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And Biden's deficit versus Trump on handling immigration and the border is greater than 30 points. All together, these numbers explain why the poll shows Trump leading Biden by 5 points among registered voters in a hypothetical 2024 general-election matchup, 47% to 42%. "What is most concerning is the erosion of Biden's standing against Trump compared to four years ago," Horwitt said. That said, the poll shows improving attitudes about the economy, with the share of voters believing the economy will get worse in the next year declining 14 points since October 2022. The two men are essentially tied on the issue of protecting democracy, with 43% of voters preferring Biden and 41% picking Trump.
Persons: Joe Biden, Wade, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Jeff Horwitt, Bill McInturff, Horwitt, Organizations: Force, Reproductive, NBC News, Biden, Trump, NBC, Democratic, Hart Research Associates, Republican, GOP, U.S . Locations: Washington ,, Israel, Trump, Biden's, Iowa, New Hampshire, U.S, Jordan, Michigan
Followers of African-based religions are on the rise in South America new data shows, a reflection of how the region's African heritage is gaining a greater voice beyond Brazil where such traditions are widely recognized. Surveys on religious beliefs in Argentina and Uruguay point to a rising number of people who identify with African-inspired faiths. Over 2% of Uruguayans identify as followers of African-inspired faiths like Umbanda. Oral histories and traditions associated with the African-based religions have long been misunderstood or demonized as "witchcraft," she said. "We've made strides in terms of the laws around practicing our religion, that in theory protect against discrimination," she said.
Persons: Lucinda Elliott, Mother Susana Andrade, Mae Susana de Oxum, Sasha Curti, Ramirez, Curti, Candomblé, Yemanjá, WE'VE, Victoria Sotelo, Greta Pena, stigmatization, Andrade, We've, Aurora Ellis, David Gregorio Organizations: Uruguayan, Federation of, University of the, Diaspora, Argentina's National Institute Locations: Candelaria Grimberg MONTEVIDEO, Africa, Federation of Uruguay, South America, Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Montevideo, Uruguayan, University of the Republic, Argentine, Paraguay, European Argentina, Candelaria, Buenos Aires
The tragedy gripped Russia for days. Federal lawmakers convened a special committee and an investigation was launched, as hundreds of volunteers searched for the victim in subzero temperatures, and state news media ran live updates on the fallout. Eventually, the victim — Twix the cat — was found dead. A national outcry over the demise of a pet who was mistakenly thrown from a long-distance train by an attendant has highlighted both the limits of and the demand for an emotional outlet in wartime Russia. A combination of propaganda, a crackdown on dissent and public fatigue with the inconclusive war has turned internet curiosities into a focus of national attention for days, even weeks.
Persons: Denis Volkov Organizations: Levada Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Russian
He fought hard in state after state, even as the front-runner amassed a delegate advantage that would be virtually impossible to overcome. Haley decided to skip Nevada’s presidential caucuses next Thursday in favor of a state primary election two days earlier that does not award delegates. Trump could embarrass Haley in her home state of South Carolina later in the month, where the former president has a loyal following. In New Hampshire's recent primary, for example, Trump won a decisive victory against Haley backed by his popularity among traditional Republican voters. The Haley campaign has already rolled out leadership teams and “Women for Nikki” chapters in all 15 Super Tuesday states.
