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"We're definitely seeing a bit of a soft open in the IPO market", said Lizzie Reed, global head of the ECM syndicate desk at Goldman Sachs. Arm and Instacart shares briefly fell below their issue price, suggesting there is still some way before the IPO market fully recovers. Medical glass producer Schott Pharma (1SXP.F) debuted on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange on Thursday, with shares closing 16% above the IPO price. Klaviyo's shares are now trading at a 21% premium to their IPO price. "For the IPO market to open more broadly in the first quarter in 2024 ... we need the 2023 IPO cohort to continue to perform well," said Josh Weismer, head of U.S. ECM, Mizuho Americas.

Persons: Lizzie Reed, Goldman Sachs, IPOs, Robert Stowe ,, Suneel Hargunani, Schott, ThyssenKrupp, Hidrolectrica, Ross Devor, ”, Samir A, Gandhi, Stephane Gruffat, SoftBank, Josh Weismer, Echo Wang, Pablo Mayo, Anousha Sakoui, David Holmes Organizations: Bankers, ECM, Arm Holdings, Barclays, Citigroup, Schott Pharma, Frankfurt Stock Exchange, Thoma Bravo, Deutsche Bank, Nvidia, Apple, Qatar Investment Authority, U.S, Mizuho, Pablo Mayo Cerqueiro, Thomson Locations: United States, Europe, British, New York, U.S, IPOs, East, Africa, Romanian, Qatar, Mizuho Americas, London

☆ Markets in Q3: Gains, pains and oil reigns
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Marc Jones | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The chimneys of the Total Grandpuits oil refinery are seen just after sunset, southeast of Paris, France, March 1, 2021. Gold has lost its shine too meaning that only oil and gas, cash and the dollar have proved reliably profitable. “If you are going above $100 a barrel and staying there you are starting to create that inflation narrative again”. Athens’ main stock market is up 26.5% this year, even if it is down 11% since July. “The comforting news for Q4 though is that we should be close to peak (global) interest rates,” Metcalfe said.

Persons: Christian Hartmann, It’s, Salman Ahmed, Japan’s, ”, Robert Alster, El Salvador’s, Tayyip Erdogan’s, Argentina’s, Michael Metcalfe, ” Metcalfe Organizations: REUTERS, Christian, Federal Reserve &, Macro, Deutsche Bank, Management, Russia, U.S, Athens ’, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, Street Global Markets, Indicators Locations: Paris, France, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Ukraine, Greece, Athens, Pakistan, Britain’s, Turkey, Nigeria, Colombia, Mexico, U.S, Poland, Ecuador, Japan

☆ Evergrande founder joins list of Chinese tycoons investigated, arrested
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Following is a list of some other high-profile Chinese executives who have been investigated or arrested under Xi's leadership. BAO FAN, FOUNDER OF CHINA RENAISSANCEThe founder of China Renaissance Holdings (1911.HK) was detained in February and the investment bank said in August he was co-operating with authorities as investigations continued. Wu was arrested in June 2017 amid Beijing’s campaign to curtail big-spending conglomerates as it cracked down on financial risk. YE JIANMING, FOUNDER OF CEFC CHINA ENERGYIn 2017, Ye's CEFC agreed to buy a nearly $9.1 billion stake in Russian oil major Rosneft. A year later, he was investigated for suspected economic crimes and disappeared from public view in March 2018.

Persons: Hui Ka Yan, Xi Jinping, ZHAO WEIGUO, Tsinghua Unigroup, Zhao, Bao, Morgan Stanley, Didi, XIAO JIANHUA, Xiao, CHEN FENG, TAN XIANGDONG, GROUP, Tan, WU XIAOHUI, Wu, JIANMING, Ye's CEFC, magazine's, Kane Wu, Selena Li, Anne Marie Roantree, Miyoung Kim, Lincoln Organizations: HK, Evergrande, TSINGHUA UNIGROUP, Tsinghua University, Tsinghua, OF CHINA, China Renaissance Holdings, Credit Suisse Group, OF, China's Communist Party elite, Reuters, HNA, Hainan Airlines, Deutsche Bank, Hilton Worldwide, Prosecutors, Thomson Locations: China, Chinese, Guangdong, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Hainan, CHINA

Those potential returns can come from two places: Danaher stock and shares of Veralto (VLTO), the soon-to-be-standalone company that's in the business of water quality. When we receive Veralto shares on Monday, as all Danaher shareholders will, we intend to keep them, based on their current expected value. A "when-issued" market was established Wednesday for both Danaher and Veralto stock, providing a first look at how investors are valuing the companies on their own. Investors will receive one share in Veralto for every three shares of Danaher they own. The caveat is that spin-off debuts can see substantial volatility, and if Veralto shares were to receive a big pop, our discipline may require us to capitalize on that and take profits.

