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U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration taken January 30, 2023. China's yuan briefly popped to a one-week high as the central bank again tried to bolster the currency by setting a much stronger-than-anticipated daily mid-point, but those gains fizzled out quickly. Money markets currently lay a bit less than 50/50 odds for another 25 basis point Fed hike by November, before the central bank shifts to rate cuts next year. Traders are wary of intervention after levels around 146 spurred the first yen buying by Japanese officials in a generation last September. On Thursday, the dollar reached 146.565 yen for the first time since Nov. 10.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jerome Powell, Kazuo Ueda, Richard Franulovich, Powell, Kristina Clifton, Kevin Buckland, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Federal, Bank of Japan, U.S ., Westpac, Treasury, Traders, Sterling, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Thomson Locations: Bank, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, China's, Beijing, China
Dollar hovers near highs as U.S. yields surge; PBOC bolsters yuan
  + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In this photo illustration, 100 U.S. dollar notes and 100 yuan notes are displayed. Money markets currently lay a bit less than 50/50 odds for another 25 basis point Fed hike by November, before the central bank shifts to rate cuts next year. The offshore yuan was little changed at 7.2872, after firming about 0.1% after the fixing. The Australian dollar , which often trades as a proxy to China, was also little changed at $0.6413 after initially strengthening slightly following the fixing. The Aussie has grinded higher in recent sessions after dropping to a 9 1/2-month low of $0.6365 on Thursday.
Persons: Richard Franulovich, Jerome Powell's, Franulovich, Powell, Kristina Clifton Organizations: U.S, U.S ., Westpac, Treasury, Commonwealth Bank of Australia Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, China's, Beijing, China
Dollar retreats from 2-month high, yuan turns higher
  + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Samuel Indyk | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
The dollar index , which measures the currency against six other majors, was last down 0.2% at 103.18, but still close to Friday's two-month high of 103.68. Ten-year yields rose 14 basis points last week and touched a 10-month high of 4.328%, within a whisker of a 15-year high. The offshore yuan had fallen to the weak side of 7.3 per dollar before firming after Reuters reported that state-owned Chinese banks were seen actively mopping up offshore yuan liquidity, a move that raised the cost of shorting the currency. China's currency reversed course in the offshore market and was last up 0.2% to 7.2909 per dollar. Sterling rose slightly to $1.2756 and the Swiss franc was just above a six-week low hit last week at 0.8793 per dollar.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Jackson, Michael Brown, I'm, Brown, Jerome Powell, Vishnu Varathan, Adam Cole, Sterling, Samuel Indyk, Tom Westbrook, Kirsten Donovan, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Trader, Wall, Treasury, Mizuho Bank, New Zealand, Authorities, RBC Capital Markets, Reuters, Swiss, Thomson Locations: Europe, Wyoming, Singapore, China, London
FILE PHOTO: A board showing currency exchange rates of the U.S. dollar and euro against Russian rouble is on display in a street in Moscow, Russia, August 12, 2023. By 1510 GMT, the rouble was 1% stronger against the dollar at 98.45 , firming back below the 100 threshold. Stocks on Monday briefly hit their highest since before Moscow launched what it calls a “special military operation” in Ukraine, before falling back. The rouble-based MOEX Russian index was 0.1% higher at 3,157.1 points. A trader at a large Russian bank told Reuters the market was confused: “Everyone is ready for the inflow of revenues from expensive oil, but it seems to be hanging somewhere, and our regulators are somehow indifferent, there is nothing to rely on.”
