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Asian shares set for worst month since Feb on China gloom
  + stars: | 2023-08-31 | by ( Stella Qiu | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) added 0.1% but was still headed for a monthly loss of 5.9%, the largest since February. Data on Thursday showed China's manufacturing activity contracted for a fifth straight month in August, and the expansion in services sector lost a little momentum. Chinese blue-chips (.CSI300) were flat but a 2.5% rebound in property stocks boosted Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index, which rose 0.7%. Barring the China gloom, investor confidence jumped in August, with a global confidence index (ICI) from State Street Global Markets surging 11.4 points to 107.7, led by North America which recorded the strongest reading in a year on easing recession fears. Brent crude futures were little changed at $85.88 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 0.1% at $81.74.
Persons: Marvin Loh, payrolls, Stella Qiu, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: U.S, PCE, Japan's Nikkei, ICI, Street Global, North, Global ICI, State Street Global, Federal, European Central Bank, Brent, . West Texas, Thomson Locations: China, SYDNEY, Asia, Pacific, Japan, North America, Europe, Germany, Spain
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTreasury volatility will continue to spill over into stocks, strategist saysDes Lawrence, senior investment strategist at State Street Global Advisors, discusses the outlook for U.S. equities.
Persons: Des Lawrence Organizations: State Street Global Advisors
Powell also acknowledged that price pressures have eased in his much-anticipated morning speech at the Economic Policy Symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Powell "is demonstrating that he is pleased with how far monetary policy has come and how inflation has been reduced. All of the major S&P 500 sectors rose, with consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD), technology (.SPLRCT) and energy (.SPNY) among the top gainers. Reuters GraphicsThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq also ended higher for the week, with the Nasdaq rising about 2.3% and ending a three-week streak of losses. The S&P 500 posted 6 new 52-week highs and 7 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 23 new highs and 202 new lows.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Michael Arone, Brendan McDermid, Nordstrom, Caroline Valetkevitch, Amruta Khandekar, Lewis Krauskopf, Shinjini Ganguli, Deepa Babington Organizations: Marvell Technology, Nordstrom, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, State Street Global Advisors, Dow Jones, Reuters, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Hostess Brands, Hawaiian Electric Industries, NYSE, Thomson Locations: U.S, , Wyoming, Boston, New York City, Hawaii, Maui
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 19, 2023. Powell also acknowledged that price pressures have eased in his much-anticipated morning speech at the Economic Policy Symposium at Jackson Hole, Wyoming. According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 (.SPX) gained 29.01 points, or 0.66%, to end at 4,405.32 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) gained 125.16 points, or 0.93%, to 13,589.13. All of the major S&P 500 sectors ended higher, with energy (.SPNY), consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) and technology (.SPLRCT) among the top gainers. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also ended higher for the week, with the market gaining in the run up to Nvidia's (NVDA.O) second-quarter results.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Powell, Michael Arone, Nordstrom, Amruta Khandekar, Lewis Krauskopf, Shinjini Ganguli, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Marvell Technology, Nordstrom, Federal, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, State Street Global Advisors, Hostess Brands, Reuters, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, , Wyoming, Boston, Hawaii, Maui, New York
"We will proceed carefully as we decide whether to tighten further or, instead, to hold the policy rate constant and await further data," Powell said in a keynote address to the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium. "It is the Fed’s job to bring inflation down to our 2% goal, and we will do so. The Fed has raised rates by 5.25 percentage points since March 2022, and inflation by the Fed's preferred gauge has moved down to 3.3% from its peak of 7% last summer. Although the decline was a "welcome development," Powell said, inflation "remains too high." Fed policymakers will also meet in November and December.
Persons: JACKSON, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jackson, Elizabeth Frantz, “ Powell, Michael Arone, Loretta Mester, Austan Goolsbee, Howard Schneider, Ann Saphir, Michael S, Lewis Krauskopf, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Federal Reserve, Committee, REUTERS, Fed, State Street Global Advisors, Cleveland Fed, Chicago Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: , Wyoming, U.S, Washington , U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation is 'very sticky' and higher than expected, strategist saysMehvish Ayub of State Street Global Advisors says it's a "poor environment" for fixed income in the medium term.
Persons: Mehvish Ayub, it's Organizations: State Street Global Advisors
But a key factor behind the yen's weakness is unchanged, namely the yawning yield gap with the United States. Yet currency traders remain nervous about provoking intervention, as the yen entered the same zone that triggered heavy dollar selling by Japanese authorities in September and October of last year. For now, traders are testing the waters by selling the yen against sterling and the Swiss franc, mindful that selling against the dollar could gather momentum quickly. From a purely macroeconomic perspective, Kichikawa said, officials have no imperative to prevent yen weakness before 150, which is consistent with the mild inflationary pressure that the BOJ aims to foster. The bond market, which precipitated the yen's slide, may ultimately give Japan's authorities reason to hold off on pressing the intervention button.
