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The S & P 500 has been higher two weeks later all five times. The S & P 500 popped 1.1% on the day of the release. If this happens, it could finally infect the S & P 500, however. The first clue would be seeing the S & P 500 down two weeks after a CPI report. Ultimately, the S & P 500 can pull back to the 4,800 zone and remain above the breakout zone.
Persons: we've, , hasn't, , We'll Organizations: Treasury
Shares of Alphabet are on the verge of a possible breakout ahead of the company's three-day Google Cloud Next conference in Las Vegas, where artificial intelligence will be a major theme. Shortly after the trade, Alphabet shares ran into a brick wall after some advertising weakness surfaced in fourth-quarter results and was followed by a controversy over Gemini's image generator that caused the company to pull the tool. The conference is expected to show that "Google is not being left behind, not being troubled by Search," Jim said. That said, we expect Tuesday's AI conversation to be limited to how it relates to Google Cloud. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade.
Persons: Thomas Kurian's, Nvidia —, bottoming, Jim Cramer, Jim, Nikesh Arora, Anthropic, Dario Amodei, Ford Yao Ge, Nik Spirin, Oppenheimer, Claude, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Google Cloud, Google, Microsoft, Super, Apple, Nvidia, Management, CNBC, Amazon, Bank of America, Palo Alto, Ford, Apple's Worldwide, Getty Locations: Las Vegas, Palo Alto, Amazon, OpenAI
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's property market is unlikely to recover this year, Jefferies saysShujin Chen, head of China FIG Research at Jefferies, says it's "still in the process of bottoming."
Persons: Jefferies, Shujin Chen Organizations: China FIG Research, Jefferies
"A fundamentally overbuilt real estate industry needs to be addressed — and quickly," he said in the report, which counts Changchun Hua, KKR's chief economist for Greater China, among the co-authors. Real estate and related sectors once accounted for about one fifth or more of China's economy, depending on the breadth of analysts' calculations. Based on comparisons to housing corrections in the U.S., Japan and Spain, China's "housing market correction may be just halfway complete" in terms of its depth, the KKR report said. watch nowWhile KKR's report didn't provide much detail on expectations for specific real estate policy, the authors said more action by Beijing to improve China's real estate sector "could materially shift investor perception." Chinese officials have said the real estate sector remains in a period of adjustment, while Beijing shifts its emphasis toward manufacturing and what it considers "high-quality development."
Persons: Henry H, McVey, " McVey, Hong, Nomura Organizations: West Coast New, Nurphoto, Getty, BEIJING, KKR, Authorities, Housing Locations: West, Qingdao, East China's Shandong, China, Changchun Hua, Greater China, U.S, Japan, Spain, Beijing, China's
We've seen a noticeable uptick in volume and interest in Estee Lauder (EL) , after struggling significantly for the last two years to formulate a turnaround. Has the global makeup giant finally bottomed and proven that its business is investable again? In my opinion, with its strong expected future growth and high margins, EL is quite undervalued and offers an attractive risk/reward for investors to add exposure now in your portfolio. The trade The implied volatility rank of EL currently stands at 31%, which makes options on the expensive side. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: We've, Estee Lauder, Lauder
Here are Wells Fargo's top trades for the second quarter
  + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The second quarter is underway, and Wells Fargo has laid out its top stock ideas to maximize investor returns during the period. Here are some of Wells Fargo's top names for the next three months: Wells Fargo is bullish on Amazon , naming the stock as an overweight tactical idea. Wells Fargo's $211 price target implies about 17% upside from Tuesday's close. Despite a difficult start to the year that saw shares slump about 5%, Wells Fargo anticipates about 15% upside in store for the coffee chain retailer. Wells Fargo named Tesla among its four underweight ideas for the quarter, citing slowing delivery growth and dwindling demand.
Persons: Wells, Stocks, Ken Gawrelski, Wells Fargo's, INSM, Tiago Fauth, Zack Fadem, Colin Langan's Organizations: Insmed, Starbucks, Citigroup, Devon Energy Locations: Wells Fargo, Wells, North America, Monday's
But following more than a year of erratic behavior from Cathie Wood's flagship vehicle, the ARK Innovation Fund appears to be forming a basing pattern that could herald a breakout ahead. Bullish pattern developing However, the ETF deserves our attention from a technical perspective since it could be getting closer to breaking out of a two-year basing pattern. And as the chart shows, this has prompted a second bullish formation to be constructed – a big cup and handle pattern. If a breakout through the two-year base does occur, the odds suggest that it will get traders' attention once again. If nothing else, it's important to understand what you're investing in, especially a very active ETF like ARKK.