Persons: it's, Danaher, Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's, Veralto, we'll, –, disinfect, That's, we've, attractively, We're, Jim, Pavlo Gonchar Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Zebra Technologies, CNBC, Getty Locations: Veralto, Danaher, DHR, Wells, York

☆ Trump and his 3 eldest children will testify at his business-fraud trial. Here's the whole list.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Laura Italiano | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Now, she must testify against her father and brothers Donald Trump, Jr., and Eric Trump, who remain as plaintiffs. AdvertisementAdvertisementThere are 25 witnesses in all on James' list, including Trump corporate employees, lenders, insurers, and appraisers, all compelled by subpoena to testify. The list indicates that on their direct defense case, Trump's side, too, intends to call Donald Trump and Eric Trump, who continues to manage the Trump Organization. They do not list Ivanka Trump and Donald Trump, Jr., as witnesses. The trial will determine whether the other defendants, including Eric Trump and Donald Trump, Jr., a Trump Org executive vice president and trustee, are also liable for fraud.

Persons: Trump, Letitia James, —, Donald Trump, Ivanka Trump, she's, Donald Trump , Jr, Eric Trump, Donald Bender, Trump's, Bender, James, Mazars, Jeffrey McConney, Allen Weisselberg, Michael Cohen, Arthur Engoron, Donald Trump's, Engoron Organizations: Service, Trump Organization, Deutsche Bank, Trump Org's, Post, Mazars USA, Trump, New, Trump Org Locations: NYC, Manhattan, Washington, York, New York

☆ Deutsche Bank says buy General Electric after monster 2023 run, sees more than 25% gain ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

General Electric is having a banner year, and Deutsche Bank thinks the industrial giant could see even more gains going forward. The bank initiated GE with a buy rating and a $141 per share price target. GE YTD mountain General Electric stock has climbed more than 69% in 2023. "[W]e think the stock is well positioned to outperform— even after the big YTD run," Deuschle said. The analyst added GE Aerospace will create a "self reinforcing loop" to reinvest in technology and add to its market share.

Persons: Scott Deuschle, Deuschle, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Deutsche Bank, GE, General, Aerospace, GE Aerospace

☆ Here are Thursday's biggest analyst calls: Meta, Apple, Amazon, GE, Sunrun, Micron, Microsoft & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Citi reiterates Sunrun as buy Citi said it's bullish heading into Sunrun earnings later this quarter. We believe RUN has higher inventory than its peers and will take longer to utilize the higher priced inventory." Bank of America reiterates Meta as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating on Meta shares after the company's Meta Connect event on Wednesday. Needham reiterates Amazon as buy Needham said investors should buy any dip in shares of the e-commerce giant. Goldman Sachs reiterates Micron as buy Goldman said it's standing by its buy rating on shares Micron after its earnings report on Wednesday.

Persons: BTIG, Evercore, Teradata, Sunrun, it's, Ray Ban Smart, Needham, Wolfe, Bernstein, TSCO, Davidson's, Apple, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Wendy's Organizations: Citi, UBS, Bank of America, Meta, Boeing, Davidson, Tractor Supply, JPMorgan, Huntington Ingalls Industries, Defense, Microsoft, Apple, Services, Digital Investment Management, Deutsche Bank, General Electric, Deutsche, GE, Emerson Electric Deutsche, Micron Locations: financials

☆ Jeffrey Epstein leaves small mark on Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Jeffrey Goldfarb | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. financier Jeffrey Epstein appears in a photograph taken for the New York State Division of Criminal Justice Services' sex offender registry March 28, 2017 and obtained by Reuters July 10, 2019. Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 27 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Wall Street is getting ready to move on from the Jeffrey Epstein saga. It ultimately has cost JPMorgan some $365 million in settlements, including Tuesday’s proposed resolution, while Deutsche is paying out $75 million. Some financiers linked to Epstein, who killed himself while in jail awaiting trial in 2019, also paid a price. He also reached a $63 million deal with the U.S. Virgin Islands to avoid any legal claims linked to the investigations.