Persons: Shunichi Suzuki, Suzuki, Aaron Hurd, Masayuki Kichikawa, Brent, Kichikawa, Shinichiro Kadota, Kevin Buckland, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: Bank of Japan, Finance, State Street Global Advisors, Swiss, Brent, Sumitomo Mitsui DS Asset Management, Treasury, Barclays, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, United States, Tokyo, Boston, Japan
Are you referring to the S & P index itself, or one of the variations, and which symbol(s)? Thanks, Doug W. There are many exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the S & P 500 . The top three by assets under management, in order from largest to smallest, would be the State Street Global Advisors' SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) , BlackRock's iShares Core S & P 500 ETF (IVV) , and the Vanguard S & P 500 ETF (VOO) . As mentioned in the question, there are lots of ETFs that track the S & P 500, so by no means are these three the only games in town. Volume usually does pick up outside of normal trading hours when an event takes place, such as an earnings release.
Persons: Jim Cramer, I've, Warren Buffett, Doug W, Jim Cramer's, Jim, doesn't, that's, we're, it's Organizations: State Street Global Advisors, Trust, Vanguard, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust, Club, CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. macroeconomic conditions remain 'very strong,' strategist saysBen Luk of State Street Global Markets discusses the latest U.S. inflation data.
Persons: Ben Luk Organizations: Street Global Markets
The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the Frankfurt stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, March 17, 2023. The pan-European STOXX 600 (.STOXX) closed up 0.1% ahead of inflation readings from Germany, China and the U.S. later this week, all likely to drive expectations on how long interest rates could remain high. Europe's aerospace and defence index (.SXPARO) hit a record high, rising 1.0%, with Italy's Leonardo (LDOF.MI) and London-listed Melrose (MRON.L) up 3.1% and 2.6% respectively. Major European bourses were mixed, with London's commodity-heavy FTSE 100 down 0.1%, while France's blue-chip CAC 40 index (.FCHI) rose 0.1%. Pressuring Germany's DAX (.GDAXI), Siemens Energy (ENR1n.DE) dropped 6.1%, having shuttled between gains and losses throughout the day.
Persons: Daniela Hathorn, Italy's Leonardo, Anthi Tsouvali, Germany's DAX, Shashwat Chauhan, Sruthi Shankar, Amruta, Varun, Alex Richardson Organizations: REUTERS, Staff, Defence, Siemens Energy, U.S, Aurubis AG, Capital.com, Bavarian, Melrose, State Street Global Markets, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, China, Danish, London, U.S, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. won't regain its Fitch AAA status without political stability, economist saysElliot Hentov, head of macro policy research at State Street Global Advisors, says this week's Fitch downgrade is unlikely to be reversed without a much more stable political landscape. Hentov was a member of the S&P team that downgrade the U.S. sovereign credit rating in 2011.
Persons: Elliot Hentov, Fitch, Hentov Organizations: U.S, Fitch AAA, Street Global Advisors
The biggest fund seeing an expense cut is the SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (SPLG) , with roughly $20 billion in assets under management. The changes impact roughly half of the SPDR Portfolio ETF suite, including funds focused on U.S. stocks, foreign stocks and fixed income. Combined, the 10 funds hold about $77 billion in assets, according to FactSet. The SPLG will now have an expense ratio of just 0.02% and a per share price of close to $50. It has been a massive win for smaller investors," Thompson said.
Persons: Sue Thompson, Thompson Organizations: State Street Global Advisors, BNY, Core Equity Locations: Americas
State Street Global Advisors' George Milling-Stanley, whose firm runs the world's largest gold exchange-traded fund, believes cryptocurrency is no substitute for the real thing due its vulnerability to big losses. Milling-Stanley's firm is behind SPDR Gold Shares , the world's largest physically backed gold ETF. Milling-Stanley believes gold's 6,000-year history as a monetary asset serves as a significant sample basis to understand the benefits of investing in gold. But Milling-Stanley believes the economic backdrop bodes well for gold — recession or not. It's known as the world's largest consumer of gold jewelry behind India, according to the World Gold Council.