Persons: Evgenia, Vladimir Putin’s, , firming, Stocks, Yulia Goldina, ” Goldina, , Brent Organizations: Reuters, U.S ., Russian, REUTERS, Investments, Sinara Investment Bank, BCS Locations: Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Russian
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/IllustrationBENGALURU, Aug 3 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar will hold its ground against most major currencies over the coming three months as a resilient domestic economy bolsters expectations interest rates will remain higher for longer, according to FX strategists polled by Reuters. The dollar is unlikely to give up recent gains in coming months, according to the July 31-Aug. 2 Reuters poll of 70 FX strategists, which showed most major currencies would not reclaim their recent highs for at least six months. In response to an additional question, 27 of 40 FX strategists said net short USD positions would either not change much or decrease over the coming month, suggesting the dollar would be rangebound. Typically, these conditions often coincide with a more negative dollar outlook," said Kamakshya Trivedi, head of global FX at Goldman Sachs. At this point in time I wouldn't say so," said ECB President Christine Lagarde last week after delivering a widely anticipated 25 basis points (bps) rate increase.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Kamakshya Trivedi, Goldman Sachs, Christine Lagarde, Kit Juckes, Sterling, Indradip Ghosh, Shaloo Shrivastava, Sujith Pai, Veronica Khongwir, Vijayalakshmi Srinivasan, Jonathan Cable, Ross Finley, Alex Richardson Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reuters, greenback, Federal Reserve, Central Bank, Fed, ECB, Societe Generale, Bank of England, bps, Bank of, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bank of Japan
Sales of Tesla's (TSLA.O) China-made vehicles fell 31% in July from June, data from China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) showed on Thursday, marking its first month-on-month decline since December, when it struggled with rising inventories. Tesla sold 64,285 China-made EVs in July, up 128% from 28,217 a year earlier when a scheduled upgrade to its Shanghai factory curbed production. Meanwhile BYD (002594.SZ), with its Dynasty and Ocean series of EVs and petrol-electric hybrid vehicles, said it posted a 61% year-on-year rise in July sales to 261,105 passenger vehicles, including 18,169 which were exported. CPCA is set to publish full data for July later this month, with sales of new energy passenger vehicles in China estimated to reach 750,000. Still, BYD outsold Tesla China by 29% in EV sales in the first half while its lower-priced Dolphin EV outsold Tesla's Model 3, which is expected to be revamped in September.
Persons: Tesla, BYD, Xpeng, Qiaoyi Li, Zhang Yan, Brenda Goh, Christopher Cushing, Kim Coghill, Alexander Smith Organizations: Tesla, China Passenger Car Association, General Motors, Volkswagen, EV, Authorities, Thomson Locations: BEIJING, SHANGHAI, China, Shanghai
A $20 million plan to release a killer whale named Tokitae from captivity is firming up. The orca has been kept in a small enclosure in the Miami Seaquarium since her capture 53 years ago. The billionaire-backed plan would see the killer whale loaded on a plane and flown across the US. The killer whale has been living in the world's smallest orca tank, which measures 80 feet by 35 feet. She's the second oldest orca living in captivity.
Persons: I've, let's, Jim Irsay, Pat McAfee, Toki, Euronews, Miami Seaquarium, Orcas, Tokitae Organizations: Miami, Service, Indianapolis Colts, Dolphin Company, The Times, Seattle Airport, Times, Miami Herald, Tribune, Getty Locations: Wall, Silicon, Seattle, London, Miami, San Juan, Tokitae, Penn Cove , Washington, Lummi, Pacific
Mexican peso hits 7-1/2 year high vs dollar, further gains eyed
  + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The currency, which has been dubbed the "super peso" in some quarters, including by its most prominent cheerleader, President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, strengthened by more than 1.3% in morning trading to 16.63 per dollar. "What's happening with the peso right now is due to weakness in the dollar, but also because of optimism surrounding the Mexican peso," said Banco Base analyst Gabriela Siller. "And with this international investors keep buying Mexican pesos and it may keep appreciating," she added. Data pointing to softening U.S. inflation on the one hand and better-than-expected growth data on the other has helped weaken the dollar and boost the peso, which could continue firming to 16.40 to the dollar, Siller said. Reporting by Anthony Esposito and Aida Pelaez-Fernandez, editing by Deepa BabingtonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, Gabriela Siller, Siller, Anthony Esposito, Aida Pelaez, Fernandez, Deepa Babington Organizations: MEXICO CITY, greenback, Federal Reserve, Banco Base, JPMorgan, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, America, United States
Powell acknowledged as a positive development that inflation has fallen from the highs of last year without serious damage to the economy. "We'll be comfortable cutting rates when we're comfortable cutting rates, and that won't be this year," Powell said. 'MODERATE' GROWTHU.S. Treasury yields slid in choppy trading after the release of the Fed policy statement, while U.S. stocks ended largely unchanged. Futures markets showed little change in bets on the path of Fed rate increases over the remainder of the year, with small odds given to a rise in September. Though Powell said Fed staff had relaxed a prediction of a recession in coming months, outside analysts still think that's what it may take to finish the inflation fight.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, Elizabeth Frantz Powell, what's, Kathy Bostjancic, nodded, Taylor Swift, he's, Veronica Clark, we're, Howard Schneider, Michael S, Safiyah Riddle, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Reuters, U.S . Federal Reserve, Federal, Committee, REUTERS, Treasury, Nationwide, Citi, Derby, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, Washington , U.S
The Dow Jones Industrial Average index has gained 3.2% this month, outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. The Dow’s gains suggest that investors are starting to buy more economically sensitive stocks as recent data show inflation slowing. That, in turn, indicates they’re becoming increasingly optimistic that the economy could avoid a recession. Conventional Wall Street wisdom says gains in the blue-chip index tend to precede rallies across the broader market. The Dow Jones Transport Average Index, an index of 20 stocks including railroad, trucker, airline and freight companies, has gained 24% this year.