Persons: ARKK, That's, Price, Tesla, It's Organizations: Innovation, Google, VanEck Semiconductor, Coinbase Locations: ARKK
Deutsche Bank reiterates Charles Schwab as buy Deutsche Bank raised its price target on the stock to $77 per share from $75. UBS reiterates Boeing as buy UBS said the risks are already priced in for Boeing shares. Loop reiterates Best Buy as buy Loop said the electronics giant is a "stealth housing play." UBS reiterates Micron as buy UBS said it is standing by its buy rating on the stock heading into earnings on Wednesday. UBS upgrades Cognex to buy from neutral UBS said the systems software company is "high quality growth at a discount."
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Bernstein, , Redburn, Cooper, Jefferies, ZM, Mizuho, Baird, KeyBanc, Raymond James, Morgan Stanley, Stephens, Guggenheim, Wells, Wells Fargo Organizations: Nvidia, Deutsche Bank, Northern Trust Deutsche Bank, Northern Trust, Apple, Google, Barclays, Cooper Companies, Citi, Honeywell, Honeywell International Inc, Union Pacific Corp, Mizuho, UBS, Boeing, Micron, TEAM, Logistics, Industries, JPMorgan, Systems, Bank of America, Avis Budget, OW, Equity, Accenture, Starbucks Locations: Snowflake, 2H24E, Truist
That's not to say predictions of a commercial real estate rebound are a sure bet. Here are four signs that support Gray's prediction that the commercial real estate market may be bottoming. (New York Community Bank had previously purchased $2.7 billion in Signature's loans and deposits, but not the real estate loans.) According to David Seifert, partner at private equity real estate firm Velocis, there are some sweet deals to be had in secondary sales of private-equity funds tied to real estate. The road aheadWhere Gray sees signs of bottoming, others think commercial real estate has much further to fall.
Persons: Warren Buffett, Buffett, Paul Getty, Getty, Steve Mnuchin —, Blackstone, Mnuchin, Donald Trump's, George Soros, John Paulson, It's, Jonathan Gray, Jim Garman, That's, Barry Sternlicht, Gray, Tracy Chen, Chen, BGO, secondaries There's, Ares, Brian King, King, David Seifert, Seifert, Velocis, Goldman Sachs, Dan McNamara, McNamara, Scott Rechler, wallop, Janet Yellen, Rechler, there's Organizations: Business, Goldman, Reuters, Starwood, Brandywine Global, Federal Reserve, . Bank, New York Community Bank, FDIC, Signature Bank, Community Bank, Fund Management, Community Preservation, New, Commercial Observer, Blackstone, Homes, Digital Realty, Polpo, RXR Locations: Blackstone, , New York, New York, BREIT, Real, Velocis
On the eve of the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting, Wall Street forecaster Jim Bianco believes the central bank will likely stay on hold until next year. For Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut this spring, the economy would have to dramatically weaken, according to Bianco. This week's Fed meeting comes almost exactly two years after policymakers started their rate hike campaign. It appears Wall Street may be on notice. In January, Bianco told "Fast Money" the 10-year yield would hit 5.5% this year.
Persons: Jim Bianco, CNBC's, Jerome Powell, Bianco, It's, it's, That's, we're Organizations: Federal, Wall, Bianco Research, Boeing, Fed Locations: It's
CNBC's Jim Cramer backs Wall Street's upgrade of PepsiCo but warns that weight loss drug risks could have a lasting impact on the beverage and snacks giant. Shares of PepsiCo rose 4% in Monday morning trading on a bullish call from Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley analysts did address GLP-1s in Monday research note, saying the long-term risk is real but manageable. They added this risk "seems more than priced in" to the valuation of PepsiCo stock. Novo Nordisk is the maker of Ozempic for diabetes and Wegovy for weight loss.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Wall, Morgan Stanley, Cramer, he's, Eli Lilly Organizations: PepsiCo, Novo Nordisk, Trust, CNBC, Club
CNBC Pro readers flocked this week to several stories on Nvidia and other ways to play the stock's monstrous rally. The top Pro story this week was " Sell Nvidia or stick with it? Other stocks could see a lift in the coming week off the Nvidia conference including AMD, Broadcom and Oracle. How to trade Nvidia In a column Monday, Fairlead Strategies founder Katie Stockton gave a guide to how to trade stocks that have " gone parabolic " like Nvidia and Meta. Nvidia alternatives Another top-performing Pro story this week was David Keller's on the potential breakout in Block , the parent company of Square.
