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Search resuls for: "VoteCast"


3 mentions found


☆ GOP Gains College-Educated and Minority Voters in Slim House Pickup
  + stars: | 2022-11-19 | by ( Aaron Zitner | Anthony Debarros | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
In making modest gains in House seats this year, Republicans drew more support from minority and college-educated voters than in other recent elections, chipping away at important pillars of the Democratic coalition in ways that could better position the party for the next election. Republicans narrowed the Democratic advantage among Latino voters, Black voters and white women with college degrees—important components of the Democratic voter pool—according to AP VoteCast, a large survey of midterm participants. GOP House candidates won a majority of white women in the nation’s suburbs, a swing group that helped power the Democratic Party to its House majority in 2018 and backed President Biden in 2020.
☆ The GOP’s Lost Independents
  + stars: | 2022-11-14 | by ( The Editorial Board | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Republican midterm election losses are piling up, as Democrats retained the Senate over the weekend and may still retake the House. An honest examination is in order as the recriminations fly, and the most striking midterm result so far is how the GOP lost the middle of the electorate in crucial races for Congress. In the two main election surveys, more Republicans than Democrats turned out to vote: 36% to 33% in the national media exit poll, and 49% to 43% in the AP VoteCast. Republicans could get a majority share of the final House vote without getting a House majority. So much for the GOP’s supposed gerrymandering edge.
☆ Senate Control Could Be Decided by These Remaining Midterm Votes
  + stars: | 2022-11-09 | by ( Danny Dougherty | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
As votes are tabulated in the races that will determine control of the Senate, the speed at which votes are counted can vary widely within each state. That can lead to changes in who is leading the race at a particular point in time. The Associated Press will declare a winner in a race when it is determined there is no scenario that would allow the trailing candidate to close the gap. That decision is informed by votes that have already been tallied, results from the AP VoteCast survey of why voters voted how they did, and an estimate of the total votes expected to be cast. The expected vote total is determined by AP’s proprietary research, knowledge and expertise; it will vary over the course of the election tabulation, based on the incoming total votes at any given time for the race.
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