Persons: , Adam Phillips, That’s, Bryan Mena, Read, Matt Egan, , Patrick De Haan Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Wealth, Federal Reserve, Union Pacific Corporation, Ryder System, Dominion Freight Line, Fed, New, American Automobile Association Locations: New York, Russia, Ukraine
The rate hike, which was in line market expectations, took the benchmark overnight interest rate to between 5.25% and 5.50% - the highest level since around the global financial crisis in 2007-2009. [1/3]Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. "Powell and the committee are taking a very data-dependent approach to future rate hikes," said Angelo Kourkafas, investment strategist at Edward Jones. U.S. Treasury yields slipped in choppy trading after the Fed's rate decision. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was down at 3.865%, while the two-year yield, which typically reflects interest rate expectations, fell to 4.8433%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Lamar Villere, Villere, Brendan McDermid, Powell, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Chibuike Oguh, Sinead Carew, Chizu Nomiyama, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: YORK, Global, Federal Reserve, Fed, Villere, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, Brent, U.S, West Texas, Thomson Locations: New Orleans, Europe, Germany, France, New York City, U.S, New York
"We'll be comfortable cutting rates when we're comfortable cutting rates and that won't be this year," Powell said. Yields on both the two- and 10-year Treasury notes moved down modestly from levels right before the release of the Fed's policy statement, while U.S. stocks ended mixed. Futures markets showed bets on the path of Fed rate increases over the remainder of the year were little changed, seeing small odds of a rise in September. "The forward guidance remains unchanged as the committee leaves the door open to further rate hikes if inflation does not continue to trend lower," said Kathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide. He also noted that Fed staff economists are no longer predicting a recession as they have at recent meetings.
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, what's, Kathy Bostjancic, he's, Howard Schneider, Michael S, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Nationwide, Fed, Reuters, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S
Deutsche Bank's emerging market carry strategy index had its best year on record in the 12 months to May. Reuters GraphicsOVERCROWDING FEARSInvestors, however, are becoming concerned the carry trade might be becoming too popular for its own good. "You have to be worried about some of these more crowded positions," said Stephen Gallo, European head of FX strategy at BMO Capital Markets. "I think that is big enough to offset any carry trade income," said Yujiro Goto, head of FX strategy for Japan at Nomura. A hypothetical $50,000 invested in a short Norwegian crown, long dollar carry trade in the first three weeks of July would have lost $3,000, according to Refinitiv.
Persons: Refinitiv, Kamakshya Trivedi, Goldman Sachs, Stephen Gallo, Gallo, James Athey, Yujiro Goto, Oliver Brennan, Brennan, Robin Winkler, Goldman's Trivedi, Geoff Yu, BNY Mellon, Harry Robertson, Alun John, Ankur, Rae Wee, Bernadette Baum Organizations: LONDON, Bank of America, FX, Deutsche, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, BMO Capital Markets, Nomura, BNP Paribas, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Reuters Graphics, Federal, Deutsche Bank, Swiss, Reuters, Korean, BNY, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Japan, European, U.S, America, Asia, London, Singapore
Powell has said that it will take more rate hikes to get inflation down to the target 2% level. Still, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell has repeatedly said, the Fed continues to have a 2% inflation target, meaning more rate hikes will likely be necessary to achieve that goal. The most recent inflation data were quite encouraging." Still, while Powell and administration officials are confident in the actions the Fed has taken to fight inflation, some Democratic lawmakers aren't convinced. "Chair Powell must maintain the Fed's pause on rate hikes and avoid further rate increases that threaten our economy and risk throwing Americans out of work."
Persons: Powell, Jerome Powell, we're, it's, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Janet Yellen, aren't, Massachusetts Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Warren Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Market Committee, Fed, Bloomberg Locations: Wall, Silicon, Massachusetts
In recent weeks, as mortgage rates closed in on 7%, affordability has worsened. Nationally, it takes about 36% of the median household income to make the average mortgage payment — more than the recommended 30% allowance for housing. The Mortgage Credit Availability Index fell by 3.1% to 96.5 in May, the lowest level since January 2013, and was essentially unchanged in June. The MBA index that tracks jumbo loans — loans that are larger than conforming loan limits — saw its second monthly contraction, as some financial institutions reduce their appetite for larger loans that aren’t backed by the government. Mortgage rates are expected to drop the second half of this year as inflation continues to cool, with economists and housing analysts forecasting rates to end the year around 6%.