Persons: Vahan Janjigian, he's, We've, Cantor Fitzgerald, C.J, Muse, Katie Stockton, Stockton, David Keller's, Keller, Stephanie Niven, Niven, BofA Organizations: CNBC Pro, Nvidia, Greenwich Wealth Management, Bank of America, NVIDIA, AMD, Broadcom, Oracle, Meta, KLA Corp
But despite the struggles of the largest stocks in the sector, Block (SQ) appears to breaking above a key resistance level. The key with a head and shoulders pattern is to wait for the "trigger", which is when the price actually breaks through the neckline. Here we can see that the recent breakout above the neckline was preceded by a price gap higher in February. Immediately after the price gap, SQ dropped down to around $75, a level which was retested again in early March. With inverted head and shoulders breakout on the weekly chart, and clearly defined risk levels on the daily chart, Block may just be worth investors' attention.
Persons: retested, David Keller Organizations: Nvidia, Apple, CMT
Let's analyze how to trade a drug stock that's made a terrific comeback and could have more upside from here. But there's a catch: The price of call options have become too expensive given the rally, so we need to think of lower-cost trade to bet on upside from here. Now that it's traded off those lows and started to outperform the markets, I have a follow-up trade. The trade Options on BMY currently are very expensive, so buying calls are out of the question. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: that's, BMY, it's Organizations: Myers Squibb, underperformance, pharma, Bristol Myers Locations: Bristol
In short, the rent is too damn high — and it’s keeping inflation and interest rates elevated alongside it. We’ll see if they’re right on Tuesday morning when February’s CPI data is due out. “Shelter inflation has been a big focal point for the market,” they wrote in a note on Monday. “We remain confident that [rent prices] will flatline in 2024, rather than fall,” Capital Economics analyst Thomas Ryan wrote in a recent note. That means a current deceleration in rent prices won’t be fully factored into inflation data until February 2025.
Persons: Greg McBride, , Jerome Powell, “ It’s, Powell, aren’t, , Thomas Ryan, Ritti Singh, Singh, won’t, isn’t, Goldman Sachs, Clare Duffy, Reddit, it’s, That’s, Matt Egan, Joe Biden, Bespoke’s Paul Hickey, ” Hickey Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, CPI, Bank of America, ” Capital, Housing Justice, Fed, Dallas Fed, AAA, Federal, Investment Locations: New York
Moore named Nvidia , Western Digital and Microchip Technology as the investment bank's favorite names coming out of the conference. Computer drive maker Western Digital is the firm's top pick. Western Digital announced in late October that it will split its hard disk drive and NAND memory businesses into two separate public companies. "Every semiconductor equipment company that we talked to highlighted that NAND spending will remain at minimal levels through CY24, even as DRAM spending and cutting edge fab spending hit new highs," he said. Western Digital shares are up 17.9% so far this year.
Persons: Morgan, Joseph Moore, Moore, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Media, Telecom, Nvidia, Western Digital, Technology, Computer, Western, Digital Locations: CY25
Gas prices have surged to four-month highs. Don’t panic
  + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
A gas price spike might be the last thing President Joe Biden needs to convince skeptical voters about his economic agenda. But experts say there is no reason to panic about gas prices, at least not yet. Gas prices always rise at this time of the year. Of course, there’s always the potential for unexpected events that could spike gas prices. If anything, De Haan said the earlier-than-expected jump in gas prices this year could cause prices to peak sooner than usual.
Persons: it’s, That’s, Joe Biden, Bespoke’s Paul Hickey, ” Hickey, , , Patrick De Haan, Andy Lipow, Lipow, there’s, GasBuddy’s De Haan, De Haan Organizations: New, New York CNN, AAA, Federal, Investment, CNN, Whiting, BP Locations: New York, Indiana —, Michigan, Illinois, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Saudi Aramco, Ukraine
Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Confluent's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Super Micro Computer's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Chewy's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon On Holding's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Indie Semiconductor's year-to-date stock performance.