Persons: Jeffrey Epstein, Epstein’s, Tuesday’s, Epstein, Billionaire Leon Black, Jes Staley, JPMorgan’s, Wall, Peter Thal Larsen, Sharon Lam Organizations: New York State Division, Criminal, Services, Reuters, REUTERS, Acquire, JPMorgan, United States Virgin, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Billionaire, Apollo Global Management, U.S . Virgin, Barclays, Thomson Locations: United, United States Virgin Islands

☆ Deutsche Bank trims Tesla price target, cites risks to the electric vehicle maker's prospects going forward
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

In addition to a third-quarter miss, Deutsche Bank sees "meaningful downside risk" to Tesla 's 2024 consensus expectations due to limited volume growth next year. Analyst Emmanuel Rosner cut his price target on the stock by $15 to $285, which suggests shares can gain 16.7% from Tuesday's closing price. "We see near term risk from weaker fundamentals into 2024," Rosner said in a Tuesday note. Despite its stock price boom, Rosner isn't too confident about Tesla's prospects going forward. The analyst lowered his third-quarter revenue forecast to $23.3 billion on lower volume expectations, down from $24.1 billion.

Persons: Tesla, Emmanuel Rosner, Rosner, Rosner isn't, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Barclays Locations: 4Q23, China

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Tesla, Apple, Microsoft, Mattel, Amazon, Costco & more
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-27 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

UBS reiterates Apple as neutral UBS said its survey checks show wait times for Apple's newest iPhone are shorter than compared to one year ago. Deutsche Bank reiterates Tesla as buy Deutsche said it sees "meaningful downside risk" in 2024 for Tesla, but that it's standing by its buy rating. " Bank of America reiterates Costco as buy Bank of America said it's standing by its buy rating after the company's earnings report Tuesday. "We initiate coverage of Leonardo DRS with a Buy rating and a $20 price objective, implying 23% upside potential." Bank of America reiterates Walmart as buy Bank of America said it sees gross margin expansion continuing for shares of the big box retailer.

Persons: Tesla, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Brent, Morgan Stanley, Leonardo, Mattel, Evercore, TD Cowen, Levi's, William Blair, Berenberg, DA Davidson Organizations: Street, HSBC, Johnson, UBS, Apple, Deutsche Bank, Deutsche, Chevron, Bank of America, Occidental Petroleum, Costco, Kosmos Energy, of America, T Bank, MTB, Amazon, Electric Vehicle Supply, Leonardo DRS, BMO, Microsoft, Mattel, Biosciences, Twist Bioscience Corp, Walmart Locations: China, Europe, Berkshire

JPMorgan said its $75 million settlement with the USVI includes $30 million to support charitable organizations, $25 million to strengthen law enforcement to combat human trafficking, and $20 million for attorney's fees. Epstein died in August 2019 in a Manhattan jail cell while awaiting trial for sex trafficking. INTERNAL WARNINGSIn July, USVI said it wanted JPMorgan to pay at least $190 million, including a $150 million civil fine, and possibly much more to resolve the lawsuit. Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE), where Epstein was a client from 2013 to 2018, in May reached a $75 million settlement with women who said Epstein sexually abused them. Staley has expressed regret for his friendship with Epstein and denied knowing about his sex trafficking.

Persons: Caitlin Ochs, JPMorgan Chase, Jes Staley, Jeffrey Epstein, Epstein, Staley, Ariel Smith, USVI, JPMorgan, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Nupur Anand, Lananh Nguyen, Jonathan Stempel, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Daniel Wallis 私 Organizations: JPMorgan Chase Bank, REUTERS, JPMorgan, U.S . Virgin, Deutsche Bank, Barclays Locations: New York City, U.S, Manhattan, York, New York

☆ Donald Trump committed fraud for years by inflating his worth to banks and insurers, a New York judge finds
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Laura Italiano | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

The ruling is a pre-trial win for the state Attorney General, who wants him banned from doing business in NY. AdvertisementAdvertisementIn a stunning, pre-trial win in New York attorney general's all-out war on the Trump Organization, a Manhattan judge has found that Donald Trump committed fraud for years by inflating his worth to banks and insurers by as much as $3.6 billion a year. Instead, the judge gave a major victory to Attorney General Letitia James, finding in her favor that Trump is liable for fraud. "The New York Attorney General is none of the above." New York Attorney General Letitia James wants Trump's business banned from New York.

