflix, Paramount Global, Sony, Walt Disney Studios, Warner Bros, Discovery, NBC, , Queer Creative Summit, Equity, Media, Entertainment Initiative, GLAAD Media Institute Locations: Mexico
Read previewUma Moriarity, a senior investment strategist at a real estate investment firm based outside of Philadelphia, is feeling better about deal-making in commercial real estate. A reduction in the Fed's benchmark rate would bring relief to the $22.5 trillion US commercial real estate market, which was shaken by a series of interest rate increases beginning in March 2022. AdvertisementThe increases diminished commercial property values, raised mortgage defaults, and triggered the sector's worst downturn since the financial crisis more than 15 years ago. "We're looking at a very good 2025 and beyond," Mark Rose, the CEO of the real estate services firm Avison Young, said. "Commercial property prices have increased over the past few months as bond yields have declined," Peter Rothemund, the co-head of strategic research at Green Street, said in the firm's recent property pricing report.
Persons: , Uma Moriarity, Moriarty, Mark Rose, Avison Young, Richard Barkham, We've, Fitch, CMBS, Peter Rothemund, Alan Todd, Todd, CLO Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Business, CenterSquare Investment Management, Green, Mortgage, Association, Bank of America, Bank of America Securities Locations: Philadelphia, Trepp
Analysts are increasingly recommending defensive stocks to blunt the impact of an economic slowdown. The S&P 500's consumer staples sector has risen more than 4% in the last month. AdvertisementAmid fears of a recession and increased market volatility, analysts have been pointing to defensive stocks as a safe bet to hedge macro risk. Among defensive sectors — which include things like real estate and financials — investors recently have been pouring into consumer staples in particular. With the Federal Reserve likely to finally cut rates at its meeting this week, defensive stocks could be poised for further growth.
Persons: , Morgan Stanley's, Mike Wilson, Wilson, that's, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Service, Retailers, Walmart, Target, Bank of America, P Global Semiconductor, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve Locations: cyclicals
Savings Accounts and C.D.sWhat’s happening now: The rate reversal is likely to be most disappointing for savers, who have benefited from juicier yields on everything from online savings accounts and certificates of deposit to money market funds. Those are all likely to inch lower, in line with the Fed’s move, but some providers may move faster than others. That usually depends on whether the bank wants to attract new customers by dangling yields that are more attractive than their competitors’ offerings. If you’re considering certificates of deposit, now is probably the time to lock in a decent rate if you haven’t already. Online savings accounts averaged 4.40 percent in August, down from 5.1 percent the same month last year.
Persons: you’ll, Jeff Sommer’s Locations: DepositAccounts.com
Michael Dell is one of the world's wealthiest people, with a net worth of more than $100 billion. The Dell Technologies founder made his fortune by democratizing the PC and striking shrewd deals. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! AdvertisementMichael Dell, the tech entrepreneur who helped bring the personal computer to the masses, ranks among the world's wealthiest people with a net worth of $108 billion, per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Persons: Michael Dell, , Dell Organizations: Dell Technologies, Service, Bloomberg, Fortune, Business
A trader works, as a screen broadcasts a news conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell following the Fed rate announcement on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on June 12, 2024. Stock futures were flat in overnight trading Tuesday as Wall Street anticipated a long-awaited rate cut from the Federal Reserve following an aggressive multiyear hiking campaign aimed at tamping down hot inflation. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 28 points, while S&P 500 futures hovered near the flatline. Investors remain on high alert ahead of the first expected rate cut from the Fed at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting Wednesday. CME Group's FedWatch Tool shows traders pricing in a 63% chance of a 50 basis point cut, and 37% odds of a 25 basis point move.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Peter Cecchini, Axonic, CNBC's Organizations: Federal, New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Fed
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record close for DowThe S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average rose on Monday, with the Dow notching a record close. Next move for the BOJThe Bank of Japan won't be raising interest rates at its September meeting, according to a CNBC survey of 32 analysts. [PRO] "Golden age of fixed income"The U.S. Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates this week.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Biden, Rick Rieder Organizations: Trade Center, CNBC, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nikkei, U.S ., Midea Group, Hong Kong, Bank of Japan, Bank of India, Intel, U.S . Federal Locations: Manhattan, Jersey City , New Jersey, Asia, Pacific, Hong
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, we've, Stanley Black, Decker, Jim, Hock Tan, Stocks, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, TJX Companies, Depot, Microsoft, Management, Excel, Broadcom, Intel, Hewlett Packard Enterprise, Devices
1 for employee wellbeing, according to the 2024 Work Wellbeing 100 from Indeed and the University of Oxford's Wellbeing Research Centre. Indeed's ranking found that companies with higher work wellbeing scores also have higher valuations, returns on assets and profits. "A lot of these companies tend to prioritize work flexibility," says Kyle M.K., a talent strategy advisor at Indeed. "Companies that provide choice are the ones that tend to have a much better reputation among their employees," M.K. "By prioritizing work wellbeing, companies cultivate a more resilient, effective and happier workforce which ultimately drives business growth."
Persons: Kyle M.K, LaFawn Davis, Indeed's Organizations: University of Oxford's, Research, Nasdaq, Companies, Block, Human, Delta Air Lines, Accenture Nike, International Disney Parks, Flex, Walt Disney Company Wipro, Vans, Technology Solutions, Bros Coffee Microsoft FedEx Freight, CNBC
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