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MSCI's world stock index (.MIWO00000PUS) is set to close the month up around 9%, its best performance since November 2020, when markets cheered the arrival of COVID-19 vaccines. Global bond prices have soared, with an ICE BofA index of global investment-grade bonds in major markets set to return 3.4% in November, the best month on record going back to 1997. Global growth stocks in high-tech sectors are up 11% (.dMIWO0000GNUS) while value stocks, which are mainly in cyclical industries and offer high dividends, have gained 6.5% (.dMIWO0000VNUS). And a cloudier outlook for stocks suggests a divergence could open up between again between stocks and bonds. The broader global index is set to return 1.6% for the year.
Persons: Joshua Roberts, That's, bode, Altaf Kassam, Wall, We've, Guy Miller, Joost Van Leenders, Van Lanschot Kempen, Van Leenders, Kassam, Naomi Rovnick, Yoruk Bahceli, Dhara Ranasinghe, Christina Fincher Organizations: Federal Reserve, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, State Street Global Advisors, Traders, Fed, Insurance Group, Equity, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, COVID, U.S
A State Street Global Advisors banner is hung outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, U.S., March 8, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsBOSTON, Nov 29 (Reuters) - State Street's (STT.N) asset-management arm will give retail investors an option to fully back corporate boards as it brings online features to allow fund shareholders to control their proxy voting rights, executives said. The option comes as State Street and rivals move to devolve proxy voting powers to shareholders on matters like director elections or environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues. But even that policy directed some proxy votes to be cast against boards' recommendations on governance questions like executive pay or share structure, said Lori Heinel, global chief investment officer at State Street Global Advisors. State Street Global Advisors manages $3.7 trillion in all.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Lori Heinel, let's, Ross Kerber, Stephen Coates Organizations: Global Advisors, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Rights BOSTON, Street, Street Global Advisors, Services, ISS, Republican, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S
As of Wednesday's market close, though, the 10-year note fell to 4.408%, while the 100 largest taxable money market funds tracked by Crane Data have an average yield of 5.20%. In addition, nearly $1.2 trillion has flowed into money market funds this year through Nov. 15, compared to $264 billion into bond funds and $43 billion in U.S. equity funds, according to Goldman Sachs. In the meantime, Bartolini said clients willing to take on more risk should look to shorter-duration bond funds. The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY) that tracks shorter-duration notes has gained 0.22% this year as of Wednesday's close. The iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (GOVT) , which has exposure to Treasurys ranging between 1 and 30 years in duration, was down 1.85% during the same period.
Persons: Dan Egan, CNBC's, Goldman Sachs, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Egan, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Behavioral Finance, Treasury, Crane Data, SPDR, SPDR Americas Research, Street Global Advisors, Treasury Bond ETF Locations: SPDR Americas, U.S
Mortgage rates could decline if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates next year. Here are 10 projections from experts on when the Fed's first rate cut will come. While these factors serve as deterrents for prospective buyers, interest rates may not stay this high forever. AdvertisementWhile declining interest rates wouldn't directly cause mortgage rates to fall, the two tend to move in the same direction. FebruaryIn August, Preston Caldwell, a Morningstar senior US economist, wrote in a note that he expected the Fed to start cutting interest rates in February.
Persons: , Preston Caldwell, Arend Kapteyn, Bhanu Baweja, David Einhorn, Diane Swonk, Andrew Hollenhorst, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, we'll, Simona Mocuta, Jeff Morton Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Federal, Morningstar, UBS, KPMG, Citi, Reuters, State Street Global Advisors, DWS Locations: North America's
The 'disinflation story' is strong, analyst says
  + stars: | 2023-11-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 'disinflation story' is strong, analyst saysElliot Hentov, head of macro policy research at State Street Global Advisors, says it's unlikely to ease until the second half of 2024.
