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Dollar holds firm as traders trim U.S. rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"The carry of holding dollars is far juicier," he said, while policymakers' rhetoric has also made traders nervous about inflation and the risk rate cuts would be distant or small. Traders have pushed out the timing of the first Fed rate cut to December. Thursday's business surveys from S&P Global supported the conviction among many traders that the Fed may keep rates higher for longer. But not for traders who are positioned for Fed cuts. Rates markets still price a near 90% chance the ECB cuts rates next month.
Persons: Martin Whetton, Matt Simpson, Sterling, Christopher Waller Organizations: U.S, Westpac, Federal, Traders, P Global, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Locations: Sydney
Japanese stocks are enjoying a banner year, with foreign investors plowing into the market. Japanese investors are hesitant Japanese investors have long been skeptical of the local stock market after the asset price bubble burst in the early 1990s. Another reason Japanese investors may not be as keen on their domestic market could be the yen falling sharply. Outlook for Japanese stocks still strong Despite the recent bout of selling from local investors and the market's recent struggles, many global investors remain bullish on Japanese stocks. This is another "slow-moving but important tailwind to Japanese stocks," with more room to run, according to Zachary Hill, Horizon Investments head of portfolio management.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Kishida, Julian McManus, Janus Henderson, Bernstein, Zachary Hill, Raymond Chan, Chan, McManus, he's, Warren Buffett Organizations: Japan Exchange Group, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, U.S ., Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Investment, Association, Prime, Nippon, Savings, U.S, Horizon Investments, Federal Reserve, Asia Pacific, Allianz Global Investors, Mitsui, Itochu, Sumitomo Locations: U.S, Japan, Asia
Dollar hovers near highest in a week after hawkish Fed minutes
  + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The yen l anguished just above a three-week low despite the continued threat of intervention by Japanese officials. The dollar index, which tracks the currency against six major rivals including the euro , sterling and yen, was little changed at 104.89 after gaining 0.28% overnight. The dollar was little changed at 156.77 yen after rising to 156.85 overnight, the highest since May 1. Traders and analysts suspect Japan's Ministry of Finance intervened several times to support the yen following its plunge to a 34-year low of 160.245 per dollar on April 29. Bigger rival bitcoin was little changed at $69,491 after reaching $71,957 on Tuesday for the first time since April 9.
Persons: Sterling, Ether, James Kniveton, Japan's, Rishi Sunak, bitcoin Organizations: Bank of Japan, Reserve, Federal, Traders, of Finance, Bank of England, Conservatives, Labour Party, Labour, Securities
Dollar steady; ether fuels crypto rally
  + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Cryptocurrencies rallied, led by a surge in ether on growing anticipation of an impending approval of spot ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Against the yen , the dollar rose 0.07% to 156.37 in the early Asian session. However, the still-stark interest rate differentials between the U.S. and Japan maintained the appeal of the yen as a funding currency. Still, the cautious Fed rhetoric has so far done little to significantly alter the market pricing for rate cuts, with investors betting on two cuts this year beginning September. Analysts said the latest crypto rally came on the back of speculation that an approval of spot ether ETFs by the U.S. SEC could be imminent, following in the footsteps of the listing of bitcoin ETFs earlier this year.
Persons: Cryptocurrencies, Carol Kong, Bitcoin, Tony Sycamore Organizations: U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia's, IG Locations: Japan
The attack came on the tenth anniversary of a deadly knife rampage on Taipei’s metro that shocked an island with a reputation for being generally safe, and led to the eventual execution of the man who carried out the attack. Three passengers were injured in the incident on Tuesday in Taichung and were taken to hospital, city’s mayor Lu Shiow-yen told reporters. “As we were pinning him down, another man pried (the attacker’s) fingers and took away the knife,” a female witness told journalists at the scene. “I saw him (the attacker) holding a cooking knife and later saw a fruit knife on the floor,” he said. The incident also happened on the ten-year anniversary of a similar stabbing attack in the Taipei metro which killed four people and injured over twenty.
