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What lower rates mean for markets
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
The Fed on Wednesday lowered interest rates, marking the first rate cut since March 2020. A decline in interest rates should, theoretically, mean good news for the stock market. The Fed likely won’t take rates lower as aggressively as they were raised, unless the economy takes a downturn and necessitates loose economic conditions. While mortgage rates and bond yields have begun drifting lower, companies and consumers still might not feel the effects of lower rates right away. But investors with outsized positions in Big Tech stocks should eye beaten-down areas of the market that benefit from lower interest rates, says Diton.
Persons: Dow, Jerome Powell, , Jeff Buchbinder, Powell, Eric Diton Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq, LPL, Wealth Alliance, Tech, Meta, Apple, Big Locations: New York, Big Tech
CNBC Daily Open: One day makes all the difference
  + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. "Recalibration" Fed Chair Jerome Powell's use of the word "recalibration" seemed to reassure investors that the central bank's 50 basis point cut wasn't that worrying. It signaled the Fed wasn't responding to a slowing economy, but shifting focus to ensuring employment doesn't dip further, wrote CNBC's Jeff Cox. At the end of Washington's song, she croons, "What a difference a day makes / And the difference is you."
Persons: BOE, Jerome Powell's, Jeff Cox, Dinah Washington, Oppenheimer, Brian Belski, Powell, , Alex Harring, Fred Imbert, Hakyung Kim, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC, JPMorgan Chase, of England, Monetary, Fed, Dow, Nvidia, Apple, BMO Locations: New York, Dinah Washington . Washington
WASHINGTON — As president, Donald Trump slashed a lucrative tax break enjoyed by coastal donors and suburban swing-state voters. What shifted more than the economy is Trump's needs, said Caroline Bruckner, managing director of American University's Kogod Tax Policy Center. The reversal is one of a flurry of freebies that Trump and his rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, are offering voters in the stretch run before Election Day. Trump’s proposal to repeal the SALT cap, which is set to expire next year if Congress takes no action, would reduce federal revenue by $1.2 trillion over a decade, according to CRFB’s estimate. But many voters in those counties would stand to benefit considerably from a repeal of the SALT cap.
Persons: Donald Trump, he's, Trump, ransoming, Caroline Bruckner, Bruckner, Kamala Harris, Peter Zay, Harris, She’s, , , Charlie Dent, ” Dent, ” Donald Trump, Jeff Kowalsky, Marc Goldwein, ” Goldwein, ” Harris, , Donald Trump won’t, James Singer, Joe Biden’s, I’ve, it’s, Mark Cuban, Jackson, Biden —, Dent Organizations: WASHINGTON, Trump, Getty, Social, Foundation, Social Security, Democratic, CNBC, Tax Foundation, NBC News, Tax Locations: Washington, Anadolu, AFP, South Carolina, Mississippi, Harris, Manhattan, San Francisco, Silicon, Valley , Idaho, Aspen , Colorado, , Wyoming, Westchester County , New York, Fairfield County , Connecticut, Maricopa County, Arizona's, Philadelphia, Wilmington , Delaware, Montgomery, Chester, Delaware, Allegheny County
SKIP AHEAD How we picked the best online eyeglasses retailers | Where to buy glasses online | Why trust NBC Select? To help guide you through buying glasses online we asked experts what to consider before shopping, and we rounded up some of the best online retailers for eyeglasses. Where to buy glasses onlineWe rounded up some of the most popular online eyeglasses retailers to make your online search for glasses easier. Those nervous about shopping online may find comfort in buying glasses from a known name in the glasses world. For this story, she interviewed two experts on where to buy glasses online.
