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☆ Here's why it's time to bet against a key sector of the market ahead of the coming recession
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-23 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Today, I'm sharing a research note from one analyst who's eyeing a new bet to place against a corner of the stock market that offered refuge last year. He's talking about the S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector SPDR Fund. In his view, the consumer staples sector, which served as a haven last year, presents a bubble about to burst. How much credence do you give to chart analysis for stock market outlooks? The stock market is about to be flipped upside down, according to Bank of America.

☆ A top investment chief explains why bonds offer an attractive hedge for a mild and brief recession in 2023
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-21 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

I'm senior reporter Phil Rosen, and below I'm sharing my conversation with Northwestern Mutual's chief investment officer, Brent Schutte. He sees the bond market as this year's best recession hedge. Phil Rosen: You said you're expecting a mild and brief recession this year. Brent Schutte: The good news is that the bond market has repriced, and the bond market is a hedge against that recession. BC: I do think earnings will come down this year, and cheaper equities give a margin of safety against that.

☆ 'The market is built on a bedrock of total complacency': A former top TD Ameritrade technical analyst says stocks will fall another 20% this year as investors begin to realize a Fed pivot isn't in the
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-14 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

He also thinks earnings expectations are too high and will come down. This hawkish policy will eventually lead to a recession this year, Bierman said, a view that is shared by many on Wall Street. "The market has not priced in earnings misses, the market has priced in earnings beats," he said. Bierman's views in contextBierman's recession call has become a somewhat consensus view on Wall Street. RIA AdvisorsThis translates to lackluster expectations for stocks among Wall Street strategists.

☆ JPMorgan's acquisition strategy is coming under fire. Here are the 15 fintech and consumer-focused deals done by the bank since 2020.
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-13 | by ( Carter Johnson | Rebecca Ungarino | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +19 min

NutmegDeal details: JPMorgan announced the acquisition in June 2021, paying approximately $1 billion. cxLoyaltyDeal details: JPMorgan said it would buy cxLoyalty's global loyalty division in December 2020. ProxymityDeal details: JPMorgan, Citi, HSBC, and other firms together invested $20.5 million in Proxymity in May 2020. Viva WalletDeal details: JPMorgan said it would acquire 49% of Viva Wallet in January 2022, pending regulatory approval. Christian Petersen-Clausen/Getty ImagesRenovite TechnologiesDeal details: JPMorgan announced on September 12 it plans to acquire Renovite.

☆ One of the most powerful rich families in American politics just got their son in the Senate
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Ricketts' family owns the Chicago Cubs and has broadly supported conservative causes. Ricketts will replace former Republican Sen. Ben Sasse who left the chamber. Pete Ricketts will be joining the US Senate, an appointment that caps his political comeback and cements his family, which owns the Chicago Cubs, as one of the most powerful forces in American politics. Sen. Deb Fischer, a two-term Republican incumbent and loyal ally of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, is also up for reelection then too. Along with owning the Cubs, the Ricketts family has long been among the biggest funders of Republican campaigns.

☆ Stocks are approaching a key bear market level heading into Thursday's inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This is the daily notebook of Mike Santoli, CNBC's senior markets commentator, with ideas about trends, stocks and market statistics. The market continues to migrate back toward riskier assets, with the consensus entering 2023 in a defensive posture and ill-prepared for a benign tilt toward inflation data or reassuring signals on corporate results. Media and busted hypergrowth stocks abound on the year-to-date winners list, and this is probably why. It's the market's job to look ahead to handicap a potential inflection point no matter what the Fed is saying. VIX pretty subdued near 21, not exactly clenched up in fear ahead of key data, though probably will drain lower after CPI and ahead of a three-day weekend.

☆ Market expectations for a soft landing are growing after latest batch of economic reports
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-09 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

"This is the definition of a soft landing," Apollo Global's chief economist Torsten Slok said on CNBC's " Closing Bell " on Friday. The price hikes at Conagra were crazy. Those price hikes more than made up for higher costs. We may be reaching the limits of price hikes, however: Constellation Brands said consumers are pushing back against beer price hikes. If December's consumer price index, out Thursday, is benign (below the 6.5% year over year growth expected), the market could move even higher.