Persons: Lu Shiow, , , Organizations: CNN Locations: Taichung, Kaohsiung, Taipei
Dollar calm as traders await clues on U.S. rate path
  + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In this photo illustration, a person seen holding a 100 US dollar bill in his hand. The dollar was broadly steady on Monday as investors awaited further clues to help chart the U.S. interest rate path in the wake of cautious comments from Federal Reserve officials, even as inflation shows signs of cooling. The Japanese yen was flat at 155.74 per dollar, with traders on alert for any signs of government intervention. That has prompted traders to trim the amount of easing expected this year to about 46 bps, with only a rate cut in November fully priced in. In other currencies, sterling touched a two-month high of $1.2711 ahead of the crucial UK inflation report due on Wednesday.
Persons: Brian Jacobsen, Powell, Jackson, Flash PMIs, Paul Mackel, BoE, Charu Chanana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Annex Wealth Management, ANZ, European Central Bank, Bank of England, HSBC, New Zealand, Reserve Bank of New, Saxo Locations: Tokyo, Germany, U.S, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Dollar set for weekly drop on U.S. slowdown signs
  + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar headed for its largest weekly fall versus the euro in two-and-a-half months on Friday as signs of cooling inflation and a softening U.S. economy raised the prospect of rate cuts. The dollar headed for its largest weekly fall versus the euro in two-and-a-half months on Friday as signs of cooling inflation and a softening U.S. economy raised the prospect of rate cuts. The euro is up 0.9% on the dollar this week, has broken above resistance around $1.0855 and traded as high as $1.0895 in the wake of U.S. inflation posting a slowdown. "(Besides inflation) a lot of activity data has been cooling off," said Westpac strategist Imre Speizer, contributing to selling of the dollar. The New Zealand dollar was last steady at $0.6120 with traders looking ahead to next week's central bank meeting, where the official cash rate is expected to stay at 5.5%.
Persons: Imre Speizer, Sterling Organizations: Federal, Westpac, New, U.S, Aussie, New Zealand Locations: New Zealand
Dollar sags as slower U.S. inflation boosts rate cut expectations
  + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar skidded to multi-month lows on Thursday after U.S. core inflation hit its slowest in three years and retail sales turned flat, which pulled forward expectations for rate cuts in the world's biggest economy. The dollar skidded to multi-month lows on Thursday after U.S. core inflation hit its slowest in three years and retail sales turned flat, which pulled forward expectations for rate cuts in the world's biggest economy. Stocks and other risk-sensitive assets such as the Australian dollar led gains in the wake of the data release. The New Zealand dollar hit a two-month high at $0.6131. Softer-than-expected retail sales figures, which were flat last month instead of the 0.4% gain that economists had forecast, reinforced the newfound confidence in rate cuts.
Persons: Sterling, Bart Wakabayashi, China's, Bitcoin Organizations: Australian, New Zealand, U.S, State, European Central Bank Locations: Asia, Tokyo, Treasuries
Consumers have largely seen prices deflate for physical goods, such as cars, furniture and appliances, economists said. They've also declined for some groceries and other things, such as travel, according to the consumer price index. Physical goods prices have deflated in all but one month since May 2023, for example. watch nowThe U.S. dollar's strength relative to other global currencies has also helped rein in prices for goods, economists said. Downward pressure on goods prices has waned a bit in recent months as supply-and-demand dynamics have normalized, economists said.
Persons: Oscar Wong, They've, they've, Michael Pugliese, Stephen Brown, Mark Zandi, Zandi, Hayley Berg, Hopper, There's, Brown Organizations: Consumers, Wells, Wells Fargo Economics, North, Capital Economics, Finance, GameStop, AMC, U.S, Federal Reserve, Canadian, Moody's, Airlines Locations: Wells Fargo, North America, U.S
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Meme craze coolsShares of GameStop and AMC rose on Tuesday, extending Monday's gains after "Roaring Kitty" made a reappearance. Shares, however, gave up some of their earlier gains, suggesting enthusiasm for the so-called meme stocks was fading. Powell: Inflation falling slowlyFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said inflation was not slowing as quickly as anticipated, requiring the central bank to maintain its current interest rates for longer.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Australia's, CNBC's Yun Li Organizations: Google Gemini, CNBC, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Treasury, GameStop, AMC, Biden, Sony, China's CSI, AMC Entertainment Locations: Brussels, Belgium, China, Amsterdam, Asia, Pacific, Hong Kong, South Korea
Dollar droops to one-month low vs euro before key CPI test
  + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
In this photo illustration, the new £10 note is seen alongside euro notes and U.S. dollar bills on Oct. 13, 2017 in Bath, England. The euro edged up 0.03% to $1.0823 in Asian trading hours, and earlier rose to $1.0828 for the first time since April 10. The dollar edged back 0.12% to 156.245 yen on Wednesday, but had pushed as high as 156.80 overnight. The dollar dropped 0.24% to 7.2232 yuan in offshore trading, after reaching the highest since May 1 at 7.2460 overnight. The New Zealand dollar climbed 0.37% to $0.6062, and earlier touched $0.6064 for the first time since April 10.