Persons: Elliot Hentov Organizations: Street Global Advisors
As investors hunt for yield, many are turning to actively managed exchange-traded funds focused on bonds, like Pimco's Enhanced Short Maturity Active ETF . The fund, which has a 5.6% 30-day SEC yield, is a "a first-rate ultrashort ETF," Morningstar senior analyst Paul Olmsted wrote in August. Trading under the ticker symbol MINT, the ETF holds fixed income securities with durations of no more than one year. In fact, investors flooded into the fund in October, making it the actively managed bond ETF with the highest inflows last month, according to FactSet. Investors can capture that higher yield on the short end of the yield curve, Schneider said.
Persons: Paul Olmsted, Morningstar, Jerome Schneider, Pimco's, Schneider, FactSet, Matthew Bartolini, It's, Treasurys —, who's Organizations: SEC, Morningstar, MINT, Street Global Advisors, Research, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Federal, Bear Stearns Locations: Pimco
We're 'quite overweight' on U.S. stocks, strategist says
  + stars: | 2023-11-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're 'quite overweight' on U.S. stocks, strategist saysMehvish Ayub of State Street Global Advisors says "equities are our preferred asset class over fixed income."
Persons: Mehvish Ayub Organizations: State Street Global Advisors
ETF Edge: Cash and bonds stay "sticky"
  + stars: | 2023-11-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailETF Edge: Cash and bonds stay "sticky"Matt Bartolini, State Street Global Advisors; Dan Egan, Betterman; and CNBC's Kate Rooney join ‘Halftime Report’ to discuss confidence in the investing landscape, reinvestment risk, and more.
Persons: Matt Bartolini, Dan Egan, CNBC's Kate Rooney Organizations: Street Global Advisors,
[1/3] The company logo of Chinese developer Country Garden is pictured at the Shanghai Country Garden Center in Shanghai, China August 9, 2023. Beijing needs to pull "multiple levers" at the same time to address the "vulnerabilities" in the financial system, local government financing, as well as consumer sentiment, said Edward Al-Hussainy, head of emerging market fixed income research at Columbia Threadneedle, which owns Country Garden bonds. China property sector slumpShoring up confidence is the biggest challenge facing Beijing and is key to getting homebuyers spending again, which analysts says isn't likely to happen soon given an uncertain economic outlook. Reuters reported last week that Chinese authorities have asked domestic financial behemoth Ping An Insurance Group to take a controlling stake in Country Garden. "You need to fix the macro environment first; if you don't earn enough how do you buy a property?," said Xu, whose firm holds China property dollar bonds.
Persons: Aly, Edward Al, isn't, Morgan Stanley, Ping, Ping An, Elliot Hentov, Steven Xu, Xu, Raymond Cheng, Goldman Sachs, Clare Jim, Davide Barbuscia, Karin Strohecker, Summer Zhen, Rae Wee, Sumeet Chatterjee Organizations: Shanghai Country Garden, REUTERS, HONG KONG, Columbia, Reuters, HK, Economic Work Conference, Reuters Graphics, HIT, Insurance Group, State Street Global Advisors, Country, Harmonia, Bloomberg, China, CIBM Securities, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HONG, Beijing, outflows, Hong Kong, New York, London, Singapore
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailExpecting interest rate cuts of 100 basis points in first half of 2024: State Street Global AdvisorsMatteo Andreetto, head of the SPDR ETF business at EMEA State Street Global Advisors, discusses the outlook for global markets amid an uncertain interest rate environment.
Persons: Matteo Andreetto Organizations: Street Global, Street Global Advisors
The Amplify Samsung SOFR ETF , which debuted Wednesday, is the first ETF to track SOFR, the overnight interbank lending rate that has emerged as the U.S. replacement for the now-defunct Libor gauge of overnight borrowing interest costs. The new fund's launch comes amidst a wave of enthusiasm for ultra-short term fixed income ETFs, as yields on products throughout the fixed income spectrum have risen to multi-year highs following an aggressive rate hiking cycle by the Federal Reserve. "It wasn't until this year that rate-driven products became priorities," said Bill Belden, president of Amplify. Flows into money market and ultra-short term products account for about 36% of all inflows into fixed income ETFs this year, though the category represents only 15% of all fixed income ETF assets, according to Matthew Bartolini, head of product research at State Street Global's SPDR Americas ETF division. Belden said that a large institutional investor has provided seed capital of $50 million for the new ETF.