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☆ Watch CNBC’s post-market discussion with Virtus' Joe Terranova, TD Ameritrade’s Shawn Cruz and Crossmark’s Victoria Fernandez
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s post-market discussion with Virtus' Joe Terranova, TD Ameritrade’s Shawn Cruz and Crossmark’s Victoria FernandezVirtus' Joe Terranova, TD Ameritrade’s Shawn Cruz and Crossmark’s Victoria Fernandez join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the mega cap tech trade and their outlook for the sector.

Vanguard vs. TD Ameritrade: The biggest differencesCompare Vanguard and TD Ameritrade VanguardTD Ameritrade investment account Chevron icon It indicates an expandable section or menu, or sometimes previous / next navigation options. Read our review Read Our Review A looong arrow, pointing rightVanguard and TD Ameritrade's features and account options also vary. Most of the brokerage's actively managed mutual funds have a $3,000 minimum, but you'll only need $1,000 for investor shares in Vanguard Target Retirement Funds and the Vanguard Star Fund. Its other automated investing account, Vanguard Personal Advisor Services, offers something more: one-on-one advisor guidance. Vanguard vs. TD Ameritrade — Frequently asked questions (FAQ)What is the difference between Vanguard and TD Ameritrade?

☆ The Nasdaq had its worst year since 2008. These are the best and worst performers and what to expect in 2023
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-27 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

2022 brought an end to an impressive bull run for technology — and the worst year for the Nasdaq Composite since 2008. Energy stocks, meanwhile, found favor in investors' portfolios, as did healthcare and financials. Given this outlook, CNBC examined some of the worst and best-performing stocks in the Nasdaq 100 this year. Energy stocks Energy won 2022, benefitting from volatile oil prices triggered by the war in Ukraine. Meta Platforms was the worst-performing FAANG name, and one of the poorest-performing Nasdaq stocks.

☆ Diversify portfolios instead of placing big bets in individual names, says Shawn Cruz
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDiversify portfolios instead of placing big bets in individual names, says Shawn CruzShawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade, joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to break down markets and potential investment opportunities ahead of the open.

☆ What retail investors are investing in and what to expect for 2023
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-25 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

It's been a tough year for retail investors — and it's not necessarily expected to get any easier in 2023. "Post-Covid overall net inflow of retail investors has tripled, and almost quadrupled, and stayed there." When it comes to individual stocks, retail investors are buying companies such as Tesla , Apple and Nvidia , according to Vanda Research. Retail investors will likely stick with their game plan into 2023, said Vanda Research's Iachini. "We struggle to see retail investors going back to speculation or doubling down on risky bets to try to make up their losses," he said.

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, rose 0.1% last month after climbing 0.4% in October. On U.S. exchanges 7.75 billion shares changed hands on Friday compared with the 11.41 billion average for the last 20 sessions. Energy shares (.SPNY) stood out as the biggest advancers throughout the session as oil prices gained following news of Moscow's plans to cut crude output. Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 2.06-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.09-to-1 ratio favored advancers. The S&P 500 posted 2 new 52-week highs and 1 new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 49 new highs and 228 new lows.

☆ The Fed just made its last rate hike of the year. Here's what it means and what happens next.
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-15 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Fed Chair Powell took an aggressive stance at the podium Wednesday, effectively saying the central bank isn't done hiking rates. The Fed signaled it won't be taking its foot off the gas anytime soon with policy, but markets of late have been acting like a so-called Fed pivot is all but guaranteed. "Powell's very hawkish comments didn't get a very hawkish reaction from the market," Wright maintained. But the more the market ignores the Fed, the longer the Fed will have to keep monetary policy restrictive, which ultimately raises the odds of a recession. "We're likely to see head-fakes like this where the market looks for a Fed pivot," one strategist said.

☆ Do You Get the Best Prices Trading Stocks?
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-14 | by ( Alexander Osipovich | ) www.wsj.com time to read: 1 min

One morning in September, Phil Hanson clicked a button on his TD Ameritrade screen and sold 100 shares of Immunovant Inc. It was among the millions of trades made by individual investors that day. The Houston resident’s order didn’t go to the New York Stock Exchange or Nasdaq Inc., where buyers and sellers haggle over the company’s shares.