Persons: Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton, Nikki Haley, she's, Donald Trump, Haley, Joe Biden, David Urban, Biden, ” Urban, she’s, , Sanders, Trump, , “ Nikki Haley, “ birdbrain, HALEY, Nachama Soloveichik, She's, Soloveichik, Eric Levine, Betsy Ankney, Susie Wiles, Ken Griffin, Paul Singer, ” She's, “ He’s, He’s, Ronna McDaniel, Hopper, Trumper, ” Hopper, isn't, Nikki ”, Koch, Emily Seidel, Michael Palmer, Seidel, Palmer, Haley's, Republican pollster Neil Newhouse, ” ___ Organizations: COLUMBIA, Democratic, GOP, Republican, Trump, Washington Post, Monmouth University, Biden, New York, South, AP VoteCast, Capitol, Haley, Prosperity, AFP, ” ___ Peoples Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Vermont, South Carolina, New, York, Florida, South Carolina’s, Michigan, South Carolina , Michigan, Tennessee , North Carolina , Arkansas, Virginia, California, New York
"The opportunistic political alliance was not meant to last," said Temario Rivera, chairman of the Center for People Empowerment in Governance think-tank. "It is still working," he said, adding he was keeping Sara Duterte as education minister. 'OPEN WARFARE'The alliance publicly disintegrated on Sunday when Duterte called Marcos a "drug addict" during a rally against moves to change the charter. Analysts said the public bust-up could be linked to the 2028 presidential race, which Sara Duterte is expected to contest and stands a strong chance. "It will be an open warfare this year," said Ronald Llamas, a veteran political analyst and former presidential adviser.
Persons: Karen Lema MANILA, Ferdinand Marcos Jr, Rodrigo Duterte, Marcos, Duterte's, Sara, Jean Encinas, Sebastian Duterte, Temario Rivera, Sara Duterte, Rivera, Duterte, Ferdinand Marcos Sr, Marcos Sr, Imelda, Ronald Llamas, Karen Lema, Michael Perry Organizations: University of the, Center for People Empowerment, International Criminal, Hague Locations: Philippine, Philippines, University of the Philippines, Davao, China, United States, Washington, South, Taiwan, South China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe weakest candidate against Donald Trump is Joe Biden, says pollster Frank LuntzFrank Luntz, FIL Inc. pollster and political strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the 2024 race, why many Biden voters are looking for a change, potential outcomes of a Biden-Trump rematch, and more.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, pollster Frank Luntz Frank Luntz Organizations: Inc, Biden, Trump
He spent years spreading the lie that Barack Obama, America’s first Black president, was ineligible to hold office. But as he seeks the presidency for a third time, Trump is aiming to win over an unlikely constituency: Black voters. Political Cartoons View All 253 ImagesFor Biden, the biggest risk isn’t a dramatic move among Black voters toward Trump. When he won the New Hampshire primary this week, Sen. Tim Scott, the chamber’s only Black Republican, stood prominently behind him. And in contrast to past Democratic efforts, the Biden campaign has opted for an early engagement strategy with core constituencies like Black voters.
Persons: — Donald Trump, Trump, Barack Obama, America’s, , ” Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, , they’re, , Chris LaCivita, “ That’s, ” Cornell Belcher, Obama, “ I’m, ” Belcher, I’ve, Nikki Haley’s, Kanye, Lil Wayne, Sen, Tim Scott, Scott, Trump . Biden, aren't, Ketanji Brown Jackson, Jaime Harrison, Donald Trump, ” Harrison, Kamala Harris, Harrison, ” ____ Matt Brown Organizations: WASHINGTON, New, Trump, Biden, Democratic, Black, Democratic Party’s, Democrats, Rhode, Republican, GOP, Trump ., Mother Emanuel AME Church, Supreme, Democratic Party, Democratic National Committee, Republican National Committee, Associated Press, AP Locations: New York, Africa, U.S, Atkinson , New Hampshire, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, India, New Hampshire, Charleston , South Carolina, America, South Carolina, Iowa, Black
But Iowa caucusgoers and New Hampshire primary voters also exposed noticeable chinks in Trump’s electoral armor and worrying general election headwinds that he and his campaign will face in the coming months. Yes, Trump handily won a head-to-head matchup in a New Hampshire primary contest that wasn’t limited to just Republicans. “Twenty percent of GOP voters will not vote for him,” the Republican member told CNN. Visibly miffed by Haley’s conviction to continue on after New Hampshire, Trump spent the evening lashing out at her online and trashing her appearance in his victory speech. Of the 30% of New Hampshire GOP primary voters who named immigration as their top concern, nearly 8 in 10 voted for Trump, according to CNN’s exit poll.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, , Ronna McDaniel –, McDaniel, , ” McDaniel, Chris Sununu, ” Sununu, you’re, , Biden, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Trump’s, Reagan, ” DeSantis, Steve Deace, “ He’s, ” Trump, Sen, Tim Scott, Trey Gowdy, ” Jim McLaughlin, pollsters, Brett Loyd, they’ve, ” Loyd, “ They’ve, CNN’s Manu Raju, Donald Trump’s Organizations: CNN, Iowa, Advisers, Trump, Democratic, South Carolina Gov, Republicans, New, White, GOP, Republican, Republican National, Fox News, RNC, New Hampshire Gov, Biden, Hill, , Florida Gov, South Carolina Rep, Fox, New Hampshire GOP, University of Michigan Locations: New Hampshire, Iowa, Florida, , Trump, Arizona, Pennsylvania
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFrank Luntz on New Hampshire GOP primary results: You can see the finish lineFrank Luntz, pollster and political strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to break down results from last night's New Hampshire GOP primary, what it means for NIkki Haley going forward, the strength of Donald Trump within the Republican party, state of the 2024 general election, and more.