Persons: Nick Gaylord, “ I’ve, ” Gaylord, it’s, “ I’m, , Gaylord, , Black Knight, Knight, ” Joel Kan, Department of Veterans Affairs —, Organizations: DC CNN, CNN, Mortgage Bankers Association, ICE Mortgage Technology, Federal Housing Administration, US Department of Agriculture, Department of Veterans Affairs, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, Minneapolis
The Federal Reserve will make its next interest rate decision on Wednesday. Sen. Elizabeth Warren told Insider another hike could "be devastating for our economy." On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will decide whether it will raise interest rates again, or maintain the pause on hikes it implemented in June. "Chair Powell must maintain the Fed's pause on rate hikes and avoid further rate increases that threaten our economy and risk throwing Americans out of work." Still, Warren and some of her Democratic colleagues have been critical of Powell's continued rate hikes.
Persons: Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts Sen, Warren, Jerome Powell, Powell, we're, Democratic Sen, John Hickenlooper Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Fed, Federal, Market Committee, Consumer, Democratic Locations: Wall, Silicon, Massachusetts
watch nowNuclear energy has never been part of Australia's energy mix as it has abundant renewables, according to Australia's minister for climate change and energy. Nuclear plays a role in various countries' mix, but in Australia, it never has," Chris Bowen told CNBC on the sidelines of the G20 energy ministers meeting in Goa, India. "Wherever you look, there's issues from our point of view with nuclear energy," he said, outlining problems that can come from adopting nuclear energy. Furthermore, Australia will be starting from "worse than scratch" since it never had a nuclear industry in the first place, he said. "They're not going to be replaced with coal fired power, it's just not going to happen," Bowen said.
Persons: Chris Bowen, CNBC's Sri, Liddell, Bintang, They're, it's, Bowen, Vladimir Putin, David Gray Organizations: CNBC, Liddell Power Station, Getty, Australia, Gas, country's Clean Energy Council Locations: Australia, Goa, India, CNBC's Sri Jegarajah, Europe, Ukraine, Lake George, Canberra
[1/2] FILE PHOTO-People walk past a screen displaying the Hang Seng stock index outside Hong Kong Exchanges, in Hong Kong, China July 19, 2022. Investors are waiting for clearer signs that inflation is cooling, with the readings on U.S. retail sales and industrial production to be released later on Tuesday. Economists reckon retail sales in June will show a 0.5% rise from May, strong enough to keep the soft landing scenario without rekindling worries about inflation. The Fed, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan are holding policy reviews next week. The U.S. dollar index dipped slightly to 99.71 in Asia trade, having struck its lowest since April 2022 on Friday.
Persons: Lam, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Gary Ng, Ng, Brent, Selena Li, Simon Cameron, Moore, Sam Holmes Organizations: Hong Kong Exchanges, REUTERS, Federal, Bank of America, Natixis Corporate, Investment Bank, The, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei, ECB, Fed, Bank of England, U.S, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Hong Kong, China, HONG KONG, Asia, Pacific, Japan
"Consumers are not spending, mainly driven by the bleak outlook for the property market. Disappointing retail numbers and property market sales show it doesn't seem that the boost from rate cuts is sufficient. ..the property market is beginning another slowdown - the government will have to come up with more stimulus for property." "Nonetheless, we think more stimulus is required to stabilise and restore confidence in the property market." ZHIWEI ZHANG, CHIEF ECONOMIST, PINPOINT ASSET MANAGEMENT, HONG KONG"Nominal GDP growth turns out to be lower than real GDP growth in Q2, the first time since comparable data are available in Q4 2016.