Persons: Yuna Rapoport, — you’ll, , Rapoport, , , Thierry Hufnagel, Gucci, Kate Spade, Marc Jacobs, Ban, you’ve, Tom Ford, Versace, Prada, Persol, you’ll, Bethany Heitman, TikTok Organizations: NBC, Eyecare, Burberry, Carrera, Nike, Eyebuydirect, Armani Exchange, , Facebook, Twitter Locations: Manhattan
They received some relief on Wednesday when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, which will lower mortgage costs. Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell said the "real issue" behind high prices in the U.S. housing market is a lack of supply, which isn't "something the Fed can really fix." With rates dropping, Powell also said that "more people are likely to start moving," which could boost home sales. Powell also said that shelter costs in the CPI tend to lag behind real-time prices, so the recent slowdown in home and rent prices prices isn't fully reflected yet. The best thing the Fed can do for U.S. households is get "inflation broadly down" and reduce the cost of borrowing by "normalizing" interest rates, Powell said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, There's, Powell's, Powell, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Federal, National Association of Realtors, Consumer, CNBC Locations: U.S
The price of bitcoin was recently higher by 3.5% at $62,417.48, according to Coin Metrics, building on a rally underway before the central bank decision Wednesday. Stocks tied to the price of bitcoin climbed in early trading Thursday. MicroStrategy , widely used as a high beta play on the price of bitcoin, gained 5%. It isn't out of the woods yet, however, said Yuya Hasegawa, crypto market analyst at Japanese bitcoin exchange Bitbank. "Bitcoin has some time until the BOJ makes the decision and could extend its gain during Thursday's U.S. session.
Persons: bitcoin, Stocks, Yuya Hasegawa, Bitcoin Organizations: Metrics, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Bank of, Thursday's U.S
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang presents the Nvidia Blackwell platform at an event ahead of the COMPUTEX Forum, in Taipei, Taiwan, on June 2, 2024. Led by a 7.4% gain in shares of Tesla and a 4% jump in Nvidia , the Nasdaq rose 2.5% on Thursday, its fourth-sharpest rally of 2024. Nvidia, whose processors are powering the generative AI boom and services like OpenAI's ChatGPT, gained 4% on Thursday to $117.87. Su said AI is going to make its way into "all aspects of our lives," including education and drug development. Among the other top tech companies, Apple and Meta also closed with big gains, each rising almost 4%.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Nvidia Blackwell, it's, they're, Lisa Su, Jim Cramer, Su, Tesla Organizations: Nvidia, COMPUTEX, Investors, Federal Reserve, Tesla, Nasdaq, Federal, Market, Microsoft, Oracle, Devices, Broadcom, AMD, Apple, Meta Locations: Taipei, Taiwan
Chief investment strategist Brian Belski lifted his year-end target for the broad index by 500 points to 6,100. That new forecast implies the S & P 500 can climb 8.6% from Wednesday's close. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD Belski said his update came after yet another rebound in equities pushed the index to trade around his prior target. Even if the S & P 500 tests lows seen during September's choppy trading, the investing strategist said he remains confident that it can rise into year-end. The S & P 500 has climbed more than 19% in 2024.
Persons: Brian Belski, It's, Belski, What's Organizations: BMO, CNBC, Federal Reserve Locations: Wednesday's, U.S
Recalibrate for risk Protecting your portfolio from sharp losses begins with understanding your comfort with risk and ensuring that your asset allocation reflects your long-term goals. "But over that period when markets were down, there were opportunities to harvest losses in stocks, individual names that experienced big pullbacks." And they've been a good buy for clients who are nearing retirement, seeking income and appreciate bonds' ability to offset stocks' volatility. Options for buffering losses Options are also playing a role in investors' portfolios as financial advisors try to mitigate volatility. Call options give investors the right to buy a stock at a specified strike price before a certain date.
Persons: Stocks, Goldman Sachs, Arun Prakash, Prakash's, Rafia Hasan, San, Hasan, they've, Andrew Herzog, We're, Herzog, he's, Gregory Guenther, Morningstar, " Guenther Organizations: Federal, Wealth Management, Fed, Treasury Bond ETF, SEC, GrantVest Financial Locations: San Francisco, Plano , Texas, Matawan , New Jersey
This photograph taken on April 6, 2022, shows a general view of the National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) plant in Dadri. The mounds of jet-black coal shimmering under the afternoon sun at the Dadri power plant are a raw illustration of India's coal dependence -- a habit that despite increasing pressure, the country is finding hard to kick. India's NTPC Green Energy filed draft papers for a 100 billion rupees ($1.19 billion) initial public offering on Wednesday, as it looks to cash in on the country's renewables expansion plans and a red-hot equities market. The company, a unit of state-owned power producer NTPC , will only issue new shares, and existing shareholders will not sell any stake, the draft papers showed. So far this year, about 235 companies have gone public and raised more than $8.6 billion, which exceeds the total amount raised last year.