Persons: Frank Luntz, NIkki Haley, Donald Trump Organizations: New Hampshire GOP, night's New, night's New Hampshire GOP, Republican Locations: New Hampshire, night's, night's New Hampshire
Those who consider Lula's administration as bad or terrible increased marginally to 27.9% from 27.2 four months ago, it showed. The rating of the leftist president's performance edged up to 55.2% from 54.9% in September, while disapproval also rose slightly to 39.6 from 39.0%, the MDA poll commissioned by the transport sector lobby CNT. Lula gets his best approval ratings among lower-income Brazilians and in poorer northeastern Brazil, his political bastion. He does badly among higher income groups and evangelical Christian voters, MDA said. MDA polled 2,002 people in person between Jan. 18-21 and the poll has a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.
Persons: Luiz Inacio Lula da, Lula, Marcelo Souza, Anthony Boadle, Steven Grattan, Susan Fenton Organizations: Reuters, pollster MDA, MDA, CNT, Christian Locations: BRASILIA, Brazil
But she must still prove she can make a head-to-head duel with the ex-president last through Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary and beyond, after Florida Gov. But Haley faces an existential question for her own campaign Tuesday. “They’re all all coming with us,” Trump noted with satisfaction at a rally in Rochester, New Hampshire, on Sunday night. An unexpectedly high turnout of undeclared voters powered late Arizona Sen. John McCain to a shock victory in the 2000 GOP primary against George W. Bush. But Haley’s problem is that most Republican voters may not want what she’s offering.
Persons: New Hampshire CNN —, Nikki Haley, strode, , , Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, he’d, Haley, ” Haley, CNN’s Dana Bash, DeSantis, president’s, , South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy –, ” Trump, imperil Trump, Chris Sununu, galvanize, ” Sununu’s, Trump, Sununu, Haley –, Joe Biden, November’s, She’s, Chris Christie, Arizona Sen, John McCain, George W, Bush, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Republican pollster Whit Ayers, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, Ted Cruz , Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Christie, Jeb Bush, Rubio, Cruz, He’s, Liz Cheney, Mitt Romney, Haley hasn’t, Henry McMaster, Gov, Pamela Evette, Scott, ” he’s, Biden, Scott Jennings Organizations: New Hampshire CNN, South, Republican, Tuesday’s New, Florida Gov, Trump, Super, GOP, – DeSantis, New, New Hampshire Gov, CNN, New Jersey Gov, Florida, New Hampshire, Institution, Trump Republican, Republican Party, Senate, Wyoming, Gov, Sunday, Exeter, Office, Republicans, ” CNN Locations: Exeter, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Tuesday’s, Tuesday’s New Hampshire, Rochester , New Hampshire, New Jersey, Iowa, Granite, Arizona, New, The New Hampshire, Texas, Ted Cruz , Florida, Carolina, Cruz, New York, Utah
And the DeSantis campaign made many of them, his advisers, allies and supporters have acknowledged to CNN in interviews. Republican presidential candidate and Florida Governor, Ron DeSantis, speaks during a campaign event in Hampton, New Hampshire, on January 17, 2024. Michael Reaves/Getty Images DeSantis and his wife, Casey, have three children: from left, daughters Mamie and Madison and son Mason. But that approach was rejected by the woman who would be announced as DeSantis’ campaign manager, Generra Peck. And yet, in the face of this overwhelming rejection of his pitch to Make America Florida, DeSantis refused to change gears.