Persons: Yves Herman, Bill Belden, Matthew Bartolini, SOFR, Belden, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili, Cynthia Osterman Organizations: Samsung, REUTERS, ETF, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: Brussels, Diegem, Belgium, U.S, Americas
The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD.P), which tracks the price of gold, has rallied 9.82% this year, driven by concerns about inflation and economic growth as well as geopolitical turbulence. Yet those gains have not been reflected in the share prices of gold miners: the iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (RING.O) and the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX.AX), which track the shares of gold producers, are up only 2.28% and 1.7% respectively. "Gold prices can only help so much, if you can't produce the gold in the first place," said Islam. Even Barrick Gold, which reported a 3% gain in gold production in the third quarter, said overall output in 2023 won't meet expectations. "Investors seem very wary of stocks as a whole, and gold miners have been tracking that rather than what's happening in gold itself," said Casanova.
Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Imaru Casanova, Casanova, Roxanna Islam, George Milling, Stanley, Suzanne McGee, Ira Iosebashvili Organizations: United States West Point Mint, REUTERS, Gold Miners, World Gold, Gold, Newmont Corp, State Street Global Advisors, Barrick, Thomson Locations: West Point , New York, Mexico
Investors are piling into active fixed income funds at record levels, according to State Street Global Advisors. That brings inflows to $24.8 billion so far this year for active fixed income funds. In fact, 43% of the month's inflows went into ultra-short bond funds, according to State Street. With that in mind, CNBC Pro screened for active bond exchange-traded funds with the largest inflows in October. Here are the active bond funds with the largest inflows year to date.
Persons: Matthew Bartolini, Bartolini, , Jesse Pound, Michael Bloom Organizations: Street Global Advisors, Americas Research, State, Federal Reserve, Treasury, CNBC Pro Locations: Americas
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 02, 2023 in New York City. Friday's market reaction to the jobs report comes down to a simple premise: bad news is good news, as long as it isn't too bad. Slow, controlled growth is something the markets and the Fed are seeking in the current climate, negative growth is not. Despite market pricing, it seems like cuts aren't around the corner if recent statements from Fed officials are any indication. You could imagine a scenario where inflation is starting to settle and you want to lower real rates.
Persons: Stocks, nonfarm, Mike Loewengart, We've, Michael Arone, Jerome Powell, Thomas Barkin Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Fed, Morgan Stanley's Global Investment, Markets, Traders, Group, State Street Global Advisors, Richmond Fed, CNBC PRO Locations: New York City
The furious rise in interest rates appears to be fueling a spike in trading for long-term bond products, even those focused on high quality Treasurys. While many long-term bond funds have seen recent inflows, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is extending its ETF market leadership position. The popularity of ARKK was a classic momentum trade, while bond funds have mostly been crushed over the past year. TLT YTD mountain Long-term bond funds like TLT have fallen sharply in 2023. Klingelhofer did say he was more interested in adding mid-term duration than long-term duration products, however.
Persons: Todd Sohn, ARKK, " Sohn, Sohn, Jeff Klingelhofer, Klingelhofer, Allison Bonds, it's, Bonds Organizations: Treasury Bond ETF, Innovation, CNBC, Thornburg Investment Management, State Street Global Advisors
But the deceleration of inflation has slowed, and solid economic growth could keep inflation elevated or even send it higher. As a result, Powell and other Fed officials aren't yet willing to take a final rate hike off the table. The surge in Treasury yields has caused the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate to reach nearly 8%. Market analysts say an array of factors have combined to force up Treasury yields. As a result, higher Treasury rates may be needed to attract more buyers.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Michael Arone, , ” Powell, Christopher Waller Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal, State Street Global Advisors, , Fed, Treasury, Wall Locations: Wall
"The Fed has never kept the target fed funds rate at peak levels for longer than nine months after a tightening cycle," Arone said. Nine months from now, at least based on history, the target fed funds rate is likely to be lower, not higher." He also sees lower rates ahead and pointed out the history of what happens with tight monetary policy. "The market is eager for lower rates or rate cuts. If the Fed has to rate cuts, it's likely because we're in recession or something in the capital markets is broken," he said.