Persons: NTPC Organizations: National Thermal Power Corporation, Green Energy Locations: Dadri, India
Franklin Templeton's Yi Ping Liao describes the South Asian country as "a fertile hunting ground to identify stocks." And if this continues, you can potentially see lower equity risk premiums for the market," the assistant portfolio manager told CNBC Pro on Sept. 12. She likes that the Indian market offers the "opportunity to identify good stocks," following an improvement in its breadth. Among the names Liao is betting on is automaker Tata Motors . Elsewhere, in the tourism and hospitality industry, the portfolio manager likes hotel chain Indian Hotels — the company behind premium brands like Taj, Vivanta and Ginger.
Persons: Franklin Templeton's Yi Ping Liao, Liao, Franklin, Morgan Stanley, China's, Vivanta, Ginger, India's financialization Organizations: CNBC Pro, Templeton, Growth, IMI, Bombay Stock Exchange, World Economic, Bain & Company, Tata Motors, Tata, Apollo, Max Healthcare Institute, Insurance, Taj, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank Locations: India, Asia, China, U.S
"Ultimately shirking fiduciary responsibility to employees, consumers, and shareholders." Twenty civil rights organizations sent a letter Thursday to Fortune 1000 companies calling for them to recommit to diversity, equity and inclusion, after several major companies scaled back their efforts. She emphasized that LGBTQ+ consumers have $1.4 trillion of buying power, as reported by the National LGBT Chamber of Commerce. But a small, well-funded, and extreme group of right-wing activists is attempting to pressure companies into abandoning their DEI programs. Abandoning DEI will have long-term consequences on business success -- ultimately shirking fiduciary responsibility to employees, consumers, and shareholders.
Persons: Bill Ackman, Molson Coors, Harley Davidson, George Floyd, Forman, Kelley Robinson, CNBC's, Robinson, Brown, Lowe's, John Deere, Harley, Davidson, Edelman Organizations: National Action Network, Molson, Ford, Tractor Supply, Human Rights, HRC, Brown, National LGBT Chamber of Commerce, Molson Coors, . Tractor Supply, Companies, McKinsey & Company, Pew Locations: New York City, Rural, United States
This report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. Its intent was clear: to develop India's manufacturing capabilities in sectors like automotives, electronics, pharmaceuticals and aerospace while creating opportunities for locals. India's manufacturing sector has seen "remarkable" growth says, Samir Kapadia, founder and CEO of B2B marketplace India Index. "These infrastructural shifts in India have improved connectivity within and outside the country putting India at a very different playing field than it was 10 years ago when 'Make in India' started," Kapadia told CNBC's Inside India. India vs. other emerging marketsWhile India looks to poach China's manufacturing share, other countries like Indonesia, Vietnam, Bangladesh and Mexico are also stiff competitors.
Persons: Wistron, Narendra Modi, Foxconn, Samir Kapadia, Kapadia, CNBC's, U.S . Franklin Templeton's Yi Ping Liao, Liao, Deveshwar Organizations: Tata Group, Indian, Apple, Dixon Technologies, Kia, Divi's, Novartis, GSK, Merck, China, U.S ., TS Lombard, Inside, Mutual Fund Locations: India, China, Silicon Valley, Bengaluru, Kolar, Doddaballapura, Foxconn, Kia India, Anantapur —, Indonesia, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Mexico, Asia, Inside India, Brazil
The leader of one of the largest U.S. carriers said there have been more iPhone 16 sales in the first week of preordering compared to the same period last year for the iPhone 15. The iPhone 16 was announced on Sept. 9 , when the company held this year's fall new product event. So, they're buying up the food chain, and they're buying at a greater rate," Sievert said, dismissing any softer iPhone 16 sales data as "nonsense." This is important because mobile carriers — including Verizon and AT & T — are the single-largest iPhone sales channel for Apple. Apple CEO Tim Cook inspects the new iPhone 16 during an Apple special event at Apple headquarters on September 09, 2024 in Cupertino, California.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Mike Sievert, Sievert, Morgan Stanley, That's, Jim, Sievert —, Wednesday's, — Morgan Stanley, Chi Kuo, Kuo, Jim Cramer's, Tim Cook, Justin Sullivan Organizations: Apple, Wall Street, Mobile, U.S, Verizon, AT, JPMorgan, Barclays, Bank of America, TF Securities, Apple Intelligence, CNBC Locations: U.S, Cupertino , California
With that seasonal volatility in mind, Evercore ISI screened for stocks that may continue to outperform in the current climate. The investment bank combed through the Russell 3000 for stocks that are in the top quintiles for momentum, sentiment and buybacks. One company that made the Evercore ISI screen was mobile tech company AppLovin . Evercore ISI also highlighted Sprouts Farmers Market as a potential outperformer. Evercore ISI upgraded Sprouts to outperform from in line this week.