Persons: Ron DeSantis steeled, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Trump, , Nikki Haley, Trump hadn’t, ” DeSantis, Elon Musk, , Curt Anderson, Alex Castellanos, Ron DeSantis, Joseph Prezioso, It’s, Casey, God, Rupert Murdoch’s, Will Lanzoni, Jane, Zuma Press DeSantis, Dunedin High School DeSantis, US Navy DeSantis, John Boehner, Charles Dharapak, Bill Clark, Tom Williams, Trey Gowdy, Al Drago, Zack Wittman, Patrick Farrell, Andrew Gillum, Chris O'Meara, Jeff J Mitchell, Stephen M, Dowell, Chris Kleponis, Lynne Sladky, Steve Cannon, Fernando Medina, Deborah Birx, Doug Mills, Kimberly Guilfoyle, Saul Loeb, Madison, Tori Lynn Schneider, Vera Leip, Joe Raedle, Michael Reaves, Mamie, Mason, WFTS DeSantis, Joe Biden, Hurricane Ian, Charlie Crist, Marco Bello, Reuters DeSantis, Sophie Park, Jordan Gale, , Stormy Daniels, Jeff Roe, Ken Cuccinelli, Roe, scrappy, Ken Griffin, bankroll DeSantis, Griffin, Dana Bash, Generra Peck, Musk, ” Donors, Peck, Christina Pushaw, Bryan Griffin, Hugh Hewitt, Scott Olson, Ryan Tyson, Zuckerbucks, Kim Reynolds, Reynolds, Iowa –, Anna Moneymaker Organizations: CNN, Trump, New, GOP, Former South Carolina Gov, Christian Broadcasting Network, Elon, Republican, “ JV, , Politico, Florida Governor, Getty, Republican Party, New York Post, Disney, Florida Gov, Little League Baseball, Petersburg Times, Zuma Press, Dunedin High School, Yale University, US Navy, Navy, General's Corps, District, DeSantis, First, Bloomberg, Miami Herald, Tribune, Service, Democratic, Orlando Sentinel, White, Orlando Magic, NBA, Coronavirus, New York Times, Tallahassee Democrat, USA, Conservative Political, Conference, University of South, Reuters, Iowa State University football, PAC, , Fox News, Florida, Central Bank Digital Currency, Iowa, Gov, “ Iowa Republican, Republicans Locations: Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, Hawkeye, Hampton , New Hampshire, AFP, Wally's, Jacksonville , Florida, Dunedin , Florida, Windsor, V, St, Florida's, Tampa , Florida, Orlando, Jacksonville, Sanford , Florida, Tallahassee , Florida, Tallahassee, Pompano Beach , Florida, Miami, Surfside , Florida, University of South Florida, Covid, Tampa, Bedford, Bedford , New Hampshire, Ames , Iowa, New York, Dunedin, Newton , Iowa, Park City , Utah, Tennessee, South Carolina, Trump, Des Moines, West Des Moines , Iowa, Myrtle Beach, “ Iowa, America Florida
Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre would clobber Trudeau if an election were held today, according to an Angus Reid Institute poll published on Monday. Fewer than three-in-five (57%) of those who voted Liberal in 2021 say they would do so again, the pollster said. "This cabinet retreat is focused on issues as important as housing affordability and housing accessibility," Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc told reporters late on Sunday. While president, Trump forced the renegotiation of the North American trade pact, a vital agreement for the Canadian economy. Last week, Trudeau said a second Trump presidency would be challenging and would reflect "a lot of anguish and fury."