Persons: Jerome Powell, aren't, Michael Arone, Powell, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Arone, Barry Sternlicht, , I'm, They've, Thomas Ryan, Nick Elfner, Elfner, Breckinridge, Street's Arone Organizations: Federal, U.S, SPDR, State Street Global Advisors, Fed, JPMorgan, Starwood Capital, Future Investment Initiative, Capital Economics, Breckinridge Capital Advisors Locations: United States, Saudi Arabia, U.S, Breckinridge
Australian shares fell to a one-year low, as stronger-than-expected third-quarter inflation data raised bets that the central bank might raise rates next month. In the currency markets, the dollar index hit a two-week high of 106.77. By 0300 GMT the yen was trading at a one-year low of 150.43 per dollar. The Australian dollar fell to an almost one-year low of $0.6271 in morning trade. The New Zealand dollar also hit a nearly one-year low at $0.5776.
Persons: Androniki, Ben Luk, Seng, Brent, Gold, Xie Yu, Simon Cameron, Moore Organizations: Nikkei, REUTERS, Japan's Nikkei, Treasury, Multi, State Street Global, U.S, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, HONG KONG, U.S, Asia, Pacific, China, Hong Kong, Europe
Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for a 4.7% acceleration in GDP, which also is adjusted for inflation. The sharp increase came due to contributions from consumer spending, increased inventories, exports, residential investment and government spending. Consumer spending, as measured by personal consumption expenditures, increased 4% for the quarter after rising just 0.8% in Q2, and was responsible for 2.7 percentage points of the total GDP increase. The GDP increase marked the biggest gain since the fourth quarter of 2021. At a time when many economists had thought the U.S. would be in the midst of at least a shallow recession, growth has kept pace due to consumer spending that has exceeded all expectations.
Persons: Dow Jones, Gross, Michael Arone, Jeffrey Roach, Arone, Price, Matthew Ryan Organizations: Gross, Commerce Department, Treasury, SPDR, State Street Global Advisors, Federal Reserve, Group, LPL, Labor Department, Federal, Hamas, CNBC Locations: U.S, Israel, Ukraine
Analysts expect a 0.4% year-over-year decline in third-quarter earnings for companies in the S&P 500 index, according to FactSet. Analysts expect America’s biggest bank to report earnings per share of $3.90 and revenue of $39.57 billion for the third quarter, according to Refinitiv. Citigroup, Wells Fargo and BlackRock also report earnings Friday. “Our children are in crisis, and it is up to us to save them,” Hochul said, comparing social media algorithms to cigarettes and alcohol. Those who opt out would receive chronological feeds instead, like in the early days of social media.
Persons: , Michael Arone, Jay Hatfield, ” Hatfield, Banks, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Wells, Chris Isidore, Darren Woods, Read, Kathy Hochul, Letitia James, Michael Mulgrew, Sen, Andrew Gounardes, Nily, , ” Hochul, Athena Jones, Brian Fung Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Investors, State Street Global Advisors, stoke, Infrastructure Capital Management, JPMorgan Chase, JPMorgan, First, Bank, Citigroup, ExxonMobil, Natural Resources, Midland Basins, New York Gov, New York, United Federation of Teachers Manhattan, New Locations: Wells Fargo, BlackRock, United States, Midland , Texas, Delaware, Midland, New York
Global central banks have been buying record amounts of gold as they seek to diversify reserves away from the dollar. "We expect central banks to continue their role as net purchasers of gold," according to the head of gold strategy at State Street. AdvertisementAdvertisementGlobal central banks have been snapping up record amounts of gold since the start of 2022 - a trend that should continue as countries look to move away from an "overconcentration" of reserves in the dollar, according to State Street Global Advisors. In addition to reserve diversification, the trend is also driven by central banks' desire to strengthen balance sheets and increase liquidity without adding credit risk, according to the firm. AdvertisementAdvertisement"Therefore, as we look ahead, we expect central banks to continue their role as net purchasers of gold," he added.