Persons: Trump, —, general's, Donald Trump, Arthur Engoron, Letitia James, James, Alina Habba, Michael Madaio, Clifford S, Robert, Michael Farina, Christopher Kise, Armen Morian, Engoron, Erin Schaff, Marx, Chico Marx, Chicolini, Margaret Dumont, Gloria Teasdale Organizations: Service, Trump Organization, Trump, Appellate Division, New York, . New York, Deutsche Bank Locations: Manhattan, NY, New York, American, ., Saudi Arabia

☆ Morning Bid: Bond crush stifles markets as $134 billion hits
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

The yield spike has supercharged the U.S. dollar worldwide - both a reflection and aggravator of mounting financial stress far and wide. As Deutsche Bank notes, this is historically significant territory as the average of the 10-year yield going back to 1799 is around 4.50%. The Treasury sells $48 billion in two-year notes on Tuesday, $49 billion in five-year paper on Wednesday and $37 billion in seven-year notes on Thursday. Minneapolis Fed Bank President Neel Kashkari said on Monday the Fed probably needs to raise borrowing rates further. Private sector bankers are starting to brace for the worst, with JP Morgan chief Jamie Dimon reported overnight as warning: "I am not sure if the world is prepared for 7% (Fed rates)."

Persons: Jose Luis Gonzalez, Mike Dolan, South Korea's, Sterling, haven't, Neel Kashkari, Said Kashkari, Austan Goolsbee, JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon, Christine Lagarde, China Evergrande, Michelle Bowman, Christina Fincher Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, U.S ., Bank of Japan, South, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Minneapolis Fed, Chicago Fed, European Central Bank, ECB, Dallas Fed's, Chicago Fed's, HK, Richmond Fed, Dallas Fed, Philadelphia Fed, Costco, Cintas, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, U.S, Wall St, Asia, Europe, Philadelphia, Washington

☆ JPMorgan will pay $75 million to settle US Virgin Islands Jeffrey Epstein sex-trafficking claims
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Jacob Shamsian | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

JPMorgan is paying $75 million to settle a lawsuit from the US Virgin Islands over links with Jeffrey Epstein. JPMorgan is still pointing fingers at the US Virgin Islands, saying the funds will be used to shore up its law enforcement. AdvertisementAdvertisementJPMorgan Chase has agreed to pay $75 million to settle a civil lawsuit from the US Virgin Islands over claims that it facilitated Jeffrey Epstein's sex trafficking operation. The funds come on top of the $290 million JPMorgan Chase has already agreed to settle a separate class-action lawsuit brought by Epstein victims, to fund a compensation program. Epstein owned two islands in the US Virgin Islands, which were sold by his estate earlier this year to billionaire Stephen Deckoff for $60 million.

Persons: Jeffrey Epstein, Jes Staley, —, Chase, Jeffrey Epstein's, Motley, JPMorgan Chase, Epstein, Staley, Stephen Deckoff, Denise George, Ariel M, Smith, Patricia Wexler, Wexler, Ghislaine Maxwell Organizations: JPMorgan, US Virgin Islands, Service, US, Islands, Motley Rice LLC, Barclays, Virgin, Virgin Islands, Department, Justice, Deutsche Bank Locations: Virgin, Manhattan

☆ SEC Fines Deutsche Bank Fund Unit for ESG Claims, Money Laundering Allegations
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Mengqi Sun | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

This copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com. https://www.wsj.com/articles/sec-fines-deutsche-bank-fund-unit-for-money-laundering-and-esg-misstatements-18f5c865

Persons: Dow Jones

The headquarters of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., May 12, 2021. DWS Investment Management Americas made "concerning" misstatements regarding its ESG investment process, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) said in a statement. Separately, the SEC found DWS failed to develop a mutual fund anti-money laundering program as required by law. Reuters in July reported that the SEC was preparing to slap DWS with a fine after a two-year probe into allegations of "greenwashing". Under Democratic leadership, the SEC has pledged to crack down on the inflating of ESG credentials to attract investors.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, DWS, Goldman Sachs, BNY, Chris Prentice, Chizu Nomiyama, Emelia Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Washington , D.C, REUTERS, Deutsche Bank, DWS Investment Management, SEC, Regulators, Democratic, BNY Mellon, Thomson Locations: Washington ,, Germany

☆ China bans Nomura senior investment banker from leaving mainland — sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Signage for Nomura Holdings Inc. displayed outside a Nomura Securities Co. branch in Tokyo, Japan, on Monday, April 24, 2023. Authorities in China have ordered a senior Nomura Holdings banker overseeing the firm's investment banking operations there not to leave the mainland, two sources with knowledge of the matter said. Charles Wang Zhonghe, China investment banking chairman at Nomura, is prohibited from travelling outside the mainland, said the sources, who sought anonymity as they were not authorised to speak to media. A Reuters analysis has found an apparent surge of court cases involving such bans in recent years, and foreign business lobbies are voicing concern about the trend. In August last year, he was also appointed as chairman of Nomura Orient International Securities, the bank's majority-owned securities business headquartered in the commercial hub of Shanghai.

