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☆ 'Babies tossed out with the bath water': Why top strategists aren't scared during the wildest market since March 2020
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Related storiesWhile those concerns served as the kindling, it was the July jobs report that sparked terror. A closer look at the jobs report reveals that while job additions underwhelmed, jobless claims were also minimal. AdvertisementSecond-quarter earnings growth has been impressive so far and seems set to rise by low single digits, according to UBS GWM. The bullish strategy chief remarked in a note Monday that six of the 11 market sectors have enjoyed double-digit earnings growth this quarter, while only three have seen declines. "Such sell-offs can offer an opportunity to 'catch babies tossed out with the bath water,'" Stoltzfus wrote.

Persons: —, Oppenheimer, Jonathan Golub, Oppenheimer Jason Draho, Americas Solita Marcelli, Marcelli, Beryl, Draho, That's, David Lefkowitz, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus Organizations: Service, Business, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Labor, UBS GWM Locations: Americas

☆ The market sell-off could be a 'growth scare,' Fundstrat's Tom Lee says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The global sell-off in equities could end up being a mere "growth scare," according to Fundstrat managing partner and head of research Tom Lee. The index, known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," has more than doubled to above 50 since Friday, when it stood at roughly 23. For his part, Lee has been one of Wall Street's more bullish market commentators . But Lee opined that the sharp spike in Wall Street's fear gauge may suggest that a return to investor confidence could be over the horizon. "We have over three days where suddenly markets reversed, [and] declines like that are generally symmetric but you have to watch the VIX," Lee said.

Persons: Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Bank of, greenback Locations: U.S, Asia, Japan

☆ Using a 'bear put spread' to hedge against further market declines
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The S & P 500 5,350 puts I discussed are trading nearly $170 as I write this, up ~ $12,000 per contract. This is even though the S & P 500 is down only 2.3% since I wrote that article over a month ago. One could roll those options down and out to the September 5200/4500 S & P 500 put spread which costs about $100. If you didn't read the earlier article, here are the components of a long put spread, sometimes referred to as a "Bear Put Spread." In periods of high implied volatility, option premiums are generally higher because the market anticipates larger price movements.

Persons: It's, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, it's, Trump Organizations: Starbucks, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, ~ $, & $ $

(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Monday's Wall Street chatter as global markets sell off. — Lisa Kailai Han 7:02 a.m.: How long sell-offs typically last Bad news: The current market sell-off may have further to go. — Lisa Kailai Han 6:09 a.m.: Oppenheimer's Stoltzfus: Best to not 'jump to conclusions' Investors need to have a cool head as global markets sell off, according to Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus. — Fred Imbert 5:51 a.m.: Global markets in an 'aggressive risk-unwind', Vital Knowledge says Fears of a U.S. recession are pressuring global markets, leading investors around the world to sell some of this year's top winners, according to Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge. "Markets are caught in an aggressive risk-unwind as equities plunge around the world, with tech getting hit particularly hard," he wrote in a note Monday.

Persons: Wharton's Siegel, Jeremy Siegel, CNBC's, Siegel, hasn't, it's, … They're, —, Lisa Kailai Han, Tom Lee, Lee, Duncan Toms, Toms, Fred Imbert, Victoria Greene, Greene, It's, Nimrit Kang, — Lisa Kailai Han, Dan Ives, Gene Goldman, Gennadiy Goldberg, Ives, Goldman, Goldberg, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Evercore, Ed Hyman, Hyman, Adam Crisafulli, Crisafulli Organizations: CNBC, Stock, Nikkei, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wharton, Federal Reserve, Fundstrat Global, HSBC, G Squared, Wealth, NorthStar Asset Management, Street, Wedbush, TD Securities, Federal, NASDAQ, U.S, Fed, Global Locations: U.S, Europe, Japan, China

☆ Prepare for a new high-volatility market regime
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A spike in the VIX of this magnitude has not occurred since 2020, when the COVID-19 related decline in the S & P 500 was maturing. We believe another high-volatility regime is upon us, with the prolonged low-volatility regime that preceded it coming to an abrupt halt. If our long-term trend following measures were to deteriorate behind the S & P 500, we would be more inclined to reduce exposure. A rebound in the S & P 500 (i.e., a VIX pullback) can be used to hedge partial exposure from a top-down perspective. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only.