Persons: , Maxwell Gold, Vladimir Putin Organizations: State, Service, Street Global Advisors, Society, Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications, Force Locations: China, Russia, Iran, India, Indonesia
To be sure, even with Monday's advance, oil prices remain well off their late September peaks. In addition to receiving a lift from crude's gain, Coterra is benefiting from the continued strength in natural gas. On Monday, natural gas futures rose another 1%, to around $3.37 per million British thermal units. Last week, natural gas surged 14% to reach its highest price since late January. The stock's massive outperformance Friday means that any financial benefit Pioneer would receive from Monday's higher oil prices was already captured in the session prior.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Israel, Brent, WTI, John Kilduff, Jim Cramer, Jim, Pioneer's, CNBC's David Faber, Exxon's, Jim Cramer's, Richard Eden Organizations: Hamas, Natural Resources, Coterra Energy, West Texas, Brent, Gaza, CNBC, Energy, State Street Global Advisors, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Exxon Mobil, Journal, Club, Exxon, Denbury Inc, Silhouette, Getty Locations: Palestinian, Israel, U.S, Palestinian Territories, Houston, Midland , Texas
At the same time, climbing real yields make it more expensive to bet against the dollar. With real yields pushing higher, "only the bravest of traders are willing to bet against the greenback," he said. That, combined with a deceleration in inflation, has sent real yields soaring. The dollar has tracked real yields in recent years, with peaks and troughs closely aligned. Still, high real yields make him hesitant to short the U.S. currency.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Karl Schamotta, Aaron Hurd, Hurd, Corpay's Schamotta, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Chuck Mikolajczak, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, U.S . Treasury Department, Futures Trading Commission, UBS Global Wealth Management, State Street Global Advisors, Thomson Locations: Toronto, U.S, Europe, China
A calmer tone set in later on Wednesday, with bond yields retreating. In the U.S. Treasury market -- considered the bedrock of the global financial system -- 10-year yields have jumped as much as 20 basis points (bps) to 4.8% this week alone. Bond yields move inversely to prices, and many asset managers who had held bonds expecting prices to rally are now throwing in the towel. Australian and Canadian 10-year bond yields have surged over 20 bps each this week , , and British 30-year government bond yields hit a fresh 25-year high above 5% on Wednesday . , ,World stocks (.MIWD00000PUS) hit their lowest since April on Wednesday, and the cost of insuring exposure to a basket of European corporate junk bonds hit a five-month high, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Persons: Bond, Juan Valenzuela, Artemis, Kevin McCarthy, Jason Lee, Michael Metcalfe, Vikram Aggarwal, that's, Everybody's, you've, Richard McGuire, McGuire, Dhara Ranasinghe, Naomi Rovnick, Alun John, Yoruk Bahceli, Chiara Elisei, Marc Jones, Andy Bruce, Kim Coghill, Toby Chopra Organizations: bund, U.S . Treasury, Federal Reserve, Reuters, ADP, U.S . House, Congress, Hong, REUTERS, Street Global Markets, P Global Market Intelligence, Jupiter, New York Fed, Rabobank, Thomson Locations: Treasuries, British, U.S, Hong Kong, London
Markets in Q3: Gains, pains and oil reigns
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Marc Jones | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The chimneys of the Total Grandpuits oil refinery are seen just after sunset, southeast of Paris, France, March 1, 2021. Gold has lost its shine too meaning that only oil and gas, cash and the dollar have proved reliably profitable. “If you are going above $100 a barrel and staying there you are starting to create that inflation narrative again”. Athens’ main stock market is up 26.5% this year, even if it is down 11% since July. “The comforting news for Q4 though is that we should be close to peak (global) interest rates,” Metcalfe said.
Persons: Christian Hartmann, It’s, Salman Ahmed, Japan’s, , Robert Alster, El Salvador’s, Tayyip Erdogan’s, Argentina’s, Michael Metcalfe, ” Metcalfe Organizations: REUTERS, Christian, Federal Reserve &, Macro, Deutsche Bank, Management, Russia, U.S, Athens ’, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, Street Global Markets, Indicators Locations: Paris, France, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Ukraine, Greece, Athens, Pakistan, Britain’s, Turkey, Nigeria, Colombia, Mexico, U.S, Poland, Ecuador, Japan
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