Persons: Charles Wang Zhonghe, Wang, Nomura, Bao Fan, Cong Lin, Bao, Cong, Nomura's Wang, Wang Wenbin, Mintz, Zhong Organizations: Nomura Holdings Inc, Nomura Securities Co, Nomura Holdings, Nomura, Financial Times, China Renaissance Holdings, ICBC, Commercial Bank of China Ltd, Reuters, Bain & Company, Group, Beijing, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Securities, Nomura Orient International Securities Locations: Tokyo, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai

REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 26 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Goldman Sachs' financial conditions indexes for China and emerging markets at large are the highest in almost a year. In China, meanwhile, the property sector is back under the spotlight after shares of property developer Evergrande tumbled 21% on Monday on renewed uncertainty about the firm's debt restructuring. The broader property sector index fell 2.5%. Evergrande shares, but the company is systemically important - it is the world's most indebted developer and the property sector accounts for roughly a quarter of China's economy.

Persons: Aly, Jamie McGeever, Goldman Sachs, Evergrande, Valdis Dombrovskis, Fed's Neel Kashkari, Josie Kao Organizations: China Evergrande Group, REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Global, Deutsche Bank, Barclays, Union, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Danzhou, Hainan province, China, Asia, Japan, U.S, Beijing, Singapore

☆ China bans Nomura senior investment banker from leaving mainland -sources
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The logo of Nomura Securities is pictured at the company's Otemachi Head Office in Tokyo, Japan, November 18, 2016. Charles Wang Zhonghe, China investment banking chairman at Nomura, is prohibited from travelling outside the mainland, said the sources, who sought anonymity as they were not authorised to speak to media. Asked why the Nomura banker was barred from leaving, Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said he did not have knowledge of the situation at a regular news briefing on Monday. A Reuters analysis has found an apparent surge of court cases involving such bans in recent years, and foreign business lobbies are voicing concern about the trend. In August last year, he was also appointed as chairman of Nomura Orient International Securities, the bank's majority-owned securities business headquartered in the commercial hub of Shanghai.

Persons: Toru Hanai, Charles Wang Zhonghe, Wang, Nomura, Bao Fan, Cong Lin, Bao, Cong, Nomura's Wang, Wang Wenbin, Mintz, Zhong, Selena Li, Kane Wu, Makiko Yamazaki, Liz Lee, Sumeet Chatterjee, Clarence Fernandez Organizations: Nomura Securities, REUTERS, Authorities, Nomura Holdings, Nomura, Financial Times, China Renaissance Holdings, HK, ICBC, Commercial Bank of China Ltd, Reuters, Bain & Company, Group, Beijing, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Securities, Nomura Orient International Securities, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, China, Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai

☆ DWS to pay $25 mln over US charges over ESG misstatements, other violations
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Photographer: Alex Kraus/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesDeutsche Bank-controlled investment firm DWS will pay $25 million to settle charges over misstatements regarding its environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investing and failures in policies designed to prevent money laundering, U.S. regulators said on Monday. DWS Investment Management Americas, a registered investment adviser, made "concerning" misstatements regarding its ESG investment process, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said in a statement. Representatives for DWS, which did not admit or deny the SEC's findings, did not respond to requests for comment. Separately, regulators found DWS failed to develop a mutual fund anti-money laundering program as required by law. The firm did not have systems in place that were "reasonably designed" to flag potential money laundering, the SEC said in a separate order.

Persons: Alex Kraus Organizations: Deutsche Bank AG, Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg, Getty Images Deutsche Bank, DWS Investment Management, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, DWS Locations: Frankfurt, Germany

☆ Deutsche Bank examined economic data going all the way back to the 1700s and narrowed down the 4 criteria that indicate a recession is coming — and the US economy just triggered the final warning sign
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-24 | by ( Mark Reeth | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

And while 12 months of speculation can seem like a lifetime for investors who just want an answer, it's really only a small moment in economic history. Reid and his team spotted plenty of patterns in all that data, including the common warning signs of a recession. For example, scholars and economists have been tracking recession data in the UK since 1700, while Italy only began tracking recessions in 1980. Reid wrote that black swan events such as geopolitical shocks, natural disasters, and global pandemics happen more often than people think. "And that's before we get on to more traditional causes of recessions, like monetary tightening or speculative bubbles," Reid wrote.