Persons: Alan Ruskin, Jerome Powell, Tony Sycamore, Joe Biden's Organizations: Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Bank of Japan, CPI, IG, Australian, New Zealand Locations: Bath, England, U.S, China
Japan’s economy contracts in first quarter
  + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
Tokyo Reuters —Japan’s economy contracted in the first quarter, squeezed by weaker consumption and external demand and throwing a fresh challenge to policymakers as the central bank looks to lift interest rates away from near-zero levels. The reading translates into a quarterly contraction of 0.5%, versus a 0.4% decline expected by economists. “Japan’s economy hit the bottom in the first quarter,” said Yoshimasa Maruyama, chief market economist at SMBC Nikko Securities. “The economy will certainly rebound this quarter thanks to rising wages although uncertainty remains on service consumption.”Capital spending, a key driver of private demand, fell 0.8% in the first quarter, versus an expected decline of 0.7%, despite hefty corporate earnings. External demand, or exports minus imports, knocked 0.3 of a percentage point off first quarter GDP estimates.
Persons: Downwardly, , Yoshimasa Maruyama Organizations: Tokyo Reuters, Nikko Securities, , Daihatsu, Bank of Japan Locations: Tokyo, , Noto, Toyota’s
The company also narrowly missed its forecast for unit sales of its flagship PlayStation 5 gaming console for the full year. Here's how Sony did in the March quarter versus LSEG consensus estimates:Revenue: 3.5 trillion yen ($22.4 billion) versus 2.89 trillion yen expected. Operating profit: 229.4 billion yen versus 236.81 billion yen expected. Sony's operating profit for the full year, though, came in at 1.2 trillion yen, down 7% year-over-year. That's slightly lower than the revised 21 million unit target that Sony gave investors in February.
Organizations: Sony, PlayStation
Malaysia will not use monetary policy as a tool to shore up its currency, according to the central bank's deputy governor. Bank Negara's Adnan Zaylani Mohamad Zahid said the country's monetary policy decisions will be determined by economic growth and the inflation outlook. The ringgit currently does not reflect Malaysia's economic fundamentals and growth prospects, Bank Negara said in a statement last week. This has been fueled by expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve could hold interest rates higher-for-longer as inflation remains sticky. Adnan Zaylani said the central bank expects the U.S. interest rate cycle to turn at "some point in time," which will then reflect on the "ringgit performance."
Persons: Bank Negara's Adnan Zaylani Mohamad Zahid, CNBC's, Adnan Zaylani Organizations: Bank, Bank Negara, Korean, U.S ., U.S . Federal Locations: Malaysia
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: Meme stocks — Meme stocks roared for a second day with GameStop surging more than 65% and AMC popping over 70%. AMC's Tuesday rally came even after the movie theater said it completed a $250 million stock sale during Monday's wild trading. Sony — U.S.-listed shares jumped 5.3% after quarterly revenue came in at 3.5 trillion yen, topping the consensus expectation of 2.89 trillion yen from analysts polled by LSEG. On Holding — The shoe maker jumped 16% after first-quarter earnings came in well ahead of analysts' expectations. Boston Beer Company — Shares added 1% after the beer brewer was upgraded by Jefferies to buy from hold.