Persons: they've, I've, I'm Organizations: Indie Semiconductor
Here's a tutorial on how to trade options on a stock about to report earnings. Lowe's this week Consider Lowe's which is scheduled to report earnings on Tuesday. Home Depot reported about a 14% decline in EPS and revenue fell by more than $1 billion for the quarter versus the prior year. Despite the unremarkable results Home Depot reported, after initially falling about 2% from Friday's close to Tuesday's open, the stock has since rebounded. The reason is, in Lowe's at least, moves of those magnitudes the week of earnings are quite infrequent.
Persons: It's, it's, Lowe's, Khouw Organizations: Nvidia, Industry, Home Locations: Lowe's
Cramer's Lightning Round: Wait to buy Walgreens
  + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Marathon Digital's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Walgreens' year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon First Watch Restaurant Group's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Zoominfo's year-to-date stock performance. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Anheuser-Busch's year-to-date stock performance.
Persons: BUD Organizations: Walgreens, Anheuser, Busch, TAP, Constellation Brands, Charitable Trust
The electric vehicle industry is seeing cutthroat competition between investor favorite Tesla and several Chinese automakers like BYD . "While Tesla grabs all the headlines, we don't necessarily think that it's going to be the electric vehicle manufacturers that do the best. Morningstar gives stocks a rating of between one and five stars, with a top rating indicating that the shares are undervalued. We think lithium prices are probably bottoming out here," he told CNBC Pro on Feb. 2. Shares of the U.S. lithium company have had a bumpy ride over the past days.
Persons: Tesla, David Sekera, Volkswagen —, Sekera, it's, Albemarle Organizations: Morningstar, Ford Motor, Volkswagen, CNBC Pro, International Energy Agency, Reuters Locations: BorgWarner, Albemarle, U.S
While the recovery time may vary buy end market, it's important to note that on a consolidated basis, management does believe that the first quarter 2024 will represent the bottom. They expect to see a pickup in sales as we exit the second quarter of 2024. DD 1Y mountain DuPont 1 year Guidance Management's forecast for the current quarter (first quarter of fiscal 2024) was unchanged from what we got on the preannouncement. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Jeff Fusco Organizations: DuPont, Electronics, DuPont's Semiconductor Technologies, Semiconductor Technologies, Industrial Solutions, Protection, Safety Solutions, Solutions, Management, CNBC Locations: China, Wilmington , Delaware
Citi's target price for Mineral Resources: 71 Australian dollars ($46.8), implying nearly 20% upside. Citi's target price for Stockland: AU$5.10, or around 12% potential upside. Citi's target price for Intuitive Surgical: $428, or around 11.5% potential upside. Prosus Citi says Amsterdam-listed investment group Prosus is one of the European stocks most exposed to China and is set to be a "beneficiary of improving sentiment" to China. Citi's target price for Prosus: 42.50 euros ($46.2), implying 52.5% upside.
Persons: Stockland, Prosus, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Mineral Resources Citi, Mineral Resources, Stockland, Prosus Citi Locations: United States, Europe, Asia, Australia, Amsterdam, China
The economy is in good shape and earnings are expanding, which spells good news for stocks, according to Stephanie Link. "We're in the sweet spot of this economy, in terms of growth," which is great news for corporate profits and points to wider stock market rally involving more stocks, Link said. "We're running at 4.2% from the Atlanta Fed GDP tracker, you've got PMIs [purchasing manager indexes] that are bottoming, new orders that are inflecting [higher]," Link said. "It means better earnings. A strong economy means better earnings, and that is what is happening.
Persons: Stephanie Link, Link, Hightower, you've, We've Organizations: Hightower Associates, Atlanta Fed
Land sales and home prices showed some improvement in China's property market, Reuters reported. Government land sales rose for the first time in two years, while prices saw their fastest rise since mid-2021. AdvertisementReal estate in China may finally be nearing the end of a yearslong slide, with home prices and land sales demonstrating fresh strength, Reuters reported. Average city prices rose 0.15% month-on-month in January, marking the fastest gain since mid-2021. Government land sale revenue that month also notched a 1.8% gain from a year prior, the first time sales rose in 23 months, the outlet said.
Persons: Fitch, , overbuilding Organizations: Reuters, Service, Fitch Locations: China, Beijing
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