Persons: Steve Scherer OTTAWA, Justin Trudeau, Pierre Poilievre, clobber Trudeau, Angus Reid, Marc Miller, Dominic LeBlanc, Anita Anand, Donald Trump, Trump, Francois, Philippe Champagne, We've, Champagne, Trudeau, Steve Scherer, Bill Berkrot Organizations: Canadian, Conservative, Angus, Angus Reid Institute, Liberal, Public, North, Industry, Trump Locations: Montreal, Ottawa, United States, North American, U.S, Canada
Support for abortion rights drove women to the polls during the 2022 midterm elections, delivering Democrats unexpected success. Still, Democrats believe abortion will be a key motivator for base voters and help expand their coalition. Biden aides and allies point to recent elections that have overwhelmingly shown that, when voters can choose, they have chosen to safeguard abortion rights. According to an Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll, among Democrats, nearly nine in 10 say abortion should generally be legal. But it also underscores a pervasive fear among Republican candidates and voters alike that vocalizing their desire to further restrict abortion rights in 2024 might be politically dangerous.
Persons: Donald Trump, Wade, , Joe Biden's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Roe, , Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Biden, Harris, Jill Biden, Doug Emhoff, Trump, Bill Clinton's, Timmaraju, ’ ”, Benjamin Watson, “ Roe, Dobbs, Xavier Becerra, ” Becerra, Alanna Durkin Richer, Amanda Seitz, Linley Sanders Organizations: WASHINGTON, , Republican, Democratic, Democrats, AP VoteCast, Trump, Biden, Jackson, Health Organization, National Abortion Rights, League, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, Republicans, NFL, Fox News, Health, Human Services Locations: Roe, Wisconsin, Virginia, Texas, Dobbs v, Iowa, America, California, East Coast, Boston
The DeSantis and Haley camps each believed they would benefit if the other left the field and created an unambiguous one-on-one race with Trump. In fact, both the Trump and DeSantis campaigns believe that more of the Florida governor’s supporters will likely pick Trump. Any gain or loss for Haley among voters from DeSantis’ decision seems likely to affect the race only marginally, many GOP observers believe. Even at that point in the 2016 race, Trump had won only a cumulative 40% of the votes cast in the GOP primaries. His theory that he could peel away a meaningful number of previous Trump voters simply proved wrong.
Persons: New Hampshire CNN —, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Trump, Joe Biden, Haley doesn’t, Biden, winnowing, Whit Ayres, ” Ayres, Texas Sen, Ted Cruz, George Conway, “ Trump, David Kochel, , he’s, , Trump’s, , Alex Stroman, Trump’s MAGA, MAGA, CNN DeSantis, “ DeSantis, Scott Reed, Bob Dole’s, John Connally, suburbanites, Vivek Ramaswamy, Donald Trump’s, ” Stroman, Jean Carroll, Mike Murphy, – Haley, Sen, Marco Rubio, she’s, Mike Dennehy, John McCain’s, Bill Kristol, Kristol, ” Kristol, Matt Gaetz, Ginger Heald, Ayres, Grover Cleveland, Republican Benjamin Harrison, Reed, Dole, Mike Pence, Pence, ” Reed, “ He’s Organizations: New Hampshire CNN, Florida Gov, GOP, South Carolina Gov, Republican, Trump, CNN, New Hampshire, Democratic, South, University of New Hampshire, Republicans, Texas, nonurban Whites, The, South Carolina Republican Party, Edison Research, Trump Trump, Biden, New Hampshire GOP, Florida Republican, Merrimack Republican, Committee, DeSantis Locations: Manchester, New Hampshire, Florida, South Carolina, New, Iowa, DeSantis, As, Hampshire, New York, Trump, The Florida, Trump’s, Texas, Charleston, Polk County, Trump’s Manchester , New Hampshire, Ukraine, Israel,