Persons: United, Newell Brands, Roth, , Yun Li, Michelle Fox, Samantha Subin, Hakyung Kim, Brian Evans Organizations: GameStop, AMC, Sony —, LSEG, Vodafone — U.S, United Airlines —, Barclays, Boston Beer, Jefferies, JPMorgan Locations: Europe
Check out the companies making the biggest moves in premarket trading: Meme stocks -- GameStop soared 120%, adding to the 74.4% it gained Monday , after the man who fueled the 2021 GameStop frenzy "Roaring Kitty" posted online for the first time in about three years. Shares of AMC popped 106%, while Reddit and Robinhood added 4% and nearly 6%, respectively. Alibaba -- U.S.-listed shares shed nearly 5% after the Chinese e-commerce giant reported an 86% drop in profits for its fiscal fourth quarter . However, Alibaba beat revenue expectations, coming in at 221.9 billion Chinese yuan ($30.7 billion) versus the LSEG consensus estimate of 219.66 billion yuan. Sony -- U.S.-listed shares added 3% after the PlayStation maker reported quarterly revenue of 3.5 trillion yen, topping the 2.89 trillion yen, per LSEG.
Persons: Kitty, Robinhood, FactSet, , Jesse Pound, Alex Harring Organizations: GameStop, AMC, Home, LSEG, Revenue, Sony, PlayStation, Vodafone, Walmart, Wall Street Journal, United Airlines, Novo Nordisk
Asia-Pacific markets were largely higher Tuesday even as stocks on Wall Street stumbled, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average snapping an eight-day winning streak. Investors in Asia assessed India's inflation numbers. Data released Monday showed consumer price index climbed 4.83% year on year, nearly in line with the 4.8% expected by economists polled by Reuters. India's wholesale inflation reading is due to be released later in the day. Data from the Bank of Japan showed that corporate inflation was steady in April compared with a year earlier, but import prices jumped 6.4% year over year last month, most likely due to the yen's sharp declines.
Organizations: Dow Jones, Reuters, Bank of Japan Locations: Jama, New Delhi, India, Asia, Pacific
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan has 'put a floor under the yen,' but it is not on 'firm footing,' David Roche saysDavid Roche, president and global strategist at Independent Strategy, discusses the Bank of Japan's monetary policy and the Japanese yen.
Persons: David Roche Organizations: Email Bank of Japan, Independent, Bank
SoftBank's Vision Fund, the brainchild of the company's founder Masayoshi Son, has faced a number of headwinds including a slump in technology stocks as a result of rising interest rates, a tough China market and geopolitics. SoftBank posted a 7.24 billion Japanese yen ($4.6 billion) gain on its Vision Fund in the fiscal year ended March, the first time the flagship tech investment arm has been in the black since 2021. SoftBank's flagship tech investment arm, the Vision Fund, had a tough time in the fiscal year that ended in March 2023, posting a record loss of around $32 billion amid a slump in tech stock prices and the souring of some of the business' bets in China. However, in the June quarter of last year, the Vision Fund posted its first investment gain in five consecutive quarters, signalling early stages of a recovery. SoftBank's Chief Financial Officer Yoshimitsu Goto said in the previous quarter that SoftBank had shifted from an "Alibaba to AI-centric portfolio."
Persons: Masayoshi Son, SoftBank, Masayoshi, Yoshimitsu Goto, Goto Organizations: Vision, Vision Fund Locations: China, Alibaba
All this, the business administration student says, is part of his quest to land a job with a big bank like Goldman Sachs or JPMorgan. Advertisement"I have to grind a lot for academics and then do internships on top of that," Loh said. Many Singapore students have adopted a similar playbook to Loh's, padding their résumés with stacks of internships in the hopes of landing a spot at a top bank. AdvertisementHussain ended up doing five internships throughout his college career, including stints at a hedge fund and a private bank. Tan is slated to join a top European bank as an investment banking analyst this summer.