Persons: It's, Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

Signs of a slowing U.S. economy sowed panic among investors on Monday, with a sell-off in markets that began last week turning into a global rout. The moves were a sharp reversal in major stock markets, which for much of the past year have risen to new heights, propelled by optimism about cooling inflation, solid labor markets and the promise of artificial intelligence technology. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index fell more than 10 percent at one point. Japanese stocks have been on a tear for more than a year, fueled by a weak Japanese yen. Adding to the pressure, foreign investors have started selling off positions in Japanese stocks over the last few weeks.

Persons: ”, Andrew Brenner, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Jordi Basco Carrera, ’, Basco Carrera, Jitters, Jesper Koll, Koll, John Liu, Melissa Eddy Organizations: Federal, Nasdaq, National Alliance Securities, Equity, Technology, Samsung Electronics, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, Intel, Allianz, Monex, Bank of Japan, Tokyo Stock Exchange Locations: Asia, Europe, Americas, Japan, U.S, Taiwan, Singapore, Australia, Hong Kong, China, Stocks, India, Netherlands, Switzerland, New York, Munich, “, New, Seoul, Berlin

☆ How hedge funds are dealing with the global market meltdown
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Bradley Saacks | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The VIX, Wall Street's go-to snapshot of market volatility, is at its highest point since the onset of the pandemic. And hedge funds are sifting through the wreckage, with some looking to survive and others planning to pounce. In any market meltdown, there are clear winners and losers given the strategies and positioning of different firms. The yen carry trade has also likely wrong-footed many macro funds, several industry veterans said. It also slowed dealmaking, annoying private equity investors whose capital was tied up in older vintage funds.

Persons: —, Wall Street's, there's, allocators, Harvey Schwartz, Carlyle Organizations: Service, Business, Citadel, Eisler Capital, Universa Investments Locations: Europe, Asia, New York, London

☆ The Fed is trying to 'fight a ghost' as recession fears mount, investor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON — As a global market sell off continues amid fears of a looming U.S. recession, the Federal Reserve may have little room for manoeuvre, investor Cole Smead warned Monday. "The Fed is trying to fight a ghost in some respects. But it's a fiscal problem, and that fiscal problem's not ending," he said. The CBOE Volatility Index, also know as the "VIX" — a measure of expected market volatility — jumped to 41.65, according to LSEG data, hitting its highest level since October 2020, as risk fears returned to the market. "Whoever comes in, be it Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, there's going to be an interest in trying to prop up anything," he said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Cole Smead, Smead, CNBC's, Jay Powell, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Federal Reserves, Washington , D.C, LONDON, Federal, Smead Capital Management, CNBC, Reuters Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Europe, Asia

☆ Stock market today: Indexes tank after weak jobs report sparks panic
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks plunged Friday after a weak July jobs report sparked investor panic. The Nasdaq closed in correction territory, and the VIX soared as much as 60% to hit its highest since March 2023. AdvertisementUS stocks plunged on Friday, with the S&P 500 extending its two-day sell-off to more than 3%, as a weak July jobs report sparked panic among investors. Meanwhile, the CBOE Volatility Index, better known as the VIX, soared as much as 60% to 29.66, its highest level since March 2023. AdvertisementThe damage was exacerbated after the July jobs report showed an unexpected increase in the unemployment rate and payroll figures badly missed estimates.

Persons: —, Tom Lee Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Treasury, Amazon, Intel, Federal, CME, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Americas, Here's

☆ How major markets typically perform in the 100 days before a presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-30 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Even with election uncertainty, the market typically moves higher in the 100 days leading up to a presidential vote — but it may be a volatile ride to get there. The so-called fear gauge usually declines in the first 20 trading days of the 100-day runup to the election, but typically works higher in the 45-, 60-, 65- and 70 days before election day. The VIX has been higher 6 of the last 8 election years during the closely-watched, 100-day period. Oil prices usually see upward pressure through October, before feeling some weakness in the final weeks before voters cast ballots. In the run up to October, oil prices typically see more of a boost when a Democrat is the sitting president.

Persons: Paul Ciana Organizations: Bank of America, ICE, Democrat, Overseas Locations: U.S

☆ S&P 500 faces greater downside risk ahead, Bank of America says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The odds of a pullback in the S & P 500 are higher now, according to Bank of America. "We are thus overdue for a pullback," wrote Subramanian, adding there is "elevated downside risk in coming months. In fact, the strategist expects the S & P 500 will end the year at 5,400. Just 50% have been triggered [today] vs. an average of 70% ahead of prior S & P 500 peaks." From 1936 to 2010, dividends contributed around 40% to S & P 500 total returns, but have only accounted for 15% since 2010.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian Organizations: Bank of America, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, BofA Securities

☆ Here's how to trade the S&P 500 after the volatility, according to the pros
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

How can the S & P 500 be traded? Those losses continued on Thursday , with the S & P 500 closing at 5,399.22 and the Nasdaq finishing at 17,181.72. The S & P 500 lost 0.83% for the week, and the Nasdaq declined around 2% in the same period. "Then that's where maybe I'm looking to try and find some bargains here for people to sort of buy back into this market," Stutland said. Large over smalls, large over mids and U.S. over international within the large cap space," he told CNBC's " Squawk Box Asia " on Friday.