Persons: Russell, LSEG, BTIG, Benjamin Budish, Robinhood, Michael Montani Organizations: Stock, Federal, UBS, FactSet, Financial, LSEG, Barclays, ISI
This trade was the biggest post-Fed winner
  + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
It looks like small caps were the winning trade following the Federal Reserve's supersized rate cut on Wednesday . With that, the fund has climbed 3.1% this week and 10.2% in the third quarter alone, double the return of the S & P 500 in each period. Large-cap stocks easily outperformed small caps in five of eight instances when the Fed was lowering rates, small caps outperformed twice and in one case, 1995, there was virtually no difference. Regime Indicator to 'Downturn' all support our preference for large vs small [stocks]," the analysts wrote. In Thursday's session, the S & P jumped 1.7% to a fresh all-time high, topping the 5,700 mark for the first time.
Persons: Russell, Clinton Organizations: Fed, Strategas Securities, Federal, Bank of America, U.S
On the positive side, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel called the decision the "best news" the Fed has offered in years. He said the Fed "moved too fast" with its 50-point cut. This is unusual, since investors will typically snap up these assets after a rate cut. Related storiesSome on Wall Street noted that the Fed's decision to cut beyond 25 basis points was essentially a signal that the central bank is moving past inflation. To Contopoulos point, this may be premature, as August's consumer price index report still stood above the 2% inflation target.
Persons: , Wharton, Jeremy Siegel, Michael Contopoulos, Bernstein, Contopoulos, Powell, Narayana Kocherlakota Organizations: Service, Business, Bernstein Advisors, CNBC, Wall, University of Rochester
Investors looking to participate in a new growth phase for electricity demand by purchasing the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLU) might be discouraged by its massive run over the past year. We'll review a way to play it with options that adds a buffer of protection. XLU .SPX mountain 2023-10-23 Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund since October low Despite this strong performance, the utilities select sector index still trades at just over 19 times forward earnings, a much cheaper multiple than the S & P's 23.5 times, and typically trades with significantly lower volatility as well. Spurring the economy will likely increase demand, but lowering rates improves the relative attractiveness of utilities for fixed-income investors as well. The trade XLU has an annual dividend yield of 2.8% and would make a fine addition to one's portfolio.
Persons: EVs Organizations: Utilities, Fund, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: U.S
Bernard Arnault has gone from the world's wealthiest person to being on the brink of dropping to fifth. The LVMH CEO's net worth has tanked by $54 billion from its March peak, and $30 billion so far this year. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementBernard Arnault was the richest person on the planet six months ago; now he's flirting with fifth place.
Persons: Bernard Arnault, , LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos Organizations: Service, Tesla, Amazon, Bloomberg, Business Locations: Arnault
Forty-one percent of analysts polled by FactSet have a buy rating on Tesla stock, while 21% have a sell rating. About 43% of analysts surveyed by FactSet maintain a buy rating on IBM stock, but 21% are at a sell. He also noted that the risk-to-reward skew on IBM stock is more balanced, leaving less upside for the stock. IBM YTD mountain IBM stock. Goldman Sachs recently added IBM to its conviction list with a $220 price target, or 2% above where shares closed Wednesday.
Persons: Tesla, TSLA, Wolfe Research's Emmanuel Rosner, Rosner, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Elon Musk, Bernstein's Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi, Goldman Sachs, Jim Schneider, Campbell Soup Organizations: CNBC Pro, FactSet, U.S, automakers, IBM, Pepperidge
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority is displayed outside Two International Finance Centre in Hong Kong on June 19, 2013. Japan's Nikkei 225 led Asia-Pacific markets higher Thursday, as traders assessed the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by a half-percentage point. The Fed lowered its benchmark borrowing rate by a half percentage point, bringing its target range to 4.75% to 5%. In lockstep with the Fed, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority cut its interest rate by 50 basis points to 5.25, as the city's currency is pegged to the greenback. Hong Kong markets will return to trade after being closed for a public holiday on Wednesday.