Persons: , Channon Loh, he's, Loh, Goldman Sachs, Mike Kemp, Eric Sim, Sim, It's, Adnan Hussain, Hussain, Adnan Hussain Adnan Hussain, you'll, Nicholas Tan, Tan, Duo Geng Goh, Goh, it's, Chi Ang, gunning, Ang, Adrian Choo, Choo Organizations: Service, National University of Singapore, NUS, JPMorgan, Business, Getty, Goldman, Harvard, Crazy Rich, UBS Investment Bank, BI, Singapore Management University, SMU, Students, Banking Locations: Singapore, Crazy
De-dollarization efforts won't do much to dethrone the dollar, Morgan Stanley said. There are no true alternatives to holding the US dollar at the moment, Morgan Stanley strategists said. AdvertisementThe dollar's status as the top currency of central banks and for international trade probably isn't fading soon, according to Morgan Stanley. "Now, reasonable people can disagree about whether cryptocurrencies are going to appreciate or depreciate, but I'd argue that the best outcome for a dominant currency is neither." Displacing a dominant currency is something that happens over the course of decades, economists previously told Business Insider, as it takes time for people to shift to other currencies once a dominant currency is recognized as "safe."
Persons: Morgan Stanley, , James Lord, Michael Zezas, That's, Lord, there's, Zezas, Crypto, David Adams, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Service, Rivals, greenback, Business Locations: Beijing, China
SoftBank Group subsidiary Arm is planning to launch artificial intelligence chips by next year, according to a Nikkei Asia report, as the battle for AI chip dominance intensifies. SoftBank is in discussion with contract manufacturers including Taiwan's TSMC to produce the AI chips, the report added. Arm designs the fundamental architecture upon which the chips are built. The company will bear the initial development costs of the AI chips, which could reach "hundreds of billions of yen," according to the report. After a mass-production system has been set up, Arm's AI chip business could be "spun off and placed under SoftBank."
Persons: SoftBank, Taiwan's Organizations: SoftBank, Nikkei, Qualcomm, Nvidia, Nasdaq Locations: Krakow, Poland, Nikkei Asia
Dollar slips after unexpected rise in U.S. producer prices
  + stars: | 2024-05-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Euros, U.S. dollars, Canadian dollars, Russian rubles and Czech korunas lie on a table as banknotes. The dollar was slightly lower on Tuesday after an initial jump following an unexpected increase in U.S. producer prices in April that indicated inflation remained elevated early in the second quarter. The producer price index for final demand rose 0.5% last month after falling by a downwardly revised 0.1% in March, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Tuesday. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was down 0.18% at 105.03. The dollar strengthened against the yen, up 0.15% at 156.43.
Organizations: Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics Locations: Czech
Leading healthcare companies Pfizer and AstraZeneca announced on Sunday new investments in France worth a total of nearly $1 billion, ahead of the start of this year's annual 'Choose France' business summit. Pfizer said it would invest 500 million euros ($538.5 million) in France to build up its research and development work in the country, while AstraZeneca announced an investment of $388 million for its site at Dunkirk. France announced earlier on Sunday 100 new jobs in Paris at Wall Street bank Morgan Stanley, and investments from other firms such as German aviation company Lilium . Macron wants to burnish Paris' role as a top European business capital, although it has traditionally lagged New York and London on a global scale. The survey ranked Paris in 14th position.
Persons: Emmanuel Macron, Morgan Stanley, Macron, Paris Organizations: Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Wall, New York, London Locations: France, Dunkirk, Paris, New York, London, New
Japanese technology investor SoftBank Group is expected to slip back into the red when it reports earnings on Monday despite technology stocks including Arm Holdings its core asset, performing well over the quarter. Analysts and investors are also eagerly awaiting clues about new growth investments as SoftBank has ample liquidity and can monetize its huge holding in Arm. The initial public offering (IPO) market remained subdued, leaving analysts uncertain of the monetization prospects for SoftBank's portfolio of unlisted tech startups. But while the Arm stake may make possible an investment on this scale, its dominance within SoftBank's portfolio poses a risk should market sentiment turn, hitting SoftBank's value and fundraising capacity. Morningstar analyst Javier Correonero estimates a fair value for Arm of $57 per share, compared to its recent trading range around $100 per share.
Persons: SoftBank, Arm's, DiDi, Shogo Tono, Javier Correonero Organizations: SoftBank, Arm Holdings, Grab Holdings, LSEG, Nomura Securities, Nvidia, Morningstar Locations: Britain, Coupang
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