Persons: we've, Richard Clode, Janus Henderson, Paul Christopher, Christopher, Brian Stutland, CNBC's, Stutland, He's, smalls, We're Organizations: Nasdaq, Trump, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Equity Armor Investments Locations: China, Wells Fargo, Friday's, —

☆ Markets broaden as investors sell tech winners, but further turbulence may be on the way
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-20 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The four best-performing stocks in the S & P 500 year to date were down an average of 13.5% last week. .SPX 5D mountain The S & P 500's performance in the past five trading days. The anchoring effect of a persistently strong half-dozen $1-trillion to $3-trillion companies atop the S & P 500 while most stocks wallowed had the effect of suppressing index volatility. The S & P 500 is now about 3% off its record, and the Nasdaq 100 is in a roughly 5% retreat from its high. History says when the S & P 500 has been up more than 10% in the first half of a year , as in 2024, it has gone to further highs by year's end nearly every time.

Persons: Russell, Donald Trump, Cash, Parag Thatte, Thatte, Goldman Sachs, wallowed, Cantor Fitzgerald Organizations: Axonic Capital, Deutsche Bank, Nasdaq

We've combed through all of the international watch options to highlight everything you need to know about how to watch Argentina vs. Colombia free. How to watch Argentina vs. Colombia in the USThe Argentina vs. Colombia Copa America Final will air on Sunday at 8 p.m. Check price at FuboHow to watch Argentina vs. Colombia in MexicoArgentina vs. Colombia will live stream free through TelevisaUnivision's ViX and TV Azteca in Mexico. How to watch Argentina vs. Colombia in the UKArgentina vs. Colombia will be available to live stream through Premier Sports in the UK. How to watch Argentina vs. Colombia in AustraliaThe Argentina vs. Colombia match will live stream on Optus Sport in Australia.

Persons: We've, Uruguay's, Lionel Messi, we've, ExpressVPN Organizations: Business, America, Copa America, Colombia, Inter, Colombia Copa America, FOX, Sling, TV Azteca, TSN, Premier Sports, Optus Sport Locations: Argentina, Colombia, Uruguay, Inter Miami, Mexico Argentina, Mexico, Canada, Australia

☆ A part-time trader who gained 127% in 5 months this year shares how he finds stocks and an 'immediate' buy signal for an imminent breakout
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewJohn Rodrigues works a full-time 9-to-5 job as an associate manager in operations at PGIM, Prudential's investment management arm. And vice versa, if the index is high, it signals high volatility and fearful investors, indicating that the market may be reaching a low. Here, he can see different metrics for stocks, allowing him to watch for signals he likes to trade on. He also looks at the stock's day's volume; if it rises above 25% of its 50-day volume, it's another likely trade. But perhaps one of the best signals that a breakout is about to really outperform the market is those with very high volume relative to the past two years.

Persons: —, John Rodrigues, doesn't, Bob Brinker, Brinker, Rodrigues, Norman Zadeh, " Rodrigues Organizations: Service, New York Stock Exchange, Business, Companies, Nasdaq, Investors Intelligence, IBD, Micro Locations: PGIM, Chicago

☆ Final Trade: GM, RSP, SLV, VIX
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trade: GM, RSP, SLV, VIXThe final trades of the day with the Fast Money traders.

Organizations: GM, RSP, SLV, Fast Money

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How to watch Argentina vs. Canada in the USThe Argentina vs. Canada game will air on Tuesday at 8 p.m. Check price at FuboHow to watch Argentina vs. Canada in MexicoWhile Copa America coverage is spread across multiple services in Mexico, the Argentina vs. Canada game will stream for free on TelevisaUnivision's ViX. How to watch Argentina vs. Canada in CanadaThe Argentina vs. Canada match will live stream on TSN in Canada, where you can also catch the Euros. How to watch Argentina vs. Canada in the UKArgentina vs. Canada will be available to live stream on Premier Sports in the UK. How to watch Argentina vs. Canada in AustraliaThe Argentina vs. Canada match will live stream through Optus Sport in Australia.