When Nikki Haley was a South Carolina legislator, she backed budgets boosted by federal aid. Now, Haley is running against Trump for the 2024 Republican nomination saying he is an agent of chaos. The daughter of Indian immigrants, she defeated a 30-year legislative veteran in the Republican primary. As governor, Haley had disputes with fellow Republicans that often seemed personal. But she reminds Republican primary voters that the deals were always for non-union shops.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Haley, Donald Trump, , Doug Brannon, , Bill Clinton, Slick Willie ”, Trump, Roe, Wade, I’m, Rob Godfrey, ” Godfrey, ” Haley, Hillary Clinton, Gresham Barrett, Whit Ayres, Barrett, Sarah Palin, ” Ayres, Palin, Mitt Romney, Romney, “ She’s, Kay Koonce, Haley burnished, Godfrey, Godfrey said, Koonce, Barack Obama’s, Obama, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio, Jan, Ayres, Chris Christie’s, ’ ” Ayres, Christie, Haley “, “ Chris Christie, ” Koonce, , Holly Ramer Organizations: Trump, GOP, firebrand, Republican, today's Republican Party, Fox, New York Times, U.S, Rep, Wall Street titans, Gubernatorial, Democratic National Committee, Conservative, House Republicans, Republicans, Florida, Capitol, New, Associated Press Locations: South Carolina, Washington, Charleston, New Hampshire, Columbia, China, New York, Trump, Iowa, New Jersey, Concord , New Hampshire
Additionally, two former Republican presidential candidates have traveled to the early primary states alongside Trump almost immediately after they ended their respective campaigns to defeat him. Doug Burgum dropped out in December, he endorsed Trump and traveled with him in Iowa and to New Hampshire. Kari Lake speaks to reporters before Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks at a caucus night party in Des Moines, Iowa, on Monday. Pablo Martinez Monsivais/APIn Keokuk, Iowa, earlier this month, Greene panned the rest of the GOP field as knockoffs of Trump. Still, Republican strategists and campaign operatives often lament that surrogates and endorsements aren’t as influential as they used to be.
Persons: Matt Gaetz, , Marjorie Taylor Greene, Ronny Jackson, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Kari Lake, Byron Donalds, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Doug Burgum, Elise Stefanik, Kristi Noem, Ramaswamy, , , he’s, Gregg Keller, Mitt Romney’s, , Donald Trump, , Stefanik, “ Trump, ” Terry Sullivan, Florida Sen, Marco Rubio’s, it’s, Lake, Bob Vander Plaats, Trump’s, Pablo Martinez Monsivais, Greene, Bush, ” Greene, aren’t, pollster, Trump’s surrogates, It’s Organizations: CNN, Florida, Georgia, Texas, Iowa, Center, Arizona, Florida Rep, Trump, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Republican, North Dakota Gov, New, South Dakota Gov, Republicans, it’s, , AP, GOP Locations: Iowa, lockstep, Florida, New Hampshire, Trump’s, West Des Moines, Des Moines , Iowa, Keokuk , Iowa
Journal Editorial Report: Paul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn. Images: AP/Zuma Press Composite: Mark KellyThe Supreme Court has been trying to restore the proper constitutional balance of power, and its next opportunity comes Wednesday when it hears two cases challenging its own landmark Chevron doctrine (Loper Bright Enterprises, Inc., v. Raimondo and Relentless, Inc. v. Dept. In 1984 in Chevron v. NRDC, the Justices ruled that courts should defer to administrative agencies’ interpretation of laws when the statutory text is silent or ambiguous. In practice this has become a license for Congress to write vague laws that delegate legislative power to administrative agencies. Over the last 40 years the federal register of regulations has grown by tens of thousands of pages.
Persons: Paul Gigot, pollster Mark Penn, Mark Kelly, Raimondo Organizations: Zuma, Bright Enterprises, Inc Locations: Chevron v
The New Hampshire primary comes eight days after Iowa's Republican caucuses, which former President Donald Trump dominated. The New Hampshire primary will take place on Tuesday, Jan. 23, with the precise hours dependent on the voting location. That means the New Hampshire primary will serve purely as a barometer of support for the Democrats in the race. But New Hampshire state law requires it to host the first primary, and the Republican-controlled state government declined to make any legislative change to its primary date. Democratic President Joe Biden is running for reelection but will not be on the ballot because of the primary date dispute.