☆ 'People need to temper their expectations': A former top TD Ameritrade technical analyst says stocks have another 19% to fall before bottoming as recession looms and investors wrongly anticipate a Fed
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-10 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Year-to-date the S&P 500 is down 17% as the Fed tightens policy to rein in inflation. Bierman is the chief market technician at TheoTrade, and held the same position at TD Ameritrade between 2007-2015. The Fed has been tightening policy this year at the fastest pace in decades in an effort to cool the highest inflation rates since the early 1980s. The second problem is that the US economy is already in a recession, Bierman says. But the number one indicator for Bierman that the US economy is in recession is the yield curve.

☆ Our clients took a 'fairly risk-off' approach in November, TD Ameritrade says
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOur clients took a 'fairly risk-off' approach in November, TD Ameritrade saysAJ Kahling of the trading company says November was a month of muted activity for its clients.

☆ 10 successful side hustlers share the books that helped them start making money
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-25 | by ( Jessica Stillman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Rising inflation is pushing people to look for creative, flexible ways to make money. These books offer actionable steps to transform your passion project into real cash. They also address mindset and motivation, which can also be obstacles to a lucrative side hustle. Back in June, USA Today reported on two surveys from early in the pandemic that found large numbers of adults seeking side gigs. Those who've successfully made the leap to working for themselves and now help others find lucrative ways to make money on the side, including coaches and authors, insist books can help.

☆ The head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade explains why the stock market may have already reached the bottom — and shares 4 sectors ripe with investment opportunities
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-16 | by ( Lisa Kailai Han | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

TD Ameritrade's Shawn Cruz believes that there's a good chance the market has already bottomed. But overall, investors can afford to be optimistic about markets going into the new year, said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade. "As long as those rate cuts stay on the board and actually do happen, I think we've probably seen the bottom of the market," Cruz said. But if the central bank remains hawkish and keeps rates high next year, Cruz believes that this would potentially send equities plummeting towards a new market bottom. "The semiconductor space throughout this year has been divergent, where they're buying some and selling others or vice versa."

☆ Tech stocks have been crushed. What’s next for the FAANGs?
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-14 | by ( Paul R. La Monica | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN Business —The great bull run for tech stocks may finally be over. The tech sector has been a market leader for years, but there are growing concerns about the future. Todd Sohn, director and technical strategist at Strategas, noted in a report late last week that when tech stocks imploded in 2000 as the dot-com bubble burst, it wasn’t until after the 2008 financial crisis before tech resumed a role as a market leader. But cybersecurity stocks such as Palo Alto Networks (PANW), as well as semiconductors, are more reasonable. In other words, tech investors should be looking tor more boring parts of the sector, not assets like crypto that are more about hype than substance.

☆ A surplus of fintechs focused on wealth management has financial advisors scrambling to stitch them together
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-11 | by ( Asia Martin | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

RIAs are solving the problem of limited tech integration by creating their own overlay tools. An abundance of wealth management-focused fintechs to choose from combined with a lack of integration between systems has led some advisory firms scrambling to piece them all together. In turn, the company decided to make that a value proposition by taking customers' data and entering it into a database for them. Once those customers created a Redshift data warehouse, they then could connect with Orion's warehouse and pull their data from there. Orion met with AWS' strategic-partnerships team and walked them through their use cases of applying Redshift technology.

☆ We're not out of the woods yet, but today felt like a great day, says fmr. TD Ameritrade CEO Joe Moglia
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're not out of the woods yet, but today felt like a great day, says fmr. TD Ameritrade CEO Joe MogliaFormer TD Ameritrade CEO Joe Moglia joins Carl Quintanilla and the ‘CNBC Special: Taking stock’ to discuss a wild week for stocks and how the market’s recent volatility works with your investing playbook.

☆ Wall St rallies to close out soft week after jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-04 | by ( Chuck Mikolajczak | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

But the data also showed average hourly earnings rose slightly more than expected, as did job growth, pointing to a labor market that largely remains on firm footing. Nonfarm payrollsLabor market data has been a primary focus for markets as the Fed has repeatedly stated it is looking for some cooling before considering a pause in hikes. "This was not a report that shows the rate hikes are starting to take hold," said Shawn Cruz, head trading strategist at TD Ameritrade in Chicago. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) rose 410.27 points, or 1.28%, to 32,411.52. Starbucks Corp jumped after it topped Wall Street estimates for quarterly comparable sales and profit, while DoorDash Inc's (DASH.N) revenue beat boosted the food delivery firm's shares.

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