Persons: Hong Organizations: Hong, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, International Finance, Japan's Nikkei, Nikkei, U.S ., Fed Locations: Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific
Mortgage rates came down again last week, and with the expectation that they could fall further, mortgage demand suddenly jumped, especially for refinancing. The Federal Reserve is expected to make its first interest rate cut in four years on Wednesday, and while mortgage rates don’t follow the Fed exactly, they are influenced by policy. “The most important takeaway is that lower mortgage rates are not only not remotely guaranteed by [the] Fed rate cut. “Application activity was up significantly last week, as market expectations of a rate cut from the Fed pulled mortgage rates lower,” said Joel Kan, an economist with the Mortgage Bankers Association. “Homebuyers are seeing improving affordability conditions, sparked by lower rates and slower home-price growth.”
Persons: Jerome Powell’s, They’re, , Matthew Graham, Joel Kan, ” Kan, Organizations: Federal, Mortgage News, Mortgage, Labor, Fed, Association
It’s also a sign of confidence from Fed officials that inflation has come under control just enough to comfortably dial back policy. Typically, in the lead-up to a Fed policy decision, Wall Street and economists are in alignment on what to expect. But investors’ wagers for a half-point cut ramped up on Monday; and as of Tuesday afternoon, federal funds futures contracts were pricing in a 63% chance of a jumbo rate cut, up from around 30% on Thursday, according to the CME Group. As inflation skyrocketed in 2021 and 2022, American employers pumped out jobs and the unemployment rate declined to half-century lows. The Fed eventually responded to the country’s inflation problem with its bitter medicine of high interest rates.
Persons: It’s, Christopher Waller, Elizabeth Warren, Robert Kaplan, Bill Dudley, , Powell, ” Gregory Daco, , ” Julia Hermann Organizations: Washington CNN, Federal Reserve, Street, CME, Fed, Democratic, Dallas Fed, CNBC, Former New York, Bloomberg, Dow, Labor, New York Life Investments, CNN
However, investment bank Jefferies is drawing attention to two lesser-known chip stocks that it believes could rise by more than 100%: Aixtron and Ams OSRAM . Looking ahead, analysts at Jefferies pointed to the ongoing recovery in the semiconductor industry, with global chip sales growth accelerating to 18.7% year-over-year in July. Jefferies expects shares of Aixtron to rise by 115% to 35 euros ($38.80) a share over the next 12 months. The stock is also traded in the U.S. AIXXF 1Y line Ams OSRAM Ams OSRAM , an Austrian-German semiconductor company, recently completed the issuance of 200 million euros ($222.73 million) in senior notes, yielding 10.5% in coupon payments to replace other short-term debt due in 2024. The analysts expect shares of Ams OSRAM, listed on the Swiss stock exchange, to rise 179% over the next 12 months to 2.4 Swiss francs ($2.83).
Persons: TSMC, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Goldman Sachs, Huang, Jefferies, Janardan Menon, Infineon, Aixtron Organizations: Nvidia, ASML, Jefferies, Ams OSRAM, The SOX Semiconductor, Nvidia's, Infineon, IFX, HVP, Ams Locations: Germany, Infineon, Aixtron, U.S, Austrian
The Club has stayed with Morgan Stanley on expectations that its investment banking outfit will flourish again. At Wells Fargo , the Club's other financial name, lower rates should help its burgeoning investment banking business. Wells Fargo shares year-to-date have performed better than Morgan Stanley, gaining 11%. WFC YTD mountain Wells Fargo (WFC) year-to-date performance The Corporate and Investment Banking division makes up 23% of overall revenue. To be sure, Wells Fargo management said during July's second-quarter earnings call that the bank will continue to de-risk its office portfolio.
Persons: Banks, Erica Groshen, Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Jim Cramer, Jim, Goldman Sachs, Charlie Scharf, Wells, July's, Jim Cramer's, Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Chip Somodevilla Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Fed, CNBC, Cornell University, Fed, Investment, Morgan Stanley's Institutional Securities, Morgan Stanley's, Wells, Investment Banking, CIB, Federal Reserve Bank, Getty Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, Washington ,
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