Persons: CHRISTOPHER WONG, LOUIS KUIJS, CAROL KONG, XING ZHAOPENG, KEN CHEUNG, ALVIN TAN, VISHNU VARATHAN, MARCO SUN, CHEN, TONY SYCAMORE, ZHIWEI ZHANG, JING LIU Organizations: Gross, National Bureau, Statistics, Shanghai, NBS, BANK OF, ANZ, MIZUHO BANK, OF, OF ASIA FX, RBC, MUFG BANK, IG, SYDNEY, Friday's, BANK OF SINGAPORE, HSBC, stoke, Authorities, Reuters, U.S, Thomson Locations: U.S, SINGAPORE, ASIA, HONG KONG, SYDNEY, CHINA, SHANGHAI, OF ASIA, China
The housing market is near an inflection point as home prices look set to spike, Black Knight said. "There is no doubt that the housing market has reignited from a home-price perspective." "There is no doubt that the housing market has reignited from a home-price perspective," said Andy Walden, Black Knight's vice president of enterprise research. Active listings have worsened in 95% of major markets this year and are more than 50% below pre-pandemic levels, according to Black Knight. "The challenge for the Fed now is to chart a path forward toward a 'soft landing' without reheating the housing market and reigniting inflation."
Persons: Knight, Black Knight, Andy Walden, Black, Walden Organizations: Service, Black Locations: Wall, Silicon
Rivian stock extended its two-day gain to 19% on Friday after Wedbush increased its price target. Wedbush said Rivian is seeing a turnaround in its EV production and should reach its 50,000 delivery target this year. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives highlighted the company's second-quarter production results of 13,992 vehicles, which helped fuel "an impressive" delivery number of 12,640 vehicles. But according to Ives, the production problems Rivian faced should mostly be over. Another growth driver for Rivian is its partnership with Amazon, which centers around the delivery of 100,000 electric delivery vans by 2030.
Persons: Wedbush, Rivian, , Dan Ives, Ives Organizations: Service, Rivian, Amazon Locations: Europe, Munich, Berlin, United States
A report published by the Dossier Center reveals what the inside of Putin's luxury train looks like. It also has a beauty room that includes anti-aging machines, the report said. The other cars are fitted with restaurants, a cinema, and a lavish dining room as well as a Turkish hammam steam room and a beauty room, the report said. The beauty room in Russian President Vladimir Putin's train features anti-aging machines. Karakulov previously told the Dossier Center that the train also has a secret timetable so that it can move around inconspicuously.
Persons: , Vladimir Putin's, Putin's, Putin, Gleb Karakulov, hasn't, Karakulov Organizations: Service, Dossier Center, CNN, Süddeutsche Zeitung, Westdeutscher Rundfunk, Norddeutscher Rundfunk, Presidential Security Service, Guardian, Federal Guard Service, Russia's, Federal Guard Service's Locations: Turkish, Russia, Kyiv, Novo, inconspicuously
Morning Bid: Markets labor on China, three jobs gauges
  + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanWorld markets have taken a hit from a deepening selloff in China as they await critical health checks on U.S. employment over the next two days. Although Fed futures pricing for the year ahead changed little overnight, two-year U.S. Treasury yields edged up closer to 5%. ADP's June take on private sector payrolls, the latest weekly jobless claims numbers and details of May job openings all hit the slate later. Consensus forecasts have ADP reporting another 228,000 jobs last month, jobless claims ticking higher last week and vacancies falling in May. Events to watch for later on Thursday:* U.S. June ADP private sector jobs report, weekly jobless claims and May JOLTS job openings data.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Janet Yellen, Goldman Sachs, restating, John Williams, Elon Musk, Lorrie Logan, Elaine Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Goldman, Federal, New York Fed, Labor Department's, Dallas Federal, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Tokyo, Seoul, British, Europe
US stocks fell Wednesday as investors took in the Fed meeting minutes. Manufacturing data released early Wednesday showed factory orders came in weaker than expected in May. The Nasdaq last week capped off its best first half to a year since 1983. Minutes revealed that the central bank sees more rate hikes to come, but at a slower pace. The Nasdaq is coming off its best first half to a year since 1983, while the S&P 500 capped off its best first half since 2019.
Persons: , firming Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Federal, Dow Jones Locations: Here's
Almost all Federal Reserve officials at their June meeting indicated further tightening is likely, if at a slower pace than the rapid-fire rate increases that had characterized monetary policy since early 2022, according to minutes released Wednesday. Policymakers decided against a rate rise amid concerns over economic growth, even though most members think further hikes are on the way. Citing the lagged impact of policy and other concerns, they saw room to skip the June meeting after enacting 10 straight rate increases. Most recently, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge saw just a 0.3% increase in May, though it was still reflecting a 4.6% annual rate. Fed officials have stressed the importance of reducing that disparity as they look to tamp down the demand that pushed inflation higher.
Persons: hesitance, firming, Jerome Powell, Raphael Bostic Organizations: Federal Reserve, Market, Market Committee, Fed
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