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How to watch Argentina vs. Ecuador in the USThe Argentina vs. Ecuador game will air on Thursday at 9 p.m. How to watch Argentina vs. Ecuador in CanadaThe Argentina vs. Ecuador match will live stream through TSN in Canada. How to watch Argentina vs. Ecuador in the UKArgentina vs. Ecuador will be available to live stream on Premier Sports in the UK. How to watch Argentina vs. Ecuador in AustraliaAustralian viewers can catch Argentina vs. Ecuador through Optus Sport. How to watch Argentina vs. Ecuador in BrazilArgentina vs. Ecuador will be available to live stream on Globoplay in Brazil.

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Keep reading to learn how to watch USA vs. Uruguay compete at Copa America, and don't forget to bookmark our Copa America live stream guide to keep up with the latest news on upcoming games. How to watch USA vs. Uruguay in the USThe USA vs. Uruguay game will air on Fox Sports 1 (FS1) in the US. How to watch USA vs. Uruguay in the UKIn the UK, you can catch USA vs. Uruguay on Premier Sports. How to watch USA vs. Uruguay in AustraliaUSA vs. Uruguay will live stream through Optus Sport in Australia, where subscription rates start at $24.99 monthly. How to watch USA vs. Uruguay in BrazilBrazil streams USA vs. Uruguay and other Copa America matches through Globoplay.

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☆ S&P 500 returns 15% in the first half in an unusually smooth ride
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A 15% year-to-date total return in the S & P 500 is the 21 st best run through June since 1900, according to Goldman Sachs. The S & P 500 since the October 2023 correction low is up 33% for an annualized total return pace of 56%. The S & P has gone eight sessions without a move of as much as half a percent. True in magnitude: The market-cap-weighted S & P 500 has outgained its equal-weighted version by more than ten percentage points this year. Not only haven't up days been broadly inclusive, the direction of the S & P 500 has been running inverse to the daily breadth over the past month.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Sharpe, it's, we'd, I've, What's, Jeff deGraaf, Trump, We've, Poor's, what's Organizations: Nvidia, Walgreens, Nike, Apple, Technology, Communication Services Locations: hiccups

☆ An inside look at the workings of the 4-part arbitrage and momentum quant strategy driving an award-winning fund that's beaten 99% of its peers
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-29 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

For the ATRFX fund, this means betting on currencies, equities, commodities, and bonds, but not in a direct way. Instead, it employs everything from arbitrage strategies, riding out momentum and interest rates, or sitting on the sidelines when it's choppy. Over the last couple of years, higher interest rates have brought in some good yields. Related storiesOne step further is to arbitrage interest rates across currencies. Investors can do this by identifying national currencies with low interest rates, borrowing in that currency, and then lending in the currencies with higher interest rates.

Persons: David Miller, ATRFX, Miller, It's, that's, Yen, it's Organizations: Service, Systematic Alpha Fund, Business, Catalyst Capital Advisors, BNP Paribas, BNP, Commodities Commodities, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve

☆ Election hedging is causing a 'kink' in the volatility market
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-23 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Traders are gearing up for an increase in volatility around the November elections in the United States, according to one market indicator. Stacey Gilbert, CIO of Glenmede Investment Management, said that the futures market for the Cboe Volatility Index is showing a distortion around the November election. Vix futures are basically a way to bet on or hedge against where the index will be trading at the time of expiration. The expectation for volatility around this election is pretty sizable," Gilbert said. "It would stand to reason that the Vix, or volatility in general, would increase around then," he added.

Persons: Stacey Gilbert, Gilbert, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, it's, Clissold Organizations: Glenmede Investment Management, Republican, Democratic, Bank of America, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Republicans Locations: United States, U.S

☆ A 28-year market vet shares 2 similarities between the dot-com bubble and today's stock market environment — and 4 threats to the AI trade that could spoil the rally
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-22 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewThere are two major similarities between today's stock market environment and the dot-com bubble era, says RIA Advisors CIO Lance Roberts. RIA Advisors/AccentureAnd two, there is a small group of firms leading the overall stock market rally, just as it was in 2000. He's a bit more optimistic this time around because of the robust earnings performance fueling the few stocks leading the market. Advertisement"We are again experiencing another of these speculative 'booms,' as anything related to artificial intelligence grips investors' imaginations," Roberts said.

Persons: —, Lance Roberts, Roberts, Jonathan Golub Organizations: Service, RIA, Business, Accenture, Nvidia, UBS, Investors, Federal Reserve

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