Persons: Gram Slattery, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, Haley, Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson, Joe Biden, Trump, Chris Christie, Biden, Phillips, Colleen Jenkins, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: Republican, The New, Republicans, Republican National Convention, Democratic National Convention, Democrats, Democratic Party, Hampshire's, WHO, Trump, Democratic, Dean Phillips of Minnesota, Former New Jersey, Biden, Reuters, New Locations: New Hampshire, The New Hampshire, Hampshire, Iowa, South Carolina, Trump , Florida, Northeastern
In the past, Democrats and Republicans at least understood why members of the other party liked their chosen candidates. But for a lot of Democrats, it feels impossible to imagine why anyone would cast a vote for Trump. Kristen Soltis Anderson is a veteran Republican pollster, a founding partner of the opinion research firm Echelon Insights and a CNN contributor. She spends her days trying to understand the thinking of Republican voters, including hosting focus groups for New York Times Opinion. You can listen to our whole conversation by following “The Ezra Klein Show” on the NYT Audio App, Apple, Spotify, Google or wherever you get your podcasts.
Persons: Donald Trump, weren’t, Barack Obama, George W, don’t, , Ezra Klein, Kristen Soltis Anderson, Republican pollster, Trump Organizations: Republicans, Trump, Apple, Spotify, Amazon Music, Google, Republican, CNN, New York
primary and what the general election might look like after the primary. Frank Bruni: Mike, Kristen, happy Iowa caucuses. I’m sitting here at my kitchen table in a parka and earmuffs, in honor of the freezing temperatures that caucusgoers are expected to brave. Kristen Soltis Anderson: I doubt that the events of the last few days have done much. This is still Trump’s caucus to lose.
Persons: Frank Bruni, Mike Murphy, John McCain, , Kristen Soltis Anderson, Mike, Kristen, I’m, Donald Trump’s, Chris Christie’s, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis Organizations: Center, University of Southern, Republican Locations: University of Southern California, Iowa
“Our grassroots supporters have put us in position to win, and now we have to show up to Caucus for President Trump on Monday and get the job done,” Trump said in a statement late Saturday, after the poll’s release. The DeSantis campaign seized on that uncertainty in a late Saturday night message to supporters who might have felt stung by the latest horse-race numbers. Like everyone else, Trump was thinking about the weather – and what it could mean for the caucuses – upon setting foot in Des Moines. Nearly 90% of Trump-backing likely caucus-goers say in the poll that they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for him. The Florida governor entered the 2024 GOP presidential primary as the odds-on favorite to challenge Trump for the nomination.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Iowa’s, ” Trump, , Haley, Iowans, , ” Haley, You’ve, Bobby Kaufmann, , It’s, DeSantis, He’ll, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, MAGA, “ Vivek, , Vivek, don’t, Nikki, Joe Biden, Lloyd Austin, he’s, Jennifer Agiesta, Kate Sullivan, Veronica Stracqualursi Organizations: CNN, Hawkeye State Republicans, Des Moines Register, NBC, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Republicans, Iowa, Hawkeye State, GOP, Trump, , Iowa State University –, New, Republican, United Nations Locations: Iowa, Cedar Falls, Indianola, Des Moines, , Dubuque, Mississippi, Cedar Rapids, Sioux City, Ankeny, Ames, Adel, New Hampshire, Florida
The final poll from Iowa’s premier pollster, Ann Selzer, has Trump at 48% followed by former South Carolina Gov. If the final outcome Monday night mirrors the poll, Trump will have won the highest Iowa GOP caucus vote share for a non-incumbent ever. A Haley win in the first primary race in the nation would indicate that Trump is not invincible. He did more than 5 points better than where his final Iowa poll had him. (His 28-point margin over Bradley was the same as the final poll found, as both Bradley and Gore won some undecided voters.)