Persons: George Milling, Stanley, cryptocurrency, CNBC's, gold's, It's, Gold Organizations: Street Global Advisors, World Gold, it's Locations: China, India, It's Vietnam, it's Indonesia, it's Thailand, Korea
Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe Bank of Japan announced Friday "greater flexibility" in its monetary policy — surprising global financial markets. The central bank loosened its yield curve control — or YCC — in an unexpected move with wide-ranging ramifications. When asked if the central bank had shifted from dovish to neutral, he said: "That's not the case. MUFG said that Friday's "flexibility" tweak shows the central bank is not yet ready to end this policy measure.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Shigeto Nagai, CNBC's, , Duncan Wrigley, MUFG, Governor Ueda, Michael Metcalfe, Metcalfe Organizations: Bank of Japan, Bloomberg, Getty, of Japan, Nasdaq, Oxford Economics, disinflation, Capital Economics, U.S, U.S . Federal, Bank, Pantheon, Street Global Locations: Europe, Japan, U.S ., China, dovish
Many investors think that will only happen if interest rates go to levels just too high for investors to pass up. "You wonder whether they have left it too late" said Mikhail Volodchenko at one of Europe's largest fund managers AXA IM. Reuters Graphics4/LOCAL PROBLEMSIn contrast to the dollar bonds, Turkey's 'local' lira-denominated bonds have had a shocker. Even if the lira is taken out of the equation the bonds are still down around 13% since Erdogan's election win. Reuters Graphics($1 = 0.8920 euros)Reporting by Marc Jones and Canan Sevgili Editing by Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Tayyip Erdogan, Erdogan, Mehmet Şimşek, Hafize Gaye Erkan, Mikhail Volodchenko, Enver Erkan, Yatirim, Treasuries, COVID, Wednesday Erdogan, Simon Lue, Fong, Vontobel, Turkey's, Jeff, Michael Metcalfe, Metcalfe, Marc Jones, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: LONDON, AXA, Reuters, JPMorgan EMBI Global, NATO, Investment, Wednesday, United Arab Emirates, JPMorgan GBI, Street Global Markets, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Locations: Central, Turkish, Nigeria, Argentina, Turkey, U.S, Arab, Swiss, Lira
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe U.S. Fed will continue to raise interest rates, strategist saysMehvish Ayub of State Street Global Advisors says that although the U.S. Federal Reserve could breathe "a huge sigh of relief" after the June inflation print, core inflation is still "way above" its target of 2%.
Persons: Mehvish Ayub Organizations: U.S, Fed, State Street Global Advisors, U.S . Federal
Cracks are forming in the UK economy, strategist says
  + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCracks are forming in the UK economy, strategist saysTim Graf, head of macro strategy for EMEA at State Street Global Advisors, discusses the country's gross domestic product figures and the outlook for the Bank of England's monetary policy.
Persons: Tim Graf Organizations: Street Global Advisors, Bank
The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) , which has even heavier exposure to Big Tech names, has brought in $5.8 billion of its own. "It's not really the overconcentration in the big names that worries me. It's actually the concentration in the big names compared to their earnings contribution," said Oktay Kavrak, director of communications and strategy at Leverage Shares. Whether you're passive or active, you probably have enough exposure to Nvidia and Apple and Microsoft," said Todd Sohn, ETF strategist at Strategas. There's a whiff of it, a scent of it," Sohn said, pointing out that money market funds attracted more cash than equity funds last week.
Persons: Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, It's, Oktay Kavrak, Todd Sohn, . Sohn, Kavrak, Sohn, Cathie Wood's Organizations: Vanguard, Big Tech, SPDR, Street Global Advisors, Microsoft, Nvidia, Nasdaq, RSP, Apple, Trust, Technology, Index, Fund, The Vanguard FTSE Locations: SPDR Americas, Europe
“Maybe we’ll see some successes on inflation here and there, but it just won’t be enough,” said Rossiter. European inflation and rate hike hints from the Portugal meeting were also a focus for Tim Graf, head of EMEA macro strategy at State Street Global Advisors. “Recession probability models in the U.S. project a 55-70% to 65-70% probability we’ll get a recession in the next 12 months. Markets imply a 90% probability of an ECB rate hike to 3.75% in July and a peak around 4.0%. That underpinned the euro against the dollar at $1.095, while keeping it near a 15-year peak of 157.98 yen.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kim Kyung, Christine Lagarde, Kazuo Ueda, , James Rossiter, Rossiter, Martins Kazaks, Tim Graf, they’re, we’ve, it’s, Graf, Masato Kanda, Brent Organizations: Federal, National Printing Bureau, Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Nvidia, Wall Street Journal, Commerce Department, Treasury, European Central Bank, TD Securities, ECB, Street Global Advisors, U.S . Locations: China, Tokyo, Japan, Portugal, , Europe, London, U.S
A net 1,400 lots of short positions were covered by the time the market was suspended at 08:15. Xiang Guangda, the charismatic head of China's Tsingshan Holding Group, has attracted much media attention for being the big nickel short. The existence of at least once big nickel short wasn't exactly a secret in the market. LME nickel crisis had turned into potential LME clearing house crisis with Chamberlain having to juggle both parts of the meltdown while also being a nickel market specialist. The handful that remained, as one participant later recalled, knew nothing whatsoever about what was going on in the nickel market so decided to call everyone else back into the room.