Persons: it's, Jim Reid, Reid, would've, Deutsche Bank Reid Organizations: Deutsche Bank Locations: Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan

Sept 22 (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank AG (DBKGn.DE) has hired Ainslee Withey, a Barclays (BARC.L) technology banker, as a managing director in its technology investment banking group for internet dealmaking, according to people familiar with the matter. Withey, who spent 15 years at Barclays and focused on internet investment banking, will be based in San Francisco and report to Deutsche's co-head of technology, media and telecoms (TMT) investment banking, Ajay Shah, the sources said, adding that she will start her new role in December. Deutsche declined to comment, while Barclays did not immediately respond to requests for comment. Withey started her investment banking career at Lehman Brothers in 2005 and joined Barclays three years later. In July, Deutsche hired 50 senior bankers in the origination and advisory business of its global investment bank.

Persons: Ainslee Withey, Deutsche's, Ajay Shah, Withey, Milana Vinn, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Deutsche Bank AG, Barclays, Deutsche, Lehman Brothers, Thomson Locations: San Francisco, Americas, New York

☆ Explainer: UAW expands strikes against GM, Stellantis in fight over new contract
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +6 min

People attend a UAW rally to support striking workers outside an assembly plant in Louisville, Kentucky, U.S., September 21, 2023. The UAW, which represents 46,000 GM workers, 57,000 Ford employees and 43,000 Stellantis workers, kicked off negotiations with the companies in July. Contract talks between the UAW and the Detroit automakers in past years had gone on until the strike deadline and beyond. In fiscal 2019, GM's fourth-quarter profit took a $3.6 billion hit from a 40-day UAW strike. The UAW is pushing automakers to eliminate the two-tier wage system under which new hires can earn far less than veterans.

Persons: Michael Swensen, Shawn Fain, they’ve, Fain, Mark Reuss, Ford, GM's, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Biden, Tesla, Nathan Gomes, Paul Simao, Sriraj Kalluvila, Diane Craft, Anil D'Silva Organizations: UAW, REUTERS, United Auto Workers, General Motors Co, Ford Motor, General Motors, Chrysler, WHO, Ford, Detroit, Reuters, Ford Bronco, Chevrolet, Wall, GM, FROM, Detroit Free Press, EV, Deutsche Bank, Thomson Locations: Louisville , Kentucky, U.S, Michigan , Ohio, Missouri, Chevrolet Colorado, Bengaluru, Washington

NICKELS & STEAMROLLEREstimating the size of hedge funds' basis trade bets is difficult because transparency and visibility around hedge funds is so low at the best of times, especially with regard to their more complex activities and strategies. Many analysts look at leveraged funds' position in Treasuries futures, and the Aug. 30 Fed paper also noted speculators' repo borrowings. This is a fairly reliable sign of basis trade activity, the Aug. 30 Fed paper says. Overnight repo rates have steadily tracked the fed funds policy rate since March 2022. Basis trade liquidation, as funds got squeezed out of their positions through margin and collateral calls as volatility rocketed, likely contributed to that dislocation.

Persons: Steven Zeng, Christoph Schon, Jamie McGeever, Paul Simao Organizations: Fed, Bank for International, Deutsche Bank, STEAMROLLER, Futures, Reuters, Thomson Locations: ORLANDO, Florida, U.S

☆ How AI will change the job of the junior banker and raise the bar to entry
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-22 | by ( Bianca Chan | Emmalyse Brownstein | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +12 min

But let's face it, many of the tasks junior bankers spend their time on could very well be done by a robot. "As a junior banker you don't critically think. With artificial intelligence progressing by leaps and bounds, how will it impact the job of the junior banker? She said it's already helping junior bankers get their jobs done faster. "It will allow junior bankers to operate at a higher level with that first pass of analysis being prepared by the technology," said Torrente.

Persons: Wall, Tamara Bitticks, it's, Carlo Allegri, Bitticks, Crystal Cox, Peter Torrente, Bogdan Tudose, Morgan Stanley, Tudose, Goldman Sachs, Banks Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Reuters, Deloitte, Industry, Wall, Google, KPMG, Blackstone, JPMorgan, Excel, Getty, Deutsche Locations: Manhattan, San Francisco

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