Persons: Donald Trump, Ann Selzer, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Trump, , They’re, Haley, Chris Christie –, George W, Bush, didn’t, Steve Forbes, John McCain, Patrick Buchanan, Bob Dole, Buchanan, McCain, Gary Hart, Walter Mondale, Hart, Haley isn’t, DeSantis, Al Gore, Gore, Bill Bradley, Bradley, Trump . Gore, Dole Organizations: CNN, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Iowa GOP, Granite State, New, New Jersey Gov, University of New, Dole, Democratic, Republican, Trump . Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, Granite, New Jersey, University of New Hampshire, Hampshire, Granite State, Trump, South Carolina, Florida
Young voters could be pivotal in an election year where the race is expected to be very close between presumptive nominees Biden and Republican front-runner Donald Trump. While young voters tend to favor Democrats, even a small drop in turnout among those voters – or a shift toward Republicans – could make a dispositive difference in battleground states. Biden has a dramatic disadvantage, compared with Trump, on the economy, even as young voters report overwhelmingly that their own financial situations are solid. That's on track with Biden's performance among young voters in 2020, when exit polls showed Biden took 60% of the youth vote, compared to 36% of young voters who voted for Trump. The data on young voters reflects a trend other polling has shown throughout the campaign season: Americans are unhappy with the ways things are going and don't want a Biden-Trump rematch.
Persons: , John Della Volpe, , , Joe Biden's, Biden, Donald Trump, Republicans –, Trump, That's, aren't, Anil Cacodcar, Della Volpe, pollster Della Volpe, Andy Beshear Organizations: Harvard University's Institute, Politics, Young, Republican, Republicans, Biden, Trump, Democratic, GOP, America, Jackson, Health Organization, Kentucky Gov, Democrat Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Dobbs v, Virginia, New York, Maryland, – Arizona , Arkansas , Colorado , Florida , Iowa , Missouri, Montana , Nebraska , Nevada , Pennsylvania, South Dakota
That sort of approach resonated in conservative strongholds like Alabama long before Trump. Alabama Democrats, especially, cite deep historical roots involving racism, class and urban-rural divides when explaining Wallace, Trump and the decades between them. Moderate to progressive “national Democrats” were concentrated in north Alabama, Baxley explained, while reactionary “states-rights Dixiecrats” cohered in south Alabama. Wallace won four Deep South states as an independent in 1968. Wallace won his fourth term as governor in 1982 after disavowing segregation and winning over enough Black voters.
Persons: George Wallace, Wallace, Donald Trump, Trump, “ Alabamians, , Terry Lathan, ” Trump, Barack Obama, Brent Buchanan, Wayne Flynt, , Lathan, Ron DeSantis, Reagan, Trump's, ” Wallace, Lyndon Johnson, Bill Baxley, Baxley, Lincoln ”, ” Baxley, Franklin Roosevelt’s, “ Wallace, Johnson, Barry Goldwater, Flynt, Alabama “, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, Wallace’s, Jimmy Carter, Carter, Alabama's, Democratic pollster Zac McCrary, Hillary Clinton’s, Joe Biden’s, ” McCrary, Sen, Richard Shelby's, Shelby, Newt Gingrich, Dan Carter, Jeff Sessions, Trump’s, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, Tommy Tuberville, Katie Britt, dealmaker, Britt, Buchanan, Republican pollster, Donald Trump’s, Kim Chandler Organizations: ATLANTA, — Republican, University of Alabama, Civil Rights Movement, Republicans, Party of Lincoln, Party of Trump, Trump, America, GOP, Alabama Republicans, Democratic, Alabama Democrats, “ Party, Democrats ”, Politics, National Democrats, Franklin Roosevelt’s New, Civil, Act, Republican, Reconstruction, Klux Klan, Birmingham's, Baptist Church, Washington, Democrat, , Democrats, U.S, Senate, Sessions, Alabama, Alabama Legislature, Southern Democrats, Capitol, Shelby, Associated Press Locations: Tuscaloosa, Washington, Alabama, lockstep, Florida, Southern, U.S, Texas, New York, Trump, Jan, Montgomery , Alabama
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