Persons: Elliott, Street, Matthew Chamberlain, Chamberlain, Jane Street, Oliver Wyman's, Xiang Guangda, wasn't, Oliver Wyman, John Maynard Keynes, Xiang, doesn't, David Evans Organizations: London, Royal, of Justice, Hong Kong Exchanges, HK, Elliott Associates, Jane, Global, Tsingshan Holding, SEE, Bloomberg, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Ukraine
The bill, signed into law late last year, requires employers to automatically enroll all eligible workers into their retirement plans at a savings rate of 3% of salary. Americans had pension plans, Social Security benefits, and their own savings through plans like the 401(k). Those funds tend to be controlled by large asset managers. But through a process called proxy voting, large asset managers are able to vote on shareholder resolutions on behalf of their clients. Asset managers have “significant influence over company practices,” wrote shareholder advocacy group ShareAction in a recent report.
Persons: New York CNN —, That’s, , Dave Stinnett, What’s, ShareAction, Tesla, Torsten Slok Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, BlackRock, Vanguard Group, Fidelity Investments, Street Global Advisors, Vanguard, Social Security, Social, Social Security Agency, Security, Lawmakers, Blackrock, Fidelity, Boston University School of Law, Harvard Law School, Vanda Research, EV, Apollo Global Management Locations: New York, United States
Last Thursday, the S&P 500 entered a bull market — up 20% from its recent lows. But the market’s strength has been mostly driven by a handful of mega-cap tech stocks, Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta (META), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), and Nvidia (NVDA). Before the Bell: AI is causing a big market boom right now, but that boom also seems to be concentrated in mega-cap tech stocks. Everything you wanted to know about a bull market but were afraid to askThe US entered a bull market last Thursday, finally. A bear in bull’s clothes: A 20% lift from recent lows is generally accepted as the definition of the start of a bull market.
Persons: , Matt Bartolini, Bell, Pets.com, I’m, They’ve, Adam Turnquist, James Demmert, what’s, Jerome Powell’s Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Bank of America, Apple, Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, SPDR, Street Global Advisors, Meta, US, LPL, Big Tech, Main, Research, Investors, Federal Reserve, P Global Market Intelligence, , European Central Bank, ECB Locations: New York, Europe, SPDR Americas, Big, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong
REUTERS/Jeenah MoonJune 9 (Reuters) - Shareholder support for proxy resolutions on topics including climate change and workforce diversity dropped significantly this spring, analysts said, as tough proposals from activists met with growing political pressure on fund firms' voting. Support for resolutions on social issues fell to 20% this year so far, from 26% in 2022 and 33% in 2021, Georgeson said. He declined to discuss specific companies, but his description fit results like at major U.S. banks that defeated calls to wind down financing for major fossil fuel projects. "These dynamics have led to an overall decline in investor support for environment and social shareholder proposals," Colton said. Both have previously said they vote on a case-by-case basis and noted an increasing number of proposals affect support rates.
Persons: Russell, Georgeson, Kilian Moote, ESG, Sow, Andrew Behar, Ford, Behar, Benjamin Colton, Colton, Scott Shepard, Ross Kerber, Sabrina Valle, Lincoln Organizations: New, REUTERS, Ford, eBay, Exxon, Street Global Advisors, BlackRock, Vanguard, Center for Public Policy Research, IBM, National Center, Thomson Locations: New York City, Manhattan, Weehawken , New Jersey, U.S, China, Houston
That’s a strange place to find a bull market. After a horrible year for Big Tech in 2022, optimism has returned as ChatGPT has made AI the it-thing in Silicon Valley. That brought an end to the bear market that began in January 2022, since a 20% lift from recent lows is generally accepted as the definition of the start of a bull market. However, there is no exact definition — and the current market situation is a bit more nuanced than the typical bull market-bear market binary. The silver liningEntering a bull market lifts investor sentiment, which could propel upward momentum in markets.
Persons: , Sameer Samana, ChatGPT, Tesla, Matt Bartolini, It’s, Apple iPhones, Berkshire Hathaway, James Demmert, , don’t Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Big Tech, Investors, Apple, Nvidia, SPDR, Street Global Advisors, Meta, Google, Berkshire, Main, Research, Bank of America Locations: New York, United States, Europe, Wells Fargo, Silicon Valley, SPDR Americas, Meta,
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThis is the first dual bear market in stocks and bonds in history: State Streets' Michael AroneMichael Arone, State Street Global Advisors chief investment strategist, and Tim Seymour, Seymour Asset Management CIO, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss the dual bear market in stocks and bonds, investing in value and small-cap stocks, and concerning macroeconomic conditions.
Persons: Michael Arone Michael Arone, Tim Seymour Organizations: Street Global Advisors, Seymour, Management
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